FinalWin Prob.pScore
2419%87
93
581%98
106
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
98.99493.5
SAS logo SAS
114.09393.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS93
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0SASRose 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)91
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0ATLHam Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0ATLMISS Ham Free Throw 1 of 290
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)90
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0ATLDickau 4' Layup (11 PTS)90
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)88
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04ATLMISS Dickau 8' Running Jump Shot88
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19SASRose 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)88
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40ATLMohammed 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 7 AST)88
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 1:51ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)86
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 1:53SASMISS Parker 16' Fadeaway Jumper86
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 2:09ATLAbdur-Rahim Traveling Turnover (P4.T15)86
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 2:16ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)86
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 2:18ATLMISS Dickau Free Throw 2 of 286
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 2:18ATLMISS Dickau Free Throw 1 of 286
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 2:29ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 2:31SASMISS Willis 7' Hook Shot86
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 2:42ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)86
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 2:42ATLAbdur-Rahim 3' Layup (16 PTS)85
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03SASParker 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS)83
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22SASWillis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)83
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 3:24SASMISS Rose 21' Jump Shot83
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 3:47ATLTerry Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)83
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 3:47ATLTerry 10' Jump Shot (20 PTS)82
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 3:52ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)80
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 3:54SASMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 280
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 3:54SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 280
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57SASWillis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 4:12ATLRobinson 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Ratliff 1 AST)80
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:34SASWillis Tip Shot (4 PTS)78
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:36SASMISS Ginobili 2' Alley Oop Layup78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54ATLTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wilks 1 AST)78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11SASParker 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:30ATLTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:32ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)75
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 5:34SASMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot75
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 5:53ATLRatliff 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04SASWillis Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)73
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 6:22ATLRatliff Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)73
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:22ATLRatliff Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)72
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39SASWillis 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)71
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:43ATLGinobili STEAL (1 STL)71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:45ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)71
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 6:49SASMISS Willis Layup71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:58SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 6' Jump Shot71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:07ATLHawks Rebound71
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 7:09ATLMISS Henderson 4' Jump Shot71
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 7:12ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 7:14ATLMISS Dickau 6' Jump Shot71
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 7:25SASWillis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)71
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 7:44ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)71
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 7:44ATLAbdur-Rahim 2' Layup (14 PTS)71
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 7:47ATLMISS Dickau 7' Running Jump Shot69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:54ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:56SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 8:02SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 8:05ATLMISS Robinson 2' Layup69
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 8:27SASGinobili 2' Running Dunk (13 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)69
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 8:46ATLDickau 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)69
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 9:00SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Kerr 1 AST)67
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 9:24ATLHenderson 8' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 6 AST)67
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 9:47SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)65
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 9:47SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 9:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)65
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 10:00ATLMISS Henderson 15' Jump Shot65
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 10:19SASGinobili 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)65
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q4 - 10:34ATLRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)65
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 10:34ATLRobinson 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)64
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q4 - 10:48SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)62
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 10:48SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)62
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 10:51SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q4 - 10:54ATLMISS Terry 22' Jump Shot62
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q4 - 11:11SASKerr 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)62
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q4 - 11:17SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q4 - 11:19ATLMISS Robinson 10' Jump Shot62
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q4 - 11:30SASRose 4' Layup (10 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)62
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q4 - 11:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)62
2.4%
73
97.6%
Q4 - 11:36ATLMISS Mohammed 9' Turnaround Jump Shot62
2.5%
73
97.5%
Q4 - 11:48SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)62
2.9%
73
97.1%
Q4 - 11:48SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)62
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL62
3.6%
71
96.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound62
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Terry 26' 3PT Running Jump Shot62
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
4.8%
71
95.2%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASMISS Kerr 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
4.5%
71
95.5%
Q3 - 0:18.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
3.9%
71
96.1%
Q3 - 0:20.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 262
4.6%
71
95.4%
Q3 - 0:20.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 262
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLDickau 3' Running Layup (7 PTS)62
3.9%
71
96.1%
Q3 - 0:54.0SASGinobili 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)60
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q3 - 1:13ATLTerry 16' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS) (Ham 1 AST)60
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q3 - 1:29SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)58
3.4%
69
96.6%
Q3 - 1:29SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)58
3.6%
68
96.4%
Q3 - 1:36ATLSmith STEAL (1 STL)58
4.1%
67
95.9%
Q3 - 1:53ATLHam REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q3 - 1:55SASMISS Rose 2' Reverse Layup58
4.7%
67
95.3%
Q3 - 2:16ATLAbdur-Rahim Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)58
4.3%
67
95.7%
Q3 - 2:34SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)58
5.2%
67
94.8%
Q3 - 2:35SASSPURS Rebound58
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q3 - 2:36SASMISS Bowen 2' Reverse Layup58
7.0%
65
93.0%
Q3 - 2:45ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)58
6.1%
65
93.9%
Q3 - 2:45ATLAbdur-Rahim 1' Layup (11 PTS)57
5.2%
65
94.8%
Q3 - 2:50ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
4.4%
65
95.6%
Q3 - 2:52SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot55
4.1%
65
95.9%
Q3 - 3:05ATLRatliff 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 5 AST)55
3.9%
65
96.1%
Q3 - 3:12ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
3.3%
65
96.7%
Q3 - 3:16SASMISS Rose 5' Jump Shot53
3.1%
65
96.9%
Q3 - 3:37ATLRatliff 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS)53
2.7%
65
97.3%
Q3 - 3:40ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
2.3%
65
97.7%
Q3 - 3:44ATLBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)51
2.0%
65
98.0%
Q3 - 3:59SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)51
2.3%
65
97.7%
Q3 - 3:59SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)51
2.4%
64
97.6%
Q3 - 4:05SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
2.8%
63
97.2%
Q3 - 4:07ATLMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot51
3.0%
63
97.0%
Q3 - 4:22SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)51
3.4%
63
96.6%
Q3 - 4:22SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 251
3.6%
62
96.4%
Q3 - 4:30SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
3.4%
62
96.6%
Q3 - 4:33ATLDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)51
3.6%
62
96.4%
Q3 - 4:42ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
4.1%
62
95.9%
Q3 - 4:44SASMISS Robinson 3' Layup51
3.8%
62
96.2%
Q3 - 4:56ATLRatliff 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
3.4%
62
96.6%
Q3 - 4:59ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
2.9%
62
97.1%
Q3 - 5:02ATLDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)49
2.8%
62
97.2%
Q3 - 5:27SASRobinson 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)49
3.1%
62
96.9%
Q3 - 5:41ATLRatliff 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 4 AST)49
3.6%
60
96.4%
Q3 - 6:02ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)47
3.3%
60
96.7%
Q3 - 6:04SASMISS Robinson 5' Jump Shot47
3.1%
60
96.9%
Q3 - 6:21ATLJackson STEAL (2 STL)47
2.8%
60
97.2%
Q3 - 6:34SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)47
3.2%
60
96.8%
Q3 - 6:53ATLAbdur-Rahim 3' Layup (9 PTS)47
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q3 - 7:14SASParker 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS)45
4.0%
57
96.0%
Q3 - 7:41ATLRatliff Foul Turnover (P3.T9)45
4.5%
55
95.5%
Q3 - 7:57SASDuncan 4' Driving Layup (21 PTS)45
5.3%
55
94.7%
Q3 - 8:20SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)45
6.2%
53
93.8%
Q3 - 8:22SASMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
6.9%
53
93.1%
Q3 - 8:26SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)45
6.2%
53
93.8%
Q3 - 8:29SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot45
6.9%
53
93.1%
Q3 - 8:41ATLRatliff 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)45
6.2%
53
93.8%
Q3 - 8:52ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
5.5%
53
94.5%
Q3 - 8:54SASMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot43
5.2%
53
94.8%
Q3 - 9:07ATLWilks Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)43
4.7%
53
95.3%
Q3 - 9:14SASMISS Robinson 4' Jump Hook Shot43
5.2%
53
94.8%
Q3 - 9:33ATLHawks Rebound43
5.4%
53
94.6%
Q3 - 9:33ATLTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)43
4.7%
53
95.3%
Q3 - 9:33ATLMISS Terry Free Throw 1 of 242
4.6%
53
95.4%
Q3 - 9:43ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
4.7%
53
95.3%
Q3 - 9:45SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot42
4.5%
53
95.5%
Q3 - 10:04SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q3 - 10:07SASMISS Parker 6' Running Jump Shot42
4.6%
53
95.4%
Q3 - 10:27SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
4.1%
53
95.9%
Q3 - 10:29ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 20' Jump Shot42
4.3%
53
95.7%
Q3 - 10:48SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)42
4.8%
53
95.2%
Q3 - 10:48SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)42
5.0%
52
95.0%
Q3 - 10:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
5.4%
51
94.6%
Q3 - 10:57ATLMISS Ratliff 18' Jump Shot42
5.6%
51
94.4%
Q3 - 11:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
6.2%
51
93.8%
Q3 - 11:17SASDuncan 1' Tip Shot (19 PTS)42
6.2%
51
93.8%
Q3 - 11:19SASMISS Robinson 3' Layup42
7.7%
49
92.3%
Q3 - 11:29SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
7.0%
49
93.0%
Q3 - 11:32ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
8.0%
49
92.0%
Q3 - 11:32ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 3' Tip Shot42
7.3%
49
92.7%
Q3 - 11:35ATLMISS Ratliff 17' Jump Shot42
7.3%
49
92.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS42
8.1%
49
91.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASSPURS Rebound42
7.5%
49
92.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot42
7.9%
49
92.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLAbdur-Rahim 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)42
7.5%
49
92.5%
Q2 - 0:20.0ATLHawks Rebound39
5.6%
49
94.4%
Q2 - 0:22.0ATLMISS Ratliff 16' Jump Shot39
5.3%
49
94.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0SASDuncan 10' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)39
5.6%
49
94.4%
Q2 - 0:50.0ATLTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)39
6.5%
47
93.5%
Q2 - 1:14SASParker 5' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)36
5.1%
47
94.9%
Q2 - 1:21SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)36
6.1%
45
93.9%
Q2 - 1:24ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 10' Jump Hook Shot36
6.2%
45
93.8%
Q2 - 1:41ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
6.5%
45
93.5%
Q2 - 1:43SASMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 236
6.4%
45
93.6%
Q2 - 1:43SASJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)36
5.9%
45
94.1%
Q2 - 2:00ATLDuncan STEAL (1 STL)36
6.8%
44
93.2%
Q2 - 2:24SASParker 1' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)36
7.6%
44
92.4%
Q2 - 2:40ATLTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 3 AST)36
8.6%
42
91.4%
Q2 - 2:55ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
6.8%
42
93.2%
Q2 - 2:57SASMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
6.5%
42
93.5%
Q2 - 3:04ATLBowen STEAL (1 STL)33
6.2%
42
93.8%
Q2 - 3:17SASBowen Foul Turnover (P1.T4)33
7.0%
42
93.0%
Q2 - 3:33ATLRobinson 11' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
6.1%
42
93.9%
Q2 - 3:38ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
5.6%
42
94.4%
Q2 - 3:39ATLMISS Robinson 10' Jump Shot31
5.1%
42
94.9%
Q2 - 4:01SASParker 1' Running Layup (6 PTS)31
5.6%
42
94.4%
Q2 - 4:06ATLRobinson STEAL (1 STL)31
6.3%
40
93.7%
Q2 - 4:32SASJackson 3' Layup (5 PTS)31
7.0%
40
93.0%
Q2 - 4:37ATLJackson STEAL (1 STL)31
7.8%
38
92.2%
Q2 - 5:02SASParker 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)31
8.7%
38
91.3%
Q2 - 5:09SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)31
9.5%
36
90.5%
Q2 - 5:12ATLMISS Robinson 19' Jump Shot31
9.8%
36
90.2%
Q2 - 5:20ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
10.6%
36
89.4%
Q2 - 5:37SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot31
10.3%
36
89.7%
Q2 - 5:37ATLRobinson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)31
9.5%
36
90.5%
Q2 - 5:55SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
8.6%
36
91.4%
Q2 - 5:55SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 229
8.9%
35
91.1%
Q2 - 6:12SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
8.6%
35
91.4%
Q2 - 6:14ATLMISS Henderson 8' Hook Shot29
8.9%
35
91.1%
Q2 - 6:23ATLNewble REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
9.7%
35
90.3%
Q2 - 6:26SASMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot29
9.3%
35
90.7%
Q2 - 6:43ATLMohammed 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dickau 1 AST)29
8.6%
35
91.4%
Q2 - 6:52ATLDickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
7.9%
35
92.1%
Q2 - 6:54SASMISS Rose 3' Layup27
7.6%
35
92.4%
Q2 - 7:07SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
7.3%
35
92.7%
Q2 - 7:09ATLMISS Mohammed 15' Jump Shot27
7.5%
35
92.5%
Q2 - 7:33SASRose 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)27
8.1%
35
91.9%
Q2 - 7:45SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
8.8%
33
91.2%
Q2 - 7:48ATLMISS Henderson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot27
9.1%
33
90.9%
Q2 - 8:00ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
9.8%
33
90.2%
Q2 - 8:02SASMISS Smith 2' Driving Layup27
9.5%
33
90.5%
Q2 - 8:14SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
8.8%
33
91.2%
Q2 - 8:16ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 8' Jump Shot27
9.1%
33
90.9%
Q2 - 8:34SASKerr 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
9.8%
33
90.2%
Q2 - 8:41SASSPURS Rebound27
10.7%
31
89.3%
Q2 - 8:41SASMISS Smith 23' Jump Shot27
11.5%
31
88.5%
Q2 - 8:58ATLDickau 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 2 AST)27
10.7%
31
89.3%
Q2 - 9:09ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
8.9%
31
91.1%
Q2 - 9:11SASMISS Kerr 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
8.7%
31
91.3%
Q2 - 9:29ATLMohammed 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 1 AST)24
8.1%
31
91.9%
Q2 - 9:38SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
7.4%
31
92.6%
Q2 - 9:38SASRobinson 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)22
7.4%
31
92.6%
Q2 - 9:43SASMISS Ginobili 6' Jump Shot22
8.7%
29
91.3%
Q2 - 10:05SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
8.2%
29
91.8%
Q2 - 10:08ATLMISS Mohammed 9' Jump Shot22
8.5%
29
91.5%
Q2 - 10:22SASSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)22
9.1%
29
90.9%
Q2 - 10:22SASSmith 5' Running Finger Roll (2 PTS)22
9.9%
28
90.1%
Q2 - 10:41ATLDickau 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
10.7%
26
89.3%
Q2 - 11:11ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
9.7%
26
90.3%
Q2 - 11:12SASMISS Duncan 12' Turnaround Jump Shot20
9.5%
26
90.5%
Q2 - 11:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
8.9%
26
91.1%
Q2 - 11:37ATLMISS Mohammed 10' Fadeaway Jumper20
9.2%
26
90.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS20
9.8%
26
90.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
8.9%
26
91.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Dickau 5' Running Layup20
9.2%
26
90.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASRose 2' Layup (6 PTS)20
9.7%
26
90.3%
Q1 - 0:05.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
10.7%
24
89.3%
Q1 - 0:08.0SASMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot20
11.2%
24
88.8%
Q1 - 0:27.0ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
10.7%
24
89.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0ATLMohammed 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)20
10.7%
24
89.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0ATLMISS Robinson 5' Running Jump Shot18
9.2%
24
90.8%
Q1 - 0:45.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)18
9.6%
24
90.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)18
9.8%
23
90.2%
Q1 - 1:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
10.7%
22
89.3%
Q1 - 1:04ATLMISS Terry 17' Jump Shot18
10.9%
22
89.1%
Q1 - 1:09SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
11.5%
22
88.5%
Q1 - 1:26ATLTerry 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
10.7%
22
89.3%
Q1 - 1:29ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
9.7%
22
90.3%
Q1 - 1:32SASMISS Parker 8' Running Jump Shot16
9.5%
22
90.5%
Q1 - 1:41ATLParker STEAL (1 STL)16
9.1%
22
90.9%
Q1 - 1:51SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
9.7%
22
90.3%
Q1 - 1:51SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
9.8%
21
90.2%
Q1 - 1:51SASSPURS Rebound16
10.7%
20
89.3%
Q1 - 1:52ATLMISS Terry 17' Fadeaway Jumper16
10.9%
20
89.1%
Q1 - 2:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
11.5%
20
88.5%
Q1 - 2:10SASDuncan 2' Dunk (13 PTS)16
11.5%
20
88.5%
Q1 - 2:13SASMISS Parker 23' Jump Shot16
13.3%
18
86.7%
Q1 - 2:27ATLMohammed 6' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)16
12.6%
18
87.4%
Q1 - 2:46SASDuncan 12' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS)14
11.5%
18
88.5%
Q1 - 3:10ATLMohammed 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
12.4%
16
87.6%
Q1 - 3:28SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)12
11.6%
16
88.4%
Q1 - 3:28SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 212
11.7%
15
88.3%
Q1 - 3:38SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
11.5%
15
88.5%
Q1 - 3:40ATLMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
11.8%
15
88.2%
Q1 - 3:44ATLWilks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
12.5%
15
87.5%
Q1 - 3:47SASMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot12
12.2%
15
87.8%
Q1 - 4:08ATLAbdur-Rahim 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)12
11.2%
15
88.8%
Q1 - 4:20SASRose 3' Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)10
10.5%
15
89.5%
Q1 - 4:23SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
11.2%
13
88.8%
Q1 - 4:25ATLMISS Wilks 23' Jump Shot10
11.5%
13
88.5%
Q1 - 4:46ATLHawks Rebound10
12.3%
13
87.7%
Q1 - 4:47SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 210
12.2%
13
87.8%
Q1 - 4:47SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)10
11.6%
13
88.4%
Q1 - 5:02ATLTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
12.0%
12
88.0%
Q1 - 5:02ATLTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
11.8%
12
88.2%
Q1 - 5:07ATLHawks Rebound8
11.2%
12
88.8%
Q1 - 5:08ATLDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)8
10.6%
12
89.4%
Q1 - 5:20ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
11.2%
12
88.8%
Q1 - 5:22SASMISS Robinson 18' Jump Shot8
10.9%
12
89.1%
Q1 - 5:29SASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
10.3%
12
89.7%
Q1 - 5:31ATLRobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)8
10.6%
12
89.4%
Q1 - 5:51SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)8
11.2%
12
88.8%
Q1 - 5:51SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 28
11.4%
11
88.6%
Q1 - 6:03SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
11.1%
11
88.9%
Q1 - 6:05ATLMISS Robinson 15' Jump Shot8
11.4%
11
88.6%
Q1 - 6:35SASDuncan 3' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)8
12.0%
11
88.0%
Q1 - 6:40SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
12.8%
9
87.2%
Q1 - 6:43ATLMISS Robinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
13.1%
9
86.9%
Q1 - 6:56ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
13.8%
9
86.2%
Q1 - 6:58SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot8
13.5%
9
86.5%
Q1 - 7:09ATLAbdur-Rahim Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
12.6%
9
87.4%
Q1 - 7:16ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
13.6%
9
86.4%
Q1 - 7:18SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot8
13.3%
9
86.7%
Q1 - 7:30SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
12.6%
9
87.4%
Q1 - 7:32ATLMISS Ratliff 10' Jump Shot8
12.9%
9
87.1%
Q1 - 7:40ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
13.6%
9
86.4%
Q1 - 7:43SASMISS Robinson 12' Jump Shot8
13.3%
9
86.7%
Q1 - 7:57ATLRobinson Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)8
12.6%
9
87.4%
Q1 - 8:10ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
13.4%
9
86.6%
Q1 - 8:13SASMISS Duncan 5' Finger Roll8
13.1%
9
86.9%
Q1 - 8:36ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
12.4%
9
87.6%
Q1 - 8:36ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
12.3%
9
87.7%
Q1 - 8:54SASDuncan 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)6
11.7%
9
88.3%
Q1 - 9:16ATLWilks 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)6
12.2%
7
87.8%
Q1 - 9:20SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
11.7%
7
88.3%
Q1 - 9:42ATLTerry 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
10.7%
7
89.3%
Q1 - 9:46ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.2%
7
89.8%
Q1 - 9:49SASMISS Jackson 2' Dunk2
9.9%
7
90.1%
Q1 - 10:00SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
9.3%
7
90.7%
Q1 - 10:03ATLDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)2
9.6%
7
90.4%
Q1 - 10:22SASDuncan 3' Layup (2 PTS)2
10.1%
7
89.9%
Q1 - 10:37ATLRatliff 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
10.7%
5
89.3%
Q1 - 10:58SASParker 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
10.1%
5
89.9%
Q1 - 11:07SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
10.8%
3
89.2%
Q1 - 11:11ATLMISS Terry 18' Jump Shot0
11.0%
3
89.0%
Q1 - 11:16SASJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
11.5%
3
88.5%
Q1 - 11:23SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.8%
3
89.2%
Q1 - 11:25ATLMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot0
11.0%
3
89.0%
Q1 - 11:43SASJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
11.5%
3
88.5%
Q1 - 11:43SASJackson 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)0
12.2%
2
87.8%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Robinson vs. Ratliff: Tip to Parker0
13.1%
0
86.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.01 50.5%
SAS
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
12
20
60%
SAS
21
36
58%
Midrange
ATL
21
53
40%
SAS
13
33
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
5
7.5
8
63%
94%
SAS
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
Free Throws
ATL
12
16
75%
SAS
26
36
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Terry2158%10.5 / 18
S. Abdur-Rahim1753%8.5 / 16
T. Ratliff1662%8.0 / 13
N. Mohammed1255%6.0 / 11
D. Dickau1155%5.5 / 10
G. Robinson932%4.5 / 14
M. Wilks250%1.0 / 2
A. Henderson220%1.0 / 5
D. Glover2100%1.0 / 1
D. Ham150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2759%13.5 / 23
T. Parker1963%9.5 / 15
M. Rose1653%8.0 / 15
M. Ginobili1365%6.5 / 10
D. Robinson735%3.5 / 10
B. Bowen675%3.0 / 4
S. Jackson638%3.0 / 8
S. Kerr563%2.5 / 4
K. Willis450%2.0 / 4
S. Smith325%1.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
79
+12
-15
91
SAS
87
+14
-6
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.01 50.5%
SAS
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.8
102.7
ATL 98.9 +15.0
SAS 114.0
Pace
93.3
92.6
ATL 93.5
SAS 93.5 +0.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
15.6
ATL 15.4
SAS 15.4 +0.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
49.7%
ATL 50.0%
SAS 50.0%
TO %
16.9%
16.5%
ATL 14.6%
SAS 5.9% +8.7%
ORB %
27.9%
28.8%
ATL 20.5%
SAS 26.2% +5.7%
FTrt
31.3
34.8
ATL 19.8
SAS 45.0 +25.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.7%
56.3%
ATL 44.7%
SAS 50.0% +5.3%
STL %
7.9%
8.3%
ATL 4.3%
SAS 8.6% +4.3%
BLK %
8.3%
9.3%
ATL 5.8%
SAS 8.2% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
51.4%
ATL 50.5%
SAS 52.0% +1.5%
Rim FG%
55.2%
59.3%
ATL 60.0% +1.7%
SAS 58.3%
Mid FG%
41.1%
38.8%
ATL 39.6% +0.2%
SAS 39.4%
3P %
35.2%
35.4%
ATL 62.5% +26.1%
SAS 36.4%
FT %
79.3%
72.5%
ATL 75.0% +2.8%
SAS 72.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.2%
39.3%
ATL 24.7%
SAS 45.0% +20.3%
Mid Att. %
51.1%
40.6%
ATL 65.4%
SAS 41.3% +24.2%
3P Att. %
17.7%
20.2%
ATL 9.9%
SAS 13.8% +3.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLSAS
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points93106
Rebounds3942
Assists1719
Steals48
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)6 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals38-8138-80
At-the-Rim FG12-2021-36
Midrange FG21-5313-33
2-Point FG33-7334-69
3-Point FG5-84-11
Free Throws12-1626-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 245 · 26
40.8
17
53%
10
7
0
1
4
3
3
7
4-4
100%
5-12
42%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 240 · 30
37.9
9
32%
10
0
1
0
4
2
0
10
1-1
100%
4-12
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
37.2
21
58%
2
5
0
0
3
1
1
1
4-5
80%
4-10
40%
3-5
60%
G · 5'10" 180 · 24
26.1
2
50%
1
1
2
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 235 · 30
25.8
16
62%
5
1
0
2
3
5
1
4
2-2
100%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 180 · 24
21.5
11
55%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
4-8
50%
1-1
100%
C · 6'10" 250 · 25
19.8
12
55%
4
0
1
0
0
5
2
2
0-0
-
6-11
55%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30
14.4
2
20%
4
0
0
0
0
5
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 28
11.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 29
4.0
1
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 24
1.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 25
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
51%
39
17
4
4
15
0
8
31
12-16
75%
33-73
45%
5-8
63%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.