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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 6, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Jazz74%10398
27Bulls26%95113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.6
34.9
33.3
18
59%
7
1
1
1
0
2
2
5
4-5
80%
7-11
6-12
64%
49%
0-2
0%
John Stockton
G · 6'1" 175 · 40.8
33.4
27.6
16
63%
2
8
5
2
0
5
1
1
5-6
83%
4-8
4-7
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 39.5
32.0
34.8
16
50%
7
5
0
2
0
4
1
6
6-7
86%
5-13
7-15
38%
45%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 29.8
22.2
17.2
5
40%
3
0
0
0
3
1
1
2
1-3
33%
2-5
1-3
40%
51%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 31.5
21.9
27.9
6
34%
4
3
1
1
0
1
4
0
2-2
100%
2-8
4-8
25%
49%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.9
28.7
30.1
10
75%
8
2
2
2
1
2
4
4
4-6
67%
3-4
4-7
75%
52%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.7
16.0
11.3
5
51%
4
1
1
0
0
1
3
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Mark Jackson
G · 6'3" 195 · 37.8
14.2
19.4
6
44%
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 35.4
13.4
16.6
9
59%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
3-6
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 21.8
11.8
4.4
2
20%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
43%
0-0
-
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 32.1
9.5
9.8
5
43%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
41%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.4
2.1
2.3
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 29.9
48.0
42.1
31
85%
5
7
1
1
0
4
0
5
3-3
100%
8-12
7-16
67%
44%
4-5
80%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
40.0
26.6
17
51%
11
2
4
1
0
2
3
8
4-4
100%
5-14
5-10
36%
49%
1-1
100%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.8
37.4
25.5
12
55%
2
5
2
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
43%
2-6
33%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 23.8
37.3
28.1
11
52%
5
3
0
1
3
4
2
3
7-8
88%
2-6
2-5
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 20.3
9.2
25.8
4
67%
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
4-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 24.4
27.8
20.3
28
74%
7
0
0
1
1
1
4
3
7-11
64%
9-13
4-9
69%
44%
1-1
100%
Fred Hoiberg
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
11.9
10.0
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 20.1
11.6
11.9
6
80%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
4-4
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Eddie Robinson
F · 6'9" 210 · 26.7
9.5
16.0
2
33%
0
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Corie Blount
F-C · 6'10" 242 · 34.0
7.4
9.8
2
50%
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jay Williams
G · 6'2" 195 · 21.3
18.4
1
2-4
42%
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.9
2.7
0
0-1
44%
Dalibor Bagaric
C · 7'1" 290 · 22.5
2.7
0
0-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.