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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 25, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1676ers54%9197
27Heat46%9091
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 27.6
45.0
40.4
25
61%
7
5
0
2
0
2
1
6
7-8
88%
9-16
7-18
56%
42%
0-1
0%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.8
41.0
36.5
16
55%
5
3
1
2
0
4
2
3
6-6
100%
5-12
4-9
42%
45%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.3
37.4
30.5
26
70%
6
1
3
1
1
2
2
4
8-8
100%
6-12
4-9
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 30.3
33.9
34.4
0
0%
7
2
3
2
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 26.7
25.2
13.3
9
51%
6
0
0
0
3
2
4
2
1-4
25%
4-7
1-3
57%
52%
0-0
-
Derrick Coleman
F · 6'10" 270 · 35.6
28.1
13.1
14
76%
6
0
0
0
2
1
3
3
4-5
80%
5-7
1-3
71%
45%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.4
13.9
22.1
1
57%
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
0-0
2-5
-
49%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 23.1
10.7
12.4
3
50%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
1-1
100%
Todd MacCulloch
C · 7'0" 280 · 27.0
4.9
14.8
3
52%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 25.5
18.6
1
3-6
45%
Kenny Satterfield
G · 6'2" 170 · 21.8
2.4
0
0-1
36%
Efthimios Rentzias
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.0
0.6
0
0-0
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.3
42.5
21.6
26
61%
3
6
1
1
1
3
0
3
3-3
100%
4-11
3-6
36%
45%
5-9
56%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 22.9
40.5
39.2
22
53%
6
3
5
2
1
2
1
5
4-6
67%
9-14
5-12
64%
42%
0-4
0%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 30.9
34.8
31.8
8
57%
3
1
0
1
2
0
3
0
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.6
24.6
32.0
10
83%
5
2
0
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
5-6
5-11
83%
45%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 30.5
17.9
21.5
2
25%
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 27.6
30.1
25.4
6
31%
1
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
0-5
2-5
0%
41%
1-3
33%
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.7
19.7
13.4
10
56%
8
0
1
0
0
0
2
6
2-2
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.7
16.5
15.5
3
26%
7
0
1
0
1
1
5
2
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.7
13.5
12.7
4
33%
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
42%
0-4
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.7
24.0
0
3-7
43%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.6
7.1
0
1-2
38%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27.4
2.5
0
0-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.