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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 21, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Rockets14%9486
1Mavericks86%107107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 25.9
42.3
35.9
26
60%
8
4
4
1
2
6
2
6
9-11
82%
7-15
5-11
47%
42%
1-2
50%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.4
33.9
43.3
16
57%
7
0
0
1
0
3
3
4
8-9
89%
4-9
5-12
44%
44%
0-1
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 26.0
28.9
30.7
7
41%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
5-6
83%
1-4
2-6
25%
40%
0-2
0%
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 26.2
27.3
19.4
8
46%
3
2
0
0
1
3
1
2
4-4
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
40%
0-0
-
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 22.4
22.4
27.1
6
44%
5
0
0
0
0
5
3
2
2-2
100%
2-6
5-10
33%
49%
0-0
-
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 24.0
18.1
17.1
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 28.4
17.8
19.3
3
41%
10
0
0
0
0
2
3
7
3-6
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 29.5
17.4
16.8
7
64%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
1-4
60%
41%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 22.6
16.8
1.5
5
37%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
3-4
75%
1-4
0-0
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Juaquin Hawkins
F · 6'7" 205 · 29.6
9.4
3.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
38%
0-0
-
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.4
5.7
2.8
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
42%
0-0
-
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 20.6
20.3
0
2-5
39%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 29.9
32.3
37.7
19
60%
4
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
4-4
100%
6-12
6-12
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.6
31.8
40.7
26
67%
8
2
4
1
1
0
0
8
10-10
100%
5-11
7-14
45%
49%
2-4
50%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 29.0
29.4
34.0
20
73%
4
8
2
1
0
5
2
2
4-4
100%
5-10
5-11
50%
49%
2-2
100%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.3
26.6
8.8
7
39%
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-8
1-1
25%
49%
1-1
100%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.6
25.9
30.3
8
59%
3
3
3
1
5
1
1
2
4-4
100%
2-4
4-7
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Walt Williams
F-G · 6'8" 230 · 32.8
26.3
10.5
9
58%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
1-3
33%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 28.6
20.8
21.5
6
75%
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.2
14.0
29.4
6
30%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-5
3-8
20%
44%
1-4
25%
Antoine Rigaudeau
G · 6'7" 210 · 31.1
10.6
6.6
2
14%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-6
1-1
17%
43%
0-1
0%
Popeye Jones
F · 6'8" 265 · 32.6
9.5
3.0
4
100%
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 30.8
7.2
14.4
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 37.8
5.7
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.