Final Win Prob. pScore
1935%90
94
1265%95
103
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo Wizards
97.99691.7
Hornets
108.49599.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASNOH
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH94
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0WASStackhouse Layup (26 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)94
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0NOHMISS Mashburn 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0WASPack STEAL (2 STL)92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:52.0NOHMagloire Layup (16 PTS)92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)92
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0NOHMISS Wesley 7' Jump Shot92
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 1:09NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)92
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 1:12NOHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 1:17NOHSUB: Pack FOR Campbell92
101
Q4 - 1:17WASSUB: Dixon FOR Thomas92
101
Q4 - 1:17NOHHORNETS Rebound92
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 1:17NOHMISS Davis Layup92
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 1:35WASJordan 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Stackhouse 9 AST)92
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 1:55NOHDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)90
0.5%
101
99.5%
Q4 - 1:55NOHDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)90
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 1:55WASBrown S.FOUL (P3.PN)90
99
Q4 - 2:02NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)90
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 2:04WASMISS Stackhouse Layup90
0.9%
99
99.1%
Q4 - 2:11WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
1.4%
99
98.6%
Q4 - 2:14NOHMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot90
1.1%
99
98.9%
Q4 - 2:30WASStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)90
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 2:30WASStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)89
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 2:3088
99
Q4 - 2:30NOHDavis S.FOUL (P2.PN)88
99
Q4 - 2:32NOHMashburn Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)88
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 2:53WASLue 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)88
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 3:04NOHDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)85
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 3:08NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10NOHMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 3:26NOHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28WASMISS Jordan 15' Jump Shot85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46NOHMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)85
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 3:46NOHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)85
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 3:46NOHMashburn Free Throw Technical (24 PTS)85
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 3:46WASStackhouse T.FOUL (P0.PN)85
96
Q4 - 3:46WASBrown S.FOUL (P2.PN)85
96
Q4 - 3:59WASBrown Traveling Turnover (P3.T15)85
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 4:12NOHWesley Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)85
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 4:12WASSUB: Stackhouse FOR Dixon85
95
Q4 - 4:12NOHHORNETS Rebound85
95
Q4 - 4:12NOHMISS Wesley Free Throw 1 of 285
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q4 - 4:12WASLue P.FOUL (P2.PN)85
95
Q4 - 4:23NOHHORNETS Rebound85
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 4:25WASMISS Dixon 16' Jump Shot85
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q4 - 4:31WASLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
2.0%
95
98.0%
Q4 - 4:33NOHMISS Wesley 18' Jump Shot85
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q4 - 4:48WASLue P.FOUL (P1.T4)85
95
Q4 - 5:01WASThomas 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jordan 3 AST)85
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q4 - 5:21WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)83
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 5:23NOHMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q4 - 5:45WASThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)83
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 5:45WASThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)82
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 5:45NOHDavis S.FOUL (P1.PN)81
95
Q4 - 5:45WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)81
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 5:47WASMISS Jordan 16' Jump Shot81
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 6:01NOHMashburn L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)81
95
Q4 - 6:01WASWizards Rebound81
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 6:01NOHMISS Mashburn 12' Jump Shot81
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 6:11WASDixon P.FOUL (P1.T3)81
95
Q4 - 6:24NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)81
0.9%
95
99.1%
Q4 - 6:28WASMISS Jordan 15' Jump Shot81
1.0%
95
99.0%
Q4 - 6:49WASSUB: Jordan FOR Stackhouse81
95
Q4 - 6:49WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)81
95
Q4 - 6:53NOHMagloire Reverse Dunk (12 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)81
1.3%
95
98.7%
Q4 - 6:56NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q4 - 6:58WASMISS Lue 13' Jump Shot81
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q4 - 7:02NOHWesley Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)81
2.9%
93
97.1%
Q4 - 7:05NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)81
2.2%
93
97.8%
Q4 - 7:07WASMISS Stackhouse 22' Jump Shot81
2.4%
93
97.6%
Q4 - 7:24NOHDavis 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Campbell 2 AST)81
2.9%
93
97.1%
Q4 - 7:42NOHSUB: Magloire FOR Lynch81
91
Q4 - 7:42NOHHORNETS Rebound81
3.7%
91
96.3%
Q4 - 7:42WASMISS Brown 7' Jump Shot81
4.1%
91
95.9%
Q4 - 7:57WASStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
4.9%
91
95.1%
Q4 - 7:59NOHMISS Lynch Layup81
4.5%
91
95.5%
Q4 - 8:16NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
4.6%
91
95.4%
Q4 - 8:18WASMISS Dixon 3PT Jump Shot81
4.9%
91
95.1%
Q4 - 8:21WASDixon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
5.8%
91
94.2%
Q4 - 8:23WASMISS Brown Layup81
4.9%
91
95.1%
Q4 - 8:29NOHDavis Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)81
5.8%
91
94.2%
Q4 - 8:30WASThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)81
4.6%
91
95.4%
Q4 - 8:30WASThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)80
4.2%
91
95.8%
Q4 - 8:30NOHLynch S.FOUL (P2.T3)79
91
Q4 - 8:32WASStackhouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)79
3.5%
91
96.5%
Q4 - 8:34WASCampbell BLOCK (1 BLK)79
3.0%
91
97.0%
Q4 - 8:44NOHSUB: Davis FOR Pack79
91
Q4 - 8:44NOHPack L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)79
91
Q4 - 8:44WASWizards Rebound79
3.5%
91
96.5%
Q4 - 8:44WASMISS Stackhouse 7' Jump Shot79
3.0%
91
97.0%
Q4 - 8:48NOHPack Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)79
3.5%
91
96.5%
Q4 - 9:02WASStackhouse 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS)79
3.5%
91
96.5%
Q4 - 9:20NOHPack Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)77
2.7%
91
97.3%
Q4 - 9:20NOHPack Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)77
2.9%
90
97.1%
Q4 - 9:20WASThomas S.FOUL (P1.T2)77
89
Q4 - 9:29NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)77
89
Q4 - 9:31WASLue 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)77
3.4%
89
96.6%
Q4 - 9:35WASDixon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 9:37NOHMISS Campbell 17' Jump Shot75
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q4 - 10:02WASThomas 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)75
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 10:17WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)73
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 10:20NOHMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot73
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 10:44WASLue 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stackhouse 8 AST)73
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 10:58NOHLynch Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)71
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 10:58WASSUB: Dixon FOR Hughes71
88
Q4 - 10:58NOHLynch Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)71
1.4%
88
98.6%
Q4 - 10:58WASHughes S.FOUL (P4.T1)71
87
Q4 - 11:01NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)71
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 11:03WASMISS Stackhouse Layup71
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q4 - 11:18NOHHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)71
2.4%
87
97.6%
Q4 - 11:18NOHHORNETS Rebound71
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 11:18NOHMISS Mashburn Layup71
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q4 - 11:43WASBrown Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)71
2.0%
87
98.0%
Q4 - 11:43NOHCampbell S.FOUL (P2.T1)70
87
Q4 - 11:43WASBrown Driving Layup (7 PTS)70
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 12:0068
87
Q3 - 0:00.0WAS68
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHPack Driving Layup (5 PTS)68
1.3%
87
98.7%
Q3 - 0:06.0WASStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)68
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q3 - 0:06.0WASSUB: Lue FOR Jordan67
85
Q3 - 0:06.0WASStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)67
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q3 - 0:06.0NOHMashburn S.FOUL (P1.PN)66
85
Q3 - 0:20.0NOHMashburn Dunk (23 PTS)66
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q3 - 0:20.0NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)66
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q3 - 0:23.0NOHMISS Mashburn 11' Jump Shot66
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q3 - 0:35.0NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)66
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q3 - 0:46.0WASMISS Brown 11' Jump Shot66
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0WASOakley Ejection:Other66
83
Q3 - 0:53.0NOHSUB: Campbell FOR Brown66
83
Q3 - 0:53.0WASWizards Rebound66
83
Q3 - 0:53.0WASMISS Thomas Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 266
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0WASWizards Rebound66
83
Q3 - 0:53.0WASMISS Thomas Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 266
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0WASSUB: Thomas FOR Oakley66
83
Q3 - 0:53.0NOHBrown Ejection:Other66
83
Q3 - 0:53.0NOH66
83
Q3 - 0:53.0NOHBrown Foul Turnover (P2.T9)66
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0NOHBrown FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P2.T2)66
83
Q3 - 0:53.0WASPack STEAL (1 STL)66
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q3 - 0:54.0WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q3 - 0:55.0NOHMISS Brown Layup66
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)66
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q3 - 1:02NOHMISS Magloire 5' Hook Shot66
2.4%
83
97.6%
Q3 - 1:24WASOakley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)66
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q3 - 1:43WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q3 - 1:45NOHMISS Pack Free Throw 2 of 266
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q3 - 1:45NOHPack Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)66
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q3 - 1:45WASHughes P.FOUL (P3.PN)66
82
Q3 - 1:55WASOakley Layup (4 PTS)66
2.6%
82
97.4%
Q3 - 1:56WASOakley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
2.1%
82
97.9%
Q3 - 1:57WASMISS Brown Layup64
1.8%
82
98.2%
Q3 - 2:21WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q3 - 2:23NOHMISS Mashburn 14' Jump Shot64
2.3%
82
97.7%
Q3 - 2:31NOHSUB: Pack FOR Davis64
82
Q3 - 2:31NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)64
82
Q3 - 2:49WASHughes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jordan 2 AST)64
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q3 - 3:02NOHMashburn 12' Jump Shot (21 PTS)61
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q3 - 3:15NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)61
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q3 - 3:19WASMISS Stackhouse 19' Jump Shot61
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q3 - 3:30NOHWesley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)61
80
Q3 - 3:30NOHJump Ball Wesley vs. Jordan: Tip to Oakley61
2.3%
80
97.7%
Q3 - 3:48WASHughes 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Stackhouse 7 AST)61
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q3 - 4:08NOHDavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mashburn 8 AST)58
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q3 - 4:29WASHughes 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stackhouse 6 AST)58
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q3 - 4:41NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)56
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q3 - 4:41NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)56
1.8%
76
98.2%
Q3 - 4:41WASOakley P.FOUL (P3.PN)56
75
Q3 - 4:42WASMagloire STEAL (1 STL)56
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 5:00NOHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)56
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 5:00NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)56
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 5:00WASHughes S.FOUL (P2.T4)56
73
Q3 - 5:00NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
2.9%
73
97.1%
Q3 - 5:01NOHMISS Wesley Layup56
3.6%
73
96.4%
Q3 - 5:05NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 5:07WASDavis BLOCK (1 BLK)56
3.4%
73
96.6%
Q3 - 5:31NOHDavis Driving Layup (7 PTS)56
3.8%
73
96.2%
Q3 - 5:36WASHughes 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)56
4.4%
71
95.6%
Q3 - 5:58NOHBrown 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)54
3.8%
71
96.2%
Q3 - 6:04NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)54
4.7%
69
95.3%
Q3 - 6:06NOHMISS Davis Layup54
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 6:12WASWesley STEAL (2 STL)54
4.7%
69
95.3%
Q3 - 6:17WASJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
5.6%
69
94.4%
Q3 - 6:20NOHMISS Mashburn 17' Jump Shot54
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 6:25WASSUB: Brown FOR Haywood54
69
Q3 - 6:25WASHaywood P.FOUL (P4.T3)54
69
Q3 - 6:39WASDavis STEAL (4 STL)54
4.7%
69
95.3%
Q3 - 6:58WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)54
69
Q3 - 7:01NOHWesley 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)54
6.0%
69
94.0%
Q3 - 7:06WASDavis STEAL (3 STL)54
7.9%
66
92.1%
Q3 - 7:10WASJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
9.2%
66
90.8%
Q3 - 7:12NOHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
8.8%
66
91.2%
Q3 - 7:16NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
7.9%
66
92.1%
Q3 - 7:19NOHMISS Mashburn 22' Jump Shot54
8.8%
66
91.2%
Q3 - 7:31NOHHORNETS Rebound54
7.9%
66
92.1%
Q3 - 7:32WASMISS Jordan 15' Jump Shot54
8.3%
66
91.7%
Q3 - 7:54WASWizards Rebound54
9.1%
66
90.9%
Q3 - 7:55NOHMISS Wesley 16' Jump Shot54
8.7%
66
91.3%
Q3 - 8:10WASOakley P.FOUL (P2.T2)54
66
Q3 - 8:10WASWesley STEAL (1 STL)54
8.1%
66
91.9%
Q3 - 8:29NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)54
9.4%
66
90.6%
Q3 - 8:29NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)54
9.6%
65
90.4%
Q3 - 8:29WASHaywood S.FOUL (P3.T1)54
64
Q3 - 8:39NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
10.7%
64
89.3%
Q3 - 8:41WASMISS Oakley 22' Jump Shot54
11.2%
64
88.8%
Q3 - 8:48WASHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
12.3%
64
87.7%
Q3 - 8:50NOHMISS Mashburn 18' Jump Shot54
11.8%
64
88.2%
Q3 - 8:59NOHHORNETS Rebound54
10.7%
64
89.3%
Q3 - 9:00NOHMISS Brown Layup54
11.8%
64
88.2%
Q3 - 9:17WASStackhouse 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)54
11.0%
64
89.0%
Q3 - 9:38NOHMashburn 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)52
9.6%
64
90.4%
Q3 - 9:49NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
11.0%
62
89.0%
Q3 - 9:51WASMISS Jordan 15' Jump Shot52
11.4%
62
88.6%
Q3 - 10:04NOHMagloire Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)52
12.9%
62
87.1%
Q3 - 10:22WASStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)52
11.4%
62
88.6%
Q3 - 10:22NOHMagloire S.FOUL (P2.T1)51
62
Q3 - 10:22WASStackhouse Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Hughes 4 AST)51
10.0%
62
90.0%
Q3 - 10:37NOHMashburn 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)49
8.8%
62
91.2%
Q3 - 10:56NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
10.0%
60
90.0%
Q3 - 10:58WASMISS Jordan 14' Jump Shot49
10.4%
60
89.6%
Q3 - 11:07NOHDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)49
11.8%
60
88.2%
Q3 - 11:19WASOakley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)49
10.3%
60
89.7%
Q3 - 11:35NOHMagloire Layup (10 PTS)49
11.8%
60
88.2%
Q3 - 11:37NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
13.2%
58
86.8%
Q3 - 11:38NOHMISS Magloire Layup49
14.4%
58
85.6%
Q3 - 12:0049
58
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH49
13.2%
58
86.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound49
13.2%
58
86.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
14.4%
58
85.6%
Q2 - 0:05.0WASJordan 10' Jump Shot (16 PTS)49
13.9%
58
86.1%
Q2 - 0:13.0NOHMashburn 11' Jump Shot (13 PTS)47
12.0%
58
88.0%
Q2 - 0:33.0NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
56
Q2 - 0:34.0WASMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 147
14.0%
56
86.0%
Q2 - 0:34.0NOHBrown S.FOUL (P1.T3)47
56
Q2 - 0:34.0WASBrown Layup (5 PTS) (Stackhouse 5 AST)47
13.8%
56
86.2%
Q2 - 0:49.0NOHDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)45
12.0%
56
88.0%
Q2 - 0:49.0WASSUB: Stackhouse FOR Hughes45
55
Q2 - 0:49.0NOHHORNETS Rebound45
55
Q2 - 0:49.0NOHMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 245
12.4%
55
87.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0WASBrown S.FOUL (P1.PN)45
55
Q2 - 1:03WASJordan 10' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)45
12.6%
55
87.4%
Q2 - 1:18NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)43
10.9%
55
89.1%
Q2 - 1:18WASJordan S.FOUL (P1.T3)43
54
Q2 - 1:18NOHMashburn Layup (10 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)43
12.2%
54
87.8%
Q2 - 1:22NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
14.2%
52
85.8%
Q2 - 1:24WASMISS Jordan 14' Jump Shot43
14.5%
52
85.5%
Q2 - 1:35WASHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
15.3%
52
84.7%
Q2 - 1:37NOHMISS Wesley 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
15.0%
52
85.0%
Q2 - 1:47WASSUB: Lue FOR Stackhouse43
52
Q2 - 1:59NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
14.2%
52
85.8%
Q2 - 2:01WASMISS Jordan 18' Jump Shot43
14.6%
52
85.4%
Q2 - 2:23NOHSUB: Brown FOR Lynch43
52
Q2 - 2:23NOHSUB: Magloire FOR Campbell43
52
Q2 - 2:23NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)43
52
Q2 - 2:23NOHDavis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)43
15.8%
52
84.2%
Q2 - 2:31NOHDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
14.1%
52
85.9%
Q2 - 2:33WASMISS Stackhouse 21' Jump Shot43
14.6%
52
85.4%
Q2 - 2:51NOHWesley Layup (15 PTS) (Mashburn 7 AST)43
15.8%
52
84.2%
Q2 - 2:54NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
17.5%
50
82.5%
Q2 - 2:56WASMashburn BLOCK (1 BLK)43
18.1%
50
81.9%
Q2 - 3:09WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
19.7%
50
80.3%
Q2 - 3:11NOHMISS Mashburn 7' Jump Shot43
19.1%
50
80.9%
Q2 - 3:21NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
17.5%
50
82.5%
Q2 - 3:23WASMISS Stackhouse 12' Jump Shot43
18.2%
50
81.8%
Q2 - 3:42NOHLynch 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mashburn 6 AST)43
19.7%
50
80.3%
Q2 - 4:03NOHSUB: Mashburn FOR Pack43
48
Q2 - 4:03NOHSUB: Wesley FOR Augmon43
48
Q2 - 4:03WASBrown Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)43
21.6%
48
78.4%
Q2 - 4:06WASHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
23.9%
48
76.1%
Q2 - 4:08NOHMISS Campbell 5' Jump Shot43
23.2%
48
76.8%
Q2 - 4:29WASStackhouse Layup (13 PTS) (Jordan 1 AST)43
21.6%
48
78.4%
Q2 - 4:32WASJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
19.7%
48
80.3%
Q2 - 4:34NOHMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
19.1%
48
80.9%
Q2 - 4:56WASJordan 15' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)41
17.7%
48
82.3%
Q2 - 5:10WASSUB: Stackhouse FOR Russell39
48
Q2 - 5:10WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)39
48
Q2 - 5:22NOHLynch Dunk (4 PTS) (Pack 2 AST)39
16.4%
48
83.6%
Q2 - 5:25NOHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
18.2%
46
81.8%
Q2 - 5:27WASMISS Hughes 7' Jump Shot39
18.7%
46
81.3%
Q2 - 5:43NOHAugmon Dunk (2 PTS) (Lynch 1 AST)39
19.9%
46
80.1%
Q2 - 5:46NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
22.0%
44
78.0%
Q2 - 5:48WASMISS Russell Layup39
22.6%
44
77.4%
Q2 - 6:09NOHDavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
24.4%
44
75.6%
Q2 - 6:31WASBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)39
28.5%
41
71.5%
Q2 - 6:31WASBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)38
27.9%
41
72.1%
Q2 - 6:31NOHLynch S.FOUL (P1.T2)37
41
Q2 - 6:52NOHPack Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)37
26.6%
41
73.4%
Q2 - 6:56NOHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
24.1%
41
75.9%
Q2 - 6:58WASMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 237
24.4%
41
75.6%
Q2 - 6:58WASBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
25.7%
41
74.3%
Q2 - 6:58NOHCampbell S.FOUL (P1.T1)36
41
Q2 - 7:20NOHCampbell Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
24.2%
41
75.8%
Q2 - 7:20NOHCampbell Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
24.6%
40
75.4%
Q2 - 7:20NOHSUB: Davis FOR Mashburn36
39
Q2 - 7:20WASSUB: Jordan FOR Haywood36
39
Q2 - 7:20WASSUB: Thomas FOR Lue36
39
Q2 - 7:2036
39
Q2 - 7:20WASRussell S.FOUL (P1.T2)36
39
Q2 - 7:20NOHCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
26.3%
39
73.7%
Q2 - 7:22NOHMISS Augmon 18' Jump Shot36
27.9%
39
72.1%
Q2 - 7:36NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
26.3%
39
73.7%
Q2 - 7:38WASMISS Hughes 18' Jump Shot36
27.0%
39
73.0%
Q2 - 7:50WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
28.7%
39
71.3%
Q2 - 7:52NOHMISS Pack 19' Jump Shot36
27.9%
39
72.1%
Q2 - 8:08WASAugmon STEAL (1 STL)36
26.5%
39
73.5%
Q2 - 8:28NOHMashburn Layup (8 PTS)36
28.6%
39
71.4%
Q2 - 8:29NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
31.0%
37
69.0%
Q2 - 8:31NOHMISS Augmon Layup36
32.6%
37
67.4%
Q2 - 8:34WASLynch STEAL (1 STL)36
31.0%
37
69.0%
Q2 - 8:56NOHLynch 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pack 1 AST)36
33.3%
37
66.7%
Q2 - 9:02NOHPack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
35.4%
35
64.6%
Q2 - 9:04WASMISS Lue Layup36
36.2%
35
63.8%
Q2 - 9:07WASBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
37.9%
35
62.1%
Q2 - 9:09NOHMISS Mashburn 11' Jump Shot36
37.2%
35
62.8%
Q2 - 9:27WASLue 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
35.4%
35
64.6%
Q2 - 9:36WASSUB: Hughes FOR Stackhouse34
35
Q2 - 9:36NOHSUB: Augmon FOR Brown34
35
Q2 - 9:36NOHSUB: Lynch FOR Wesley34
35
Q2 - 9:54NOHPack 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Campbell 1 AST)34
33.1%
35
66.9%
Q2 - 10:13WASStackhouse 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)34
35.4%
33
64.6%
Q2 - 10:25NOHBrown Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)32
33.1%
33
66.9%
Q2 - 10:28NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)32
30.7%
33
69.3%
Q2 - 10:30NOHMISS Campbell 18' Jump Shot32
32.3%
33
67.7%
Q2 - 10:46NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
30.7%
33
69.3%
Q2 - 10:48WASMISS Russell 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
31.4%
33
68.6%
Q2 - 10:54WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
33.1%
33
66.9%
Q2 - 10:58NOHMISS Pack Driving Layup32
32.3%
33
67.7%
Q2 - 11:07WASStackhouse 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS)32
30.8%
33
69.2%
Q2 - 11:14WASLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
28.7%
33
71.3%
Q2 - 11:16NOHMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot30
28.1%
33
71.9%
Q2 - 11:31WASRussell 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 4 AST)30
26.6%
33
73.4%
Q2 - 11:45NOHCampbell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
24.7%
33
75.3%
Q2 - 11:45NOHCampbell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
25.1%
32
74.9%
Q2 - 11:45WASHaywood S.FOUL (P2.T1)28
31
Q2 - 12:0028
31
Q1 - 0:00.0WAS28
26.6%
31
73.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOHMashburn 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS)28
28.3%
31
71.7%
Q1 - 0:17.0WASJordan Driving Layup (10 PTS)28
30.9%
29
69.1%
Q1 - 0:32.0NOHWesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Mashburn 5 AST)26
28.4%
29
71.6%
Q1 - 0:37.0NOHMISS Magloire Tip Shot26
34.2%
26
65.8%
Q1 - 0:37.0NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
33.0%
26
67.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
33.0%
26
67.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0NOHMISS Pack Layup26
34.2%
26
65.8%
Q1 - 0:51.0WASSUB: Lue FOR Hughes26
26
Q1 - 1:02NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
33.0%
26
67.0%
Q1 - 1:04WASMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)26
33.5%
26
66.5%
Q1 - 1:20WASWizards Rebound26
34.5%
26
65.5%
Q1 - 1:21NOHMISS Mashburn 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
34.0%
26
66.0%
Q1 - 1:41WASJordan 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Oakley 3 AST)26
33.0%
26
67.0%
Q1 - 1:50NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)24
26
Q1 - 1:50NOHPack P.FOUL (P1.T2)24
26
Q1 - 1:58WASJordan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
30.3%
26
69.7%
Q1 - 2:00NOHMISS Magloire 16' Jump Shot24
29.9%
26
70.1%
Q1 - 2:19WASJordan Layup (6 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)24
29.0%
26
71.0%
Q1 - 2:23NOHPack Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)22
26.8%
26
73.2%
Q1 - 2:49WASOakley 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)22
25.3%
26
74.7%
Q1 - 2:58WASHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
23.3%
26
76.7%
Q1 - 3:00NOHMISS Brown 11' Jump Shot20
22.9%
26
77.1%
Q1 - 3:19WASHaywood Layup (5 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)20
21.9%
26
78.1%
Q1 - 3:38NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)18
20.3%
26
79.7%
Q1 - 3:38NOHHORNETS Rebound18
25
Q1 - 3:38NOHSUB: Pack FOR Davis18
25
Q1 - 3:38NOHMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 218
20.6%
25
79.4%
Q1 - 3:38WASOakley S.FOUL (P1.T3)18
25
Q1 - 3:39NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
20.3%
25
79.7%
Q1 - 3:40NOHMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot18
21.4%
25
78.6%
Q1 - 3:53WASStackhouse 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Oakley 2 AST)18
20.4%
25
79.6%
Q1 - 4:04WASOakley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
19.0%
25
81.0%
Q1 - 4:06NOHMISS Davis 11' Jump Shot15
18.6%
25
81.4%
Q1 - 4:22NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
17.9%
25
82.1%
Q1 - 4:24WASMISS Haywood Free Throw 2 of 215
18.0%
25
82.0%
Q1 - 4:24WASHaywood Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
18.6%
25
81.4%
Q1 - 4:24NOHMagloire S.FOUL (P1.T1)14
25
Q1 - 4:24WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
17.9%
25
82.1%
Q1 - 4:26WASMISS Jordan 15' Jump Shot14
17.1%
25
82.9%
Q1 - 4:34WASOakley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
18.0%
25
82.0%
Q1 - 4:37WASMISS Jordan 12' Jump Shot14
17.2%
25
82.8%
Q1 - 4:53NOHMagloire Layup (8 PTS)14
18.2%
25
81.8%
Q1 - 5:10NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
19.7%
23
80.3%
Q1 - 5:12WASMISS Stackhouse 12' Jump Shot14
20.1%
23
79.9%
Q1 - 5:26WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)14
23
Q1 - 5:34NOHWesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mashburn 4 AST)14
21.2%
23
78.8%
Q1 - 5:40NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
23.6%
20
76.4%
Q1 - 5:42WASMISS Hughes 17' Jump Shot14
24.1%
20
75.9%
Q1 - 5:59NOHWesley Layup (7 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)14
25.3%
20
74.7%
Q1 - 6:04WASDavis STEAL (2 STL)14
26.5%
18
73.5%
Q1 - 6:15NOHWesley 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mashburn 3 AST)14
28.0%
18
72.0%
Q1 - 6:34NOHDavis Free Throw Clear Path (1 PTS)14
31.0%
15
69.0%
Q1 - 6:34WASHughes P.FOUL (P1.T2)14
14
Q1 - 6:34WASDavis STEAL (1 STL)14
32.5%
14
67.5%
Q1 - 7:00NOHMashburn 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
34.2%
14
65.8%
Q1 - 7:16WASStackhouse 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
35.4%
12
64.6%
Q1 - 7:25WASOakley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
34.1%
12
65.9%
Q1 - 7:27NOHMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot12
33.6%
12
66.4%
Q1 - 7:37WASStackhouse 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hughes 3 AST)12
32.5%
12
67.5%
Q1 - 7:57NOHMagloire Dunk (6 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)10
31.4%
12
68.6%
Q1 - 8:19WASHughes Dunk (4 PTS)10
32.7%
10
67.3%
Q1 - 8:24NOHDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
31.4%
10
68.6%
Q1 - 8:30NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
30.3%
10
69.7%
Q1 - 8:32WASMISS Hughes 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
30.7%
10
69.3%
Q1 - 8:52NOHMagloire 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)8
31.7%
10
68.3%
Q1 - 9:04WASHughes Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)8
33.1%
8
66.9%
Q1 - 9:15NOHBrown 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mashburn 2 AST)8
34.1%
8
65.9%
Q1 - 9:30WASJordan Driving Layup (4 PTS)8
35.3%
6
64.7%
Q1 - 9:47NOHMashburn 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
34.2%
6
65.8%
Q1 - 10:05NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
35.0%
4
65.0%
Q1 - 10:07WASMISS Jordan 15' Jump Shot6
35.2%
4
64.8%
Q1 - 10:12WASHughes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
35.8%
4
64.2%
Q1 - 10:14NOHMISS Brown 8' Jump Shot6
35.6%
4
64.4%
Q1 - 10:26WASJordan 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hughes 2 AST)6
35.0%
4
65.0%
Q1 - 10:44NOHWesley 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mashburn 1 AST)4
34.5%
4
65.5%
Q1 - 11:03WASHaywood Layup (2 PTS) (Hughes 1 AST)4
34.9%
2
65.1%
Q1 - 11:16NOHMagloire 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
34.6%
2
65.4%
Q1 - 11:29WASHaywood P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:45WASHughes 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Oakley 1 AST)2
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Magloire vs. Haywood: Tip to Hughes0
35.1%
0
64.9%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventWASNOH
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.07 53.4%
NOH
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
13
20
65%
NOH
15
29
52%
Midrange
WAS
21
49
43%
NOH
15
36
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
4
6.0
7
57%
86%
NOH
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
Free Throws
WAS
14
19
74%
NOH
25
29
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Stackhouse2659%13.0 / 22
M. Jordan1843%9.0 / 21
L. Hughes1464%7.0 / 11
T. Lue975%4.5 / 6
K. Brown840%4.0 / 10
E. Thomas8100%4.0 / 4
B. Haywood563%2.5 / 4
C. Oakley467%2.0 / 3
B. Russell233%1.0 / 3
J. Dixon0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Mashburn2452%12.0 / 23
D. Wesley1956%9.5 / 17
J. Magloire1667%8.0 / 12
B. Davis1447%7.0 / 15
P. Brown945%4.5 / 10
G. Lynch880%4.0 / 5
R. Pack750%3.5 / 7
E. Campbell440%2.0 / 5
S. Augmon233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
80
+7
-16
87
NOH
81
+19
-14
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.07 53.4%
NOH
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.1
101.4
WAS 97.9
NOH 108.4 +10.5
Pace
90.7
91.7
WAS 91.7
NOH 99.7 +8.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.8
WAS 15.7
NOH 14.4 −1.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.0%
46.5%
WAS 52.6% +5.6%
NOH 47.0%
TO %
13.8%
15.2%
WAS 15.9%
NOH 13.5% −2.4%
ORB %
27.3%
31.8%
WAS 16.2%
NOH 36.6% +20.4%
FTrt
32.5
28.5
WAS 25.0
NOH 34.9 +9.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.2%
62.0%
WAS 52.6%
NOH 55.6% +3.0%
STL %
8.3%
8.6%
WAS 11.5%
NOH 11.6% +0.1%
BLK %
7.4%
7.1%
WAS 7.7% +1.9%
NOH 5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.8%
48.7%
WAS 53.4% +1.9%
NOH 51.5%
Rim FG%
56.7%
53.8%
WAS 65.0% +13.3%
NOH 51.7%
Mid FG%
40.9%
39.0%
WAS 42.9% +1.2%
NOH 41.7%
3P %
31.2%
37.6%
WAS 57.1% +23.8%
NOH 33.3%
FT %
77.9%
76.8%
WAS 73.7%
NOH 86.2% +12.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.7%
32.2%
WAS 26.3%
NOH 34.9% +8.6%
Mid Att. %
59.6%
51.7%
WAS 64.5%
NOH 43.4% −21.1%
3P Att. %
12.7%
16.1%
WAS 9.2%
NOH 21.7% +12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsWASNOH
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points94103
Rebounds3246
Assists2020
Steals1111
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (1)15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)31 (3)
Field Goals38-7636-83
At-the-Rim FG13-2015-29
Midrange FG21-4915-36
2-Point FG34-6930-65
3-Point FG4-76-18
Free Throws14-1925-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 218 · 28
40.0
26
59%
2
9
1
1
1
0
1
1
5-5
100%
9-18
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'6" 216 · 40
38.0
18
43%
4
3
3
0
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
9-21
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 24
33.0
14
64%
5
4
2
0
4
4
0
5
0-0
-
4-8
50%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 245 · 39
23.1
4
67%
4
3
1
0
3
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 263 · 23
22.3
5
63%
2
0
0
2
1
4
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 290 · 21
30.4
8
40%
8
0
0
1
4
3
0
8
4-6
67%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 26
19.4
9
75%
2
1
2
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-1
100%
C · 6'10" 260 · 25
18.9
8
100%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-6
67%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 165 · 24
8.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32
6.8
2
33%
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 33
F · 6'6" 235 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
53%
32
20
11
5
16
0
6
26
14-19
74%
34-69
49%
4-7
57%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.