Final Win Prob. pScore
2533%89
79
2467%95
99
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo Hawks
85.99289.3
MIA logo Heat
110.09093.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0ATLMISS Dickau 18' Jump Shot79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLBenjamin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Stepania Tip Shot79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Butler Layup79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAHEAT Rebound79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:54.0ATLMohammed 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dickau 2 AST)79
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04MIAStepania Layup (2 PTS) (James 7 AST)77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21ATLMohammed Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T20)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)77
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31ATLSUB: Ham FOR Terry77
95
Q4 - 1:31ATLSUB: Mohammed FOR Ratliff77
95
Q4 - 1:31ATLSUB: Benjamin FOR Abdur-Rahim77
95
Q4 - 1:31ATLSUB: Dickau FOR Robinson77
95
Q4 - 1:31MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant77
95
Q4 - 1:31MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones77
95
Q4 - 1:31ATLAbdur-Rahim P.FOUL (P3.PN)77
95
Q4 - 1:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42ATLMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48MIAAllen 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51MIAMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)77
93
Q4 - 2:26MIAAllen 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 6 AST)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49ATLAbdur-Rahim 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS)77
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55MIAGrant P.FOUL (P2.T3)75
91
Q4 - 3:06MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06ATLJackson P.FOUL (P2.PN)75
89
Q4 - 3:09ATLRatliff P.FOUL (P4.T4)75
89
Q4 - 3:20MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler75
89
Q4 - 3:20MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)75
89
Q4 - 3:24ATLTerry Layup (13 PTS) (Robinson 5 AST)75
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44ATLRatliff 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Robinson 4 AST)73
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19ATLAbdur-Rahim Tip Shot (17 PTS)71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22ATLMISS Ratliff 17' Jump Shot69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:49ATLAllen STEAL (1 STL)69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (James 5 AST)69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:18ATLJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)69
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 5:37MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)69
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 5:37MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)69
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 5:37MIASUB: Allen FOR Ellis69
84
Q4 - 5:37MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)69
84
Q4 - 5:37ATLTerry S.FOUL (P4.T3)69
84
Q4 - 5:53MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 5:55ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 19' Jump Shot69
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 6:16MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)69
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q4 - 6:27MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q4 - 6:29ATLMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q4 - 6:43ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q4 - 6:45MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot69
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q4 - 7:01MIASUB: Grant FOR Stepania69
81
Q4 - 7:01ATLSUB: Abdur-Rahim FOR Henderson69
81
Q4 - 7:01ATLJackson P.FOUL (P1.T2)69
81
Q4 - 7:01ATLJones STEAL (2 STL)69
2.1%
81
97.9%
Q4 - 7:26MIAEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 4 AST)69
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q4 - 7:46ATLTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)69
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q4 - 7:56MIASUB: Jones FOR Butler66
78
Q4 - 7:56ATLSUB: Terry FOR Glover66
78
Q4 - 7:5666
78
Q4 - 8:00MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)66
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q4 - 8:21ATLRobinson 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS)66
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q4 - 8:36ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q4 - 8:39ATLMISS Glover 20' Jump Shot64
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q4 - 9:05MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)64
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q4 - 9:05MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)64
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q4 - 9:05ATLRatliff P.FOUL (P3.T1)64
76
Q4 - 9:28ATLHenderson Driving Layup (8 PTS)64
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q4 - 9:53MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)62
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q4 - 10:13ATLGlover Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q4 - 10:13ATLGlover Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)61
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q4 - 10:13MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.T2)60
74
Q4 - 10:23MIAButler Foul Turnover (P2.T8)60
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q4 - 10:23MIAButler OFF.Foul (P3)60
74
Q4 - 10:26MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q4 - 10:28ATLMISS Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q4 - 10:30ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
3.0%
74
97.0%
Q4 - 10:32ATLMISS Glover 21' Jump Shot60
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q4 - 10:49MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones60
74
Q4 - 10:49MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.T1)60
74
Q4 - 10:56MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)60
2.9%
74
97.1%
Q4 - 11:07MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
4.3%
72
95.7%
Q4 - 11:10ATLMISS Henderson 20' Jump Shot60
4.5%
72
95.5%
Q4 - 11:22ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
5.2%
72
94.8%
Q4 - 11:23MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q4 - 11:42ATLHenderson 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)60
4.2%
72
95.8%
Q4 - 12:0058
72
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL58
3.4%
72
96.6%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
3.8%
72
96.2%
Q3 - 0:21.0ATLSUB: Robinson FOR Ham58
71
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
4.0%
71
96.0%
Q3 - 0:21.0ATLAbdur-Rahim L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)58
70
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAHEAT Rebound58
4.8%
70
95.2%
Q3 - 0:22.0ATLMISS Terry 20' Jump Shot58
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAJames Reverse Layup (9 PTS)58
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0ATLTerry Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)58
7.0%
68
93.0%
Q3 - 0:47.0ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
8.3%
68
91.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Butler Dunk58
7.8%
68
92.2%
Q3 - 1:07MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
7.4%
68
92.6%
Q3 - 1:08ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 258
7.5%
68
92.5%
Q3 - 1:08ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)58
8.6%
68
91.4%
Q3 - 1:08MIAEllis S.FOUL (P2.T4)57
68
Q3 - 1:25MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)57
7.2%
68
92.8%
Q3 - 1:25ATLGlover S.FOUL (P2.T4)57
67
Q3 - 1:25MIAJones 6' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)57
8.7%
67
91.3%
Q3 - 1:32MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant57
65
Q3 - 1:32MIASUB: James FOR Best57
65
Q3 - 1:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)57
10.5%
65
89.5%
Q3 - 1:42ATLMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
11.0%
65
89.0%
Q3 - 1:48ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
12.3%
65
87.7%
Q3 - 1:50MIAMISS Best Driving Layup57
11.7%
65
88.3%
Q3 - 2:05ATLGlover 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ham 1 AST)57
11.0%
65
89.0%
Q3 - 2:10ATLHam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
9.3%
65
90.7%
Q3 - 2:12ATLMISS Glover 21' Jump Shot55
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 2:33MIAButler 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)55
9.2%
65
90.8%
Q3 - 2:51ATLTerry Driving Layup (8 PTS)55
10.9%
63
89.1%
Q3 - 3:02MIABest 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)53
9.7%
63
90.3%
Q3 - 3:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)53
11.3%
61
88.7%
Q3 - 3:15ATLGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)53
11.9%
61
88.1%
Q3 - 3:21ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
13.3%
61
86.7%
Q3 - 3:23ATLMISS Terry Layup53
11.9%
61
88.1%
Q3 - 3:30MIASUB: Ellis FOR Allen53
61
Q3 - 3:30MIAAllen P.FOUL (P4.T3)53
61
Q3 - 3:49MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)53
13.3%
61
86.7%
Q3 - 4:01MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)53
59
Q3 - 4:01ATLSUB: Henderson FOR Ratliff53
59
Q3 - 4:01ATLSUB: Ham FOR Robinson53
59
Q3 - 4:01ATLRobinson P.FOUL (P3.T3)53
59
Q3 - 4:19ATLAbdur-Rahim 6' Hook Shot (14 PTS)53
15.6%
59
84.4%
Q3 - 4:30MIAGrant Violation:Kicked Ball51
59
Q3 - 4:43ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
13.8%
59
86.2%
Q3 - 4:45MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot51
13.0%
59
87.0%
Q3 - 4:59MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)51
11.5%
59
88.5%
Q3 - 5:01ATLMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
12.6%
59
87.4%
Q3 - 5:18MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 3 AST)51
14.0%
59
86.0%
Q3 - 5:34ATLGlover Layup (8 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 1 AST)51
15.9%
57
84.1%
Q3 - 5:41ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
14.0%
57
86.0%
Q3 - 5:43MIAMISS Jones Dunk49
13.4%
57
86.6%
Q3 - 5:58ATLAbdur-Rahim 5' Hook Shot (12 PTS)49
11.9%
57
88.1%
Q3 - 6:12MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)47
10.8%
57
89.2%
Q3 - 6:18ATLGrant STEAL (2 STL)47
9.2%
57
90.8%
Q3 - 6:39MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)47
10.8%
57
89.2%
Q3 - 6:39MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
11.0%
56
89.0%
Q3 - 6:39ATLGlover S.FOUL (P1.T2)47
55
Q3 - 6:48ATLAbdur-Rahim Foul Turnover (P4.T14)47
12.3%
55
87.7%
Q3 - 6:48ATLAbdur-Rahim OFF.Foul (P1)47
55
Q3 - 7:02ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)47
14.6%
55
85.4%
Q3 - 7:04MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup47
14.0%
55
86.0%
Q3 - 7:08MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)47
12.7%
55
87.3%
Q3 - 7:10ATLMISS Terry Driving Layup47
13.3%
55
86.7%
Q3 - 7:15ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
14.6%
55
85.4%
Q3 - 7:17MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot47
14.0%
55
86.0%
Q3 - 7:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
12.7%
55
87.3%
Q3 - 7:37ATLBest BLOCK (1 BLK)47
13.3%
55
86.7%
Q3 - 7:59MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)47
14.6%
55
85.4%
Q3 - 7:59MIAHEAT Rebound47
54
Q3 - 7:59MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 247
14.9%
54
85.1%
Q3 - 7:59ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)47
54
Q3 - 7:59ATLRatliff S.FOUL (P2.T1)47
54
Q3 - 8:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
14.7%
54
85.3%
Q3 - 8:05ATLMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot47
15.3%
54
84.7%
Q3 - 8:26MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Best 2 AST)47
16.8%
54
83.2%
Q3 - 8:35MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
18.9%
52
81.1%
Q3 - 8:37ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 18' Jump Shot47
19.6%
52
80.4%
Q3 - 8:53MIABest 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)47
21.5%
52
78.5%
Q3 - 9:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
24.0%
50
76.0%
Q3 - 9:11ATLMISS Robinson 19' Jump Shot47
24.9%
50
75.1%
Q3 - 9:34MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)47
26.9%
50
73.1%
Q3 - 9:53ATLRobinson 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)47
33.0%
47
67.0%
Q3 - 9:58MIAGrant P.FOUL (P1.T2)45
47
Q3 - 10:14MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Best 1 AST)45
29.7%
47
70.3%
Q3 - 10:30ATLRatliff 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)45
36.0%
44
64.0%
Q3 - 10:43MIAButler P.FOUL (P2.T1)43
44
Q3 - 10:56ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
32.8%
44
67.2%
Q3 - 10:58MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot43
31.8%
44
68.2%
Q3 - 11:06MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
29.5%
44
70.5%
Q3 - 11:09MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot43
31.6%
44
68.4%
Q3 - 11:22ATLRatliff 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
29.5%
44
70.5%
Q3 - 11:23ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)41
26.9%
44
73.1%
Q3 - 11:27ATLMISS Robinson 11' Hook Shot41
24.9%
44
75.1%
Q3 - 11:46MIAGrant Dunk (7 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)41
26.8%
44
73.2%
Q3 - 12:0041
42
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL41
29.5%
42
70.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
32.1%
42
67.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot41
31.4%
42
68.6%
Q2 - 0:21.0ATLRatliff Dunk (2 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)41
29.9%
42
70.1%
Q2 - 0:39.0ATLHawks Rebound39
26.6%
42
73.4%
Q2 - 0:40.0ATLMISS Ratliff Tip Shot39
25.2%
42
74.8%
Q2 - 0:42.0ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
26.6%
42
73.4%
Q2 - 0:44.0ATLMISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot39
25.2%
42
74.8%
Q2 - 1:02MIAButler Driving Layup (4 PTS)39
26.5%
42
73.5%
Q2 - 1:20ATLRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)39
29.9%
40
70.1%
Q2 - 1:28MIASUB: Stepania FOR Allen39
40
Q2 - 1:28MIAAllen P.FOUL (P3.T2)39
40
Q2 - 1:43ATLHawks Rebound39
32.0%
40
68.0%
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
31.3%
40
68.7%
Q2 - 1:57MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)39
40
Q2 - 2:06ATLDickau 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Glover 2 AST)39
29.2%
40
70.8%
Q2 - 2:13ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
24.3%
40
75.7%
Q2 - 2:15MIAMISS Best 19' Jump Shot36
23.6%
40
76.4%
Q2 - 2:39MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
22.0%
40
78.0%
Q2 - 2:41MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot36
23.6%
40
76.4%
Q2 - 2:58ATLJones STEAL (1 STL)36
22.0%
40
78.0%
Q2 - 3:14MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)36
24.4%
40
75.6%
Q2 - 3:18ATLDickau Violation:Kicked Ball36
37
Q2 - 3:38ATLGlover Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)36
28.9%
37
71.1%
Q2 - 3:38MIASUB: Best FOR James35
37
Q2 - 3:38MIAAllen S.FOUL (P2.T1)35
37
Q2 - 3:38ATLGlover Driving Layup (5 PTS)35
26.4%
37
73.6%
Q2 - 3:47ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
24.4%
37
75.6%
Q2 - 3:48MIAMISS Allen 10' Jump Shot33
23.6%
37
76.4%
Q2 - 4:07ATLAbdur-Rahim 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)33
21.9%
37
78.1%
Q2 - 4:28MIASUB: Jones FOR Butler31
37
Q2 - 4:28MIASUB: Grant FOR Stepania31
37
Q2 - 4:28ATLHawks Rebound31
20.0%
37
80.0%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 231
19.7%
37
80.3%
Q2 - 4:29MIAHEAT Rebound31
37
Q2 - 4:29MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 231
18.5%
37
81.5%
Q2 - 4:29ATLSUB: Dickau FOR Terry31
37
Q2 - 4:29ATLTerry S.FOUL (P3.PN)31
37
Q2 - 4:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
18.0%
37
82.0%
Q2 - 4:35ATLMISS Robinson 18' Jump Shot31
18.6%
37
81.4%
Q2 - 4:46ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
20.0%
37
80.0%
Q2 - 4:48MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
19.4%
37
80.6%
Q2 - 4:57ATLRobinson P.FOUL (P2.T4)31
37
Q2 - 5:14ATLAbdur-Rahim 4' Driving Hook Shot (8 PTS)31
18.4%
37
81.6%
Q2 - 5:33ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
37
Q2 - 5:34MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 129
16.4%
37
83.6%
Q2 - 5:3429
37
Q2 - 5:34ATLRobinson S.FOUL (P1.T3)29
37
Q2 - 5:34MIAButler Driving Layup (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)29
16.6%
37
83.4%
Q2 - 5:38MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
18.4%
35
81.6%
Q2 - 5:39ATLMISS Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
18.9%
35
81.1%
Q2 - 5:44ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
20.1%
35
79.9%
Q2 - 5:46MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
19.6%
35
80.4%
Q2 - 5:53MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
18.3%
35
81.7%
Q2 - 5:55ATLMISS Robinson 6' Hook Shot29
18.9%
35
81.1%
Q2 - 6:10MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 2 AST)29
20.6%
35
79.4%
Q2 - 6:23ATLAbdur-Rahim 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)29
24.2%
32
75.8%
Q2 - 6:42MIAJames Driving Layup (7 PTS)27
22.5%
32
77.5%
Q2 - 6:51MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)27
24.2%
30
75.8%
Q2 - 6:53MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
26.0%
30
74.0%
Q2 - 7:10MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones27
30
Q2 - 7:10MIASUB: Allen FOR Ellis27
30
Q2 - 7:10ATLRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)27
24.3%
30
75.7%
Q2 - 7:10ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
26.5%
30
73.5%
Q2 - 7:13MIAMISS Ellis 14' Jump Shot27
25.8%
30
74.2%
Q2 - 7:32ATLRobinson 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)27
24.2%
30
75.8%
Q2 - 7:48ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
22.3%
30
77.7%
Q2 - 7:50MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
21.7%
30
78.3%
Q2 - 8:14ATLGlover 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)25
20.6%
30
79.4%
Q2 - 8:29MIAJames Layup (5 PTS)22
17.2%
30
82.8%
Q2 - 8:32ATLJames STEAL (1 STL)22
18.8%
28
81.2%
Q2 - 8:42MIAEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)22
20.5%
28
79.5%
Q2 - 8:57ATLAbdur-Rahim Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)22
18.8%
28
81.2%
Q2 - 9:08ATLSUB: Robinson FOR Mohammed22
28
Q2 - 9:08ATLSUB: Ratliff FOR Henderson22
28
Q2 - 9:09ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)22
28
Q2 - 9:17MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)22
20.5%
28
79.5%
Q2 - 9:34MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
22.3%
26
77.7%
Q2 - 9:35ATLMISS Mohammed 15' Jump Shot22
22.9%
26
77.1%
Q2 - 9:47MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)22
24.3%
26
75.7%
Q2 - 9:47ATLSUB: Terry FOR Dickau22
25
Q2 - 9:47MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)22
24.8%
25
75.2%
Q2 - 9:47ATLMohammed S.FOUL (P2.T2)22
24
Q2 - 10:01MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
26.4%
24
73.6%
Q2 - 10:02ATLMISS Dickau 15' Jump Shot22
27.0%
24
73.0%
Q2 - 10:20MIAEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)22
28.5%
24
71.5%
Q2 - 10:38ATLDickau Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)22
32.9%
21
67.1%
Q2 - 10:49MIAButler Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)22
35.3%
21
64.7%
Q2 - 10:56ATLEllis STEAL (2 STL)22
32.9%
21
67.1%
Q2 - 11:12MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
35.2%
21
64.8%
Q2 - 11:12MIAHEAT Rebound22
20
Q2 - 11:12MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 222
35.7%
20
64.3%
Q2 - 11:12ATLMohammed S.FOUL (P1.T1)22
20
Q2 - 11:19MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
35.2%
20
64.8%
Q2 - 11:21ATLMISS Henderson 9' Hook Shot22
35.9%
20
64.1%
Q2 - 11:41MIAButler 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
37.6%
20
62.4%
Q2 - 12:0022
18
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
40.0%
18
60.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound22
40.0%
18
60.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Ellis 44' 3PT Jump Shot22
41.7%
18
58.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLEllis STEAL (1 STL)22
39.5%
18
60.5%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
41.3%
18
58.7%
Q1 - 0:13.0ATLSUB: Terry FOR Benjamin22
17
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
41.7%
17
58.3%
Q1 - 0:13.0ATLBenjamin P.FOUL (P2.PN)22
16
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
44.3%
16
55.7%
Q1 - 0:16.0ATLMISS Robinson 8' Hook Shot22
44.9%
16
55.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)22
46.2%
16
53.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0ATLHenderson Layup (4 PTS)22
51.7%
13
48.3%
Q1 - 0:47.0ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
48.7%
13
51.3%
Q1 - 0:48.0ATLMISS Dickau 9' Jump Shot20
47.4%
13
52.6%
Q1 - 0:52.0ATLDickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
48.7%
13
51.3%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
48.1%
13
51.9%
Q1 - 1:10ATLHenderson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dickau 1 AST)20
46.1%
13
53.9%
Q1 - 1:19MIAEllis L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)18
13
Q1 - 1:19ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
43.1%
13
56.9%
Q1 - 1:21ATLMISS Mohammed 12' Jump Shot18
42.0%
13
58.0%
Q1 - 1:41MIAButler Running Dunk (2 PTS)18
43.1%
13
56.9%
Q1 - 1:57MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler18
11
Q1 - 1:57ATLBenjamin Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)18
46.2%
11
53.8%
Q1 - 2:09ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
47.4%
11
52.6%
Q1 - 2:11MIAMISS Stepania Layup18
46.8%
11
53.2%
Q1 - 2:12MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
45.5%
11
54.5%
Q1 - 2:14MIAMISS Stepania 5' Hook Shot18
46.8%
11
53.2%
Q1 - 2:15MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
45.5%
11
54.5%
Q1 - 2:19MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot18
46.8%
11
53.2%
Q1 - 2:33ATLMohammed Layup (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)18
45.5%
11
54.5%
Q1 - 2:48MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
42.8%
11
57.2%
Q1 - 2:48MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
43.2%
10
56.8%
Q1 - 2:48ATLBenjamin S.FOUL (P1.T4)16
9
Q1 - 2:55MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant16
9
Q1 - 2:55ATLSUB: Dickau FOR Terry16
9
Q1 - 2:55ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)16
9
Q1 - 3:07MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
45.0%
9
55.0%
Q1 - 3:09ATLMISS Henderson 18' Jump Shot16
45.7%
9
54.3%
Q1 - 3:16ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
47.3%
9
52.7%
Q1 - 3:18MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot16
46.6%
9
53.4%
Q1 - 3:31MIASUB: Ellis FOR Allen16
9
Q1 - 3:31ATLTerry Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)16
45.0%
9
55.0%
Q1 - 3:32ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
47.3%
9
52.7%
Q1 - 3:33ATLJames BLOCK (1 BLK)16
45.7%
9
54.3%
Q1 - 3:48MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)16
47.3%
9
52.7%
Q1 - 4:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)16
47.4%
7
52.6%
Q1 - 4:06ATLMISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot16
48.0%
7
52.0%
Q1 - 4:19MIASUB: James FOR Best16
7
Q1 - 4:19ATLSUB: Benjamin FOR Glover16
7
Q1 - 4:19MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)16
49.5%
7
50.5%
Q1 - 4:33ATLTerry 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
47.2%
7
52.8%
Q1 - 4:39ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
45.3%
7
54.7%
Q1 - 4:41MIAMISS Best Driving Layup14
44.6%
7
55.4%
Q1 - 4:50MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
43.1%
7
56.9%
Q1 - 4:52ATLMISS Glover 16' Jump Shot14
43.8%
7
56.2%
Q1 - 5:12MIABest Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)14
44.7%
7
55.3%
Q1 - 5:18MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
42.5%
7
57.5%
Q1 - 5:20ATLMISS Robinson Reverse Layup14
43.2%
7
56.8%
Q1 - 5:30ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
44.6%
7
55.4%
Q1 - 5:32MIAMISS Butler 8' Running Jump Shot14
43.9%
7
56.1%
Q1 - 5:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
42.4%
7
57.6%
Q1 - 5:39ATLMISS Robinson 15' Jump Shot14
43.0%
7
57.0%
Q1 - 5:46ATLTerry Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)14
44.4%
7
55.6%
Q1 - 5:46ATLSUB: Mohammed FOR Abdur-Rahim13
7
Q1 - 5:46ATLSUB: Henderson FOR Ratliff13
7
Q1 - 5:46MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 1)13
7
Q1 - 5:46MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Allen )13
7
Q1 - 6:03MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)13
41.8%
7
58.2%
Q1 - 6:28ATLTerry Driving Layup (3 PTS)13
43.3%
5
56.7%
Q1 - 6:31ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
41.6%
5
58.4%
Q1 - 6:33MIAMISS Best Finger Roll11
41.0%
5
59.0%
Q1 - 6:39ATLGrant STEAL (1 STL)11
39.7%
5
60.3%
Q1 - 6:53ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
41.4%
5
58.6%
Q1 - 6:54MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 211
41.2%
5
58.8%
Q1 - 6:54MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
40.0%
5
60.0%
Q1 - 6:54ATLTerry S.FOUL (P2.T3)11
4
Q1 - 6:54MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
41.3%
4
58.7%
Q1 - 6:55MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot11
42.6%
4
57.4%
Q1 - 7:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
40.9%
4
59.1%
Q1 - 7:05ATLMISS Ratliff 16' Jump Shot11
41.4%
4
58.6%
Q1 - 7:19ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
42.5%
4
57.5%
Q1 - 7:21MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot11
41.9%
4
58.1%
Q1 - 7:33ATLRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)11
40.5%
4
59.5%
Q1 - 7:33ATLRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
40.3%
4
59.7%
Q1 - 7:33MIAButler S.FOUL (P1.T2)9
4
Q1 - 7:55MIAGrant 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)9
38.9%
4
61.1%
Q1 - 8:03MIAHEAT Rebound9
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 8:04MIAMISS Allen 5' Jump Shot9
41.0%
2
59.0%
Q1 - 8:05MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
39.9%
2
60.1%
Q1 - 8:07MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot9
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 8:16ATLTerry P.FOUL (P1.T2)9
2
Q1 - 8:19ATLHawks Turnover: Backcourt (T#2)9
39.7%
2
60.3%
Q1 - 8:22ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
41.1%
2
58.9%
Q1 - 8:24MIAMISS Best Driving Layup9
40.6%
2
59.4%
Q1 - 8:37ATLAbdur-Rahim Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)9
39.4%
2
60.6%
Q1 - 8:48ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
40.6%
2
59.4%
Q1 - 8:50MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
40.1%
2
59.9%
Q1 - 8:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
39.1%
2
60.9%
Q1 - 8:59MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot9
39.9%
2
60.1%
Q1 - 9:09MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 0 Short 1)9
2
Q1 - 9:18ATLRobinson 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)9
38.3%
2
61.7%
Q1 - 9:29MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)7
36.9%
2
63.1%
Q1 - 9:45ATLRatliff P.FOUL (P1.T1)7
2
Q1 - 9:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
35.6%
2
64.4%
Q1 - 9:52ATLMISS Terry Free Throw 2 of 27
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 9:52ATLTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 9:52MIAAllen S.FOUL (P1.T1)6
2
Q1 - 9:56MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
35.4%
2
64.6%
Q1 - 10:08ATLAbdur-Rahim Dunk (4 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)6
34.0%
2
66.0%
Q1 - 10:27MIAJones Dunk (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)4
33.3%
2
66.7%
Q1 - 10:34MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
33.9%
0
66.1%
Q1 - 10:36ATLMISS Glover Driving Layup4
34.0%
0
66.0%
Q1 - 10:54ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
34.2%
0
65.8%
Q1 - 10:55MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot4
34.0%
0
66.0%
Q1 - 11:13ATLAbdur-Rahim Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
33.2%
0
66.8%
Q1 - 11:24ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
32.9%
0
67.1%
Q1 - 11:25MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
32.8%
0
67.2%
Q1 - 11:40ATLRobinson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Glover 1 AST)2
32.7%
0
67.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Ratliff: Tip to Robinson0
32.9%
0
67.1%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.94 47.0%
MIA
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
14
20
70%
MIA
9
21
43%
Midrange
ATL
17
45
38%
MIA
16
37
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
MIA
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
Free Throws
ATL
8
10
80%
MIA
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Abdur-Rahim1968%9.5 / 14
J. Terry1346%6.5 / 14
G. Robinson1232%6.0 / 19
D. Glover1255%6.0 / 11
T. Ratliff857%4.0 / 7
A. Henderson857%4.0 / 7
N. Mohammed450%2.0 / 4
D. Dickau338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2687%13.0 / 15
L. Ellis1568%7.5 / 11
M. James1365%6.5 / 10
B. Grant1146%5.5 / 12
C. Butler932%4.5 / 14
R. Butler956%4.5 / 8
M. Allen836%4.0 / 11
T. Best633%3.0 / 9
V. Stepania225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
73
+11
-19
84
MIA
81
+13
-9
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.94 47.0%
MIA
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.8
94.5
ATL 85.9
MIA 110.0 +24.1
Pace
93.3
90.0
ATL 89.3
MIA 93.1 +3.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.2
ATL 16.1
MIA 15.5 −0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
43.9%
ATL 47.3%
MIA 48.7% +1.4%
TO %
16.9%
14.8%
ATL 20.1%
MIA 9.0% −11.1%
ORB %
27.9%
26.8%
ATL 24.4% +1.1%
MIA 23.3%
FTrt
31.3
25.9
ATL 13.3
MIA 35.4 +22.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.7%
55.8%
ATL 41.2%
MIA 61.8% +20.6%
STL %
7.9%
7.9%
ATL 3.3%
MIA 8.9% +5.6%
BLK %
8.3%
6.4%
ATL 8.6% +4.0%
MIA 4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
46.0%
ATL 47.0%
MIA 52.1% +5.1%
Rim FG%
55.2%
53.7%
ATL 70.0% +27.1%
MIA 42.9%
Mid FG%
41.1%
37.6%
ATL 37.8%
MIA 43.2% +5.4%
3P %
35.2%
31.6%
ATL 30.0%
MIA 42.9% +12.9%
FT %
79.3%
76.5%
ATL 80.0% +1.4%
MIA 78.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.2%
28.9%
ATL 26.7% +0.1%
MIA 26.6%
Mid Att. %
51.1%
54.2%
ATL 60.0%
MIA 46.8% −13.2%
3P Att. %
17.7%
16.9%
ATL 13.3%
MIA 26.6% +13.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions9290
Possession Minutes24.723.2
Points7999
Rebounds4341
Assists1421
Steals38
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals34-7534-79
At-the-Rim FG14-209-21
Midrange FG17-4516-37
2-Point FG31-6525-58
3-Point FG3-109-21
Free Throws8-1022-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 240 · 30
40.0
12
32%
5
5
0
0
6
3
0
5
2-2
100%
5-15
33%
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 225 · 24
35.8
12
55%
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
3-8
38%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 245 · 26
35.7
19
68%
10
1
1
0
5
3
2
8
1-2
50%
9-12
75%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 235 · 30
33.8
8
57%
9
0
0
3
0
4
2
7
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
33.0
13
46%
6
2
1
0
3
4
1
5
2-3
67%
4-9
44%
1-4
25%
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30
17.6
8
57%
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 204 · 27
12.0
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 180 · 24
11.1
3
38%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
C · 6'10" 250 · 25
10.2
4
50%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 25
5.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 30
5.2
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
47%
43
14
3
5
19
0
10
33
8-10
80%
31-65
48%
3-10
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.