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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 27, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Spurs42%9595
10Timberwolves58%98106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.8
39.0
36.2
17
40%
10
4
0
1
1
3
4
6
7-10
70%
5-16
8-17
31%
49%
0-1
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 28.2
34.2
22.6
13
49%
11
0
1
1
1
3
2
9
3-5
60%
5-10
3-7
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 20.7
34.0
32.7
19
52%
3
3
0
1
0
4
0
3
3-5
60%
5-11
5-10
45%
46%
2-5
40%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 24.8
33.7
29.9
15
51%
8
6
0
1
0
4
3
5
4-4
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
1-4
25%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 31.6
26.6
29.3
5
83%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.5
23.0
18.2
8
62%
4
3
1
1
1
1
0
4
1-1
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.4
18.9
13.5
4
50%
3
1
0
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Steve Kerr
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.3
14.0
14.5
9
116%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Danny Ferry
F · 6'10" 235 · 36.3
12.6
12.0
5
83%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
39%
1-2
50%
Mengke Bateer
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.2
4.0
5.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 33.8
9.3
0
1-2
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.7
35.8
38.2
34
75%
10
8
2
1
1
2
3
7
6-8
75%
14-19
7-14
74%
48%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.9
30.9
27.0
17
54%
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
5-13
4-8
38%
50%
2-2
100%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 27.5
20.7
21.9
8
44%
6
0
0
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
48%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.7
20.2
32.3
6
43%
5
2
1
1
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
3-7
5-11
43%
49%
0-0
-
Rod Strickland
G · 6'3" 185 · 36.5
9.3
22.7
10
83%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
5-6
3-7
83%
43%
0-0
-
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 26.9
30.6
23.3
3
15%
2
6
0
1
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-7
3-6
14%
45%
0-2
0%
Anthony Peeler
G · 6'4" 208 · 33.2
24.6
20.7
9
56%
6
6
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
1-4
60%
39%
1-3
33%
Kendall Gill
G · 6'5" 216 · 34.7
22.0
23.4
12
67%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
6-9
3-7
67%
42%
0-0
-
Gary Trent
F · 6'8" 250 · 28.3
20.1
11.6
5
51%
5
4
0
0
0
0
3
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 28.0
17.7
10.9
2
25%
3
1
2
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
0-0
-
Igor Rakocevic
G · 6'2" 184 · 24.8
8.1
4.0
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 24.6
1.9
0
0-0
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.