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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 12, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Timberwolves56%9991
25Raptors44%97105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.7
39.4
39.2
26
76%
3
5
1
1
0
5
1
2
6-7
86%
10-14
8-16
71%
48%
0-0
-
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 26.8
32.4
31.4
7
36%
3
1
2
1
0
4
1
2
4-4
100%
0-5
4-9
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 34.6
29.0
31.5
4
41%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
4-10
25%
42%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 27.5
19.9
27.1
7
48%
4
1
1
1
2
0
1
3
3-3
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.6
16.3
30.2
2
20%
3
0
0
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
5-10
20%
50%
0-0
-
Gary Trent
F · 6'8" 250 · 28.3
22.3
13.7
14
80%
7
1
0
0
0
2
3
4
4-4
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
50%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 36.5
19.4
13.9
6
45%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
6-6
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 28.0
15.5
14.1
4
40%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.9
15.0
9.4
13
73%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
51%
1-1
100%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 33.1
14.9
20.8
4
25%
2
1
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
41%
0-1
0%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 24.6
11.1
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Igor Rakocevic
G · 6'2" 184 · 24.8
4.8
5.6
4
106%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 25.4
43.2
33.5
20
45%
7
1
2
1
0
2
2
5
3-3
100%
7-17
4-9
41%
44%
1-4
25%
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 29.7
37.3
34.2
17
67%
14
1
2
2
1
0
5
9
3-4
75%
7-11
3-7
64%
48%
0-0
-
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.2
32.5
30.9
17
74%
6
1
0
1
1
3
0
6
7-8
88%
5-8
5-12
63%
41%
0-0
-
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 28.4
28.6
33.5
8
55%
3
8
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
3-5
4-10
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Chris Jefferies
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.9
18.8
24.7
4
40%
0
1
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.5
29.8
19.3
12
86%
6
8
0
1
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
40%
2-3
67%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.1
23.6
19.8
13
54%
0
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
39%
3-6
50%
Jelani McCoy
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.1
13.1
24.0
10
73%
6
0
0
1
0
1
4
2
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Art Long
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.3
13.1
6.7
4
33%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
44%
0-0
-
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.7
9.3
0
1-3
43%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.0
9.1
0
2-4
44%
Michael Bradley
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.7
5.0
0
1-1
47%
Mamadou N'diaye
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.6
4.6
0
0-1
45%
Nate Huffman
C · 7'1" 245 · 27.8
3.3
0
0-1
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.