FinalWin Prob.pScore
949%98
109
1651%99
108
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
113.59696.1
ORL logo ORL
113.79594.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASORL
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS109
100%
108
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:9 Def:8)109
97.6%
108
2.4%
Q4 - 0:01.0ORLMISS McGrady 16' Jump Shot109
96.8%
108
3.2%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:9 Def:7)109
85.9%
108
14.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASDuncan Layup (23 PTS)109
85.9%
108
14.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:8 Def:7)107
8.0%
108
92.0%
Q4 - 0:04.0SASMISS Duncan Tip Shot107
4.1%
108
95.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0SASMISS Duncan Driving Layup107
4.1%
108
95.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLMcGrady 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (35 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)107
41.6%
108
58.4%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)107
58.2%
106
41.8%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)106
52.8%
106
47.2%
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLDeClercq Layup (8 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)105
42.6%
106
57.4%
Q4 - 0:53.0SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Bowen 4 AST)105
57.7%
104
42.3%
Q4 - 1:06SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)102
29.3%
104
70.7%
Q4 - 1:08ORLMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot102
25.3%
104
74.7%
Q4 - 1:19SASRobinson Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)102
19.1%
104
80.9%
Q4 - 1:32ORLGarrity 23' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)100
14.8%
104
85.2%
Q4 - 1:46ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)100
22.9%
102
77.1%
Q4 - 1:48SASMISS Duncan 18' Turnaround Jump Shot100
26.0%
102
74.0%
Q4 - 2:11ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 1 (33 PTS)100
36.6%
102
63.4%
Q4 - 2:11ORLMcGrady Driving Layup (32 PTS)100
48.0%
101
52.0%
Q4 - 2:23SASDuncan Dunk (21 PTS) (Parker 13 AST)100
54.6%
99
45.4%
Q4 - 2:44ORLArmstrong 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)98
48.7%
99
51.3%
Q4 - 2:57SASRobinson Layup (16 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)98
53.9%
97
46.1%
Q4 - 3:10SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)96
47.6%
97
52.4%
Q4 - 3:12ORLMISS McGrady 13' Turnaround Jump Shot96
43.0%
97
57.0%
Q4 - 3:41ORLMAGIC Rebound96
36.7%
97
63.3%
Q4 - 3:42SASMISS Ginobili Layup96
39.5%
97
60.5%
Q4 - 3:55ORLMcGrady 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (30 PTS)96
46.0%
97
54.0%
Q4 - 4:24ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)96
54.8%
95
45.2%
Q4 - 4:25SASMISS Duncan 9' Running Jump Shot96
57.8%
95
42.2%
Q4 - 4:48SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)96
64.5%
95
35.5%
Q4 - 4:50ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
61.6%
95
38.4%
Q4 - 4:57ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
54.7%
95
45.3%
Q4 - 4:58SASDeClercq BLOCK (1 BLK)96
57.8%
95
42.2%
Q4 - 4:59SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)96
64.5%
95
35.5%
Q4 - 5:00SASMISS Robinson 5' Hook Shot96
57.8%
95
42.2%
Q4 - 5:17SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
62.8%
95
37.2%
Q4 - 5:20ORLMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
60.2%
95
39.8%
Q4 - 5:25ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)96
54.3%
95
45.7%
Q4 - 5:26SASMISS Rose 20' Jump Shot96
57.0%
95
43.0%
Q4 - 5:41ORLArmstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)96
62.8%
95
37.2%
Q4 - 5:54SASParker Layup (17 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)96
76.6%
92
23.4%
Q4 - 6:15ORLMcGrady 15' Jump Shot (28 PTS)94
68.8%
92
31.2%
Q4 - 6:35ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)94
74.2%
90
25.8%
Q4 - 6:36ORLMISS DeClercq 16' Jump Shot94
78.5%
90
21.5%
Q4 - 7:03SASParker Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)94
72.6%
90
27.4%
Q4 - 7:15SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
67.6%
90
32.4%
Q4 - 7:17ORLMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot92
65.5%
90
34.5%
Q4 - 7:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)92
60.5%
90
39.5%
Q4 - 7:31SASDuncan Tip Shot (19 PTS)92
60.5%
90
39.5%
Q4 - 7:32SASMISS Duncan Layup90
49.2%
90
50.8%
Q4 - 7:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)90
54.6%
90
45.4%
Q4 - 7:35SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot90
49.1%
90
50.9%
Q4 - 7:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)90
54.6%
90
45.4%
Q4 - 7:58ORLMISS DeClercq 12' Turnaround Jump Shot90
52.2%
90
47.8%
Q4 - 8:23SASGinobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)90
47.3%
90
52.7%
Q4 - 8:38ORLBurke Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)87
35.1%
90
64.9%
Q4 - 8:53ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
41.0%
88
59.0%
Q4 - 8:55SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot87
42.9%
88
57.1%
Q4 - 9:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)87
47.9%
88
52.1%
Q4 - 9:04ORLMISS Sasser 16' Jump Shot87
45.9%
88
54.1%
Q4 - 9:32SASDuncan 8' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Parker 12 AST)87
41.6%
88
58.4%
Q4 - 9:55ORLArmstrong Driving Layup (8 PTS)85
36.1%
88
63.9%
Q4 - 10:02ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)85
41.8%
86
58.2%
Q4 - 10:04ORLMISS Burke 21' Jump Shot85
46.0%
86
54.0%
Q4 - 10:12SASArmstrong STEAL (1 STL)85
41.8%
86
58.2%
Q4 - 10:28ORLArmstrong 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)85
47.9%
86
52.1%
Q4 - 10:40SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)85
53.1%
84
46.9%
Q4 - 11:06SASSpurs Rebound85
58.3%
84
41.7%
Q4 - 11:08ORLMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
56.6%
84
43.4%
Q4 - 11:14ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
52.7%
84
47.3%
Q4 - 11:16SASMISS Duncan 11' Turnaround Hook Shot85
54.5%
84
45.5%
Q4 - 11:29ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)85
58.4%
84
41.6%
Q4 - 11:29ORLMcGrady Driving Layup (25 PTS)85
63.5%
83
36.5%
Q4 - 11:34ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)85
68.2%
81
31.8%
Q4 - 11:37SASMISS Rose Layup85
69.7%
81
30.3%
Q4 - 11:46SASKerr REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
72.9%
81
27.1%
Q4 - 11:47ORLMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot85
71.5%
81
28.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS85
68.2%
81
31.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLGarrity Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)85
71.9%
81
28.1%
Q3 - 0:24.0SASRose 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)85
67.6%
81
32.4%
Q3 - 0:35.0ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)83
63.0%
81
37.0%
Q3 - 0:35.0ORLDeClercq Follow Up Dunk (6 PTS)83
63.0%
81
37.0%
Q3 - 0:36.0ORLMISS McGrady Driving Layup83
70.7%
79
29.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0SASKerr 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)83
67.6%
79
32.4%
Q3 - 1:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)81
63.0%
79
37.0%
Q3 - 1:01ORLMISS DeClercq 6' Hook Shot81
61.0%
79
39.0%
Q3 - 1:03ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)81
57.6%
79
42.4%
Q3 - 1:05ORLMISS Vaughn 13' Jump Shot81
61.0%
79
39.0%
Q3 - 1:25SASJackson Foul Turnover (P4.T13)81
57.7%
79
42.3%
Q3 - 1:39ORLDeClercq Layup (4 PTS)81
62.5%
79
37.5%
Q3 - 1:40ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)81
66.9%
77
33.1%
Q3 - 1:42ORLMISS McGrady Driving Layup81
69.9%
77
30.1%
Q3 - 1:54SASGinobili 7' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)81
66.9%
77
33.1%
Q3 - 2:19ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Vaughn 6 AST)79
61.7%
77
38.3%
Q3 - 2:26ORLVaughn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
69.7%
74
30.3%
Q3 - 2:28SASMISS Jackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
71.0%
74
29.0%
Q3 - 2:44ORLGarrity Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)79
73.8%
74
26.2%
Q3 - 3:05SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)79
69.2%
74
30.8%
Q3 - 3:05SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 278
68.5%
74
31.5%
Q3 - 3:29ORLVaughn 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)78
69.5%
74
30.5%
Q3 - 3:44SASRose 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 11 AST)78
72.9%
72
27.1%
Q3 - 4:07ORLGarrity 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)76
68.8%
72
31.2%
Q3 - 4:17ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
71.9%
70
28.1%
Q3 - 4:19SASMISS Bowen 15' Running Jump Shot76
73.1%
70
26.9%
Q3 - 4:42ORLMiller Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)76
75.8%
70
24.2%
Q3 - 4:47ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
78.4%
68
21.6%
Q3 - 4:48SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Shot76
79.4%
68
20.6%
Q3 - 4:58ORLVaughn Driving Layup (7 PTS)76
81.6%
68
18.4%
Q3 - 5:18SASParker 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)76
82.9%
66
17.1%
Q3 - 5:39ORLMiller Driving Layup (13 PTS)74
80.7%
66
19.3%
Q3 - 5:57SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)74
83.0%
64
17.0%
Q3 - 5:57SASDuncan Layup (14 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)73
80.5%
64
19.5%
Q3 - 6:08ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)71
77.0%
64
23.0%
Q3 - 6:08ORLMcGrady Tip Shot (23 PTS)71
77.0%
64
23.0%
Q3 - 6:10ORLMISS McGrady Driving Layup71
81.4%
62
18.6%
Q3 - 6:23SASJackson 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)71
79.5%
62
20.5%
Q3 - 6:47ORLVaughn Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)69
77.1%
62
22.9%
Q3 - 6:47ORLVaughn Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)69
77.5%
61
22.5%
Q3 - 6:59SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)69
79.6%
60
20.4%
Q3 - 6:59SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)68
78.9%
60
21.1%
Q3 - 7:18ORLMiller Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)67
76.1%
60
23.9%
Q3 - 7:20ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
72.8%
60
27.2%
Q3 - 7:22ORLMISS Miller 20' Jump Shot67
75.1%
60
24.9%
Q3 - 7:41SASBowen Driving Layup (10 PTS)67
72.8%
60
27.2%
Q3 - 7:58SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)65
70.1%
60
29.9%
Q3 - 8:00ORLMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
69.0%
60
31.0%
Q3 - 8:07ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
66.1%
60
33.9%
Q3 - 8:09SASMISS Robinson 18' Jump Shot65
67.2%
60
32.8%
Q3 - 8:21SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)65
69.8%
60
30.2%
Q3 - 8:22ORLMISS McGrady Driving Layup65
68.7%
60
31.3%
Q3 - 8:38SASDuncan 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)65
66.0%
60
34.0%
Q3 - 8:56SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
63.1%
60
36.9%
Q3 - 8:57ORLMISS Kemp 20' Jump Shot63
61.8%
60
38.2%
Q3 - 9:07SASParker 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)63
58.7%
60
41.3%
Q3 - 9:21ORLMcGrady 23' Jump Shot (21 PTS)61
55.2%
60
44.8%
Q3 - 9:31SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)61
58.7%
58
41.3%
Q3 - 9:31SASParker Driving Layup (8 PTS)60
55.1%
58
44.9%
Q3 - 9:53ORLGarrity 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)58
51.6%
58
48.4%
Q3 - 10:02ORLKemp REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
54.9%
56
45.1%
Q3 - 10:04SASMISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot58
56.1%
56
43.9%
Q3 - 10:29ORLMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS)58
58.8%
56
41.2%
Q3 - 10:44SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)58
61.8%
54
38.2%
Q3 - 11:04SASSpurs Rebound55
55.2%
54
44.8%
Q3 - 11:06ORLMISS Miller 22' Jump Shot55
54.2%
54
45.8%
Q3 - 11:13ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
51.7%
54
48.3%
Q3 - 11:15SASMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 255
52.2%
54
47.8%
Q3 - 11:15SASJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)55
54.4%
54
45.6%
Q3 - 11:30ORLMiller 20' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Vaughn 5 AST)54
51.8%
54
48.2%
Q3 - 11:41ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
55.1%
52
44.9%
Q3 - 11:43SASMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
56.2%
52
43.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL54
58.7%
52
41.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
55.6%
52
44.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASMISS Duncan 7' Hook Shot54
56.3%
52
43.7%
Q2 - 0:23.0ORLMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)54
57.9%
52
42.1%
Q2 - 0:23.0ORLMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)54
58.5%
51
41.5%
Q2 - 0:25.0ORLMAGIC Rebound54
62.0%
50
38.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
63.5%
50
36.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)54
62.0%
50
38.0%
Q2 - 0:47.0ORLMcGrady 23' Jump Shot (15 PTS)54
64.2%
50
35.8%
Q2 - 1:02SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
67.8%
48
32.2%
Q2 - 1:02SASParker Tip Shot (6 PTS)54
67.8%
48
32.2%
Q2 - 1:04SASMISS Parker 5' Running Jump Shot52
62.5%
48
37.5%
Q2 - 1:14SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
63.5%
48
36.5%
Q2 - 1:15ORLMISS Garrity 3PT Jump Shot52
63.1%
48
36.9%
Q2 - 1:21ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
62.0%
48
38.0%
Q2 - 1:23SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot52
62.5%
48
37.5%
Q2 - 1:43ORLVaughn 6' Jump Shot (3 PTS)52
63.6%
48
36.4%
Q2 - 1:52ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
67.9%
46
32.1%
Q2 - 1:54SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
68.3%
46
31.7%
Q2 - 2:07ORLDeClercq Foul Turnover (P1.T7)52
69.3%
46
30.7%
Q2 - 2:16SASRobinson Layup (12 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)52
66.7%
46
33.3%
Q2 - 2:35ORLMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)50
63.7%
46
36.3%
Q2 - 2:45SASRobinson Foul Turnover (P2.T11)50
66.8%
44
33.2%
Q2 - 2:57SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
69.3%
44
30.7%
Q2 - 2:59SASMISS Duncan 6' Hook Shot50
67.6%
44
32.4%
Q2 - 3:19ORLMiller Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)50
68.8%
44
31.2%
Q2 - 3:19ORLMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)50
71.3%
43
28.7%
Q2 - 3:19ORLMiller 3' Hook Shot (7 PTS)50
73.7%
42
26.3%
Q2 - 3:21ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
75.7%
40
24.3%
Q2 - 3:24ORLMISS McGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot50
77.3%
40
22.7%
Q2 - 3:30ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
75.7%
40
24.3%
Q2 - 3:31SASMISS Robinson Layup50
76.4%
40
23.6%
Q2 - 3:51ORLMcGrady Reverse Dunk (11 PTS)50
78.1%
40
21.9%
Q2 - 4:01SASDuncan Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)50
79.1%
38
20.9%
Q2 - 4:04SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
77.1%
38
22.9%
Q2 - 4:06SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
75.7%
38
24.3%
Q2 - 4:26ORLVaughn Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)48
77.1%
38
22.9%
Q2 - 4:26ORLMISS Vaughn Free Throw 1 of 248
77.5%
37
22.5%
Q2 - 4:29SASVaughn STEAL (1 STL)48
77.1%
37
22.9%
Q2 - 4:49ORLGarrity 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Vaughn 4 AST)48
79.1%
37
20.9%
Q2 - 4:53ORLVaughn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
82.7%
34
17.3%
Q2 - 4:55ORLMISS DeClercq Layup48
83.8%
34
16.2%
Q2 - 4:56ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
82.7%
34
17.3%
Q2 - 4:57ORLMISS McGrady Reverse Layup48
83.8%
34
16.2%
Q2 - 5:05ORLMAGIC Rebound48
82.2%
34
17.8%
Q2 - 5:08ORLMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
83.4%
34
16.6%
Q2 - 5:17ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
82.2%
34
17.8%
Q2 - 5:19SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
82.7%
34
17.3%
Q2 - 5:30SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
83.9%
34
16.1%
Q2 - 5:32ORLMISS McGrady 14' Jump Shot48
83.4%
34
16.6%
Q2 - 5:45SASRobinson Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)48
82.2%
34
17.8%
Q2 - 5:50SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)46
80.6%
34
19.4%
Q2 - 5:51ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
78.6%
34
21.4%
Q2 - 5:51ORLMISS McGrady Tip Shot46
80.0%
34
20.0%
Q2 - 5:53ORLMISS McGrady Driving Layup46
80.0%
34
20.0%
Q2 - 6:06SASGinobili Layup (9 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)46
77.9%
34
22.1%
Q2 - 6:10SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
76.4%
34
23.6%
Q2 - 6:12ORLMISS Kemp Layup44
75.7%
34
24.3%
Q2 - 6:30SASRose Dunk (5 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)44
74.0%
34
26.0%
Q2 - 6:47SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
72.3%
34
27.7%
Q2 - 6:49ORLMISS Kemp 15' Jump Shot42
71.4%
34
28.6%
Q2 - 7:07SASBowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)42
69.0%
34
31.0%
Q2 - 7:19SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
64.5%
34
35.5%
Q2 - 7:21ORLMISS Humphrey Free Throw 2 of 239
64.2%
34
35.8%
Q2 - 7:21ORLHumphrey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
62.8%
34
37.2%
Q2 - 7:32SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)39
64.4%
33
35.6%
Q2 - 7:41SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
59.6%
33
40.4%
Q2 - 7:43ORLMISS McGrady 12' Fadeaway Jumper36
58.7%
33
41.3%
Q2 - 8:00SASParker Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)36
56.8%
33
43.2%
Q2 - 8:14ORLArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)36
59.3%
33
40.7%
Q2 - 8:26SASRose Layup (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)36
56.5%
33
43.5%
Q2 - 8:36ORLKemp Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)34
54.2%
33
45.8%
Q2 - 8:47SASJackson 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
51.3%
33
48.7%
Q2 - 8:49SASJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
49.1%
33
50.9%
Q2 - 8:51SASBurke BLOCK (2 BLK)32
47.0%
33
53.0%
Q2 - 9:11ORLKemp 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Sasser 1 AST)32
49.0%
33
51.0%
Q2 - 9:17ORLHumphrey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
51.2%
31
48.8%
Q2 - 9:18ORLMISS Kemp 14' Jump Shot32
53.2%
31
46.8%
Q2 - 9:30SASParker 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
51.2%
31
48.8%
Q2 - 9:41SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
49.0%
31
51.0%
Q2 - 9:43ORLMISS Armstrong 19' Jump Shot30
48.2%
31
51.8%
Q2 - 9:46SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)30
46.2%
31
53.8%
Q2 - 9:46ORLKemp Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)30
49.0%
31
51.0%
Q2 - 9:55SASRobinson Layup (8 PTS)30
46.2%
31
53.8%
Q2 - 9:56SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
44.0%
31
56.0%
Q2 - 9:56SASBurke BLOCK (1 BLK)28
42.1%
31
57.9%
Q2 - 10:19ORLKemp Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)28
44.0%
31
56.0%
Q2 - 10:19ORLKemp Layup (4 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)28
46.4%
30
53.6%
Q2 - 10:28SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)28
48.6%
28
51.4%
Q2 - 10:28SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
47.9%
28
52.1%
Q2 - 10:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)26
46.4%
28
53.6%
Q2 - 10:34ORLMISS Burke 18' Jump Shot26
45.6%
28
54.4%
Q2 - 10:37ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
43.7%
28
56.3%
Q2 - 10:39ORLMISS Sasser Layup26
45.6%
28
54.4%
Q2 - 10:54SASJackson Layup (2 PTS)26
43.7%
28
56.3%
Q2 - 11:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)24
41.6%
28
58.4%
Q2 - 11:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)24
41.4%
28
58.6%
Q2 - 11:02SASMISS Duncan Tip Shot24
39.8%
28
60.2%
Q2 - 11:05SASMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot24
39.8%
28
60.2%
Q2 - 11:19ORLBurke Layup (2 PTS)24
41.4%
28
58.6%
Q2 - 11:40SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
43.8%
26
56.2%
Q2 - 11:40SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
43.1%
26
56.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS22
41.4%
26
58.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound22
41.4%
26
58.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ginobili 86' 3PT Jump Shot22
39.8%
26
60.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
41.2%
26
58.8%
Q1 - 0:05.0ORLMISS Burke 17' Jump Shot22
40.6%
26
59.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)22
39.4%
26
60.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)21
38.9%
26
61.1%
Q1 - 0:35.0ORLArmstrong Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
36.7%
26
63.3%
Q1 - 0:47.0ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
39.4%
24
60.6%
Q1 - 0:49.0SASMISS Jackson 5' Turnaround Jump Shot20
40.0%
24
60.0%
Q1 - 1:00ORLArmstrong Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)20
41.2%
24
58.8%
Q1 - 1:21SASKerr 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)20
39.5%
24
60.5%
Q1 - 1:40ORLArmstrong 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
34.6%
24
65.4%
Q1 - 1:43ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
37.3%
22
62.7%
Q1 - 1:45ORLMISS Armstrong 20' Jump Shot17
38.5%
22
61.5%
Q1 - 1:54ORLMAGIC Rebound17
37.3%
22
62.7%
Q1 - 1:56SASMISS Kerr 3PT Jump Shot17
37.8%
22
62.2%
Q1 - 2:10SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
39.5%
22
60.5%
Q1 - 2:12ORLMISS Hunter 4' Hook Shot17
38.9%
22
61.1%
Q1 - 2:14ORLHunter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
37.4%
22
62.6%
Q1 - 2:15ORLMISS Sasser 19' Jump Shot17
38.9%
22
61.1%
Q1 - 2:20ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
37.4%
22
62.6%
Q1 - 2:22SASMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot17
38.1%
22
61.9%
Q1 - 2:41ORLMiller Foul Turnover (P1.T2)17
39.5%
22
60.5%
Q1 - 2:55SASDuncan 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)17
37.4%
22
62.6%
Q1 - 3:11ORLDeClercq Layup (2 PTS) (Vaughn 3 AST)15
35.8%
22
64.2%
Q1 - 3:18SASDuncan Slam Dunk (4 PTS)15
37.6%
20
62.4%
Q1 - 3:19SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)13
35.7%
20
64.3%
Q1 - 3:21SASMISS Duncan 7' Running Jump Shot13
34.1%
20
65.9%
Q1 - 3:39ORLMiller Driving Layup (5 PTS)13
35.7%
20
64.3%
Q1 - 3:48SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)13
37.6%
18
62.4%
Q1 - 3:48SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 212
37.2%
18
62.8%
Q1 - 4:00ORLVaughn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)12
37.8%
18
62.2%
Q1 - 4:22SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
35.7%
18
64.3%
Q1 - 4:22SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
35.1%
18
64.9%
Q1 - 4:29SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
34.1%
18
65.9%
Q1 - 4:30ORLMISS Garrity 28' 3PT Jump Shot10
33.4%
18
66.6%
Q1 - 4:52SASRobinson Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)10
31.7%
18
68.3%
Q1 - 5:02SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
30.9%
18
69.1%
Q1 - 5:04ORLMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot8
30.3%
18
69.7%
Q1 - 5:18SASBowen 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)8
29.0%
18
71.0%
Q1 - 5:41ORLGarrity 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (DeClercq 2 AST)6
27.4%
18
72.6%
Q1 - 6:01SASJackson Foul Turnover (P3.T6)6
29.6%
16
70.4%
Q1 - 6:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)6
31.4%
16
68.6%
Q1 - 6:07SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot6
30.2%
16
69.8%
Q1 - 6:22ORLMiller 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (DeClercq 1 AST)6
31.4%
16
68.6%
Q1 - 6:35SASDuncan 5' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)6
34.9%
13
65.1%
Q1 - 6:52ORLGarrity 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)4
33.2%
13
66.8%
Q1 - 7:05SASMcGrady STEAL (2 STL)4
35.7%
11
64.3%
Q1 - 7:26SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
37.6%
11
62.4%
Q1 - 7:28ORLMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
37.0%
11
63.0%
Q1 - 7:43SASRobinson Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
35.6%
11
64.4%
Q1 - 8:02ORLMcGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Garrity 1 AST)2
34.5%
11
65.5%
Q1 - 8:09SASGarrity STEAL (1 STL)2
37.8%
8
62.2%
Q1 - 8:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
39.8%
8
60.2%
Q1 - 8:16ORLMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot2
39.2%
8
60.8%
Q1 - 8:37SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
37.8%
8
62.2%
Q1 - 8:37SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
37.4%
8
62.6%
Q1 - 8:43SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.2%
8
63.8%
Q1 - 8:45ORLMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot0
35.6%
8
64.4%
Q1 - 9:01SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)0
33.9%
8
66.1%
Q1 - 9:26ORLMcGrady 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)0
36.2%
8
63.8%
Q1 - 9:41ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
37.5%
6
62.5%
Q1 - 9:42SASMISS Duncan 22' Jump Shot0
38.1%
6
61.9%
Q1 - 9:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
39.7%
6
60.3%
Q1 - 10:00SASMISS Robinson Layup0
38.2%
6
61.8%
Q1 - 10:00ORLMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)0
39.7%
6
60.3%
Q1 - 10:15SASKemp STEAL (1 STL)0
41.2%
4
58.8%
Q1 - 10:33ORLKemp Dunk (2 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)0
43.3%
4
56.7%
Q1 - 10:48ORLJump Ball McGrady vs. Parker: Tip to Garrity0
44.9%
2
55.1%
Q1 - 11:03ORLMcGrady 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
46.8%
2
53.2%
Q1 - 11:11ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.8%
0
51.2%
Q1 - 11:12SASMISS Robinson Layup0
49.3%
0
50.7%
Q1 - 11:15SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
50.5%
0
49.5%
Q1 - 11:16SASMiller BLOCK (1 BLK)0
49.3%
0
50.7%
Q1 - 11:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
50.5%
0
49.5%
Q1 - 12:00ORLMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
50.0%
0
50.0%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Kemp vs. Robinson: Tip to McGrady0
48.8%
0
51.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.11 55.6%
ORL
1.05 52.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
22
38
58%
ORL
19
30
63%
Midrange
SAS
14
29
48%
ORL
22
48
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
ORL
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
Free Throws
SAS
19
22
86%
ORL
11
13
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2344%11.5 / 26
T. Parker2077%10.0 / 13
D. Robinson2063%10.0 / 16
M. Ginobili1470%7.0 / 10
B. Bowen1083%5.0 / 6
M. Rose1050%5.0 / 10
S. Jackson732%3.5 / 11
S. Kerr583%2.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady3545%17.5 / 39
P. Garrity1689%8.0 / 9
M. Miller1554%7.5 / 14
D. Armstrong1381%6.5 / 8
J. Vaughn975%4.5 / 6
A. DeClercq850%4.0 / 8
S. Kemp744%3.5 / 8
P. Burke440%2.0 / 5
R. Humphrey150%0.5 / 1
J. Sasser0-0.0 / 3
S. Hunter0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
81
+17
-15
98
ORL
85
+17
-10
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.11 55.6%
ORL
1.05 52.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.7
102.6
SAS 113.5
ORL 113.7 +0.1
Pace
92.6
95.5
SAS 96.1 +1.1
ORL 94.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
14.6
SAS 15.0 +0.2
ORL 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
47.8%
SAS 54.2% +2.6%
ORL 51.6%
TO %
16.5%
14.4%
SAS 13.9%
ORL 9.1% +4.8%
ORB %
28.8%
27.1%
SAS 41.0% +7.7%
ORL 33.3%
FTrt
34.8
30.7
SAS 26.5 +12.7
ORL 13.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.3%
56.9%
SAS 66.7% +21.0%
ORL 45.7%
STL %
8.3%
8.8%
SAS 5.2%
ORL 6.3% +1.1%
BLK %
9.3%
5.6%
SAS 5.1%
ORL 6.0% +0.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.4%
50.2%
SAS 55.6% +3.2%
ORL 52.4%
Rim FG%
59.3%
54.6%
SAS 57.9%
ORL 63.3% +5.4%
Mid FG%
38.8%
39.9%
SAS 48.3% +2.5%
ORL 45.8%
3P %
35.4%
35.7%
SAS 37.5% +6.2%
ORL 31.3%
FT %
72.5%
77.7%
SAS 86.4% +1.8%
ORL 84.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
31.8%
SAS 45.8% +13.9%
ORL 31.9%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
44.7%
SAS 34.9% +16.1%
ORL 51.1%
3P Att. %
20.2%
23.5%
SAS 19.3% +2.3%
ORL 17.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASORL
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points109108
Rebounds4638
Assists2821
Steals56
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (1)15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)23 (2)
Field Goals42-8346-94
At-the-Rim FG22-3819-30
Midrange FG14-2922-48
2-Point FG36-6741-78
3-Point FG6-165-16
Free Throws19-2211-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 27
42.0
23
44%
17
6
0
3
3
1
9
8
3-3
100%
10-24
42%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 32
38.1
10
83%
1
4
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
G · 6'2" 185 · 21
36.4
20
77%
6
13
0
0
2
2
1
5
3-3
100%
7-8
88%
1-3
33%
C · 7'1" 250 · 37
29.9
20
63%
11
1
0
0
2
2
3
8
6-6
100%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 220 · 25
28.4
7
32%
2
1
2
0
4
3
1
1
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
0-3
0%
G · 6'6" 205 · 26
27.5
14
70%
3
2
0
1
1
4
1
2
4-4
100%
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
F · 6'7" 255 · 28
23.9
10
50%
5
1
2
0
2
2
1
4
2-4
50%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 37
11.8
5
83%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 235 · 36
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34
C · 6'11" 290 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
109
56%
46
28
5
4
15
0
16
30
19-22
86%
36-67
54%
6-16
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.