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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 4, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Pacers44%94104
13Wizards56%96107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.2
48.8
33.4
26
46%
13
5
0
1
2
5
6
7
10-14
71%
8-22
7-14
36%
47%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 24.8
43.6
33.9
9
46%
6
9
2
2
1
5
0
6
1-2
50%
1-5
2-6
20%
42%
2-4
50%
Reggie Miller
G · 6'7" 195 · 37.4
42.4
29.9
11
43%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
3-9
33%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 26.7
31.0
32.7
6
38%
8
0
2
1
0
3
5
3
2-2
100%
2-7
5-9
29%
50%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 23.8
25.5
1.9
4
106%
3
1
1
0
0
3
2
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
38%
1-1
100%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.9
45.1
22.8
33
69%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
13-21
4-8
62%
45%
1-1
100%
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.6
26.8
20.1
2
14%
5
4
2
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-7
3-7
14%
42%
0-0
-
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 29.1
21.1
10.1
11
92%
4
3
2
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
3-5
60%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.0
5.7
7.3
2
41%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-1
0%
1-2
1-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.1
34.3
2
4-10
46%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 27.7
13.4
0
1-3
42%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.3
2.1
0
0-1
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Jordan
G · 6'6" 216 · 39.9
52.8
32.5
41
66%
12
4
3
1
0
2
3
9
10-12
83%
11-22
6-14
50%
43%
3-4
75%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.9
50.3
32.6
23
55%
7
6
3
1
2
3
3
4
3-4
75%
7-14
5-10
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 28.2
49.7
37.5
20
57%
2
4
1
1
1
2
1
1
5-6
83%
6-11
6-14
55%
43%
1-4
25%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 23.1
36.9
19.6
6
44%
7
1
1
0
1
1
3
4
2-4
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
0-0
-
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 33.4
30.7
28.4
6
34%
7
4
2
1
2
3
1
6
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
48%
0-1
0%
Charles Oakley
F · 6'9" 245 · 39.0
29.9
1.9
4
67%
6
4
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
38%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.7
17.2
22.0
0
0%
4
2
1
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
0-5
0%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.0
9.5
17.5
3
75%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
1-2
50%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 24.8
6.6
16.1
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 20.8
5.4
23.5
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-7
-
45%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.6
1.1
2.3
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.7
1.6
0
0-0
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.