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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 8, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Heat53%8476
29Nuggets47%8386
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 22.8
43.5
29.4
20
54%
1
3
7
1
0
2
1
0
6-6
100%
7-15
4-10
47%
41%
0-1
0%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 30.8
37.8
32.3
8
40%
11
1
0
1
1
2
4
7
2-2
100%
3-9
4-8
33%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.6
36.2
20.7
12
44%
3
11
2
1
0
2
0
3
2-4
50%
5-12
2-5
42%
37%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.5
28.9
27.9
15
66%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
7-11
4-9
64%
43%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 27.5
24.9
25.4
2
20%
1
3
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-6
50%
39%
0-3
0%
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 23.3
21.4
14.4
8
52%
3
3
0
0
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
40%
0-0
-
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.7
19.4
17.5
4
67%
5
0
1
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.7
18.4
26.3
6
33%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
42%
0-1
0%
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.7
8.5
5.6
1
17%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-2
0%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27.4
1.0
7.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
19.7
0
2-6
40%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.2
14.3
1
2-4
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.9
41.7
36.8
28
71%
12
6
0
1
0
2
1
11
6-6
100%
11-17
7-15
65%
45%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 20.3
32.7
31.0
12
68%
4
3
1
2
4
6
1
3
2-4
50%
5-7
4-8
71%
47%
0-0
-
Junior Harrington
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.3
31.7
34.6
3
31%
6
9
3
1
0
2
0
6
1-2
50%
1-4
3-7
25%
38%
0-0
-
Vincent Yarbrough
F · 6'7" 210 · 21.8
30.2
22.6
2
17%
3
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
42%
0-1
0%
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.4
2.4
31.9
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
4-10
50%
46%
0-0
-
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.5
36.7
25.7
15
44%
4
1
0
1
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
5-13
3-7
38%
44%
1-3
33%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 27.1
34.7
9.5
12
68%
4
2
2
0
1
3
2
2
2-4
50%
5-7
1-2
71%
47%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 27.1
18.0
11.6
8
52%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
4-6
67%
2-5
1-3
40%
41%
0-0
-
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 19.7
11.4
17.2
4
67%
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Predrag Savovic
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.6
0.5
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Mark Bryant
F · 6'9" 250 · 37.7
1.5
0
0-0
39%
John Crotty
G · 6'1" · 33.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.