FinalWin Prob.pScore
296%86
71
194%105
86
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
81.68784.2
DAL logo DAL
97.78891.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL71
0%
86
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0DENLaFrentz BLOCK (2 BLK)71
0%
86
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
0%
86
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENMISS Tskitishvili 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
0%
86
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
0%
86
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0DALMISS LaFrentz 19' Jump Shot71
0%
86
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)71
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0DENYarbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0DALMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot71
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)71
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06DENMISS Tskitishvili 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17DALVan Exel 4' Running Finger Roll (7 PTS) (Griffin 3 AST)71
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39DALJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41DALMISS Van Exel 12' Jump Shot71
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)71
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)70
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)69
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)69
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31DENHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)69
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31DENMISS Howard Layup69
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33DENMISS Yarbrough 5' Jump Shot69
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52DALBell Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)69
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57DENVan Exel STEAL (2 STL)69
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04DENHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)69
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06DENLaFrentz BLOCK (1 BLK)69
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:12DENYarbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15DALMISS Williams 8' Jump Shot69
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)69
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 3:33DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 268
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 3:42DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)68
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 3:45DALMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01DENBell STEAL (2 STL)68
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02DENYarbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 4:05DALMISS Van Exel 22' Jump Shot68
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24DENYarbrough 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)68
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46DALVan Exel Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)66
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02DENMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot66
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:09DENHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)66
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:12DALMISS Nowitzki 22' Jump Shot66
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28DENBell STEAL (1 STL)66
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:40DALBell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)66
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:49DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)66
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:49DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)65
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)64
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58DALNowitzki 9' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)64
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 6:05DENMISS Harvey Layup64
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 6:24DALWilliams 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Finley 5 AST)64
0.2%
79
99.8%
Q4 - 6:42DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)64
0.3%
77
99.7%
Q4 - 6:42DENMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 263
0.3%
77
99.7%
Q4 - 6:45DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
0.3%
77
99.7%
Q4 - 6:47DENMISS Yarbrough 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.3%
77
99.7%
Q4 - 7:25DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q4 - 7:25DALMISS LaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 263
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q4 - 7:25DALLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)63
0.4%
77
99.6%
Q4 - 7:25DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)63
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q4 - 7:27DALMISS Van Exel 10' Turnaround Jump Shot63
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q4 - 7:33DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
0.4%
76
99.6%
Q4 - 7:36DENMISS Harvey 17' Jump Shot63
0.5%
76
99.5%
Q4 - 7:59DALFinley 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)63
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q4 - 8:17DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q4 - 8:21DENMISS Harvey 17' Jump Shot63
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q4 - 8:40DENHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)63
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q4 - 8:41DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 263
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q4 - 8:41DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)63
1.0%
74
99.0%
Q4 - 9:04DENHarvey 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)63
1.4%
73
98.6%
Q4 - 9:19DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)61
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q4 - 9:19DALLaFrentz Tip Shot (15 PTS)61
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q4 - 9:21DALMISS Van Exel 3' Running Layup61
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q4 - 9:30DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
1.4%
71
98.6%
Q4 - 9:31DENMISS Harvey Layup61
1.5%
71
98.5%
Q4 - 9:47DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)61
1.7%
71
98.3%
Q4 - 10:04DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T21)61
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q4 - 10:12DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
3.8%
68
96.2%
Q4 - 10:14DALMISS Van Exel 14' Jump Shot61
3.5%
68
96.5%
Q4 - 10:25DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q4 - 10:28DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot61
3.5%
68
96.5%
Q4 - 10:41DENTskitishvili Foul Turnover (P2.T20)61
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q4 - 10:52DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)61
3.8%
68
96.2%
Q4 - 11:09DENTskitishvili Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)61
5.1%
66
94.9%
Q4 - 11:29DALFinley 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS)59
4.1%
66
95.9%
Q4 - 11:36DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
5.0%
64
95.0%
Q4 - 11:39DENMISS Blount 16' Jump Shot59
5.4%
64
94.6%
Q4 - 11:46DENBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
6.2%
64
93.8%
Q4 - 11:48DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
5.0%
64
95.0%
Q4 - 11:48DALMISS LaFrentz 4' Jump Shot59
5.8%
64
94.2%
Q4 - 11:49DALMISS Van Exel 12' Jump Shot59
5.8%
64
94.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN59
5.0%
64
95.0%
Q3 - 0:09.0DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)59
6.2%
64
93.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0DENWhite 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)59
5.1%
64
94.9%
Q3 - 0:48.0DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)57
4.2%
64
95.8%
Q3 - 0:48.0DALBradley 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS)57
4.2%
64
95.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0DALMISS Nowitzki 5' Jump Shot57
5.9%
62
94.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0DENFinley STEAL (1 STL)57
5.1%
62
94.9%
Q3 - 1:13DALVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Finley 4 AST)57
6.2%
62
93.8%
Q3 - 1:26DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
8.9%
59
91.1%
Q3 - 1:28DENMISS Tskitishvili 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
9.4%
59
90.6%
Q3 - 1:47DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
10.7%
59
89.3%
Q3 - 1:50DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot57
10.1%
59
89.9%
Q3 - 2:04DENTskitishvili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harrington 4 AST)57
8.7%
59
91.3%
Q3 - 2:21DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q3 - 2:23DALMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot54
5.9%
59
94.1%
Q3 - 2:30DALFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
5.2%
59
94.8%
Q3 - 2:34DALMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
5.9%
59
94.1%
Q3 - 2:48DALMAVERICKS Rebound54
5.2%
59
94.8%
Q3 - 2:49DENMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot54
5.5%
59
94.5%
Q3 - 3:07DALFinley Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)54
6.4%
59
93.6%
Q3 - 3:26DENBlount 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)54
5.3%
59
94.7%
Q3 - 3:39DENHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)52
4.5%
59
95.5%
Q3 - 3:40DENMISS Yarbrough 15' Jump Shot52
4.0%
59
96.0%
Q3 - 4:00DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
4.5%
59
95.5%
Q3 - 4:00DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)52
4.6%
58
95.4%
Q3 - 4:19DALMAVERICKS Rebound52
5.2%
57
94.8%
Q3 - 4:22DENMISS Harrington 21' Jump Shot52
5.5%
57
94.5%
Q3 - 4:37DENYarbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
6.3%
57
93.7%
Q3 - 4:39DENMISS Yarbrough 18' Jump Shot52
5.5%
57
94.5%
Q3 - 4:54DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
6.3%
57
93.7%
Q3 - 4:54DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)52
6.4%
56
93.6%
Q3 - 5:11DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)52
7.3%
55
92.7%
Q3 - 5:35DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)52
8.6%
55
91.4%
Q3 - 5:35DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
8.8%
54
91.2%
Q3 - 5:57DENBlount 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Yarbrough 3 AST)52
9.9%
53
90.1%
Q3 - 6:16DALNowitzki Driving Finger Roll (8 PTS) (Griffin 2 AST)50
8.4%
53
91.6%
Q3 - 6:21DENNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)50
9.7%
51
90.3%
Q3 - 6:40DALNowitzki 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
11.3%
51
88.7%
Q3 - 7:07DENYarbrough 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)50
12.6%
49
87.4%
Q3 - 7:31DALFinley 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)48
11.2%
49
88.8%
Q3 - 7:39DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
12.6%
47
87.4%
Q3 - 7:40DALMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot48
14.0%
47
86.0%
Q3 - 8:03DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
12.3%
47
87.7%
Q3 - 8:04DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot48
13.7%
47
86.3%
Q3 - 8:11DENHoward 12' Jump Shot (17 PTS)48
12.3%
47
87.7%
Q3 - 8:12DENHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)46
11.0%
47
89.0%
Q3 - 8:14DENMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot46
9.9%
47
90.1%
Q3 - 8:36DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)46
11.0%
47
89.0%
Q3 - 8:57DENYarbrough 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)46
9.4%
47
90.6%
Q3 - 9:07DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
7.9%
47
92.1%
Q3 - 9:09DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
7.6%
47
92.4%
Q3 - 9:26DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
6.9%
47
93.1%
Q3 - 9:26DENMISS Yarbrough 15' Jump Shot44
7.2%
47
92.8%
Q3 - 9:50DALGriffin 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)44
8.0%
47
92.0%
Q3 - 10:02DENYarbrough Driving Layup (6 PTS)44
8.6%
45
91.4%
Q3 - 10:24DALFinley 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)42
7.7%
45
92.3%
Q3 - 10:26DALMAVERICKS Rebound42
9.8%
42
90.2%
Q3 - 10:26DALMISS Finley 5' Jump Shot42
10.8%
42
89.2%
Q3 - 10:49DENHoward 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS)42
9.8%
42
90.2%
Q3 - 10:56DENYarbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
8.8%
42
91.2%
Q3 - 10:59DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
8.4%
42
91.6%
Q3 - 11:00DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
7.6%
42
92.4%
Q3 - 11:03DENMISS Yarbrough 19' Jump Shot40
7.6%
42
92.4%
Q3 - 11:27DALNowitzki Layup (4 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)40
8.3%
42
91.7%
Q3 - 11:39DENNene 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T16)40
9.4%
40
90.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL40
10.7%
40
89.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
9.4%
40
90.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Yarbrough 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
9.8%
40
90.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0DALNash Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)40
10.4%
40
89.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENNash STEAL (2 STL)40
9.5%
40
90.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0DALLaFrentz 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)40
10.4%
40
89.6%
Q2 - 0:13.0DENHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)40
12.1%
38
87.9%
Q2 - 0:13.0DENHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)40
13.1%
38
86.9%
Q2 - 0:14.0DENNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)40
12.4%
38
87.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
13.1%
38
86.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0DALLaFrentz Tip Shot (11 PTS)40
13.1%
38
86.9%
Q2 - 0:34.0DALMISS Nash 8' Jump Shot40
16.1%
36
83.9%
Q2 - 0:48.0DENHarvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
15.2%
36
84.8%
Q2 - 0:48.0DENMISS Harvey Free Throw 1 of 239
14.6%
36
85.4%
Q2 - 0:51.0DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
14.7%
36
85.3%
Q2 - 0:52.0DALMISS LaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 239
14.6%
36
85.4%
Q2 - 0:52.0DALLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)39
13.5%
36
86.5%
Q2 - 0:52.0DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
15.2%
35
84.8%
Q2 - 0:54.0DENMISS Yarbrough 18' Jump Shot39
15.6%
35
84.4%
Q2 - 1:21DALNash 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
16.1%
35
83.9%
Q2 - 1:37DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
18.8%
33
81.2%
Q2 - 1:37DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 239
19.0%
33
81.0%
Q2 - 1:37DENMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 239
20.0%
33
80.0%
Q2 - 1:37DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
19.9%
33
80.1%
Q2 - 1:39DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
19.5%
33
80.5%
Q2 - 2:04DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
17.8%
33
82.2%
Q2 - 2:04DENNene Slam Dunk (10 PTS)39
17.8%
33
82.2%
Q2 - 2:06DENMISS Harrington 21' Jump Shot37
14.9%
33
85.1%
Q2 - 2:16DENHoward Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)37
16.0%
33
84.0%
Q2 - 2:28DALNash 4' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)36
14.4%
33
85.6%
Q2 - 2:43DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
16.2%
31
83.8%
Q2 - 2:44DENMISS Harvey Free Throw 2 of 236
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q2 - 2:44DENHarvey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
17.3%
31
82.7%
Q2 - 2:44DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
16.0%
31
84.0%
Q2 - 2:46DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot35
15.5%
31
84.5%
Q2 - 3:02DENNene Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Harvey 2 AST)35
13.6%
31
86.4%
Q2 - 3:24DALBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)33
12.5%
31
87.5%
Q2 - 3:24DALMISS Bradley Free Throw 1 of 233
12.7%
30
87.3%
Q2 - 3:24DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
12.3%
30
87.7%
Q2 - 3:26DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot33
13.4%
30
86.6%
Q2 - 3:40DENYarbrough Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
12.3%
30
87.7%
Q2 - 3:40DENYarbrough Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
12.0%
30
88.0%
Q2 - 3:47DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)31
11.2%
30
88.8%
Q2 - 3:51DALMISS Nash 3PT Jump Shot31
10.8%
30
89.2%
Q2 - 3:57DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
10.0%
30
90.0%
Q2 - 4:00DENMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot31
10.4%
30
89.6%
Q2 - 4:17DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)31
10.7%
30
89.3%
Q2 - 4:17DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)31
10.8%
29
89.2%
Q2 - 4:25DENBowen Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)31
11.9%
28
88.1%
Q2 - 4:35DALNash 8' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)31
13.1%
28
86.9%
Q2 - 4:44DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
14.5%
26
85.5%
Q2 - 4:46DALMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
15.5%
26
84.5%
Q2 - 4:49DALNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
14.5%
26
85.5%
Q2 - 4:51DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot31
15.5%
26
84.5%
Q2 - 5:06DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)31
14.0%
26
86.0%
Q2 - 5:43DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
15.6%
26
84.4%
Q2 - 5:43DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
15.7%
25
84.3%
Q2 - 5:48DENWilliams STEAL (1 STL)31
17.0%
24
83.0%
Q2 - 5:53DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
18.8%
24
81.2%
Q2 - 5:56DALMISS LaFrentz 4' Jump Shot31
18.2%
24
81.8%
Q2 - 6:19DENHarrington 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (White 2 AST)31
16.3%
24
83.7%
Q2 - 6:36DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
15.2%
24
84.8%
Q2 - 6:38DALMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
14.7%
24
85.3%
Q2 - 6:48DENWhite 7' Jump Shot (5 PTS)29
13.6%
24
86.4%
Q2 - 7:04DALLaFrentz Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)27
12.1%
24
87.9%
Q2 - 7:08DENNash STEAL (1 STL)27
13.2%
22
86.8%
Q2 - 7:11DALWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)27
14.6%
22
85.4%
Q2 - 7:33DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
13.3%
22
86.7%
Q2 - 7:35DENMISS Howard 11' Jump Shot27
13.7%
22
86.3%
Q2 - 7:58DALWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
14.6%
22
85.4%
Q2 - 7:58DALWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
15.0%
21
85.0%
Q2 - 8:22DENNene Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Tskitishvili 2 AST)27
15.6%
20
84.4%
Q2 - 8:36DALLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
14.4%
20
85.6%
Q2 - 8:36DALLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
14.8%
19
85.2%
Q2 - 8:48DENBowen Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)25
15.6%
18
84.4%
Q2 - 8:48DALWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)25
17.2%
18
82.8%
Q2 - 8:50DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
15.6%
18
84.4%
Q2 - 8:53DENMISS Blount 6' Jump Shot25
16.1%
18
83.9%
Q2 - 9:05DENNuggets Rebound25
16.5%
18
83.5%
Q2 - 9:07DENMISS Blount 10' Jump Shot25
15.5%
18
84.5%
Q2 - 9:18DENBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
16.5%
18
83.5%
Q2 - 9:20DALMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
16.1%
18
83.9%
Q2 - 9:26DENLaFrentz STEAL (1 STL)25
15.1%
18
84.9%
Q2 - 9:49DALLaFrentz 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)25
16.6%
18
83.4%
Q2 - 10:04DENYarbrough Foul Turnover (P3.T7)25
17.8%
16
82.2%
Q2 - 10:08DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)25
19.5%
16
80.5%
Q2 - 10:18DENBlount Foul Turnover (P1.T6)25
17.8%
16
82.2%
Q2 - 10:19DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
19.5%
16
80.5%
Q2 - 10:23DALMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
19.0%
16
81.0%
Q2 - 10:49DENWhite 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Tskitishvili 1 AST)25
17.8%
16
82.2%
Q2 - 11:22DALLaFrentz 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)22
14.5%
16
85.5%
Q2 - 11:37DENBlount 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (White 1 AST)22
15.7%
14
84.3%
Q2 - 11:42DENBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
14.5%
14
85.5%
Q2 - 11:45DENMISS Harvey 17' Jump Shot20
13.7%
14
86.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL20
14.5%
14
85.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
13.3%
14
86.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot20
13.4%
14
86.6%
Q1 - 0:08.0DALBradley Layup (5 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)20
14.0%
14
86.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0DENHoward Reverse Layup (12 PTS)20
15.5%
12
84.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)18
14.0%
12
86.0%
Q1 - 0:45.0DALMISS Finley Free Throw 1 of 218
14.2%
11
85.8%
Q1 - 1:03DENHoward 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)18
14.2%
11
85.8%
Q1 - 1:08DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)16
12.9%
11
87.1%
Q1 - 1:10DENMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot16
12.3%
11
87.7%
Q1 - 1:15DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
12.9%
11
87.1%
Q1 - 1:18DALMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot16
12.6%
11
87.4%
Q1 - 1:51DENHarvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
12.1%
11
87.9%
Q1 - 1:51DENHarvey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
11.7%
11
88.3%
Q1 - 2:09DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
10.8%
11
89.2%
Q1 - 2:12DALMISS Van Exel 13' Jump Shot14
10.6%
11
89.4%
Q1 - 2:28DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
10.0%
11
90.0%
Q1 - 2:32DENMISS White 19' Jump Shot14
10.3%
11
89.7%
Q1 - 2:45DALNowitzki 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
10.8%
11
89.2%
Q1 - 3:09DENNene Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Harvey 1 AST)14
11.3%
9
88.7%
Q1 - 3:26DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)12
10.6%
9
89.4%
Q1 - 3:29DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot12
10.3%
9
89.7%
Q1 - 3:38DENVan Exel STEAL (1 STL)12
9.7%
9
90.3%
Q1 - 3:59DALVan Exel 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
10.6%
9
89.4%
Q1 - 4:07DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
10.9%
7
89.1%
Q1 - 4:09DENBradley BLOCK (2 BLK)12
11.2%
7
88.8%
Q1 - 4:31DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
12.0%
7
88.0%
Q1 - 4:33DALMISS Nash 11' Jump Shot12
11.6%
7
88.4%
Q1 - 4:53DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
10.9%
7
89.1%
Q1 - 4:54DENBradley BLOCK (1 BLK)12
11.2%
7
88.8%
Q1 - 5:05DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
11.2%
7
88.8%
Q1 - 5:07DALMISS Nowitzki 7' Jump Shot12
10.9%
7
89.1%
Q1 - 5:21DENHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)12
10.3%
7
89.7%
Q1 - 5:23DENYarbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
11.2%
7
88.8%
Q1 - 5:25DENMISS Yarbrough 13' Jump Shot12
10.6%
7
89.4%
Q1 - 5:32DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)12
11.3%
7
88.7%
Q1 - 5:41DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
10.4%
7
89.6%
Q1 - 5:43DENMISS Harrington 5' Jump Shot12
10.6%
7
89.4%
Q1 - 6:09DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
10.9%
7
89.1%
Q1 - 6:11DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot12
10.6%
7
89.4%
Q1 - 6:38DENYarbrough 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)12
10.1%
7
89.9%
Q1 - 6:46DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
9.4%
7
90.6%
Q1 - 6:47DALMISS Nash 9' Fadeaway Jumper10
9.2%
7
90.8%
Q1 - 7:14DENHoward 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)10
8.3%
7
91.7%
Q1 - 7:19DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
7.8%
7
92.2%
Q1 - 7:20DALMISS Nash Running Layup8
7.7%
7
92.3%
Q1 - 7:32DENNene Layup (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)8
7.3%
7
92.7%
Q1 - 7:48DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
6.8%
7
93.2%
Q1 - 7:50DALMISS Finley 22' Jump Shot6
6.7%
7
93.3%
Q1 - 8:06DENYarbrough Double Dribble Turnover (P2.T3)6
6.1%
7
93.9%
Q1 - 8:32DALNash 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
6.6%
7
93.4%
Q1 - 8:46DENYarbrough Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
7.0%
5
93.0%
Q1 - 9:03DALBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)6
7.6%
5
92.4%
Q1 - 9:03DALMISS Bradley Free Throw 1 of 26
7.6%
4
92.4%
Q1 - 9:28DENHoward Layup (6 PTS)6
7.4%
4
92.6%
Q1 - 9:29DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
7.1%
4
92.9%
Q1 - 9:31DENMISS Harrington 23' Jump Shot4
6.6%
4
93.4%
Q1 - 9:51DALBradley Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)4
7.1%
4
92.9%
Q1 - 10:16DENHoward 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Yarbrough 2 AST)4
7.4%
2
92.6%
Q1 - 10:35DENYarbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
7.0%
2
93.0%
Q1 - 10:37DALMISS Nash 14' Jump Shot2
6.8%
2
93.2%
Q1 - 10:43DENGriffin STEAL (1 STL)2
6.4%
2
93.6%
Q1 - 10:49DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
7.0%
2
93.0%
Q1 - 10:51DALMISS Griffin 15' Jump Shot2
6.8%
2
93.2%
Q1 - 11:05DENHoward 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Yarbrough 1 AST)2
6.4%
2
93.6%
Q1 - 11:23DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
6.0%
2
94.0%
Q1 - 11:23DALMISS Nowitzki Layup0
5.9%
2
94.1%
Q1 - 11:23DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
5.6%
2
94.4%
Q1 - 11:26DENMISS Harvey 10' Jump Shot0
5.7%
2
94.3%
Q1 - 11:45DALFinley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)0
6.0%
2
94.0%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Bradley vs. Nene: Tip to Nowitzki0
6.4%
0
93.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.89 44.4%
DAL
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
9
17
53%
DAL
10
17
59%
Midrange
DEN
17
42
40%
DAL
18
44
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
DAL
3
4.5
15
20%
30%
Free Throws
DEN
13
19
68%
DAL
21
27
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Howard2255%11.0 / 20
V. Yarbrough1240%6.0 / 15
Nene1169%5.5 / 8
R. White770%3.5 / 5
D. Harvey630%3.0 / 10
M. Blount650%3.0 / 6
N. Tskitishvili542%2.5 / 6
J. Harrington214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Finley1959%9.5 / 16
D. Nowitzki1845%9.0 / 20
R. LaFrentz1662%8.0 / 13
S. Nash1240%6.0 / 15
S. Bradley880%4.0 / 5
N. Van Exel729%3.5 / 12
W. Williams433%2.0 / 6
A. Griffin250%1.0 / 2
P. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
65
+14
-22
79
DAL
78
+14
-10
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.89 44.4%
DAL
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
90.7
108.0
DEN 81.6
DAL 97.7 +16.1
Pace
92.6
94.9
DEN 84.2
DAL 91.0 +6.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.3
DEN 17.1
DAL 15.8 +1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
42.8%
49.8%
DEN 42.6%
DAL 42.8% +0.2%
TO %
18.7%
11.6%
DEN 23.9%
DAL 11.1% +12.8%
ORB %
31.3%
25.5%
DEN 33.3% +5.6%
DAL 27.7%
FTrt
28.3
25.7
DEN 27.9
DAL 35.5 +7.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.6%
58.1%
DEN 57.1%
DAL 64.5% +7.4%
STL %
9.3%
8.5%
DEN 6.9%
DAL 12.5% +5.6%
BLK %
8.5%
8.5%
DEN 6.6%
DAL 8.5% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.88 and 2.88.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
44.6%
52.1%
DEN 44.4%
DAL 45.7% +1.3%
Rim FG%
53.8%
58.2%
DEN 52.9%
DAL 58.8% +5.9%
Mid FG%
35.8%
40.7%
DEN 40.5%
DAL 40.9% +0.4%
3P %
27.8%
38.1%
DEN 22.2% +2.2%
DAL 20.0%
FT %
69.9%
82.9%
DEN 68.4%
DAL 77.8% +9.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
29.6%
DEN 25.0% +2.6%
DAL 22.4%
Mid Att. %
52.3%
46.5%
DEN 61.8%
DAL 57.9% +3.9%
3P Att. %
12.6%
23.9%
DEN 13.2%
DAL 19.7% +6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.91 and 2.91.
Game TotalsDENDAL
Possessions8788
Possession Minutes24.823.2
Points7186
Rebounds4739
Assists1620
Steals611
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)22 (2)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)13 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (0)26 (2)
Field Goals28-6831-76
At-the-Rim FG9-1710-17
Midrange FG17-4218-44
2-Point FG26-5928-61
3-Point FG2-93-15
Free Throws13-1921-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 190 · 22
44.8
2
14%
6
4
0
0
2
5
0
6
0-2
0%
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 30
39.2
22
55%
14
1
1
0
3
2
7
7
6-7
86%
8-17
47%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 22
37.6
6
30%
8
2
0
2
2
4
1
7
4-6
67%
1-7
14%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 22
31.7
12
40%
7
3
1
0
4
2
2
5
2-2
100%
5-12
42%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 250 · 20
30.6
11
69%
3
1
1
1
1
5
1
2
1-2
50%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 230 · 23
19.6
7
70%
4
2
0
0
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 27
16.5
6
50%
3
1
1
0
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 225 · 20
13.2
5
42%
2
2
0
1
2
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 218 · 27
6.9
0
0%
0
0
2
0
4
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" · 33
G · 6'6" 225 · 27
F · 6'9" 250 · 38
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
71
44%
47
16
6
4
22
0
13
34
13-19
68%
26-59
44%
2-9
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.