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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 4, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Warriors24%9686
14Rockets76%10584
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 22.7
39.4
26.3
23
67%
10
0
0
1
0
0
1
9
7-7
100%
8-14
3-8
57%
41%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.6
38.6
40.5
6
27%
9
1
1
1
0
6
1
8
0-0
-
3-11
8-17
27%
46%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 21.0
30.7
26.0
11
46%
5
8
0
1
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
3-10
3-8
30%
44%
1-1
100%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.5
29.0
23.7
11
71%
7
1
1
0
4
0
4
3
3-4
75%
4-6
3-6
67%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 22.0
24.8
29.6
8
51%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-8
43%
41%
0-0
-
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.8
22.5
17.0
6
51%
1
1
3
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
41%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 26.6
19.2
24.2
12
60%
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
40%
2-3
67%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.8
19.0
26.2
3
22%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-6
2-5
17%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 22.3
10.8
16.8
4
69%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
40%
0-1
0%
Chris Mills
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.9
6.1
6.0
2
33%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
40%
0-0
-
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 26.8
4.2
0
0-1
41%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 22.9
2.8
0
0-1
37%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 25.9
41.2
35.4
15
36%
5
6
0
1
0
3
3
2
4-4
100%
4-16
6-13
25%
47%
1-3
33%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.3
39.1
37.2
27
62%
8
1
2
1
0
4
1
7
2-2
100%
8-14
5-10
57%
49%
3-7
43%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 22.3
32.3
28.2
11
39%
17
2
0
0
2
1
6
11
3-5
60%
4-12
5-9
33%
57%
0-0
-
Glen Rice
F-G · 6'8" 228 · 35.6
26.1
24.0
4
33%
3
1
3
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 20.6
18.9
26.4
6
30%
7
0
0
1
4
0
2
5
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
44%
0-2
0%
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 26.2
27.0
15.4
10
64%
6
1
0
0
1
0
3
3
4-4
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 26.0
23.8
21.5
5
32%
1
2
3
1
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 28.4
15.7
18.5
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
57%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 29.4
12.5
17.3
2
50%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 24.0
3.4
7.6
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 22.5
4.1
0
0-1
49%
Juaquin Hawkins
F · 6'7" 205 · 29.5
2.0
0
0-0
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.