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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 14, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Pistons65%9085
27Heat35%8588
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.1
38.9
36.6
18
48%
3
3
0
1
1
2
0
3
3-4
75%
3-10
4-9
30%
43%
3-7
43%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 24.9
38.0
30.4
24
60%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
13-14
93%
4-11
6-13
36%
44%
1-3
33%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 28.3
37.0
29.4
0
0%
12
0
0
1
3
1
3
9
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 26.3
30.1
33.4
18
47%
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
4
7-7
100%
1-8
3-6
13%
45%
3-8
38%
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 34.4
16.3
19.1
3
52%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.5
21.4
20.4
3
34%
7
3
0
1
0
0
4
3
0-1
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 29.1
20.3
26.0
6
44%
1
1
2
1
0
3
1
0
2-2
100%
2-6
4-10
33%
46%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 23.6
20.0
21.9
6
38%
9
2
0
1
0
1
4
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
0-3
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 28.4
17.9
16.4
7
88%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Hubert Davis
G · 6'5" 183 · 32.7
4.0
0
0-1
42%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 22.9
2.6
0
0-0
43%
Pepe Sanchez
G · 6'4" 195 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 22.8
43.5
36.8
22
66%
8
4
4
2
1
0
2
6
6-6
100%
8-14
5-12
57%
42%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
37.0
26.4
16
48%
5
1
2
1
1
3
0
5
5-8
63%
4-10
3-8
40%
42%
1-3
33%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 30.9
32.8
28.8
6
50%
7
2
1
1
1
3
1
6
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.6
22.3
20.5
6
30%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
3-7
2-5
43%
37%
0-2
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.6
18.3
28.7
6
43%
7
1
0
1
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
43%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 27.6
29.1
27.2
9
57%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-6
50%
39%
1-3
33%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.7
28.9
22.1
10
58%
7
1
1
1
1
0
3
4
2-6
33%
4-6
2-6
67%
45%
0-0
-
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.7
15.9
4.2
12
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
44%
2-2
100%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.7
7.5
14.7
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-5
-
42%
0-0
-
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 23.4
4.6
19.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-6
0%
40%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.2
9.5
0
1-3
44%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27.4
4.0
0
0-1
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.