Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 8, 2003

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	27	Heat	53%	84	76
	29	Nuggets	47%	83	86

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
Heat	84.4	90	93.6
Nuggets	96.6	89	85.7

Scoring Opportunities

MIA

+12

-14

DEN

+10

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.84 42.2%

DEN

1.06 53.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN
Q4 - 0:00.0	MIA		76 0%	86 100%
Q4 - 0:00.0	MIA	Heat Rebound	76 0%	86 100%
Q4 - 0:00.0	MIA	MISS Butler 20' Jump Shot	76 0%	86 100%
Q4 - 0:04.0	DEN	NUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#20)	76 0.1%	86 99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0	MIA	House 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)	76 0.1%	86 99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0	DEN	White Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	74 0.1%	86 99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0	DEN	White Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	74 0.1%	85 99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0	MIA	Grant S.FOUL (P5.PN)	74	84
Q4 - 1:00	MIA	Allen 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)	74 0.2%	84 99.8%
Q4 - 1:05	MIA	Grant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)	72 0.1%	84 99.9%
Q4 - 1:10	DEN	MISS Howard 19' Jump Shot	72 0.1%	84 99.9%
Q4 - 1:27	DEN	Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)	72 0.1%	84 99.9%
Q4 - 1:28	MIA	MISS Allen 16' Jump Shot	72 0.1%	84 99.9%
Q4 - 1:37	DEN	Harrington Layup (3 PTS) (Nene 3 AST)	72 0.3%	84 99.7%
Q4 - 1:56	MIA	James Reverse Layup (2 PTS)	72 0.7%	82 99.3%
Q4 - 2:09	DEN	Nene Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Howard 6 AST)	70 0.4%	82 99.6%
Q4 - 2:22	MIA	Allen Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)	70 0.6%	80 99.4%
Q4 - 2:22	DEN	Howard S.FOUL (P4.PN)	69	80
Q4 - 2:22	MIA	Allen 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 2 AST)	69 0.4%	80 99.6%
Q4 - 2:28	MIA	SUB: House FOR Carter	67	80
Q4 - 2:28	MIA	Heat Rebound	67 0.3%	80 99.7%
Q4 - 2:31	MIA	MISS Carter 20' Jump Shot	67 0.2%	80 99.8%
Q4 - 2:40	MIA	Heat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)	67	80
Q4 - 2:47	DEN	Howard 18' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Harrington 9 AST)	67 0.3%	80 99.7%
Q4 - 3:08	DEN	SUB: White FOR Bowen	67	78
Q4 - 3:08	MIA	Butler Foul Turnover (P2.T17)	67 0.6%	78 99.4%
Q4 - 3:08	MIA	Butler OFF.Foul (P2)	67	78
Q4 - 3:32	DEN	Howard 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (26 PTS)	67 2.4%	78 97.6%
Q4 - 3:54	MIA	Butler 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Carter 11 AST)	67 3.1%	76 96.9%
Q4 - 4:14	DEN	Harrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	65 2.1%	76 97.9%
Q4 - 4:14	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	65	75
Q4 - 4:14	DEN	MISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 2	65 2.4%	75 97.6%
Q4 - 4:14	MIA	James P.FOUL (P3.PN)	65	75
Q4 - 4:24	MIA	Allen Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Carter 10 AST)	65 2.0%	75 98.0%
Q4 - 4:37	DEN	Howard Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)	63 1.4%	75 98.6%
Q4 - 4:37	MIA	Allen S.FOUL (P5.PN)	63	74
Q4 - 4:37	DEN	Howard Layup (23 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)	63 2.1%	74 97.9%
Q4 - 4:53	DEN	Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	63 2.9%	72 97.1%
Q4 - 4:55	MIA	Bowen BLOCK (1 BLK)	63 3.2%	72 96.8%
Q4 - 5:12	DEN	Nene 3 Second Violation Turnover (P6.T19)	63 6.5%	72 93.5%
Q4 - 5:29	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	63 4.6%	72 95.4%
Q4 - 5:31	MIA	MISS Allen 18' Jump Shot	63 5.1%	72 94.9%
Q4 - 5:39	MIA	Heat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)	63	72
Q4 - 5:43	DEN	Bowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	63 6.4%	72 93.6%
Q4 - 5:43	DEN	Bowen Tip Shot (12 PTS)	63 6.4%	72 93.6%
Q4 - 5:46	DEN	MISS Yarbrough Finger Roll	63 10.7%	70 89.3%
Q4 - 6:05	DEN	Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	63 11.3%	70 88.7%
Q4 - 6:05	MIA	MISS Carter Free Throw 2 of 2	63 11.7%	70 88.3%
Q4 - 6:05	MIA	Heat Rebound	63	70
Q4 - 6:05	MIA	MISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 2	63 13.3%	70 86.7%
Q4 - 6:05	DEN	Yarbrough S.FOUL (P4.T4)	63	70
Q4 - 6:16	DEN	Harrington L.B.FOUL (P4.T3)	63	70
Q4 - 6:16	MIA	Heat Rebound	63 14.8%	70 85.2%
Q4 - 6:16	MIA	Yarbrough BLOCK (1 BLK)	63 12.2%	70 87.8%
Q4 - 6:32	DEN	Bowen Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)	63 14.7%	70 85.3%
Q4 - 6:48	MIA	Grant L.B.FOUL (P4.T4)	63	70
Q4 - 6:48	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	63 11.1%	70 88.9%
Q4 - 6:48	MIA	MISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot	63 12.1%	70 87.9%
Q4 - 7:04	DEN	Bowen 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harrington 8 AST)	63 17.0%	70 83.0%
Q4 - 7:27	MIA	SUB: Carter FOR Lampley	63	68
Q4 - 7:27	MIA	Butler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)	63 20.8%	68 79.2%
Q4 - 7:45	DEN	Nene Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T17)	63 26.2%	68 73.8%
Q4 - 8:01	MIA	Lampley P.FOUL (P2.T3)	63	68
Q4 - 8:10	MIA	Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)	63 23.4%	68 76.6%
Q4 - 8:10	MIA	Heat Rebound	63 28.1%	68 71.9%
Q4 - 8:12	MIA	Nene BLOCK (4 BLK)	63 24.8%	68 75.2%
Q4 - 8:25	MIA	SUB: Grant FOR Ellis	63	68
Q4 - 8:25	DEN	Howard P.FOUL (P3.T2)	63	68
Q4 - 8:42	DEN	Bowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	63 28.0%	68 72.0%
Q4 - 8:42	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	63	67
Q4 - 8:42	DEN	MISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 2	63 29.2%	67 70.8%
Q4 - 8:42	DEN	SUB: Yarbrough FOR White	63	67
Q4 - 8:42	DEN	SUB: Nene FOR Blount	63	67
Q4 - 8:42			63	67
Q4 - 8:42	MIA	Lampley S.FOUL (P1.T2)	63	67
Q4 - 8:59	DEN	Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)	63 28.1%	67 71.9%
Q4 - 9:01	MIA	MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot	63 31.7%	67 68.3%
Q4 - 9:10	DEN	Howard Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)	63 35.2%	67 64.8%
Q4 - 9:19	DEN	Blount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	63 30.1%	67 69.9%
Q4 - 9:21	MIA	MISS Butler 8' Jump Shot	63 31.6%	67 68.4%
Q4 - 9:34	DEN	White Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)	63 35.1%	67 64.9%
Q4 - 9:47	DEN	White REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	63 30.0%	67 70.0%
Q4 - 9:49	MIA	MISS Lampley 8' Jump Shot	63 31.5%	67 68.5%
Q4 - 10:04	MIA	Lampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	63	67
Q4 - 10:05	DEN	MISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 1	63 35.6%	67 64.4%
Q4 - 10:05	DEN	SUB: Howard FOR Tskitishvili	63	67
Q4 - 10:05	MIA	Ellis S.FOUL (P3.T1)	63	67
Q4 - 10:05	DEN	Blount 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harrington 7 AST)	63 36.3%	67 63.7%
Q4 - 10:24	MIA	Lampley 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	63 41.8%	65 58.2%
Q4 - 10:40	MIA	SUB: Butler FOR House	61	65
Q4 - 10:40	DEN	Tskitishvili L.B.FOUL (P4.T1)	61	65
Q4 - 10:40	MIA	Heat Rebound	61 36.2%	65 63.8%
Q4 - 10:41	DEN	MISS Bowen 6' Turnaround Jump Shot	61 34.7%	65 65.3%
Q4 - 10:56	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	61 31.2%	65 68.8%
Q4 - 10:59	MIA	MISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot	61 32.7%	65 67.3%
Q4 - 11:04	MIA	SUB: James FOR Carter	61	65
Q4 - 11:19	MIA	House REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	61 37.2%	65 62.8%
Q4 - 11:22	DEN	MISS Tskitishvili 25' 3PT Jump Shot	61 35.7%	65 64.3%
Q4 - 11:42	MIA	Carter Dunk (12 PTS)	61 32.5%	65 67.5%
Q4 - 11:46	DEN	Bowen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)	59 27.7%	65 72.3%
Q4 - 12:00			59	65
Q3 - 0:00.0	MIA		59 23.8%	65 76.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0	MIA	Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	59 28.7%	65 71.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0	DEN	MISS White 26' 3PT Jump Shot	59 27.6%	65 72.4%
Q3 - 0:25.0	DEN	Blount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	59 25.1%	65 74.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0	MIA	MISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 2	59 25.6%	65 74.4%
Q3 - 0:26.0	DEN	SUB: Harrington FOR Yarbrough	59	65
Q3 - 0:26.0	MIA	SUB: Lampley FOR Grant	59	65
Q3 - 0:26.0	MIA	Ellis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	59 28.0%	65 72.0%
Q3 - 0:26.0	DEN	Blount S.FOUL (P2.T4)	58	65
Q3 - 0:40.0	DEN	Blount Foul Turnover (P1.T13)	58 24.7%	65 75.3%
Q3 - 0:40.0	DEN	Blount OFF.Foul (P1)	58	65
Q3 - 0:46.0	DEN	White REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	58 21.5%	65 78.5%
Q3 - 0:48.0	MIA	MISS Carter 20' Jump Shot	58 22.4%	65 77.6%
Q3 - 1:01	DEN	Yarbrough 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)	58 25.4%	65 74.6%
Q3 - 1:23	DEN	Blount Violation:Defensive Goaltending	58	63
Q3 - 1:23	MIA	Butler 7' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Carter 9 AST)	58 29.7%	63 70.3%
Q3 - 1:29	DEN	White 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Tskitishvili 1 AST)	56 25.4%	63 74.6%
Q3 - 1:44	DEN	SUB: Bowen FOR Howard	56	61
Q3 - 1:44	MIA	House P.FOUL (P1.T2)	56	61
Q3 - 1:44	DEN	Yarbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	56 29.6%	61 70.4%
Q3 - 1:45	MIA	MISS Butler Layup	56 30.8%	61 69.2%
Q3 - 1:50	DEN	White Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)	56 33.5%	61 66.5%
Q3 - 1:55	DEN	Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)	56 29.6%	61 70.4%
Q3 - 1:58	MIA	MISS House 9' Jump Shot	56 30.8%	61 69.2%
Q3 - 2:03	DEN	Tskitishvili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)	56 34.6%	61 65.4%
Q3 - 2:17	MIA	Ellis Foul Turnover (P1.T14)	56 30.5%	61 69.5%
Q3 - 2:17	MIA	Ellis OFF.Foul (P2)	56	61
Q3 - 2:32	DEN	Howard L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)	56	61
Q3 - 2:32	MIA	Heat Rebound	56 34.5%	61 65.5%
Q3 - 2:32	MIA	MISS House 23' Jump Shot	56 31.7%	61 68.3%
Q3 - 2:54	MIA	SUB: Ellis FOR Stepania	56	61
Q3 - 2:54	DEN	SUB: Yarbrough FOR Harrington	56	61
Q3 - 2:54	DEN	SUB: Tskitishvili FOR Bowen	56	61
Q3 - 2:54	DEN	NUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 2)	56	61
Q3 - 2:54	MIA	Heat Rebound	56 34.5%	61 65.5%
Q3 - 2:54	DEN	MISS Blount 8' Turnaround Jump Shot	56 33.2%	61 66.8%
Q3 - 3:03	DEN	Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)	56 31.6%	61 68.4%
Q3 - 3:06	MIA	MISS Butler 17' Jump Shot	56 32.9%	61 67.1%
Q3 - 3:20	MIA	Stepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	56 35.8%	61 64.2%
Q3 - 3:24	DEN	MISS Harrington 7' Running Jump Shot	56 34.5%	61 65.5%
Q3 - 3:41	MIA	Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)	56 31.5%	61 68.5%
Q3 - 3:41	MIA	Heat Rebound	56 35.8%	61 64.2%
Q3 - 3:42	MIA	MISS House 23' Jump Shot	56 32.8%	61 67.2%
Q3 - 3:45	MIA	Grant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)	56 35.8%	61 64.2%
Q3 - 3:49	MIA	Blount BLOCK (1 BLK)	56 32.8%	61 67.2%
Q3 - 4:01	DEN	SUB: Blount FOR Nene	56	61
Q3 - 4:01	DEN	Nene P.FOUL (P3.T2)	56	61
Q3 - 4:04	MIA	Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	56 36.5%	61 63.5%
Q3 - 4:08	DEN	MISS White 20' Jump Shot	56 35.0%	61 65.0%
Q3 - 4:20	MIA	Stepania P.FOUL (P4.T1)	56	61
Q3 - 4:37	MIA	Butler 24' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Carter 8 AST)	56 31.9%	61 68.1%
Q3 - 4:55	DEN	White 5' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Harrington 6 AST)	54 28.8%	61 71.2%
Q3 - 5:15	MIA	Carter 23' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (House 2 AST)	54 32.6%	59 67.4%
Q3 - 5:32	MIA	Heat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)	52	59
Q3 - 5:41	DEN	Howard 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)	52 29.4%	59 70.6%
Q3 - 6:02	DEN	Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	52 33.6%	57 66.4%
Q3 - 6:03	MIA	MISS House 20' Jump Shot	52 34.8%	57 65.2%
Q3 - 6:08	MIA	Stepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	52 37.5%	57 62.5%
Q3 - 6:11	DEN	MISS White 18' Turnaround Jump Shot	52 36.3%	57 63.7%
Q3 - 6:32	MIA	SUB: Stepania FOR Allen	52	57
Q3 - 6:32	MIA	SUB: House FOR Lampley	52	57
Q3 - 6:32	MIA	Allen Foul Turnover (P1.T12)	52 33.5%	57 66.5%
Q3 - 6:32	MIA	Allen OFF.Foul (P4)	52	57
Q3 - 6:53	DEN	Bowen Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Howard 5 AST)	52 37.5%	57 62.5%
Q3 - 7:11	DEN	Bowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	52 41.4%	55 58.6%
Q3 - 7:12	MIA	Nene BLOCK (3 BLK)	52 42.6%	55 57.4%
Q3 - 7:20	DEN	Howard 10' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)	52 45.3%	55 54.7%
Q3 - 7:47	MIA	Lampley Dunk (6 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)	52 49.1%	53 50.9%
Q3 - 7:52	DEN	Harrington Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)	50 45.4%	53 54.6%
Q3 - 7:57	MIA	Harrington STEAL (3 STL)	50 41.4%	53 58.6%
Q3 - 8:26	DEN	White Layup (9 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)	50 45.5%	53 54.5%
Q3 - 8:44	MIA	Carter 6' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)	50 49.0%	51 51.0%
Q3 - 8:59	DEN	Nene L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)	48	51
Q3 - 8:59	MIA	Heat Rebound	48 45.5%	51 54.5%
Q3 - 9:00	DEN	MISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot	48 44.3%	51 55.7%
Q3 - 9:14	DEN	Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	48 42.0%	51 58.0%
Q3 - 9:16	MIA	Nene BLOCK (2 BLK)	48 43.1%	51 56.9%
Q3 - 9:40	DEN	White 7' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)	48 45.7%	51 54.3%
Q3 - 9:58	DEN	Jump Ball Nene vs. Allen: Tip to White	48	49
Q3 - 9:58	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	48 49.3%	49 50.7%
Q3 - 9:59	DEN	MISS Howard Layup	48 51.9%	49 48.1%
Q3 - 10:01	DEN	Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	48 49.5%	49 50.5%
Q3 - 10:02	DEN	MISS White 20' Jump Shot	48 52.0%	49 48.0%
Q3 - 10:18	DEN	NUGGETS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 2)	48	49
Q3 - 10:24	MIA	Allen 6' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)	48 49.5%	49 50.5%
Q3 - 10:34	DEN	Nene Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)	46 46.0%	49 54.0%
Q3 - 10:38	MIA	Harrington STEAL (2 STL)	46 42.4%	49 57.6%
Q3 - 10:48	DEN	White Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)	46 46.0%	49 54.0%
Q3 - 11:02	MIA	Carter 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)	46 43.0%	49 57.0%
Q3 - 11:20	DEN	Nene Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)	44 39.8%	49 60.2%
Q3 - 11:36	MIA	Butler 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS)	44 36.3%	49 63.7%
Q3 - 12:00			42	49
Q2 - 0:00.0	MIA		42 33.3%	49 66.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	MIA	Marks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	42 33.3%	49 66.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	DEN	MISS White Driving Layup	42 32.4%	49 67.6%
Q2 - 0:07.0	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	42 31.5%	49 68.5%
Q2 - 0:08.0	MIA	MISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot	42 32.2%	49 67.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0	DEN	Blount Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	42 33.7%	49 66.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0	DEN	SUB: Savovic FOR Yarbrough	42	48
Q2 - 0:30.0	DEN	Blount Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	42 34.5%	48 65.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0	MIA	Ellis P.FOUL (P1.PN)	42	47
Q2 - 0:43.0	MIA	Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	42 37.5%	47 62.5%
Q2 - 0:43.0	MIA	Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	41 36.9%	47 63.1%
Q2 - 0:43.0	DEN	Yarbrough S.FOUL (P3.PN)	40	47
Q2 - 1:00	DEN	Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	40 33.7%	47 66.3%
Q2 - 1:00	MIA	SUB: Marks FOR Stepania	40	46
Q2 - 1:00	DEN	Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	40 34.3%	46 65.7%
Q2 - 1:00	MIA	Stepania P.FOUL (P3.PN)	40	45
Q2 - 1:00	MIA	House 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)	40 37.4%	45 62.6%
Q2 - 1:10	MIA	Heat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)	38	45
Q2 - 1:10	MIA	Butler Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)	38 34.3%	45 65.7%
Q2 - 1:10	DEN	NUGGETS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Yarbrough )	37	45
Q2 - 1:25	DEN	White Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)	37 31.3%	45 68.7%
Q2 - 1:38	MIA	Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	37 29.3%	45 70.7%
Q2 - 1:38	MIA	Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	36 28.8%	45 71.2%
Q2 - 1:38	DEN	Yarbrough S.FOUL (P2.T4)	35	45
Q2 - 1:38	MIA	Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	35 26.0%	45 74.0%
Q2 - 1:40	MIA	MISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot	35 24.7%	45 75.3%
Q2 - 2:01	DEN	Bowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	35 27.1%	45 72.9%
Q2 - 2:01	MIA	SUB: Carter FOR James	35	44
Q2 - 2:01	MIA	SUB: Ellis FOR Grant	35	44
Q2 - 2:01	DEN	SUB: Blount FOR Nene	35	44
Q2 - 2:01	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	35	44
Q2 - 2:01	DEN	MISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 2	35 27.7%	44 72.3%
Q2 - 2:01	MIA	Grant S.FOUL (P3.PN)	35	44
Q2 - 2:02	DEN	Bowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	35 27.0%	44 73.0%
Q2 - 2:05	DEN	MISS Howard 18' Jump Shot	35 28.8%	44 71.2%
Q2 - 2:13	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	35 27.0%	44 73.0%
Q2 - 2:15	MIA	MISS House 3PT Jump Shot	35 27.8%	44 72.2%
Q2 - 2:29	MIA	Stepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	35 29.6%	44 70.4%
Q2 - 2:31	DEN	MISS White 24' 3PT Jump Shot	35 28.8%	44 71.2%
Q2 - 2:53	MIA	Butler Driving Layup (7 PTS) (House 1 AST)	35 26.9%	44 73.1%
Q2 - 3:09	DEN	Bowen Dunk (4 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)	33 25.4%	44 74.6%
Q2 - 3:13	MIA	Bowen STEAL (2 STL)	33 27.4%	42 72.6%
Q2 - 3:28	DEN	Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	33 30.4%	42 69.6%
Q2 - 3:28	DEN	Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	33 31.2%	41 68.8%
Q2 - 3:28	MIA	Grant P.FOUL (P2.PN)	33	40
Q2 - 3:41	MIA	James Foul Turnover (P3.T8)	33 32.6%	40 67.4%
Q2 - 3:41	MIA	James OFF.Foul (P2)	33	40
Q2 - 3:50	MIA	House REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	33 35.9%	40 64.1%
Q2 - 3:52	DEN	MISS Howard 17' Jump Shot	33 34.9%	40 65.1%
Q2 - 4:07	DEN	Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	33 33.3%	40 66.7%
Q2 - 4:09	MIA	MISS House 20' Jump Shot	33 34.2%	40 65.8%
Q2 - 4:21	MIA	Heat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)	33	40
Q2 - 4:29	DEN	Nene 7' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Yarbrough 4 AST)	33 36.2%	40 63.8%
Q2 - 4:37	DEN	Howard Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)	33 38.9%	38 61.1%
Q2 - 4:37	MIA	Heat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Stepania )	33	37
Q2 - 4:42	DEN	White REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	33 41.8%	37 58.2%
Q2 - 4:47	MIA	MISS Grant 17' Jump Shot	33 42.8%	37 57.2%
Q2 - 4:59	DEN	Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	33 45.0%	37 55.0%
Q2 - 4:59	MIA	SUB: Butler FOR Lampley	33	36
Q2 - 4:59	DEN	Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	33 45.7%	36 54.3%
Q2 - 4:59	MIA	James S.FOUL (P1.T4)	33	35
Q2 - 5:06	DEN	Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	33 48.5%	35 51.5%
Q2 - 5:08	MIA	MISS Lampley 16' Jump Shot	33 49.4%	35 50.6%
Q2 - 5:27	MIA	Grant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	33 51.4%	35 48.6%
Q2 - 5:30	DEN	White REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	33 48.5%	35 51.5%
Q2 - 5:30	DEN	MISS White Tip Shot	33 50.5%	35 49.5%
Q2 - 5:33	DEN	MISS White 10' Running Jump Shot	33 50.5%	35 49.5%
Q2 - 5:46	MIA	Grant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	33 48.5%	35 51.5%
Q2 - 5:46	MIA	Grant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	32 47.9%	35 52.1%
Q2 - 5:46	MIA	SUB: James FOR Carter	31	35
Q2 - 5:46	DEN	SUB: Yarbrough FOR Harrington	31	35
Q2 - 5:46	DEN	Bowen S.FOUL (P1.T3)	31	35
Q2 - 5:52	DEN	Nene Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)	31 45.4%	35 54.6%
Q2 - 6:06	DEN	Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	31 42.5%	35 57.5%
Q2 - 6:09	MIA	MISS Carter 18' Jump Shot	31 43.5%	35 56.5%
Q2 - 6:32	DEN	White Layup (5 PTS) (Harrington 5 AST)	31 45.8%	35 54.2%
Q2 - 6:44	DEN	SUB: Harrington FOR Yarbrough	31	33
Q2 - 6:44	DEN	NUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)	31	33
Q2 - 6:44	DEN	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	31 48.2%	33 51.8%
Q2 - 6:45	MIA	MISS Stepania Layup	31 49.3%	33 50.7%
Q2 - 6:48	MIA	Grant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	31 51.6%	33 48.4%
Q2 - 6:50	DEN	MISS Yarbrough Driving Layup	31 50.6%	33 49.4%
Q2 - 7:06	MIA	Carter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)	31 48.7%	33 51.3%
Q2 - 7:21	DEN	Bowen 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	31 51.6%	33 48.4%
Q2 - 7:45	MIA	House Layup (2 PTS) (Lampley 3 AST)	31 54.3%	31 45.7%
Q2 - 7:48	DEN	SUB: Bowen FOR Tskitishvili	29	31
Q2 - 7:48	DEN	Tskitishvili P.FOUL (P3.T2)	29	31
Q2 - 7:57	MIA	Grant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	29 51.6%	31 48.4%
Q2 - 7:59	DEN	MISS White 17' Jump Shot	29 50.7%	31 49.3%
Q2 - 8:06	DEN	SUB: Nene FOR Blount	29	31
Q2 - 8:06	MIA	SUB: House FOR Butler	29	31
Q2 - 8:06			29	31
Q2 - 8:06	MIA	Carter P.FOUL (P1.T3)	29	31
Q2 - 8:29	MIA	Carter Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)	29 49.0%	31 51.0%
Q2 - 8:33	DEN	Howard Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)	27 46.2%	31 53.8%
Q2 - 8:59	MIA	Stepania Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)	27 43.5%	31 56.5%
Q2 - 9:12	DEN	Tskitishvili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	25 40.9%	31 59.1%
Q2 - 9:12	DEN	Tskitishvili Tip Shot (4 PTS)	25 40.9%	31 59.1%
Q2 - 9:15	DEN	MISS White 13' Turnaround Jump Shot	25 45.4%	29 54.6%
Q2 - 9:43	MIA	Grant 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lampley 2 AST)	25 43.5%	29 56.5%
Q2 - 9:54	DEN	Yarbrough P.FOUL (P1.T1)	23	29
Q2 - 10:05	DEN	White 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)	23 41.3%	29 58.7%
Q2 - 10:13	DEN	Tskitishvili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	23 46.4%	26 53.6%
Q2 - 10:16	MIA	MISS Carter 13' Jump Shot	23 47.2%	26 52.8%
Q2 - 10:30	DEN	Blount Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	23 49.1%	26 50.9%
Q2 - 10:30	MIA	SUB: Grant FOR Allen	23	25
Q2 - 10:30	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	23	25
Q2 - 10:30	DEN	MISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 2	23 49.7%	25 50.3%
Q2 - 10:30	MIA	Allen S.FOUL (P3.T2)	23	25
Q2 - 10:36	DEN	Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	23 49.0%	25 51.0%
Q2 - 10:39	MIA	Tskitishvili BLOCK (1 BLK)	23 49.8%	25 50.2%
Q2 - 10:53	DEN	SUB: Yarbrough FOR Harrington	23	25
Q2 - 10:53	DEN	Harrington Foul Turnover (P1.T3)	23 51.7%	25 48.3%
Q2 - 10:53	DEN	Harrington OFF.Foul (P3)	23	25
Q2 - 11:05	DEN	Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	23 49.0%	25 51.0%
Q2 - 11:07	MIA	MISS Carter 20' Jump Shot	23 49.8%	25 50.2%
Q2 - 11:28	DEN	Blount Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	23 51.7%	25 48.3%
Q2 - 11:28	MIA	Stepania S.FOUL (P2.T1)	23	24
Q2 - 11:28	DEN	Blount Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)	23 54.2%	24 45.8%
Q2 - 11:43	MIA	Stepania Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)	23 56.7%	22 43.3%
Q2 - 12:00			21	22
Q1 - 0:00.0	MIA		21 54.2%	22 45.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	21 51.6%	22 48.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0	DEN	MISS Yarbrough 80' 3PT Jump Shot	21 53.4%	22 46.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MIA	Butler Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	21 51.6%	22 48.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0	DEN	SUB: Tskitishvili FOR Bowen	20	22
Q1 - 0:00.0	DEN	White S.FOUL (P2.PN)	20	22
Q1 - 0:00.0	MIA	Butler 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	20 49.1%	22 50.9%
Q1 - 0:13.0	MIA	Lampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	18	22
Q1 - 0:15.0	DEN	MISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 1	18 46.1%	22 53.9%
Q1 - 0:15.0	DEN	SUB: Bowen FOR Tskitishvili	18	22
Q1 - 0:15.0	MIA	Stepania S.FOUL (P1.PN)	18	22
Q1 - 0:15.0	DEN	Nene Layup (6 PTS) (White 1 AST)	18 46.4%	22 53.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0	MIA	Lampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	18 49.4%	20 50.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0	MIA	Lampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	17 48.7%	20 51.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0	DEN	Tskitishvili S.FOUL (P2.PN)	16	20
Q1 - 0:51.0	DEN	Tskitishvili 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	16 46.4%	20 53.6%
Q1 - 1:03	MIA	Lampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	16 49.9%	18 50.1%
Q1 - 1:03	MIA	Lampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	15 49.2%	18 50.8%
Q1 - 1:03	DEN	Tskitishvili S.FOUL (P1.PN)	14	18
Q1 - 1:08	MIA	Stepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	14 46.8%	18 53.2%
Q1 - 1:11	DEN	MISS Nene Driving Layup	14 46.3%	18 53.7%
Q1 - 1:27	MIA	Allen Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Lampley 1 AST)	14 45.1%	18 54.9%
Q1 - 1:44	MIA	Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 42.1%	18 57.9%
Q1 - 1:47	DEN	Blount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	12 40.5%	18 59.5%
Q1 - 1:47	DEN	MISS Blount 15' Turnaround Jump Shot	12 41.6%	18 58.4%
Q1 - 1:57	DEN	MISS Nene Free Throw Clear Path	12 40.5%	18 59.5%
Q1 - 1:57	MIA	SUB: Carter FOR James	12	18
Q1 - 1:57	MIA	Allen C.P.FOUL (P2.T4)	12	18
Q1 - 1:59	MIA	Nene STEAL (1 STL)	12 40.5%	18 59.5%
Q1 - 2:12	MIA	Lampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 42.6%	18 57.4%
Q1 - 2:14	DEN	MISS Nene 18' Jump Shot	12 42.1%	18 57.9%
Q1 - 2:22	DEN	Yarbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	12 40.8%	18 59.2%
Q1 - 2:25	DEN	MISS Blount 13' Jump Shot	12 42.1%	18 57.9%
Q1 - 2:39	MIA	SUB: Allen FOR Grant	12	18
Q1 - 2:39	DEN	SUB: Tskitishvili FOR Bowen	12	18
Q1 - 2:39	DEN	SUB: Nene FOR Howard	12	18
Q1 - 2:39	DEN	NUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 1)	12	18
Q1 - 2:39	MIA	Lampley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)	12 40.8%	18 59.2%
Q1 - 2:53	MIA	Grant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	12 42.6%	18 57.4%
Q1 - 2:55	DEN	MISS Yarbrough 21' Jump Shot	12 42.1%	18 57.9%
Q1 - 3:00	DEN	Yarbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 40.8%	18 59.2%
Q1 - 3:02	MIA	MISS Grant 20' Jump Shot	12 41.6%	18 58.4%
Q1 - 3:25	DEN	Howard Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Yarbrough 3 AST)	12 43.1%	18 56.9%
Q1 - 3:30	MIA	Bowen STEAL (1 STL)	12 45.4%	16 54.6%
Q1 - 3:32	MIA	Grant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	12 47.7%	16 52.3%
Q1 - 3:34	MIA	MISS James 20' Jump Shot	12 46.1%	16 53.9%
Q1 - 3:43	DEN	White P.FOUL (P1.T4)	12	16
Q1 - 3:55	MIA	SUB: Lampley FOR Carter	12	16
Q1 - 3:55	DEN	SUB: Yarbrough FOR Harrington	12	16
Q1 - 3:55	DEN	Harrington P.FOUL (P2.T3)	12	16
Q1 - 4:03	MIA	Stepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 48.2%	16 51.8%
Q1 - 4:05	DEN	MISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot	12 47.5%	16 52.5%
Q1 - 4:12	DEN	Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	12 46.1%	16 53.9%
Q1 - 4:15	MIA	MISS Butler Reverse Layup	12 46.7%	16 53.3%
Q1 - 4:30	DEN	Bowen Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)	12 48.2%	16 51.8%
Q1 - 4:44	MIA	SUB: Stepania FOR Allen	12	16
Q1 - 4:44	DEN	SUB: Blount FOR Nene	12	16
Q1 - 4:44	MIA	Grant P.FOUL (P1.T3)	12	16
Q1 - 4:49	MIA	Grant Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)	12 46.2%	16 53.8%
Q1 - 5:06	DEN	Howard 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harrington 4 AST)	10 44.5%	16 55.5%
Q1 - 5:25	MIA	Allen 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)	10 46.3%	14 53.7%
Q1 - 5:36	MIA	James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 44.7%	14 55.3%
Q1 - 5:41	DEN	MISS Harrington 18' Jump Shot	8 44.1%	14 55.9%
Q1 - 5:46	DEN	Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	8 42.7%	14 57.3%
Q1 - 5:48	MIA	MISS Carter 21' Jump Shot	8 43.3%	14 56.7%
Q1 - 6:02	MIA	Heat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)	8	14
Q1 - 6:11	DEN	Howard 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)	8 45.1%	14 54.9%
Q1 - 6:18	DEN	SUB: White FOR Yarbrough	8	12
Q1 - 6:18	MIA	Butler P.FOUL (P1.T2)	8	12
Q1 - 6:24	DEN	Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 46.9%	12 53.1%
Q1 - 6:26	MIA	MISS Grant 10' Turnaround Jump Shot	8 47.4%	12 52.6%
Q1 - 6:42	MIA	Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 48.8%	12 51.2%
Q1 - 6:44	DEN	MISS Howard 18' Jump Shot	8 48.3%	12 51.7%
Q1 - 6:49	MIA	Harrington STEAL (1 STL)	8 47.0%	12 53.0%
Q1 - 7:03	DEN	Nene Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)	8 49.0%	12 51.0%
Q1 - 7:07	MIA	Yarbrough STEAL (1 STL)	8 50.5%	10 49.5%
Q1 - 7:18	DEN	Howard P.FOUL (P1.T2)	8	10
Q1 - 7:34	DEN	Howard 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Yarbrough 2 AST)	8 52.5%	10 47.5%
Q1 - 7:50	MIA	Grant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	8 53.9%	8 46.1%
Q1 - 7:50	MIA	Grant Layup (2 PTS)	8 53.9%	8 46.1%
Q1 - 7:52	MIA	Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	6 52.5%	8 47.5%
Q1 - 7:52	MIA	MISS Grant Tip Shot	6 51.3%	8 48.7%
Q1 - 7:53	MIA	MISS Carter Layup	6 51.3%	8 48.7%
Q1 - 8:07	DEN	Howard 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Yarbrough 1 AST)	6 52.5%	8 47.5%
Q1 - 8:18	DEN	Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	6 54.0%	6 46.0%
Q1 - 8:21	MIA	MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot	6 54.4%	6 45.6%
Q1 - 8:36	DEN	Howard 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)	6 55.4%	6 44.6%
Q1 - 8:48	MIA	Butler 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)	6 56.6%	4 43.4%
Q1 - 9:03	MIA	Grant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	4 55.4%	4 44.6%
Q1 - 9:05	DEN	MISS Howard Layup	4 55.0%	4 45.0%
Q1 - 9:20	MIA	Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)	4 54.2%	4 45.8%
Q1 - 9:37	DEN	NUGGETS Timeout: Short (Full 0 Short 1)	4	4
Q1 - 9:37	DEN	SUB: Bowen FOR Harvey	4	4
Q1 - 9:37	MIA	Heat Rebound	4 55.1%	4 44.9%
Q1 - 9:39	MIA	Nene BLOCK (1 BLK)	4 54.4%	4 45.6%
Q1 - 9:46	DEN	Harvey 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)	4 55.0%	4 45.0%
Q1 - 9:55	DEN	NUGGETS Rebound	4 56.0%	2 44.0%
Q1 - 9:58	DEN	MISS Yarbrough 19' Jump Shot	4 56.5%	2 43.5%
Q1 - 10:20	MIA	Carter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	4 55.4%	2 44.6%
Q1 - 10:20	MIA	Carter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	3 55.1%	2 44.9%
Q1 - 10:20	DEN	Harrington S.FOUL (P1.T1)	2	2
Q1 - 10:33	DEN	Nene Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)	2 54.5%	2 45.5%
Q1 - 10:43	DEN	Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 55.0%	0 45.0%
Q1 - 10:45	MIA	MISS Butler 18' Jump Shot	2 55.1%	0 44.9%
Q1 - 10:59	MIA	Grant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 55.2%	0 44.8%
Q1 - 11:03	DEN	MISS Harvey 8' Turnaround Jump Shot	2 54.8%	0 45.2%
Q1 - 11:09	MIA	Allen P.FOUL (P1.T1)	2	0
Q1 - 11:23	MIA	Allen 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)	2 54.0%	0 46.0%
Q1 - 11:43	DEN	Nene Foul Turnover (P1.T1)	0 53.4%	0 46.6%
Q1 - 11:43	DEN	Nene OFF.Foul (P1)	0	0
Q1 - 12:00	DEN	Jump Ball Nene vs. Grant: Tip to Harvey	0 53.1%	0 46.9%
Q1 - 12:00			0	0
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN
			Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.84 42.2%

DEN

1.06 53.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

55%

DEN

70%

Midrange

MIA

41%

DEN

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

DEN

1.5

20%

30%

Free Throws

MIA

84%

DEN

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Butler	20	53%	10.0 / 19
M. Allen	15	63%	7.5 / 12
A. Carter	12	43%	6.0 / 14
B. Grant	8	40%	4.0 / 10
S. Lampley	8	50%	4.0 / 8
E. House	6	33%	3.0 / 9
V. Stepania	4	67%	2.0 / 3
M. James	2	20%	1.0 / 5
L. Ellis	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Howard	28	70%	14.0 / 20
R. White	15	44%	7.5 / 17
Nene	12	67%	6.0 / 9
R. Bowen	12	67%	6.0 / 9
M. Blount	8	44%	4.0 / 9
N. Tskitishvili	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Harrington	3	30%	1.5 / 5
V. Yarbrough	2	17%	1.0 / 6
D. Harvey	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA

+12

-14

DEN

+10

-19

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.84 42.2%

DEN

1.06 53.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	94.5 90.7	MIA 84.4 DEN 96.6 +12.2
Pace	90.0 92.6	MIA 93.6 +8.0 DEN 85.7
Avg. Poss. Time	16.2 15.8	MIA 15.4 −1.4 DEN 16.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	43.9% 42.8%	MIA 41.1% DEN 51.5% +10.4%
TO %	14.8% 18.7%	MIA 17.3% −3.2% DEN 20.5%
ORB %	26.8% 31.3%	MIA 14.3% DEN 25.8% +11.5%
FTrt	25.9 28.3	MIA 26.0 DEN 35.8 +9.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	55.8% 64.6%	MIA 76.7% DEN 79.4% +2.7%
STL %	7.9% 9.3%	MIA 11.1% +3.2% DEN 7.9%
BLK %	6.4% 8.5%	MIA 6.5% DEN 12.1% +5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.88 and 2.88.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	46.0% 44.6%	MIA 42.2% DEN 53.1% +10.9%
Rim FG%	53.7% 53.8%	MIA 55.0% DEN 69.6% +14.6%
Mid FG%	37.6% 35.8%	MIA 41.3% DEN 43.6% +2.3%
3P %	31.6% 27.8%	MIA 0.0% DEN 20.0% +20.0%
FT %	76.5% 69.9%	MIA 84.2% +13.4% DEN 70.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28.9% 35.1%	MIA 27.4% DEN 34.3% +6.9%
Mid Att. %	54.2% 52.3%	MIA 63.0% DEN 58.2% −4.8%
3P Att. %	16.9% 12.6%	MIA 9.6% +2.1% DEN 7.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.91 and 2.91.

Game Totals	MIA	DEN
Possessions	90	89
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	76	86
Rebounds	28	38
Assists	23	27
Steals	10	7
Blocks	4	8
Turnovers (Team)	14 (3)	19 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (7)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (3)	30 (3)
Field Goals	30-73	34-67
At-the-Rim FG	11-20	16-23
Midrange FG	19-46	17-39
2-Point FG	30-66	33-62
3-Point FG	0-7	1-5
Free Throws	16-19	17-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

27 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Caron Butler F · 6'7" 228 · 23	43.5	20	53%	1	3	7	0	2	2	1	0	6-6	100%	7-15	47%	0-1	0%
Brian Grant C · 6'9" 254 · 31	37.8	8	40%	11	1	0	1	2	5	4	7	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Anthony Carter G · 6'1" 190 · 28	36.2	12	43%	3	11	2	0	2	1	0	3	2-4	50%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Malik Allen F · 6'10" 255 · 25	28.9	15	63%	1	0	0	1	1	5	0	1	1-1	100%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Mike James G · 6'2" 188 · 28	24.9	2	20%	1	3	0	0	4	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Sean Lampley F · 6'6" 213 · 23	21.4	8	50%	3	3	0	0	2	2	0	3	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Vladimir Stepania C · 7'1" 255 · 27	19.4	4	67%	5	0	1	1	0	4	0	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Eddie House G · 6'1" 190 · 25	18.4	6	33%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
LaPhonso Ellis F · 6'8" 240 · 33	8.5	1	17%	0	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27	1.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 24
Eddie Jones G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	76	42%	28	23	10	4	14	0	5	23	16-19	84%	30-66	45%	0-7	0%

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27 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Caron Butler F · 6'7" 228 · 23	43.5	20	53%	1	3	7	0	2	2	1	0	6-6	100%	7-15	47%	0-1	0%
Brian Grant C · 6'9" 254 · 31	37.8	8	40%	11	1	0	1	2	5	4	7	2-2	100%	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Anthony Carter G · 6'1" 190 · 28	36.2	12	43%	3	11	2	0	2	1	0	3	2-4	50%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Malik Allen F · 6'10" 255 · 25	28.9	15	63%	1	0	0	1	1	5	0	1	1-1	100%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Mike James G · 6'2" 188 · 28	24.9	2	20%	1	3	0	0	4	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Sean Lampley F · 6'6" 213 · 23	21.4	8	50%	3	3	0	0	2	2	0	3	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Vladimir Stepania C · 7'1" 255 · 27	19.4	4	67%	5	0	1	1	0	4	0	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Eddie House G · 6'1" 190 · 25	18.4	6	33%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
LaPhonso Ellis F · 6'8" 240 · 33	8.5	1	17%	0	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27	1.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 24
Eddie Jones G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	76	42%	28	23	10	4	14	0	5	23	16-19	84%	30-66	45%	0-7	0%

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29 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Juwan Howard F · 6'9" 250 · 30	41.7	28	70%	12	6	0	0	2	4	1	11	6-6	100%	11-17	65%	0-0	-
Nene C · 6'11" 250 · 20	32.7	12	67%	4	3	1	4	6	3	1	3	2-4	50%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Junior Harrington G · 6'4" 190 · 22	31.7	3	30%	6	9	3	0	2	4	0	6	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Vincent Yarbrough G · 6'7" 210 · 22	30.2	2	17%	3	4	1	1	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Donnell Harvey F · 6'8" 220 · 22	2.4	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Rodney White F · 6'9" 230 · 23	36.7	15	44%	4	1	0	0	4	2	1	3	2-2	100%	5-13	38%	1-3	33%
Ryan Bowen F · 6'9" 218 · 27	34.7	12	67%	4	2	2	1	3	1	2	2	2-4	50%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Mark Blount C-F · 7'0" 250 · 27	18.0	8	44%	3	1	0	1	1	2	1	2	4-6	67%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Nikoloz Tskitishvili F · 7'0" 225 · 20	11.4	4	67%	2	1	0	1	1	4	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Predrag Savovic G · 6'6" 225 · 27	0.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mark Bryant F · 6'9" 250 · 38
John Crotty #25 · G · 6'1" · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	86	53%	38	27	7	8	19	0	8	30	17-24	71%	33-62	53%	1-5	20%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

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