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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 24, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Pistons52%9298
21Rockets48%9174
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 28.4
41.0
39.2
9
65%
18
3
3
2
3
0
6
12
1-2
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.1
34.5
37.6
20
59%
1
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
4-7
57%
5-10
4-9
50%
43%
2-4
50%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 24.9
32.3
30.6
18
47%
5
4
0
1
1
1
2
3
2-3
67%
8-18
6-13
44%
44%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 26.3
29.9
32.3
11
41%
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-3
67%
3-8
3-7
38%
42%
1-4
25%
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 34.4
19.8
18.9
2
20%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
47%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 29.1
28.2
26.0
18
62%
6
0
0
1
1
0
2
4
0-1
0%
9-14
4-10
64%
46%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 23.7
17.9
14.0
7
40%
8
1
0
0
1
0
6
2
3-4
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
0-2
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 28.4
16.5
14.5
5
50%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.5
14.5
15.2
6
61%
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 22.9
2.6
2.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Pepe Sanchez
G · 6'4" 195 · 25.7
1.5
0.5
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Hubert Davis
G · 6'5" 183 · 32.7
1.3
3.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 25.9
39.8
37.6
16
48%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
6-6
100%
5-14
5-12
36%
44%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 26.0
38.9
29.4
12
51%
12
4
1
1
0
0
1
11
2-2
100%
5-10
2-5
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.4
37.0
39.0
14
37%
3
4
0
1
0
3
1
2
4-4
100%
5-14
5-11
36%
46%
0-3
0%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 22.4
22.8
25.0
4
30%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
2-6
33%
1-4
4-8
25%
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 26.2
13.8
21.9
4
40%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
43%
0-0
-
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 24.0
29.4
17.2
6
77%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 28.4
25.7
18.4
8
50%
5
0
0
0
3
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-8
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 29.5
12.9
16.6
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.4
8.9
4.1
7
79%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-1
100%
3-4
1-1
75%
45%
0-0
-
Juaquin Hawkins
F · 6'7" 205 · 29.6
7.3
5.8
1
27%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 22.6
3.4
7.4
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 20.7
14.2
0
2-4
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.