Final Win Prob. pScore
2634%90
65
2266%95
72
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
77.48477.9
NYK logo Knicks
86.78390.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KnicksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KnicksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANYK
Q4 - 0:00.0NYK65
0%
72
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIABest 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)65
0.1%
72
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0NYKHouston Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)63
0.1%
72
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0NYKHouston Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)63
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAAllen P.FOUL (P4.PN)63
70
Q4 - 0:15.0NYKHouston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
0.1%
70
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot63
0.1%
70
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 2)63
70
Q4 - 0:25.0NYKSprewell Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)63
0.3%
70
99.7%
Q4 - 0:25.0NYKSUB: Anderson FOR Weatherspoon63
69
Q4 - 0:25.0MIASUB: James FOR Stepania63
69
Q4 - 0:25.0NYKSprewell Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)63
0.3%
69
99.7%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAButler P.FOUL (P5.PN)63
68
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAJones Foul Turnover (P4.T18)63
0.6%
68
99.4%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAJones OFF.Foul (P3)63
68
Q4 - 0:42.0NYKThomas 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ward 2 AST)63
2.9%
68
97.1%
Q4 - 1:04MIAAllen 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)63
8.5%
66
91.5%
Q4 - 1:25NYKWard Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)61
6.8%
66
93.2%
Q4 - 1:25NYKWard Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)61
7.5%
65
92.5%
Q4 - 1:25MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant61
64
Q4 - 1:25MIAGrant S.FOUL (P6.T4)61
64
Q4 - 1:28MIAWard STEAL (1 STL)61
10.9%
64
89.1%
Q4 - 1:39MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)61
19.4%
64
80.6%
Q4 - 1:40NYKMISS Thomas 6' Jump Shot61
16.9%
64
83.1%
Q4 - 2:00NYKKNICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)61
64
Q4 - 2:01NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)61
12.3%
64
87.7%
Q4 - 2:02MIAMISS Grant Layup61
14.6%
64
85.4%
Q4 - 2:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)61
21.5%
64
78.5%
Q4 - 2:04MIAMISS Allen 10' Jump Shot61
14.6%
64
85.4%
Q4 - 2:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)61
21.9%
64
78.1%
Q4 - 2:22NYKMISS Ward 14' Jump Shot61
18.3%
64
81.7%
Q4 - 2:28MIAGrant P.FOUL (P5.T3)61
64
Q4 - 2:38NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)61
64
Q4 - 2:40MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 161
13.0%
64
87.0%
Q4 - 2:40NYKWeatherspoon S.FOUL (P3.PN)61
64
Q4 - 2:40MIAGrant Layup (8 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)61
12.0%
64
88.0%
Q4 - 2:49MIASUB: Best FOR James59
64
Q4 - 2:49MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)59
64
Q4 - 2:54MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)59
10.3%
64
89.7%
Q4 - 2:56MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
7.1%
64
92.9%
Q4 - 3:14NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
10.3%
64
89.7%
Q4 - 3:14NYKThomas Tip Shot (13 PTS)59
10.3%
64
89.7%
Q4 - 3:16NYKMISS Weatherspoon Layup59
19.3%
62
80.7%
Q4 - 3:32MIAAllen P.FOUL (P3.T2)59
62
Q4 - 3:39NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
17.1%
62
82.9%
Q4 - 3:40MIAMISS Jones Layup59
18.9%
62
81.1%
Q4 - 3:58MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)59
23.4%
62
76.6%
Q4 - 4:00NYKMISS Sprewell 9' Jump Shot59
21.2%
62
78.8%
Q4 - 4:17NYKSUB: Thomas FOR Harrington59
62
Q4 - 4:17MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)59
16.6%
62
83.4%
Q4 - 4:17MIAHeat Rebound59
23.3%
62
76.7%
Q4 - 4:17MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
18.5%
62
81.5%
Q4 - 4:41NYKSUB: Houston FOR Anderson59
62
Q4 - 4:41NYKAnderson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)59
23.2%
62
76.8%
Q4 - 4:59MIAWeatherspoon STEAL (1 STL)59
16.4%
62
83.6%
Q4 - 5:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)59
25.0%
62
75.0%
Q4 - 5:15NYKMISS Harrington 8' Jump Shot59
23.0%
62
77.0%
Q4 - 5:29NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
18.9%
62
81.1%
Q4 - 5:31MIAWeatherspoon BLOCK (1 BLK)59
20.6%
62
79.4%
Q4 - 5:35MIAHeat Rebound59
24.9%
62
75.1%
Q4 - 5:36MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 259
19.6%
62
80.4%
Q4 - 5:36MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)59
23.5%
62
76.5%
Q4 - 5:3658
62
Q4 - 5:36NYKWard P.FOUL (P2.PN)58
62
Q4 - 5:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)58
19.1%
62
80.9%
Q4 - 5:38MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot58
15.6%
62
84.4%
Q4 - 5:49MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)58
19.1%
62
80.9%
Q4 - 5:50NYKMISS Harrington 11' Jump Shot58
17.4%
62
82.6%
Q4 - 6:10NYKHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
15.9%
62
84.1%
Q4 - 6:11MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
17.2%
62
82.8%
Q4 - 6:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
20.6%
62
79.4%
Q4 - 6:23NYKMISS Weatherspoon 14' Jump Shot58
19.0%
62
81.0%
Q4 - 6:43MIAAllen 13' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)58
15.8%
62
84.2%
Q4 - 6:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
12.3%
62
87.7%
Q4 - 6:58NYKMISS Sprewell 17' Jump Shot56
11.3%
62
88.7%
Q4 - 7:00MIASUB: Allen FOR Stepania56
62
Q4 - 7:03NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
10.4%
62
89.6%
Q4 - 7:05MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot56
11.2%
62
88.8%
Q4 - 7:14MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)56
13.5%
62
86.5%
Q4 - 7:15NYKMISS Anderson Layup56
12.4%
62
87.6%
Q4 - 7:31MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)56
10.3%
62
89.7%
Q4 - 7:41NYKHarrington P.FOUL (P3.T4)56
62
Q4 - 7:51NYKAnderson 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ward 1 AST)56
13.4%
62
86.6%
Q4 - 8:15MIAJames 18' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)56
18.1%
60
81.9%
Q4 - 8:33MIASUB: Jones FOR Butler54
60
Q4 - 8:33NYKWeatherspoon L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)54
60
Q4 - 8:33MIAHeat Rebound54
14.4%
60
85.6%
Q4 - 8:34MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)54
14.4%
60
85.6%
Q4 - 8:34MIAMISS Stepania Tip Shot54
12.4%
60
87.6%
Q4 - 8:35MIAMISS Grant Layup54
12.4%
60
87.6%
Q4 - 8:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)54
14.4%
60
85.6%
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot54
12.4%
60
87.6%
Q4 - 8:46NYKSUB: Ward FOR Eisley54
60
Q4 - 8:46MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 2)54
60
Q4 - 8:55NYKHarrington 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Sprewell 6 AST)54
14.4%
60
85.6%
Q4 - 9:06MIAButler P.FOUL (P4.T1)54
58
Q4 - 9:14NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
19.2%
58
80.8%
Q4 - 9:16MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot54
20.3%
58
79.7%
Q4 - 9:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
23.0%
58
77.0%
Q4 - 9:39NYKMISS Anderson Layup54
21.7%
58
78.3%
Q4 - 9:43NYKAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
19.1%
58
80.9%
Q4 - 9:45MIASprewell BLOCK (1 BLK)54
20.2%
58
79.8%
Q4 - 9:46MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)54
23.0%
58
77.0%
Q4 - 9:48MIAMISS James 5' Jump Shot54
20.2%
58
79.8%
Q4 - 10:02MIASUB: Grant FOR Allen54
58
Q4 - 10:02MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones54
58
Q4 - 10:02NYKHarrington P.FOUL (P2.T2)54
58
Q4 - 10:21NYKHarrington L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)54
58
Q4 - 10:21MIAHeat Rebound54
23.5%
58
76.5%
Q4 - 10:22NYKMISS Anderson 13' Jump Shot54
22.3%
58
77.7%
Q4 - 10:36MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)54
19.7%
58
80.3%
Q4 - 11:00MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
23.5%
58
76.5%
Q4 - 11:02NYKMISS Sprewell 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
22.9%
58
77.1%
Q4 - 11:21MIAJones Foul Turnover (P3.T12)54
20.4%
58
79.6%
Q4 - 11:21MIAJones OFF.Foul (P2)54
58
Q4 - 11:43NYKAnderson 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)54
23.9%
58
76.1%
Q4 - 12:0054
56
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA54
28.3%
56
71.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)54
32.6%
56
67.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot54
29.8%
56
70.2%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
32.5%
56
67.5%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot54
29.8%
56
70.2%
Q3 - 0:34.0NYKAnderson 4' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)54
32.5%
56
67.5%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)54
37.7%
54
62.3%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler53
54
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)53
36.9%
54
63.1%
Q3 - 0:51.0NYKWeatherspoon S.FOUL (P1.T4)52
54
Q3 - 1:16NYKEisley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Sprewell 5 AST)52
32.3%
54
67.7%
Q3 - 1:42MIAStepania 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 2 AST)52
41.9%
51
58.1%
Q3 - 2:07NYKEisley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Sprewell 4 AST)50
36.5%
51
63.5%
Q3 - 2:14NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
45.6%
48
54.4%
Q3 - 2:15MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot50
47.0%
48
53.0%
Q3 - 2:31NYKSUB: Weatherspoon FOR Thomas50
48
Q3 - 2:31NYKThomas Foul Turnover (P3.T11)50
50.3%
48
49.7%
Q3 - 2:31NYKThomas OFF.Foul (P4)50
48
Q3 - 2:44MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)50
45.6%
48
54.4%
Q3 - 2:44MIAStepania Layup (6 PTS)50
45.6%
48
54.4%
Q3 - 2:45MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup48
37.9%
48
62.1%
Q3 - 2:56MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)48
41.0%
48
59.0%
Q3 - 2:58NYKMISS Sprewell 23' Jump Shot48
39.6%
48
60.4%
Q3 - 3:12NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
35.9%
48
64.1%
Q3 - 3:14MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot48
37.3%
48
62.7%
Q3 - 3:30MIASUB: James FOR Best48
48
Q3 - 3:30MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 2)48
48
Q3 - 3:39NYKSprewell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Eisley 6 AST)48
40.5%
48
59.5%
Q3 - 3:44NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
49.1%
45
50.9%
Q3 - 3:46MIAMISS Best Layup48
50.5%
45
49.5%
Q3 - 3:54NYKSprewell P.FOUL (P3.T3)48
45
Q3 - 4:12NYKSprewell 23' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Eisley 5 AST)48
53.3%
45
46.7%
Q3 - 4:18NYKSprewell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
56.9%
43
43.1%
Q3 - 4:20MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
58.4%
43
41.6%
Q3 - 4:37NYKAnderson Driving Dunk (4 PTS)48
61.8%
43
38.2%
Q3 - 4:56MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 6 AST)48
65.2%
41
34.8%
Q3 - 5:07MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)46
60.0%
41
40.0%
Q3 - 5:08NYKMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 246
59.4%
41
40.6%
Q3 - 5:08NYKThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)46
56.7%
41
43.3%
Q3 - 5:08MIAStepania P.FOUL (P2.PN)46
40
Q3 - 5:21NYKHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
59.6%
40
40.4%
Q3 - 5:22MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 246
60.2%
40
39.8%
Q3 - 5:22MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
62.7%
40
37.3%
Q3 - 5:22NYKAnderson S.FOUL (P2.T2)45
40
Q3 - 5:25MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
60.1%
40
39.9%
Q3 - 5:26MIAMISS Best 15' Jump Shot45
56.9%
40
43.1%
Q3 - 5:38NYKHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)45
60.2%
40
39.8%
Q3 - 5:38MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant45
39
Q3 - 5:38NYKHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)45
61.0%
39
39.0%
Q3 - 5:38NYKSUB: Anderson FOR Houston45
38
Q3 - 5:38MIAGrant P.FOUL (P4.PN)45
38
Q3 - 5:38NYKHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
63.6%
38
36.4%
Q3 - 5:39NYKMISS Thomas 5' Jump Shot45
66.6%
38
33.4%
Q3 - 5:47NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
63.6%
38
36.4%
Q3 - 5:48MIAMISS Best 15' Jump Shot45
65.0%
38
35.0%
Q3 - 5:54MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
67.9%
38
32.1%
Q3 - 5:56NYKMISS Houston 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
66.6%
38
33.4%
Q3 - 6:07MIAThomas STEAL (2 STL)45
62.3%
38
37.7%
Q3 - 6:12NYKHouston L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)45
38
Q3 - 6:12MIAHeat Rebound45
66.3%
38
33.7%
Q3 - 6:12MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot45
63.6%
38
36.4%
Q3 - 6:33NYKSprewell Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)45
66.4%
38
33.6%
Q3 - 6:33NYKKNICKS Rebound45
37
Q3 - 6:33NYKMISS Sprewell Free Throw 1 of 245
67.0%
37
33.0%
Q3 - 6:33MIAAllen S.FOUL (P2.T4)45
37
Q3 - 6:39NYKKNICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)45
37
Q3 - 6:42MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Best 5 AST)45
66.1%
37
33.9%
Q3 - 6:58NYKThomas 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
58.9%
37
41.1%
Q3 - 7:19MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Best 4 AST)42
60.8%
35
39.2%
Q3 - 7:44MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)39
35
Q3 - 7:52NYKThomas 4' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Sprewell 3 AST)39
53.5%
35
46.5%
Q3 - 7:59NYKEisley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
57.2%
33
42.8%
Q3 - 8:01MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot39
57.4%
33
42.6%
Q3 - 8:14MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
60.2%
33
39.8%
Q3 - 8:15NYKMISS Sprewell 10' Jump Shot39
59.0%
33
41.0%
Q3 - 8:40MIABest 19' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)39
56.2%
33
43.8%
Q3 - 8:58NYKHouston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)37
52.8%
33
47.2%
Q3 - 9:19MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Best 3 AST)37
48.3%
33
51.7%
Q3 - 9:36NYKThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
44.8%
33
55.2%
Q3 - 9:36NYKThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
45.5%
32
54.5%
Q3 - 9:36MIAAllen S.FOUL (P1.T3)35
31
Q3 - 9:40MIAButler P.FOUL (P3.T2)35
31
Q3 - 9:42NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
48.3%
31
51.7%
Q3 - 9:44NYKMISS Eisley 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
51.0%
31
49.0%
Q3 - 10:01NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
47.5%
31
52.5%
Q3 - 10:02MIAMISS Grant Layup35
48.6%
31
51.4%
Q3 - 10:15NYKEisley Driving Layup (2 PTS)35
51.1%
31
48.9%
Q3 - 10:21MIAGrant P.FOUL (P3.T1)35
29
Q3 - 10:37MIAJones Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)35
54.7%
29
45.3%
Q3 - 10:49MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)33
51.2%
29
48.8%
Q3 - 10:52NYKMISS Sprewell 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
50.1%
29
49.9%
Q3 - 11:07MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)33
46.8%
29
53.2%
Q3 - 11:25NYKSprewell 12' Jump Shot (16 PTS)30
40.2%
29
59.8%
Q3 - 11:42NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
43.4%
27
56.6%
Q3 - 11:44MIAMISS Allen 10' Jump Shot30
44.5%
27
55.5%
Q3 - 12:0030
27
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA30
47.1%
27
52.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)30
46.0%
27
54.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0NYKMISS Sprewell Layup30
45.3%
27
54.7%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIABest P.FOUL (P1.T2)30
27
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
43.6%
27
56.4%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler29
27
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
43.0%
27
57.0%
Q2 - 0:20.0NYKSprewell S.FOUL (P2.PN)28
27
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
39.5%
27
60.5%
Q2 - 0:28.0NYKMISS Sprewell 15' Jump Shot28
38.8%
27
61.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0NYKWard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
37.1%
27
62.9%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 228
37.4%
27
62.6%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant28
27
Q2 - 0:47.0NYKSUB: Knight FOR Thomas28
27
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAHeat Rebound28
27
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 228
39.7%
27
60.3%
Q2 - 0:47.0NYKThomas S.FOUL (P3.PN)28
27
Q2 - 1:00MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
39.6%
27
60.4%
Q2 - 1:02NYKMISS Houston 22' Jump Shot28
38.5%
27
61.5%
Q2 - 1:27MIAJones Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Best 2 AST)28
36.9%
27
63.1%
Q2 - 1:52NYKSUB: Harrington FOR Weatherspoon26
27
Q2 - 1:52MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)26
27
Q2 - 1:52NYKThomas L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)26
27
Q2 - 1:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
33.1%
27
66.9%
Q2 - 1:53NYKMISS Ward 21' Jump Shot26
32.5%
27
67.5%
Q2 - 1:59MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)26
31.1%
27
68.9%
Q2 - 2:22NYKWard Layup (5 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)26
33.2%
27
66.8%
Q2 - 2:38NYKSprewell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
36.1%
25
63.9%
Q2 - 2:40MIAMISS Best 3PT Jump Shot26
37.0%
25
63.0%
Q2 - 2:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
39.1%
25
60.9%
Q2 - 2:52NYKMISS Thomas 9' Jump Shot26
38.2%
25
61.8%
Q2 - 3:15MIAAllen 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
35.6%
25
64.4%
Q2 - 3:38MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
33.2%
25
66.8%
Q2 - 3:40NYKMISS Houston 17' Jump Shot24
32.2%
25
67.8%
Q2 - 3:53MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)24
30.1%
25
69.9%
Q2 - 3:53MIAHeat Rebound23
25
Q2 - 3:53MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 223
29.6%
25
70.4%
Q2 - 3:53NYKWard S.FOUL (P1.T3)23
25
Q2 - 3:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
30.5%
25
69.5%
Q2 - 3:56MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
28.4%
25
71.6%
Q2 - 4:02NYKHouston Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)23
30.1%
25
69.9%
Q2 - 4:18MIASUB: Allen FOR Stepania23
25
Q2 - 4:18MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)23
27.5%
25
72.5%
Q2 - 4:37NYKHouston 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
30.2%
25
69.8%
Q2 - 4:42NYKSUB: Sprewell FOR Anderson23
23
Q2 - 4:42NYKSUB: Thomas FOR Doleac23
23
Q2 - 5:04MIAButler 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)23
32.7%
23
67.3%
Q2 - 5:21MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
30.1%
23
69.9%
Q2 - 5:22NYKMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot21
29.3%
23
70.7%
Q2 - 5:30NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
27.7%
23
72.3%
Q2 - 5:32NYKMISS Houston 12' Jump Shot21
29.3%
23
70.7%
Q2 - 5:49NYKKNICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)21
23
Q2 - 5:51MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)21
27.7%
23
72.3%
Q2 - 5:51MIAStepania Tip Shot (4 PTS)21
27.7%
23
72.3%
Q2 - 5:52MIAMISS Stepania Layup19
23.8%
23
76.2%
Q2 - 5:53MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)19
25.3%
23
74.7%
Q2 - 5:55MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot19
23.8%
23
76.2%
Q2 - 6:16NYKDoleac Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)19
25.7%
23
74.3%
Q2 - 6:41MIAButler 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)19
23.2%
23
76.8%
Q2 - 6:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
21.5%
23
78.5%
Q2 - 6:53NYKMISS Doleac 14' Jump Shot17
20.8%
23
79.2%
Q2 - 7:12MIASUB: Best FOR James17
23
Q2 - 7:12NYKSUB: Houston FOR Sprewell17
23
Q2 - 7:12MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T8)17
19.5%
23
80.5%
Q2 - 7:12MIAJames OFF.Foul (P3)17
23
Q2 - 7:16MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
21.4%
23
78.6%
Q2 - 7:17NYKMISS Weatherspoon Layup17
20.8%
23
79.2%
Q2 - 7:23NYKWard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
19.5%
23
80.5%
Q2 - 7:25MIAMISS Stepania 17' Jump Shot17
20.0%
23
80.0%
Q2 - 7:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
21.4%
23
78.6%
Q2 - 7:44MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot17
20.0%
23
80.0%
Q2 - 7:57NYKAnderson 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
21.4%
23
78.6%
Q2 - 8:07MIAJames P.FOUL (P2.T1)17
21
Q2 - 8:16NYKDoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
23.5%
21
76.5%
Q2 - 8:17MIAMISS Butler Layup17
24.1%
21
75.9%
Q2 - 8:29MIAJones Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)17
25.5%
21
74.5%
Q2 - 8:29NYKKNICKS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Doleac )16
21
Q2 - 8:36MIASUB: Jones FOR Butler16
21
Q2 - 8:36MIAHeat Rebound16
23.4%
21
76.6%
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot16
22.1%
21
77.9%
Q2 - 8:57MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
23.4%
21
76.6%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 216
21.8%
21
78.2%
Q2 - 8:58MIAHeat Rebound16
21
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 216
23.0%
21
77.0%
Q2 - 8:5816
21
Q2 - 8:58NYKDoleac S.FOUL (P1.T2)16
21
Q2 - 9:05NYKAnderson P.FOUL (P1.T1)16
21
Q2 - 9:24NYKWard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sprewell 2 AST)16
23.4%
21
76.6%
Q2 - 9:33NYKWard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
27.4%
18
72.6%
Q2 - 9:35MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot16
28.1%
18
71.9%
Q2 - 9:48NYKWard Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T7)16
29.7%
18
70.3%
Q2 - 9:51NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
27.5%
18
72.5%
Q2 - 9:53MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot16
28.1%
18
71.9%
Q2 - 10:05MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
29.8%
18
70.2%
Q2 - 10:07NYKMISS Anderson 8' Jump Shot16
29.1%
18
70.9%
Q2 - 10:18NYKSprewell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
27.5%
18
72.5%
Q2 - 10:20MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot16
28.2%
18
71.8%
Q2 - 10:35MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones16
18
Q2 - 10:35MIASUB: Grant FOR Allen16
18
Q2 - 10:35NYKSprewell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)16
29.7%
18
70.3%
Q2 - 10:56MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)16
27.5%
18
72.5%
Q2 - 11:12MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
23.8%
18
76.2%
Q2 - 11:14NYKMISS Anderson 6' Jump Shot13
23.3%
18
76.7%
Q2 - 11:17NYKWeatherspoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
22.0%
18
78.0%
Q2 - 11:19NYKMISS Sprewell 19' Jump Shot13
23.2%
18
76.8%
Q2 - 11:28NYKAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
22.0%
18
78.0%
Q2 - 11:29MIAMISS Allen Layup13
22.5%
18
77.5%
Q2 - 11:41MIAJones Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)13
23.8%
18
76.2%
Q2 - 11:41NYKKNICKS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Doleac )12
18
Q2 - 12:0012
18
Q1 - 0:00.0NYK12
22.0%
18
78.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0NYKKNICKS Rebound12
20.3%
18
79.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0NYKMISS Ward 56' 3PT Jump Shot12
21.5%
18
78.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T7)12
20.6%
18
79.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAJames OFF.Foul (P1)12
18
Q1 - 0:03.0NYKSUB: Anderson FOR Houston12
18
Q1 - 0:03.0NYKHouston P.FOUL (P2.T3)12
18
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
21.9%
18
78.1%
Q1 - 0:17.0NYKMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 212
21.7%
18
78.3%
Q1 - 0:17.0NYKKNICKS Rebound12
18
Q1 - 0:17.0NYKMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 212
20.6%
18
79.4%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAStepania S.FOUL (P1.PN)12
18
Q1 - 0:27.0NYKHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
20.6%
18
79.4%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
21.0%
18
79.0%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
21.9%
18
78.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0NYKMISS Sprewell 14' Jump Shot12
21.5%
18
78.5%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)12
20.6%
18
79.4%
Q1 - 1:12NYKThomas 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Sprewell 1 AST)12
22.1%
18
77.9%
Q1 - 1:19NYKSUB: Ward FOR Eisley12
16
Q1 - 1:19NYKKNICKS Rebound12
16
Q1 - 1:19NYKMISS Houston Free Throw Technical12
24.3%
16
75.7%
Q1 - 1:19MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Allen )12
16
Q1 - 1:33MIAStepania 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)12
24.3%
16
75.7%
Q1 - 1:43MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
22.1%
16
77.9%
Q1 - 1:45NYKMISS Eisley 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
21.7%
16
78.3%
Q1 - 2:05MIAJames Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
21.1%
16
78.9%
Q1 - 2:13NYKSprewell P.FOUL (P1.T2)8
16
Q1 - 2:30NYKSprewell 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS)8
19.4%
16
80.6%
Q1 - 2:50MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)8
21.1%
14
78.9%
Q1 - 3:01NYKThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)6
19.5%
14
80.5%
Q1 - 3:07NYKKNICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)6
14
Q1 - 3:20NYKHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
18.1%
14
81.9%
Q1 - 3:22MIAMISS Stepania 6' Jump Shot6
18.5%
14
81.5%
Q1 - 3:39MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
19.5%
14
80.5%
Q1 - 3:41NYKMISS Houston 6' Jump Shot6
19.1%
14
80.9%
Q1 - 3:48MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant6
14
Q1 - 3:48MIAGrant P.FOUL (P2.T4)6
14
Q1 - 3:53NYKHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
18.1%
14
81.9%
Q1 - 3:55MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
18.5%
14
81.5%
Q1 - 4:07MIASUB: James FOR Best6
14
Q1 - 4:07NYKEisley Foul Turnover (P2.T4)6
20.6%
14
79.4%
Q1 - 4:07NYKEisley OFF.Foul (P1)6
14
Q1 - 4:27NYKHouston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
19.4%
14
80.6%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot6
19.8%
14
80.2%
Q1 - 4:53NYKThomas 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Eisley 4 AST)6
20.9%
14
79.1%
Q1 - 5:01NYKEisley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
22.4%
12
77.6%
Q1 - 5:03MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
22.9%
12
77.1%
Q1 - 5:21MIAHeat Rebound6
24.1%
12
75.9%
Q1 - 5:24NYKMISS Eisley 21' Jump Shot6
23.6%
12
76.4%
Q1 - 5:28NYKEisley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
22.6%
12
77.4%
Q1 - 5:30NYKMISS Houston 10' Jump Shot6
23.7%
12
76.3%
Q1 - 5:35MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.T3)6
12
Q1 - 5:50MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 1 AST)6
22.8%
12
77.2%
Q1 - 6:05NYKSprewell Driving Finger Roll (12 PTS)4
21.8%
12
78.2%
Q1 - 6:08MIASprewell STEAL (1 STL)4
23.0%
10
77.0%
Q1 - 6:19NYKSprewell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)4
24.4%
10
75.6%
Q1 - 6:38MIAGrant 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)4
23.3%
10
76.7%
Q1 - 6:52MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 1)2
10
Q1 - 7:04NYKSprewell 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Eisley 3 AST)2
22.5%
10
77.5%
Q1 - 7:17MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler2
8
Q1 - 7:17MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T4)2
23.7%
8
76.3%
Q1 - 7:17MIAButler OFF.Foul (P2)2
8
Q1 - 7:25NYKSprewell Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)2
25.0%
8
75.0%
Q1 - 7:25NYKSprewell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)2
25.2%
7
74.8%
Q1 - 7:25MIAButler S.FOUL (P1.T2)2
6
Q1 - 7:43MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
26.3%
6
73.7%
Q1 - 7:53NYKHouston P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
6
Q1 - 8:03MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.0 Short 1)0
6
Q1 - 8:12NYKSprewell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Eisley 2 AST)0
25.6%
6
74.4%
Q1 - 8:14MIAGrant P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
3
Q1 - 8:17NYKHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.9%
3
72.1%
Q1 - 8:19MIAMISS Butler 8' Jump Shot0
28.3%
3
71.7%
Q1 - 8:35NYKThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T2)0
29.3%
3
70.7%
Q1 - 8:35NYKThomas OFF.Foul (P1)0
3
Q1 - 8:45MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)0
28.3%
3
71.7%
Q1 - 9:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
29.8%
3
70.2%
Q1 - 9:06NYKMISS Harrington 9' Jump Shot0
29.6%
3
70.4%
Q1 - 9:20MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)0
29.2%
3
70.8%
Q1 - 9:41NYKEisley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
30.4%
3
69.6%
Q1 - 9:49NYKHouston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.8%
3
70.2%
Q1 - 9:51MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot0
30.1%
3
69.9%
Q1 - 10:05MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)0
31.0%
3
69.0%
Q1 - 10:07NYKMISS Sprewell 16' Jump Shot0
30.8%
3
69.2%
Q1 - 10:18NYKKNICKS Rebound0
30.6%
3
69.4%
Q1 - 10:20MIAMISS Best 22' Jump Shot0
30.8%
3
69.2%
Q1 - 10:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.6%
3
68.4%
Q1 - 10:37NYKMISS Eisley 21' Jump Shot0
31.5%
3
68.5%
Q1 - 10:46NYKThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
31.4%
3
68.6%
Q1 - 10:47MIAMISS Butler Layup0
31.5%
3
68.5%
Q1 - 11:04NYKSprewell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Eisley 1 AST)0
32.3%
3
67.7%
Q1 - 11:19MIAEisley STEAL (1 STL)0
33.3%
0
66.7%
Q1 - 11:22MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
33.6%
0
66.4%
Q1 - 11:23MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot0
33.4%
0
66.6%
Q1 - 11:40MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.8%
0
66.2%
Q1 - 11:42NYKMISS Thomas 9' Jump Shot0
33.8%
0
66.2%
Q1 - 12:00NYKJump Ball Thomas vs. Grant: Tip to Eisley0
34.1%
0
65.9%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIANYK
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.73 36.5%
NYK
0.92 46.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
7
20
35%
NYK
9
15
60%
Midrange
MIA
15
43
35%
NYK
11
40
28%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
NYK
6
9.0
12
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIA
9
17
53%
NYK
14
19
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1963%9.5 / 15
M. Allen1350%6.5 / 13
B. Grant829%4.0 / 14
V. Stepania850%4.0 / 8
M. James739%3.5 / 9
C. Butler625%3.0 / 12
T. Best425%2.0 / 8
R. Butler0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
NYK logo Knicks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Sprewell2455%12.0 / 22
K. Thomas1563%7.5 / 12
S. Anderson1050%5.0 / 10
H. Eisley857%4.0 / 7
C. Ward758%3.5 / 6
O. Harrington433%2.0 / 6
A. Houston425%2.0 / 8
C. Weatherspoon0-0.0 / 3
M. Doleac0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
68
+21
-16
89
NYK
71
+7
-12
78
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.73 36.5%
NYK
0.92 46.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
102.3
MIA 77.4
NYK 86.7 +9.4
Pace
90.0
93.0
MIA 77.9
NYK 90.1 +12.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.6
MIA 18.5
NYK 16.0 −2.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
48.6%
MIA 36.4%
NYK 43.3% +6.9%
TO %
14.8%
14.5%
MIA 17.6%
NYK 13.7% −3.9%
ORB %
26.8%
24.5%
MIA 32.0% +17.0%
NYK 15.0%
FTrt
25.9
24.1
MIA 22.1
NYK 28.4 +6.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
60.7%
MIA 69.2% +11.5%
NYK 57.7%
STL %
7.9%
7.5%
MIA 6.0%
NYK 7.2% +1.2%
BLK %
6.4%
4.7%
MIA 0.0%
NYK 3.2% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
50.8%
MIA 36.5%
NYK 46.2% +9.7%
Rim FG%
53.7%
52.8%
MIA 35.0%
NYK 60.0% +25.0%
Mid FG%
37.6%
42.4%
MIA 34.9% +7.4%
NYK 27.5%
3P %
31.6%
38.3%
MIA 28.6%
NYK 50.0% +21.4%
FT %
76.5%
81.5%
MIA 52.9%
NYK 73.7% +20.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
25.6%
MIA 26.0% +3.6%
NYK 22.4%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
50.9%
MIA 55.8% −3.9%
NYK 59.7%
3P Att. %
16.9%
23.5%
MIA 18.2% +0.3%
NYK 17.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIANYK
Possessions8483
Possession Minutes25.922.1
Points6572
Rebounds5040
Assists1815
Steals56
Blocks02
Turnovers (Team)16 (2)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (5)6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)34 (1)
Field Goals26-7726-67
At-the-Rim FG7-209-15
Midrange FG15-4311-40
2-Point FG22-6320-55
3-Point FG4-146-12
Free Throws9-1714-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 31
44.5
19
63%
6
7
1
0
4
3
1
5
6-6
100%
2-6
33%
3-7
43%
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
38.7
13
50%
13
1
2
0
4
4
4
9
1-2
50%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
36.1
6
25%
1
0
0
0
1
5
1
0
0-2
0%
3-11
27%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
33.0
8
29%
13
2
1
0
1
6
4
9
2-5
40%
3-11
27%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 182 · 31
26.4
4
25%
2
6
0
0
3
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
23.9
8
50%
12
0
1
0
0
2
5
7
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
22.0
7
39%
2
2
0
0
2
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
F · 6'7" 215 · 24
15.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-4
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 213 · 23
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
65
37%
50
18
5
0
16
0
16
34
9-17
53%
22-63
35%
4-14
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.