FinalWin Prob.pScore
1654%92
97
2746%90
91
ORTG#PossPace
PHI logo PHI
112.88692.1
MIA logo MIA
103.48882.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

Heat76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0PHI97
100%
91
0%
Q4 - 0:16.0PHISnow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)97
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0PHIMISS Buckner Free Throw 2 of 297
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 0:17.0PHIBuckner Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)97
99.8%
91
0.2%
Q4 - 0:17.0PHIBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup96
99.4%
91
0.6%
Q4 - 0:27.0PHISnow Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)96
97.8%
91
2.2%
Q4 - 0:27.0PHISnow Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)95
97.5%
91
2.5%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)94
95.8%
91
4.2%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 294
96.4%
90
3.6%
Q4 - 0:32.0PHIVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)94
94.8%
90
5.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0PHIVan Horn Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)93
94.0%
90
6.0%
Q4 - 0:32.0PHISnow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
90.5%
90
9.5%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot92
87.7%
90
12.3%
Q4 - 0:42.0PHIIverson 8' Jump Shot (25 PTS)92
75.8%
90
24.2%
Q4 - 1:00MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)90
61.4%
90
38.6%
Q4 - 1:14PHIVan Horn 2' Hook Shot (24 PTS) (Iverson 5 AST)90
44.4%
90
55.6%
Q4 - 1:29MIAJones Driving Layup (26 PTS)88
35.6%
90
64.4%
Q4 - 1:42MIAHEAT Rebound88
47.3%
88
52.7%
Q4 - 1:43PHIMISS Van Horn 21' Jump Shot88
51.5%
88
48.5%
Q4 - 2:02PHIVan Horn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)88
62.6%
88
37.4%
Q4 - 2:04MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
58.1%
88
41.9%
Q4 - 2:17PHIHouse STEAL (2 STL)88
46.8%
88
53.2%
Q4 - 2:30PHIIverson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)88
63.6%
88
36.4%
Q4 - 2:31MIAMISS Grant Layup88
58.7%
88
41.3%
Q4 - 2:51PHISnow 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)88
46.9%
88
53.1%
Q4 - 3:06PHIMcKie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)86
40.6%
88
59.4%
Q4 - 3:08PHIMISS Van Horn 18' Jump Shot86
30.9%
88
69.1%
Q4 - 3:25MIAHouse Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)86
41.0%
88
59.0%
Q4 - 3:31MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
32.4%
88
67.6%
Q4 - 3:33PHIMISS Van Horn Turnaround Jump Shot86
34.9%
88
65.1%
Q4 - 3:50MIAAllen 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)86
40.6%
88
59.4%
Q4 - 4:09PHIIverson 14' Jump Shot (23 PTS)86
49.1%
86
50.9%
Q4 - 4:31MIAAllen Tip Shot (8 PTS)84
40.2%
86
59.8%
Q4 - 4:32MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
49.0%
84
51.0%
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
56.0%
84
44.0%
Q4 - 4:48PHIHouse STEAL (1 STL)84
48.9%
84
51.1%
Q4 - 5:09MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)84
58.6%
84
41.4%
Q4 - 5:27PHIVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)84
66.2%
82
33.8%
Q4 - 5:27PHIVan Horn Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)83
64.8%
82
35.2%
Q4 - 5:27PHIVan Horn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
58.7%
82
41.3%
Q4 - 5:29PHIMISS McKie 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
52.7%
82
47.3%
Q4 - 5:43MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)82
58.7%
82
41.3%
Q4 - 5:43MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)82
59.9%
81
40.1%
Q4 - 5:48MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
66.2%
80
33.8%
Q4 - 5:49PHIMISS Salmons Layup82
68.6%
80
31.4%
Q4 - 5:54PHISkinner REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)82
73.6%
80
26.4%
Q4 - 5:56PHIMISS Iverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
68.6%
80
31.4%
Q4 - 6:11PHIIverson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
72.4%
80
27.6%
Q4 - 6:13MIAMISS Jones 15' Running Jump Shot82
70.2%
80
29.8%
Q4 - 6:35MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
65.0%
80
35.0%
Q4 - 6:37PHIGrant BLOCK (2 BLK)82
67.4%
80
32.6%
Q4 - 6:47PHIIverson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
72.5%
80
27.5%
Q4 - 6:49MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot82
70.3%
80
29.7%
Q4 - 7:08MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
64.7%
80
35.3%
Q4 - 7:10PHIButler BLOCK (1 BLK)82
66.8%
80
33.2%
Q4 - 7:28MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)82
71.5%
80
28.5%
Q4 - 7:28MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)82
72.5%
79
27.5%
Q4 - 7:36PHIColeman Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)82
76.1%
78
23.9%
Q4 - 7:36PHIMISS Coleman Free Throw 1 of 281
75.3%
78
24.7%
Q4 - 7:54PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)81
76.8%
78
23.2%
Q4 - 7:56PHIMISS Snow 16' Jump Shot81
72.7%
78
27.3%
Q4 - 8:15PHIVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
75.0%
78
25.0%
Q4 - 8:17MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
73.5%
78
26.5%
Q4 - 8:47PHISalmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Iverson 4 AST)81
69.9%
78
30.1%
Q4 - 9:06MIAHouse 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)78
58.5%
78
41.5%
Q4 - 9:20MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)78
63.9%
76
36.1%
Q4 - 9:22MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot78
67.8%
76
32.2%
Q4 - 9:40PHIIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)78
63.9%
76
36.1%
Q4 - 9:40PHIIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)77
62.8%
76
37.2%
Q4 - 9:40PHIColeman Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)76
58.4%
76
41.6%
Q4 - 9:57PHIMcKie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)75
52.4%
76
47.6%
Q4 - 9:59MIAMISS Stepania 16' Jump Shot75
50.5%
76
49.5%
Q4 - 10:19PHIColeman Driving Layup (12 PTS)75
46.4%
76
53.6%
Q4 - 10:24PHISalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
41.3%
76
58.7%
Q4 - 10:27MIAMISS Stepania 6' Hook Shot73
39.5%
76
60.5%
Q4 - 10:30MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)73
35.5%
76
64.5%
Q4 - 10:32MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
39.5%
76
60.5%
Q4 - 10:41MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
35.4%
76
64.6%
Q4 - 10:43PHIMISS MacCulloch 14' Hook Shot73
37.2%
76
62.8%
Q4 - 10:56MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)73
41.3%
76
58.7%
Q4 - 10:56MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)73
42.8%
75
57.2%
Q4 - 11:03MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
46.5%
74
53.5%
Q4 - 11:07MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot73
50.4%
74
49.6%
Q4 - 11:29PHIColeman Tip Shot (10 PTS)73
46.5%
74
53.5%
Q4 - 11:31PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
41.4%
74
58.6%
Q4 - 11:33PHIMISS Salmons 13' Jump Shot71
37.6%
74
62.4%
Q4 - 11:46PHI76ers Rebound71
41.4%
74
58.6%
Q4 - 11:49PHIMISS McKie 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
37.6%
74
62.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA71
41.4%
74
58.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound71
36.0%
74
64.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
40.9%
74
59.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0PHIMacCulloch Layup (3 PTS) (Iverson 3 AST)71
37.5%
74
62.5%
Q3 - 0:17.0PHIMacCulloch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
32.7%
74
67.3%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot69
31.3%
74
68.7%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
28.3%
74
71.7%
Q3 - 0:34.0PHIMISS MacCulloch Free Throw 2 of 269
28.9%
74
71.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0PHIMacCulloch Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)69
31.4%
74
68.6%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (James 6 AST)68
28.3%
74
71.7%
Q3 - 0:56.0PHIJames STEAL (1 STL)68
37.3%
71
62.7%
Q3 - 1:23MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (James 5 AST)68
43.2%
71
56.8%
Q3 - 1:29MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
52.8%
68
47.2%
Q3 - 1:30PHIMISS Iverson Driving Layup68
54.4%
68
45.6%
Q3 - 1:37MIAStepania Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)68
57.8%
68
42.2%
Q3 - 2:02PHIIverson Driving Layup (19 PTS)68
52.4%
68
47.6%
Q3 - 2:12PHIIverson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
48.2%
68
51.8%
Q3 - 2:13MIAMISS Stepania 10' Hook Shot66
46.7%
68
53.3%
Q3 - 2:34PHISnow Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)66
43.2%
68
56.8%
Q3 - 2:34PHISnow Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)65
42.5%
68
57.5%
Q3 - 2:59MIAEllis 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)64
39.0%
68
61.0%
Q3 - 3:12MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
43.9%
66
56.1%
Q3 - 3:14PHIMISS Iverson 18' Jump Shot64
45.3%
66
54.7%
Q3 - 3:27MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)64
48.6%
66
51.4%
Q3 - 3:44PHISnow Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)64
43.8%
66
56.2%
Q3 - 3:44PHISnow Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)63
43.2%
66
56.8%
Q3 - 3:44PHISnow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
39.7%
66
60.3%
Q3 - 3:45PHIMISS Snow Layup62
36.6%
66
63.4%
Q3 - 3:50PHISnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
39.7%
66
60.3%
Q3 - 3:51MIAMISS Grant Layup62
38.3%
66
61.7%
Q3 - 4:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
35.8%
66
64.2%
Q3 - 4:04PHIMISS Coleman 12' Jump Shot62
37.2%
66
62.8%
Q3 - 4:21PHISkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
40.5%
66
59.5%
Q3 - 4:23MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 262
39.8%
66
60.2%
Q3 - 4:23MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)62
37.0%
66
63.0%
Q3 - 4:23MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)62
39.9%
65
60.1%
Q3 - 4:24MIAMISS James Driving Layup62
43.2%
65
56.8%
Q3 - 4:27MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
39.9%
65
60.1%
Q3 - 4:30PHIGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)62
41.3%
65
58.7%
Q3 - 4:48MIAEllis Layup (6 PTS) (James 4 AST)62
44.7%
65
55.3%
Q3 - 5:05PHIColeman 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)62
48.9%
63
51.1%
Q3 - 5:26MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (21 PTS)60
45.0%
63
55.0%
Q3 - 5:50PHIJones STEAL (1 STL)60
48.8%
61
51.2%
Q3 - 6:02MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)60
53.4%
61
46.6%
Q3 - 6:02MIAButler Layup (18 PTS) (James 3 AST)60
57.4%
60
42.6%
Q3 - 6:05MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)60
60.9%
58
39.1%
Q3 - 6:07PHIMISS Skinner 7' Jump Shot60
62.2%
58
37.8%
Q3 - 6:17PHIBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
65.0%
58
35.0%
Q3 - 6:19MIAMISS Grant Layup60
63.8%
58
36.2%
Q3 - 6:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)60
61.0%
58
39.0%
Q3 - 6:23MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot60
63.8%
58
36.2%
Q3 - 6:44PHIIverson 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)60
61.0%
58
39.0%
Q3 - 6:59MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 2 AST)58
57.4%
58
42.6%
Q3 - 7:11MIAHEAT Rebound58
63.9%
55
36.1%
Q3 - 7:13MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
66.7%
55
33.3%
Q3 - 7:39PHIVan Horn Layup (20 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST)58
64.0%
55
36.0%
Q3 - 7:42PHIMcKie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
60.8%
55
39.2%
Q3 - 7:44MIAMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
59.5%
55
40.5%
Q3 - 8:02PHIVan Horn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Snow 3 AST)56
56.8%
55
43.2%
Q3 - 8:23MIAButler Layup (16 PTS) (Best 5 AST)53
49.8%
55
50.2%
Q3 - 8:27MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
53.0%
53
47.0%
Q3 - 8:29PHIMISS Van Horn 20' Jump Shot53
54.3%
53
45.7%
Q3 - 8:47MIAButler Layup (14 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)53
57.3%
53
42.7%
Q3 - 9:02PHISkinner 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T10)53
60.4%
51
39.6%
Q3 - 9:23MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)53
64.0%
51
36.0%
Q3 - 9:23MIAHEAT Rebound53
60.5%
51
39.5%
Q3 - 9:24MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot53
63.0%
51
37.0%
Q3 - 9:51MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
60.5%
51
39.5%
Q3 - 9:53PHIMISS Iverson 19' Jump Shot53
61.6%
51
38.4%
Q3 - 9:59MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)53
64.1%
51
35.9%
Q3 - 10:07MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
60.4%
51
39.6%
Q3 - 10:09PHIMISS Van Horn 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
61.6%
51
38.4%
Q3 - 10:32MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Best 4 AST)53
64.1%
51
35.9%
Q3 - 10:36PHIButler STEAL (5 STL)53
67.0%
49
33.0%
Q3 - 10:40MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)53
70.4%
49
29.6%
Q3 - 11:04PHIIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)53
67.1%
49
32.9%
Q3 - 11:04PHIIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)52
66.5%
49
33.5%
Q3 - 11:08MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)51
64.1%
49
35.9%
Q3 - 11:19PHIVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)51
60.8%
49
39.2%
Q3 - 11:19PHIVan Horn Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)50
60.2%
49
39.8%
Q3 - 11:21MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)49
57.6%
49
42.4%
Q3 - 11:24PHIButler STEAL (4 STL)49
54.0%
49
46.0%
Q3 - 11:27PHIVan Horn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
57.6%
49
42.4%
Q3 - 11:29PHIAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)49
55.1%
49
44.9%
Q3 - 11:38PHIMcKie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
57.6%
49
42.4%
Q3 - 11:40MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
56.5%
49
43.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
54.0%
49
46.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
54.0%
49
46.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0PHIStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)49
55.5%
49
44.5%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAGrant Layup (8 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)49
57.1%
49
42.9%
Q2 - 0:25.0PHIStepania STEAL (1 STL)49
61.2%
47
38.8%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)49
63.5%
47
36.5%
Q2 - 0:53.0PHISnow 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Van Horn 1 AST)49
61.2%
47
38.8%
Q2 - 1:10MIAButler Layup (12 PTS)47
56.8%
47
43.2%
Q2 - 1:32PHIIverson Driving Layup (13 PTS)47
61.4%
45
38.6%
Q2 - 1:50MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)45
56.8%
45
43.2%
Q2 - 2:11PHIColeman Layup (6 PTS)45
60.6%
43
39.4%
Q2 - 2:13PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
57.4%
43
42.6%
Q2 - 2:15PHIMISS Van Horn 10' Jump Shot43
55.4%
43
44.6%
Q2 - 2:39MIAButler 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
57.3%
43
42.7%
Q2 - 3:00PHIIverson 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)43
60.7%
41
39.3%
Q2 - 3:16MIAJones 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Best 3 AST)41
57.7%
41
42.3%
Q2 - 3:22MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)41
60.3%
39
39.7%
Q2 - 3:24PHIMISS McKie 15' Jump Shot41
61.2%
39
38.8%
Q2 - 3:31MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)41
63.4%
39
36.6%
Q2 - 3:44MIAJones Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)41
60.3%
39
39.7%
Q2 - 3:57PHISnow Driving Layup (6 PTS)41
63.1%
38
36.9%
Q2 - 4:12MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Best 2 AST)39
60.3%
38
39.7%
Q2 - 4:27PHIIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)39
65.7%
35
34.3%
Q2 - 4:27PHIIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)38
65.2%
35
34.8%
Q2 - 4:37PHIVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
63.1%
35
36.9%
Q2 - 4:39MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
62.3%
35
37.7%
Q2 - 4:51PHIVan Horn 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS)37
60.4%
35
39.6%
Q2 - 5:02MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)35
57.8%
35
42.2%
Q2 - 5:02MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 235
58.9%
34
41.1%
Q2 - 5:02MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)35
57.5%
34
42.5%
Q2 - 5:04MIAMISS Best 19' Jump Shot35
59.6%
34
40.4%
Q2 - 5:21PHIVan Horn 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)35
57.5%
34
42.5%
Q2 - 5:39MIABest 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)33
55.0%
34
45.0%
Q2 - 6:00MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)33
57.5%
32
42.5%
Q2 - 6:02MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot33
59.7%
32
40.3%
Q2 - 6:16MIAHEAT Rebound33
57.5%
32
42.5%
Q2 - 6:17PHIMISS Iverson 16' Jump Shot33
58.5%
32
41.5%
Q2 - 6:21PHIMcKie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
60.7%
32
39.3%
Q2 - 6:23MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup33
59.7%
32
40.3%
Q2 - 6:38PHIButler STEAL (3 STL)33
57.5%
32
42.5%
Q2 - 6:43PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
60.7%
32
39.3%
Q2 - 6:45MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
59.7%
32
40.3%
Q2 - 7:15PHISkinner Layup (9 PTS) (McKie 2 AST)33
57.8%
32
42.2%
Q2 - 7:33MIAEllis 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
55.4%
32
44.6%
Q2 - 7:50PHISnow Layup (4 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)31
57.8%
30
42.2%
Q2 - 7:55PHIBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
55.4%
30
44.6%
Q2 - 7:57MIAMISS Ellis 5' Jump Shot29
54.5%
30
45.5%
Q2 - 8:05MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
52.3%
30
47.7%
Q2 - 8:07MIAMISS Stepania 6' Jump Shot29
54.4%
30
45.6%
Q2 - 8:14MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
52.3%
30
47.7%
Q2 - 8:15PHIMISS Skinner Free Throw 2 of 229
52.7%
30
47.3%
Q2 - 8:15PHIMISS Skinner Free Throw 1 of 229
54.1%
30
45.9%
Q2 - 8:26PHISnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
55.3%
30
44.7%
Q2 - 8:28MIAMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot29
54.4%
30
45.6%
Q2 - 8:53PHIColeman Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
52.4%
30
47.6%
Q2 - 8:53PHIColeman Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
51.9%
30
48.1%
Q2 - 9:10MIAStepania Tip Shot (2 PTS)27
50.3%
30
49.7%
Q2 - 9:12MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
52.5%
28
47.5%
Q2 - 9:13MIAMISS Butler 5' Jump Shot27
54.4%
28
45.6%
Q2 - 9:33PHISkinner Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)27
52.5%
28
47.5%
Q2 - 9:33PHIMISS Skinner Free Throw 1 of 226
51.7%
28
48.3%
Q2 - 9:40PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
52.8%
28
47.2%
Q2 - 9:42MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot26
51.9%
28
48.1%
Q2 - 10:00PHIColeman Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)26
49.9%
28
50.1%
Q2 - 10:09PHIIverson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
52.7%
28
47.3%
Q2 - 10:11MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
51.8%
28
48.2%
Q2 - 10:30PHIColeman 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
49.9%
28
50.1%
Q2 - 10:56MIAEllis 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)24
47.7%
28
52.3%
Q2 - 11:12PHIIverson Driving Layup (7 PTS)24
50.2%
26
49.8%
Q2 - 11:19PHIBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
47.7%
26
52.3%
Q2 - 11:21MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
47.0%
26
53.0%
Q2 - 11:36MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
45.3%
26
54.7%
Q2 - 11:38MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
47.0%
26
53.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
45.3%
26
54.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0PHIEllis STEAL (1 STL)22
45.3%
26
54.7%
Q1 - 0:24.0PHIBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
47.5%
26
52.5%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot22
46.9%
26
53.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
45.6%
26
54.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0PHIMISS Coleman 12' Jump Shot22
46.2%
26
53.8%
Q1 - 1:03MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)22
47.6%
26
52.4%
Q1 - 1:17PHIIverson Reverse Layup (5 PTS)22
52.8%
23
47.2%
Q1 - 1:35PHI76ers Rebound20
49.9%
23
50.1%
Q1 - 1:35MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot20
49.4%
23
50.6%
Q1 - 1:52PHIVan Horn Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)20
48.1%
23
51.9%
Q1 - 1:52PHIVan Horn Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)19
47.7%
23
52.3%
Q1 - 2:12MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)18
45.8%
23
54.2%
Q1 - 2:12MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
46.2%
22
53.8%
Q1 - 2:29PHIVan Horn 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)18
48.2%
21
51.8%
Q1 - 2:39PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
45.8%
21
54.2%
Q1 - 2:41MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot16
45.1%
21
54.9%
Q1 - 3:07PHIIverson 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Snow 2 AST)16
43.8%
21
56.2%
Q1 - 3:21MIAAllen 10' Hook Shot (6 PTS)14
41.9%
21
58.1%
Q1 - 3:42PHIIverson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
43.8%
19
56.2%
Q1 - 3:47PHIVan Horn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
46.3%
19
53.7%
Q1 - 3:49MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot14
45.5%
19
54.5%
Q1 - 3:58MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
43.8%
19
56.2%
Q1 - 4:00PHIMISS Iverson 14' Jump Shot14
44.6%
19
55.4%
Q1 - 4:20MIAButler Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)14
46.7%
19
53.3%
Q1 - 4:45PHIVan Horn 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS)14
48.4%
17
51.6%
Q1 - 5:03MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
47.1%
17
52.9%
Q1 - 5:05MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
49.0%
15
51.0%
Q1 - 5:07MIAMISS James Layup12
50.6%
15
49.4%
Q1 - 5:24MIAHEAT Rebound12
49.0%
15
51.0%
Q1 - 5:25PHIMISS Van Horn 20' Jump Shot12
49.7%
15
50.3%
Q1 - 5:43MIAJones 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)12
51.3%
15
48.7%
Q1 - 6:05PHISkinner Layup (6 PTS)12
53.2%
13
46.8%
Q1 - 6:06PHISkinner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)10
51.3%
13
48.7%
Q1 - 6:08PHIMISS Skinner Layup10
49.8%
13
50.2%
Q1 - 6:16PHIIverson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
51.3%
13
48.7%
Q1 - 6:17PHIMISS Iverson Free Throw 2 of 210
49.5%
13
50.5%
Q1 - 6:17PHIIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
50.8%
13
49.2%
Q1 - 6:32MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 19
49.0%
13
51.0%
Q1 - 6:32MIAButler Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)9
49.3%
13
50.7%
Q1 - 6:34MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
51.2%
11
48.8%
Q1 - 6:36PHIMISS Snow 13' Jump Shot9
51.9%
11
48.1%
Q1 - 6:41PHIMcKie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
53.3%
11
46.7%
Q1 - 6:42MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
52.7%
11
47.3%
Q1 - 7:05PHIButler STEAL (2 STL)9
51.6%
11
48.4%
Q1 - 7:22MIAGrant 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
53.6%
11
46.4%
Q1 - 7:45PHIVan Horn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Snow 1 AST)9
55.3%
9
44.7%
Q1 - 7:49PHISkinner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)6
51.7%
9
48.3%
Q1 - 7:50PHIJones BLOCK (1 BLK)6
50.3%
9
49.7%
Q1 - 7:56PHIIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
51.7%
9
48.3%
Q1 - 7:57MIAMISS Best 22' Jump Shot6
51.1%
9
48.9%
Q1 - 8:15PHISkinner Dunk (4 PTS) (McKie 1 AST)6
50.1%
9
49.9%
Q1 - 8:30PHISkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
48.4%
9
51.6%
Q1 - 8:32PHIMISS Iverson 20' Jump Shot4
46.9%
9
53.1%
Q1 - 8:47MIAGrant Layup (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)4
48.4%
9
51.6%
Q1 - 9:01PHISkinner 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
49.7%
7
50.3%
Q1 - 9:20MIAAllen 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)2
48.4%
7
51.6%
Q1 - 9:32MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Snow: Tip to Jones2
49.8%
5
50.2%
Q1 - 9:39PHIMcKie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
52.2%
5
47.8%
Q1 - 9:41MIAMISS Jones 18' Turnaround Jump Shot2
51.4%
5
48.6%
Q1 - 10:03PHISnow 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
49.9%
5
50.1%
Q1 - 10:28MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Best 1 AST)0
48.3%
5
51.7%
Q1 - 10:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
51.8%
2
48.2%
Q1 - 10:43MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
53.2%
2
46.8%
Q1 - 11:05MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
52.1%
2
47.9%
Q1 - 11:07PHIMISS McKie Driving Layup0
52.6%
2
47.4%
Q1 - 11:28MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
53.8%
2
46.2%
Q1 - 11:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
55.7%
0
44.3%
Q1 - 11:47PHIMISS McKie 18' Jump Shot0
56.2%
0
43.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Van Horn: Tip to Skinner0
57.4%
0
42.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
1.13 56.4%
MIA
0.96 47.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHI
15
27
56%
MIA
14
23
61%
Midrange
PHI
15
34
44%
MIA
16
36
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHI
3
4.5
7
43%
64%
MIA
6
9.0
23
26%
39%
Free Throws
PHI
28
35
80%
MIA
13
17
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Van Horn2668%13.0 / 19
A. Iverson2560%12.5 / 21
E. Snow1653%8.0 / 15
D. Coleman1478%7.0 / 9
B. Skinner956%4.5 / 8
J. Salmons350%1.5 / 3
T. MacCulloch350%1.5 / 3
G. Buckner150%0.5 / 1
A. McKie0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2662%13.0 / 21
C. Butler2250%11.0 / 22
M. Allen1083%5.0 / 6
L. Ellis1056%5.0 / 9
B. Grant857%4.0 / 7
M. James630%3.0 / 10
E. House433%2.0 / 6
V. Stepania325%1.5 / 6
T. Best225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHI
72
+14
-14
86
MIA
78
+16
-10
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
1.13 56.4%
MIA
0.96 47.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.5
94.5
PHI 112.8 +9.4
MIA 103.4
Pace
93.7
90.0
PHI 92.1 +9.5
MIA 82.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
16.2
PHI 15.6 +1.8
MIA 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.6%
43.9%
PHI 50.7% +3.1%
MIA 47.6%
TO %
14.9%
14.8%
PHI 14.4%
MIA 10.9% +3.5%
ORB %
30.4%
26.8%
PHI 37.1% +7.6%
MIA 29.5%
FTrt
33.9
25.9
PHI 51.5 +30.8
MIA 20.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.5%
55.8%
PHI 36.4%
MIA 63.9% +27.5%
STL %
10.9%
7.9%
PHI 10.5%
MIA 12.5% +2.0%
BLK %
5.6%
6.4%
PHI 11.9% +2.1%
MIA 9.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.9 and 2.9.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.6%
46.0%
PHI 56.4% +8.5%
MIA 47.9%
Rim FG%
56.7%
53.7%
PHI 55.6%
MIA 60.9% +5.3%
Mid FG%
38.0%
37.6%
PHI 44.1%
MIA 44.4% +0.3%
3P %
31.1%
31.6%
PHI 42.9% +16.8%
MIA 26.1%
FT %
77.5%
76.5%
PHI 80.0% +3.5%
MIA 76.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.8%
28.9%
PHI 39.7% +11.7%
MIA 28.0%
Mid Att. %
47.4%
54.2%
PHI 50.0%
MIA 43.9% +6.1%
3P Att. %
11.9%
16.9%
PHI 10.3%
MIA 28.0% +17.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsPHIMIA
Possessions8688
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points9791
Rebounds4435
Assists1223
Steals911
Blocks76
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)13 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)22 (3)
Field Goals33-6836-82
At-the-Rim FG15-2714-23
Midrange FG15-3416-36
2-Point FG30-6130-59
3-Point FG3-76-23
Free Throws28-3513-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 165 · 28
45.0
25
60%
7
5
0
0
2
3
1
6
7-8
88%
9-16
56%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 30
41.0
16
53%
5
3
1
0
4
2
2
3
6-6
100%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 245 · 27
37.4
26
68%
6
1
3
1
2
2
2
4
8-8
100%
6-12
50%
2-3
67%
F · 6'5" 209 · 30
33.9
0
0%
7
2
3
0
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-2
0%
C · 6'9" 255 · 27
25.2
9
56%
6
0
0
3
2
2
4
2
1-4
25%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 270 · 36
28.1
14
78%
6
0
0
2
1
4
3
3
4-5
80%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 26
13.9
1
50%
5
1
0
0
2
3
0
5
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 210 · 23
10.7
3
50%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
C · 7'0" 280 · 27
4.9
3
50%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 26
G · 6'2" 170 · 22
C · 6'11" 250 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
56%
44
12
9
7
14
0
13
31
28-35
80%
30-61
49%
3-7
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.