FinalWin Prob.pScore
2635%91
101
2765%96
102
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
92.710986.0
MIA logo MIA
94.410894.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT1OT29:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT1OT29:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
OT2 - 0:00.0CHI101
0%
102
100%
OT2 - 0:00.0CHIBulls Rebound101
1.4%
102
98.6%
OT2 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Rose 22' Jump Shot101
0.8%
102
99.2%
OT2 - 0:07.0MIAGrant Layup (14 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)101
29.8%
102
70.2%
OT2 - 0:11.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)101
54.5%
100
45.5%
OT2 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 2101
75.0%
100
25.0%
OT2 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 2101
61.0%
100
39.0%
OT2 - 0:30.0MIAHEAT Rebound101
48.3%
100
51.7%
OT2 - 0:32.0CHIMISS Crawford 22' Jump Shot101
56.3%
100
43.7%
OT2 - 0:53.0MIAJones Driving Layup (15 PTS)101
66.1%
100
33.9%
OT2 - 1:10CHIFizer Driving Layup (16 PTS)101
73.8%
98
26.2%
OT2 - 1:23CHIBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)99
60.9%
98
39.1%
OT2 - 1:25MIAMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot99
55.9%
98
44.1%
OT2 - 1:51CHICrawford 12' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Rose 7 AST)99
45.0%
98
55.0%
OT2 - 2:02CHIBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)97
35.7%
98
64.3%
OT2 - 2:04MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
31.4%
98
68.6%
OT2 - 2:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:14)97
22.3%
98
77.7%
OT2 - 2:21CHIMISS Marshall Tip Shot97
26.1%
98
73.9%
OT2 - 2:22CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)97
36.3%
98
63.7%
OT2 - 2:24CHIMISS Fizer 6' Jump Shot97
26.1%
98
73.9%
OT2 - 2:45CHIBulls Rebound97
36.5%
98
63.5%
OT2 - 2:46MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot97
31.6%
98
68.4%
OT2 - 3:09MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:13)97
23.4%
98
76.6%
OT2 - 3:11CHIMISS Rose 21' Jump Shot97
26.8%
98
73.2%
OT2 - 3:25CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)97
36.2%
98
63.8%
OT2 - 3:26MIAMISS Butler Layup97
31.8%
98
68.2%
OT2 - 3:48CHIRose 6' Jump Shot (30 PTS)97
26.2%
98
73.8%
OT2 - 4:06MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)95
19.8%
98
80.2%
OT2 - 4:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
33.9%
95
66.1%
OT2 - 4:21CHIJones BLOCK (1 BLK)95
36.7%
95
63.3%
OT2 - 4:36MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T18)95
43.5%
95
56.5%
OT2 - 5:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Marshall: Tip to James95
33.9%
95
66.1%
OT1 - 0:12.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:6 Def:12)95
58.1%
95
41.9%
OT1 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 195
53.9%
95
46.1%
OT1 - 0:14.0MIAGrant Layup (12 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)95
57.7%
95
42.3%
OT1 - 0:27.0CHICrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Rose 6 AST)95
69.0%
93
31.0%
OT1 - 0:41.0MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (James 5 AST)92
34.2%
93
65.8%
OT1 - 0:56.0CHICrawford Traveling Turnover (P4.T21)92
48.4%
91
51.6%
OT1 - 1:11CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)92
62.4%
91
37.6%
OT1 - 1:13MIAMISS Butler 8' Jump Shot92
57.3%
91
42.7%
OT1 - 1:33CHICrawford Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T20)92
44.7%
91
55.3%
OT1 - 1:46MIAGrant Layup (10 PTS) (James 4 AST)92
58.0%
91
42.0%
OT1 - 1:59CHICrawford 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)92
68.5%
89
31.5%
OT1 - 2:19MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)90
59.2%
89
40.8%
OT1 - 2:34CHIMarshall Dunk (24 PTS) (Fizer 2 AST)90
74.6%
86
25.4%
OT1 - 2:53CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)88
66.7%
86
33.3%
OT1 - 2:54MIAMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot88
62.7%
86
37.3%
OT1 - 3:13CHIMarshall Layup (22 PTS) (Crawford 4 AST)88
52.5%
86
47.5%
OT1 - 3:18CHICrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
46.5%
86
53.5%
OT1 - 3:20MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
41.8%
86
58.2%
OT1 - 3:43MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:12)86
34.0%
86
66.0%
OT1 - 3:45CHIMISS Rose 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
36.7%
86
63.3%
OT1 - 4:04CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)86
43.3%
86
56.7%
OT1 - 4:06MIAMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot86
40.4%
86
59.6%
OT1 - 4:16CHIMarshall Traveling Turnover (P2.T19)86
33.9%
86
66.1%
OT1 - 4:25CHIBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)86
43.4%
86
56.6%
OT1 - 4:27CHIMISS Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
36.7%
86
63.3%
OT1 - 4:38MIAHEAT Turnover: 5 Second Violation (T#17)86
43.5%
86
56.5%
OT1 - 5:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Marshall: Tip to James86
33.9%
86
66.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)86
56.0%
86
44.0%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)86
29.0%
86
71.0%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Grant 12' Jump Shot86
48.3%
86
51.7%
Q4 - 0:29.0CHIRose 13' Jump Shot (28 PTS)86
29.3%
86
70.7%
Q4 - 0:39.0CHICrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
19.9%
86
80.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
16.4%
86
83.6%
Q4 - 0:55.0CHICrawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rose 5 AST)84
12.2%
86
87.8%
Q4 - 1:02MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)81
4.3%
86
95.7%
Q4 - 1:02MIAAllen Layup (20 PTS)81
7.7%
85
92.3%
Q4 - 1:03MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)81
12.5%
83
87.5%
Q4 - 1:04MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot81
18.8%
83
81.2%
Q4 - 1:18MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)81
13.5%
83
86.5%
Q4 - 1:20CHIMISS Marshall 12' Jump Shot81
16.1%
83
83.9%
Q4 - 1:26CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)81
23.4%
83
76.6%
Q4 - 1:28CHIMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot81
16.6%
83
83.4%
Q4 - 1:46MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (James 3 AST)81
24.2%
83
75.8%
Q4 - 2:04CHIJones STEAL (1 STL)81
31.9%
81
68.1%
Q4 - 2:17MIAButler Foul Turnover (P3.T15)81
47.6%
81
52.4%
Q4 - 2:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)81
31.4%
81
68.6%
Q4 - 2:28MIAMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
42.5%
81
57.5%
Q4 - 2:53MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
32.3%
81
67.7%
Q4 - 2:54CHIMISS Marshall Free Throw 2 of 281
34.0%
81
66.0%
Q4 - 2:54CHIMarshall Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)81
40.2%
81
59.8%
Q4 - 2:57MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)80
35.8%
81
64.2%
Q4 - 3:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)80
23.4%
81
76.6%
Q4 - 3:08MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot80
31.8%
81
68.2%
Q4 - 3:23CHIMarshall Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)80
23.2%
81
76.8%
Q4 - 3:45CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)80
34.4%
81
65.6%
Q4 - 3:46MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 280
33.2%
81
66.8%
Q4 - 3:46MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 280
27.6%
81
72.4%
Q4 - 4:12CHIFizer Dunk (14 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)80
26.0%
81
74.0%
Q4 - 4:27MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)78
19.7%
81
80.3%
Q4 - 4:27MIAHEAT Rebound78
14.1%
81
85.9%
Q4 - 4:28MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
17.9%
81
82.1%
Q4 - 4:29MIAHEAT Rebound78
14.1%
81
85.9%
Q4 - 4:30MIAMISS Butler 3' Jump Shot78
17.8%
81
82.2%
Q4 - 4:51CHICrawford 6' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)78
14.0%
81
86.0%
Q4 - 4:59CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)76
10.2%
81
89.8%
Q4 - 5:01CHIMISS Rose 12' Jump Shot76
9.6%
81
90.4%
Q4 - 5:07CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)76
11.9%
81
88.1%
Q4 - 5:09CHIMISS Crawford 12' Running Jump Shot76
9.6%
81
90.4%
Q4 - 5:28MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Best 2 AST)76
11.9%
81
88.1%
Q4 - 5:34MIAHEAT Rebound76
15.6%
79
84.4%
Q4 - 5:35MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot76
19.1%
79
80.9%
Q4 - 5:44MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
15.6%
79
84.4%
Q4 - 5:45CHIMISS Fizer Layup76
17.1%
79
82.9%
Q4 - 6:01CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)76
21.9%
79
78.1%
Q4 - 6:03MIAMISS Best 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
20.1%
79
79.9%
Q4 - 6:27CHIRose 17' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)76
16.4%
79
83.6%
Q4 - 6:40CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)74
13.2%
79
86.8%
Q4 - 6:42MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot74
12.0%
79
88.0%
Q4 - 7:05CHIStepania STEAL (1 STL)74
11.1%
79
88.9%
Q4 - 7:25CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)74
14.5%
79
85.5%
Q4 - 7:27MIAMISS Best 17' Jump Shot74
13.3%
79
86.7%
Q4 - 7:37MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
11.0%
79
89.0%
Q4 - 7:39CHIMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot74
11.9%
79
88.1%
Q4 - 7:52CHIBulls Rebound74
14.4%
79
85.6%
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot74
13.3%
79
86.7%
Q4 - 8:17MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
12.3%
79
87.7%
Q4 - 8:18CHIMISS Fizer 6' Jump Shot74
13.2%
79
86.8%
Q4 - 8:36CHIBulls Rebound74
15.4%
79
84.6%
Q4 - 8:38MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot74
14.3%
79
85.7%
Q4 - 8:56MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
12.2%
79
87.8%
Q4 - 8:58CHIMISS Crawford 6' Running Hook Shot74
13.1%
79
86.9%
Q4 - 9:18CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)74
16.1%
79
83.9%
Q4 - 9:20MIAMISS Jones 9' Running Jump Shot74
15.1%
79
84.9%
Q4 - 9:46CHIFizer Layup (12 PTS) (Rose 4 AST)74
13.0%
79
87.0%
Q4 - 9:53CHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
10.6%
79
89.4%
Q4 - 9:55MIAMISS Allen 9' Jump Shot72
9.9%
79
90.1%
Q4 - 10:22CHIRose Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T15)72
9.1%
79
90.9%
Q4 - 10:44MIAStepania 3' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Best 1 AST)72
11.4%
79
88.6%
Q4 - 10:54MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
13.6%
77
86.4%
Q4 - 10:56CHIMISS Rose 6' Running Jump Shot72
14.5%
77
85.5%
Q4 - 11:12CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
17.5%
77
82.5%
Q4 - 11:13MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 272
17.0%
77
83.0%
Q4 - 11:13MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)72
15.0%
77
85.0%
Q4 - 11:16CHIBest STEAL (2 STL)72
17.3%
76
82.7%
Q4 - 11:21MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12)72
20.8%
76
79.2%
Q4 - 11:48CHIFizer 4' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)72
17.3%
76
82.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
14.5%
76
85.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
11.9%
76
88.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Rose 21' Jump Shot70
12.7%
76
87.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
15.2%
76
84.8%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot70
14.4%
76
85.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0CHIMarshall Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)70
12.7%
76
87.3%
Q3 - 0:26.0CHIMISS Marshall Free Throw 1 of 269
12.2%
76
87.8%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)69
12.7%
76
87.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)69
10.6%
76
89.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0CHIMISS Marshall Layup69
11.2%
76
88.8%
Q3 - 0:48.0CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
12.7%
76
87.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0CHIMISS Rose 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
11.2%
76
88.8%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIAButler Driving Layup (15 PTS)69
12.6%
76
87.4%
Q3 - 1:10MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
15.7%
74
84.3%
Q3 - 1:11MIAMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot69
17.6%
74
82.4%
Q3 - 1:30CHIRose 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)69
15.6%
74
84.4%
Q3 - 1:44MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)66
11.2%
74
88.8%
Q3 - 2:04CHIRose 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)66
9.8%
74
90.2%
Q3 - 2:24MIAJames Layup (11 PTS)64
8.3%
74
91.7%
Q3 - 2:28CHIJames STEAL (4 STL)64
9.7%
72
90.3%
Q3 - 2:34MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)64
11.7%
72
88.3%
Q3 - 2:34MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)64
12.1%
71
87.9%
Q3 - 2:37CHIJames STEAL (3 STL)64
13.5%
70
86.5%
Q3 - 2:43CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
16.1%
70
83.9%
Q3 - 2:45MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
15.3%
70
84.7%
Q3 - 3:12CHIRose 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS)64
14.2%
70
85.8%
Q3 - 3:37MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)62
12.2%
70
87.8%
Q3 - 3:37MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 262
12.6%
69
87.4%
Q3 - 3:49CHIRose 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS)62
12.1%
69
87.9%
Q3 - 3:57CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
10.4%
69
89.6%
Q3 - 3:59MIAMISS Allen 7' Hook Shot60
9.9%
69
90.1%
Q3 - 4:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)60
9.0%
69
91.0%
Q3 - 4:18CHIGrant BLOCK (2 BLK)60
9.6%
69
90.4%
Q3 - 4:38MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS)60
10.8%
69
89.2%
Q3 - 5:02CHIHassell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)60
12.9%
67
87.1%
Q3 - 5:28MIAAllen 6' Running Hook Shot (14 PTS)60
15.0%
67
85.0%
Q3 - 5:52CHIRose 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hassell 3 AST)60
17.1%
65
82.9%
Q3 - 6:02MIAButler Driving Layup (11 PTS)58
15.4%
65
84.6%
Q3 - 6:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)58
17.4%
63
82.6%
Q3 - 6:16CHIMISS Rose 8' Jump Shot58
18.2%
63
81.8%
Q3 - 6:38CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
20.0%
63
80.0%
Q3 - 6:40MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot58
19.2%
63
80.8%
Q3 - 6:56CHIWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hassell 2 AST)58
17.4%
63
82.6%
Q3 - 7:05MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)55
13.8%
63
86.2%
Q3 - 7:14MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q3 - 7:16CHIButler BLOCK (1 BLK)55
12.4%
63
87.6%
Q3 - 7:27CHIHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
13.7%
63
86.3%
Q3 - 7:29MIAMISS Allen 4' Jump Shot55
13.1%
63
86.9%
Q3 - 7:32MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q3 - 7:34MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
13.1%
63
86.9%
Q3 - 7:41MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q3 - 7:43CHIGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)55
12.3%
63
87.7%
Q3 - 7:45CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
13.7%
63
86.3%
Q3 - 7:47CHIAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)55
12.3%
63
87.7%
Q3 - 7:53CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
13.7%
63
86.3%
Q3 - 7:55MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot55
13.1%
63
86.9%
Q3 - 8:01MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
12.1%
63
87.9%
Q3 - 8:03CHIMISS Hassell 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
12.7%
63
87.3%
Q3 - 8:27MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)55
14.0%
63
86.0%
Q3 - 8:27MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
14.3%
62
85.7%
Q3 - 8:30MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)55
15.7%
61
84.3%
Q3 - 8:33CHIMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot55
16.4%
61
83.6%
Q3 - 8:48MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)55
18.1%
61
81.9%
Q3 - 9:08CHIButler STEAL (2 STL)55
15.9%
61
84.1%
Q3 - 9:22MIAButler 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS)55
18.0%
61
82.0%
Q3 - 9:37CHIRose 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)55
20.2%
59
79.8%
Q3 - 9:55MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)53
18.0%
59
82.0%
Q3 - 10:12CHIRose Reverse Layup (11 PTS)53
20.2%
57
79.8%
Q3 - 10:28MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)51
18.2%
57
81.8%
Q3 - 10:36MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
20.2%
55
79.8%
Q3 - 10:38CHIMISS Chandler 16' Jump Shot51
21.0%
55
79.0%
Q3 - 10:58CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
22.8%
55
77.2%
Q3 - 11:00MIAMISS James Driving Layup51
22.0%
55
78.0%
Q3 - 11:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)51
20.3%
55
79.7%
Q3 - 11:13MIAMISS Allen 11' Hook Shot51
22.0%
55
78.0%
Q3 - 11:34CHIMarshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Rose 3 AST)51
20.3%
55
79.7%
Q3 - 11:45MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)48
16.3%
55
83.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
14.4%
55
85.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound48
14.4%
55
85.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Stepania 18' Jump Shot48
15.7%
55
84.3%
Q2 - 0:14.0CHIJames STEAL (2 STL)48
15.3%
55
84.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)48
16.5%
55
83.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)48
16.8%
54
83.2%
Q2 - 0:52.0CHIMarshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)48
18.9%
53
81.1%
Q2 - 1:07MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T6)45
15.0%
53
85.0%
Q2 - 1:21MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
14.1%
53
85.9%
Q2 - 1:24CHIStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)45
14.4%
53
85.6%
Q2 - 1:40CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
15.0%
53
85.0%
Q2 - 1:41MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 245
14.8%
53
85.2%
Q2 - 1:41MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 245
14.0%
53
86.0%
Q2 - 1:58CHIMarshall 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)45
14.1%
53
85.9%
Q2 - 2:15MIAGrant 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 2 AST)43
12.6%
53
87.4%
Q2 - 2:37CHIMarshall 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)43
14.2%
51
85.8%
Q2 - 2:57CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
12.6%
51
87.4%
Q2 - 2:58MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 241
12.4%
51
87.6%
Q2 - 2:58MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)41
11.4%
51
88.6%
Q2 - 3:12MIAHEAT Rebound41
13.0%
50
87.0%
Q2 - 3:12CHIMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
13.5%
50
86.5%
Q2 - 3:30MIAStepania 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)41
14.6%
50
85.4%
Q2 - 3:50CHIMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 141
16.2%
48
83.8%
Q2 - 3:50CHIRose 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)41
15.9%
48
84.1%
Q2 - 3:59MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)39
14.6%
48
85.4%
Q2 - 4:12CHIWilliams 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
13.4%
48
86.6%
Q2 - 4:25CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
12.1%
48
87.9%
Q2 - 4:27MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 237
11.9%
48
88.1%
Q2 - 4:27MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)37
11.1%
48
88.9%
Q2 - 4:41CHIRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
12.1%
47
87.9%
Q2 - 4:41CHIRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
11.8%
47
88.2%
Q2 - 4:43CHIRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
10.9%
47
89.1%
Q2 - 4:45MIAMISS Best Layup35
10.6%
47
89.4%
Q2 - 4:49MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
9.8%
47
90.2%
Q2 - 4:52CHIMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
10.2%
47
89.8%
Q2 - 4:57MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)35
10.9%
47
89.1%
Q2 - 5:02MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
10.0%
47
90.0%
Q2 - 5:04CHIMISS Robinson 5' Running Jump Shot35
10.4%
47
89.6%
Q2 - 5:11CHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
11.2%
47
88.8%
Q2 - 5:13MIAMISS Jones Driving Finger Roll35
10.8%
47
89.2%
Q2 - 5:18MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
10.0%
47
90.0%
Q2 - 5:19CHIMISS Fizer Driving Layup35
10.3%
47
89.7%
Q2 - 5:32MIAButler Layup (6 PTS)35
11.2%
47
88.8%
Q2 - 5:33MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
12.2%
45
87.8%
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Butler Layup35
13.2%
45
86.8%
Q2 - 5:51CHIFizer Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
12.2%
45
87.8%
Q2 - 5:51CHIFizer Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
11.9%
45
88.1%
Q2 - 6:03MIAStepania Driving Layup (2 PTS)33
11.6%
45
88.4%
Q2 - 6:11MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
12.5%
43
87.5%
Q2 - 6:13CHIMISS Fizer Driving Layup33
12.9%
43
87.1%
Q2 - 6:25MIABest 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
14.0%
43
86.0%
Q2 - 6:35MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
15.1%
41
84.9%
Q2 - 6:36MIAMISS Jones 5' Jump Shot33
16.3%
41
83.7%
Q2 - 6:53CHIMarshall 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Fizer 1 AST)33
15.1%
41
84.9%
Q2 - 7:09MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
14.4%
41
85.6%
Q2 - 7:09MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
14.7%
40
85.3%
Q2 - 7:28CHIBest STEAL (1 STL)31
15.7%
39
84.3%
Q2 - 7:31CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
17.2%
39
82.8%
Q2 - 7:33MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot31
16.7%
39
83.3%
Q2 - 7:43CHIFizer Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
15.6%
39
84.4%
Q2 - 7:43CHIFizer Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
15.2%
39
84.8%
Q2 - 7:54CHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
14.4%
39
85.6%
Q2 - 7:55CHIMISS Hoiberg 21' Jump Shot29
13.4%
39
86.6%
Q2 - 8:02CHICurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
14.6%
39
85.4%
Q2 - 8:04MIAMISS Butler 23' Jump Shot29
14.1%
39
85.9%
Q2 - 8:22CHIRobinson Tip Shot (2 PTS)29
13.2%
39
86.8%
Q2 - 8:24CHIRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
12.2%
39
87.8%
Q2 - 8:26CHIMISS Crawford 9' Running Jump Shot27
11.3%
39
88.7%
Q2 - 8:39MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)27
12.2%
39
87.8%
Q2 - 8:47MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
13.2%
37
86.8%
Q2 - 8:49CHIMISS Fizer 16' Jump Shot27
13.6%
37
86.4%
Q2 - 9:09MIABest 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
14.8%
37
85.2%
Q2 - 9:15MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)27
15.9%
35
84.1%
Q2 - 9:16CHIMISS Robinson 6' Jump Shot27
16.4%
35
83.6%
Q2 - 9:26MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)27
17.5%
35
82.5%
Q2 - 9:49CHIMISS Fizer Free Throw 1 of 127
16.1%
35
83.9%
Q2 - 9:49CHIFizer 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
15.9%
35
84.1%
Q2 - 10:07MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
15.0%
35
85.0%
Q2 - 10:15MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
16.1%
33
83.9%
Q2 - 10:17CHIMISS Robinson 20' Jump Shot25
16.6%
33
83.4%
Q2 - 10:33CHIHoiberg Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)25
17.7%
33
82.3%
Q2 - 10:35MIAButler Dunk (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)24
16.3%
33
83.7%
Q2 - 10:53CHICurry Dunk (2 PTS)24
17.5%
31
82.5%
Q2 - 10:54CHICurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
16.3%
31
83.7%
Q2 - 10:56CHIMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot22
15.2%
31
84.8%
Q2 - 11:10MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)22
16.2%
31
83.8%
Q2 - 11:32CHICrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)22
14.9%
31
85.1%
Q2 - 11:43CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
12.6%
31
87.4%
Q2 - 11:45MIAMISS Grant Layup19
12.3%
31
87.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
11.6%
31
88.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound19
11.6%
31
88.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 58' 3PT Jump Shot19
12.3%
31
87.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0CHIRose 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)19
11.9%
31
88.1%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAJones Driving Layup (7 PTS)17
10.7%
31
89.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0CHIFizer Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)17
11.9%
29
88.1%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
10.7%
29
89.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
10.9%
28
89.1%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
11.9%
27
88.1%
Q1 - 0:52.0CHIMISS Rose Driving Layup15
12.1%
27
87.9%
Q1 - 1:10MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)15
12.8%
27
87.2%
Q1 - 1:30CHIAllen STEAL (1 STL)15
15.3%
24
84.7%
Q1 - 1:45MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)15
16.3%
24
83.7%
Q1 - 2:04CHIWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T6)15
19.4%
21
80.6%
Q1 - 2:08CHIWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
20.8%
21
79.2%
Q1 - 2:10MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot15
20.3%
21
79.7%
Q1 - 2:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)15
19.4%
21
80.6%
Q1 - 2:22CHIMISS Robinson 14' Jump Shot15
19.8%
21
80.2%
Q1 - 2:42CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
20.8%
21
79.2%
Q1 - 2:43MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 215
20.6%
21
79.4%
Q1 - 2:43MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)15
19.5%
21
80.5%
Q1 - 2:47MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
20.9%
20
79.1%
Q1 - 2:49CHIMISS Rose 8' Jump Shot15
21.3%
20
78.7%
Q1 - 3:06MIAJones Driving Layup (5 PTS)15
22.6%
20
77.4%
Q1 - 3:18CHIWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)15
24.0%
18
76.0%
Q1 - 3:29MIAAllen Layup (8 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)15
25.9%
18
74.1%
Q1 - 3:49CHIMarshall Layup (6 PTS)15
27.5%
16
72.5%
Q1 - 4:03MIAGrant Layup (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)13
25.8%
16
74.2%
Q1 - 4:12MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
27.2%
14
72.8%
Q1 - 4:14CHIMISS Fizer 17' Jump Shot13
27.8%
14
72.2%
Q1 - 4:38MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)13
29.3%
14
70.7%
Q1 - 4:38MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 213
29.6%
13
70.4%
Q1 - 4:56CHIChandler Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)13
29.0%
13
71.0%
Q1 - 4:59MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)11
27.5%
13
72.5%
Q1 - 5:24CHIChandler Layup (2 PTS)11
25.4%
13
74.6%
Q1 - 5:41MIAGrant Driving Layup (2 PTS)9
24.0%
13
76.0%
Q1 - 5:43MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
25.4%
11
74.6%
Q1 - 5:45MIAMISS Butler 5' Jump Shot9
26.7%
11
73.3%
Q1 - 6:02MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
25.5%
11
74.5%
Q1 - 6:04CHIMISS Hassell 20' Jump Shot9
25.9%
11
74.1%
Q1 - 6:20CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
27.1%
11
72.9%
Q1 - 6:22MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
26.6%
11
73.4%
Q1 - 6:39CHIRose 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)9
25.5%
11
74.5%
Q1 - 6:56MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)6
22.6%
11
77.4%
Q1 - 6:56MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 26
22.9%
10
77.1%
Q1 - 7:13CHIRose Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)6
22.7%
10
77.3%
Q1 - 7:27MIAJames Layup (2 PTS)6
24.2%
10
75.8%
Q1 - 7:30CHIJames STEAL (1 STL)6
25.4%
8
74.6%
Q1 - 7:37MIAJones Driving Layup (3 PTS)6
27.1%
8
72.9%
Q1 - 7:58CHIButler STEAL (1 STL)6
28.4%
6
71.6%
Q1 - 8:17MIAAllen 7' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)6
30.1%
6
69.9%
Q1 - 8:26MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)6
31.6%
4
68.4%
Q1 - 8:37CHIWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
33.2%
3
66.8%
Q1 - 8:46CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
35.1%
3
64.9%
Q1 - 8:48MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot6
34.5%
3
65.5%
Q1 - 8:56CHIRose 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
33.2%
3
66.8%
Q1 - 9:16CHIChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
31.7%
3
68.3%
Q1 - 9:18MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup4
31.0%
3
69.0%
Q1 - 9:39CHIMarshall Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
29.6%
3
70.4%
Q1 - 9:39CHIMarshall Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
29.3%
3
70.7%
Q1 - 9:48CHIMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.5%
3
71.5%
Q1 - 9:50MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot2
27.9%
3
72.1%
Q1 - 10:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
26.6%
3
73.4%
Q1 - 10:07MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot2
27.8%
3
72.2%
Q1 - 10:31CHIMarshall 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hassell 1 AST)2
26.6%
3
73.4%
Q1 - 10:46MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)0
25.4%
3
74.6%
Q1 - 10:46MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 20
25.7%
2
74.3%
Q1 - 10:59MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 11:01CHIMISS Hassell 19' Jump Shot0
25.7%
2
74.3%
Q1 - 11:24MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 11:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.2%
0
71.8%
Q1 - 11:42CHIMISS Hassell 11' Hook Shot0
28.6%
0
71.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Chandler: Tip to Williams0
29.6%
0
70.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.01 50.5%
MIA
0.91 45.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
14
25
56%
MIA
19
30
63%
Midrange
CHI
19
50
38%
MIA
16
42
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
8
12.0
14
57%
86%
MIA
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
Free Throws
CHI
11
15
73%
MIA
20
35
57%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Rose3048%15.0 / 31
D. Marshall2467%12.0 / 18
M. Fizer1650%8.0 / 16
J. Crawford1568%7.5 / 11
J. Williams563%2.5 / 4
T. Chandler467%2.0 / 3
E. Robinson433%2.0 / 6
E. Curry2100%1.0 / 1
F. Hoiberg150%0.5 / 1
T. Hassell0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Allen2350%11.5 / 23
C. Butler1843%9.0 / 21
E. Jones1539%7.5 / 19
B. Grant1450%7.0 / 14
M. James1464%7.0 / 11
R. Butler844%4.0 / 9
V. Stepania660%3.0 / 5
T. Best440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
88
+12
-21
100
MIA
92
+19
-16
111
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.01 50.5%
MIA
0.91 45.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
97.6
94.5
CHI 92.7
MIA 94.4 +1.8
Pace
96.2
90.0
CHI 86.0
MIA 94.0 +8.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.2
CHI 16.8
MIA 15.3 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.2%
43.9%
CHI 50.6% +4.5%
MIA 46.1%
TO %
16.7%
14.8%
CHI 18.0%
MIA 14.7% +3.3%
ORB %
27.8%
26.8%
CHI 21.3%
MIA 26.5% +5.2%
FTrt
30.0
25.9
CHI 16.9
MIA 39.3 +22.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.6%
55.8%
CHI 48.8% +2.6%
MIA 46.2%
STL %
7.6%
7.9%
CHI 11.9% +1.7%
MIA 10.2%
BLK %
8.4%
6.4%
CHI 9.7% +1.7%
MIA 8.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.7%
46.0%
CHI 50.5% +5.0%
MIA 45.5%
Rim FG%
56.6%
53.7%
CHI 56.0%
MIA 63.3% +7.3%
Mid FG%
38.4%
37.6%
CHI 38.0%
MIA 38.1% +0.1%
3P %
35.0%
31.6%
CHI 57.1% +33.6%
MIA 23.5%
FT %
72.2%
76.5%
CHI 73.3% +16.2%
MIA 57.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.5%
28.9%
CHI 28.1%
MIA 33.7% +5.6%
Mid Att. %
48.6%
54.2%
CHI 56.2%
MIA 47.2% +9.0%
3P Att. %
14.9%
16.9%
CHI 15.7%
MIA 19.1% +3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions109108
Possession Minutes30.427.6
Points101102
Rebounds4650
Assists2018
Steals1311
Blocks76
Turnovers (Team)21 (0)16 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)13 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (3)37 (2)
Field Goals41-8939-89
At-the-Rim FG14-2519-30
Midrange FG19-5016-42
2-Point FG33-7535-72
3-Point FG8-144-17
Free Throws11-1520-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 215 · 30
54.7
30
48%
2
7
2
1
6
4
0
2
0-1
0%
12-26
46%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
43.5
24
67%
15
1
4
4
2
6
5
10
4-6
67%
7-12
58%
2-3
67%
G · 6'2" 195 · 21
26.3
5
63%
4
3
1
0
6
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 227 · 24
21.7
0
0%
1
3
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 240 · 20
16.0
4
67%
4
0
1
0
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 262 · 24
36.6
16
50%
8
2
0
0
1
3
0
8
4-5
80%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 23
31.8
15
68%
2
4
1
1
4
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
3-4
75%
F-C · 6'10" 242 · 34
26.4
0
0%
3
0
2
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 210 · 27
22.6
4
33%
4
0
2
0
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 295 · 20
7.2
2
100%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 30
3.3
1
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 260 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
290
101
51%
46
20
13
7
21
0
10
36
11-15
73%
33-75
44%
8-14
57%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.