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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 31, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Pistons44%91118
12Celtics56%9266
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 28.4
34.0
37.4
8
63%
11
0
1
2
2
0
2
9
2-3
67%
3-5
3-5
60%
50%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 25.0
31.2
30.5
29
66%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
9-11
82%
10-15
6-13
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 26.3
26.4
29.1
24
78%
5
3
0
1
0
2
0
5
2-3
67%
5-6
3-7
83%
42%
4-8
50%
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 34.4
23.5
20.1
3
50%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.1
17.6
33.4
3
30%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
4-9
0%
43%
1-4
25%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 23.7
27.5
18.8
11
67%
6
3
1
1
0
1
1
5
3-5
60%
4-5
2-5
80%
43%
0-1
0%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 28.5
21.6
16.4
3
21%
3
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
1-5
20%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.5
16.8
15.3
8
67%
6
4
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
2-5
40%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 29.2
15.3
25.1
13
79%
5
0
2
1
0
1
0
5
5-5
100%
4-6
4-10
67%
47%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 22.9
10.4
4.2
11
71%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
3-4
75%
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
2-5
40%
Hubert Davis
G · 6'5" 183 · 32.7
9.2
2.9
5
83%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Pepe Sanchez
G · 6'4" 195 · 25.7
6.4
1.5
0
0%
3
0
2
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.3
31.1
41.7
23
57%
9
1
1
2
0
4
2
7
4-5
80%
5-12
8-17
42%
45%
3-6
50%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.5
29.5
14.4
6
17%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
3-6
50%
0-9
2-4
0%
43%
1-6
17%
J.R. Bremer
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.4
27.1
31.8
10
51%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
2-5
1-4
40%
38%
1-3
33%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.5
20.1
33.8
9
77%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.0
9.6
26.0
4
50%
3
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 27.8
24.5
15.5
5
63%
4
0
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
1-1
100%
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.0
22.4
29.7
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.2
20.5
17.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Kedrick Brown
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 21.9
19.6
13.2
5
36%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
1-3
33%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 29.0
13.3
7.5
4
29%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
42%
0-2
0%
Grant Long
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.9
13.2
15.7
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Bruno Sundov
C · 7'2" 260 · 23.0
9.2
2.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-2
0%
0-5
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.