| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 84.4 | 90 | 93.6 |
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Scoring Opportunities
MIA
76
+12
-14
88
DEN
70
+10
-19
80
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.84 42.2%
DEN
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | DEN |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 76 0% | 86 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:04.0 | DEN | NUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#20) | 76 0.1% | 86 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:28.0 | MIA | House 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 76 0.1% | 86 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:36.0 | DEN | White Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 74 0.1% | 86 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:36.0 | DEN | White Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 74 0.1% | 85 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:00 | MIA | Allen 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Butler 3 AST) | 74 0.2% | 84 99.8% |
| Q4 - 1:05 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7) | 72 0.1% | 84 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:10 | DEN | MISS Howard 19' Jump Shot | 72 0.1% | 84 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:27 | DEN | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11) | 72 0.1% | 84 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:28 | MIA | MISS Allen 16' Jump Shot | 72 0.2% | 84 99.8% |
| Q4 - 1:37 | DEN | Harrington Layup (3 PTS) (Nene 3 AST) | 72 0.4% | 84 99.6% |
| Q4 - 1:56 | MIA | James Reverse Layup (2 PTS) | 72 0.7% | 82 99.3% |
| Q4 - 2:09 | DEN | Nene Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Howard 6 AST) | 70 0.6% | 82 99.4% |
| Q4 - 2:22 | MIA | Allen Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS) | 70 0.8% | 80 99.2% |
| Q4 - 2:22 | MIA | Allen 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 69 0.5% | 80 99.5% |
| Q4 - 2:28 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 67 0.4% | 80 99.6% |
| Q4 - 2:31 | MIA | MISS Carter 20' Jump Shot | 67 0.2% | 80 99.8% |
| Q4 - 2:47 | DEN | Howard 18' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Harrington 9 AST) | 67 0.4% | 80 99.6% |
| Q4 - 3:08 | MIA | Butler Foul Turnover (P2.T17) | 67 0.7% | 78 99.3% |
| Q4 - 3:32 | DEN | Howard 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (26 PTS) | 67 2.5% | 78 97.5% |
| Q4 - 3:54 | MIA | Butler 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Carter 11 AST) | 67 3.2% | 76 96.8% |
| Q4 - 4:14 | DEN | Harrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS) | 65 2.2% | 76 97.8% |
| Q4 - 4:14 | DEN | MISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 2 | 65 2.5% | 75 97.5% |
| Q4 - 4:24 | MIA | Allen Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Carter 10 AST) | 65 2.1% | 75 97.9% |
| Q4 - 4:37 | DEN | Howard Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS) | 63 1.5% | 75 98.5% |
| Q4 - 4:37 | DEN | Howard Layup (23 PTS) (Nene 2 AST) | 63 2.1% | 74 97.9% |
| Q4 - 4:53 | DEN | Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 63 3.0% | 72 97.0% |
| Q4 - 4:55 | MIA | Bowen BLOCK (1 BLK) | 63 3.3% | 72 96.7% |
| Q4 - 5:12 | DEN | Nene 3 Second Violation Turnover (P6.T19) | 63 6.3% | 72 93.7% |
| Q4 - 5:29 | DEN | Nene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 63 4.5% | 72 95.5% |
| Q4 - 5:31 | MIA | MISS Allen 18' Jump Shot | 63 5.0% | 72 95.0% |
| Q4 - 5:43 | DEN | Bowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 63 6.2% | 72 93.8% |
| Q4 - 5:43 | DEN | Bowen Tip Shot (12 PTS) | 63 6.2% | 72 93.8% |
| Q4 - 5:46 | DEN | MISS Yarbrough Finger Roll | 63 10.4% | 70 89.6% |
| Q4 - 6:05 | DEN | Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 63 10.5% | 70 89.5% |
| Q4 - 6:05 | MIA | MISS Carter Free Throw 2 of 2 | 63 10.9% | 70 89.1% |
| Q4 - 6:05 | MIA | MISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 2 | 63 12.3% | 70 87.7% |
| Q4 - 6:16 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 63 14.1% | 70 85.9% |
| Q4 - 6:16 | MIA | Yarbrough BLOCK (1 BLK) | 63 11.4% | 70 88.6% |
| Q4 - 6:32 | DEN | Bowen Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18) | 63 14.0% | 70 86.0% |
| Q4 - 6:48 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 63 10.3% | 70 89.7% |
| Q4 - 6:48 | MIA | MISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 63 11.3% | 70 88.7% |
| Q4 - 7:04 | DEN | Bowen 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harrington 8 AST) | 63 16.7% | 70 83.3% |
| Q4 - 7:27 | MIA | Butler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16) | 63 20.1% | 68 79.9% |
| Q4 - 7:45 | DEN | Nene Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T17) | 63 25.5% | 68 74.5% |
| Q4 - 8:10 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15) | 63 22.3% | 68 77.7% |
| Q4 - 8:10 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 63 27.0% | 68 73.0% |
| Q4 - 8:12 | MIA | Nene BLOCK (4 BLK) | 63 23.6% | 68 76.4% |
| Q4 - 8:42 | DEN | Bowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 63 27.0% | 68 73.0% |
| Q4 - 8:42 | DEN | MISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 2 | 63 28.1% | 67 71.9% |
| Q4 - 8:59 | DEN | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10) | 63 26.8% | 67 73.2% |
| Q4 - 9:01 | MIA | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 63 30.1% | 67 69.9% |
| Q4 - 9:10 | DEN | Howard Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16) | 63 33.9% | 67 66.1% |
| Q4 - 9:19 | DEN | Blount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 63 28.4% | 67 71.6% |
| Q4 - 9:21 | MIA | MISS Butler 8' Jump Shot | 63 30.0% | 67 70.0% |
| Q4 - 9:34 | DEN | White Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15) | 63 33.8% | 67 66.2% |
| Q4 - 9:47 | DEN | White REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 63 28.4% | 67 71.6% |
| Q4 - 9:49 | MIA | MISS Lampley 8' Jump Shot | 63 29.9% | 67 70.1% |
| Q4 - 10:05 | DEN | MISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 1 | 63 34.0% | 67 66.0% |
| Q4 - 10:05 | DEN | Blount 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harrington 7 AST) | 63 34.8% | 67 65.2% |
| Q4 - 10:24 | MIA | Lampley 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 63 39.6% | 65 60.4% |
| Q4 - 10:40 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 61 34.7% | 65 65.3% |
| Q4 - 10:41 | DEN | MISS Bowen 6' Turnaround Jump Shot | 61 33.0% | 65 67.0% |
| Q4 - 10:56 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 61 29.3% | 65 70.7% |
| Q4 - 10:59 | MIA | MISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 30.9% | 65 69.1% |
| Q4 - 11:19 | MIA | House REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 61 35.1% | 65 64.9% |
| Q4 - 11:22 | DEN | MISS Tskitishvili 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 33.6% | 65 66.4% |
| Q4 - 11:42 | MIA | Carter Dunk (12 PTS) | 61 30.1% | 65 69.9% |
| Q4 - 11:46 | DEN | Bowen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14) | 59 26.0% | 65 74.0% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 59 21.8% | 65 78.2% | |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | MIA | Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 59 27.4% | 65 72.6% |
| Q3 - 0:05.0 | DEN | MISS White 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 59 26.2% | 65 73.8% |
| Q3 - 0:25.0 | DEN | Blount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 59 23.4% | 65 76.6% |
| Q3 - 0:26.0 | MIA | MISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 2 | 59 23.9% | 65 76.1% |
| Q3 - 0:26.0 | MIA | Ellis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 59 26.2% | 65 73.8% |
| Q3 - 0:40.0 | DEN | Blount Foul Turnover (P1.T13) | 58 23.4% | 65 76.6% |
| Q3 - 0:46.0 | DEN | White REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 58 19.9% | 65 80.1% |
| Q3 - 0:48.0 | MIA | MISS Carter 20' Jump Shot | 58 20.9% | 65 79.1% |
| Q3 - 1:01 | DEN | Yarbrough 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Blount 1 AST) | 58 24.9% | 65 75.1% |
| Q3 - 1:23 | MIA | Butler 7' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Carter 9 AST) | 58 28.6% | 63 71.4% |
| Q3 - 1:29 | DEN | White 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Tskitishvili 1 AST) | 56 24.8% | 63 75.2% |
| Q3 - 1:44 | DEN | Yarbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 56 28.5% | 61 71.5% |
| Q3 - 1:45 | MIA | MISS Butler Layup | 56 29.8% | 61 70.2% |
| Q3 - 1:50 | DEN | White Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12) | 56 32.8% | 61 67.2% |
| Q3 - 1:55 | DEN | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9) | 56 28.5% | 61 71.5% |
| Q3 - 1:58 | MIA | MISS House 9' Jump Shot | 56 29.8% | 61 70.2% |
| Q3 - 2:03 | DEN | Tskitishvili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11) | 56 33.6% | 61 66.4% |
| Q3 - 2:17 | MIA | Ellis Foul Turnover (P1.T14) | 56 29.2% | 61 70.8% |
| Q3 - 2:32 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 56 33.5% | 61 66.5% |
| Q3 - 2:32 | MIA | MISS House 23' Jump Shot | 56 30.4% | 61 69.6% |
| Q3 - 2:54 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 56 33.5% | 61 66.5% |
| Q3 - 2:54 | DEN | MISS Blount 8' Turnaround Jump Shot | 56 32.1% | 61 67.9% |
| Q3 - 3:03 | DEN | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 56 30.3% | 61 69.7% |
| Q3 - 3:06 | MIA | MISS Butler 17' Jump Shot | 56 31.5% | 61 68.5% |
| Q3 - 3:20 | MIA | Stepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 56 34.3% | 61 65.7% |
| Q3 - 3:24 | DEN | MISS Harrington 7' Running Jump Shot | 56 33.0% | 61 67.0% |
| Q3 - 3:41 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13) | 56 30.1% | 61 69.9% |
| Q3 - 3:41 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 56 34.3% | 61 65.7% |
| Q3 - 3:42 | MIA | MISS House 23' Jump Shot | 56 31.4% | 61 68.6% |
| Q3 - 3:45 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 56 34.3% | 61 65.7% |
| Q3 - 3:49 | MIA | Blount BLOCK (1 BLK) | 56 31.4% | 61 68.6% |
| Q3 - 4:04 | MIA | Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 56 35.2% | 61 64.8% |
| Q3 - 4:08 | DEN | MISS White 20' Jump Shot | 56 33.8% | 61 66.2% |
| Q3 - 4:37 | MIA | Butler 24' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Carter 8 AST) | 56 30.7% | 61 69.3% |
| Q3 - 4:55 | DEN | White 5' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Harrington 6 AST) | 54 27.7% | 61 72.3% |
| Q3 - 5:15 | MIA | Carter 23' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (House 2 AST) | 54 31.7% | 59 68.3% |
| Q3 - 5:41 | DEN | Howard 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST) | 52 28.4% | 59 71.6% |
| Q3 - 6:02 | DEN | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 52 32.5% | 57 67.5% |
| Q3 - 6:03 | MIA | MISS House 20' Jump Shot | 52 33.7% | 57 66.3% |
| Q3 - 6:08 | MIA | Stepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 52 36.4% | 57 63.6% |
| Q3 - 6:11 | DEN | MISS White 18' Turnaround Jump Shot | 52 35.2% | 57 64.8% |
| Q3 - 6:32 | MIA | Allen Foul Turnover (P1.T12) | 52 32.5% | 57 67.5% |
| Q3 - 6:53 | DEN | Bowen Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Howard 5 AST) | 52 36.3% | 57 63.7% |
| Q3 - 7:11 | DEN | Bowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 52 39.8% | 55 60.2% |
| Q3 - 7:12 | MIA | Nene BLOCK (3 BLK) | 52 41.1% | 55 58.9% |
| Q3 - 7:20 | DEN | Howard 10' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS) (Nene 1 AST) | 52 44.1% | 55 55.9% |
| Q3 - 7:47 | MIA | Lampley Dunk (6 PTS) (Carter 7 AST) | 52 47.4% | 53 52.6% |
| Q3 - 7:52 | DEN | Harrington Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10) | 50 44.1% | 53 55.9% |
| Q3 - 7:57 | MIA | Harrington STEAL (3 STL) | 50 39.8% | 53 60.2% |
| Q3 - 8:26 | DEN | White Layup (9 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST) | 50 44.6% | 53 55.4% |
| Q3 - 8:44 | MIA | Carter 6' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) | 50 47.8% | 51 52.2% |
| Q3 - 8:59 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 48 44.5% | 51 55.5% |
| Q3 - 9:00 | DEN | MISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot | 48 43.2% | 51 56.8% |
| Q3 - 9:14 | DEN | Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 48 40.9% | 51 59.1% |
| Q3 - 9:16 | MIA | Nene BLOCK (2 BLK) | 48 42.0% | 51 58.0% |
| Q3 - 9:40 | DEN | White 7' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 48 44.6% | 51 55.4% |
| Q3 - 9:58 | DEN | Nene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 48 48.2% | 49 51.8% |
| Q3 - 9:59 | DEN | MISS Howard Layup | 48 50.8% | 49 49.2% |
| Q3 - 10:01 | DEN | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 48 48.4% | 49 51.6% |
| Q3 - 10:02 | DEN | MISS White 20' Jump Shot | 48 51.2% | 49 48.8% |
| Q3 - 10:24 | MIA | Allen 6' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Grant 1 AST) | 48 48.4% | 49 51.6% |
| Q3 - 10:34 | DEN | Nene Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9) | 46 45.3% | 49 54.7% |
| Q3 - 10:38 | MIA | Harrington STEAL (2 STL) | 46 41.4% | 49 58.6% |
| Q3 - 10:48 | DEN | White Traveling Turnover (P2.T8) | 46 45.2% | 49 54.8% |
| Q3 - 11:02 | MIA | Carter 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 2 AST) | 46 42.2% | 49 57.8% |
| Q3 - 11:20 | DEN | Nene Traveling Turnover (P3.T7) | 44 39.0% | 49 61.0% |
| Q3 - 11:36 | MIA | Butler 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) | 44 35.6% | 49 64.4% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 42 32.6% | 49 67.4% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Marks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 42 32.6% | 49 67.4% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | DEN | MISS White Driving Layup | 42 31.6% | 49 68.4% |
| Q2 - 0:07.0 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 42 31.1% | 49 68.9% |
| Q2 - 0:08.0 | MIA | MISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 42 31.7% | 49 68.3% |
| Q2 - 0:30.0 | DEN | Blount Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 42 33.0% | 49 67.0% |
| Q2 - 0:30.0 | DEN | Blount Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 42 33.8% | 48 66.2% |
| Q2 - 0:43.0 | MIA | Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 42 36.9% | 47 63.1% |
| Q2 - 0:43.0 | MIA | Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 41 36.4% | 47 63.6% |
| Q2 - 1:00 | DEN | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS) | 40 33.0% | 47 67.0% |
| Q2 - 1:00 | DEN | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS) | 40 33.6% | 46 66.4% |
| Q2 - 1:00 | MIA | House 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 6 AST) | 40 36.9% | 45 63.1% |
| Q2 - 1:10 | MIA | Butler Free Throw Technical (10 PTS) | 38 33.4% | 45 66.6% |
| Q2 - 1:25 | DEN | White Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6) | 37 30.5% | 45 69.5% |
| Q2 - 1:38 | MIA | Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 37 29.1% | 45 70.9% |
| Q2 - 1:38 | MIA | Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 36 28.6% | 45 71.4% |
| Q2 - 1:38 | MIA | Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 35 25.3% | 45 74.7% |
| Q2 - 1:40 | MIA | MISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot | 35 24.5% | 45 75.5% |
| Q2 - 2:01 | DEN | Bowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 35 26.7% | 45 73.3% |
| Q2 - 2:01 | DEN | MISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 2 | 35 27.2% | 44 72.8% |
| Q2 - 2:02 | DEN | Bowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 35 26.8% | 44 73.2% |
| Q2 - 2:05 | DEN | MISS Howard 18' Jump Shot | 35 28.4% | 44 71.6% |
| Q2 - 2:13 | DEN | Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 35 26.8% | 44 73.2% |
| Q2 - 2:15 | MIA | MISS House 3PT Jump Shot | 35 27.5% | 44 72.5% |
| Q2 - 2:29 | MIA | Stepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 35 29.1% | 44 70.9% |
| Q2 - 2:31 | DEN | MISS White 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 35 28.4% | 44 71.6% |
| Q2 - 2:53 | MIA | Butler Driving Layup (7 PTS) (House 1 AST) | 35 26.8% | 44 73.2% |
| Q2 - 3:09 | DEN | Bowen Dunk (4 PTS) (Howard 4 AST) | 33 25.6% | 44 74.4% |
| Q2 - 3:13 | MIA | Bowen STEAL (2 STL) | 33 27.7% | 42 72.3% |
| Q2 - 3:28 | DEN | Nene Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 33 30.4% | 42 69.6% |
| Q2 - 3:28 | DEN | Nene Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 33 31.2% | 41 68.8% |
| Q2 - 3:41 | MIA | James Foul Turnover (P3.T8) | 33 32.6% | 40 67.4% |
| Q2 - 3:50 | MIA | House REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 33 35.6% | 40 64.4% |
| Q2 - 3:52 | DEN | MISS Howard 17' Jump Shot | 33 34.7% | 40 65.3% |
| Q2 - 4:07 | DEN | Nene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 33 33.6% | 40 66.4% |
| Q2 - 4:09 | MIA | MISS House 20' Jump Shot | 33 34.4% | 40 65.6% |
| Q2 - 4:29 | DEN | Nene 7' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Yarbrough 4 AST) | 33 36.2% | 40 63.8% |
| Q2 - 4:37 | DEN | Howard Free Throw Technical (15 PTS) | 33 38.9% | 38 61.1% |
| Q2 - 4:42 | DEN | White REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 33 41.6% | 37 58.4% |
| Q2 - 4:47 | MIA | MISS Grant 17' Jump Shot | 33 42.5% | 37 57.5% |
| Q2 - 4:59 | DEN | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 33 44.5% | 37 55.5% |
| Q2 - 4:59 | DEN | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 33 45.1% | 36 54.9% |
| Q2 - 5:06 | DEN | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 33 47.5% | 35 52.5% |
| Q2 - 5:08 | MIA | MISS Lampley 16' Jump Shot | 33 48.4% | 35 51.6% |
| Q2 - 5:27 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 33 50.5% | 35 49.5% |
| Q2 - 5:30 | DEN | White REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 33 47.5% | 35 52.5% |
| Q2 - 5:30 | DEN | MISS White Tip Shot | 33 49.6% | 35 50.4% |
| Q2 - 5:33 | DEN | MISS White 10' Running Jump Shot | 33 49.6% | 35 50.4% |
| Q2 - 5:46 | MIA | Grant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 33 47.5% | 35 52.5% |
| Q2 - 5:46 | MIA | Grant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 32 47.0% | 35 53.0% |
| Q2 - 5:52 | DEN | Nene Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5) | 31 44.9% | 35 55.1% |
| Q2 - 6:06 | DEN | Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 31 42.2% | 35 57.8% |
| Q2 - 6:09 | MIA | MISS Carter 18' Jump Shot | 31 43.2% | 35 56.8% |
| Q2 - 6:32 | DEN | White Layup (5 PTS) (Harrington 5 AST) | 31 45.5% | 35 54.5% |
| Q2 - 6:44 | DEN | Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 31 47.6% | 33 52.4% |
| Q2 - 6:45 | MIA | MISS Stepania Layup | 31 48.6% | 33 51.4% |
| Q2 - 6:48 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 31 50.9% | 33 49.1% |
| Q2 - 6:50 | DEN | MISS Yarbrough Driving Layup | 31 49.9% | 33 50.1% |
| Q2 - 7:06 | MIA | Carter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7) | 31 48.3% | 33 51.7% |
| Q2 - 7:21 | DEN | Bowen 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 31 51.1% | 33 48.9% |
| Q2 - 7:45 | MIA | House Layup (2 PTS) (Lampley 3 AST) | 31 53.5% | 31 46.5% |
| Q2 - 7:57 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 29 51.1% | 31 48.9% |
| Q2 - 7:59 | DEN | MISS White 17' Jump Shot | 29 50.2% | 31 49.8% |
| Q2 - 8:29 | MIA | Carter Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST) | 29 48.1% | 31 51.9% |
| Q2 - 8:33 | DEN | Howard Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4) | 27 45.9% | 31 54.1% |
| Q2 - 8:59 | MIA | Stepania Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 5 AST) | 27 43.0% | 31 57.0% |
| Q2 - 9:12 | DEN | Tskitishvili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 25 41.1% | 31 58.9% |
| Q2 - 9:12 | DEN | Tskitishvili Tip Shot (4 PTS) | 25 41.1% | 31 58.9% |
| Q2 - 9:15 | DEN | MISS White 13' Turnaround Jump Shot | 25 45.2% | 29 54.8% |
| Q2 - 9:43 | MIA | Grant 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lampley 2 AST) | 25 43.3% | 29 56.7% |
| Q2 - 10:05 | DEN | White 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 3 AST) | 23 41.2% | 29 58.8% |
| Q2 - 10:13 | DEN | Tskitishvili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 45.7% | 26 54.3% |
| Q2 - 10:16 | MIA | MISS Carter 13' Jump Shot | 23 46.6% | 26 53.4% |
| Q2 - 10:30 | DEN | Blount Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 23 48.5% | 26 51.5% |
| Q2 - 10:30 | DEN | MISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 2 | 23 49.1% | 25 50.9% |
| Q2 - 10:36 | DEN | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 23 48.2% | 25 51.8% |
| Q2 - 10:39 | MIA | Tskitishvili BLOCK (1 BLK) | 23 49.1% | 25 50.9% |
| Q2 - 10:53 | DEN | Harrington Foul Turnover (P1.T3) | 23 51.0% | 25 49.0% |
| Q2 - 11:05 | DEN | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 23 48.5% | 25 51.5% |
| Q2 - 11:07 | MIA | MISS Carter 20' Jump Shot | 23 49.2% | 25 50.8% |
| Q2 - 11:28 | DEN | Blount Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS) | 23 50.9% | 25 49.1% |
| Q2 - 11:28 | DEN | Blount Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 2 AST) | 23 53.3% | 24 46.7% |
| Q2 - 11:43 | MIA | Stepania Layup (2 PTS) (Carter 4 AST) | 23 55.7% | 22 44.3% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 21 53.3% | 22 46.7% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 21 50.9% | 22 49.1% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | DEN | MISS Yarbrough 80' 3PT Jump Shot | 21 52.6% | 22 47.4% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Butler Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 21 50.9% | 22 49.1% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Butler 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 20 48.4% | 22 51.6% |
| Q1 - 0:15.0 | DEN | MISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 1 | 18 45.5% | 22 54.5% |
| Q1 - 0:15.0 | DEN | Nene Layup (6 PTS) (White 1 AST) | 18 45.8% | 22 54.2% |
| Q1 - 0:35.0 | MIA | Lampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 18 48.7% | 20 51.3% |
| Q1 - 0:35.0 | MIA | Lampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 17 48.0% | 20 52.0% |
| Q1 - 0:51.0 | DEN | Tskitishvili 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 16 45.8% | 20 54.2% |
| Q1 - 1:03 | MIA | Lampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 16 48.8% | 18 51.2% |
| Q1 - 1:03 | MIA | Lampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 15 48.1% | 18 51.9% |
| Q1 - 1:08 | MIA | Stepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 14 45.9% | 18 54.1% |
| Q1 - 1:11 | DEN | MISS Nene Driving Layup | 14 45.3% | 18 54.7% |
| Q1 - 1:27 | MIA | Allen Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Lampley 1 AST) | 14 44.1% | 18 55.9% |
| Q1 - 1:44 | MIA | Carter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 41.2% | 18 58.8% |
| Q1 - 1:47 | DEN | Blount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 12 39.5% | 18 60.5% |
| Q1 - 1:47 | DEN | MISS Blount 15' Turnaround Jump Shot | 12 40.7% | 18 59.3% |
| Q1 - 1:57 | DEN | MISS Nene Free Throw Clear Path | 12 39.5% | 18 60.5% |
| Q1 - 1:59 | MIA | Nene STEAL (1 STL) | 12 39.5% | 18 60.5% |
| Q1 - 2:12 | MIA | Lampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 41.8% | 18 58.2% |
| Q1 - 2:14 | DEN | MISS Nene 18' Jump Shot | 12 41.1% | 18 58.9% |
| Q1 - 2:22 | DEN | Yarbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 12 39.7% | 18 60.3% |
| Q1 - 2:25 | DEN | MISS Blount 13' Jump Shot | 12 41.1% | 18 58.9% |
| Q1 - 2:39 | MIA | Lampley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5) | 12 39.7% | 18 60.3% |
| Q1 - 2:53 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 12 41.8% | 18 58.2% |
| Q1 - 2:55 | DEN | MISS Yarbrough 21' Jump Shot | 12 41.1% | 18 58.9% |
| Q1 - 3:00 | DEN | Yarbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 39.6% | 18 60.4% |
| Q1 - 3:02 | MIA | MISS Grant 20' Jump Shot | 12 40.7% | 18 59.3% |
| Q1 - 3:25 | DEN | Howard Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Yarbrough 3 AST) | 12 42.4% | 18 57.6% |
| Q1 - 3:30 | MIA | Bowen STEAL (1 STL) | 12 44.3% | 16 55.7% |
| Q1 - 3:32 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 12 46.8% | 16 53.2% |
| Q1 - 3:34 | MIA | MISS James 20' Jump Shot | 12 45.1% | 16 54.9% |
| Q1 - 4:03 | MIA | Stepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 47.2% | 16 52.8% |
| Q1 - 4:05 | DEN | MISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot | 12 46.4% | 16 53.6% |
| Q1 - 4:12 | DEN | Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 12 44.5% | 16 55.5% |
| Q1 - 4:15 | MIA | MISS Butler Reverse Layup | 12 45.3% | 16 54.7% |
| Q1 - 4:30 | DEN | Bowen Traveling Turnover (P1.T2) | 12 47.1% | 16 52.9% |
| Q1 - 4:49 | MIA | Grant Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 3 AST) | 12 44.5% | 16 55.5% |
| Q1 - 5:06 | DEN | Howard 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harrington 4 AST) | 10 43.2% | 16 56.8% |
| Q1 - 5:25 | MIA | Allen 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 2 AST) | 10 45.1% | 14 54.9% |
| Q1 - 5:36 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 43.2% | 14 56.8% |
| Q1 - 5:41 | DEN | MISS Harrington 18' Jump Shot | 8 42.5% | 14 57.5% |
| Q1 - 5:46 | DEN | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 8 40.9% | 14 59.1% |
| Q1 - 5:48 | MIA | MISS Carter 21' Jump Shot | 8 41.6% | 14 58.4% |
| Q1 - 6:11 | DEN | Howard 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST) | 8 43.5% | 14 56.5% |
| Q1 - 6:24 | DEN | Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 45.4% | 12 54.6% |
| Q1 - 6:26 | MIA | MISS Grant 10' Turnaround Jump Shot | 8 46.0% | 12 54.0% |
| Q1 - 6:42 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 8 47.5% | 12 52.5% |
| Q1 - 6:44 | DEN | MISS Howard 18' Jump Shot | 8 46.9% | 12 53.1% |
| Q1 - 6:49 | MIA | Harrington STEAL (1 STL) | 8 45.4% | 12 54.6% |
| Q1 - 7:03 | DEN | Nene Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST) | 8 48.1% | 12 51.9% |
| Q1 - 7:07 | MIA | Yarbrough STEAL (1 STL) | 8 49.7% | 10 50.3% |
| Q1 - 7:34 | DEN | Howard 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Yarbrough 2 AST) | 8 51.8% | 10 48.2% |
| Q1 - 7:50 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 8 53.5% | 8 46.5% |
| Q1 - 7:50 | MIA | Grant Layup (2 PTS) | 8 53.5% | 8 46.5% |
| Q1 - 7:52 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 6 51.8% | 8 48.2% |
| Q1 - 7:52 | MIA | MISS Grant Tip Shot | 6 50.4% | 8 49.6% |
| Q1 - 7:53 | MIA | MISS Carter Layup | 6 50.4% | 8 49.6% |
| Q1 - 8:07 | DEN | Howard 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Yarbrough 1 AST) | 6 52.3% | 8 47.7% |
| Q1 - 8:18 | DEN | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 6 53.9% | 6 46.1% |
| Q1 - 8:21 | MIA | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 6 54.6% | 6 45.4% |
| Q1 - 8:36 | DEN | Howard 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) | 6 56.0% | 6 44.0% |
| Q1 - 8:48 | MIA | Butler 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST) | 6 57.6% | 4 42.4% |
| Q1 - 9:03 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 4 56.0% | 4 44.0% |
| Q1 - 9:05 | DEN | MISS Howard Layup | 4 55.2% | 4 44.8% |
| Q1 - 9:20 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1) | 4 53.6% | 4 46.4% |
| Q1 - 9:37 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 4 56.0% | 4 44.0% |
| Q1 - 9:39 | MIA | Nene BLOCK (1 BLK) | 4 54.3% | 4 45.7% |
| Q1 - 9:46 | DEN | Harvey 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST) | 4 56.0% | 4 44.0% |
| Q1 - 9:55 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 4 57.4% | 2 42.6% |
| Q1 - 9:58 | DEN | MISS Yarbrough 19' Jump Shot | 4 59.0% | 2 41.0% |
| Q1 - 10:20 | MIA | Carter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 4 57.4% | 2 42.6% |
| Q1 - 10:20 | MIA | Carter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 3 56.7% | 2 43.3% |
| Q1 - 10:33 | DEN | Nene Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST) | 2 55.8% | 2 44.2% |
| Q1 - 10:43 | DEN | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 57.3% | 0 42.7% |
| Q1 - 10:45 | MIA | MISS Butler 18' Jump Shot | 2 58.0% | 0 42.0% |
| Q1 - 10:59 | MIA | Grant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 59.4% | 0 40.6% |
| Q1 - 11:03 | DEN | MISS Harvey 8' Turnaround Jump Shot | 2 58.6% | 0 41.4% |
| Q1 - 11:23 | MIA | Allen 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 2 57.5% | 0 42.5% |
| Q1 - 11:43 | DEN | Nene Foul Turnover (P1.T1) | 0 55.6% | 0 44.4% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | DEN | Jump Ball Nene vs. Grant: Tip to Harvey | 0 53.9% | 0 46.1% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.84 42.2%
DEN
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
20
55%
DEN
16
23
70%
Midrange
MIA
19
46
41%
DEN
17
39
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
0%
DEN
1
1.5
5
20%
30%
Free Throws
MIA
16
19
84%
DEN
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Butler | 20 | 53% | 10.0 / 19 | |
| M. Allen | 15 | 63% | 7.5 / 12 | |
| A. Carter | 12 | 43% | 6.0 / 14 | |
| B. Grant | 8 | 40% | 4.0 / 10 | |
| S. Lampley | 8 | 50% | 4.0 / 8 | |
| E. House | 6 | 33% | 3.0 / 9 | |
| V. Stepania | 4 | 67% | 2.0 / 3 | |
| M. James | 2 | 20% | 1.0 / 5 | |
| L. Ellis | 1 | 17% | 0.5 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Nuggets| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Howard | 28 | 70% | 14.0 / 20 | |
| R. White | 15 | 44% | 7.5 / 17 | |
| Nene | 12 | 67% | 6.0 / 9 | |
| R. Bowen | 12 | 67% | 6.0 / 9 | |
| M. Blount | 8 | 44% | 4.0 / 9 | |
| N. Tskitishvili | 4 | 67% | 2.0 / 3 | |
| J. Harrington | 3 | 30% | 1.5 / 5 | |
| V. Yarbrough | 2 | 17% | 1.0 / 6 | |
| D. Harvey | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
76
+12
-14
88
DEN
70
+10
-19
80
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.84 42.2%
DEN
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 94.5 90.7 | MIA 84.4 DEN 96.6 +12.2 |
| Pace | 90.0 92.6 | MIA 93.6 +8.0 DEN 85.7 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.2 15.8 | MIA 15.4 +1.4 DEN 16.8 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 43.9% 42.8% | MIA 41.1% DEN 51.5% +10.4% |
| TO % | 14.8% 18.7% | MIA 17.3% +3.2% DEN 20.5% |
| ORB % | 26.8% 31.3% | MIA 14.3% DEN 25.8% +11.5% |
| FTrt | 25.9 28.3 | MIA 26.0 DEN 35.8 +9.8 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 55.8% 64.6% | MIA 76.7% DEN 79.4% +2.7% |
| STL % | 7.9% 9.3% | MIA 11.1% +3.2% DEN 7.9% |
| BLK % | 6.4% 8.5% | MIA 6.5% DEN 12.1% +5.6% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.88 and 2.88.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 46.0% 44.6% | MIA 42.2% DEN 53.1% +10.9% |
| Rim FG% | 53.7% 53.8% | MIA 55.0% DEN 69.6% +14.6% |
| Mid FG% | 37.6% 35.8% | MIA 41.3% DEN 43.6% +2.3% |
| 3P % | 31.6% 27.8% | MIA 0.0% DEN 20.0% +20.0% |
| FT % | 76.5% 69.9% | MIA 84.2% +13.4% DEN 70.8% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 28.9% 35.1% | MIA 27.4% DEN 34.3% +6.9% |
| Mid Att. % | 54.2% 52.3% | MIA 63.0% DEN 58.2% +4.8% |
| 3P Att. % | 16.9% 12.6% | MIA 9.6% +2.1% DEN 7.5% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.91 and 2.91.
| Game Totals | MIA | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 90 | 89 |
| Possession Minutes | 23.1 | 24.9 |
| Points | 76 | 86 |
| Rebounds | 28 | 38 |
| Assists | 23 | 27 |
| Steals | 10 | 7 |
| Blocks | 4 | 8 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 14 (3) | 19 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 5 (7) | 8 (2) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 23 (3) | 30 (3) |
| Field Goals | 30-73 | 34-67 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 11-20 | 16-23 |
| Midrange FG | 19-46 | 17-39 |
| 2-Point FG | 30-66 | 33-62 |
| 3-Point FG | 0-7 | 1-5 |
| Free Throws | 16-19 | 17-24 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.