FinalWin Prob.pScore
936%91
86
664%96
88
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
100.08683.2
IND logo IND
101.18790.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETIND
Q4 - 0:00.0DET86
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0INDO'Neal 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)86
3.5%
88
96.5%
Q4 - 0:25.0INDMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)86
29.9%
86
70.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0DETMISS Billups 10' Jump Shot86
37.0%
86
63.0%
Q4 - 0:36.0INDO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)86
54.5%
86
45.5%
Q4 - 0:51.0DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)86
34.2%
86
65.8%
Q4 - 1:11DETBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
14.4%
86
85.6%
Q4 - 1:13INDMISS Miller 2' Layup83
12.3%
86
87.7%
Q4 - 1:27DETRobinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)83
9.1%
86
90.9%
Q4 - 1:44DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
4.4%
86
95.6%
Q4 - 1:46INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot80
3.9%
86
96.1%
Q4 - 2:09DETBarry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Robinson 4 AST)80
2.8%
86
97.2%
Q4 - 2:27DETBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 2:31DETMISS Robinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.9%
86
99.1%
Q4 - 2:47INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)77
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 2:47INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)77
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q4 - 3:14DETBarry 3' Driving Finger Roll (9 PTS)77
2.4%
84
97.6%
Q4 - 3:32INDMiller 5' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)75
2.9%
84
97.1%
Q4 - 4:00INDStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
3.8%
82
96.2%
Q4 - 4:02DETMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot75
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q4 - 4:25INDWorld Peace 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)75
5.4%
82
94.6%
Q4 - 4:50DETAtkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)75
7.4%
80
92.6%
Q4 - 4:56DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q4 - 4:57INDMISS Strickland 3' Layup72
3.3%
80
96.7%
Q4 - 5:20DETRobinson 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Barry 5 AST)72
3.5%
80
96.5%
Q4 - 5:37DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
2.6%
80
97.4%
Q4 - 5:39INDMISS World Peace 10' Jump Shot70
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q4 - 5:58INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)70
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q4 - 5:59DETMISS Atkins 20' Jump Shot70
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q4 - 6:16INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)70
3.4%
80
96.6%
Q4 - 6:16INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)70
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q4 - 6:34DETBarry 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)70
4.3%
78
95.7%
Q4 - 6:43DETPistons Rebound67
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q4 - 6:44INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
1.8%
78
98.2%
Q4 - 6:44INDMISS Harrington 2' Layup67
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q4 - 6:46INDMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot67
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q4 - 7:03INDMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)67
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q4 - 7:04DETMISS Barry 2' Layup67
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q4 - 7:11DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)67
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q4 - 7:13DETMISS Okur 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q4 - 7:27DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)67
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q4 - 7:28INDMISS Harrington 6' Jump Shot67
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q4 - 7:51INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)67
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q4 - 7:53DETMISS Robinson 7' Jump Shot67
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q4 - 8:06DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q4 - 8:07INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 267
3.9%
78
96.1%
Q4 - 8:07INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 267
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q4 - 8:17INDMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)67
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q4 - 8:20DETHarrington BLOCK (2 BLK)67
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q4 - 8:37DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q4 - 8:39DETMISS Barry 17' Jump Shot67
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q4 - 8:56INDMiller 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)67
3.9%
78
96.1%
Q4 - 9:08INDMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)67
5.7%
76
94.3%
Q4 - 9:10DETMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot67
6.1%
76
93.9%
Q4 - 9:28INDStrickland 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)67
7.2%
76
92.8%
Q4 - 9:41INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
11.0%
73
89.0%
Q4 - 9:44DETMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
11.8%
73
88.2%
Q4 - 9:58INDHarrington 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)67
13.7%
73
86.3%
Q4 - 10:16DETWilliamson 9' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)67
17.4%
71
82.6%
Q4 - 10:34INDStrickland 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)65
14.6%
71
85.4%
Q4 - 10:50DETHarrington STEAL (1 STL)65
20.9%
68
79.1%
Q4 - 10:54DETOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
25.2%
68
74.8%
Q4 - 10:56DETMISS Barry 20' Jump Shot65
22.1%
68
77.9%
Q4 - 11:07DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)65
25.7%
68
74.3%
Q4 - 11:08INDMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot65
24.4%
68
75.6%
Q4 - 11:25INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
21.6%
68
78.4%
Q4 - 11:27DETMISS Williamson 19' Jump Shot65
22.8%
68
77.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET65
25.6%
68
74.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound65
25.6%
68
74.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Billups 41' 3PT Jump Shot65
22.7%
68
77.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0INDStrickland 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)65
25.9%
68
74.1%
Q3 - 0:27.0DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)65
30.1%
66
69.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0INDWorld Peace 9' Jump Shot (13 PTS)62
22.2%
66
77.8%
Q3 - 1:04DETBillups 5' Driving Layup (15 PTS)62
26.1%
64
73.9%
Q3 - 1:24INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)60
22.6%
64
77.4%
Q3 - 1:24INDMiller 11' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)60
26.2%
63
73.8%
Q3 - 1:33DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)60
30.1%
61
69.9%
Q3 - 1:33DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)59
29.6%
61
70.4%
Q3 - 1:49INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)58
26.2%
61
73.8%
Q3 - 1:49INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)58
26.6%
60
73.4%
Q3 - 2:02DETWallace 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)58
29.7%
59
70.3%
Q3 - 2:18DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)56
26.3%
59
73.7%
Q3 - 2:20INDMISS Strickland 22' Jump Shot56
25.1%
59
74.9%
Q3 - 2:39INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
22.5%
59
77.5%
Q3 - 2:41DETMISS Williamson 5' Jump Shot56
23.6%
59
76.4%
Q3 - 3:02INDMiller 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)56
26.7%
59
73.3%
Q3 - 3:19DETBillups 10' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)56
30.1%
57
69.9%
Q3 - 3:28INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)54
26.6%
57
73.4%
Q3 - 3:28INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
27.4%
56
72.6%
Q3 - 3:35INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
30.0%
55
70.0%
Q3 - 3:39DETHarrington BLOCK (1 BLK)54
31.3%
55
68.7%
Q3 - 3:45DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)54
34.2%
55
65.8%
Q3 - 3:47DETMISS Williamson 5' Jump Shot54
31.3%
55
68.7%
Q3 - 4:06INDStrickland 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)54
34.0%
55
66.0%
Q3 - 4:11INDMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)54
37.3%
53
62.7%
Q3 - 4:13DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot54
38.8%
53
61.2%
Q3 - 4:27INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)54
42.1%
53
57.9%
Q3 - 4:27INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)54
42.5%
52
57.5%
Q3 - 4:35INDMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)54
45.8%
51
54.2%
Q3 - 4:36DETMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
47.3%
51
52.7%
Q3 - 4:53INDMiller Foul Turnover (P2.T12)54
50.8%
51
49.2%
Q3 - 4:59DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)54
45.8%
51
54.2%
Q3 - 4:59DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)53
45.3%
51
54.7%
Q3 - 5:01DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)52
41.6%
51
58.4%
Q3 - 5:02INDMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot52
40.3%
51
59.7%
Q3 - 5:17DETHamilton 2' Driving Finger Roll (14 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)52
37.4%
51
62.6%
Q3 - 5:37DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)50
33.8%
51
66.2%
Q3 - 5:39INDMISS Harrington 11' Jump Shot50
32.6%
51
67.4%
Q3 - 5:55INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)50
29.9%
51
70.1%
Q3 - 5:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)50
33.8%
51
66.2%
Q3 - 5:57DETMISS Wallace 2' Layup50
31.1%
51
68.9%
Q3 - 5:59DETMISS Billups 12' Jump Shot50
31.1%
51
68.9%
Q3 - 6:11DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
33.6%
51
66.4%
Q3 - 6:13INDMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot50
32.4%
51
67.6%
Q3 - 6:22INDPACERS Rebound50
29.9%
51
70.1%
Q3 - 6:23INDMISS World Peace 19' Jump Shot50
32.4%
51
67.6%
Q3 - 6:41DETBillups 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)50
29.9%
51
70.1%
Q3 - 6:59DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)48
26.9%
51
73.1%
Q3 - 7:00INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 248
26.4%
51
73.6%
Q3 - 7:00INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)48
24.5%
51
75.5%
Q3 - 7:08INDPACERS Rebound48
26.5%
50
73.5%
Q3 - 7:10DETMiller BLOCK (2 BLK)48
27.5%
50
72.5%
Q3 - 7:27INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)48
30.1%
50
69.9%
Q3 - 7:27INDMiller 2' Layup (12 PTS)48
33.4%
49
66.6%
Q3 - 7:28INDMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)48
36.5%
47
63.5%
Q3 - 7:30INDMISS O'Neal 19' Jump Shot48
39.4%
47
60.6%
Q3 - 7:44DETCurry Foul Turnover (P3.T8)48
36.5%
47
63.5%
Q3 - 7:51DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
40.7%
47
59.3%
Q3 - 7:54INDMISS Miller 8' Jump Shot48
39.4%
47
60.6%
Q3 - 8:06INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)48
36.4%
47
63.6%
Q3 - 8:07DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 248
36.9%
47
63.1%
Q3 - 8:07DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 248
39.5%
47
60.5%
Q3 - 8:17DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
40.5%
47
59.5%
Q3 - 8:18INDMISS Tinsley 17' Jump Shot48
39.2%
47
60.8%
Q3 - 8:36DETCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)48
36.4%
47
63.6%
Q3 - 8:36DETMISS Curry Free Throw 1 of 247
35.6%
47
64.4%
Q3 - 8:40INDWorld Peace Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)47
36.9%
47
63.1%
Q3 - 8:46INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
33.0%
47
67.0%
Q3 - 8:48INDMISS Miller 9' Jump Shot47
35.7%
47
64.3%
Q3 - 8:57INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)47
33.0%
47
67.0%
Q3 - 8:58DETMISS Billups 10' Jump Shot47
34.1%
47
65.9%
Q3 - 9:14DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)47
36.1%
47
63.9%
Q3 - 9:15INDMISS Miller 2' Layup47
35.1%
47
64.9%
Q3 - 9:16DETMiller STEAL (1 STL)47
32.7%
47
67.3%
Q3 - 9:19DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
36.1%
47
63.9%
Q3 - 9:21INDMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot47
35.1%
47
64.9%
Q3 - 9:38DETTinsley STEAL (3 STL)47
32.7%
47
67.3%
Q3 - 10:05INDMiller 1' Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)47
35.9%
47
64.1%
Q3 - 10:20DETRobinson 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)47
38.8%
45
61.2%
Q3 - 10:38INDMiller 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)45
35.9%
45
64.1%
Q3 - 10:49DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)45
38.9%
43
61.1%
Q3 - 10:49DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
38.5%
43
61.5%
Q3 - 10:58INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)43
35.9%
43
64.1%
Q3 - 11:22INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)43
32.2%
43
67.8%
Q3 - 11:23DETMISS Curry 17' Jump Shot43
33.2%
43
66.8%
Q3 - 11:45INDWorld Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)43
35.5%
43
64.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET43
41.9%
40
58.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound43
45.5%
40
54.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
43.0%
40
57.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)43
44.3%
40
55.7%
Q2 - 0:08.0INDMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)43
42.1%
40
57.9%
Q2 - 0:11.0DETO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)43
42.8%
40
57.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0INDMiller 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mercer 1 AST)43
44.4%
40
55.6%
Q2 - 0:43.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)43
48.7%
38
51.3%
Q2 - 0:43.0DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 242
48.2%
38
51.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
47.8%
38
52.2%
Q2 - 0:54.0INDMISS Miller 21' Jump Shot42
47.0%
38
53.0%
Q2 - 1:08INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
45.3%
38
54.7%
Q2 - 1:10DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot42
45.8%
38
54.2%
Q2 - 1:28DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)42
47.0%
38
53.0%
Q2 - 1:30INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
46.5%
38
53.5%
Q2 - 1:44DETHamilton 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Barry 4 AST)42
45.4%
38
54.6%
Q2 - 2:01INDO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)40
41.0%
38
59.0%
Q2 - 2:17DETRobinson 1' Layup (5 PTS)40
38.2%
38
61.8%
Q2 - 2:18DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)38
35.1%
38
64.9%
Q2 - 2:21DETO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)38
33.3%
38
66.7%
Q2 - 2:25INDO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)38
35.0%
38
65.0%
Q2 - 2:27INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
32.5%
38
67.5%
Q2 - 2:28DETMISS Billups 1' Layup38
33.3%
38
66.7%
Q2 - 2:42INDMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)38
35.0%
38
65.0%
Q2 - 2:42INDMiller 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)38
35.0%
38
65.0%
Q2 - 2:44INDMISS O'Neal 2' Layup38
40.1%
36
59.9%
Q2 - 2:46INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
38.2%
36
61.8%
Q2 - 2:47INDMISS Miller 19' Jump Shot38
40.1%
36
59.9%
Q2 - 3:05DETRobinson 3' Layup (3 PTS)38
37.4%
36
62.6%
Q2 - 3:06DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
35.0%
36
65.0%
Q2 - 3:08DETMISS Hamilton 5' Jump Shot36
32.9%
36
67.1%
Q2 - 3:10DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
35.0%
36
65.0%
Q2 - 3:12DETMISS Robinson 12' Jump Shot36
32.9%
36
67.1%
Q2 - 3:28INDO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T6)36
35.0%
36
65.0%
Q2 - 3:43DETMISS Okur 3PT Jump Shot36
32.9%
36
67.1%
Q2 - 3:51DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)36
32.0%
36
68.0%
Q2 - 3:52DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
32.3%
36
67.7%
Q2 - 3:54INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
31.5%
36
68.5%
Q2 - 4:00DETTinsley STEAL (2 STL)35
29.5%
36
70.5%
Q2 - 4:21DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
31.9%
36
68.1%
Q2 - 4:21INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 235
31.6%
36
68.4%
Q2 - 4:21INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 235
30.0%
36
70.0%
Q2 - 4:41DETWilliamson 13' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)35
29.5%
36
70.5%
Q2 - 5:05INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)33
27.2%
36
72.8%
Q2 - 5:05INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)33
27.4%
35
72.6%
Q2 - 5:12INDPACERS Rebound33
29.3%
34
70.7%
Q2 - 5:14INDMISS O'Neal 2' Layup33
31.1%
34
68.9%
Q2 - 5:33DETOkur 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)33
29.3%
34
70.7%
Q2 - 5:38DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
27.2%
34
72.8%
Q2 - 5:41INDMISS Tinsley 11' Jump Shot31
26.5%
34
73.5%
Q2 - 5:51INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
24.9%
34
75.1%
Q2 - 5:52DETMISS Robinson 19' Jump Shot31
25.6%
34
74.4%
Q2 - 6:00DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)31
27.2%
34
72.8%
Q2 - 6:02DETMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
25.7%
34
74.3%
Q2 - 6:09INDWorld Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)31
27.5%
34
72.5%
Q2 - 6:16INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
24.9%
34
75.1%
Q2 - 6:17INDMISS World Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
26.7%
34
73.3%
Q2 - 6:33DETAtkins 10' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)31
24.9%
34
75.1%
Q2 - 6:42DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)29
23.3%
34
76.7%
Q2 - 6:44INDMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot29
22.6%
34
77.4%
Q2 - 7:03DETWilliamson 4' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)29
21.6%
34
78.4%
Q2 - 7:18INDO'Neal 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)27
19.9%
34
80.1%
Q2 - 7:32INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
21.5%
32
78.5%
Q2 - 7:34DETMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
22.1%
32
77.9%
Q2 - 7:58INDO'Neal 1' Finger Roll (12 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)27
23.5%
32
76.5%
Q2 - 8:15DETAtkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)27
25.2%
30
74.8%
Q2 - 8:25DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
21.8%
30
78.2%
Q2 - 8:26INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot24
21.2%
30
78.8%
Q2 - 8:52DETOkur 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)24
19.9%
30
80.1%
Q2 - 9:09INDHarrington Foul Turnover (P1.T4)22
18.6%
30
81.4%
Q2 - 9:18DETBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
17.0%
30
83.0%
Q2 - 9:18DETBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
16.8%
30
83.2%
Q2 - 9:33INDWorld Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
15.7%
30
84.3%
Q2 - 9:44INDStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
14.3%
30
85.7%
Q2 - 9:46DETO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)20
14.7%
30
85.3%
Q2 - 9:55DETPistons Rebound20
15.7%
30
84.3%
Q2 - 9:56DETMISS Okur 5' Jump Shot20
14.7%
30
85.3%
Q2 - 10:23INDO'Neal 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)20
15.9%
30
84.1%
Q2 - 10:44DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
17.1%
28
82.9%
Q2 - 10:44DETWilliamson 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)20
17.1%
28
82.9%
Q2 - 10:46DETMISS Okur 4' Jump Shot18
14.9%
28
85.1%
Q2 - 11:11INDO'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)18
15.9%
28
84.1%
Q2 - 11:32DETBarry 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
17.3%
26
82.7%
Q2 - 11:48INDMercer Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)16
15.9%
26
84.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET16
14.7%
26
85.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound16
15.9%
26
84.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Williamson 20' Jump Shot16
15.0%
26
85.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
15.9%
26
84.1%
Q1 - 0:04.0INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
15.6%
26
84.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0INDPACERS Rebound16
15.0%
26
85.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
15.3%
26
84.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
15.9%
26
84.1%
Q1 - 0:52.0DETMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot16
15.3%
26
84.7%
Q1 - 1:06INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
16.0%
26
84.0%
Q1 - 1:06INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
16.3%
25
83.7%
Q1 - 1:06INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)16
17.6%
24
82.4%
Q1 - 1:07INDMISS Strickland 2' Layup16
18.4%
24
81.6%
Q1 - 1:30DETHamilton 13' Jump Shot (9 PTS)16
17.6%
24
82.4%
Q1 - 1:49INDMiller 2' Layup (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)14
16.0%
24
84.0%
Q1 - 1:56INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)14
17.6%
22
82.4%
Q1 - 1:58DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
18.0%
22
82.0%
Q1 - 2:21INDMiller 14' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)14
19.0%
22
81.0%
Q1 - 2:36INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
20.6%
20
79.4%
Q1 - 2:36DETMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 214
20.8%
20
79.2%
Q1 - 2:36DETRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
21.7%
20
78.3%
Q1 - 2:59INDO'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)13
20.5%
20
79.5%
Q1 - 3:19DETO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)13
22.2%
18
77.8%
Q1 - 3:43INDO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)13
24.0%
18
76.0%
Q1 - 3:47INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
25.4%
16
74.6%
Q1 - 3:50DETMiller BLOCK (1 BLK)13
26.0%
16
74.0%
Q1 - 4:08DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
27.3%
16
72.7%
Q1 - 4:11INDMISS World Peace 6' Jump Shot13
26.7%
16
73.3%
Q1 - 4:33DETHamilton 1' Slam Dunk (7 PTS)13
25.3%
16
74.7%
Q1 - 4:42INDMiller 2' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)11
24.0%
16
76.0%
Q1 - 4:44INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
25.3%
14
74.7%
Q1 - 4:46DETMISS Robinson 5' Jump Shot11
25.9%
14
74.1%
Q1 - 4:57DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
27.3%
14
72.7%
Q1 - 4:59INDMISS Tinsley 17' Jump Shot11
26.7%
14
73.3%
Q1 - 5:11DETBillups 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
25.4%
14
74.6%
Q1 - 5:30INDO'Neal 3' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)9
23.9%
14
76.1%
Q1 - 5:39INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
25.3%
12
74.7%
Q1 - 5:41DETMISS Williamson 14' Jump Shot9
25.9%
12
74.1%
Q1 - 6:04INDMiller 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)9
27.1%
12
72.9%
Q1 - 6:16DETBillups 9' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)9
28.6%
10
71.4%
Q1 - 6:22DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
27.1%
10
72.9%
Q1 - 6:24INDMISS World Peace 22' Jump Shot7
26.6%
10
73.4%
Q1 - 6:40DETHamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)7
25.4%
10
74.6%
Q1 - 7:00DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
22.5%
10
77.5%
Q1 - 7:02INDMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot4
22.5%
10
77.5%
Q1 - 7:16INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
21.4%
10
78.6%
Q1 - 7:18DETMISS Robinson 7' Jump Shot4
21.9%
10
78.1%
Q1 - 7:36INDWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)4
22.9%
10
77.1%
Q1 - 7:45DETCurry Foul Turnover (P2.T3)4
25.5%
7
74.5%
Q1 - 8:01INDWorld Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)4
27.2%
7
72.8%
Q1 - 8:07DETTinsley STEAL (1 STL)4
30.1%
4
69.9%
Q1 - 8:24INDMiller 6' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)4
31.9%
4
68.1%
Q1 - 8:29INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
33.4%
2
66.6%
Q1 - 8:30DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
35.2%
2
64.8%
Q1 - 8:30DETMISS Robinson 1' Layup4
33.9%
2
66.1%
Q1 - 8:32DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot4
33.9%
2
66.1%
Q1 - 8:35DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
35.2%
2
64.8%
Q1 - 8:36DETMISS Curry 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
33.9%
2
66.1%
Q1 - 8:57INDMiller Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
35.2%
2
64.8%
Q1 - 9:09DETCurry Foul Turnover (P1.T1)4
33.0%
2
67.0%
Q1 - 9:19DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
35.2%
2
64.8%
Q1 - 9:21INDMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot4
34.5%
2
65.5%
Q1 - 9:33DETCurry Reverse Dunk (2 PTS)4
33.0%
2
67.0%
Q1 - 9:44DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
31.8%
2
68.2%
Q1 - 9:45INDMISS World Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
31.2%
2
68.8%
Q1 - 9:55INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 9:57DETMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot2
30.4%
2
69.6%
Q1 - 10:12INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
31.6%
2
68.4%
Q1 - 10:12INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
31.7%
1
68.3%
Q1 - 10:25INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.0%
0
67.0%
Q1 - 10:26DETMISS Robinson 10' Jump Shot2
33.6%
0
66.4%
Q1 - 10:41DETCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
34.9%
0
65.1%
Q1 - 10:44INDMISS Tinsley 19' Jump Shot2
34.3%
0
65.7%
Q1 - 10:59DETHamilton 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)2
33.0%
0
67.0%
Q1 - 11:10DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
31.4%
0
68.6%
Q1 - 11:12DETMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
30.3%
0
69.7%
Q1 - 11:22DETCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.4%
0
68.6%
Q1 - 11:24INDMISS Miller 2' Layup0
30.9%
0
69.1%
Q1 - 11:32INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.9%
0
70.1%
Q1 - 11:34DETMISS Wallace 9' Jump Shot0
30.4%
0
69.6%
Q1 - 11:37DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
31.4%
0
68.6%
Q1 - 11:39DETWorld Peace BLOCK (1 BLK)0
30.4%
0
69.6%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. Wallace: Tip to Billups0
31.4%
0
68.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.86 43.0%
IND
1.04 51.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
13
28
46%
IND
11
19
58%
Midrange
DET
12
37
32%
IND
16
42
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
8
12.0
22
36%
55%
IND
5
7.5
10
50%
75%
Free Throws
DET
12
17
71%
IND
19
24
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2153%10.5 / 20
R. Hamilton1650%8.0 / 16
C. Robinson1232%6.0 / 19
J. Barry1267%6.0 / 9
C. Williamson840%4.0 / 10
C. Atkins867%4.0 / 6
M. Okur429%2.0 / 7
M. Curry338%1.5 / 4
B. Wallace220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Miller2170%10.5 / 15
B. Miller1956%9.5 / 17
M. World Peace1968%9.5 / 14
J. O'Neal1740%8.5 / 21
E. Strickland1071%5.0 / 7
A. Harrington220%1.0 / 5
J. Tinsley0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
77
+20
-9
97
IND
75
+9
-12
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.86 43.0%
IND
1.04 51.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.9
101.2
DET 100.0
IND 101.1 +1.1
Pace
89.6
94.7
DET 83.2
IND 90.5 +7.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.0
DET 17.3
IND 15.9 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.3%
46.9%
DET 42.5%
IND 48.6% +6.1%
TO %
14.0%
14.7%
DET 8.7% +5.0%
IND 13.7%
ORB %
26.0%
28.9%
DET 32.0% +14.1%
IND 17.9%
FTrt
32.2
34.4
DET 19.5
IND 33.8 +14.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
65.6%
DET 54.5%
IND 65.6% +11.1%
STL %
7.5%
9.0%
DET 5.8%
IND 6.9% +1.1%
BLK %
8.6%
8.1%
DET 8.2%
IND 12.3% +4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.6%
49.4%
DET 43.0%
IND 51.8% +8.8%
Rim FG%
55.0%
58.0%
DET 46.4%
IND 57.9% +11.5%
Mid FG%
38.8%
38.0%
DET 32.4%
IND 38.1% +5.7%
3P %
35.8%
33.9%
DET 36.4%
IND 50.0% +13.6%
FT %
77.1%
76.6%
DET 70.6%
IND 79.2% +8.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
33.9%
DET 32.2% +5.4%
IND 26.8%
Mid Att. %
45.9%
49.2%
DET 42.5% +16.6%
IND 59.2%
3P Att. %
23.7%
16.9%
DET 25.3% +11.2%
IND 14.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETIND
Possessions8687
Possession Minutes24.823.1
Points8688
Rebounds4841
Assists1821
Steals56
Blocks58
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (4)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals33-8732-71
At-the-Rim FG13-2811-19
Midrange FG12-3716-42
2-Point FG25-6527-61
3-Point FG8-225-10
Free Throws12-1719-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 240 · 28
38.7
2
20%
11
2
1
2
1
1
3
8
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 245 · 36
38.6
12
32%
9
4
2
3
1
5
3
6
1-2
50%
4-13
31%
1-5
20%
G · 6'3" 210 · 26
35.0
21
53%
6
5
0
0
2
3
1
5
5-5
100%
5-13
38%
2-4
50%
G · 6'7" 193 · 25
30.3
16
50%
3
0
0
0
1
4
1
2
3-6
50%
5-10
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'5" 210 · 34
11.2
3
38%
2
0
0
0
3
4
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 245 · 29
29.3
8
40%
7
0
0
0
0
3
5
2
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 33
25.3
12
67%
3
5
1
0
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 260 · 24
18.6
4
29%
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
G · 5'11" 185 · 28
13.1
8
67%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 212 · 23
G · 6'5" 183 · 33
G · 6'4" 195 · 26
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
43%
48
18
5
5
9
0
16
32
12-17
71%
25-65
38%
8-22
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.