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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 2, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Grizzlies54%9478
28Nuggets46%9393
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.6
42.3
38.8
13
33%
11
2
0
1
3
2
3
8
3-6
50%
5-17
7-14
29%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 27.2
30.4
32.7
8
45%
0
5
0
1
1
3
0
0
2-2
100%
0-4
3-7
0%
45%
2-4
50%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.4
25.1
24.9
2
20%
3
1
3
1
4
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 27.2
22.4
32.7
8
58%
5
0
0
1
1
2
3
2
2-2
100%
3-6
5-11
50%
46%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.6
21.1
20.1
10
46%
2
1
1
0
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
44%
0-2
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.4
30.7
27.5
16
45%
7
0
1
1
0
2
4
3
4-4
100%
6-15
5-11
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.9
26.9
23.1
5
36%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Mike Batiste
· 6'8" 225 · 25.2
20.1
9.4
8
68%
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
42%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 23.6
17.6
6.9
8
69%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Cezary Trybanski
C · 7'2" 240 · 23.4
3.4
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 27.2
13.7
1
1-3
42%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.2
6.9
0
1-2
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.0
38.9
26.9
26
53%
13
5
2
1
1
1
4
9
4-4
100%
11-23
5-11
48%
46%
0-0
-
Junior Harrington
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.3
32.0
21.7
8
37%
8
6
1
1
0
3
4
4
2-2
100%
3-10
2-5
30%
40%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 20.4
28.2
29.6
8
48%
6
2
2
2
4
1
3
3
4-10
40%
2-4
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Vincent Yarbrough
F · 6'7" 210 · 21.9
22.8
32.5
8
68%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
4-8
0%
44%
2-2
100%
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.4
22.5
25.0
4
33%
6
3
1
1
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
0-0
-
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.6
21.9
21.0
8
57%
5
2
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 27.2
19.8
15.6
6
61%
9
1
0
0
3
3
2
7
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Whitney
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.3
19.3
21.2
15
59%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
42%
3-6
50%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 27.2
15.5
6.5
4
50%
1
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 19.8
9.9
20.1
2
26%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.6
9.1
19.0
4
50%
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
2.2
0
0-1
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.