FinalWin Prob.pScore
2715%85
81
885%97
104
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
93.18786.8
IND logo IND
119.58787.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA81
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAHouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)81
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 1:06INDBrezec 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)78
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 1:12INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14INDMISS Strickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Marks 1 AST)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43INDBrewer 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)76
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52MIAMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53MIAHeat Rebound76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:53MIAFoster BLOCK (1 BLK)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10MIAMISS Marks 21' Jump Shot76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29INDMISS Foster 2' Layup76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42MIALampley Foul Turnover (P3.T17)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05INDMISS Foster Free Throw 2 of 276
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)76
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06INDMISS Brewer 2' Layup76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)75
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49INDFoster 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brewer 3 AST)74
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:04INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot74
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13MIAHeat Rebound74
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14MIAMISS Marks 3' Jump Shot74
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33INDStrickland 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)74
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 274
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)74
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05INDMISS Jones 2' Layup73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:08INDBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10INDMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28MIAStrickland STEAL (2 STL)73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:38MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:40INDMISS Strickland 14' Jump Shot73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:57MIAJames 2' Layup (9 PTS)73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01INDBrewer Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)71
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:06MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)71
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:06MIAMISS Lampley Free Throw 1 of 270
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:09INDBrewer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)70
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:26MIALampley 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS)70
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:40MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:54MIAHeat Rebound68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55INDMISS Foster 13' Jump Shot68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:18MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:28MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:31INDMISS Brezec 16' Jump Shot68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:49MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)68
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:49MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)67
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:50MIALampley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 7:52MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 8:12INDJones 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)66
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 8:25MIAMarks 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lampley 1 AST)66
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 8:42INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)64
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 8:42INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)64
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 8:48INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 8:49MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 8:58MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 9:00INDMISS Jones 1' Layup64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 9:03INDJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 9:06MIABrezec BLOCK (1 BLK)64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 9:29INDHarrington 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 9:50MIAButler 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)64
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 10:08INDHarrington 2' Finger Roll (9 PTS)62
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 10:24MIALampley Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)62
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 10:43INDMercer 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harrington 4 AST)62
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 11:01MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)62
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 11:01MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)61
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 11:20INDStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)60
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 11:26INDMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 11:28MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 11:45MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q4 - 11:47INDMISS Strickland 14' Jump Shot60
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA60
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDStrickland 2' Layup (5 PTS)60
0.2%
83
99.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAStrickland STEAL (1 STL)60
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 0:02.0INDStrickland Foul Turnover (P1.T7)60
0.4%
81
99.6%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)60
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 259
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAHeat Rebound59
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMISS James 4' Jump Shot59
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)59
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Butler 2' Layup59
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 0:52.0INDMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 0:52.0INDMiller Follow Up Dunk (21 PTS)59
0.3%
81
99.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0INDMISS Harrington 15' Jump Shot59
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 1:07INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
0.4%
79
99.6%
Q3 - 1:09MIAMISS James 28' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 1:22INDMiller 2' Layup (19 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)59
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q3 - 1:27INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q3 - 1:29INDMISS Mercer 19' Jump Shot59
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q3 - 1:43MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)59
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q3 - 2:10INDWorld Peace 1' Layup (18 PTS)57
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q3 - 2:18MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)57
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q3 - 2:18MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)56
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q3 - 2:37INDHarrington 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)55
0.6%
75
99.4%
Q3 - 2:43INDMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
0.7%
73
99.3%
Q3 - 2:44MIAMISS Butler 3' Layup55
0.8%
73
99.2%
Q3 - 3:02INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)55
1.0%
73
99.0%
Q3 - 3:02INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)55
1.0%
72
99.0%
Q3 - 3:02INDMiller Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)55
1.2%
71
98.8%
Q3 - 3:02INDPACERS Rebound55
1.4%
70
98.6%
Q3 - 3:02MIAMISS Butler 5' Jump Shot55
1.5%
70
98.5%
Q3 - 3:25INDMiller 12' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)55
1.7%
70
98.3%
Q3 - 3:43MIAStepania 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)55
2.0%
68
98.0%
Q3 - 3:58INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)53
1.7%
68
98.3%
Q3 - 3:58INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)53
1.7%
67
98.3%
Q3 - 4:27MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)53
2.0%
66
98.0%
Q3 - 4:27MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)52
1.9%
66
98.1%
Q3 - 4:45INDWorld Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)51
1.8%
66
98.2%
Q3 - 4:52INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)51
2.4%
63
97.6%
Q3 - 4:54MIAO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)51
2.6%
63
97.4%
Q3 - 4:56MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
2.9%
63
97.1%
Q3 - 4:58MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot51
2.6%
63
97.4%
Q3 - 5:16INDO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)51
3.1%
63
96.9%
Q3 - 5:31MIAMiller STEAL (3 STL)51
2.6%
63
97.4%
Q3 - 5:49INDMiller 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (O'Neal 4 AST)51
3.1%
63
96.9%
Q3 - 6:04INDMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
3.7%
61
96.3%
Q3 - 6:07INDMISS O'Neal 2' Layup51
4.2%
61
95.8%
Q3 - 6:15INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
3.7%
61
96.3%
Q3 - 6:17MIAMISS Butler 6' Hook Shot51
3.9%
61
96.1%
Q3 - 6:41INDWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)51
4.4%
61
95.6%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMiller STEAL (2 STL)51
5.9%
58
94.1%
Q3 - 7:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)51
7.1%
58
92.9%
Q3 - 7:09MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot51
6.3%
58
93.7%
Q3 - 7:27MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
7.1%
58
92.9%
Q3 - 7:28INDMISS Tinsley 19' Jump Shot51
6.8%
58
93.2%
Q3 - 7:33INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
6.0%
58
94.0%
Q3 - 7:35MIAMISS Carter 1' Layup51
6.3%
58
93.7%
Q3 - 7:47MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)51
7.1%
58
92.9%
Q3 - 7:49INDMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot51
6.7%
58
93.3%
Q3 - 8:02INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
6.1%
58
93.9%
Q3 - 8:04MIAMISS Allen 4' Hook Shot51
6.4%
58
93.6%
Q3 - 8:18INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)51
7.1%
58
92.9%
Q3 - 8:18INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)51
7.4%
57
92.6%
Q3 - 8:33MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)51
8.1%
56
91.9%
Q3 - 8:48INDWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)49
7.2%
56
92.8%
Q3 - 9:05MIAGrant 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)49
9.1%
53
90.9%
Q3 - 9:10MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
8.0%
53
92.0%
Q3 - 9:12INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot47
7.7%
53
92.3%
Q3 - 9:28MIAAllen 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)47
7.0%
53
93.0%
Q3 - 9:48MIAHeat Rebound45
6.1%
53
93.9%
Q3 - 9:49INDMISS World Peace 22' Jump Shot45
5.8%
53
94.2%
Q3 - 10:03MIAButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)45
5.2%
53
94.8%
Q3 - 10:21INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)42
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q3 - 10:36MIAAllen 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T10)42
3.5%
53
96.5%
Q3 - 10:56INDMiller 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)42
4.0%
53
96.0%
Q3 - 11:13MIAO'Neal STEAL (2 STL)42
4.6%
51
95.4%
Q3 - 11:34INDWorld Peace Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)42
5.2%
51
94.8%
Q3 - 11:44MIATinsley STEAL (2 STL)42
4.6%
51
95.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND42
5.3%
51
94.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
4.6%
51
95.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot42
5.0%
51
95.0%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
5.3%
51
94.7%
Q2 - 0:25.0INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
5.2%
51
94.8%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)42
4.9%
51
95.1%
Q2 - 1:15INDO'Neal 3' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)39
3.8%
51
96.2%
Q2 - 1:33MIAJames 2' Layup (2 PTS)39
4.5%
49
95.5%
Q2 - 1:59INDMiller 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)37
3.8%
49
96.2%
Q2 - 2:16INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
4.5%
47
95.5%
Q2 - 2:17MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot37
4.7%
47
95.3%
Q2 - 2:33INDWorld Peace 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)37
5.1%
47
94.9%
Q2 - 2:46INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
5.8%
45
94.2%
Q2 - 2:48MIAMISS Lampley 10' Jump Shot37
5.9%
45
94.1%
Q2 - 3:11INDO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)37
6.6%
45
93.4%
Q2 - 3:21INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
5.8%
45
94.2%
Q2 - 3:23MIAMISS Lampley 5' Jump Shot37
6.0%
45
94.0%
Q2 - 3:34INDMiller Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)37
6.6%
45
93.4%
Q2 - 3:39MIAWorld Peace STEAL (1 STL)37
5.8%
45
94.2%
Q2 - 3:43MIALampley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
6.6%
45
93.4%
Q2 - 3:44INDMISS World Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
6.3%
45
93.7%
Q2 - 4:09MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
5.8%
45
94.2%
Q2 - 4:09MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
5.7%
45
94.3%
Q2 - 4:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)35
5.2%
45
94.8%
Q2 - 4:20INDMISS World Peace 4' Jump Shot35
5.1%
45
94.9%
Q2 - 4:38INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
4.7%
45
95.3%
Q2 - 4:40MIAMISS Ellis 2' Layup35
4.9%
45
95.1%
Q2 - 4:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)35
5.2%
45
94.8%
Q2 - 4:54MIAMISS Butler 2' Layup35
4.9%
45
95.1%
Q2 - 5:07INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)35
5.3%
45
94.7%
Q2 - 5:07INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 235
5.4%
44
94.6%
Q2 - 5:13MIAO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)35
5.2%
44
94.8%
Q2 - 5:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
5.9%
44
94.1%
Q2 - 5:17MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
5.4%
44
94.6%
Q2 - 5:34MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
5.9%
44
94.1%
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot35
5.4%
44
94.6%
Q2 - 5:58INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)35
5.9%
44
94.1%
Q2 - 5:58INDMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 235
6.0%
43
94.0%
Q2 - 6:08INDPACERS Rebound35
5.9%
43
94.1%
Q2 - 6:09MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
6.1%
43
93.9%
Q2 - 6:22MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
6.6%
43
93.4%
Q2 - 6:24INDMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot35
6.4%
43
93.6%
Q2 - 6:47MIAEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)35
5.8%
43
94.2%
Q2 - 7:10MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
5.0%
43
95.0%
Q2 - 7:11INDMISS Mercer 17' Jump Shot32
4.9%
43
95.1%
Q2 - 7:25MIALampley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
4.5%
43
95.5%
Q2 - 7:25MIALampley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
4.4%
43
95.6%
Q2 - 7:38MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
4.1%
43
95.9%
Q2 - 7:40INDMISS Foster 1' Layup30
4.0%
43
96.0%
Q2 - 7:57MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
3.7%
43
96.3%
Q2 - 8:26INDMercer 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)30
4.2%
43
95.8%
Q2 - 8:41MIALampley 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stepania 2 AST)30
4.5%
41
95.5%
Q2 - 8:59INDHarrington 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
4.2%
41
95.8%
Q2 - 9:17MIAStepania 3' Layup (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)28
4.6%
39
95.4%
Q2 - 9:33INDFoster 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)26
4.2%
39
95.8%
Q2 - 9:50INDMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
4.6%
37
95.4%
Q2 - 9:52MIAHarrington BLOCK (1 BLK)26
4.7%
37
95.3%
Q2 - 10:19INDFoster 1' Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)26
5.2%
37
94.8%
Q2 - 10:25INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
5.7%
35
94.3%
Q2 - 10:26MIAMISS James 3' Layup26
5.9%
35
94.1%
Q2 - 10:34MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
6.3%
35
93.7%
Q2 - 10:35INDMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot26
6.1%
35
93.9%
Q2 - 10:52MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 126
5.8%
35
94.2%
Q2 - 10:52MIAButler 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS)26
5.7%
35
94.3%
Q2 - 11:24INDStrickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)24
5.2%
35
94.8%
Q2 - 11:39INDStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
6.2%
32
93.8%
Q2 - 11:41MIAStrickland BLOCK (1 BLK)24
6.4%
32
93.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND24
6.8%
32
93.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound24
6.2%
32
93.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Tinsley 38' 3PT Jump Shot24
6.6%
32
93.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIALampley 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
6.3%
32
93.7%
Q1 - 0:22.0INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)22
5.6%
32
94.4%
Q1 - 0:22.0INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)22
5.8%
31
94.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAStepania 4' Layup (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)22
6.3%
30
93.7%
Q1 - 0:53.0INDMercer 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (World Peace 4 AST)20
5.6%
30
94.4%
Q1 - 1:13MIAEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)20
6.3%
28
93.7%
Q1 - 1:34INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)17
5.2%
28
94.8%
Q1 - 1:34INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)17
5.3%
27
94.7%
Q1 - 1:37INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
5.8%
26
94.2%
Q1 - 1:39MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot17
5.9%
26
94.1%
Q1 - 2:04INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
6.3%
26
93.7%
Q1 - 2:04INDO'Neal 2' Follow Up Dunk (7 PTS)17
6.3%
26
93.7%
Q1 - 2:08INDMISS Mercer 2' Layup17
7.3%
24
92.7%
Q1 - 2:09INDMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
6.9%
24
93.1%
Q1 - 2:12MIATinsley BLOCK (2 BLK)17
7.0%
24
93.0%
Q1 - 2:26INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
7.4%
24
92.6%
Q1 - 2:26INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 217
7.6%
23
92.4%
Q1 - 2:32MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)17
7.5%
23
92.5%
Q1 - 2:54INDTinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)15
6.8%
23
93.2%
Q1 - 3:16MIAButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)15
8.1%
20
91.9%
Q1 - 3:22MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
6.9%
20
93.1%
Q1 - 3:23MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot12
6.5%
20
93.5%
Q1 - 3:37MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
6.9%
20
93.1%
Q1 - 3:39INDMISS Miller 2' Layup12
6.7%
20
93.3%
Q1 - 3:41INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
6.3%
20
93.7%
Q1 - 3:42INDMISS Harrington 2' Layup12
6.7%
20
93.3%
Q1 - 3:55MIAMiller STEAL (1 STL)12
6.3%
20
93.7%
Q1 - 4:08INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
6.9%
20
93.1%
Q1 - 4:08INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 212
7.0%
19
93.0%
Q1 - 4:25MIAAllen 7' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)12
6.7%
19
93.3%
Q1 - 4:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
6.3%
19
93.7%
Q1 - 4:37INDMISS World Peace 17' Jump Shot10
6.1%
19
93.9%
Q1 - 4:48INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
5.7%
19
94.3%
Q1 - 4:51MIATinsley BLOCK (1 BLK)10
5.9%
19
94.1%
Q1 - 5:01INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)10
6.3%
19
93.7%
Q1 - 5:01INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
6.4%
18
93.6%
Q1 - 5:12INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
6.8%
17
93.2%
Q1 - 5:14MIAMISS Butler 3' Layup10
6.9%
17
93.1%
Q1 - 5:31MIAHeat Rebound10
7.4%
17
92.6%
Q1 - 5:33INDMISS World Peace 10' Jump Shot10
7.2%
17
92.8%
Q1 - 5:59MIAAllen 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
6.7%
17
93.3%
Q1 - 6:14INDWorld Peace 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)8
6.4%
17
93.6%
Q1 - 6:32INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
6.8%
15
93.2%
Q1 - 6:34MIAMISS Grant 3' Hook Shot8
7.0%
15
93.0%
Q1 - 6:48INDO'Neal 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)8
7.4%
15
92.6%
Q1 - 7:06MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
7.9%
13
92.1%
Q1 - 7:18INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
8.6%
13
91.4%
Q1 - 7:33MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
7.9%
13
92.1%
Q1 - 7:43MIAHeat Rebound6
7.4%
13
92.6%
Q1 - 7:43MIAO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)6
7.1%
13
92.9%
Q1 - 7:59INDMiller 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)6
7.4%
13
92.6%
Q1 - 8:12INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
7.8%
11
92.2%
Q1 - 8:14MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot6
8.0%
11
92.0%
Q1 - 8:29INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
8.4%
11
91.6%
Q1 - 8:29INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
8.5%
10
91.5%
Q1 - 8:31INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
9.0%
9
91.0%
Q1 - 8:34MIAO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)6
9.2%
9
90.8%
Q1 - 8:52INDO'Neal 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)6
9.7%
9
90.3%
Q1 - 9:14MIACarter 1' Layup (2 PTS)6
10.1%
7
89.9%
Q1 - 9:18MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
9.6%
7
90.4%
Q1 - 9:20INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
9.4%
7
90.6%
Q1 - 10:05MIAAllen 3' Layup (2 PTS)4
8.8%
7
91.2%
Q1 - 10:23INDWorld Peace 2' Layup (2 PTS)2
8.3%
7
91.7%
Q1 - 10:24INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
8.8%
5
91.2%
Q1 - 10:25INDMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot2
9.3%
5
90.7%
Q1 - 10:37MIAButler 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
8.8%
5
91.2%
Q1 - 10:40MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8.3%
5
91.7%
Q1 - 10:42INDMISS Tinsley 18' Jump Shot0
8.1%
5
91.9%
Q1 - 10:47INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
7.7%
5
92.3%
Q1 - 10:48MIAMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot0
7.9%
5
92.1%
Q1 - 11:00INDMiller 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)0
8.3%
5
91.7%
Q1 - 11:00MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)0
8.8%
3
91.2%
Q1 - 11:17MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
9.4%
3
90.6%
Q1 - 11:18INDMISS Tinsley 1' Layup0
9.3%
3
90.7%
Q1 - 11:21MIATinsley STEAL (1 STL)0
8.9%
3
91.1%
Q1 - 11:46INDTinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)0
9.4%
3
90.6%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. Grant: Tip to Tinsley0
10.8%
0
89.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 47.1%
IND
1.20 59.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
9
25
36%
IND
18
29
62%
Midrange
MIA
14
35
40%
IND
14
30
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
IND
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
Free Throws
MIA
17
21
81%
IND
22
27
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Butler2170%10.5 / 15
S. Lampley1365%6.5 / 10
M. Allen1071%5.0 / 7
M. James938%4.5 / 12
V. Stepania880%4.0 / 5
L. Ellis732%3.5 / 11
B. Grant433%2.0 / 6
E. House350%1.5 / 3
C. Butler213%1.0 / 8
A. Carter225%1.0 / 4
S. Marks233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Miller2195%10.5 / 11
M. World Peace1869%9.0 / 13
J. O'Neal1359%6.5 / 11
A. Harrington1372%6.5 / 9
J. Tinsley950%4.5 / 9
E. Strickland964%4.5 / 7
J. Foster750%3.5 / 7
R. Mercer650%3.0 / 6
R. Miller225%1.0 / 4
P. Brezec250%1.0 / 2
F. Jones225%1.0 / 4
J. Brewer250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
70
+15
-17
85
IND
77
+10
-10
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 47.1%
IND
1.20 59.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
101.2
MIA 93.1 +26.4
IND 119.5
Pace
90.0
94.7
MIA 86.8
IND 87.2 +0.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.0
MIA 16.6
IND 16.5 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
46.9%
MIA 43.8%
IND 56.9% +13.1%
TO %
14.8%
14.7%
MIA 17.1%
IND 10.7% +6.4%
ORB %
26.8%
28.9%
MIA 27.5%
IND 29.0% +1.5%
FTrt
25.9
34.4
MIA 28.8
IND 37.5 +8.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
65.6%
MIA 55.2%
IND 71.1% +15.9%
STL %
7.9%
9.0%
MIA 3.4%
IND 12.6% +9.2%
BLK %
6.4%
8.1%
MIA 5.1%
IND 15.0% +9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
49.4%
MIA 47.1%
IND 59.8% +12.7%
Rim FG%
53.7%
58.0%
MIA 36.0%
IND 62.1% +26.1%
Mid FG%
37.6%
38.0%
MIA 40.0%
IND 46.7% +6.7%
3P %
31.6%
33.9%
MIA 46.2%
IND 46.2%
FT %
76.5%
76.6%
MIA 81.0%
IND 81.5% +0.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
33.9%
MIA 34.2%
IND 40.3% +6.0%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
49.2%
MIA 47.9%
IND 41.7% +6.3%
3P Att. %
16.9%
16.9%
MIA 17.8%
IND 18.1% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points81104
Rebounds3338
Assists1627
Steals311
Blocks39
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (3)29 (2)
Field Goals29-7338-72
At-the-Rim FG9-2518-29
Midrange FG14-3514-30
2-Point FG23-6032-59
3-Point FG6-136-13
Free Throws17-2122-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 215 · 24
37.5
21
70%
2
1
0
1
2
2
0
2
2-3
67%
5-9
56%
3-4
75%
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
30.5
2
13%
2
4
0
1
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-7
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
26.1
4
33%
7
0
0
0
1
3
4
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
15.3
2
25%
3
3
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
13.0
10
71%
1
0
0
0
4
4
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
27.8
9
38%
3
3
2
0
2
1
0
3
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
23.7
7
32%
3
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
1-2
50%
0-5
0%
2-5
40%
F · 6'6" 213 · 23
23.1
13
65%
5
1
0
0
3
2
1
4
7-8
88%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
21.1
8
80%
5
2
0
0
0
4
3
2
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
12.1
2
33%
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
9.7
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
47%
33
16
3
3
17
0
11
22
17-21
81%
23-60
38%
6-13
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.