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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 14, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Raptors26%8984
12Wizards74%9775
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 25.4
45.8
37.0
21
53%
1
1
2
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
8-14
5-11
57%
43%
1-5
20%
Jerome Williams
F-C · 6'9" 206 · 29.7
35.2
34.9
14
66%
20
1
3
2
0
1
6
14
4-6
67%
5-7
4-8
71%
47%
0-1
0%
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 28.4
29.1
30.8
3
21%
2
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
4-9
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Jelani McCoy
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.1
25.4
18.9
8
31%
8
0
0
0
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
4-13
2-5
31%
46%
0-0
-
Antonio Davis
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.2
24.3
31.2
10
46%
5
1
0
1
2
5
0
5
4-4
100%
3-9
5-11
33%
40%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.5
33.6
24.3
13
72%
4
11
2
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
39%
3-5
60%
Damone Brown
F · 6'8" 202 · 23.5
32.2
1.8
13
60%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
6-9
0-0
67%
39%
0-1
0%
Art Long
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.3
14.4
9.7
2
33%
6
1
1
0
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Jefferies
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.9
21.4
1
2-4
44%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.1
21.2
1
2-5
37%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.0
8.9
0
2-4
43%
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 29.7
8.3
0
1-2
42%
Michael Bradley
F · 6'10" 245 · 23.7
4.6
0
0-1
45%
Mamadou N'diaye
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.6
4.5
0
0-1
42%
Nate Huffman
C · 7'1" 245 · 27.8
3.1
0
0-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Jordan
G · 6'6" 216 · 39.9
40.7
37.1
22
43%
5
4
3
2
2
2
2
3
6-6
100%
8-23
7-16
35%
45%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.0
39.3
38.2
12
34%
9
2
2
2
0
2
1
8
0-1
0%
6-17
6-12
35%
48%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 23.1
29.6
21.2
10
64%
5
0
0
0
3
0
3
2
2-4
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
53%
0-0
-
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 33.4
28.7
29.4
7
72%
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
1-1
100%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.0
19.7
6.9
4
34%
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
1-4
0-1
25%
41%
0-1
0%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 24.3
24.1
4.0
4
20%
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-8
1-1
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.7
20.3
17.1
8
57%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 20.8
18.7
19.9
2
14%
6
2
0
1
2
2
3
3
0-0
-
1-7
3-6
14%
48%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 24.8
14.3
10.8
6
56%
7
0
0
0
1
1
5
2
2-3
67%
2-4
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Charles Oakley
F · 6'9" 245 · 39.1
4.7
11.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 28.2
40.1
1
6-13
45%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.6
0.3
0
0-0
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.