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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 7, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14SuperSonics33%9798
6Lakers67%102119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 25.2
42.2
38.0
19
53%
9
3
0
1
0
1
2
7
5-9
56%
7-14
6-13
50%
46%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.4
39.6
34.9
6
43%
3
1
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
5-11
43%
48%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 34.5
37.0
39.8
14
43%
1
12
3
1
0
4
1
0
1-3
33%
5-14
8-17
36%
47%
1-1
100%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.1
34.7
22.4
18
70%
8
4
2
1
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
5-5
2-5
100%
47%
2-7
29%
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.2
24.5
31.8
6
30%
5
1
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-10
5-12
30%
45%
0-0
-
Kenny Anderson
G · 6'1" 168 · 32.2
21.5
20.6
17
69%
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
3-3
100%
7-11
3-6
64%
42%
0-0
-
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 27.8
15.9
16.0
8
82%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
43%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 27.1
11.6
2.5
2
17%
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
0-5
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Joseph Forte
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.8
4.5
6.1
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
40%
0-0
-
Ansu Sesay
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.4
4.3
7.7
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 26.7
4.3
3.4
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 22.6
20.3
1
1-2
45%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 31.0
11.9
1
1-2
52%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 24.4
37.2
41.4
45
79%
3
3
1
2
1
2
0
3
1-1
100%
4-10
9-19
40%
48%
12-18
67%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 30.8
36.0
37.6
20
58%
5
7
0
1
2
3
3
2
8-12
67%
6-12
9-16
50%
56%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 28.4
29.6
32.4
13
82%
4
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-5
2-6
80%
43%
1-2
50%
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.5
25.2
25.7
10
63%
3
5
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
2-2
100%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 26.9
24.4
16.9
6
69%
7
0
1
0
1
3
2
5
0-3
0%
3-3
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 32.4
25.6
22.4
3
32%
8
4
1
1
0
0
4
4
3-4
75%
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-3
0%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.2
24.4
17.7
6
75%
2
5
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.4
14.8
18.6
8
80%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
2-3
67%
Tracy Murray
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.5
9.8
2.4
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-3
0%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 23.8
5.4
3.6
6
80%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
2-2
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Shaw
G · 6'6" 200 · 36.8
5.3
12.1
0
0%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 26.9
2.4
6.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.