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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 26, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Rockets51%9798
27Bulls49%96100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 25.9
44.2
37.8
26
43%
8
5
2
1
0
7
3
5
7-9
78%
8-22
6-12
36%
44%
1-4
25%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 26.0
43.0
32.9
13
67%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
5-6
83%
4-5
3-7
80%
43%
0-2
0%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.4
42.0
37.5
19
65%
2
4
0
1
0
1
2
0
6-8
75%
5-9
5-11
56%
46%
1-2
50%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 22.4
31.6
23.8
14
68%
8
2
0
0
0
0
1
7
2-3
67%
6-9
4-8
67%
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 26.2
15.2
18.0
4
22%
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-9
3-6
22%
43%
0-0
-
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 20.7
29.9
10.1
10
45%
8
0
0
0
0
2
1
7
2-5
40%
4-6
1-3
67%
42%
0-3
0%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 28.4
19.3
21.4
7
81%
9
1
0
1
1
3
3
6
3-3
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
54%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 29.5
9.8
14.7
5
53%
1
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1-4
25%
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-0
-
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 24.0
5.0
22.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.4
6.7
0
1-2
46%
Juaquin Hawkins
F · 6'7" 205 · 29.6
6.6
0
1-1
41%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 22.6
5.6
0
1-1
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 30.0
40.0
41.5
29
52%
7
5
2
1
0
4
3
4
11-11
100%
9-19
6-14
47%
44%
0-4
0%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.7
32.4
29.5
17
52%
10
0
3
1
2
1
3
7
1-1
100%
8-15
5-10
53%
49%
0-1
0%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 23.9
28.6
23.6
6
50%
8
2
0
1
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
42%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 20.3
21.2
19.8
6
38%
5
2
1
0
1
3
2
3
2-2
100%
2-7
3-5
29%
51%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.9
19.6
21.7
8
57%
1
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
44%
2-3
67%
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.6
28.6
21.7
7
58%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
1-1
100%
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 24.5
20.6
22.9
12
50%
4
1
1
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
6-12
5-11
50%
46%
0-0
-
Eddie Robinson
F · 6'9" 210 · 26.8
19.4
21.5
4
67%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 20.1
11.8
7.6
9
67%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
3-4
75%
3-5
1-2
60%
50%
0-0
-
Corie Blount
F-C · 6'10" 242 · 34.1
9.9
13.9
2
53%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Fred Hoiberg
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.3
8.0
6.2
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 24.0
2.0
0
0-1
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.