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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 27, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Suns36%9393
16Wizards64%9798
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 21.6
45.3
39.7
21
55%
9
5
1
1
0
3
2
7
0-0
-
9-18
4-10
50%
41%
1-1
100%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 25.9
44.5
41.9
29
61%
3
8
1
1
1
6
0
3
3-4
75%
10-17
8-18
59%
45%
2-5
40%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 24.7
43.7
42.1
21
48%
13
3
2
2
1
3
2
11
5-7
71%
8-15
7-15
53%
46%
0-4
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 20.2
35.0
28.3
11
42%
8
3
2
1
0
4
2
6
3-9
33%
4-9
4-9
44%
46%
0-0
-
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 31.8
33.1
25.6
0
0%
4
2
0
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 34.9
14.9
11.6
9
60%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
1-1
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
41%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 21.9
14.5
23.5
2
33%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
0-2
0%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 25.2
5.5
10.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-3
0%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Randy Brown
G · 6'2" 190 · 34.7
3.5
5.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 31.5
8.8
0
1-2
43%
Dan Langhi
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.2
2.2
0
0-1
41%
Alton Ford
F · 6'9" 280 · 21.7
1.2
0
0-0
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 28.2
41.8
36.4
33
56%
2
9
1
1
1
1
0
2
10-10
100%
10-20
5-12
50%
44%
1-5
20%
Michael Jordan
G · 6'6" 216 · 39.9
38.0
37.7
19
64%
7
1
2
2
0
5
0
7
1-2
50%
9-14
7-17
64%
43%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.0
33.6
36.8
6
39%
3
3
2
2
0
2
0
3
2-4
50%
2-3
6-12
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 33.4
32.0
24.9
12
60%
8
3
3
1
2
1
1
7
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
48%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 23.2
31.8
23.3
7
45%
7
1
1
0
2
0
4
3
3-4
75%
2-6
2-5
33%
52%
0-0
-
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.1
23.9
7.8
0
0%
6
0
2
0
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
40%
0-2
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 20.9
17.2
21.8
9
68%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
5-6
83%
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.7
16.7
21.6
10
67%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 24.8
5.0
17.6
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 24.3
7.3
0
1-2
42%
Charles Oakley
F · 6'9" 245 · 39.1
6.4
0
0-1
39%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.7
0.4
0
0-0
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.