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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 30, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Wizards30%9690
8Bucks70%10297
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Jordan
G · 6'6" 216 · 40.0
39.1
36.4
24
47%
4
4
1
2
0
2
2
2
2-3
67%
11-23
7-16
48%
43%
0-1
0%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.0
31.7
33.3
8
43%
4
3
0
1
0
0
2
2
2-5
40%
3-7
5-10
43%
46%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 28.2
22.2
38.0
5
18%
3
6
0
1
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
2-10
6-13
20%
43%
0-3
0%
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 33.5
16.9
27.9
4
50%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 23.2
16.0
26.8
7
74%
4
0
2
0
0
0
2
2
3-4
75%
2-3
3-5
67%
51%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 20.9
34.8
21.4
20
64%
8
1
0
1
0
3
4
4
4-6
67%
8-12
3-6
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Bryon Russell
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.1
30.9
16.7
8
57%
6
1
1
1
0
5
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
39%
2-4
50%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 24.8
27.8
12.2
9
58%
12
0
0
0
1
1
4
8
3-4
75%
3-6
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.7
20.5
19.8
5
50%
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 24.3
5.5
0
1-2
42%
Charles Oakley
F · 6'9" 245 · 39.1
4.0
0
0-1
39%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 22.7
0.5
0
0-0
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Mason
F · 6'8" 255 · 36.1
37.7
31.5
8
67%
8
8
1
1
0
2
1
7
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.5
37.0
34.7
16
45%
4
4
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-11
5-10
36%
48%
2-6
33%
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.2
36.4
30.2
31
69%
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
7-8
88%
9-16
5-11
56%
48%
2-3
67%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 25.9
29.6
18.0
17
54%
6
2
1
1
1
1
3
3
2-2
100%
3-10
2-5
30%
48%
3-5
60%
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 35.1
29.1
19.4
2
114%
3
0
1
0
2
2
2
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 23.4
24.7
32.8
12
75%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
2-2
100%
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 34.4
19.3
25.2
5
36%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
1-5
20%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.1
11.6
21.1
4
100%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
45%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.0
7.5
14.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Caffey
F · 6'8" 256 · 29.6
7.1
6.1
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Haislip
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.1
6.3
0
1-2
46%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 19.7
1.5
0
0-0
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.