Final Win Prob. pScore
2720%88
81
880%99
106
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
89.09194.8
LAL logo Lakers
108.29894.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA81
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0LALRush 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Madsen 2 AST)81
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0LALMadsen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMISS House 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0LALMedvedenko Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Madsen 1 AST)81
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 1:02MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)81
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02MIASUB: Marks FOR Stepania79
101
Q4 - 1:02LALLAKERS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)79
101
Q4 - 1:02LALGeorge P.FOUL (P2.PN)79
101
Q4 - 1:04MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Lampley 12' Jump Shot79
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:23LALMadsen 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)79
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36LALMedvedenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38MIAMISS James 22' Jump Shot79
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)79
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00LALMISS Rush Driving Layup79
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIAStepania Layup (10 PTS)79
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22MIAMISS James Layup77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31LALMISS Medvedenko 14' Jump Shot77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46MIAHouse Driving Layup (2 PTS)77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:50LALMadsen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04LALShaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06MIAMISS Stepania 9' Jump Shot75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:19LALGeorge Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:19MIASUB: Lampley FOR Grant75
98
Q4 - 3:19LALSUB: Madsen FOR Horry75
98
Q4 - 3:19MIAGrant S.FOUL (P6.T3)75
98
Q4 - 3:19LALGeorge Layup (8 PTS) (Horry 4 AST)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)74
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36LALMedvedenko P.FOUL (P1.PN)73
96
Q4 - 3:44MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45LALMISS George 21' Jump Shot73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05MIAStepania P.FOUL (P5.T2)73
96
Q4 - 4:07MIARush STEAL (1 STL)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14LALSUB: Medvedenko FOR O'Neal73
96
Q4 - 4:14LALShaw P.FOUL (P1.T4)73
96
Q4 - 4:31LALRush 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (O'Neal 5 AST)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:48MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T20)73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53LALMISS Shaw 22' Jump Shot73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13MIAStepania Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:33LALRush 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horry 3 AST)71
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:42LALHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:57LALLAKERS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)71
90
Q4 - 5:57LALHorry P.FOUL (P2.T3)71
90
Q4 - 6:16LALGeorge Slam Dunk (6 PTS)71
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 6:20MIAGeorge STEAL (1 STL)71
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 6:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 6:38LALMISS Rush 11' Jump Shot71
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 6:56MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)71
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 6:56MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)70
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 6:56LALO'Neal S.FOUL (P4.T2)69
88
Q4 - 7:04MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 7:06LALMISS Horry 3PT Jump Shot69
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q4 - 7:21MIAButler 9' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (House 1 AST)69
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 7:36LALHorry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)67
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 7:56MIAStepania 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)67
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 8:07LALSUB: Rush FOR Bryant65
85
Q4 - 8:07MIAHeat Rebound65
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 8:08LALMISS O'Neal 3' Layup65
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 8:13LALShaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
85
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS Grant 13' Jump Shot65
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 8:25MIAHorry STEAL (2 STL)65
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 8:25MIAHouse S.FOUL (P1.T1)65
85
Q4 - 8:25LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (36 PTS)65
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 8:25LALSUB: O'Neal FOR Walker65
84
Q4 - 8:25MIASUB: Butler FOR Allen65
84
Q4 - 8:25MIASUB: Grant FOR Butler65
84
Q4 - 8:2565
84
Q4 - 8:25LALBryant Layup (35 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)65
84
Q4 - 8:25MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 8:28LALMISS Shaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 8:32MIABryant STEAL (4 STL)65
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 8:37LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)65
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 8:47LALWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)65
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 8:49MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot65
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 8:59MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q4 - 9:01MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot65
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 9:19MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)65
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 9:21MIAMISS House Driving Layup65
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 9:34MIAHeat Rebound65
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 9:36LALMISS Bryant 18' Jump Shot65
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 9:54LALHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 9:55MIAMISS Stepania Layup65
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 9:56MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)65
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 9:58MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot65
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 10:14MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q4 - 10:16LALMISS George 18' Jump Shot65
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q4 - 10:32MIAHouse Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T16)65
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q4 - 10:40LALBryant P.FOUL (P1.T1)65
82
Q4 - 10:53LALBryant 14' Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)65
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q4 - 11:04MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (James 4 AST)65
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q4 - 11:10MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)63
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q4 - 11:12LALMISS Horry 10' Running Jump Shot63
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q4 - 11:33MIAAllen 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)63
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q4 - 11:41MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 11:44LALMISS Bryant Reverse Layup61
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q4 - 12:0061
80
Q3 - 0:00.0LAL61
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0LALLAKERS Rebound61
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0LALMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAButler 9' Jump Shot (21 PTS)61
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q3 - 0:32.0LALO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)59
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0LALO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)59
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAStepania S.FOUL (P4.PN)59
78
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)59
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)59
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAGeorge BLOCK (2 BLK)59
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q3 - 1:02MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q3 - 1:04LALMISS Bryant Reverse Layup59
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q3 - 1:19LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q3 - 1:21MIAMISS House 16' Jump Shot59
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q3 - 1:37LALSUB: Horry FOR Walker59
78
Q3 - 1:37MIASUB: House FOR Lampley59
78
Q3 - 1:37MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)59
78
Q3 - 1:43LALFisher Driving Layup (8 PTS)59
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q3 - 1:50LALWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)59
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q3 - 1:52MIAGeorge BLOCK (1 BLK)59
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q3 - 2:06LALO'Neal Layup (13 PTS) (George 2 AST)59
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 2:16MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)59
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 2:31MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
2.2%
74
97.8%
Q3 - 2:46LALGeorge P.FOUL (P1.T3)59
74
Q3 - 3:03LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)59
2.6%
74
97.4%
Q3 - 3:03MIASUB: Allen FOR Grant59
73
Q3 - 3:03LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)59
2.7%
73
97.3%
Q3 - 3:03MIAGrant S.FOUL (P5.PN)59
72
Q3 - 3:08MIAFisher STEAL (2 STL)59
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q3 - 3:12LALFisher Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)59
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q3 - 3:22MIASUB: Stepania FOR Allen59
72
Q3 - 3:22MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P3.T12)59
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q3 - 3:22MIAGrant OFF.Foul (P4)59
72
Q3 - 3:32LALO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)59
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q3 - 3:32LALLAKERS Rebound59
71
Q3 - 3:32LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 259
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 3:32MIAAllen S.FOUL (P2.PN)59
71
Q3 - 3:44LALWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)59
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 3:46MIAMISS James Driving Layup59
3.9%
71
96.1%
Q3 - 4:00LALLAKERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)59
4.4%
71
95.6%
Q3 - 4:24MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T11)59
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q3 - 4:24MIAJames OFF.Foul (P2)59
71
Q3 - 4:32MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 2)59
71
Q3 - 4:40LALWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)59
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q3 - 4:40LALWalker Slam Dunk (8 PTS)59
4.7%
71
95.3%
Q3 - 4:42LALMISS Bryant Driving Layup59
6.1%
69
93.9%
Q3 - 4:55LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 4:57MIAMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot59
5.7%
69
94.3%
Q3 - 5:23LALGeorge 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Fisher 4 AST)59
6.7%
69
93.3%
Q3 - 5:44MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)59
7.6%
67
92.4%
Q3 - 5:55LALSUB: George FOR Fox56
67
Q3 - 5:55LALFox P.FOUL (P4.T2)56
67
Q3 - 6:06LALBryant Reverse Layup (29 PTS) (Fisher 3 AST)56
5.8%
67
94.2%
Q3 - 6:21MIASUB: James FOR Carter56
65
Q3 - 6:21MIACarter Foul Turnover (P2.T10)56
6.7%
65
93.3%
Q3 - 6:21MIACarter OFF.Foul (P2)56
65
Q3 - 6:39LALFox 19' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Fisher 2 AST)56
7.9%
65
92.1%
Q3 - 6:42LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
9.0%
63
91.0%
Q3 - 6:44MIAMISS Carter 14' Jump Shot56
9.5%
63
90.5%
Q3 - 6:54MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
10.6%
63
89.4%
Q3 - 6:58LALMISS Bryant 12' Jump Shot56
10.1%
63
89.9%
Q3 - 7:10MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.T4)56
63
Q3 - 7:10LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
9.2%
63
90.8%
Q3 - 7:12LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
10.2%
63
89.8%
Q3 - 7:28LALWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)56
9.2%
63
90.8%
Q3 - 7:30MIAMISS Allen 6' Jump Shot56
9.6%
63
90.4%
Q3 - 7:36MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 2)56
63
Q3 - 7:57MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
10.6%
63
89.4%
Q3 - 7:59LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
10.2%
63
89.8%
Q3 - 8:19MIAAllen 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)56
9.3%
63
90.7%
Q3 - 8:36MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)54
63
Q3 - 8:42LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)54
8.1%
63
91.9%
Q3 - 8:42MIASUB: Lampley FOR Butler54
62
Q3 - 8:42LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)54
8.3%
62
91.7%
Q3 - 8:42MIAButler S.FOUL (P4.T3)54
61
Q3 - 9:01MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)54
9.4%
61
90.6%
Q3 - 9:15LALFisher 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bryant 4 AST)54
10.7%
61
89.3%
Q3 - 9:20LALWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)54
12.2%
59
87.8%
Q3 - 9:21MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
13.9%
59
86.1%
Q3 - 9:21MIAMISS Butler Tip Shot54
12.7%
59
87.3%
Q3 - 9:23MIAWalker BLOCK (1 BLK)54
12.7%
59
87.3%
Q3 - 9:43LALFox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
13.9%
59
86.1%
Q3 - 9:43LALFox Tip Shot (10 PTS)54
59
Q3 - 9:44LALMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 154
17.5%
57
82.5%
Q3 - 9:44MIACarter S.FOUL (P1.T2)54
57
Q3 - 9:44LALO'Neal Layup (10 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)54
17.8%
57
82.2%
Q3 - 9:58MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)54
20.0%
55
80.0%
Q3 - 10:15LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)52
17.6%
55
82.4%
Q3 - 10:15MIAButler S.FOUL (P3.T1)52
54
Q3 - 10:15LALBryant Layup (24 PTS)52
19.7%
54
80.3%
Q3 - 10:23LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
22.1%
52
77.9%
Q3 - 10:25MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot52
22.8%
52
77.2%
Q3 - 10:40LALFox Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)52
24.7%
52
75.3%
Q3 - 10:42LALFox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
22.1%
52
77.9%
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Butler 8' Jump Shot52
22.9%
52
77.1%
Q3 - 10:55LALFox P.FOUL (P3.T1)52
52
Q3 - 11:10LALFox Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)52
24.2%
52
75.8%
Q3 - 11:15MIAButler Layup (14 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)52
21.6%
52
78.4%
Q3 - 11:26LALO'Neal Layup (8 PTS) (Bryant 3 AST)50
19.5%
52
80.5%
Q3 - 11:38LALWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)50
21.6%
50
78.4%
Q3 - 11:40MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
24.2%
50
75.8%
Q3 - 11:40MIAMISS Allen Tip Shot50
22.4%
50
77.6%
Q3 - 11:42MIAMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot50
22.4%
50
77.6%
Q3 - 12:0050
50
Q2 - 0:00.0LAL50
24.2%
50
75.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0LALLAKERS Rebound50
21.6%
50
78.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0LALMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
23.4%
50
76.6%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)50
21.8%
50
78.2%
Q2 - 0:11.0LALSUB: Fox FOR Walker49
50
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)49
21.4%
50
78.6%
Q2 - 0:11.0LALHorry S.FOUL (P1.T4)48
50
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)48
50
Q2 - 0:31.0LALBryant Reverse Layup (22 PTS)48
19.1%
50
80.9%
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAButler 9' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 2 AST)48
21.8%
48
78.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
19.1%
48
80.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0LALMISS Murray 8' Jump Shot46
18.6%
48
81.4%
Q2 - 1:13MIALampley Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)46
17.5%
48
82.5%
Q2 - 1:17MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
15.2%
48
84.8%
Q2 - 1:18LALMISS Walker Layup44
14.8%
48
85.2%
Q2 - 1:19LALWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)44
14.0%
48
86.0%
Q2 - 1:21LALMISS Bryant 17' Jump Shot44
14.8%
48
85.2%
Q2 - 1:28LALLAKERS Rebound44
14.0%
48
86.0%
Q2 - 1:30LALMISS Fisher Layup44
14.8%
48
85.2%
Q2 - 1:39MIAButler 7' Jump Shot (15 PTS)44
14.0%
48
86.0%
Q2 - 1:53LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)42
12.1%
48
87.9%
Q2 - 1:53LALSUB: Horry FOR Fox42
47
Q2 - 1:53LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)42
12.3%
47
87.7%
Q2 - 1:53MIAButler S.FOUL (P2.PN)42
46
Q2 - 2:01MIABryant STEAL (3 STL)42
13.6%
46
86.4%
Q2 - 2:14LALFisher Violation:Kicked Ball42
46
Q2 - 2:23LALBryant Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)42
15.2%
46
84.8%
Q2 - 2:33MIALampley Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)42
13.6%
46
86.4%
Q2 - 2:44MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
15.2%
46
84.8%
Q2 - 2:45MIAMISS Marks Free Throw 2 of 242
13.8%
46
86.2%
Q2 - 2:45MIAMarks Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)42
14.7%
46
85.3%
Q2 - 2:45LALSUB: Walker FOR O'Neal41
46
Q2 - 2:45LALO'Neal S.FOUL (P3.T3)41
46
Q2 - 2:51LALSUB: Murray FOR Walker41
46
Q2 - 2:51MIAHeat Rebound41
13.6%
46
86.4%
Q2 - 2:53MIAMISS Marks 16' Jump Shot41
12.6%
46
87.4%
Q2 - 3:10LALWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)41
13.6%
46
86.4%
Q2 - 3:10MIAMarks S.FOUL (P1.PN)41
45
Q2 - 3:10LALWalker Layup (5 PTS) (Fox 3 AST)41
15.1%
45
84.9%
Q2 - 3:21LALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)41
16.5%
43
83.5%
Q2 - 3:23MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot41
17.1%
43
82.9%
Q2 - 3:31MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
18.6%
43
81.4%
Q2 - 3:32LALMISS O'Neal Layup41
18.0%
43
82.0%
Q2 - 3:50MIAButler 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS)41
16.5%
43
83.5%
Q2 - 4:01MIASUB: Marks FOR Stepania39
43
Q2 - 4:01MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)39
43
Q2 - 4:10LALFox 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)39
14.9%
43
85.1%
Q2 - 4:16MIAStepania P.FOUL (P3.T4)39
40
Q2 - 4:31MIAJames Driving Layup (11 PTS)39
18.1%
40
81.9%
Q2 - 4:40LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)37
16.5%
40
83.5%
Q2 - 4:40MIALampley S.FOUL (P1.T3)37
39
Q2 - 4:40LALBryant 8' Jump Shot (17 PTS)37
18.2%
39
81.8%
Q2 - 4:58LALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)37
20.0%
37
80.0%
Q2 - 5:00MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot37
20.7%
37
79.3%
Q2 - 5:06MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
21.8%
37
78.2%
Q2 - 5:09LALMISS Fisher 3PT Jump Shot37
21.2%
37
78.8%
Q2 - 5:13LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
19.9%
37
80.1%
Q2 - 5:15LALWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
19.9%
37
80.1%
Q2 - 5:15LALMISS Walker Tip Shot37
21.2%
37
78.8%
Q2 - 5:16LALMISS O'Neal Layup37
21.2%
37
78.8%
Q2 - 5:27LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
19.9%
37
80.1%
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS Lampley 14' Jump Shot37
20.5%
37
79.5%
Q2 - 5:41LALO'Neal Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Fox 2 AST)37
21.8%
37
78.2%
Q2 - 5:51MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)37
24.0%
35
76.0%
Q2 - 5:51MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)36
23.7%
35
76.3%
Q2 - 5:51LALSUB: Fox FOR George35
35
Q2 - 5:5135
35
Q2 - 5:51LALO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.T2)35
35
Q2 - 6:05LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)35
21.9%
35
78.1%
Q2 - 6:15MIAStepania P.FOUL (P2.T2)35
35
Q2 - 6:18MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.T1)35
35
Q2 - 6:18LALO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
19.7%
35
80.3%
Q2 - 6:20LALMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot35
21.2%
35
78.8%
Q2 - 6:36MIASUB: Butler FOR Grant35
35
Q2 - 6:36LALSUB: Walker FOR Horry35
35
Q2 - 6:36LALSUB: Bryant FOR Rush35
35
Q2 - 6:36MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T6)35
19.7%
35
80.3%
Q2 - 6:36MIAGrant OFF.Foul (P3)35
35
Q2 - 6:47LALRush Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)35
21.9%
35
78.1%
Q2 - 6:57MIAHorry STEAL (1 STL)35
19.7%
35
80.3%
Q2 - 7:09MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
21.3%
35
78.7%
Q2 - 7:12LALMISS O'Neal Layup35
20.7%
35
79.3%
Q2 - 7:25MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)35
19.4%
35
80.6%
Q2 - 7:25LALRush Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)35
21.3%
35
78.7%
Q2 - 7:35LALHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
19.4%
35
80.6%
Q2 - 7:37LALMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
20.8%
35
79.2%
Q2 - 7:53MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)35
19.4%
35
80.6%
Q2 - 7:53LALO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.T1)34
35
Q2 - 7:53MIAJames Driving Layup (8 PTS)34
17.7%
35
82.3%
Q2 - 8:12LALRush Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)32
16.1%
35
83.9%
Q2 - 8:32MIAJames 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
14.7%
35
85.3%
Q2 - 8:47LALGeorge Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)30
13.3%
35
86.7%
Q2 - 8:52LALSUB: Fisher FOR Bryant30
33
Q2 - 8:52LALSUB: O'Neal FOR Walker30
33
Q2 - 8:52MIASUB: Grant FOR Butler30
33
Q2 - 8:52MIASUB: Lampley FOR Allen30
33
Q2 - 8:52LALLAKERS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)30
33
Q2 - 8:57MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
14.7%
33
85.3%
Q2 - 8:57MIAButler Follow Up Dunk (11 PTS)30
14.7%
33
85.3%
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot28
12.4%
33
87.6%
Q2 - 9:18LALBryant 8' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)28
13.3%
33
86.7%
Q2 - 9:37MIAButler Layup (9 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)28
14.5%
31
85.5%
Q2 - 9:43MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
13.3%
31
86.7%
Q2 - 9:45LALMISS Horry 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
12.9%
31
87.1%
Q2 - 10:12MIAButler Layup (7 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)26
12.2%
31
87.8%
Q2 - 10:27LALRush 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (George 1 AST)24
11.1%
31
88.9%
Q2 - 10:46MIAJames 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)24
12.2%
29
87.8%
Q2 - 11:10LALBryant Reverse Layup (13 PTS)22
11.4%
29
88.6%
Q2 - 11:34MIAJames 14' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
12.4%
27
87.6%
Q2 - 11:46MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
11.3%
27
88.7%
Q2 - 11:48MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot20
10.6%
27
89.4%
Q2 - 12:0020
27
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
11.3%
27
88.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0LALBryant Layup (11 PTS)20
11.3%
27
88.7%
Q1 - 0:12.0LALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
12.5%
25
87.5%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Stepania 14' Jump Shot20
12.8%
25
87.2%
Q1 - 0:35.0LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)20
13.4%
25
86.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0LALSUB: George FOR Fox20
24
Q1 - 0:35.0LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)20
13.6%
24
86.4%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.PN)20
23
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)20
14.8%
23
85.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0LALSUB: Walker FOR O'Neal19
23
Q1 - 0:41.0LALFox S.FOUL (P2.T4)19
23
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAButler Layup (4 PTS)19
13.6%
23
86.4%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
12.3%
23
87.7%
Q1 - 1:01LALMISS Fox 22' Jump Shot17
12.1%
23
87.9%
Q1 - 1:08LALHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
11.6%
23
88.4%
Q1 - 1:09MIAMISS Stepania 4' Running Jump Shot17
11.8%
23
88.2%
Q1 - 1:25MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
12.3%
23
87.7%
Q1 - 1:27LALMISS Fisher 21' Jump Shot17
12.1%
23
87.9%
Q1 - 1:38LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
11.6%
23
88.4%
Q1 - 1:40MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot17
11.8%
23
88.2%
Q1 - 1:48MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
12.3%
23
87.7%
Q1 - 1:49LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
12.1%
23
87.9%
Q1 - 2:15MIAButler 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 1 AST)17
11.7%
23
88.3%
Q1 - 2:34LALFisher Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
10.6%
23
89.4%
Q1 - 2:38MIABryant STEAL (2 STL)15
9.9%
23
90.1%
Q1 - 2:54LALSUB: Horry FOR Walker15
23
Q1 - 2:54MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)15
23
Q1 - 2:54LALFox Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
10.6%
23
89.4%
Q1 - 3:03LALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)15
9.7%
23
90.3%
Q1 - 3:05MIAMISS Stepania 22' Jump Shot15
10.0%
23
90.0%
Q1 - 3:14MIAHeat Rebound15
23
Q1 - 3:14MIAMISS Butler Free Throw Technical15
10.6%
23
89.4%
Q1 - 3:14LALLAKERS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Walker )15
23
Q1 - 3:26LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)15
10.6%
23
89.4%
Q1 - 3:26LALLAKERS Rebound15
22
Q1 - 3:26LALMISS Bryant Free Throw 1 of 215
10.7%
22
89.3%
Q1 - 3:26MIAAllen S.FOUL (P1.T4)15
22
Q1 - 3:35MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
10.6%
22
89.4%
Q1 - 3:35MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
10.5%
22
89.5%
Q1 - 3:35LALWalker S.FOUL (P1.T3)13
22
Q1 - 4:00LALFox 14' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
10.5%
22
89.5%
Q1 - 4:15MIASUB: James FOR Carter13
20
Q1 - 4:15MIAStepania P.FOUL (P1.T3)13
20
Q1 - 4:28MIAStepania 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)13
11.3%
20
88.7%
Q1 - 4:54LALBryant Driving Dunk (6 PTS)11
10.7%
20
89.3%
Q1 - 4:57MIABryant STEAL (1 STL)11
11.4%
18
88.6%
Q1 - 5:04MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
12.5%
18
87.5%
Q1 - 5:05LALMISS O'Neal Layup11
12.3%
18
87.7%
Q1 - 5:19LALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
11.7%
18
88.3%
Q1 - 5:21MIAMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot11
12.0%
18
88.0%
Q1 - 5:35MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
12.7%
18
87.3%
Q1 - 5:35LALMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 211
12.6%
18
87.4%
Q1 - 5:35MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant11
18
Q1 - 5:35LALWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
12.1%
18
87.9%
Q1 - 5:35LALLAKERS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)11
17
Q1 - 5:35MIAGrant S.FOUL (P2.T2)11
17
Q1 - 5:41LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
12.6%
17
87.4%
Q1 - 5:43MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot11
12.9%
17
87.1%
Q1 - 6:00LALFox 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)11
13.6%
17
86.4%
Q1 - 6:20MIAButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)11
15.1%
14
84.9%
Q1 - 6:42LALFisher Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
13.7%
14
86.3%
Q1 - 6:46MIAFisher STEAL (1 STL)8
14.5%
12
85.5%
Q1 - 7:05LALBryant 19' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)8
15.3%
12
84.7%
Q1 - 7:13LALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
16.1%
10
83.9%
Q1 - 7:14MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot8
16.4%
10
83.6%
Q1 - 7:21LALFox P.FOUL (P1.T2)8
10
Q1 - 7:35LALFisher 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)8
17.2%
10
82.8%
Q1 - 7:48LALLAKERS Rebound8
18.0%
8
82.0%
Q1 - 7:49MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot8
18.3%
8
81.7%
Q1 - 8:00MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
19.1%
8
80.9%
Q1 - 8:02LALMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot8
18.5%
8
81.5%
Q1 - 8:15LALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
18.0%
8
82.0%
Q1 - 8:16MIAMISS Grant Layup8
18.2%
8
81.8%
Q1 - 8:31LALWalker 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)8
18.9%
8
81.1%
Q1 - 8:57MIAGrant Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)8
19.8%
6
80.2%
Q1 - 9:02LALBryant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
18.8%
6
81.2%
Q1 - 9:15MIACarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
18.3%
6
81.7%
Q1 - 9:15MIAHeat Rebound5
6
Q1 - 9:15MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 25
18.0%
6
82.0%
Q1 - 9:15LALFisher S.FOUL (P1.T1)5
6
Q1 - 9:41LALO'Neal Layup (4 PTS) (Fox 1 AST)5
18.4%
6
81.6%
Q1 - 9:56MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)5
19.1%
4
80.9%
Q1 - 10:15LALBryant 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)3
18.6%
4
81.4%
Q1 - 10:31LALWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
19.2%
2
80.8%
Q1 - 10:34MIAMISS Allen 9' Turnaround Jump Shot3
19.3%
2
80.7%
Q1 - 10:50MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
19.7%
2
80.3%
Q1 - 10:52LALMISS Fisher 19' Jump Shot3
19.6%
2
80.4%
Q1 - 10:56LALFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
19.3%
2
80.7%
Q1 - 10:58MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot3
19.4%
2
80.6%
Q1 - 11:11LALO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)3
19.6%
2
80.4%
Q1 - 11:11LALO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
19.6%
1
80.4%
Q1 - 11:11MIAGrant S.FOUL (P1.T1)3
0
Q1 - 11:29MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)3
19.8%
0
80.2%
Q1 - 11:41MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
19.7%
0
80.3%
Q1 - 11:43LALMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot0
19.6%
0
80.4%
Q1 - 12:00LALJump Ball O'Neal vs. Grant: Tip to Walker0
19.9%
0
80.1%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIALAL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.6%
LAL
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
23
57%
LAL
21
33
64%
Midrange
MIA
15
45
33%
LAL
13
29
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
7
43%
64%
LAL
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
Free Throws
MIA
16
19
84%
LAL
20
24
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler2364%11.5 / 17
R. Butler1680%8.0 / 10
M. James1450%7.0 / 14
V. Stepania1050%5.0 / 10
B. Grant643%3.0 / 7
M. Allen420%2.0 / 10
S. Lampley450%2.0 / 4
E. House217%1.0 / 6
A. Carter117%0.5 / 3
S. Marks125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Bryant3662%18.0 / 29
S. O'Neal1544%7.5 / 17
R. Fox12100%6.0 / 6
K. Rush1179%5.5 / 7
D. George956%4.5 / 8
S. Walker857%4.0 / 7
D. Fisher850%4.0 / 8
R. Horry338%1.5 / 4
S. Medvedenko250%1.0 / 2
M. Madsen2100%1.0 / 1
B. Shaw0-0.0 / 2
T. Murray0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
70
+14
-21
84
LAL
85
+11
-13
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.93 46.6%
LAL
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
103.9
MIA 89.0
LAL 108.2 +19.2
Pace
90.0
95.5
MIA 94.8 +0.5
LAL 94.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.6
MIA 15.2 −0.1
LAL 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
48.6%
MIA 43.3%
LAL 55.1% +11.8%
TO %
14.8%
14.5%
MIA 20.1%
LAL 13.7% −6.4%
ORB %
26.8%
30.2%
MIA 30.2% +7.3%
LAL 22.9%
FTrt
25.9
31.1
MIA 25.3
LAL 30.8 +5.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
61.8%
MIA 61.3%
LAL 62.5% +1.2%
STL %
7.9%
8.2%
MIA 9.9%
LAL 11.2% +1.3%
BLK %
6.4%
8.5%
MIA 1.6%
LAL 4.4% +2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
50.2%
MIA 46.6%
LAL 55.2% +8.6%
Rim FG%
53.7%
61.3%
MIA 56.5%
LAL 63.6% +7.1%
Mid FG%
37.6%
38.5%
MIA 33.3%
LAL 44.8% +11.5%
3P %
31.6%
35.6%
MIA 42.9% +5.4%
LAL 37.5%
FT %
76.5%
73.4%
MIA 84.2% +0.9%
LAL 83.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
31.4%
MIA 30.7%
LAL 42.3% +11.6%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
48.6%
MIA 60.0%
LAL 37.2% −22.8%
3P Att. %
16.9%
19.9%
MIA 9.3%
LAL 20.5% +11.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIALAL
Possessions9198
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points81106
Rebounds4038
Assists1925
Steals911
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)21 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)30 (1)
Field Goals31-7540-78
At-the-Rim FG13-2321-33
Midrange FG15-4513-29
2-Point FG28-6834-62
3-Point FG3-76-16
Free Throws16-1920-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
39.6
23
64%
7
2
4
0
4
1
3
4
7-8
88%
8-14
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 215 · 24
33.5
16
80%
1
3
0
0
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
71%
2-3
67%
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
30.4
4
20%
6
3
1
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-10
20%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
22.7
6
43%
2
3
1
0
4
6
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
13.4
1
17%
0
2
0
0
2
2
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
34.6
14
50%
3
4
1
0
6
2
0
3
1-1
100%
5-10
50%
1-3
33%
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
27.9
10
50%
12
1
0
0
1
5
3
9
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 213 · 23
19.3
4
50%
3
0
0
0
2
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
13.6
2
17%
4
1
2
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
5.0
1
25%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
47%
40
19
9
1
21
0
13
27
16-19
84%
28-68
41%
3-7
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.