FinalWin Prob.pScore
1142%95
95
1058%98
106
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
95.0100105.0
MIN logo MIN
109.39792.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

TimberwolvesSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

TimberwolvesSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIN
Q4 - 0:00.0MIN95
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)95
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASMISS Rose 3PT Jump Shot95
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)95
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)95
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0SASMISS Duncan Tip Shot95
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot95
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MINSzczerbiak Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Peeler 6 AST)95
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MINMISS Szczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 295
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)95
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0SASParker 6' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)95
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0SASJackson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)93
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0MINMISS Hudson Free Throw 2 of 293
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0MINHudson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)93
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)93
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:58.0SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot93
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 1:02MINTIMBERWOLVES Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#11)93
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 1:10MINSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)93
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 1:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)93
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 1:12SASMISS Duncan Tip Shot93
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 1:14SASMISS Parker Layup93
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 1:21MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)93
0.8%
102
99.2%
Q4 - 1:21MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)93
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 1:28SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)93
1.4%
100
98.6%
Q4 - 1:28SASGinobili Driving Layup (7 PTS)92
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 1:31SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)90
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 1:35MINMISS Garnett 13' Jump Shot90
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 1:54SASJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)90
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 1:54SASJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)89
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 1:59SASJackson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)88
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 2:01MINMISS Hudson Layup88
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 2:11SASJackson Layup (13 PTS)88
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 2:17SASJackson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)86
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 2:19MINMISS Trent Layup86
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23MINPeeler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:25SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot86
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)86
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 2:44MINMISS Szczerbiak 23' Jump Shot86
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:07SASRose Dunk (13 PTS)86
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10MINPeeler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14SASGinobili Driving Layup (5 PTS)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:19MINMISS Rakocevic 15' Jump Shot82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)81
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52SASBateer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55MINMISS Peeler 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16SASMISS Rose 7' Jump Shot80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:36MINGill 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Garnett 8 AST)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55MINPeeler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58SASMISS Bateer 15' Jump Shot80
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:10SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)80
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 5:12MINMISS Peeler 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 5:31SASKerr 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)80
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 5:47MINGill Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Garnett 7 AST)78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:57SASJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)78
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 5:57SASJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)77
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 6:11MINTrent Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)76
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 6:11MINMISS Trent Free Throw 1 of 276
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 6:11MINTrent REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)76
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 6:13SASJackson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)76
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 6:13SASMISS Jackson Tip Shot76
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 6:15SASMISS Jackson Tip Shot76
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 6:15SASJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)76
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 6:17SASMISS Rose 13' Jump Shot76
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 6:38MINPeeler 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Garnett 6 AST)76
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 6:56MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)76
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 6:57SASMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 276
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 6:57SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)76
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 7:12MINGarnett 12' Fadeaway Jumper (32 PTS) (Peeler 5 AST)75
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 7:37SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 175
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 7:37SASRose 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)75
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 7:52MINGarnett 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Peeler 4 AST)73
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 8:14SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 6 AST)73
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 8:32MINPeeler 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Trent 4 AST)70
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 8:46SASRose 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T20)70
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 9:06MINTrent Layup (4 PTS) (Garnett 5 AST)70
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 9:16SASKerr Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)70
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 9:16SASKerr Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)69
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 9:18MINGill Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Rakocevic 1 AST)68
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 9:22MINRakocevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q4 - 9:24SASMISS Ginobili 21' Jump Shot68
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q4 - 9:43MINPeeler 28' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Trent 3 AST)68
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 10:04SASWillis Foul Turnover (P3.T19)68
4.2%
80
95.8%
Q4 - 10:18MINGill 10' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Trent 2 AST)68
5.3%
80
94.7%
Q4 - 10:30SASRakocevic STEAL (1 STL)68
6.4%
78
93.6%
Q4 - 10:51MINSzczerbiak Layup (14 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)68
8.0%
78
92.0%
Q4 - 11:01SASJackson STEAL (2 STL)68
10.6%
76
89.4%
Q4 - 11:10SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
12.9%
76
87.1%
Q4 - 11:12MINMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot68
12.1%
76
87.9%
Q4 - 11:22SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P3.T16)68
10.5%
76
89.5%
Q4 - 11:30SASFerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
12.8%
76
87.2%
Q4 - 11:32MINMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot68
12.1%
76
87.9%
Q4 - 11:45MINJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
10.5%
76
89.5%
Q4 - 11:48SASMISS Ginobili 5' Running Jump Shot68
11.1%
76
88.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIN68
12.8%
76
87.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASParker Foul Turnover (P4.T15)68
10.5%
76
89.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0MINSzczerbiak 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Trent 1 AST)68
13.8%
76
86.2%
Q3 - 0:06.0MINTrent REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)68
19.4%
73
80.6%
Q3 - 0:08.0MINMISS Hudson 7' Jump Shot68
21.7%
73
78.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASWillis Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)68
19.4%
73
80.6%
Q3 - 0:40.0SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
16.3%
73
83.7%
Q3 - 0:42.0MINMISS Hudson Layup66
15.5%
73
84.5%
Q3 - 1:01MINTrent REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
14.6%
73
85.4%
Q3 - 1:03MINMISS Gill 18' Jump Shot66
16.4%
73
83.6%
Q3 - 1:15SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)66
14.6%
73
85.4%
Q3 - 1:15SASSpurs Rebound65
14.7%
73
85.3%
Q3 - 1:15SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 265
14.1%
73
85.9%
Q3 - 1:32MINGill 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)65
14.6%
73
85.4%
Q3 - 1:46MINJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
17.1%
71
82.9%
Q3 - 1:48SASMISS Ferry 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
18.0%
71
82.0%
Q3 - 2:02MINGill Foul Turnover (P2.T9)65
20.8%
71
79.2%
Q3 - 2:12SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)65
17.6%
71
82.4%
Q3 - 2:12SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)64
17.1%
71
82.9%
Q3 - 2:19MINGill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)63
15.3%
71
84.7%
Q3 - 2:30SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)63
12.8%
71
87.2%
Q3 - 2:30SASFerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
15.3%
71
84.7%
Q3 - 2:31SASHudson BLOCK (1 BLK)63
13.5%
71
86.5%
Q3 - 3:00MINGarnett 19' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)63
15.3%
71
84.7%
Q3 - 3:09SASWillis Foul Turnover (P2.T13)63
18.4%
69
81.6%
Q3 - 3:22MINSmith 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Garnett 4 AST)63
21.4%
69
78.6%
Q3 - 3:40SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)63
24.4%
67
75.6%
Q3 - 3:44SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
18.5%
67
81.5%
Q3 - 3:46SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 260
16.2%
67
83.8%
Q3 - 3:46SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 260
17.8%
67
82.2%
Q3 - 4:01MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)60
19.2%
67
80.8%
Q3 - 4:01MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)60
19.6%
66
80.4%
Q3 - 4:11SASGarnett STEAL (2 STL)60
21.5%
65
78.5%
Q3 - 4:19SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
25.1%
65
74.9%
Q3 - 4:21MINMISS Gill 18' Jump Shot60
23.9%
65
76.1%
Q3 - 4:39SASJackson Driving Layup (9 PTS)60
21.5%
65
78.5%
Q3 - 4:45SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
19.1%
65
80.9%
Q3 - 4:47MINMISS Smith Dunk58
18.2%
65
81.8%
Q3 - 4:56MINHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
16.2%
65
83.8%
Q3 - 4:57SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot58
17.1%
65
82.9%
Q3 - 5:19MINGarnett 15' Fadeaway Jumper (24 PTS) (Hudson 6 AST)58
19.6%
65
80.4%
Q3 - 5:41SASBowen 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)58
22.2%
63
77.8%
Q3 - 5:57MINNesterovic Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T7)56
19.6%
63
80.4%
Q3 - 6:07MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
17.5%
63
82.5%
Q3 - 6:08SASMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
18.3%
63
81.7%
Q3 - 6:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)56
20.2%
63
79.8%
Q3 - 6:22MINMISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot56
19.3%
63
80.7%
Q3 - 6:32SASGarnett STEAL (1 STL)56
17.5%
63
82.5%
Q3 - 6:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
20.1%
63
79.9%
Q3 - 6:46MINMISS Szczerbiak 20' Jump Shot56
19.3%
63
80.7%
Q3 - 6:57MINSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
17.5%
63
82.5%
Q3 - 6:59SASMISS Duncan 9' Jump Shot56
18.3%
63
81.7%
Q3 - 7:17MINGarnett 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Hudson 5 AST)56
20.6%
63
79.4%
Q3 - 7:42SASNesterovic STEAL (1 STL)56
22.8%
61
77.2%
Q3 - 7:59SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
26.1%
61
73.9%
Q3 - 8:01MINMISS Nesterovic 6' Jump Shot56
25.5%
61
74.5%
Q3 - 8:10SASSzczerbiak STEAL (1 STL)56
23.2%
61
76.8%
Q3 - 8:13SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)56
26.4%
61
73.6%
Q3 - 8:14SASMISS Duncan Layup56
24.2%
61
75.8%
Q3 - 8:25SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
26.4%
61
73.6%
Q3 - 8:27MINMISS Hudson 19' Jump Shot56
25.4%
61
74.6%
Q3 - 8:49SASDuncan Slam Dunk (14 PTS)56
23.2%
61
76.8%
Q3 - 8:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
21.0%
61
79.0%
Q3 - 8:54SASMISS Jackson Layup54
19.0%
61
81.0%
Q3 - 9:14MINSzczerbiak 11' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)54
21.1%
61
78.9%
Q3 - 9:29SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P2.T8)54
23.6%
59
76.4%
Q3 - 9:49MINGarnett Dunk (20 PTS) (Hudson 4 AST)54
26.4%
59
73.6%
Q3 - 10:02MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound54
29.3%
57
70.7%
Q3 - 10:04SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot54
30.4%
57
69.6%
Q3 - 10:18SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
32.7%
57
67.3%
Q3 - 10:20MINMISS Hudson 22' Jump Shot54
31.7%
57
68.3%
Q3 - 10:28MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound54
29.3%
57
70.7%
Q3 - 10:31SASMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
30.3%
57
69.7%
Q3 - 10:46MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)54
32.7%
57
67.3%
Q3 - 10:46MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)54
33.3%
56
66.7%
Q3 - 11:06SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)54
35.7%
55
64.3%
Q3 - 11:21MINGarnett 7' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Szczerbiak 3 AST)51
29.8%
55
70.2%
Q3 - 11:29MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
32.6%
53
67.4%
Q3 - 11:31SASMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot51
33.6%
53
66.4%
Q3 - 11:35SASSpurs Rebound51
35.9%
53
64.1%
Q3 - 11:36SASSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)51
33.6%
53
66.4%
Q3 - 11:53MINSmith 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
35.9%
53
64.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS51
39.0%
51
61.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
42.5%
51
57.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0MINMISS Szczerbiak 10' Jump Shot51
41.2%
51
58.8%
Q2 - 0:13.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)51
39.6%
51
60.4%
Q2 - 0:13.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 250
38.8%
51
61.2%
Q2 - 0:31.0MINStrickland 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)50
38.7%
51
61.3%
Q2 - 0:42.0SASWillis Foul Turnover (P1.T7)50
42.8%
49
57.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0MINStrickland Reverse Layup (8 PTS)50
45.2%
49
54.8%
Q2 - 1:05MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
49.5%
47
50.5%
Q2 - 1:07SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
50.0%
47
50.0%
Q2 - 1:24MINPeeler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
51.2%
47
48.8%
Q2 - 1:24MINPeeler Tip Shot (2 PTS)50
51.2%
47
48.8%
Q2 - 1:27MINMISS Szczerbiak 21' Jump Shot50
57.1%
45
42.9%
Q2 - 1:38SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)50
55.9%
45
44.1%
Q2 - 1:38SASParker Driving Layup (12 PTS)49
52.7%
45
47.3%
Q2 - 1:42SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
48.0%
45
52.0%
Q2 - 1:44MINMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot47
47.5%
45
52.5%
Q2 - 2:03SASJackson 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)47
45.3%
45
54.7%
Q2 - 2:26MINSzczerbiak 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Peeler 3 AST)45
42.1%
45
57.9%
Q2 - 2:32SASJackson STEAL (1 STL)45
45.4%
43
54.6%
Q2 - 2:39SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
48.3%
43
51.7%
Q2 - 2:40MINMISS Strickland 21' Jump Shot45
47.4%
43
52.6%
Q2 - 2:55SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)45
45.5%
43
54.5%
Q2 - 3:05MINGarnett Foul Turnover (P2.T6)45
48.1%
43
51.9%
Q2 - 3:24SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)45
44.8%
43
55.2%
Q2 - 3:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
42.2%
43
57.8%
Q2 - 3:33MINMISS Szczerbiak 21' Jump Shot43
41.2%
43
58.8%
Q2 - 3:46SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)43
38.9%
43
61.1%
Q2 - 3:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
42.2%
43
57.8%
Q2 - 3:56MINMISS Garnett Free Throw 2 of 243
41.7%
43
58.3%
Q2 - 3:56MINMISS Garnett Free Throw 1 of 243
39.8%
43
60.2%
Q2 - 4:14SASDuncan 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
39.0%
43
61.0%
Q2 - 4:34MINGarnett Slam Dunk (14 PTS)41
36.3%
43
63.7%
Q2 - 4:36MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)41
39.0%
41
61.0%
Q2 - 4:39MINMISS Szczerbiak 20' Jump Shot41
40.9%
41
59.1%
Q2 - 4:50MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
39.0%
41
61.0%
Q2 - 4:52SASMISS Duncan 21' Jump Shot41
39.8%
41
60.2%
Q2 - 5:15MINSzczerbiak 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Peeler 2 AST)41
41.8%
41
58.2%
Q2 - 5:28SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P1.T3)41
47.1%
38
52.9%
Q2 - 5:40MINStrickland Finger Roll (6 PTS)41
50.2%
38
49.8%
Q2 - 5:54SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
52.8%
36
47.2%
Q2 - 5:54SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
52.2%
36
47.8%
Q2 - 6:16MINGarnett Layup (12 PTS) (Hudson 3 AST)39
50.1%
36
49.9%
Q2 - 6:21MINHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
52.3%
34
47.7%
Q2 - 6:22SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
53.3%
34
46.7%
Q2 - 6:48MINGarnett Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Szczerbiak 2 AST)39
55.6%
34
44.4%
Q2 - 6:51MINPeeler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
57.7%
32
42.3%
Q2 - 6:53SASMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot39
58.7%
32
41.3%
Q2 - 7:13MINSzczerbiak 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)39
59.9%
32
40.1%
Q2 - 7:23MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound39
62.3%
30
37.7%
Q2 - 7:23MINMISS Garnett 9' Jump Shot39
64.1%
30
35.9%
Q2 - 7:43SASJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)39
62.3%
30
37.7%
Q2 - 8:05MINJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
57.0%
30
43.0%
Q2 - 8:05MINJackson Tip Shot (2 PTS)36
57.0%
30
43.0%
Q2 - 8:07MINMISS Jackson Layup36
61.1%
28
38.9%
Q2 - 8:22SASRose 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kerr 1 AST)36
59.2%
28
40.8%
Q2 - 8:34MINJackson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)34
57.0%
28
43.0%
Q2 - 8:54SASKerr 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)34
54.1%
28
45.9%
Q2 - 9:16MINHudson Driving Layup (2 PTS)31
48.9%
28
51.1%
Q2 - 9:25MINPeeler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
51.1%
26
48.9%
Q2 - 9:26SASMISS Willis 18' Jump Shot31
52.0%
26
48.0%
Q2 - 9:43MINGarnett Layup (8 PTS) (Peeler 1 AST)31
53.9%
26
46.1%
Q2 - 10:04SASFerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Willis 1 AST)31
55.8%
24
44.2%
Q2 - 10:22SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
51.2%
24
48.8%
Q2 - 10:24MINMISS Peeler 9' Jump Shot28
50.3%
24
49.7%
Q2 - 10:44SASKerr 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
48.4%
24
51.6%
Q2 - 10:59MINTrent Layup (2 PTS) (Hudson 2 AST)26
46.2%
24
53.8%
Q2 - 11:12MINTrent REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
48.0%
22
52.0%
Q2 - 11:13MINMISS Peeler 12' Jump Shot26
49.7%
22
50.3%
Q2 - 11:22MINGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
48.0%
22
52.0%
Q2 - 11:24SASMISS Willis 9' Jump Shot26
48.8%
22
51.2%
Q2 - 11:27SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
50.5%
22
49.5%
Q2 - 11:29SASMISS Duncan Dunk26
48.8%
22
51.2%
Q2 - 11:42SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
50.5%
22
49.5%
Q2 - 11:44MINMISS Trent 7' Jump Shot26
49.8%
22
50.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS26
48.1%
22
51.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound26
50.5%
22
49.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Duncan 58' 3PT Jump Shot26
48.8%
22
51.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0MINNesterovic Layup (6 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)26
49.8%
22
50.2%
Q1 - 0:24.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
52.7%
20
47.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0SASDuncan Tip Shot (6 PTS)26
52.7%
20
47.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0SASMISS Parker Layup24
48.5%
20
51.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
49.8%
20
50.2%
Q1 - 0:35.0MINMISS Hudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
49.2%
20
50.8%
Q1 - 0:49.0SASWillis Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)24
48.0%
20
52.0%
Q1 - 0:52.0SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
45.1%
20
54.9%
Q1 - 0:55.0MINMISS Nesterovic Tip Shot22
44.5%
20
55.5%
Q1 - 0:56.0MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
43.2%
20
56.8%
Q1 - 1:01MINMISS Gill Layup22
44.5%
20
55.5%
Q1 - 1:25SASDuncan 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)22
43.2%
20
56.8%
Q1 - 1:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
40.4%
20
59.6%
Q1 - 1:33MINMISS Nesterovic 14' Jump Shot20
39.9%
20
60.1%
Q1 - 1:46SASParker Driving Layup (10 PTS)20
38.7%
20
61.3%
Q1 - 2:02MINNesterovic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T4)18
36.3%
20
63.7%
Q1 - 2:11MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
34.3%
20
65.7%
Q1 - 2:13SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot18
34.9%
20
65.1%
Q1 - 2:32MINNesterovic Foul Turnover (P1.T3)18
36.3%
20
63.7%
Q1 - 2:44MINPeeler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
34.3%
20
65.7%
Q1 - 2:46SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot18
34.9%
20
65.1%
Q1 - 3:05MINGill 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Szczerbiak 1 AST)18
36.4%
20
63.6%
Q1 - 3:15MINTrent REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
38.3%
18
61.7%
Q1 - 3:16SASMISS Parker Layup18
39.0%
18
61.0%
Q1 - 3:20SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
40.7%
18
59.3%
Q1 - 3:23MINMISS Hudson Layup18
40.0%
18
60.0%
Q1 - 3:30MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
38.3%
18
61.7%
Q1 - 3:32SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
39.0%
18
61.0%
Q1 - 3:49MINGarnett Foul Turnover (P1.T2)18
40.7%
18
59.3%
Q1 - 3:55SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)18
38.3%
18
61.7%
Q1 - 3:55SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
37.9%
18
62.1%
Q1 - 4:02SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
36.4%
18
63.6%
Q1 - 4:04MINMISS Hudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
35.7%
18
64.3%
Q1 - 4:13SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)16
34.0%
18
66.0%
Q1 - 4:13SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 215
33.5%
18
66.5%
Q1 - 4:26MINSmith 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)15
34.4%
18
65.6%
Q1 - 4:44SASFerry 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)15
36.0%
16
64.0%
Q1 - 5:06MINNesterovic Tip Shot (4 PTS)13
34.3%
16
65.7%
Q1 - 5:07MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
36.1%
14
63.9%
Q1 - 5:12MINMISS Garnett Tip Shot13
37.5%
14
62.5%
Q1 - 5:12MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)13
36.0%
14
64.0%
Q1 - 5:15MINMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot13
37.5%
14
62.5%
Q1 - 5:18MINSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
36.0%
14
64.0%
Q1 - 5:20MINMISS Smith 12' Jump Shot13
37.5%
14
62.5%
Q1 - 5:37MINSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
36.0%
14
64.0%
Q1 - 5:38SASGarnett BLOCK (1 BLK)13
36.7%
14
63.3%
Q1 - 5:51MINNesterovic 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)13
38.2%
14
61.8%
Q1 - 6:10SASParker 9' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)13
39.8%
12
60.2%
Q1 - 6:35MINSmith Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)11
38.0%
12
62.0%
Q1 - 6:49SASRose 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)11
39.8%
10
60.2%
Q1 - 6:59MINGarnett Dunk (6 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)9
38.0%
10
62.0%
Q1 - 7:23SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)9
39.6%
8
60.4%
Q1 - 7:38SASSpurs Rebound6
36.2%
8
63.8%
Q1 - 7:39MINMISS Smith Layup6
35.6%
8
64.4%
Q1 - 7:51SASJackson Foul Turnover (P2.T2)6
34.3%
8
65.7%
Q1 - 8:09MINGarnett 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hudson 1 AST)6
36.3%
8
63.7%
Q1 - 8:27SASJackson Slam Dunk (2 PTS)6
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 8:38SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
36.3%
6
63.7%
Q1 - 8:40MINMISS Garnett 14' Jump Shot4
35.7%
6
64.3%
Q1 - 8:42MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
34.4%
6
65.6%
Q1 - 8:44MINMISS Garnett 15' Jump Shot4
35.7%
6
64.3%
Q1 - 8:50SASStrickland STEAL (1 STL)4
34.4%
6
65.6%
Q1 - 9:19MINStrickland 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
36.3%
6
63.7%
Q1 - 9:27MINSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
37.6%
4
62.4%
Q1 - 9:28SASMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot4
38.3%
4
61.7%
Q1 - 9:35SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
39.9%
4
60.1%
Q1 - 9:37MINMISS Szczerbiak 15' Jump Shot4
39.2%
4
60.8%
Q1 - 9:40MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
37.6%
4
62.4%
Q1 - 9:43MINMISS Szczerbiak 10' Jump Shot4
39.2%
4
60.8%
Q1 - 10:00SASParker Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)4
37.6%
4
62.4%
Q1 - 10:12MINStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
36.1%
4
63.9%
Q1 - 10:28MINSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
34.2%
4
65.8%
Q1 - 10:29SASMISS Parker Layup2
34.8%
4
65.2%
Q1 - 10:38MINStrickland 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
36.1%
4
63.9%
Q1 - 11:00SASRose 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)2
37.6%
2
62.4%
Q1 - 11:22MINGarnett Slam Dunk (2 PTS)0
36.0%
2
64.0%
Q1 - 11:43MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound0
37.8%
0
62.2%
Q1 - 11:45SASMISS Parker 11' Jump Shot0
38.3%
0
61.7%
Q1 - 12:00MINJump Ball Garnett vs. Duncan: Tip to0
39.4%
0
60.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.00 50.0%
MIN
1.05 52.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
13
25
52%
MIN
21
31
68%
Midrange
SAS
14
34
41%
MIN
23
53
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
MIN
3
4.5
7
43%
64%
Free Throws
SAS
20
27
74%
MIN
9
14
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker1950%9.5 / 19
T. Duncan1739%8.5 / 22
S. Jackson1550%7.5 / 15
M. Rose1346%6.5 / 14
S. Kerr9113%4.5 / 4
M. Ginobili857%4.0 / 7
B. Bowen583%2.5 / 3
D. Ferry583%2.5 / 3
K. Willis450%2.0 / 4
M. Bateer0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Garnett3474%17.0 / 23
W. Szczerbiak1753%8.5 / 16
K. Gill1267%6.0 / 9
R. Strickland1083%5.0 / 6
A. Peeler956%4.5 / 8
J. Smith844%4.0 / 9
R. Nesterovic643%3.0 / 7
G. Trent550%2.5 / 5
T. Hudson315%1.5 / 10
M. Jackson225%1.0 / 4
I. Rakocevic0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
80
+14
-20
94
MIN
87
+13
-10
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.00 50.0%
MIN
1.05 52.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.7
103.8
SAS 95.0 +14.3
MIN 109.3
Pace
92.6
94.0
SAS 105.0 +12.3
MIN 92.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.2
SAS 13.7 +1.8
MIN 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
48.8%
SAS 48.7%
MIN 53.3% +4.6%
TO %
16.5%
14.1%
SAS 19.1%
MIN 10.2% +8.9%
ORB %
28.8%
28.3%
SAS 26.8% +0.1%
MIN 26.7%
FTrt
34.8
26.8
SAS 35.1 +19.7
MIN 15.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.3%
65.3%
SAS 55.9%
MIN 70.2% +14.3%
STL %
8.3%
7.1%
SAS 2.0%
MIN 8.2% +6.2%
BLK %
9.3%
7.9%
SAS 6.0% +0.9%
MIN 5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.4%
50.6%
SAS 50.0%
MIN 52.5% +2.5%
Rim FG%
59.3%
60.2%
SAS 52.0%
MIN 67.7% +15.7%
Mid FG%
38.8%
42.2%
SAS 41.2%
MIN 43.4% +2.2%
3P %
35.4%
36.8%
SAS 38.9%
MIN 42.9% +4.0%
FT %
72.5%
77.0%
SAS 74.1% +9.8%
MIN 64.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
28.0%
SAS 32.5%
MIN 34.1% +1.6%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
60.2%
SAS 44.2% +14.1%
MIN 58.2%
3P Att. %
20.2%
11.8%
SAS 23.4% +15.7%
MIN 7.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.37 and 2.37.
Game TotalsSASMIN
Possessions10097
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points95106
Rebounds4442
Assists1933
Steals28
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)20 (1)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)30 (3)
Field Goals34-7747-91
At-the-Rim FG13-2521-31
Midrange FG14-3423-53
2-Point FG27-5944-84
3-Point FG7-183-7
Free Throws20-279-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 27
39.0
17
39%
10
4
0
1
3
5
4
6
7-10
70%
5-16
31%
0-1
0%
C · 6'7" 255 · 28
34.2
13
46%
11
0
1
1
3
3
2
9
3-5
60%
5-10
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 21
34.0
19
50%
3
3
0
0
4
3
0
3
3-5
60%
5-11
45%
2-5
40%
G · 6'8" 220 · 25
33.7
15
50%
8
6
0
0
4
3
3
5
4-4
100%
4-9
44%
1-4
25%
F · 6'7" 200 · 32
26.6
5
83%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 205 · 26
23.0
8
57%
4
3
1
1
1
3
0
4
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40
18.9
4
50%
3
1
0
1
3
5
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 37
14.0
9
113%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 235 · 36
12.6
5
83%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 290 · 27
4.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
50%
44
19
2
5
20
0
11
33
20-27
74%
27-59
46%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.