FinalWin Prob.pScore
655%93
102
2645%91
95
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
106.396102.3
MIA logo MIA
105.69084.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0IND102
100%
95
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)102
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot102
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)102
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)101
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0INDMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)100
99.8%
95
0.2%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.6%
95
0.4%
Q4 - 0:19.0INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)100
98.8%
95
1.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)99
98.6%
95
1.4%
Q4 - 0:19.0INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)98
97.4%
95
2.6%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
96.4%
95
3.6%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)98
89.7%
95
10.3%
Q4 - 0:27.0INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 2 of 298
90.7%
95
9.3%
Q4 - 0:27.0INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 298
94.1%
95
5.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)98
95.7%
95
4.3%
Q4 - 0:41.0INDMiller Layup (19 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)98
86.9%
95
13.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)96
75.8%
95
24.2%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot96
71.4%
95
28.6%
Q4 - 1:10INDMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)96
59.2%
95
40.8%
Q4 - 1:27MIABest Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)93
36.0%
95
64.0%
Q4 - 1:27MIABest Driving Layup (19 PTS)93
49.0%
94
51.0%
Q4 - 1:38MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)93
60.3%
92
39.7%
Q4 - 1:40INDMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot93
64.3%
92
35.6%
Q4 - 2:03INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)93
73.6%
92
26.4%
Q4 - 2:04MIAMISS Allen 9' Jump Shot93
69.8%
92
30.2%
Q4 - 2:28INDHarrington 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)93
59.3%
92
40.7%
Q4 - 2:50MIABest 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)91
53.6%
92
46.4%
Q4 - 3:00INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)91
58.4%
90
41.6%
Q4 - 3:00INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 290
56.1%
90
43.9%
Q4 - 3:19MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)90
62.9%
90
37.1%
Q4 - 3:19MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)90
63.9%
89
36.1%
Q4 - 3:42INDWorld Peace Layup (17 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)90
68.0%
88
32.0%
Q4 - 3:56INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)88
59.9%
88
40.1%
Q4 - 3:58MIAMISS Grant 9' Jump Shot88
57.0%
88
43.0%
Q4 - 4:11INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)88
50.0%
88
50.0%
Q4 - 4:11INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)87
49.1%
88
50.9%
Q4 - 4:27MIAGrant Driving Layup (12 PTS)86
41.1%
88
58.9%
Q4 - 4:48INDMiller 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)86
49.8%
86
50.2%
Q4 - 5:04MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)84
43.1%
86
56.9%
Q4 - 5:04MIAStepania Layup (8 PTS) (Best 3 AST)84
51.4%
85
48.6%
Q4 - 5:19INDMiller Layup (7 PTS)84
59.3%
83
40.7%
Q4 - 5:21INDMiller REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)82
51.3%
83
48.7%
Q4 - 5:23INDMISS Mercer 20' Jump Shot82
45.3%
83
54.7%
Q4 - 5:41INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
51.3%
83
48.7%
Q4 - 5:43MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot82
48.7%
83
51.3%
Q4 - 6:07INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)82
43.8%
83
56.2%
Q4 - 6:07MIAMISS Jones Free Throw Technical81
36.5%
83
63.5%
Q4 - 6:07INDWorld Peace Driving Layup (14 PTS)81
36.5%
83
63.5%
Q4 - 6:15INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
30.8%
83
69.2%
Q4 - 6:17MIAMISS Butler 29' 3PT Jump Shot79
28.5%
83
71.5%
Q4 - 6:46INDMercer 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (World Peace 4 AST)79
23.8%
83
76.2%
Q4 - 7:04INDPacers Rebound77
22.4%
83
77.6%
Q4 - 7:06MIAMISS Stepania 19' Jump Shot77
20.8%
83
79.2%
Q4 - 7:26MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
17.3%
83
82.7%
Q4 - 7:28INDGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)77
18.7%
83
81.3%
Q4 - 7:41MIAButler 14' Jump Shot (22 PTS)77
22.2%
83
77.8%
Q4 - 7:55MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)77
26.6%
81
73.4%
Q4 - 7:57INDMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 277
27.4%
81
72.6%
Q4 - 7:57INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)77
31.2%
81
68.8%
Q4 - 8:00MIAStepania Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)76
27.3%
81
72.7%
Q4 - 8:13MIAButler Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (20 PTS)76
23.9%
81
76.1%
Q4 - 8:13MIAButler Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (19 PTS)76
24.8%
80
75.2%
Q4 - 8:14MIAHEAT Rebound76
34.3%
79
65.7%
Q4 - 8:16MIAMISS Butler Layup76
38.5%
79
61.5%
Q4 - 8:44INDHarrington Layup (11 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)76
34.2%
79
65.8%
Q4 - 9:11MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 6 AST)74
30.7%
79
69.3%
Q4 - 9:31INDHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)74
35.7%
77
64.3%
Q4 - 9:51MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)74
41.6%
77
58.4%
Q4 - 10:10MIAHEAT Rebound74
53.2%
74
46.8%
Q4 - 10:10INDMISS Harrington 12' Jump Shot74
55.1%
74
44.9%
Q4 - 10:31INDMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)74
59.3%
74
40.7%
Q4 - 10:33MIAMISS Butler 10' Hook Shot74
57.5%
74
42.5%
Q4 - 10:47INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)74
53.3%
74
46.7%
Q4 - 10:47INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 273
51.9%
74
48.1%
Q4 - 11:08MIAStepania Dunk (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)73
53.3%
74
46.7%
Q4 - 11:29INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)73
58.4%
72
41.6%
Q4 - 11:29INDMiller Layup (4 PTS)72
53.0%
72
47.0%
Q4 - 11:29INDMiller REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)70
47.9%
72
52.1%
Q4 - 11:31INDMISS World Peace Layup70
44.0%
72
56.0%
Q4 - 11:46INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)70
47.9%
72
52.1%
Q4 - 11:48INDMISS World Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
43.9%
72
56.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND70
47.9%
72
52.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound70
42.2%
72
57.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 51' 3PT Jump Shot70
46.2%
72
53.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)70
43.6%
72
56.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0INDTinsley 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS)69
38.6%
72
61.4%
Q3 - 0:11.0INDPacers Rebound67
33.8%
72
66.2%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 267
33.1%
72
66.9%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)67
30.0%
72
70.0%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
33.8%
71
66.2%
Q3 - 0:14.0INDMISS Strickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
35.2%
71
64.8%
Q3 - 0:32.0INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
38.4%
71
61.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0INDMISS Tinsley Layup67
35.1%
71
64.9%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAJump Ball Stepania vs. Miller: Tip to Tinsley67
38.4%
71
61.6%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Stepania 4' Hook Shot67
36.9%
71
63.1%
Q3 - 1:03INDTinsley Layup (10 PTS)67
35.0%
71
65.0%
Q3 - 1:09INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
30.8%
71
69.2%
Q3 - 1:11MIAMISS Best 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
29.5%
71
70.5%
Q3 - 1:29INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)65
26.6%
71
73.4%
Q3 - 1:29INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 264
25.7%
71
74.3%
Q3 - 1:29INDMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)64
26.7%
71
73.3%
Q3 - 1:32MIAMISS Stepania Layup64
25.5%
71
74.5%
Q3 - 1:51INDHarrington 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)64
22.9%
71
77.1%
Q3 - 2:09MIABest 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)62
21.0%
71
79.0%
Q3 - 2:22INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)62
23.9%
69
76.1%
Q3 - 2:22INDMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 261
23.3%
69
76.7%
Q3 - 2:50MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
24.1%
69
75.9%
Q3 - 2:50MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
24.8%
68
75.2%
Q3 - 2:58MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
27.4%
67
72.6%
Q3 - 3:00INDMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot61
28.6%
67
71.4%
Q3 - 3:19MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)61
32.6%
67
67.4%
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 261
33.3%
66
66.7%
Q3 - 3:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)61
32.4%
66
67.6%
Q3 - 3:24INDMISS Harrington 19' Jump Shot61
33.7%
66
66.3%
Q3 - 3:47MIABest Driving Layup (11 PTS)61
36.6%
66
63.4%
Q3 - 4:07INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)61
41.1%
64
58.9%
Q3 - 4:14INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)61
46.0%
64
54.0%
Q3 - 4:16MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot61
44.4%
64
55.6%
Q3 - 4:33INDO'Neal 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS)61
41.1%
64
58.9%
Q3 - 4:58MIAAllen Dunk (14 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)59
37.5%
64
62.5%
Q3 - 5:04INDBest STEAL (2 STL)59
41.9%
62
58.1%
Q3 - 5:11MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)59
46.3%
62
53.7%
Q3 - 5:21INDTinsley Layup (7 PTS)59
41.9%
62
58.1%
Q3 - 5:27INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
38.2%
62
61.8%
Q3 - 5:29MIAMISS Allen 7' Jump Shot57
36.9%
62
63.1%
Q3 - 5:39MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
34.0%
62
66.0%
Q3 - 5:41INDMISS Tinsley 13' Running Jump Shot57
35.2%
62
64.8%
Q3 - 6:03INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)57
38.9%
62
61.1%
Q3 - 6:05MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot57
37.7%
62
62.3%
Q3 - 6:22INDO'Neal 9' Jump Shot (15 PTS)57
34.9%
62
65.1%
Q3 - 6:47MIABest Layup (9 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)55
31.5%
62
68.5%
Q3 - 6:53MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
34.8%
60
65.2%
Q3 - 6:54INDMISS World Peace Layup55
36.0%
60
64.0%
Q3 - 6:59INDWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
38.8%
60
61.2%
Q3 - 7:01MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot55
37.9%
60
62.1%
Q3 - 7:18MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
35.0%
60
65.0%
Q3 - 7:19INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 255
35.6%
60
64.4%
Q3 - 7:19INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)55
37.8%
60
62.2%
Q3 - 7:31MIAJones 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)54
35.6%
60
64.4%
Q3 - 7:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)54
38.6%
58
61.4%
Q3 - 7:37INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
39.9%
58
60.1%
Q3 - 7:50MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)54
42.9%
58
57.1%
Q3 - 8:17INDO'Neal Layup (13 PTS)54
39.4%
58
60.6%
Q3 - 8:19INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)52
36.3%
58
63.7%
Q3 - 8:21INDJones BLOCK (1 BLK)52
33.6%
58
66.4%
Q3 - 8:36MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)52
36.3%
58
63.7%
Q3 - 8:53INDWorld Peace 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS)52
39.3%
56
60.7%
Q3 - 9:06MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)50
36.7%
56
63.3%
Q3 - 9:06MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)50
37.3%
55
62.7%
Q3 - 9:21INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)50
40.1%
54
59.9%
Q3 - 9:21INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
39.8%
54
60.2%
Q3 - 9:27MIAJones 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)48
36.7%
54
63.3%
Q3 - 9:53INDTinsley 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)48
40.1%
52
59.9%
Q3 - 10:03INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)46
37.8%
52
62.2%
Q3 - 10:05MIAMISS Allen Dunk46
36.7%
52
63.3%
Q3 - 10:10INDButler STEAL (2 STL)46
34.1%
52
65.9%
Q3 - 10:21MIAButler Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)46
37.7%
52
62.3%
Q3 - 10:26INDJones STEAL (2 STL)46
40.7%
50
59.3%
Q3 - 10:33INDMiller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)46
44.6%
50
55.4%
Q3 - 10:36INDMISS Tinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
41.9%
50
58.1%
Q3 - 11:04INDMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)46
45.2%
50
54.8%
Q3 - 11:06MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot46
44.1%
50
55.9%
Q3 - 11:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)46
41.7%
50
58.3%
Q3 - 11:20INDMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot46
42.7%
50
57.3%
Q3 - 11:43MIAGrant Layup (8 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)46
45.2%
50
54.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA46
48.5%
48
51.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound46
48.5%
48
51.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot46
51.0%
48
49.0%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
49.6%
48
50.4%
Q2 - 0:08.0INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 246
49.9%
48
50.1%
Q2 - 0:08.0INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)46
52.1%
48
47.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
48.6%
48
51.4%
Q2 - 0:10.0INDMISS Harrington Layup45
47.0%
48
53.0%
Q2 - 0:11.0INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
48.6%
48
51.4%
Q2 - 0:12.0INDMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
47.0%
48
53.0%
Q2 - 0:28.0INDMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
48.6%
48
51.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot45
47.9%
48
52.1%
Q2 - 0:51.0INDTinsley 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)45
46.2%
48
53.8%
Q2 - 1:17MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)42
39.1%
48
60.9%
Q2 - 1:17MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 242
39.6%
47
60.4%
Q2 - 1:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)42
40.5%
47
59.5%
Q2 - 1:26INDMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot42
41.0%
47
59.0%
Q2 - 1:52MIAButler Reverse Layup (13 PTS)42
42.2%
47
57.8%
Q2 - 2:02INDJones STEAL (1 STL)42
46.6%
45
53.4%
Q2 - 2:21MIABest 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)42
49.5%
45
50.5%
Q2 - 2:36MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)42
56.0%
42
44.0%
Q2 - 2:38MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup42
57.9%
42
42.1%
Q2 - 2:51INDO'Neal Dunk (10 PTS)42
56.0%
42
44.0%
Q2 - 2:53INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
52.5%
42
47.5%
Q2 - 2:55INDAllen BLOCK (3 BLK)40
50.6%
42
49.4%
Q2 - 3:10MIAButler 6' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)40
53.2%
42
46.8%
Q2 - 3:33MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
55.8%
40
44.2%
Q2 - 3:35INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot40
56.8%
40
43.2%
Q2 - 3:52MIAButler Driving Layup (9 PTS)40
59.1%
40
40.9%
Q2 - 4:08INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 140
62.1%
38
37.9%
Q2 - 4:08INDO'Neal Layup (8 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)40
61.8%
38
38.2%
Q2 - 4:27INDMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
59.0%
38
41.0%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMISS James 7' Running Jump Shot38
58.1%
38
41.9%
Q2 - 4:46INDO'Neal Layup (6 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)38
56.2%
38
43.8%
Q2 - 4:52MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)36
53.3%
38
46.7%
Q2 - 5:18MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
50.6%
38
49.4%
Q2 - 5:19INDMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot36
51.5%
38
48.5%
Q2 - 5:39MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)36
53.6%
38
46.4%
Q2 - 5:44MIAHEAT Rebound36
50.6%
38
49.4%
Q2 - 5:45MIAMISS Butler Dunk36
52.7%
38
47.3%
Q2 - 6:01INDHarrington Driving Layup (6 PTS)36
50.8%
38
49.2%
Q2 - 6:16MIAHEAT Rebound34
48.6%
38
51.4%
Q2 - 6:16MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
48.6%
38
51.4%
Q2 - 6:16MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 234
49.1%
37
50.9%
Q2 - 6:38INDFoster 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mercer 1 AST)34
48.0%
37
52.0%
Q2 - 6:58INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
45.8%
37
54.2%
Q2 - 7:00MIAMISS Grant Reverse Layup32
44.8%
37
55.2%
Q2 - 7:15INDGrant STEAL (1 STL)32
43.6%
37
56.4%
Q2 - 7:35MIAButler Layup (6 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)32
46.3%
37
53.7%
Q2 - 7:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)32
48.8%
35
51.2%
Q2 - 7:41INDMISS Mercer 13' Jump Shot32
49.6%
35
50.4%
Q2 - 7:48INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
51.6%
35
48.4%
Q2 - 7:50MIAMISS Ellis 6' Hook Shot32
50.7%
35
49.3%
Q2 - 8:06INDStrickland 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS)32
48.7%
35
51.3%
Q2 - 8:32MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)30
46.5%
35
53.5%
Q2 - 8:46INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 130
49.1%
33
50.9%
Q2 - 8:46INDWorld Peace Layup (9 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)30
48.7%
33
51.3%
Q2 - 8:57INDMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
46.5%
33
53.5%
Q2 - 9:03MIAMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot28
45.9%
33
54.1%
Q2 - 9:06MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
44.0%
33
56.0%
Q2 - 9:10INDMISS Mercer 19' Jump Shot28
44.8%
33
55.2%
Q2 - 9:20INDMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
46.7%
33
53.3%
Q2 - 9:26MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot28
45.9%
33
54.1%
Q2 - 9:33MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
43.9%
33
56.1%
Q2 - 9:35INDMISS Harrington Layup28
44.8%
33
55.2%
Q2 - 9:37INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
46.7%
33
53.3%
Q2 - 9:41INDMISS Mercer 8' Jump Shot28
44.8%
33
55.2%
Q2 - 9:57MIAAllen 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)28
46.7%
33
53.3%
Q2 - 10:14INDStrickland 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)28
48.9%
31
51.1%
Q2 - 10:23INDMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
44.3%
31
55.7%
Q2 - 10:25MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
43.5%
31
56.5%
Q2 - 10:34MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
41.6%
31
58.4%
Q2 - 10:35INDMISS World Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
42.4%
31
57.6%
Q2 - 10:42INDMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
44.3%
31
55.7%
Q2 - 10:44MIAMISS Ellis 21' Jump Shot25
43.5%
31
56.5%
Q2 - 11:04INDHarrington Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)25
42.1%
31
57.9%
Q2 - 11:20MIAButler Dunk (4 PTS) (Best 2 AST)25
44.4%
31
55.6%
Q2 - 11:25INDBest STEAL (1 STL)25
46.8%
29
53.2%
Q2 - 11:37MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
49.2%
29
50.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND25
51.7%
27
48.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
51.7%
27
48.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDWorld Peace 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)25
51.7%
27
48.3%
Q1 - 0:19.0INDStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
49.0%
27
51.0%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Stepania Layup23
48.4%
27
51.6%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
47.2%
27
52.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0INDAllen BLOCK (2 BLK)23
47.7%
27
52.3%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAStepania 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)23
49.0%
27
51.0%
Q1 - 1:12INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
52.0%
25
48.0%
Q1 - 1:12INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
51.6%
25
48.4%
Q1 - 1:18INDMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
49.1%
25
50.9%
Q1 - 1:20INDStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)21
47.9%
25
52.1%
Q1 - 1:31INDMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
49.1%
25
50.9%
Q1 - 1:33MIAMISS Stepania 17' Jump Shot21
48.6%
25
51.4%
Q1 - 1:46MIAHEAT Rebound21
47.3%
25
52.7%
Q1 - 1:47MIAMISS Jones Layup21
48.6%
25
51.4%
Q1 - 1:51INDButler STEAL (1 STL)21
47.3%
25
52.7%
Q1 - 2:06MIAAllen 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
49.7%
25
50.3%
Q1 - 2:27INDMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
52.1%
23
47.9%
Q1 - 2:27INDMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
51.7%
23
48.3%
Q1 - 2:27INDPacers Rebound19
49.7%
23
50.3%
Q1 - 2:28MIAMISS Stepania Layup19
49.0%
23
51.0%
Q1 - 2:29MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
47.5%
23
52.5%
Q1 - 2:30MIAMISS Butler Layup19
49.0%
23
51.0%
Q1 - 2:39INDAllen STEAL (1 STL)19
47.5%
23
52.5%
Q1 - 2:56INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
49.6%
23
50.4%
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Jones Layup19
49.0%
23
51.0%
Q1 - 3:09INDWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)19
47.6%
23
52.4%
Q1 - 3:09INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 218
47.1%
23
52.9%
Q1 - 3:30MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Best 1 AST)18
47.9%
23
52.1%
Q1 - 4:04INDHarrington 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)18
52.2%
20
47.8%
Q1 - 4:26MIAStepania Foul Turnover (P1.T2)16
50.5%
20
49.5%
Q1 - 4:33INDO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
47.8%
20
52.2%
Q1 - 4:45MIAStepania Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)14
46.1%
20
53.9%
Q1 - 4:59INDO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T2)14
47.8%
18
52.2%
Q1 - 5:09INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
50.8%
18
49.2%
Q1 - 5:11MIAMISS Best 19' Jump Shot14
50.1%
18
49.9%
Q1 - 5:17MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
48.5%
18
51.5%
Q1 - 5:19INDAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)14
49.2%
18
50.8%
Q1 - 5:28MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)14
50.8%
18
49.2%
Q1 - 5:37INDMiller Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)14
52.7%
16
47.3%
Q1 - 5:37INDMiller Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)13
50.6%
16
49.4%
Q1 - 5:37MIAHEAT Rebound12
48.4%
16
51.6%
Q1 - 5:38MIAMISS Jones 12' Running Jump Shot12
50.1%
16
49.9%
Q1 - 5:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
48.4%
16
51.6%
Q1 - 5:53INDMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 212
48.7%
16
51.3%
Q1 - 5:53INDWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)12
50.1%
16
49.9%
Q1 - 6:10INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
48.9%
16
51.1%
Q1 - 6:12MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
48.3%
16
51.7%
Q1 - 6:32INDButler STEAL (1 STL)11
46.8%
16
53.2%
Q1 - 6:38MIAButler 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
48.9%
16
51.1%
Q1 - 6:45MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)11
50.8%
14
49.2%
Q1 - 6:47INDMISS O'Neal 18' Jump Shot11
51.5%
14
48.5%
Q1 - 6:58INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
52.9%
14
47.1%
Q1 - 7:00MIAMISS Allen 9' Jump Shot11
52.3%
14
47.7%
Q1 - 7:08MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)11
51.3%
14
48.7%
Q1 - 7:10INDMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot11
51.9%
14
48.1%
Q1 - 7:20MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
53.4%
14
46.6%
Q1 - 7:35INDMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
51.3%
14
48.7%
Q1 - 7:47MIAAllen 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
47.6%
14
52.4%
Q1 - 8:00MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)8
49.3%
12
50.7%
Q1 - 8:02INDMISS Miller 8' Jump Shot8
50.5%
12
49.5%
Q1 - 8:14MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)8
52.0%
12
48.0%
Q1 - 8:24MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
53.7%
10
46.3%
Q1 - 8:26MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
55.1%
10
44.9%
Q1 - 8:35MIAHEAT Rebound8
53.6%
10
46.4%
Q1 - 8:36INDMISS World Peace 11' Jump Shot8
54.3%
10
45.7%
Q1 - 9:00MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
55.7%
10
44.3%
Q1 - 9:00MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
55.9%
9
44.1%
Q1 - 9:09MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)8
57.0%
8
43.0%
Q1 - 9:11MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot8
58.7%
8
41.3%
Q1 - 9:22MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
57.1%
8
42.9%
Q1 - 9:23MIAMISS Grant 13' Jump Shot8
58.7%
8
41.3%
Q1 - 9:39INDO'Neal 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
57.1%
8
42.9%
Q1 - 9:43INDMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
55.7%
8
44.3%
Q1 - 9:45INDMISS O'Neal Layup6
54.1%
8
45.9%
Q1 - 9:55MIABest 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
55.7%
8
44.3%
Q1 - 10:06INDWorld Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)6
57.2%
6
42.8%
Q1 - 10:19MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)3
53.7%
6
46.3%
Q1 - 10:19MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
54.0%
5
46.0%
Q1 - 10:31INDMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)3
55.3%
4
44.7%
Q1 - 10:46MIAAllen 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)0
51.8%
4
48.2%
Q1 - 10:54MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)0
53.4%
2
46.6%
Q1 - 10:56INDMISS Tinsley 8' Hook Shot0
54.1%
2
45.9%
Q1 - 11:10MIAGrant 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
55.5%
2
44.5%
Q1 - 11:12MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)0
57.4%
0
42.6%
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS Grant Layup0
58.5%
0
41.5%
Q1 - 11:16MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
57.4%
0
42.6%
Q1 - 11:18MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot0
58.5%
0
41.5%
Q1 - 11:30MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.4%
0
42.6%
Q1 - 11:32INDMISS World Peace 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
57.9%
0
42.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. O'Neal: Tip to Miller0
59.1%
0
40.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.06 53.1%
MIA
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
15
23
65%
MIA
16
29
55%
Midrange
IND
14
35
40%
MIA
18
44
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
MIA
3
4.5
11
27%
41%
Free Throws
IND
26
39
67%
MIA
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Miller2188%10.5 / 12
M. World Peace1847%9.0 / 19
J. O'Neal1850%9.0 / 18
A. Harrington1653%8.0 / 15
J. Tinsley1350%6.5 / 13
B. Miller750%3.5 / 7
E. Strickland583%2.5 / 3
R. Mercer220%1.0 / 5
J. Foster2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler2250%11.0 / 22
T. Best2083%10.0 / 12
M. Allen1447%7.0 / 15
B. Grant1260%6.0 / 10
E. Jones938%4.5 / 12
V. Stepania941%4.5 / 11
R. Butler638%3.0 / 8
M. James375%1.5 / 2
L. Ellis0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
83
+12
-13
95
MIA
83
+14
-7
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.06 53.1%
MIA
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.2
94.5
IND 106.3 +0.7
MIA 105.6
Pace
94.7
90.0
IND 102.3 +17.6
MIA 84.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
16.2
IND 14.1 +2.9
MIA 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.9%
43.9%
IND 52.8% +7.0%
MIA 45.8%
TO %
14.7%
14.8%
IND 12.7%
MIA 7.8% +4.9%
ORB %
28.9%
26.8%
IND 29.3% +10.9%
MIA 18.4%
FTrt
34.4
25.9
IND 54.2 +26.8
MIA 27.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
65.6%
55.8%
IND 40.0%
MIA 54.1% +14.1%
STL %
9.0%
7.9%
IND 6.3%
MIA 10.0% +3.7%
BLK %
8.1%
6.4%
IND 6.8%
MIA 10.3% +3.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.4%
46.0%
IND 53.1% +4.6%
MIA 48.5%
Rim FG%
58.0%
53.7%
IND 65.2% +10.0%
MIA 55.2%
Mid FG%
38.0%
37.6%
IND 40.0%
MIA 40.9% +0.9%
3P %
33.9%
31.6%
IND 42.9% +15.6%
MIA 27.3%
FT %
76.6%
76.5%
IND 66.7%
MIA 78.3% +11.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.9%
28.9%
IND 31.9%
MIA 34.5% +2.6%
Mid Att. %
49.2%
54.2%
IND 48.6% +3.8%
MIA 52.4%
3P Att. %
16.9%
16.9%
IND 19.4% +6.3%
MIA 13.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9690
Possession Minutes22.525.5
Points10295
Rebounds4336
Assists1420
Steals69
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (0)7 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (4)29 (3)
Field Goals35-7237-84
At-the-Rim FG15-2316-29
Midrange FG14-3518-44
2-Point FG29-5834-73
3-Point FG6-143-11
Free Throws26-3918-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 260 · 23
38.3
18
47%
3
4
1
0
2
2
0
3
5-10
50%
5-9
56%
1-4
25%
C · 7'0" 261 · 27
37.8
7
50%
11
4
0
2
2
2
5
6
3-3
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 25
31.0
13
50%
2
1
2
0
4
2
2
0
2-5
40%
4-8
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 195 · 37
28.6
21
88%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
8-8
100%
2-3
67%
3-6
50%
F · 6'11" 255 · 24
26.6
18
50%
11
0
0
3
1
6
3
8
2-5
40%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 23
33.7
16
53%
10
1
1
0
2
5
2
8
6-8
75%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27
21.4
2
20%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 218 · 29
15.4
5
83%
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26
7.2
2
100%
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 28
C · 7'1" 255 · 23
G · 6'2" 225 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
53%
43
14
6
5
13
0
12
31
26-39
67%
29-58
50%
6-14
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.