FinalWin Prob.pScore
1753%93
85
2547%92
92
ORTG#PossPace
PHX logo PHX
94.49093.0
MIA logo MIA
103.48986.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSunsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHXMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA85
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)85
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)85
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)85
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 0:08.0PHXMISS Marbury 29' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)85
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)85
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 0:15.0PHXMarbury 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)85
3.4%
88
96.6%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)82
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)82
0.7%
87
99.3%
Q4 - 0:21.0PHXVoskuhl Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)82
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 0:27.0PHXVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
5.9%
86
94.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
4.7%
86
95.3%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
5.5%
86
94.5%
Q4 - 0:53.0PHXMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot82
6.9%
86
93.1%
Q4 - 1:06MIAAllen 8' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)82
12.0%
86
88.0%
Q4 - 1:27MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)82
22.0%
84
78.0%
Q4 - 1:29PHXMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot82
25.8%
84
74.2%
Q4 - 1:53PHXMarbury REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
35.9%
84
64.1%
Q4 - 1:55MIAMISS James 8' Running Jump Shot82
32.3%
84
67.7%
Q4 - 2:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)82
24.9%
84
75.1%
Q4 - 2:15PHXMISS Voskuhl Free Throw 2 of 282
26.6%
84
73.4%
Q4 - 2:15PHXVoskuhl Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)82
32.7%
84
67.3%
Q4 - 2:30MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)81
29.5%
84
70.5%
Q4 - 2:30MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)81
31.2%
83
68.8%
Q4 - 2:49PHXMarbury Driving Layup (15 PTS)81
34.5%
82
65.5%
Q4 - 3:06MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 5 AST)79
30.0%
82
70.0%
Q4 - 3:19MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
35.4%
80
64.6%
Q4 - 3:21PHXGrant BLOCK (3 BLK)79
39.9%
80
60.1%
Q4 - 3:40PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)79
49.0%
80
51.0%
Q4 - 3:42MIAMISS Butler 5' Hook Shot79
46.0%
80
54.0%
Q4 - 4:06PHXMarbury 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)79
39.0%
80
61.0%
Q4 - 4:15MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)77
30.9%
80
69.1%
Q4 - 4:24MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
23.0%
80
77.0%
Q4 - 4:26MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot77
28.2%
80
71.8%
Q4 - 4:47MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
22.8%
80
77.2%
Q4 - 4:49PHXMISS Jacobsen 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
25.0%
80
75.0%
Q4 - 4:56PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)77
30.6%
80
69.4%
Q4 - 4:58PHXMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
25.0%
80
75.0%
Q4 - 5:06PHXMarbury REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
33.4%
80
66.6%
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot77
31.0%
80
69.0%
Q4 - 5:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)77
26.0%
80
74.0%
Q4 - 5:26PHXMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
28.1%
80
71.9%
Q4 - 5:39PHXVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
33.2%
80
66.8%
Q4 - 5:41MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
30.9%
80
69.1%
Q4 - 6:02PHXJacobsen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)77
28.1%
80
71.9%
Q4 - 6:26MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 4 AST)74
18.2%
80
81.8%
Q4 - 6:45MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
22.3%
78
77.7%
Q4 - 6:47PHXMISS Marbury 15' Jump Shot74
24.1%
78
75.9%
Q4 - 6:52PHXMarbury REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
28.8%
78
71.2%
Q4 - 6:53MIAMISS Butler Running Layup74
26.7%
78
73.3%
Q4 - 6:59MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
22.2%
78
77.8%
Q4 - 7:01PHXMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot74
27.0%
78
73.0%
Q4 - 7:16MIAJames 8' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)74
31.3%
78
68.7%
Q4 - 7:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
36.6%
76
63.4%
Q4 - 7:38PHXMISS Jacobsen 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
38.9%
76
61.1%
Q4 - 7:57MIAEllis 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (House 2 AST)74
44.1%
76
55.9%
Q4 - 8:20PHXVoskuhl 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)74
50.7%
74
49.3%
Q4 - 8:41PHXSuns Rebound72
44.5%
74
55.5%
Q4 - 8:42MIAMISS Ellis 15' Jump Shot72
42.5%
74
57.5%
Q4 - 8:55PHXJacobsen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marbury 5 AST)72
38.1%
74
61.9%
Q4 - 9:08MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T12)69
28.8%
74
71.2%
Q4 - 9:29PHXMarion 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Marbury 4 AST)69
23.8%
74
76.2%
Q4 - 9:48MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)66
16.3%
74
83.7%
Q4 - 10:07PHXMarion Layup (24 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)66
25.0%
71
75.0%
Q4 - 10:10MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)64
21.3%
71
78.7%
Q4 - 10:25PHXMarbury Foul Turnover (P3.T16)64
17.4%
71
82.6%
Q4 - 10:27MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)64
21.2%
71
78.8%
Q4 - 10:28MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)64
17.4%
71
82.6%
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS Butler Layup64
20.0%
71
80.0%
Q4 - 10:37MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)64
17.4%
71
82.6%
Q4 - 10:38MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot64
20.0%
71
80.0%
Q4 - 10:58PHXJohnson 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Marbury 3 AST)64
17.4%
71
82.6%
Q4 - 11:03PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)62
15.6%
71
84.4%
Q4 - 11:05MIAMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot62
14.7%
71
85.3%
Q4 - 11:32PHXJohnson Layup (13 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)62
12.8%
71
87.2%
Q4 - 11:36MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)60
10.6%
71
89.4%
Q4 - 11:47MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)60
8.6%
71
91.4%
Q4 - 11:49PHXMISS Marbury Driving Layup60
9.2%
71
90.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHX60
10.6%
71
89.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHXSuns Rebound60
10.6%
71
89.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHXMISS Jacobsen 55' 3PT Jump Shot60
9.2%
71
90.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0PHXJacobsen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
12.0%
71
88.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS James 9' Jump Shot60
11.3%
71
88.7%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
9.9%
71
90.1%
Q3 - 0:26.0PHXMISS Johnson Driving Layup60
10.5%
71
89.5%
Q3 - 0:32.0PHXJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
11.9%
71
88.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAMISS House 14' Jump Shot60
11.2%
71
88.8%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
9.8%
71
90.2%
Q3 - 0:55.0PHXMISS Marbury 6' Running Hook Shot60
10.4%
71
89.6%
Q3 - 1:07MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
13.2%
71
86.8%
Q3 - 1:07MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)60
13.7%
70
86.3%
Q3 - 1:25PHXMarion 13' Jump Shot (22 PTS)60
15.5%
69
84.5%
Q3 - 1:38MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)58
13.2%
69
86.8%
Q3 - 2:00PHXJacobsen Foul Turnover (P1.T15)58
11.0%
69
89.0%
Q3 - 2:12MIAGrant Layup (14 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)58
14.2%
69
85.8%
Q3 - 2:34PHXMarbury Driving Layup (11 PTS)58
16.4%
67
83.6%
Q3 - 2:44MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)56
14.2%
67
85.8%
Q3 - 3:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
12.9%
67
87.1%
Q3 - 3:09PHXMISS Stoudemire 8' Hook Shot56
13.6%
67
86.4%
Q3 - 3:24MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)56
15.2%
67
84.8%
Q3 - 3:24MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)56
15.4%
66
84.6%
Q3 - 3:35MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
17.4%
65
82.6%
Q3 - 3:37MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot56
19.4%
65
80.6%
Q3 - 3:55PHXJohnson 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)56
17.4%
65
82.6%
Q3 - 4:16MIAButler 5' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)54
16.2%
65
83.8%
Q3 - 4:36MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
18.2%
63
81.8%
Q3 - 4:38PHXMISS Marbury 20' Jump Shot54
19.1%
63
80.9%
Q3 - 4:40PHXSuns Rebound54
21.4%
63
78.6%
Q3 - 4:41PHXGrant BLOCK (2 BLK)54
19.1%
63
80.9%
Q3 - 5:02MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)54
22.3%
63
77.7%
Q3 - 5:02MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)54
22.8%
62
77.2%
Q3 - 5:12MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
25.1%
61
74.9%
Q3 - 5:14PHXMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot54
26.1%
61
73.9%
Q3 - 5:39PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)54
28.5%
61
71.5%
Q3 - 5:40MIAMISS Best 19' Jump Shot54
27.4%
61
72.6%
Q3 - 5:57PHXMarion 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Marbury 2 AST)54
25.0%
61
75.0%
Q3 - 6:07PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
20.5%
61
79.5%
Q3 - 6:09MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
19.7%
61
80.3%
Q3 - 6:33MIAHEAT Rebound51
17.8%
61
82.2%
Q3 - 6:34PHXMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot51
18.6%
61
81.4%
Q3 - 6:50MIABest 5' Finger Roll (6 PTS)51
20.4%
61
79.6%
Q3 - 7:12PHXMarion Traveling Turnover (P4.T14)51
23.4%
59
76.6%
Q3 - 7:29PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
26.7%
59
73.3%
Q3 - 7:30MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot51
25.7%
59
74.3%
Q3 - 7:49PHXMarion Driving Layup (17 PTS)51
23.4%
59
76.6%
Q3 - 8:01MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)49
21.9%
59
78.1%
Q3 - 8:15PHXOutlaw Foul Turnover (P1.T13)49
19.1%
59
80.9%
Q3 - 8:28MIAGrant 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)49
21.9%
59
78.1%
Q3 - 8:40MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
19.0%
59
81.0%
Q3 - 8:42PHXMISS Marion 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
19.9%
59
80.1%
Q3 - 8:54PHXSuns Rebound49
21.8%
59
78.2%
Q3 - 8:56MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
20.9%
59
79.1%
Q3 - 9:15MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
20.0%
59
80.0%
Q3 - 9:16PHXMISS Marbury Free Throw 2 of 249
20.3%
59
79.7%
Q3 - 9:16PHXMarbury Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
21.9%
59
78.1%
Q3 - 9:29MIAGrant 4' Hook Shot (12 PTS)48
20.0%
59
80.0%
Q3 - 9:30MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
22.4%
57
77.6%
Q3 - 9:33MIAMISS Allen 4' Running Jump Shot48
24.3%
57
75.7%
Q3 - 9:46PHXMarion 6' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)48
22.4%
57
77.6%
Q3 - 10:02MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)46
21.1%
57
78.9%
Q3 - 10:13PHXMarion 4' Hook Shot (13 PTS)46
18.5%
57
81.5%
Q3 - 10:15PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)44
16.7%
57
83.3%
Q3 - 10:18PHXMISS Marion Driving Layup44
15.2%
57
84.8%
Q3 - 10:34MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Best 3 AST)44
16.7%
57
83.3%
Q3 - 10:50PHXJohnson Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)44
18.5%
55
81.5%
Q3 - 11:12MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)44
21.9%
55
78.1%
Q3 - 11:32PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
24.2%
53
75.8%
Q3 - 11:32PHXMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 243
23.5%
53
76.5%
Q3 - 11:32PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
24.3%
53
75.7%
Q3 - 11:33PHXMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
22.5%
53
77.5%
Q3 - 11:41PHXOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)43
24.3%
53
75.7%
Q3 - 11:43MIAMISS Best 21' Jump Shot43
23.5%
53
76.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHX43
21.7%
53
78.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHXOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
24.3%
53
75.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot43
24.5%
53
75.5%
Q2 - 0:07.0PHXJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)43
23.3%
53
76.7%
Q2 - 0:07.0PHXMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 242
23.0%
53
77.0%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)42
22.6%
53
77.4%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)42
23.0%
52
77.0%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
25.8%
51
74.2%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Butler 9' Jump Shot42
27.0%
51
73.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
25.7%
51
74.3%
Q2 - 0:35.0PHXMISS Marion 20' Jump Shot42
26.2%
51
73.8%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAEllis 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Best 2 AST)42
27.5%
51
72.5%
Q2 - 1:04PHXMarbury Driving Layup (8 PTS)42
32.0%
49
68.0%
Q2 - 1:09PHXMarbury REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
28.0%
49
72.0%
Q2 - 1:11MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
27.6%
49
72.4%
Q2 - 1:39PHXMarion Layup (11 PTS)40
26.6%
49
73.4%
Q2 - 1:40PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)38
23.1%
49
76.9%
Q2 - 1:42PHXMISS Marion Driving Layup38
22.2%
49
77.8%
Q2 - 2:07MIAAllen 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)38
24.4%
49
75.6%
Q2 - 2:32PHXJohnson 11' Running Hook Shot (8 PTS)38
26.9%
47
73.1%
Q2 - 2:50MIAGrant 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)36
24.2%
47
75.8%
Q2 - 3:11PHXMarbury 6' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)36
27.8%
45
72.2%
Q2 - 3:17PHXWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
25.7%
45
74.3%
Q2 - 3:19MIAMISS Grant Layup34
24.9%
45
75.1%
Q2 - 3:45PHXJohnson 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
23.1%
45
76.9%
Q2 - 4:02MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)32
22.2%
45
77.8%
Q2 - 4:20PHXWilliams 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)32
26.4%
42
73.6%
Q2 - 4:42MIAGrant Layup (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)30
24.2%
42
75.8%
Q2 - 4:45MIAHEAT Rebound30
26.4%
40
73.6%
Q2 - 4:47PHXMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
27.1%
40
72.9%
Q2 - 5:13MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)30
29.4%
40
70.6%
Q2 - 5:33PHXJames STEAL (1 STL)30
31.5%
38
68.5%
Q2 - 5:50PHXOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
34.2%
38
65.8%
Q2 - 5:52MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot30
33.4%
38
66.6%
Q2 - 6:17PHXButler STEAL (3 STL)30
32.1%
38
67.9%
Q2 - 6:23PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
35.0%
38
65.0%
Q2 - 6:25MIAMISS James 21' Jump Shot30
34.1%
38
65.9%
Q2 - 6:40MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
32.1%
38
67.9%
Q2 - 6:42PHXMISS Stoudemire 9' Jump Shot30
33.0%
38
67.0%
Q2 - 6:50MIAEllis Foul Turnover (P1.T3)30
35.0%
38
65.0%
Q2 - 6:51MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
32.1%
38
67.9%
Q2 - 6:53PHXMISS Jacobsen Reverse Layup30
32.9%
38
67.1%
Q2 - 7:15MIAGrant Dunk (4 PTS) (House 1 AST)30
35.8%
38
64.2%
Q2 - 7:21PHXHouse STEAL (1 STL)30
38.1%
36
61.9%
Q2 - 7:22PHXBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
40.8%
36
59.2%
Q2 - 7:24PHXEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)30
38.9%
36
61.1%
Q2 - 7:38PHXBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
40.8%
36
59.2%
Q2 - 7:40MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
39.9%
36
60.1%
Q2 - 7:57PHXStoudemire 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Outlaw 1 AST)30
38.0%
36
62.0%
Q2 - 8:13MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)28
36.0%
36
64.0%
Q2 - 8:39PHXStoudemire Dunk (6 PTS)28
38.1%
34
61.9%
Q2 - 8:41PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
36.0%
34
64.0%
Q2 - 8:43PHXMISS Marion 11' Jump Shot26
34.2%
34
65.8%
Q2 - 9:00MIAAllen 13' Hook Shot (6 PTS)26
36.0%
34
64.0%
Q2 - 9:23PHXMarion Layup (9 PTS)26
38.5%
32
61.5%
Q2 - 9:24PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)24
36.4%
32
63.6%
Q2 - 9:27PHXMISS Outlaw Free Throw 2 of 224
34.2%
32
65.8%
Q2 - 9:27PHXOutlaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
35.1%
32
65.0%
Q2 - 9:42MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)23
34.1%
32
65.9%
Q2 - 10:09PHXMarbury Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)23
36.3%
30
63.7%
Q2 - 10:29MIAEllis Layup (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)23
38.9%
30
61.1%
Q2 - 10:35MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
41.0%
28
59.0%
Q2 - 10:37PHXMISS Marbury 20' Jump Shot23
41.8%
28
58.2%
Q2 - 10:56MIAEllis 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
43.7%
28
56.3%
Q2 - 11:10MIAHEAT Rebound23
46.2%
26
53.8%
Q2 - 11:11MIAMISS James Driving Layup23
47.8%
26
52.2%
Q2 - 11:19PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
46.2%
26
53.8%
Q2 - 11:19PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
45.5%
26
54.5%
Q2 - 11:36PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
43.7%
26
56.3%
Q2 - 11:38MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
43.0%
26
57.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHX21
41.3%
26
58.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHXSuns Rebound21
43.7%
26
56.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHXMISS Marbury 40' 3PT Jump Shot21
42.1%
26
57.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)21
43.5%
26
56.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0PHXMarion Tip Shot (7 PTS)21
48.8%
23
51.2%
Q1 - 0:22.0PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)19
45.9%
23
54.1%
Q1 - 0:23.0PHXMISS Johnson Driving Layup19
44.6%
23
55.4%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)19
45.9%
23
54.1%
Q1 - 0:44.0PHXVoskuhl Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
51.2%
20
48.8%
Q1 - 0:44.0PHXVoskuhl Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
50.7%
20
49.3%
Q1 - 0:44.0PHXVoskuhl REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
48.3%
20
51.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Stepania Layup17
47.7%
20
52.3%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)17
46.4%
20
53.6%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot17
47.7%
20
52.3%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
46.4%
20
53.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0PHXMISS Marbury 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
47.0%
20
53.0%
Q1 - 1:07MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
48.4%
20
51.6%
Q1 - 1:07MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
49.1%
19
50.9%
Q1 - 1:14PHXJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
51.3%
18
48.7%
Q1 - 1:14PHXJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
50.9%
18
49.1%
Q1 - 1:21MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)15
48.4%
18
51.6%
Q1 - 1:21MIAStepania Layup (2 PTS)15
50.7%
17
49.3%
Q1 - 1:22MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
53.6%
15
46.4%
Q1 - 1:23MIAMISS Stepania Driving Layup15
54.9%
15
45.1%
Q1 - 1:37PHXJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)15
53.6%
15
46.4%
Q1 - 1:44PHXSuns Rebound15
55.4%
15
44.6%
Q1 - 1:46PHXMISS Jacobsen 3PT Jump Shot15
54.2%
15
45.8%
Q1 - 1:56PHXOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
55.4%
15
44.6%
Q1 - 1:58MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot15
54.9%
15
45.1%
Q1 - 2:24PHXWilliams Tip Shot (2 PTS)15
53.7%
15
46.3%
Q1 - 2:25PHXWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
51.2%
15
48.8%
Q1 - 2:26PHXMISS Marbury Driving Layup13
49.7%
15
50.3%
Q1 - 2:39PHXOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
51.2%
15
48.8%
Q1 - 2:41MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot13
50.5%
15
49.5%
Q1 - 3:03PHXMarbury Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
48.9%
15
51.1%
Q1 - 3:03PHXMarbury Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
48.5%
15
51.5%
Q1 - 3:15PHXOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
47.0%
15
53.0%
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 211
46.6%
15
53.4%
Q1 - 3:16MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
45.1%
15
54.9%
Q1 - 3:17PHXButler STEAL (2 STL)11
46.7%
14
53.3%
Q1 - 3:33MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)11
49.2%
14
50.8%
Q1 - 3:57PHXAllen STEAL (2 STL)11
51.2%
12
48.8%
Q1 - 4:04PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
53.9%
12
46.1%
Q1 - 4:06PHXMISS Marion 12' Running Jump Shot11
52.1%
12
47.9%
Q1 - 4:16PHXSuns Rebound11
53.9%
12
46.1%
Q1 - 4:17PHXMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
52.0%
12
48.0%
Q1 - 4:24PHXMarbury REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
53.9%
12
46.1%
Q1 - 4:26MIAMISS Stepania 5' Hook Shot11
53.1%
12
46.9%
Q1 - 4:28MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
51.2%
12
48.8%
Q1 - 4:30MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup11
53.1%
12
46.9%
Q1 - 4:48PHXButler STEAL (1 STL)11
51.2%
12
48.8%
Q1 - 5:01PHXMarion Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)11
53.8%
12
46.2%
Q1 - 5:01PHXSuns Rebound10
51.7%
12
48.3%
Q1 - 5:02MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot10
51.0%
12
49.0%
Q1 - 5:15PHXGrant STEAL (1 STL)10
49.4%
12
50.6%
Q1 - 5:34MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)10
51.7%
12
48.3%
Q1 - 5:43PHXAllen STEAL (1 STL)10
53.6%
10
46.4%
Q1 - 5:46PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
55.9%
10
44.1%
Q1 - 5:48MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot10
55.2%
10
44.8%
Q1 - 6:02MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
53.6%
10
46.4%
Q1 - 6:04PHXMISS Stoudemire 9' Jump Shot10
54.2%
10
45.8%
Q1 - 6:23MIABest Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
55.7%
10
44.3%
Q1 - 6:47PHXMarbury 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)10
57.6%
8
42.4%
Q1 - 6:54PHXOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
55.7%
8
44.3%
Q1 - 6:56MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup8
55.1%
8
44.9%
Q1 - 7:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
53.7%
8
46.3%
Q1 - 7:04PHXMISS Marion 15' Jump Shot8
54.3%
8
45.7%
Q1 - 7:11MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
55.8%
8
44.2%
Q1 - 7:25MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
53.7%
8
46.3%
Q1 - 7:27PHXGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)8
54.3%
8
45.7%
Q1 - 7:44PHXSuns Rebound8
55.8%
8
44.2%
Q1 - 7:46MIAMISS Best 19' Jump Shot8
55.1%
8
44.9%
Q1 - 7:57PHXMarion Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)8
53.7%
8
46.3%
Q1 - 8:04MIAAllen 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)8
56.2%
8
43.8%
Q1 - 8:26PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
57.8%
6
42.2%
Q1 - 8:26PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
57.3%
6
42.7%
Q1 - 8:47MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)6
56.1%
6
43.9%
Q1 - 9:10PHXJohnson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
57.4%
4
42.6%
Q1 - 9:25PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
56.1%
4
43.9%
Q1 - 9:27MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup4
55.4%
4
44.6%
Q1 - 9:41MIAHEAT Rebound4
53.7%
4
46.3%
Q1 - 9:42PHXMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
54.5%
4
45.5%
Q1 - 10:01MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)4
55.9%
4
44.1%
Q1 - 10:10MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
57.5%
2
42.5%
Q1 - 10:12PHXMISS Outlaw 16' Jump Shot4
58.1%
2
41.9%
Q1 - 10:38MIABest 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
59.6%
2
40.4%
Q1 - 10:55PHXMarion 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Marbury 1 AST)4
61.1%
0
38.9%
Q1 - 11:00MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
59.6%
0
40.4%
Q1 - 11:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
57.6%
0
42.4%
Q1 - 11:18MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot2
58.8%
0
41.2%
Q1 - 11:39PHXMarion 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
57.6%
0
42.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Outlaw: Tip to Marion0
55.7%
0
44.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
0.97 48.3%
MIA
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHX
12
22
55%
MIA
13
25
52%
Midrange
PHX
15
30
50%
MIA
17
40
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHX
5
7.5
23
22%
33%
MIA
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
Free Throws
PHX
16
21
76%
MIA
20
21
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Marion2759%13.5 / 23
S. Marbury1850%9.0 / 18
J. Johnson1539%7.5 / 19
A. Stoudemire950%4.5 / 9
C. Jacobsen638%3.0 / 8
J. Voskuhl583%2.5 / 3
S. Williams4100%2.0 / 2
B. Outlaw125%0.5 / 2
R. Brown0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Grant1680%8.0 / 10
M. James1568%7.5 / 11
C. Butler1341%6.5 / 16
M. Allen1260%6.0 / 10
L. Ellis1071%5.0 / 7
E. House945%4.5 / 10
T. Best857%4.0 / 7
R. Butler627%3.0 / 11
V. Stepania330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHX
73
+15
-17
88
MIA
76
+11
-13
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHX
0.97 48.3%
MIA
1.05 52.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.0
94.5
PHX 94.4 +8.9
MIA 103.4
Pace
94.1
90.0
PHX 93.0 +6.7
MIA 86.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
16.2
PHX 15.5 +1.2
MIA 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.3%
43.9%
PHX 46.0%
MIA 47.4% +1.4%
TO %
15.0%
14.8%
PHX 16.8%
MIA 13.2% +3.6%
ORB %
29.7%
26.8%
PHX 26.3%
MIA 26.3%
FTrt
28.5
25.9
PHX 28.0 +0.4
MIA 27.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.2%
55.8%
PHX 43.8%
MIA 58.8% +15.0%
STL %
8.6%
7.9%
PHX 5.6%
MIA 9.0% +3.4%
BLK %
7.6%
6.4%
PHX 12.3% +4.6%
MIA 7.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.0%
46.0%
PHX 48.3%
MIA 52.3% +4.0%
Rim FG%
55.4%
53.7%
PHX 54.5% +2.5%
MIA 52.0%
Mid FG%
39.4%
37.6%
PHX 50.0% +7.5%
MIA 42.5%
3P %
34.3%
31.6%
PHX 21.7%
MIA 36.4% +14.7%
FT %
74.2%
76.5%
PHX 76.2%
MIA 95.2% +19.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.5%
28.9%
PHX 29.3%
MIA 32.9% +3.6%
Mid Att. %
46.6%
54.2%
PHX 40.0% +12.6%
MIA 52.6%
3P Att. %
17.0%
16.9%
PHX 30.7% +16.2%
MIA 14.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsPHXMIA
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points8592
Rebounds3838
Assists1420
Steals58
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (4)28 (3)
Field Goals32-7534-76
At-the-Rim FG12-2213-25
Midrange FG15-3017-40
2-Point FG27-5230-65
3-Point FG5-234-11
Free Throws16-2120-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 25
46.0
27
59%
9
1
1
2
4
1
6
3
1-1
100%
10-16
63%
2-7
29%
G · 6'2" 205 · 26
44.1
18
50%
5
5
1
0
3
5
0
5
3-4
75%
6-12
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'7" 240 · 22
42.8
15
39%
1
7
1
1
2
2
0
1
3-4
75%
6-11
55%
0-6
0%
C · 6'8" 220 · 32
30.7
1
25%
7
1
1
2
1
4
0
7
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 245 · 20
24.6
9
50%
8
0
0
0
3
2
2
6
5-6
83%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 22
23.8
6
38%
1
0
0
1
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-6
33%
C · 6'11" 255 · 25
15.8
5
83%
3
0
1
0
1
4
0
3
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 35
6.9
4
100%
2
0
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 35
3.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 220 · 25
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 32
F · 6'9" 280 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
48%
38
14
5
8
17
0
10
28
16-21
76%
27-52
52%
5-23
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.