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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 12, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Hawks33%9795
16Timberwolves67%103113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.0
40.4
38.7
16
58%
7
4
0
1
0
2
3
4
3-4
75%
5-11
6-14
45%
47%
1-1
100%
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 24.1
36.5
20.6
8
24%
9
6
1
1
1
3
4
5
2-4
50%
3-12
3-6
25%
43%
0-3
0%
Glenn Robinson
F · 6'7" 240 · 29.9
32.8
35.9
21
55%
4
3
2
1
1
4
2
2
0-0
-
6-13
7-14
46%
47%
3-6
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.2
31.2
34.5
12
61%
1
7
0
2
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-4
3-8
50%
44%
2-5
40%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.7
28.7
27.6
8
45%
4
1
0
1
2
0
1
3
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
45%
0-0
-
Emanual Davis
G · 6'5" 195 · 34.3
21.9
12.1
14
88%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
39%
2-3
67%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30.0
21.1
16.7
6
50%
1
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 29.4
13.0
10.4
6
60%
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
48%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 25.3
11.3
14.3
4
52%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
43%
0-0
-
Matt Maloney
G · 6'3" · 31.0
3.0
3.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 27.9
27.8
1
3-5
47%
Chris Crawford
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
2.3
0
0-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.6
37.5
38.5
21
59%
8
9
0
1
2
0
3
5
1-2
50%
7-15
7-15
47%
49%
2-2
100%
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 34.5
33.2
32.5
11
32%
8
5
2
1
0
0
4
4
1-3
33%
5-16
4-9
31%
43%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.5
30.5
26.6
18
69%
6
0
0
1
1
0
4
2
0-0
-
9-13
5-9
69%
49%
0-0
-
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 26.7
28.1
30.5
18
68%
2
5
0
1
1
4
0
2
5-5
100%
2-7
5-10
29%
47%
3-4
75%
Gary Trent
F · 6'8" 250 · 28.2
19.0
17.0
6
60%
4
2
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
51%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 27.4
29.8
27.3
15
74%
6
0
0
1
3
1
4
2
3-5
60%
6-8
4-7
75%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 33.0
21.5
21.6
8
67%
3
3
1
1
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
42%
2-2
100%
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 36.4
17.8
18.4
5
44%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
5-6
83%
0-2
2-6
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 27.9
14.3
12.6
9
59%
2
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
5-6
83%
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-0
-
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 24.5
3.0
5.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Igor Rakocevic
G · 6'2" 184 · 24.7
3.0
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
38%
0-0
-
Reggie Slater
F · 6'7" 255 · 32.3
2.3
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.