FinalWin Prob.pScore
737%92
91
363%96
90
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
100.09191.7
UTA logo UTA
101.18988.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA91
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:01.0SASDuncan 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (29 PTS)91
94.4%
90
5.6%
Q4 - 0:06.0UTAPadgett Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)89
29.9%
90
70.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0UTAMISS Padgett Free Throw 1 of 289
34.9%
89
65.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0SASJackson 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)89
30.5%
89
69.5%
Q4 - 0:47.0UTAMassenburg Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T12)87
22.2%
89
77.8%
Q4 - 1:07SASBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)87
13.4%
89
86.6%
Q4 - 1:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:14)84
5.8%
89
94.2%
Q4 - 1:23UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 2 of 284
5.5%
89
94.5%
Q4 - 1:23UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)84
3.9%
89
96.1%
Q4 - 1:26SASKirilenko STEAL (2 STL)84
5.7%
88
94.3%
Q4 - 1:34SASWillis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)84
10.8%
88
89.2%
Q4 - 1:35SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 284
6.9%
88
93.1%
Q4 - 1:35SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 284
9.2%
88
90.8%
Q4 - 1:50UTAMalone Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)84
11.7%
88
88.3%
Q4 - 2:04SASWillis Foul Turnover (P5.T13)84
7.2%
88
92.8%
Q4 - 2:16UTAHarpring Foul Turnover (P2.T10)84
13.2%
88
86.8%
Q4 - 2:37SASJackson 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Willis 2 AST)84
7.1%
88
92.9%
Q4 - 2:39SASSpurs Rebound82
5.7%
88
94.3%
Q4 - 2:39SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot82
3.5%
88
96.5%
Q4 - 2:56UTAHarpring Layup (14 PTS) (Stockton 10 AST)82
6.6%
88
93.4%
Q4 - 3:01SASHarpring STEAL (1 STL)82
8.5%
86
91.5%
Q4 - 3:20UTAStockton 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)82
14.4%
86
85.6%
Q4 - 3:34SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)82
21.3%
84
78.7%
Q4 - 3:34SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)81
20.1%
84
79.9%
Q4 - 3:47SASParker Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)80
15.8%
84
84.2%
Q4 - 3:47SASSpurs Rebound79
11.5%
84
88.5%
Q4 - 3:47SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot79
9.0%
84
91.0%
Q4 - 4:04UTAOstertag Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)79
11.3%
84
88.7%
Q4 - 4:04UTAOstertag Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)79
12.9%
83
87.1%
Q4 - 4:05UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)79
15.3%
82
84.7%
Q4 - 4:05SASMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 279
16.0%
82
84.0%
Q4 - 4:05SASMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 279
19.6%
82
80.4%
Q4 - 4:18SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
21.1%
82
78.9%
Q4 - 4:19UTAMISS Harpring Free Throw 2 of 279
20.2%
82
79.8%
Q4 - 4:19UTAMISS Harpring Free Throw 1 of 279
16.3%
82
83.7%
Q4 - 4:31UTAJAZZ Rebound79
15.1%
82
84.9%
Q4 - 4:33SASMISS Rose 21' Jump Shot79
16.8%
82
83.2%
Q4 - 4:44SASJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
21.0%
82
79.0%
Q4 - 4:47SASMISS Jackson Layup79
16.7%
82
83.3%
Q4 - 5:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)79
22.4%
82
77.6%
Q4 - 5:10UTAMISS Harpring 10' Jump Shot79
20.6%
82
79.4%
Q4 - 5:23SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)79
16.9%
82
83.1%
Q4 - 5:47UTAMalone 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Stockton 9 AST)76
9.5%
82
90.5%
Q4 - 6:00SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)76
12.6%
80
87.4%
Q4 - 6:00SASDuncan Dunk (24 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)75
9.3%
80
90.7%
Q4 - 6:19UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
8.4%
80
91.6%
Q4 - 6:19UTAHarpring Layup (12 PTS)73
8.4%
80
91.6%
Q4 - 6:21UTAMISS Malone 18' Jump Shot73
13.1%
78
86.9%
Q4 - 6:38SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)73
10.5%
78
89.5%
Q4 - 6:38SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 272
9.9%
78
90.1%
Q4 - 6:53UTAMISS Malone Free Throw 1 of 172
10.5%
78
89.5%
Q4 - 6:53UTAMalone Layup (16 PTS) (Stockton 8 AST)72
10.9%
78
89.1%
Q4 - 7:07SASJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)72
15.3%
76
84.7%
Q4 - 7:07SASJackson Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)71
12.1%
76
87.9%
Q4 - 7:12SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
9.7%
76
90.3%
Q4 - 7:15UTAMISS Malone 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
8.9%
76
91.1%
Q4 - 7:42SASGinobili Dunk (5 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)69
7.2%
76
92.8%
Q4 - 7:48SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
5.8%
76
94.2%
Q4 - 7:50UTAMISS Cheaney 13' Jump Shot67
5.3%
76
94.7%
Q4 - 8:10UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)67
5.3%
76
94.7%
Q4 - 8:10UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
5.3%
76
94.7%
Q4 - 8:10UTAMISS Kirilenko Tip Shot67
6.3%
76
93.7%
Q4 - 8:11UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup67
6.3%
76
93.7%
Q4 - 8:21SASRose Foul Turnover (P1.T11)67
5.3%
76
94.7%
Q4 - 8:33UTAPadgett Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)67
6.7%
76
93.3%
Q4 - 8:33UTAPadgett Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)67
7.0%
75
93.0%
Q4 - 8:52SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)67
8.4%
74
91.6%
Q4 - 9:10UTAPadgett Layup (6 PTS) (Jackson 7 AST)64
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q4 - 9:21UTAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
7.4%
72
92.6%
Q4 - 9:22UTAMISS Padgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
8.7%
72
91.3%
Q4 - 9:40UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
7.4%
72
92.6%
Q4 - 9:45SASKirilenko BLOCK (3 BLK)64
8.0%
72
92.0%
Q4 - 9:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)64
9.3%
72
90.7%
Q4 - 9:51UTAMISS Jackson 8' Jump Shot64
8.7%
72
91.3%
Q4 - 10:11SASRose 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)64
8.2%
72
91.8%
Q4 - 10:25UTAPadgett Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)62
6.7%
72
93.3%
Q4 - 10:25UTAPadgett Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)62
7.0%
71
93.0%
Q4 - 10:25UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
8.1%
70
91.9%
Q4 - 10:26UTAMISS Ostertag 7' Jump Hook Shot62
9.5%
70
90.5%
Q4 - 10:46UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)62
8.1%
70
91.9%
Q4 - 10:48SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot62
8.7%
70
91.3%
Q4 - 11:04UTACheaney Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)62
10.9%
70
89.1%
Q4 - 11:04UTAMISS Cheaney Free Throw 1 of 262
11.6%
69
88.4%
Q4 - 11:22UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
10.8%
69
89.2%
Q4 - 11:24SASMISS Kerr 17' Jump Shot62
11.5%
69
88.5%
Q4 - 11:36UTAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)62
13.1%
69
86.9%
Q4 - 11:40UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
10.8%
69
89.2%
Q4 - 11:43SASMISS Jackson 12' Jump Shot62
11.4%
69
88.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS62
13.1%
69
86.9%
Q3 - 0:09.0UTAKirilenko Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Jackson 6 AST)62
13.9%
69
86.1%
Q3 - 0:26.0SASKerr Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)62
16.5%
67
83.5%
Q3 - 0:26.0SASKerr Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)61
16.2%
67
83.8%
Q3 - 0:26.0SASKerr Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)60
15.9%
67
84.1%
Q3 - 0:33.0UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)59
11.6%
67
88.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0UTAOstertag Layup (8 PTS)59
11.6%
67
88.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0UTAMISS Malone Driving Layup59
15.7%
65
84.3%
Q3 - 0:43.0SASKerr Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)59
13.8%
65
86.2%
Q3 - 0:56.0UTAHarpring Layup (10 PTS) (Malone 4 AST)59
16.5%
65
83.5%
Q3 - 1:12SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)59
20.1%
63
79.9%
Q3 - 1:36UTAMISS Ostertag Free Throw 1 of 159
23.0%
63
77.0%
Q3 - 1:36UTAOstertag Layup (6 PTS) (Malone 3 AST)59
23.5%
63
76.5%
Q3 - 1:43UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)59
27.1%
61
72.9%
Q3 - 1:45SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
28.3%
61
71.7%
Q3 - 2:00UTAJackson 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)59
31.2%
61
68.8%
Q3 - 2:06UTAJAZZ Rebound59
34.8%
59
65.2%
Q3 - 2:08UTAMISS Harpring 17' Jump Shot59
38.1%
59
61.9%
Q3 - 2:22SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)59
34.8%
59
65.2%
Q3 - 2:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)59
39.6%
59
60.4%
Q3 - 2:38UTAMISS Kirilenko 5' Jump Shot59
38.1%
59
61.9%
Q3 - 3:00UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)59
34.9%
59
65.1%
Q3 - 3:02SASMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
36.4%
59
63.6%
Q3 - 3:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)59
39.5%
59
60.5%
Q3 - 3:18UTAMISS Malone 17' Jump Shot59
38.1%
59
61.9%
Q3 - 3:20UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
35.1%
59
64.9%
Q3 - 3:23UTAMISS Jackson 11' Jump Shot59
38.1%
59
61.9%
Q3 - 3:29UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
35.1%
59
64.9%
Q3 - 3:32SASWillis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)59
39.5%
59
60.5%
Q3 - 3:32SASMISS Willis Tip Shot59
36.4%
59
63.6%
Q3 - 3:34SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot59
36.4%
59
63.6%
Q3 - 3:52UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)59
39.5%
59
60.5%
Q3 - 3:52UTAOstertag Dunk (4 PTS)59
39.5%
59
60.5%
Q3 - 3:54UTAMISS Malone 7' Jump Shot59
46.9%
57
53.1%
Q3 - 4:14SASBowen 12' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)59
42.7%
57
57.3%
Q3 - 4:39UTAMalone 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)57
39.2%
57
60.8%
Q3 - 4:46UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
42.8%
55
57.2%
Q3 - 4:47SASMISS Duncan 14' Running Jump Shot57
44.3%
55
55.7%
Q3 - 5:03UTAOstertag Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)57
47.0%
55
53.0%
Q3 - 5:03UTAOstertag Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)57
48.7%
54
51.3%
Q3 - 5:21SASBowen 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)57
50.9%
53
49.1%
Q3 - 5:33SASParker Free Throw Clear Path (12 PTS)55
47.0%
53
53.0%
Q3 - 5:34UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)54
42.9%
53
57.1%
Q3 - 5:50UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)54
38.5%
53
61.5%
Q3 - 5:51SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 254
39.1%
53
60.9%
Q3 - 5:51SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)54
41.6%
53
58.4%
Q3 - 6:00SASBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
38.9%
53
61.1%
Q3 - 6:03SASOstertag BLOCK (2 BLK)53
35.7%
53
64.3%
Q3 - 6:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)53
38.5%
53
61.5%
Q3 - 6:10UTAMISS Malone 5' Jump Shot53
37.2%
53
62.8%
Q3 - 6:24SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)53
34.5%
53
65.5%
Q3 - 6:42SASSpurs Rebound50
27.9%
53
72.1%
Q3 - 6:43UTAMISS Stockton 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
26.8%
53
73.2%
Q3 - 7:03UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)50
24.5%
53
75.5%
Q3 - 7:05SASMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot50
25.5%
53
74.5%
Q3 - 7:23UTAHarpring 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Cheaney 1 AST)50
28.0%
53
72.0%
Q3 - 7:50SASParker Driving Layup (7 PTS)50
30.7%
51
69.3%
Q3 - 8:05UTACheaney 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stockton 7 AST)48
28.1%
51
71.9%
Q3 - 8:25SASParker Driving Layup (5 PTS)48
30.8%
49
69.2%
Q3 - 8:37UTAMalone 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)46
28.1%
49
71.9%
Q3 - 8:53SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)46
30.8%
47
69.2%
Q3 - 8:53SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)45
30.1%
47
69.9%
Q3 - 8:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)44
28.1%
47
71.9%
Q3 - 8:55SASMISS Duncan 14' Jump Shot44
25.7%
47
74.3%
Q3 - 9:17SASWillis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)44
27.8%
47
72.2%
Q3 - 9:19UTAMISS Cheaney 8' Jump Hook Shot44
26.8%
47
73.2%
Q3 - 9:38SASDuncan Slam Dunk (19 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)44
24.8%
47
75.2%
Q3 - 9:46SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
22.3%
47
77.7%
Q3 - 9:49UTAMISS Ostertag Free Throw 2 of 242
21.9%
47
78.1%
Q3 - 9:49UTAMISS Ostertag Free Throw 1 of 242
20.8%
47
79.2%
Q3 - 9:49UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)42
19.8%
47
80.2%
Q3 - 9:51UTAMISS Harpring 18' Jump Shot42
21.5%
47
78.5%
Q3 - 10:03SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)42
19.9%
47
80.1%
Q3 - 10:03SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 241
19.4%
47
80.6%
Q3 - 10:19UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
20.1%
47
79.9%
Q3 - 10:19UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)41
20.6%
46
79.4%
Q3 - 10:21UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
22.2%
45
77.8%
Q3 - 10:22SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
23.1%
45
76.9%
Q3 - 10:38UTACheaney Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)41
25.1%
45
74.9%
Q3 - 10:38UTACheaney Layup (12 PTS) (Stockton 6 AST)41
27.9%
44
72.1%
Q3 - 10:52SASWillis Out Of Bounds Turnover (P4.T7)41
30.5%
42
69.5%
Q3 - 10:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)41
33.9%
42
66.1%
Q3 - 11:01UTAMISS Ostertag 17' Jump Shot41
32.6%
42
67.4%
Q3 - 11:25SASWillis Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)41
30.5%
42
69.5%
Q3 - 11:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)41
33.6%
42
66.4%
Q3 - 11:34UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
30.5%
42
69.5%
Q3 - 11:34UTAMISS Harpring Layup41
32.7%
42
67.3%
Q3 - 11:37UTAMISS Malone 18' Jump Shot41
32.7%
42
67.3%
Q3 - 11:47UTAJAZZ Rebound41
30.5%
42
69.5%
Q3 - 11:48UTAMISS Malone Layup41
32.7%
42
67.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS41
30.5%
42
69.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAJAZZ Rebound41
30.5%
42
69.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)41
30.5%
42
69.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Malone Tip Shot41
32.7%
42
67.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Cheaney 16' Jump Shot41
32.7%
42
67.3%
Q2 - 0:11.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 141
31.5%
42
68.5%
Q2 - 0:11.0SASDuncan 9' Running Hook Shot (16 PTS)41
31.2%
42
68.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
27.6%
42
72.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0UTAMISS Cheaney Layup39
27.0%
42
73.0%
Q2 - 0:47.0SASDuncan 4' Running Hook Shot (14 PTS)39
25.7%
42
74.3%
Q2 - 0:48.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)37
22.6%
42
77.4%
Q2 - 0:50.0SASMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot37
21.5%
42
78.5%
Q2 - 1:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
22.7%
42
77.3%
Q2 - 1:12UTAMISS Harpring 9' Running Jump Shot37
22.4%
42
77.6%
Q2 - 1:17SASMalone STEAL (1 STL)37
21.6%
42
78.4%
Q2 - 1:33UTACheaney Layup (10 PTS) (Stockton 5 AST)37
22.7%
42
77.3%
Q2 - 1:37UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
26.3%
40
73.7%
Q2 - 1:39SASMISS Duncan 6' Running Hook Shot37
26.7%
40
73.3%
Q2 - 1:49SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
27.6%
40
72.4%
Q2 - 1:52UTAMISS Malone 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
27.2%
40
72.8%
Q2 - 2:26SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)37
25.9%
40
74.1%
Q2 - 2:26SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 236
25.4%
40
74.6%
Q2 - 2:52UTAHarpring 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)36
25.7%
40
74.3%
Q2 - 3:07SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
23.7%
40
76.3%
Q2 - 3:07SASBowen Tip Shot (6 PTS)36
23.7%
40
76.3%
Q2 - 3:08SASWillis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)34
21.8%
40
78.2%
Q2 - 3:08SASMISS Willis Layup34
20.3%
40
79.7%
Q2 - 3:10SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot34
20.3%
40
79.7%
Q2 - 3:34UTAHarpring Layup (6 PTS) (Stockton 4 AST)34
21.8%
40
78.2%
Q2 - 3:45SASJackson Layup (4 PTS)34
23.6%
38
76.4%
Q2 - 3:47SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
21.8%
38
78.2%
Q2 - 3:49SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot32
20.2%
38
79.8%
Q2 - 4:04SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
21.9%
38
78.1%
Q2 - 4:06UTAMISS Harpring 17' Jump Shot32
21.3%
38
78.7%
Q2 - 4:25UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
20.0%
38
80.0%
Q2 - 4:27UTAMISS Malone 20' Jump Shot32
21.3%
38
78.7%
Q2 - 4:43UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
20.0%
38
80.0%
Q2 - 4:45SASMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
20.5%
38
79.5%
Q2 - 4:59UTAHarpring 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stockton 3 AST)32
21.9%
38
78.1%
Q2 - 5:10UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
23.9%
36
76.1%
Q2 - 5:12SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot32
24.6%
36
75.4%
Q2 - 5:33UTAKirilenko Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)32
26.2%
36
73.8%
Q2 - 5:54SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Willis 1 AST)32
23.9%
36
76.1%
Q2 - 6:09UTACheaney Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)29
20.6%
36
79.4%
Q2 - 6:09UTACheaney Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)29
21.1%
35
78.9%
Q2 - 6:23SASKirilenko STEAL (1 STL)29
22.0%
34
78.0%
Q2 - 6:41SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
24.4%
34
75.6%
Q2 - 6:44UTAMISS Jackson 12' Jump Shot29
23.7%
34
76.3%
Q2 - 7:10SASSmith 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)29
22.6%
34
77.4%
Q2 - 7:24UTAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)26
19.2%
34
80.8%
Q2 - 7:40UTAJAZZ Rebound26
17.5%
34
82.5%
Q2 - 7:40SASMISS Ginobili 10' Running Jump Shot26
18.0%
34
82.0%
Q2 - 7:58UTAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
19.2%
34
80.8%
Q2 - 7:58UTAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
19.5%
33
80.5%
Q2 - 8:02UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
20.8%
32
79.2%
Q2 - 8:05SASMISS Ferry 21' Jump Shot26
21.4%
32
78.6%
Q2 - 8:14SASWillis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q2 - 8:15SASMISS Smith Layup26
21.4%
32
78.6%
Q2 - 8:30UTACheaney 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)26
22.8%
32
77.2%
Q2 - 8:42UTAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
24.5%
30
75.5%
Q2 - 8:44SASMISS Kerr 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
25.1%
30
74.9%
Q2 - 9:05UTAPadgett 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)26
26.7%
30
73.3%
Q2 - 9:11UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
28.5%
28
71.5%
Q2 - 9:13SASMISS Kerr 20' Jump Shot26
29.2%
28
70.8%
Q2 - 9:34UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
30.8%
28
69.2%
Q2 - 9:34UTAKirilenko Tip Shot (4 PTS)26
30.8%
28
69.2%
Q2 - 9:35UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup26
34.5%
26
65.5%
Q2 - 9:42UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
32.8%
26
67.2%
Q2 - 9:44SASCheaney BLOCK (1 BLK)26
33.5%
26
66.5%
Q2 - 10:05UTACheaney Layup (4 PTS)26
35.3%
26
64.7%
Q2 - 10:10UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
37.3%
24
62.7%
Q2 - 10:11SASMISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot26
38.1%
24
61.9%
Q2 - 10:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
39.9%
24
60.1%
Q2 - 10:26UTAMISS Massenburg 18' Jump Shot26
39.1%
24
60.9%
Q2 - 10:40SASSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)26
37.3%
24
62.7%
Q2 - 10:40SASSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)25
37.0%
24
63.0%
Q2 - 10:45SASSpurs Rebound24
35.3%
24
64.7%
Q2 - 10:46SASKirilenko BLOCK (2 BLK)24
33.5%
24
66.5%
Q2 - 10:54UTAPadgett Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)24
35.3%
24
64.7%
Q2 - 11:10SASRose Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)24
32.6%
24
67.4%
Q2 - 11:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
30.5%
24
69.5%
Q2 - 11:17UTAMISS Padgett 18' Jump Shot22
29.9%
24
70.1%
Q2 - 11:23UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
28.5%
24
71.5%
Q2 - 11:25SASMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot22
29.1%
24
70.9%
Q2 - 11:44UTAPadgett Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)22
30.5%
24
69.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTA22
28.5%
24
71.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
28.7%
24
71.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 222
28.9%
24
71.1%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
30.4%
24
69.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASSpurs Rebound21
28.2%
24
71.8%
Q1 - 0:06.0UTAMISS Ostertag 19' Jump Shot21
27.8%
24
72.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0SASBowen Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)21
26.7%
24
73.3%
Q1 - 0:44.0UTAKirilenko Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)19
24.5%
24
75.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
26.7%
22
73.3%
Q1 - 0:49.0SASKirilenko BLOCK (1 BLK)19
27.2%
22
72.8%
Q1 - 1:17UTAMalone 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)19
28.3%
22
71.7%
Q1 - 1:25UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
30.7%
20
69.3%
Q1 - 1:27SASMISS Kerr 16' Jump Shot19
31.1%
20
68.9%
Q1 - 1:42UTAHarpring 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Malone 2 AST)19
32.2%
20
67.8%
Q1 - 1:57SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)19
34.8%
18
65.2%
Q1 - 1:57SASDuncan 5' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS)18
32.7%
18
67.3%
Q1 - 2:14SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
30.5%
18
69.5%
Q1 - 2:15UTAMISS Harpring 19' Jump Shot16
29.9%
18
70.1%
Q1 - 2:32UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
28.6%
18
71.4%
Q1 - 2:34UTAMISS Malone 20' Jump Shot16
29.9%
18
70.1%
Q1 - 2:55SASKerr Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)16
28.6%
18
71.4%
Q1 - 3:14UTAMalone 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)16
30.6%
18
69.4%
Q1 - 3:32SASDuncan Driving Layup (8 PTS)16
32.3%
16
67.7%
Q1 - 3:47UTAStockton Layup (10 PTS)14
30.6%
16
69.4%
Q1 - 3:51UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
32.3%
14
67.7%
Q1 - 3:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
34.5%
14
65.5%
Q1 - 3:52SASMISS Duncan Layup14
33.0%
14
67.0%
Q1 - 3:54SASMISS Jackson Layup14
33.0%
14
67.0%
Q1 - 4:01SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
34.3%
14
65.7%
Q1 - 4:03UTAMISS Stockton 9' Running Jump Shot14
33.6%
14
66.4%
Q1 - 4:17UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
32.0%
14
68.0%
Q1 - 4:19SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot14
32.7%
14
67.3%
Q1 - 4:33UTAMalone 7' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Stockton 2 AST)14
34.3%
14
65.7%
Q1 - 5:00SASDuncan Dunk (6 PTS) (Kerr 1 AST)14
35.9%
12
64.1%
Q1 - 5:15UTAStockton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)12
33.9%
12
66.1%
Q1 - 5:15UTAStockton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)12
34.2%
11
65.8%
Q1 - 5:15UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
35.6%
10
64.4%
Q1 - 5:16UTAMISS Malone 19' Jump Shot12
37.1%
10
62.9%
Q1 - 5:22UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
35.6%
10
64.4%
Q1 - 5:24SASOstertag BLOCK (1 BLK)12
36.2%
10
63.8%
Q1 - 5:35SASSpurs Rebound12
37.8%
10
62.2%
Q1 - 5:37UTAMISS Malone 20' Jump Shot12
37.1%
10
62.9%
Q1 - 5:56SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 112
35.9%
10
64.1%
Q1 - 5:56SASBowen Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)12
35.6%
10
64.4%
Q1 - 6:07UTAStockton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)10
33.6%
10
66.4%
Q1 - 6:07UTAStockton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
33.9%
9
66.1%
Q1 - 6:13SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
35.3%
8
64.7%
Q1 - 6:13SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
34.9%
8
65.1%
Q1 - 6:24SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
33.6%
8
66.4%
Q1 - 6:26UTAMISS Harpring 19' Jump Shot8
33.0%
8
67.0%
Q1 - 6:39SASWillis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
31.7%
8
68.3%
Q1 - 6:58UTAStockton 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Malone 1 AST)8
33.6%
8
66.4%
Q1 - 7:21SASDuncan 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
34.9%
6
65.1%
Q1 - 7:40UTAMalone 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harpring 1 AST)6
33.4%
6
66.6%
Q1 - 7:50UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
34.9%
4
65.1%
Q1 - 7:52SASMISS Jackson 23' Jump Shot6
35.5%
4
64.5%
Q1 - 8:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
36.8%
4
63.2%
Q1 - 8:06UTAMISS Harpring Layup6
36.2%
4
63.8%
Q1 - 8:23UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
34.9%
4
65.1%
Q1 - 8:25SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
35.5%
4
64.5%
Q1 - 8:29SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
36.8%
4
63.2%
Q1 - 8:31SASMISS Parker Running Layup6
35.5%
4
64.5%
Q1 - 8:46UTAMISS Stockton Free Throw 1 of 16
36.6%
4
63.4%
Q1 - 8:46UTAStockton Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
36.8%
4
63.2%
Q1 - 9:01SASWillis Dunk (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)6
38.0%
2
62.0%
Q1 - 9:04UTACheaney Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
36.8%
2
63.2%
Q1 - 9:27SASWillis 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
34.6%
2
65.4%
Q1 - 9:43SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.3%
2
66.7%
Q1 - 9:45UTAMISS Harpring 12' Jump Shot2
32.7%
2
67.3%
Q1 - 9:56UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
31.2%
2
68.8%
Q1 - 9:57UTAMISS Stockton 9' Running Jump Shot2
32.7%
2
67.3%
Q1 - 10:20SASJackson Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
31.2%
2
68.8%
Q1 - 10:27UTAMalone Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
29.9%
2
70.1%
Q1 - 10:36UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 10:40SASMISS Bowen 18' Jump Shot0
28.6%
2
71.4%
Q1 - 11:06UTACheaney 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stockton 1 AST)0
29.7%
2
70.3%
Q1 - 11:19UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
31.4%
0
68.6%
Q1 - 11:22UTAMISS Cheaney 18' Jump Shot0
32.4%
0
67.6%
Q1 - 11:39SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
31.4%
0
68.6%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Ostertag vs. Duncan: Tip to Jackson0
32.9%
0
67.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.96 47.9%
UTA
0.91 45.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
17
29
59%
UTA
17
28
61%
Midrange
SAS
9
33
27%
UTA
17
47
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
UTA
4
0%
Free Throws
SAS
21
32
66%
UTA
22
32
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2948%14.5 / 30
B. Bowen1359%6.5 / 11
T. Parker1372%6.5 / 9
S. Jackson1139%5.5 / 14
M. Ginobili880%4.0 / 5
S. Smith633%3.0 / 9
K. Willis450%2.0 / 4
M. Rose450%2.0 / 4
S. Kerr330%1.5 / 5
D. Ferry0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Malone1838%9.0 / 24
C. Cheaney1657%8.0 / 14
M. Harpring1439%7.0 / 18
J. Stockton1260%6.0 / 10
G. Ostertag1050%5.0 / 10
S. Padgett964%4.5 / 7
A. Kirilenko744%3.5 / 8
M. Jackson440%2.0 / 5
T. Massenburg0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
78
+15
-13
93
UTA
77
+20
-12
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.96 47.9%
UTA
0.91 45.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.7
103.0
SAS 100.0
UTA 101.1 +1.1
Pace
92.6
91.5
SAS 91.7 +3.3
UTA 88.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.0
SAS 15.7 +0.6
UTA 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
48.6%
SAS 46.7% +3.7%
UTA 43.0%
TO %
16.5%
17.3%
SAS 13.6%
UTA 11.4% +2.2%
ORB %
28.8%
32.6%
SAS 27.3%
UTA 37.8% +10.5%
FTrt
34.8
38.0
SAS 42.7 +2.2
UTA 40.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.3%
72.7%
SAS 59.4%
UTA 70.6% +11.2%
STL %
8.3%
9.4%
SAS 5.5% +1.0%
UTA 4.5%
BLK %
9.3%
9.2%
SAS 6.7%
UTA 9.7% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.11 and 3.11.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.4%
51.0%
SAS 47.9% +2.4%
UTA 45.5%
Rim FG%
59.3%
59.8%
SAS 58.6%
UTA 60.7% +2.1%
Mid FG%
38.8%
39.8%
SAS 27.3%
UTA 36.2% +8.9%
3P %
35.4%
34.9%
SAS 46.2% +46.2%
UTA 0.0%
FT %
72.5%
74.5%
SAS 65.6%
UTA 68.8% +3.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
37.2%
SAS 38.7% +3.2%
UTA 35.4%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
52.5%
SAS 44.0% +15.5%
UTA 59.5%
3P Att. %
20.2%
10.4%
SAS 17.3% +12.3%
UTA 5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASUTA
Possessions9189
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points9190
Rebounds4049
Assists1924
Steals54
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)17 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)32 (2)
Field Goals32-7534-79
At-the-Rim FG17-2917-28
Midrange FG9-3317-47
2-Point FG26-6234-75
3-Point FG6-130-4
Free Throws21-3222-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 27
42.3
29
48%
17
6
1
3
4
5
3
14
11-17
65%
9-20
45%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 32
34.3
13
59%
5
1
0
0
0
2
2
3
0-1
0%
5-6
83%
1-4
25%
G · 6'8" 220 · 25
34.2
11
39%
5
4
2
1
0
2
2
3
1-3
33%
5-11
45%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 21
31.8
13
72%
1
2
1
0
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
C · 7'0" 245 · 40
26.8
4
50%
6
2
0
1
5
3
5
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 255 · 28
21.7
4
50%
6
1
0
0
1
5
0
6
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 37
16.3
3
30%
0
1
0
0
3
0
0
0
3-3
100%
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34
13.8
6
33%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
0-5
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 205 · 25
13.6
8
80%
0
2
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
2-2
100%
F · 6'10" 235 · 36
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 250 · 37
C · 6'11" 290 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
48%
40
19
5
5
13
0
12
28
21-32
66%
26-62
42%
6-13
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.