| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 91.4 | 93 | 92.5 |
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Scoring Opportunities
MIA
82
+11
-11
93
GSW
80
+14
-14
94
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.90 45.2%
GSW
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | GSW |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | GSW | 85 0% | 99 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:12.0 | GSW | Murphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 85 0% | 99 100% |
| Q4 - 0:15.0 | MIA | MISS James 17' Jump Shot | 85 0.1% | 99 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:21.0 | GSW | Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS) | 85 0.1% | 99 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:21.0 | GSW | Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS) | 85 0.1% | 98 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:21.0 | GSW | Jamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9) | 85 0.1% | 97 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:23.0 | MIA | MISS House 3PT Jump Shot | 85 0.1% | 97 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:35.0 | GSW | Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS) | 85 0.1% | 97 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:35.0 | GSW | Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 85 0.1% | 96 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:36.0 | MIA | Grant Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 85 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:52.0 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 83 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:53.0 | GSW | MISS Boykins Free Throw 2 of 2 | 83 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:53.0 | GSW | Boykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 83 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:07 | MIA | Murphy STEAL (2 STL) | 83 0.1% | 94 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:20 | GSW | Murphy Layup (12 PTS) | 83 0.2% | 94 99.8% |
| Q4 - 1:21 | GSW | Murphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 83 0.3% | 92 99.7% |
| Q4 - 1:23 | GSW | MISS Murphy Reverse Layup | 83 0.5% | 92 99.5% |
| Q4 - 1:42 | GSW | Jamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8) | 83 0.5% | 92 99.5% |
| Q4 - 1:44 | MIA | MISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot | 83 0.6% | 92 99.4% |
| Q4 - 2:00 | GSW | Boykins Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 83 0.9% | 92 99.1% |
| Q4 - 2:00 | GSW | Boykins Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS) | 83 0.9% | 91 99.1% |
| Q4 - 2:21 | MIA | James Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 2 AST) | 83 1.4% | 90 98.6% |
| Q4 - 2:39 | GSW | Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 81 1.1% | 90 98.9% |
| Q4 - 2:39 | GSW | Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 81 1.2% | 89 98.8% |
| Q4 - 2:59 | MIA | Butler Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 81 1.9% | 88 98.1% |
| Q4 - 3:14 | GSW | Dampier Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS) | 79 1.4% | 88 98.6% |
| Q4 - 3:14 | GSW | Dampier Dunk (15 PTS) (Jamison 3 AST) | 79 2.2% | 87 97.8% |
| Q4 - 3:19 | GSW | WARRIORS Rebound | 79 2.8% | 85 97.2% |
| Q4 - 3:19 | GSW | MISS Boykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 79 4.2% | 85 95.8% |
| Q4 - 3:42 | MIA | Butler Reverse Layup (11 PTS) | 79 4.4% | 85 95.6% |
| Q4 - 3:51 | MIA | House REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 77 3.1% | 85 96.9% |
| Q4 - 3:53 | GSW | MISS Dampier 5' Running Hook Shot | 77 2.7% | 85 97.3% |
| Q4 - 4:18 | MIA | Grant Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 77 2.0% | 85 98.0% |
| Q4 - 4:18 | MIA | MISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 2 | 76 1.9% | 85 98.1% |
| Q4 - 4:28 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 76 2.0% | 85 98.0% |
| Q4 - 4:30 | GSW | MISS Jamison 20' Jump Shot | 76 1.8% | 85 98.2% |
| Q4 - 4:45 | GSW | Dampier REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4) | 76 1.4% | 85 98.6% |
| Q4 - 4:47 | MIA | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 76 1.5% | 85 98.5% |
| Q4 - 5:02 | GSW | Jamison 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Boykins 4 AST) | 76 2.8% | 85 97.2% |
| Q4 - 5:36 | MIA | Butler Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS) | 76 3.7% | 83 96.3% |
| Q4 - 5:36 | MIA | Butler Driving Layup (8 PTS) | 75 2.7% | 83 97.3% |
| Q4 - 5:45 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 73 2.0% | 83 98.0% |
| Q4 - 5:47 | GSW | MISS Jamison 13' Jump Shot | 73 1.8% | 83 98.2% |
| Q4 - 5:57 | GSW | Jamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 73 1.4% | 83 98.6% |
| Q4 - 5:59 | MIA | MISS Allen 7' Jump Shot | 73 1.5% | 83 98.5% |
| Q4 - 6:16 | GSW | Sura Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15) | 73 2.6% | 83 97.4% |
| Q4 - 6:28 | GSW | Dampier REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3) | 73 1.8% | 83 98.2% |
| Q4 - 6:30 | GSW | MISS Boykins 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 73 2.3% | 83 97.7% |
| Q4 - 6:52 | MIA | Butler 8' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Carter 10 AST) | 73 1.8% | 83 98.2% |
| Q4 - 7:15 | GSW | Jamison 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST) | 71 1.9% | 83 98.1% |
| Q4 - 7:31 | GSW | Sura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 71 2.4% | 81 97.6% |
| Q4 - 7:33 | MIA | MISS House 6' Jump Shot | 71 2.6% | 81 97.4% |
| Q4 - 7:47 | GSW | Boykins Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14) | 71 3.2% | 81 96.8% |
| Q4 - 7:50 | GSW | Boykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 71 2.3% | 81 97.7% |
| Q4 - 7:52 | MIA | Dampier BLOCK (6 BLK) | 71 2.6% | 81 97.4% |
| Q4 - 8:07 | MIA | Lampley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 71 3.8% | 81 96.2% |
| Q4 - 8:09 | GSW | MISS Dunleavy 19' Jump Shot | 71 3.5% | 81 96.5% |
| Q4 - 8:33 | MIA | Sura STEAL (2 STL) | 71 2.9% | 81 97.1% |
| Q4 - 8:37 | GSW | Jamison Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13) | 71 3.8% | 81 96.2% |
| Q4 - 8:54 | GSW | Jump Ball Dampier vs. Lampley: Tip to Jamison | 71 2.9% | 81 97.1% |
| Q4 - 8:54 | MIA | Lampley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 71 3.8% | 81 96.2% |
| Q4 - 8:55 | MIA | Dampier BLOCK (5 BLK) | 71 3.2% | 81 96.8% |
| Q4 - 9:16 | GSW | Jamison 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST) | 71 4.3% | 81 95.7% |
| Q4 - 9:29 | GSW | Dunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 71 5.3% | 79 94.7% |
| Q4 - 9:31 | MIA | MISS Butler 20' Jump Shot | 71 5.7% | 79 94.3% |
| Q4 - 9:50 | GSW | Sura Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST) | 71 6.7% | 79 93.3% |
| Q4 - 10:18 | MIA | House 8' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Carter 9 AST) | 71 8.9% | 77 91.1% |
| Q4 - 10:26 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9) | 69 7.3% | 77 92.7% |
| Q4 - 10:28 | GSW | MISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 69 6.8% | 77 93.2% |
| Q4 - 10:45 | GSW | Dunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 69 5.8% | 77 94.2% |
| Q4 - 10:47 | MIA | Dampier BLOCK (4 BLK) | 69 6.2% | 77 93.8% |
| Q4 - 10:58 | GSW | Jamison 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST) | 69 7.3% | 77 92.7% |
| Q4 - 11:09 | GSW | Dampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3) | 69 9.6% | 75 90.4% |
| Q4 - 11:10 | MIA | MISS Butler Layup | 69 10.2% | 75 89.8% |
| Q4 - 11:15 | GSW | Sura Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12) | 69 11.7% | 75 88.3% |
| Q4 - 11:29 | MIA | Lampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 69 9.5% | 75 90.5% |
| Q4 - 11:29 | MIA | MISS Lampley Free Throw 1 of 2 | 68 9.1% | 75 90.9% |
| Q4 - 11:46 | GSW | Sura Foul Turnover (P2.T11) | 68 9.6% | 75 90.4% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | GSW | 68 7.8% | 75 92.2% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | GSW | Dampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2) | 68 7.8% | 75 92.2% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS House 40' 3PT Jump Shot | 68 8.3% | 75 91.7% |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | GSW | Sura Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 68 10.1% | 75 89.9% |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | GSW | MISS Sura Free Throw 1 of 2 | 68 10.5% | 74 89.5% |
| Q3 - 0:07.0 | MIA | Carter 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 68 10.1% | 74 89.9% |
| Q3 - 0:27.0 | GSW | Arenas Driving Layup (22 PTS) | 66 8.3% | 74 91.7% |
| Q3 - 0:40.0 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9) | 66 10.1% | 72 89.9% |
| Q3 - 1:03 | MIA | Lampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 66 12.5% | 72 87.5% |
| Q3 - 1:04 | GSW | MISS Arenas Driving Layup | 66 11.9% | 72 88.1% |
| Q3 - 1:18 | MIA | Lampley Layup (17 PTS) | 66 10.5% | 72 89.5% |
| Q3 - 1:20 | MIA | Lampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 64 8.8% | 72 91.2% |
| Q3 - 1:22 | MIA | MISS House 3PT Jump Shot | 64 7.7% | 72 92.3% |
| Q3 - 1:31 | MIA | Lampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 64 8.8% | 72 91.2% |
| Q3 - 1:33 | GSW | Jamison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 64 7.3% | 72 92.7% |
| Q3 - 1:33 | GSW | MISS Jamison Layup | 64 8.3% | 72 91.7% |
| Q3 - 1:34 | GSW | Dampier REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1) | 64 7.3% | 72 92.7% |
| Q3 - 1:34 | GSW | MISS Dampier Tip Shot | 64 8.3% | 72 91.7% |
| Q3 - 1:37 | GSW | MISS Murphy 17' Jump Shot | 64 8.3% | 72 91.7% |
| Q3 - 2:03 | MIA | Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 64 7.6% | 72 92.4% |
| Q3 - 2:03 | MIA | MISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 | 63 7.3% | 72 92.7% |
| Q3 - 2:17 | GSW | Dampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 63 7.7% | 72 92.3% |
| Q3 - 2:17 | GSW | Dampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 63 8.1% | 71 91.9% |
| Q3 - 2:38 | GSW | Dampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1) | 63 9.0% | 70 91.0% |
| Q3 - 2:40 | MIA | MISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 63 9.5% | 70 90.5% |
| Q3 - 2:45 | MIA | Lampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 63 10.8% | 70 89.2% |
| Q3 - 2:47 | GSW | MISS Arenas 15' Jump Shot | 63 10.2% | 70 89.8% |
| Q3 - 3:01 | MIA | Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 63 9.5% | 70 90.5% |
| Q3 - 3:01 | MIA | Butler Free Throw Technical (6 PTS) | 62 9.6% | 70 90.4% |
| Q3 - 3:01 | MIA | Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 61 7.8% | 70 92.2% |
| Q3 - 3:07 | GSW | Jamison Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10) | 60 6.9% | 70 93.1% |
| Q3 - 3:28 | MIA | Allen Slam Dunk (12 PTS) | 60 5.8% | 70 94.2% |
| Q3 - 3:33 | MIA | House REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 58 4.9% | 70 95.1% |
| Q3 - 3:35 | GSW | MISS Murphy 14' Jump Shot | 58 4.6% | 70 95.4% |
| Q3 - 3:52 | MIA | House 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carter 8 AST) | 58 4.1% | 70 95.9% |
| Q3 - 3:59 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8) | 56 3.5% | 70 96.5% |
| Q3 - 4:01 | GSW | MISS Richardson 14' Turnaround Jump Shot | 56 3.5% | 70 96.5% |
| Q3 - 4:13 | GSW | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 56 3.1% | 70 96.9% |
| Q3 - 4:15 | MIA | MISS Allen 10' Turnaround Jump Shot | 56 3.3% | 70 96.7% |
| Q3 - 4:33 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 56 3.7% | 70 96.3% |
| Q3 - 4:35 | GSW | MISS Jamison 4' Jump Shot | 56 3.5% | 70 96.5% |
| Q3 - 4:35 | GSW | Arenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 56 3.1% | 70 96.9% |
| Q3 - 4:38 | GSW | MISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 56 3.5% | 70 96.5% |
| Q3 - 4:41 | GSW | Arenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 56 3.1% | 70 96.9% |
| Q3 - 4:43 | MIA | Jamison BLOCK (2 BLK) | 56 3.2% | 70 96.8% |
| Q3 - 4:44 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 56 3.7% | 70 96.3% |
| Q3 - 4:47 | MIA | Dampier BLOCK (3 BLK) | 56 3.2% | 70 96.8% |
| Q3 - 5:02 | MIA | Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 56 4.0% | 70 96.0% |
| Q3 - 5:02 | GSW | MISS Dampier Free Throw 2 of 2 | 56 3.9% | 70 96.1% |
| Q3 - 5:02 | GSW | Dampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 56 3.6% | 70 96.4% |
| Q3 - 5:09 | GSW | Richardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 56 4.0% | 69 96.0% |
| Q3 - 5:11 | MIA | MISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot | 56 4.2% | 69 95.8% |
| Q3 - 5:41 | GSW | Jamison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 56 4.7% | 69 95.3% |
| Q3 - 5:41 | GSW | Jamison Layup (8 PTS) | 56 4.7% | 69 95.3% |
| Q3 - 5:43 | GSW | MISS Arenas 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 56 6.1% | 67 93.9% |
| Q3 - 5:47 | GSW | Dampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0) | 56 5.4% | 67 94.6% |
| Q3 - 5:49 | GSW | MISS Murphy 11' Turnaround Jump Shot | 56 6.1% | 67 93.9% |
| Q3 - 6:06 | GSW | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 56 5.7% | 67 94.3% |
| Q3 - 6:08 | MIA | MISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 56 6.0% | 67 94.0% |
| Q3 - 6:30 | GSW | Dampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 56 6.7% | 67 93.3% |
| Q3 - 6:30 | GSW | Dampier Tip Shot (10 PTS) | 56 6.7% | 67 93.3% |
| Q3 - 6:32 | GSW | MISS Jamison 7' Running Finger Roll | 56 8.6% | 65 91.4% |
| Q3 - 6:52 | MIA | Allen 8' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) | 56 7.7% | 65 92.3% |
| Q3 - 7:04 | MIA | House REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 54 7.0% | 65 93.0% |
| Q3 - 7:06 | GSW | MISS Murphy 18' Jump Shot | 54 6.7% | 65 93.3% |
| Q3 - 7:32 | MIA | Butler 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 54 5.9% | 65 94.1% |
| Q3 - 7:41 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7) | 52 5.2% | 65 94.8% |
| Q3 - 7:43 | GSW | MISS Dampier 14' Jump Shot | 52 5.0% | 65 95.0% |
| Q3 - 7:58 | MIA | Grant Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8) | 52 4.4% | 65 95.6% |
| Q3 - 8:21 | GSW | Richardson 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 52 5.4% | 65 94.6% |
| Q3 - 8:40 | GSW | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 52 6.1% | 63 93.9% |
| Q3 - 8:42 | MIA | MISS Grant 4' Jump Shot | 52 6.4% | 63 93.6% |
| Q3 - 8:56 | GSW | Murphy 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Arenas 4 AST) | 52 7.2% | 63 92.8% |
| Q3 - 9:13 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 52 8.3% | 61 91.7% |
| Q3 - 9:13 | MIA | Butler Tip Shot (4 PTS) | 52 8.3% | 61 91.7% |
| Q3 - 9:15 | MIA | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 6.6% | 61 93.4% |
| Q3 - 9:32 | GSW | Arenas Driving Layup (20 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST) | 50 7.3% | 61 92.7% |
| Q3 - 9:36 | GSW | Jamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 50 8.3% | 59 91.7% |
| Q3 - 9:38 | MIA | Dampier BLOCK (2 BLK) | 50 8.6% | 59 91.4% |
| Q3 - 10:05 | GSW | Dampier 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Jamison 2 AST) | 50 9.7% | 59 90.3% |
| Q3 - 10:25 | MIA | Allen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 50 10.8% | 57 89.2% |
| Q3 - 10:25 | MIA | Allen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 49 10.5% | 57 89.5% |
| Q3 - 10:40 | GSW | Jamison Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9) | 48 9.7% | 57 90.3% |
| Q3 - 10:47 | MIA | Dampier STEAL (1 STL) | 48 8.4% | 57 91.6% |
| Q3 - 10:57 | GSW | Jamison Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8) | 48 9.7% | 57 90.3% |
| Q3 - 11:17 | MIA | Murphy STEAL (1 STL) | 48 8.5% | 57 91.5% |
| Q3 - 11:23 | MIA | MISS Butler Free Throw Technical | 48 9.7% | 57 90.3% |
| Q3 - 11:30 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 48 9.7% | 57 90.3% |
| Q3 - 11:32 | GSW | MISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 48 9.3% | 57 90.7% |
| Q3 - 11:41 | MIA | Grant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 48 8.5% | 57 91.5% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 48 9.7% | 57 90.3% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 48 9.7% | 57 90.3% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Butler 43' 3PT Jump Shot | 48 8.9% | 57 91.1% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | GSW | Foyle Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Arenas 3 AST) | 48 9.9% | 57 90.1% |
| Q2 - 0:18.0 | GSW | Sura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 48 11.6% | 55 88.4% |
| Q2 - 0:20.0 | MIA | MISS Carter 17' Jump Shot | 48 11.9% | 55 88.1% |
| Q2 - 0:35.0 | GSW | Arenas Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS) | 48 12.5% | 55 87.5% |
| Q2 - 0:35.0 | GSW | Arenas Driving Layup (17 PTS) | 48 14.1% | 54 85.9% |
| Q2 - 0:44.0 | MIA | Lampley 10' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Butler 2 AST) | 48 16.3% | 52 83.7% |
| Q2 - 1:05 | GSW | Sura Foul Turnover (P1.T7) | 46 14.2% | 52 85.8% |
| Q2 - 1:29 | MIA | Lampley 13' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS) | 46 13.4% | 52 86.6% |
| Q2 - 1:40 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 44 11.3% | 52 88.7% |
| Q2 - 1:42 | MIA | MISS Butler 10' Jump Shot | 44 10.9% | 52 89.1% |
| Q2 - 1:54 | GSW | Arenas Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS) | 44 11.3% | 52 88.7% |
| Q2 - 1:54 | GSW | Arenas Driving Layup (14 PTS) | 44 12.7% | 51 87.3% |
| Q2 - 2:01 | GSW | Arenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 44 14.8% | 49 85.2% |
| Q2 - 2:03 | MIA | MISS Grant 11' Jump Shot | 44 15.3% | 49 84.7% |
| Q2 - 2:31 | GSW | Jamison 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST) | 44 16.3% | 49 83.7% |
| Q2 - 2:56 | MIA | Lampley Layup (11 PTS) | 44 18.3% | 47 81.7% |
| Q2 - 3:07 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 42 16.6% | 47 83.4% |
| Q2 - 3:09 | GSW | MISS Richardson 17' Jump Shot | 42 16.0% | 47 84.0% |
| Q2 - 3:19 | MIA | Lampley Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS) | 42 14.8% | 47 85.2% |
| Q2 - 3:19 | MIA | Lampley Layup (8 PTS) | 41 13.4% | 47 86.6% |
| Q2 - 3:29 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 39 12.2% | 47 87.8% |
| Q2 - 3:31 | GSW | MISS Jamison 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 39 11.8% | 47 88.2% |
| Q2 - 3:58 | MIA | Grant 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Butler 1 AST) | 39 10.8% | 47 89.2% |
| Q2 - 4:19 | GSW | Arenas Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6) | 37 10.0% | 47 90.0% |
| Q2 - 4:23 | GSW | Jamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 37 9.0% | 47 91.0% |
| Q2 - 4:25 | MIA | MISS Marks 5' Jump Shot | 37 9.3% | 47 90.7% |
| Q2 - 4:27 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 37 10.0% | 47 90.0% |
| Q2 - 4:30 | MIA | MISS Grant 9' Jump Shot | 37 9.3% | 47 90.7% |
| Q2 - 4:41 | MIA | Lampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 37 10.0% | 47 90.0% |
| Q2 - 4:43 | GSW | MISS Arenas 19' Jump Shot | 37 9.7% | 47 90.3% |
| Q2 - 5:00 | GSW | Boykins Free Throw Technical (1 PTS) | 37 9.0% | 47 91.0% |
| Q2 - 5:00 | MIA | Arenas STEAL (1 STL) | 37 10.0% | 46 90.0% |
| Q2 - 5:06 | MIA | Marks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 37 11.2% | 46 88.8% |
| Q2 - 5:08 | GSW | MISS Jamison 18' Jump Shot | 37 10.8% | 46 89.2% |
| Q2 - 5:25 | MIA | James Running Layup (2 PTS) | 37 10.0% | 46 90.0% |
| Q2 - 5:55 | GSW | Dunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 35 9.1% | 46 90.9% |
| Q2 - 5:55 | GSW | Dunleavy Layup (4 PTS) | 35 9.1% | 46 90.9% |
| Q2 - 5:59 | GSW | MISS Boykins 7' Running Jump Shot | 35 10.8% | 44 89.2% |
| Q2 - 6:10 | MIA | Dunleavy STEAL (1 STL) | 35 10.2% | 44 89.8% |
| Q2 - 6:19 | GSW | Boykins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 35 11.5% | 44 88.5% |
| Q2 - 6:46 | MIA | Grant 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS) | 35 10.2% | 44 89.8% |
| Q2 - 7:02 | GSW | Murphy Layup (8 PTS) (Sura 4 AST) | 33 9.7% | 44 90.3% |
| Q2 - 7:15 | MIA | Grant 4' Tip Shot (8 PTS) | 33 10.6% | 42 89.4% |
| Q2 - 7:15 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 31 9.7% | 42 90.3% |
| Q2 - 7:22 | MIA | MISS James 19' Jump Shot | 31 9.1% | 42 90.9% |
| Q2 - 7:42 | GSW | Dunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 31 9.7% | 42 90.3% |
| Q2 - 7:42 | GSW | Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 31 9.9% | 41 90.1% |
| Q2 - 7:47 | MIA | Sura STEAL (1 STL) | 31 10.6% | 40 89.4% |
| Q2 - 8:09 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 31 11.9% | 40 88.1% |
| Q2 - 8:12 | GSW | MISS Boykins 18' Jump Shot | 31 11.5% | 40 88.5% |
| Q2 - 8:23 | GSW | WARRIORS Rebound | 31 10.7% | 40 89.3% |
| Q2 - 8:24 | GSW | MISS Murphy 5' Jump Shot | 31 11.5% | 40 88.5% |
| Q2 - 8:33 | GSW | WARRIORS Rebound | 31 10.7% | 40 89.3% |
| Q2 - 8:33 | MIA | MISS Lampley 17' Jump Shot | 31 11.0% | 40 89.0% |
| Q2 - 8:59 | GSW | Foyle Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Sura 3 AST) | 31 11.9% | 40 88.1% |
| Q2 - 9:04 | GSW | Foyle REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 31 12.9% | 38 87.1% |
| Q2 - 9:06 | MIA | MISS Stepania 7' Hook Shot | 31 13.3% | 38 86.7% |
| Q2 - 9:26 | GSW | Murphy 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST) | 31 14.3% | 38 85.7% |
| Q2 - 9:45 | MIA | Butler Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 7 AST) | 31 15.4% | 36 84.6% |
| Q2 - 9:50 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 29 14.2% | 36 85.8% |
| Q2 - 9:52 | GSW | MISS Dunleavy 6' Jump Shot | 29 13.8% | 36 86.2% |
| Q2 - 10:09 | GSW | Foyle REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 29 13.1% | 36 86.9% |
| Q2 - 10:11 | MIA | MISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 13.5% | 36 86.5% |
| Q2 - 10:27 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 29 14.4% | 36 85.6% |
| Q2 - 10:29 | GSW | MISS Foyle 4' Turnaround Hook Shot | 29 14.0% | 36 86.0% |
| Q2 - 10:48 | MIA | Lampley Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Carter 6 AST) | 29 13.1% | 36 86.9% |
| Q2 - 11:06 | GSW | Murphy 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Sura 2 AST) | 27 12.0% | 36 88.0% |
| Q2 - 11:14 | GSW | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 27 13.1% | 34 86.9% |
| Q2 - 11:16 | MIA | MISS Stepania 6' Hook Shot | 27 13.4% | 34 86.6% |
| Q2 - 11:19 | MIA | Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 27 14.2% | 34 85.8% |
| Q2 - 11:23 | GSW | MISS Sura 3PT Jump Shot | 27 13.9% | 34 86.1% |
| Q2 - 11:36 | GSW | WARRIORS Rebound | 27 13.1% | 34 86.9% |
| Q2 - 11:38 | MIA | MISS Carter 21' Jump Shot | 27 13.4% | 34 86.6% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | GSW | 27 14.3% | 34 85.7% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | GSW | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 27 13.1% | 34 86.9% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | MISS Butler 39' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 13.5% | 34 86.5% |
| Q1 - 0:03.0 | GSW | WARRIORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4) | 27 14.2% | 34 85.8% |
| Q1 - 0:04.0 | GSW | Foyle REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 27 13.3% | 34 86.7% |
| Q1 - 0:05.0 | GSW | MISS Sura 5' Running Jump Shot | 27 13.9% | 34 86.1% |
| Q1 - 0:27.0 | MIA | Allen 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 5 AST) | 27 13.3% | 34 86.7% |
| Q1 - 0:55.0 | GSW | Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Sura 1 AST) | 25 12.0% | 34 88.0% |
| Q1 - 1:01 | GSW | Sura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 14.5% | 31 85.5% |
| Q1 - 1:02 | MIA | MISS Stepania 17' Jump Shot | 25 14.8% | 31 85.2% |
| Q1 - 1:19 | GSW | Sura Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 25 15.4% | 31 84.6% |
| Q1 - 1:28 | GSW | Jamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 25 17.0% | 29 83.0% |
| Q1 - 1:30 | MIA | Foyle BLOCK (1 BLK) | 25 17.3% | 29 82.7% |
| Q1 - 1:36 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 25 18.0% | 29 82.0% |
| Q1 - 1:38 | GSW | MISS Jamison 7' Jump Shot | 25 17.7% | 29 82.3% |
| Q1 - 1:55 | MIA | Lampley 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 25 17.0% | 29 83.0% |
| Q1 - 2:13 | GSW | Arenas 11' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) | 23 15.6% | 29 84.4% |
| Q1 - 2:32 | MIA | Allen 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST) | 23 16.9% | 27 83.1% |
| Q1 - 2:47 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 21 15.6% | 27 84.4% |
| Q1 - 2:49 | GSW | MISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot | 21 15.2% | 27 84.8% |
| Q1 - 3:03 | MIA | Grant 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 4 AST) | 21 14.5% | 27 85.5% |
| Q1 - 3:21 | GSW | Dampier 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST) | 19 13.5% | 27 86.5% |
| Q1 - 3:34 | MIA | Butler 4' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) | 19 14.5% | 25 85.5% |
| Q1 - 3:52 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 17 13.5% | 25 86.5% |
| Q1 - 3:54 | MIA | MISS Carter 19' Jump Shot | 17 12.7% | 25 87.3% |
| Q1 - 4:06 | GSW | Richardson 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 17 13.5% | 25 86.5% |
| Q1 - 4:17 | MIA | Allen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 17 14.3% | 23 85.7% |
| Q1 - 4:17 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 17 15.7% | 23 84.3% |
| Q1 - 4:19 | MIA | MISS House 14' Jump Shot | 17 14.8% | 23 85.2% |
| Q1 - 4:35 | GSW | Murphy Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST) | 17 15.7% | 23 84.3% |
| Q1 - 4:54 | GSW | Jamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 17 16.7% | 21 83.3% |
| Q1 - 4:56 | MIA | MISS Allen 16' Jump Shot | 17 17.1% | 21 82.9% |
| Q1 - 5:14 | GSW | Jamison 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST) | 17 18.0% | 21 82.0% |
| Q1 - 5:35 | MIA | Lampley 3' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 3 AST) | 17 19.2% | 19 80.8% |
| Q1 - 5:55 | MIA | Lampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 15 18.0% | 19 82.0% |
| Q1 - 5:57 | GSW | MISS Murphy 5' Jump Shot | 15 17.6% | 19 82.4% |
| Q1 - 6:01 | GSW | Arenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 15 16.8% | 19 83.2% |
| Q1 - 6:03 | MIA | Dampier BLOCK (1 BLK) | 15 17.1% | 19 82.9% |
| Q1 - 6:09 | MIA | Lampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 15 18.0% | 19 82.0% |
| Q1 - 6:11 | GSW | MISS Murphy 19' Jump Shot | 15 17.6% | 19 82.4% |
| Q1 - 6:23 | MIA | Carter 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 15 16.8% | 19 83.2% |
| Q1 - 6:39 | GSW | Jamison Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 13 15.7% | 19 84.3% |
| Q1 - 6:39 | GSW | Jamison Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 13 15.9% | 18 84.1% |
| Q1 - 6:40 | GSW | Jamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 13 16.8% | 17 83.2% |
| Q1 - 6:41 | MIA | Jamison BLOCK (1 BLK) | 13 17.1% | 17 82.9% |
| Q1 - 6:44 | GSW | Jamison Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 13 18.0% | 17 82.0% |
| Q1 - 6:46 | GSW | Jamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 13 16.8% | 17 83.2% |
| Q1 - 6:49 | MIA | MISS House 15' Jump Shot | 13 17.1% | 17 82.9% |
| Q1 - 6:52 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 13 18.0% | 17 82.0% |
| Q1 - 6:53 | GSW | MISS Jamison Tip Shot | 13 17.6% | 17 82.4% |
| Q1 - 6:54 | GSW | Jamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 13 16.8% | 17 83.2% |
| Q1 - 6:56 | GSW | MISS Murphy 5' Jump Shot | 13 17.6% | 17 82.4% |
| Q1 - 7:16 | GSW | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 13 16.8% | 17 83.2% |
| Q1 - 7:16 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 13 18.0% | 17 82.0% |
| Q1 - 7:16 | MIA | MISS Grant Tip Shot | 13 17.2% | 17 82.8% |
| Q1 - 7:17 | MIA | MISS Carter 4' Jump Shot | 13 17.2% | 17 82.8% |
| Q1 - 7:42 | GSW | Arenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 13 18.0% | 17 82.0% |
| Q1 - 7:42 | GSW | Arenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 13 18.3% | 16 81.7% |
| Q1 - 7:49 | MIA | Grant 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (House 1 AST) | 13 19.1% | 15 80.9% |
| Q1 - 7:59 | GSW | Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 11 18.0% | 15 82.0% |
| Q1 - 8:12 | MIA | Grant 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 2 AST) | 11 20.1% | 12 79.9% |
| Q1 - 8:26 | GSW | Arenas Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 9 19.1% | 12 80.9% |
| Q1 - 8:46 | MIA | Allen 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST) | 9 20.1% | 10 79.9% |
| Q1 - 9:04 | GSW | Arenas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 7 19.0% | 10 81.0% |
| Q1 - 9:19 | MIA | House 13' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 7 17.6% | 10 82.4% |
| Q1 - 9:36 | GSW | Dampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 5 16.8% | 10 83.2% |
| Q1 - 9:36 | GSW | Dampier Slam Dunk (4 PTS) | 5 16.8% | 10 83.2% |
| Q1 - 9:38 | GSW | MISS Murphy 10' Jump Shot | 5 18.6% | 8 81.4% |
| Q1 - 9:52 | MIA | Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 5 17.6% | 8 82.4% |
| Q1 - 9:52 | MIA | Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 4 17.4% | 8 82.6% |
| Q1 - 10:02 | GSW | Dampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 3 16.7% | 8 83.3% |
| Q1 - 10:02 | GSW | Dampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 3 17.0% | 7 83.0% |
| Q1 - 10:03 | GSW | Murphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 3 17.6% | 6 82.4% |
| Q1 - 10:08 | MIA | MISS Butler 7' Jump Shot | 3 18.0% | 6 82.0% |
| Q1 - 10:12 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 3 18.9% | 6 81.1% |
| Q1 - 10:16 | GSW | MISS Dampier 5' Jump Shot | 3 18.5% | 6 81.5% |
| Q1 - 10:18 | GSW | Arenas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 3 17.6% | 6 82.4% |
| Q1 - 10:21 | MIA | MISS Butler Layup | 3 18.0% | 6 82.0% |
| Q1 - 10:37 | GSW | Richardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1) | 3 18.9% | 6 81.1% |
| Q1 - 10:52 | GSW | WARRIORS Rebound | 3 17.6% | 6 82.4% |
| Q1 - 10:54 | MIA | MISS Allen 14' Turnaround Jump Shot | 3 18.0% | 6 82.0% |
| Q1 - 11:13 | GSW | Richardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 3 18.8% | 6 81.2% |
| Q1 - 11:13 | GSW | Richardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 3 19.0% | 5 81.0% |
| Q1 - 11:21 | MIA | House 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Grant 1 AST) | 3 20.0% | 4 80.0% |
| Q1 - 11:41 | GSW | Richardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS) | 0 17.7% | 4 82.3% |
| Q1 - 11:41 | GSW | Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST) | 0 18.8% | 3 81.2% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | GSW | Jump Ball Dampier vs. Grant: Tip to Murphy | 0 21.2% | 0 78.8% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.90 45.2%
GSW
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
29
62%
GSW
18
31
58%
Midrange
MIA
17
42
40%
GSW
13
34
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
1
1.5
13
8%
12%
GSW
3
4.5
11
27%
41%
Free Throws
MIA
12
16
75%
GSW
28
31
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lampley | 18 | 64% | 9.0 / 14 | |
| B. Grant | 15 | 54% | 7.5 / 14 | |
| C. Butler | 13 | 54% | 6.5 / 12 | |
| M. Allen | 12 | 50% | 6.0 / 12 | |
| R. Butler | 10 | 45% | 5.0 / 11 | |
| E. House | 9 | 45% | 4.5 / 10 | |
| M. James | 4 | 29% | 2.0 / 7 | |
| A. Carter | 4 | 33% | 2.0 / 6 | |
| V. Stepania | 0 | - | 0.0 / 4 | |
| S. Marks | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Warriors| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jamison | 22 | 55% | 11.0 / 20 | |
| G. Arenas | 22 | 73% | 11.0 / 15 | |
| E. Dampier | 16 | 62% | 8.0 / 13 | |
| T. Murphy | 12 | 38% | 6.0 / 16 | |
| J. Richardson | 10 | 50% | 5.0 / 10 | |
| B. Sura | 5 | 50% | 2.5 / 5 | |
| E. Boykins | 4 | 33% | 2.0 / 6 | |
| M. Dunleavy | 4 | 40% | 2.0 / 5 | |
| A. Foyle | 4 | 67% | 2.0 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
82
+11
-11
93
GSW
80
+14
-14
94
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.90 45.2%
GSW
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 94.5 105.7 | MIA 91.4 +13.9 GSW 105.3 |
| Pace | 90.0 96.6 | MIA 92.5 GSW 94.5 +1.9 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.2 14.5 | MIA 15.6 GSW 15.2 +0.3 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 43.9% 47.2% | MIA 43.5% GSW 46.7% +3.2% |
| TO % | 14.8% 15.7% | MIA 11.6% +2.7% GSW 14.3% |
| ORB % | 26.8% 35.0% | MIA 22.7% GSW 29.3% +6.6% |
| FTrt | 25.9 34.3 | MIA 19.0 GSW 40.8 +21.8 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 55.8% 55.9% | MIA 52.8% GSW 58.8% +6.0% |
| STL % | 7.9% 7.4% | MIA 8.6% +0.1% GSW 8.5% |
| BLK % | 6.4% 8.4% | MIA 7.7% GSW 12.7% +5.0% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 46.0% 50.0% | MIA 45.2% GSW 51.0% +5.8% |
| Rim FG% | 53.7% 56.3% | MIA 62.1% +4.0% GSW 58.1% |
| Mid FG% | 37.6% 38.2% | MIA 40.5% +2.3% GSW 38.2% |
| 3P % | 31.6% 34.4% | MIA 7.7% GSW 27.3% +19.6% |
| FT % | 76.5% 77.8% | MIA 75.0% GSW 90.3% +15.3% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 28.9% 36.2% | MIA 34.5% GSW 40.8% +6.3% |
| Mid Att. % | 54.2% 46.0% | MIA 50.0% GSW 44.7% +5.3% |
| 3P Att. % | 16.9% 17.8% | MIA 15.5% +1.0% GSW 14.5% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
| Game Totals | MIA | GSW |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 93 | 94 |
| Possession Minutes | 24.1 | 23.9 |
| Points | 85 | 99 |
| Rebounds | 39 | 46 |
| Assists | 19 | 20 |
| Steals | 8 | 8 |
| Blocks | 5 | 9 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 11 (1) | 14 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 10 (1) | 12 (2) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 29 (1) | 34 (3) |
| Field Goals | 36-84 | 34-76 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 18-29 | 18-31 |
| Midrange FG | 17-42 | 13-34 |
| 2-Point FG | 35-71 | 31-65 |
| 3-Point FG | 1-13 | 3-11 |
| Free Throws | 12-16 | 28-31 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.