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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 8, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Bulls22%9298
12Wizards78%102101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 29.9
41.0
43.5
10
27%
4
8
0
1
0
3
0
4
2-3
67%
4-11
7-16
36%
44%
0-6
0%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 23.8
31.4
31.3
10
83%
1
3
2
1
4
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-6
67%
42%
2-3
67%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
30.8
31.5
24
70%
9
1
2
1
2
0
3
6
4-5
80%
10-15
5-11
67%
48%
0-0
-
Jay Williams
G · 6'2" 195 · 21.3
21.1
12.4
0
0%
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
0-3
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 20.3
19.5
18.7
6
44%
6
2
1
0
1
4
0
6
4-4
100%
1-5
3-5
20%
50%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.8
26.9
29.8
15
58%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
4-8
4-8
50%
43%
2-4
50%
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 24.4
22.0
23.3
12
53%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-3
67%
5-9
5-10
56%
44%
0-1
0%
Eddie Robinson
F · 6'9" 210 · 26.7
16.6
13.2
2
33%
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 20.1
16.0
11.7
15
78%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
3-6
50%
6-7
2-3
86%
48%
0-0
-
Fred Hoiberg
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
7.0
10.7
4
67%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
43%
0-0
-
Corie Blount
F-C · 6'10" 242 · 34.0
6.5
8.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 23.9
1.2
2.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.0
40.9
37.6
22
53%
8
0
2
2
1
2
3
5
4-4
100%
9-18
5-11
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 28.2
40.2
39.5
10
29%
5
4
0
1
0
2
0
5
6-8
75%
2-9
6-14
22%
45%
0-5
0%
Michael Jordan
G · 6'6" 216 · 39.9
33.4
36.6
14
46%
10
7
1
2
0
2
0
10
4-5
80%
5-13
7-16
38%
45%
0-0
-
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 33.4
33.3
31.0
18
80%
11
4
3
1
0
3
5
6
4-5
80%
7-8
3-6
88%
49%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 23.1
19.3
21.0
6
61%
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 20.8
22.6
17.2
16
63%
8
0
1
1
1
1
2
6
2-4
50%
7-11
2-5
64%
47%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.7
18.7
17.7
4
45%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 24.8
13.4
12.2
11
60%
4
0
0
0
0
2
4
0
3-5
60%
4-7
1-3
57%
49%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.0
10.8
9.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Charles Oakley
F · 6'9" 245 · 39.1
7.3
9.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.6
1.1
0
0-0
46%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.7
0.9
0
0-0
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.