Final Win Prob. pScore
2715%84
76
385%97
92
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
90.58492.7
UTA logo Jazz
107.08679.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA76
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAButler Dunk (18 PTS) (James 2 AST)76
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0UTACheaney Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T19)74
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0UTAMISS Massenburg Layup74
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)74
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Lampley 19' Jump Shot74
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0UTAArroyo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T18)74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 274
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08UTASUB: Massenburg FOR Malone74
92
Q4 - 1:08MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)74
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:08UTAMalone P.FOUL (P5.PN)73
92
Q4 - 1:15UTACheaney P.FOUL (P2.T3)73
92
Q4 - 1:32UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32UTASUB: Arroyo FOR Stockton73
91
Q4 - 1:32UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)73
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32MIAStepania L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)73
90
Q4 - 1:32UTAJAZZ Rebound73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33MIAMISS Lampley 20' Jump Shot73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant73
90
Q4 - 1:46MIASUB: James FOR Carter73
90
Q4 - 1:46UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51MIAStockton STEAL (2 STL)73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02MIAHeat Rebound73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03UTAMISS Malone 19' Jump Shot73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28MIAButler Layup (16 PTS)73
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31MIAStockton BLOCK (1 BLK)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37UTAKirilenko Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P3.T17)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52MIAGrant OFF.Foul (P4)71
90
Q4 - 3:08UTAHarpring Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:08UTAHarpring Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:08MIAButler S.FOUL (P3.PN)71
88
Q4 - 3:18MIAKirilenko STEAL (3 STL)71
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21UTAHarpring Violation:Kicked Ball71
88
Q4 - 3:30UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)71
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)71
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30MIALampley P.FOUL (P3.PN)71
86
Q4 - 3:33UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 3:34MIACheaney BLOCK (1 BLK)71
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 3:44MIAButler Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)71
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 3:44UTAHarpring T.FOUL (P4.T2)70
86
Q4 - 3:44UTAHarpring P.FOUL (P4.T2)70
86
Q4 - 3:58UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)70
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)70
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58MIAGrant P.FOUL (P3.PN)70
84
Q4 - 4:13MIAButler Foul Turnover (P3.T15)70
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 4:13MIAButler OFF.Foul (P2)70
84
Q4 - 4:21UTAMalone P.FOUL (P4.T1)70
84
Q4 - 4:35MIASUB: Butler FOR Allen70
84
Q4 - 4:35MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)70
84
Q4 - 4:41UTAHarpring Layup (29 PTS)70
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 4:58MIAHarpring STEAL (3 STL)70
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 5:08UTAHarpring 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Stockton 9 AST)70
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q4 - 5:13MIALampley P.FOUL (P2.T4)70
79
Q4 - 5:25UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q4 - 5:27MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot70
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q4 - 5:50MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler70
79
Q4 - 5:50MIASUB: Grant FOR Stepania70
79
Q4 - 5:50UTAJAZZ Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)70
79
Q4 - 5:50UTAJAZZ Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)70
2.7%
79
97.3%
Q4 - 5:50UTAJAZZ Rebound70
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q4 - 5:50UTAMISS Harpring Driving Layup70
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q4 - 5:59UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)70
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q4 - 6:01UTAMISS Malone 6' Jump Shot70
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q4 - 6:15UTASUB: Harpring FOR Amaechi70
79
Q4 - 6:15MIACarter Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)70
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q4 - 6:17MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
3.3%
79
96.7%
Q4 - 6:19UTAMISS Malone 19' Jump Shot70
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q4 - 6:23UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q4 - 6:25UTAMISS Cheaney 21' Jump Shot70
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q4 - 6:49MIACarter Layup (6 PTS)70
2.4%
79
97.6%
Q4 - 7:03MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
2.2%
79
97.8%
Q4 - 7:05UTAMISS Amaechi Free Throw 2 of 268
2.1%
79
97.9%
Q4 - 7:05UTAJAZZ Rebound68
79
Q4 - 7:05UTAMISS Amaechi Free Throw 1 of 268
1.8%
79
98.2%
Q4 - 7:05MIAAllen S.FOUL (P5.T3)68
79
Q4 - 7:15MIAButler 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS)68
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 7:38UTAMalone Layup (13 PTS) (Stockton 8 AST)66
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q4 - 7:40MIAStockton STEAL (1 STL)66
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q4 - 7:42MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)66
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 7:44UTAMISS Stockton 3PT Jump Shot66
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q4 - 8:06UTASUB: Stockton FOR Jackson66
77
Q4 - 8:06MIAStepania L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)66
77
Q4 - 8:06UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q4 - 8:07MIAMISS Stepania Dunk66
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q4 - 8:12MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)66
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q4 - 8:30MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q4 - 8:33UTAMISS Cheaney 17' Jump Shot66
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q4 - 8:40MIASUB: Allen FOR Butler66
77
Q4 - 8:40MIASUB: Carter FOR James66
77
Q4 - 8:40UTASUB: Malone FOR Padgett66
77
Q4 - 8:4066
77
Q4 - 9:01MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)66
2.4%
77
97.6%
Q4 - 9:15UTAKirilenko Dunk (8 PTS) (Amaechi 2 AST)64
1.9%
77
98.1%
Q4 - 9:35UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q4 - 9:37UTAMISS Kirilenko 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
2.8%
75
97.2%
Q4 - 9:50MIAStepania L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)64
75
Q4 - 9:50UTAAmaechi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q4 - 9:51UTAMISS Padgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q4 - 10:02MIAButler Layup (17 PTS) (James 1 AST)64
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q4 - 10:06MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q4 - 10:10UTAMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q4 - 10:29UTAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q4 - 10:31MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot62
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q4 - 10:39MIAHeat Rebound62
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q4 - 10:40MIAPadgett BLOCK (2 BLK)62
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q4 - 10:52UTAPadgett Reverse Layup (6 PTS)62
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q4 - 11:05UTAJAZZ Rebound62
3.0%
73
97.0%
Q4 - 11:06MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q4 - 11:35UTAJackson 21' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)62
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q4 - 12:0062
71
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA62
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q3 - 0:06.0UTAAmaechi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 2 of 262
5.0%
71
95.0%
Q3 - 0:07.0UTASUB: Cheaney FOR Harpring62
71
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAHeat Rebound62
71
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 1 of 262
5.6%
71
94.4%
Q3 - 0:07.0UTAHarpring P.FOUL (P3.PN)62
71
Q3 - 0:21.0UTASUB: Amaechi FOR Malone62
71
Q3 - 0:21.0UTAJAZZ Violation: Delay of game Violation62
71
Q3 - 0:21.0UTAMalone Foul Turnover (P5.T14)62
5.8%
71
94.2%
Q3 - 0:21.0UTAMalone OFF.Foul (P3)62
71
Q3 - 0:36.0UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
4.8%
71
95.2%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup62
5.1%
71
94.9%
Q3 - 0:48.0UTAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)62
5.7%
71
94.3%
Q3 - 1:17MIAButler Driving Layup (10 PTS)62
5.0%
71
95.0%
Q3 - 1:25MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant60
71
Q3 - 1:40UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)60
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q3 - 1:48UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
3.4%
71
96.6%
Q3 - 1:49MIAMISS Butler Layup60
3.6%
71
96.4%
Q3 - 1:51MIAButler REBOUND (Off:8 Def:3)60
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q3 - 1:54MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot60
3.6%
71
96.4%
Q3 - 2:09UTAHarpring P.FOUL (P2.T4)60
71
Q3 - 2:26UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)60
4.3%
71
95.7%
Q3 - 2:26UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)60
4.5%
70
95.5%
Q3 - 2:26MIAGrant S.FOUL (P2.PN)60
69
Q3 - 2:30UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
5.2%
69
94.8%
Q3 - 2:32MIAPadgett BLOCK (1 BLK)60
5.5%
69
94.5%
Q3 - 2:33MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
6.2%
69
93.8%
Q3 - 2:35MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot60
5.5%
69
94.5%
Q3 - 2:53UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
6.2%
69
93.8%
Q3 - 2:53UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
6.4%
68
93.6%
Q3 - 2:53MIAButler S.FOUL (P2.T4)60
67
Q3 - 2:56MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.T3)60
67
Q3 - 3:02MIAJames P.FOUL (P2.T2)60
67
Q3 - 3:08MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)60
7.3%
67
92.7%
Q3 - 3:08MIASUB: James FOR Carter59
67
Q3 - 3:08MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)59
7.1%
67
92.9%
Q3 - 3:08UTAPadgett S.FOUL (P3.T3)58
67
Q3 - 3:08MIAButler REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)58
6.2%
67
93.8%
Q3 - 3:08MIAKirilenko BLOCK (2 BLK)58
5.5%
67
94.5%
Q3 - 3:13UTAPadgett Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)58
6.2%
67
93.8%
Q3 - 3:26UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
5.2%
67
94.8%
Q3 - 3:27MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 258
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q3 - 3:27MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)58
6.0%
67
94.0%
Q3 - 3:27UTASUB: Padgett FOR Cheaney57
67
Q3 - 3:27MIASUB: Lampley FOR Allen57
67
Q3 - 3:27UTAMalone S.FOUL (P2.T2)57
67
Q3 - 3:39UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q3 - 3:39UTAHarpring Layup (24 PTS)57
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q3 - 3:41UTAMISS Kirilenko 11' Jump Shot57
7.0%
65
93.0%
Q3 - 3:54UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
6.2%
65
93.8%
Q3 - 3:56UTAMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
7.0%
65
93.0%
Q3 - 4:13MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)57
6.3%
65
93.7%
Q3 - 4:26UTAHarpring 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)55
5.5%
65
94.5%
Q3 - 4:45UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
7.4%
62
92.6%
Q3 - 4:47MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)55
8.9%
62
91.1%
Q3 - 4:47MIAMISS Allen 5' Jump Shot55
7.8%
62
92.2%
Q3 - 4:48MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot55
7.8%
62
92.2%
Q3 - 5:07UTASUB: Kirilenko FOR Ostertag55
62
Q3 - 5:07UTASUB: Jackson FOR Stockton55
62
Q3 - 5:07MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)55
62
Q3 - 5:14UTACheaney 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stockton 7 AST)55
8.9%
62
91.1%
Q3 - 5:21UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
10.2%
60
89.8%
Q3 - 5:23MIAMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot55
10.8%
60
89.2%
Q3 - 5:43UTAStockton 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Malone 4 AST)55
12.1%
60
87.9%
Q3 - 6:00MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
13.7%
58
86.3%
Q3 - 6:00MIAAllen Layup (4 PTS)55
13.7%
58
86.3%
Q3 - 6:01MIAMISS Allen Layup53
10.7%
58
89.3%
Q3 - 6:22UTAHarpring Dunk (19 PTS) (Stockton 6 AST)53
11.9%
58
88.1%
Q3 - 6:37MIAButler Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Carter 7 AST)53
13.6%
56
86.4%
Q3 - 6:42MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
11.9%
56
88.1%
Q3 - 6:44UTAMISS Malone 20' Jump Shot51
11.4%
56
88.6%
Q3 - 7:03UTAJAZZ Rebound51
10.2%
56
89.8%
Q3 - 7:05MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
10.7%
56
89.3%
Q3 - 7:25UTAStockton Foul Turnover (P2.T10)51
11.8%
56
88.2%
Q3 - 7:25UTAStockton OFF.Foul (P2)51
56
Q3 - 7:39MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)51
10.2%
56
89.8%
Q3 - 7:51UTAHarpring Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)49
9.0%
56
91.0%
Q3 - 7:59UTAJAZZ Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)49
56
Q3 - 8:01MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)49
7.8%
56
92.2%
Q3 - 8:05UTAMalone Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)47
6.8%
56
93.2%
Q3 - 8:14MIAGrant Dunk (14 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)47
5.9%
56
94.1%
Q3 - 8:29UTAStockton P.FOUL (P1.T1)45
56
Q3 - 8:30UTAMalone Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)45
5.1%
56
94.9%
Q3 - 8:42UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
4.4%
56
95.6%
Q3 - 8:45MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot45
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q3 - 8:53MIAButler REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)45
5.1%
56
94.9%
Q3 - 8:56MIAOstertag BLOCK (4 BLK)45
4.6%
56
95.4%
Q3 - 9:06MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
5.2%
56
94.8%
Q3 - 9:08MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot45
4.7%
56
95.3%
Q3 - 9:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)45
5.2%
56
94.8%
Q3 - 9:27UTAMISS Ostertag Free Throw 2 of 245
5.1%
56
94.9%
Q3 - 9:27UTAJAZZ Rebound45
56
Q3 - 9:27UTAMISS Ostertag Free Throw 1 of 245
4.8%
56
95.2%
Q3 - 9:27MIAAllen S.FOUL (P4.T1)45
56
Q3 - 9:27UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
4.5%
56
95.5%
Q3 - 9:28UTAMISS Stockton 16' Jump Shot45
5.0%
56
95.0%
Q3 - 9:47MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)45
4.5%
56
95.5%
Q3 - 9:58UTAHarpring Layup (17 PTS) (Cheaney 2 AST)43
3.9%
56
96.1%
Q3 - 10:14MIAGrant Layup (10 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)43
4.6%
54
95.4%
Q3 - 10:32UTACheaney 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stockton 5 AST)41
4.0%
54
96.0%
Q3 - 10:56MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)41
5.3%
51
94.7%
Q3 - 11:13UTAJAZZ Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)39
4.7%
51
95.3%
Q3 - 11:13UTAJAZZ Rebound39
4.1%
51
95.9%
Q3 - 11:13UTAMISS Harpring 14' Jump Shot39
4.5%
51
95.5%
Q3 - 11:44MIAAllen 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)39
4.1%
51
95.9%
Q3 - 12:0037
51
Q2 - 0:00.0UTA37
3.6%
51
96.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
3.3%
51
96.7%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
3.3%
51
96.7%
Q2 - 0:04.0UTAMassenburg S.FOUL (P3.PN)35
51
Q2 - 0:10.0UTAMassenburg Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)35
2.8%
51
97.2%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIALampley 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS)35
2.6%
51
97.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0UTAMassenburg Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
2.2%
51
97.8%
Q2 - 0:49.0UTAMassenburg Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
2.2%
50
97.8%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAJames S.FOUL (P1.PN)33
49
Q2 - 0:57.0MIALampley P.FOUL (P1.T3)33
49
Q2 - 1:07MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)33
2.7%
49
97.3%
Q2 - 1:07MIASUB: Stepania FOR Allen32
49
Q2 - 1:07MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
2.6%
49
97.4%
Q2 - 1:07UTAStevenson P.FOUL (P1.PN)31
49
Q2 - 1:24UTAHarpring Layup (15 PTS) (Malone 3 AST)31
2.3%
49
97.7%
Q2 - 1:44MIALampley Driving Layup (11 PTS)31
2.7%
47
97.3%
Q2 - 1:55MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
2.3%
47
97.7%
Q2 - 1:58UTAMISS Stevenson 19' Jump Shot29
2.2%
47
97.8%
Q2 - 2:12MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P2.T11)29
2.1%
47
97.9%
Q2 - 2:12MIAAllen OFF.Foul (P3)29
47
Q2 - 2:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)29
2.4%
47
97.6%
Q2 - 2:23MIAMISS James 23' Jump Shot29
2.2%
47
97.8%
Q2 - 2:36UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)29
2.4%
47
97.6%
Q2 - 2:36UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)29
2.4%
46
97.6%
Q2 - 2:36MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler29
45
Q2 - 2:36MIASUB: James FOR Carter29
45
Q2 - 2:36MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)29
45
Q2 - 2:36MIAAllen S.FOUL (P2.T2)29
45
Q2 - 2:43UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
2.7%
45
97.3%
Q2 - 2:45MIAMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot29
2.8%
45
97.2%
Q2 - 3:13UTAMassenburg Layup (2 PTS) (Stockton 4 AST)29
3.1%
45
96.9%
Q2 - 3:33MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
3.4%
43
96.6%
Q2 - 3:33MIAButler Dunk (6 PTS)29
3.4%
43
96.6%
Q2 - 3:36MIAMISS Carter 16' Jump Shot27
2.8%
43
97.2%
Q2 - 3:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
3.1%
43
96.9%
Q2 - 3:43UTAMISS Massenburg 11' Jump Shot27
3.0%
43
97.0%
Q2 - 3:58MIALampley Dunk (9 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)27
2.7%
43
97.3%
Q2 - 4:03UTAMalone Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)25
2.5%
43
97.5%
Q2 - 4:16MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
2.2%
43
97.8%
Q2 - 4:16MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
2.1%
43
97.9%
Q2 - 4:16UTAMassenburg S.FOUL (P2.PN)23
43
Q2 - 4:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
1.9%
43
98.1%
Q2 - 4:20MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot23
1.8%
43
98.2%
Q2 - 4:28UTAStevenson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harpring 1 AST)23
1.9%
43
98.1%
Q2 - 4:43MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
2.2%
41
97.8%
Q2 - 4:43UTASUB: Stevenson FOR Cheaney22
41
Q2 - 4:43MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
2.1%
41
97.9%
Q2 - 4:43UTAMassenburg S.FOUL (P1.PN)21
41
Q2 - 4:53UTAHarpring Layup (13 PTS) (Stockton 3 AST)21
1.9%
41
98.1%
Q2 - 5:07MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)21
2.3%
39
97.7%
Q2 - 5:07MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)20
2.2%
39
97.8%
Q2 - 5:07UTAHarpring S.FOUL (P1.PN)19
39
Q2 - 5:21MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
39
Q2 - 5:22UTAMISS Malone Free Throw 1 of 119
2.0%
39
98.0%
Q2 - 5:22MIASUB: Allen FOR Stepania19
39
Q2 - 5:22MIACarter S.FOUL (P3.T1)19
39
Q2 - 5:22UTAMalone Layup (7 PTS)19
2.0%
39
98.0%
Q2 - 5:24MIAMalone STEAL (2 STL)19
2.3%
37
97.7%
Q2 - 5:32UTASUB: Massenburg FOR Amaechi19
37
Q2 - 5:32UTACheaney P.FOUL (P1.T4)19
37
Q2 - 5:40UTASUB: Harpring FOR Kirilenko19
37
Q2 - 5:40UTASUB: Malone FOR Padgett19
37
Q2 - 5:40UTAJAZZ Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)19
37
Q2 - 5:40UTAPadgett P.FOUL (P2.T3)19
37
Q2 - 5:53UTAStockton Layup (4 PTS)19
2.6%
37
97.4%
Q2 - 6:18MIACarter 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lampley 1 AST)19
3.0%
35
97.0%
Q2 - 6:35UTAStockton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
2.7%
35
97.3%
Q2 - 6:57MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)17
2.4%
35
97.6%
Q2 - 6:57UTASUB: Stockton FOR Jackson16
35
Q2 - 6:57MIASUB: Carter FOR James16
35
Q2 - 6:57MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler16
35
Q2 - 6:57UTAKirilenko S.FOUL (P1.T2)16
35
Q2 - 6:57MIALampley Layup (4 PTS)16
2.1%
35
97.9%
Q2 - 7:16UTAPadgett 17' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)14
2.0%
35
98.0%
Q2 - 7:35UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
2.2%
33
97.8%
Q2 - 7:37MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot14
2.3%
33
97.7%
Q2 - 7:48MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)14
33
Q2 - 7:57UTAKirilenko Driving Dunk (4 PTS)14
2.4%
33
97.6%
Q2 - 8:00MIAKirilenko STEAL (2 STL)14
2.7%
31
97.3%
Q2 - 8:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
3.2%
31
96.8%
Q2 - 8:12UTAAmaechi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
2.9%
31
97.1%
Q2 - 8:12UTAMISS Amaechi Tip Shot14
3.1%
31
96.9%
Q2 - 8:13UTAMISS Kirilenko 16' Jump Shot14
3.1%
31
96.9%
Q2 - 8:3914
31
Q2 - 8:39MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)14
2.9%
31
97.1%
Q2 - 8:52MIAButler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)14
3.2%
31
96.8%
Q2 - 8:55MIAMISS Stepania 19' Jump Shot14
2.9%
31
97.1%
Q2 - 9:08MIAHeat Rebound14
31
Q2 - 9:08UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw Technical14
3.2%
31
96.8%
Q2 - 9:0814
31
Q2 - 9:08UTAPadgett P.FOUL (P1.T1)14
31
Q2 - 9:12MIAButler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)14
3.2%
31
96.8%
Q2 - 9:13UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup14
3.1%
31
96.9%
Q2 - 9:29UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
2.9%
31
97.1%
Q2 - 9:32UTAMISS Cheaney 21' Jump Shot14
3.1%
31
96.9%
Q2 - 9:59MIALampley Driving Dunk (2 PTS)14
2.9%
31
97.1%
Q2 - 10:17UTAJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Amaechi 1 AST)12
2.8%
31
97.2%
Q2 - 10:38UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
3.3%
28
96.7%
Q2 - 10:39MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot12
3.5%
28
96.5%
Q2 - 10:50MIASUB: Grant FOR Allen12
28
Q2 - 11:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
3.9%
28
96.1%
Q2 - 11:03UTAMISS Padgett 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
3.8%
28
96.2%
Q2 - 11:10MIAKirilenko STEAL (1 STL)12
3.5%
28
96.5%
Q2 - 11:26UTAPadgett 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
3.9%
28
96.1%
Q2 - 11:42UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
4.3%
26
95.7%
Q2 - 11:44MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
4.4%
26
95.6%
Q2 - 12:0012
26
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA12
4.7%
26
95.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound12
4.7%
26
95.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Lampley 21' Jump Shot12
4.4%
26
95.6%
Q1 - 0:06.0UTASUB: Padgett FOR Malone12
26
Q1 - 0:06.0UTAJackson P.FOUL (P1.T3)12
26
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)12
4.8%
26
95.2%
Q1 - 0:25.0UTAMISS Malone Free Throw 2 of 212
4.7%
26
95.3%
Q1 - 0:25.0UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
4.4%
26
95.6%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAAllen S.FOUL (P1.PN)12
25
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAHarpring STEAL (2 STL)12
4.9%
25
95.1%
Q1 - 0:42.0UTAHarpring Layup (11 PTS) (Malone 2 AST)12
5.3%
25
94.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMalone STEAL (1 STL)12
5.9%
23
94.1%
Q1 - 1:01MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
6.5%
23
93.5%
Q1 - 1:05MIAMISS Lampley 19' Jump Shot12
6.2%
23
93.8%
Q1 - 1:21UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
6.4%
23
93.6%
Q1 - 1:21UTAKirilenko 4' Tip Shot (2 PTS)12
6.4%
23
93.6%
Q1 - 1:24UTAMISS Malone 16' Jump Shot12
7.6%
21
92.4%
Q1 - 1:34MIASUB: Lampley FOR Butler12
21
Q1 - 1:34MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.T4)12
21
Q1 - 1:45UTASUB: Amaechi FOR Ostertag12
21
Q1 - 1:45MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)12
7.2%
21
92.8%
Q1 - 1:59UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)12
7.7%
21
92.3%
Q1 - 1:59UTAOstertag Tip Shot (6 PTS)12
7.7%
21
92.3%
Q1 - 2:02UTAMISS Malone 18' Jump Shot12
9.1%
19
90.9%
Q1 - 2:19MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)12
8.7%
19
91.3%
Q1 - 2:19MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
9.3%
19
90.7%
Q1 - 2:20MIAKirilenko BLOCK (1 BLK)12
8.9%
19
91.1%
Q1 - 2:42MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
9.3%
19
90.7%
Q1 - 2:44UTAMISS Harpring 17' Jump Shot12
9.1%
19
90.9%
Q1 - 2:47MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant12
19
Q1 - 2:47UTAJAZZ Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
19
Q1 - 3:05UTAJAZZ Rebound12
8.5%
19
91.5%
Q1 - 3:05MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot12
8.7%
19
91.3%
Q1 - 3:18UTAHarpring Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)12
9.3%
19
90.7%
Q1 - 3:38UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
8.5%
19
91.5%
Q1 - 3:40MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot12
8.8%
19
91.2%
Q1 - 3:46UTASUB: Kirilenko FOR Cheaney12
19
Q1 - 3:46MIAButler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)12
9.3%
19
90.7%
Q1 - 3:47MIAOstertag BLOCK (3 BLK)12
8.8%
19
91.2%
Q1 - 4:01UTAHarpring Layup (9 PTS) (Ostertag 1 AST)12
9.6%
19
90.4%
Q1 - 4:02UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
10.3%
17
89.7%
Q1 - 4:04UTAMISS Malone 19' Jump Shot12
10.8%
17
89.2%
Q1 - 4:24MIAButler Driving Layup (4 PTS)12
10.3%
17
89.7%
Q1 - 4:28MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)10
9.7%
17
90.3%
Q1 - 4:32UTAMISS Cheaney 22' Jump Shot10
9.5%
17
90.5%
Q1 - 4:54MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
9.1%
17
90.9%
Q1 - 4:54MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
9.0%
17
91.0%
Q1 - 4:54MIASUB: James FOR Carter8
17
Q1 - 4:54UTASUB: Jackson FOR Stockton8
17
Q1 - 4:54UTAOstertag S.FOUL (P1.T2)8
17
Q1 - 5:05UTAOstertag Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Malone 1 AST)8
8.8%
17
91.2%
Q1 - 5:11UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
9.3%
15
90.7%
Q1 - 5:13MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup8
9.5%
15
90.5%
Q1 - 5:40UTAStockton 11' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
10.1%
15
89.9%
Q1 - 6:01UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
10.6%
13
89.4%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Butler 13' Fadeaway Jumper8
10.8%
13
89.2%
Q1 - 6:15UTAMalone P.FOUL (P1.T1)8
13
Q1 - 6:29MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)8
13
Q1 - 6:35MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
11.5%
13
88.5%
Q1 - 6:37UTAMISS Harpring Layup8
11.3%
13
88.7%
Q1 - 6:44MIACheaney STEAL (1 STL)8
10.8%
13
89.2%
Q1 - 6:52MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
11.6%
13
88.4%
Q1 - 6:54UTAMISS Harpring 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
11.4%
13
88.6%
Q1 - 7:08MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)8
10.8%
13
89.2%
Q1 - 7:08MIAButler Layup (2 PTS)8
10.8%
13
89.2%
Q1 - 7:13MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
10.3%
13
89.7%
Q1 - 7:13MIAOstertag BLOCK (2 BLK)6
9.9%
13
90.1%
Q1 - 7:16MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot6
9.9%
13
90.1%
Q1 - 7:22MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
10.4%
13
89.6%
Q1 - 7:24MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot6
10.0%
13
90.0%
Q1 - 7:38UTAHarpring Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Stockton 2 AST)6
10.5%
13
89.5%
Q1 - 7:47MIAHarpring STEAL (1 STL)6
11.0%
11
89.0%
Q1 - 7:51UTAMalone Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
11.7%
11
88.3%
Q1 - 8:00UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
11.1%
11
88.9%
Q1 - 8:02MIAOstertag BLOCK (1 BLK)6
11.2%
11
88.8%
Q1 - 8:18UTAHarpring Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)6
11.7%
11
88.3%
Q1 - 8:18MIACarter S.FOUL (P2.T3)6
10
Q1 - 8:18UTAHarpring Layup (4 PTS) (Stockton 1 AST)6
12.3%
10
87.7%
Q1 - 8:29UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
13.0%
8
87.0%
Q1 - 8:31MIAMISS Butler 23' Jump Shot6
13.2%
8
86.8%
Q1 - 8:44UTAOstertag Dunk (2 PTS) (Cheaney 1 AST)6
13.7%
8
86.3%
Q1 - 8:52MIACarter P.FOUL (P1.T2)6
6
Q1 - 9:03MIACarter Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
14.3%
6
85.7%
Q1 - 9:08MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
13.7%
6
86.3%
Q1 - 9:09UTAMISS Harpring 19' Jump Shot4
13.6%
6
86.4%
Q1 - 9:25UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
13.3%
6
86.7%
Q1 - 9:28MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot4
13.5%
6
86.5%
Q1 - 9:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
13.9%
6
86.1%
Q1 - 9:48MIAMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot4
13.6%
6
86.4%
Q1 - 10:00MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
14.0%
6
86.0%
Q1 - 10:02UTAMISS Cheaney 20' Jump Shot4
13.9%
6
86.1%
Q1 - 10:18MIAGrant 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)4
13.8%
6
86.2%
Q1 - 10:30UTAHarpring 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
13.6%
6
86.4%
Q1 - 10:49MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
14.1%
4
85.9%
Q1 - 11:04UTAMalone 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)0
14.1%
4
85.9%
Q1 - 11:19UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.4%
2
85.6%
Q1 - 11:21MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot0
14.5%
2
85.5%
Q1 - 11:38UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
14.8%
2
85.2%
Q1 - 11:38UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
14.8%
1
85.2%
Q1 - 11:38MIAGrant S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Ostertag vs. Grant: Tip to Malone0
15.1%
0
84.9%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAUTA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.84 42.2%
UTA
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
29
59%
UTA
21
26
81%
Midrange
MIA
12
44
27%
UTA
9
29
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
0%
UTA
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
18
22
82%
UTA
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler1948%9.5 / 20
R. Butler1853%9.0 / 17
B. Grant1657%8.0 / 14
S. Lampley1350%6.5 / 13
A. Carter630%3.0 / 10
M. Allen433%2.0 / 6
M. James0-0.0 / 5
V. Stepania0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Harpring3174%15.5 / 21
K. Malone1956%9.5 / 17
A. Kirilenko850%4.0 / 8
J. Stockton660%3.0 / 5
G. Ostertag675%3.0 / 4
S. Padgett660%3.0 / 5
C. Cheaney536%2.5 / 7
M. Jackson563%2.5 / 4
T. Massenburg450%2.0 / 4
D. Stevenson250%1.0 / 2
J. Amaechi0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
67
+22
-17
89
UTA
69
+15
-17
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.84 42.2%
UTA
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
103.0
MIA 90.5
UTA 107.0 +16.5
Pace
90.0
91.5
MIA 92.7 +13.0
UTA 79.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.0
MIA 15.5 −2.5
UTA 18.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
48.6%
MIA 37.7%
UTA 54.5% +16.8%
TO %
14.8%
17.3%
MIA 17.2% −2.4%
UTA 19.6%
ORB %
26.8%
32.6%
MIA 44.4% +5.0%
UTA 39.4%
FTrt
25.9
38.0
MIA 28.6
UTA 40.9 +12.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
72.7%
MIA 44.8%
UTA 61.8% +17.0%
STL %
7.9%
9.4%
MIA 13.1% +0.3%
UTA 12.8%
BLK %
6.4%
9.2%
MIA 5.5%
UTA 13.7% +8.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.11 and 3.11.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
51.0%
MIA 42.2%
UTA 54.1% +11.9%
Rim FG%
53.7%
59.8%
MIA 58.6%
UTA 80.8% +22.2%
Mid FG%
37.6%
39.8%
MIA 27.3%
UTA 31.0% +3.7%
3P %
31.6%
34.9%
MIA 0.0%
UTA 36.4% +36.4%
FT %
76.5%
74.5%
MIA 81.8% +7.7%
UTA 74.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
37.2%
MIA 37.7%
UTA 39.4% +1.7%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
52.5%
MIA 57.1%
UTA 43.9% −13.2%
3P Att. %
16.9%
10.4%
MIA 5.2%
UTA 16.7% +11.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIAUTA
Possessions8486
Possession Minutes21.825.9
Points7692
Rebounds4038
Assists1321
Steals1111
Blocks310
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)17 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)20 (2)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)20 (1)25 (4)
Field Goals29-7734-66
At-the-Rim FG17-2921-26
Midrange FG12-449-29
2-Point FG29-7330-55
3-Point FG0-44-11
Free Throws18-2220-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
40.8
19
48%
11
3
3
0
3
3
8
3
9-11
82%
5-15
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 215 · 24
37.5
18
53%
6
0
0
0
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
8-14
57%
0-2
0%
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
34.7
16
57%
7
0
0
0
3
4
3
4
4-4
100%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
30.1
4
33%
8
0
0
1
3
5
4
4
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
27.2
6
30%
0
7
3
0
4
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-10
30%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 213 · 23
29.0
13
50%
2
1
2
1
2
3
1
1
3-5
60%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
20.8
0
0%
1
2
1
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-2
0%
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
19.9
0
0%
5
0
2
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
76
42%
40
13
11
3
17
0
20
20
18-22
82%
29-73
40%
0-4
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.