FinalWin Prob.pScore
2533%89
79
2467%95
99
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
85.99289.3
MIA logo MIA
110.09093.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0ATLMISS Dickau 18' Jump Shot79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0ATLBenjamin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Stepania Tip Shot79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Butler Layup79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAHEAT Rebound79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot79
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:54.0ATLMohammed 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dickau 2 AST)79
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04MIAStepania Layup (2 PTS) (James 7 AST)77
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21ATLMohammed Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T20)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)77
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)77
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42ATLMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48MIAAllen 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51MIAMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26MIAAllen 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 6 AST)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49ATLAbdur-Rahim 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS)77
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 3:06MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24ATLTerry Layup (13 PTS) (Robinson 5 AST)75
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)73
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44ATLRatliff 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Robinson 4 AST)73
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19ATLAbdur-Rahim Tip Shot (17 PTS)71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22ATLMISS Ratliff 17' Jump Shot69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:49ATLAllen STEAL (1 STL)69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:05MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (James 5 AST)69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:18ATLJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)69
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 5:37MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)69
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 5:37MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)69
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 5:53MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 5:55ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 19' Jump Shot69
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 6:16MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)69
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q4 - 6:27MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
1.2%
81
98.8%
Q4 - 6:29ATLMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
1.3%
81
98.7%
Q4 - 6:43ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q4 - 6:45MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot69
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q4 - 7:01ATLJones STEAL (2 STL)69
1.7%
81
98.3%
Q4 - 7:26MIAEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 4 AST)69
2.2%
81
97.8%
Q4 - 7:46ATLTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)69
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q4 - 8:00MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)66
2.2%
78
97.8%
Q4 - 8:21ATLRobinson 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS)66
2.1%
78
97.9%
Q4 - 8:36ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q4 - 8:39ATLMISS Glover 20' Jump Shot64
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q4 - 9:05MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)64
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q4 - 9:05MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)64
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q4 - 9:28ATLHenderson Driving Layup (8 PTS)64
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q4 - 9:53MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)62
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q4 - 10:13ATLGlover Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
2.9%
74
97.1%
Q4 - 10:13ATLGlover Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)61
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q4 - 10:23MIAButler Foul Turnover (P2.T8)60
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q4 - 10:26MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q4 - 10:28ATLMISS Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q4 - 10:30ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
2.4%
74
97.6%
Q4 - 10:32ATLMISS Glover 21' Jump Shot60
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q4 - 10:56MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)60
2.3%
74
97.7%
Q4 - 11:07MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q4 - 11:10ATLMISS Henderson 20' Jump Shot60
3.6%
72
96.4%
Q4 - 11:22ATLJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
4.1%
72
95.9%
Q4 - 11:23MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q4 - 11:42ATLHenderson 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)60
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL58
2.7%
72
97.3%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
3.2%
71
96.8%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAHEAT Rebound58
3.8%
70
96.2%
Q3 - 0:22.0ATLMISS Terry 20' Jump Shot58
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAJames Reverse Layup (9 PTS)58
4.6%
70
95.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0ATLTerry Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)58
5.5%
68
94.5%
Q3 - 0:47.0ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
6.7%
68
93.3%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Butler Dunk58
6.3%
68
93.7%
Q3 - 1:07MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
6.1%
68
93.9%
Q3 - 1:08ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 258
6.2%
68
93.8%
Q3 - 1:08ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)58
7.1%
68
92.9%
Q3 - 1:25MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)57
6.1%
68
93.9%
Q3 - 1:25MIAJones 6' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)57
7.3%
67
92.7%
Q3 - 1:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)57
8.7%
65
91.3%
Q3 - 1:42ATLMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
9.2%
65
90.8%
Q3 - 1:48ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
10.4%
65
89.6%
Q3 - 1:50MIAMISS Best Driving Layup57
9.8%
65
90.2%
Q3 - 2:05ATLGlover 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ham 1 AST)57
9.1%
65
90.9%
Q3 - 2:10ATLHam REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
7.8%
65
92.2%
Q3 - 2:12ATLMISS Glover 21' Jump Shot55
6.8%
65
93.2%
Q3 - 2:33MIAButler 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)55
7.7%
65
92.3%
Q3 - 2:51ATLTerry Driving Layup (8 PTS)55
9.0%
63
91.0%
Q3 - 3:02MIABest 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)53
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q3 - 3:13MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)53
9.6%
61
90.4%
Q3 - 3:15ATLGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)53
10.1%
61
89.9%
Q3 - 3:21ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
11.4%
61
88.6%
Q3 - 3:23ATLMISS Terry Layup53
10.1%
61
89.9%
Q3 - 3:49MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)53
11.3%
61
88.7%
Q3 - 4:19ATLAbdur-Rahim 6' Hook Shot (14 PTS)53
13.3%
59
86.7%
Q3 - 4:43ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
11.7%
59
88.3%
Q3 - 4:45MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot51
11.1%
59
88.9%
Q3 - 4:59MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)51
9.8%
59
90.2%
Q3 - 5:01ATLMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
10.9%
59
89.1%
Q3 - 5:18MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 3 AST)51
12.1%
59
87.9%
Q3 - 5:34ATLGlover Layup (8 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 1 AST)51
13.8%
57
86.2%
Q3 - 5:41ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
12.1%
57
87.9%
Q3 - 5:43MIAMISS Jones Dunk49
11.5%
57
88.5%
Q3 - 5:58ATLAbdur-Rahim 5' Hook Shot (12 PTS)49
10.3%
57
89.7%
Q3 - 6:12MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)47
9.3%
57
90.7%
Q3 - 6:18ATLGrant STEAL (2 STL)47
8.0%
57
92.0%
Q3 - 6:39MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)47
9.3%
57
90.7%
Q3 - 6:39MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)47
9.5%
56
90.5%
Q3 - 6:48ATLAbdur-Rahim Foul Turnover (P4.T14)47
10.7%
55
89.3%
Q3 - 7:02ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)47
12.8%
55
87.2%
Q3 - 7:04MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup47
12.2%
55
87.8%
Q3 - 7:08MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)47
10.9%
55
89.1%
Q3 - 7:10ATLMISS Terry Driving Layup47
11.4%
55
88.6%
Q3 - 7:15ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
12.7%
55
87.3%
Q3 - 7:17MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot47
12.2%
55
87.8%
Q3 - 7:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
10.9%
55
89.1%
Q3 - 7:37ATLBest BLOCK (1 BLK)47
11.4%
55
88.6%
Q3 - 7:59MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)47
12.7%
55
87.3%
Q3 - 7:59MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 247
13.0%
54
87.0%
Q3 - 8:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
12.8%
54
87.2%
Q3 - 8:05ATLMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot47
13.4%
54
86.6%
Q3 - 8:26MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Best 2 AST)47
14.8%
54
85.2%
Q3 - 8:35MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)47
16.5%
52
83.5%
Q3 - 8:37ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 18' Jump Shot47
17.3%
52
82.7%
Q3 - 8:53MIABest 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)47
19.0%
52
81.0%
Q3 - 9:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
21.1%
50
78.9%
Q3 - 9:11ATLMISS Robinson 19' Jump Shot47
21.9%
50
78.1%
Q3 - 9:34MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)47
23.8%
50
76.2%
Q3 - 9:53ATLRobinson 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)47
29.4%
47
70.6%
Q3 - 10:14MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Best 1 AST)45
26.4%
47
73.6%
Q3 - 10:30ATLRatliff 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)45
31.9%
44
68.1%
Q3 - 10:56ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
29.3%
44
70.7%
Q3 - 10:58MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot43
28.3%
44
71.7%
Q3 - 11:06MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
26.0%
44
74.0%
Q3 - 11:09MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot43
27.9%
44
72.1%
Q3 - 11:22ATLRatliff 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
26.0%
44
74.0%
Q3 - 11:23ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)41
23.5%
44
76.5%
Q3 - 11:27ATLMISS Robinson 11' Hook Shot41
21.8%
44
78.2%
Q3 - 11:46MIAGrant Dunk (7 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)41
23.5%
44
76.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL41
26.0%
42
74.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
28.4%
42
71.6%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot41
27.9%
42
72.1%
Q2 - 0:21.0ATLRatliff Dunk (2 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)41
26.6%
42
73.4%
Q2 - 0:39.0ATLHawks Rebound39
23.3%
42
76.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0ATLMISS Ratliff Tip Shot39
22.2%
42
77.8%
Q2 - 0:42.0ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)39
23.3%
42
76.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0ATLMISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot39
22.2%
42
77.8%
Q2 - 1:02MIAButler Driving Layup (4 PTS)39
23.3%
42
76.7%
Q2 - 1:20ATLRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)39
26.9%
40
73.1%
Q2 - 1:43ATLHawks Rebound39
28.3%
40
71.7%
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
27.9%
40
72.1%
Q2 - 2:06ATLDickau 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Glover 2 AST)39
26.4%
40
73.6%
Q2 - 2:13ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
21.7%
40
78.3%
Q2 - 2:15MIAMISS Best 19' Jump Shot36
21.1%
40
78.9%
Q2 - 2:39MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
19.8%
40
80.2%
Q2 - 2:41MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot36
21.1%
40
78.9%
Q2 - 2:58ATLJones STEAL (1 STL)36
19.8%
40
80.2%
Q2 - 3:14MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)36
22.0%
40
78.0%
Q2 - 3:38ATLGlover Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)36
26.1%
37
73.9%
Q2 - 3:38ATLGlover Driving Layup (5 PTS)35
23.8%
37
76.2%
Q2 - 3:47ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
22.0%
37
78.0%
Q2 - 3:48MIAMISS Allen 10' Jump Shot33
21.3%
37
78.7%
Q2 - 4:07ATLAbdur-Rahim 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)33
19.9%
37
80.1%
Q2 - 4:28ATLHawks Rebound31
18.1%
37
81.9%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 231
17.9%
37
82.1%
Q2 - 4:29MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 231
16.8%
37
83.2%
Q2 - 4:33MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
16.5%
37
83.5%
Q2 - 4:35ATLMISS Robinson 18' Jump Shot31
17.0%
37
83.0%
Q2 - 4:46ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
18.1%
37
81.9%
Q2 - 4:48MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
17.6%
37
82.4%
Q2 - 5:14ATLAbdur-Rahim 4' Driving Hook Shot (8 PTS)31
16.5%
37
83.5%
Q2 - 5:34MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 129
14.9%
37
85.1%
Q2 - 5:34MIAButler Driving Layup (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)29
15.1%
37
84.9%
Q2 - 5:38MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
16.5%
35
83.5%
Q2 - 5:39ATLMISS Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
17.0%
35
83.0%
Q2 - 5:44ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
18.3%
35
81.7%
Q2 - 5:46MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
17.7%
35
82.3%
Q2 - 5:53MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
16.5%
35
83.5%
Q2 - 5:55ATLMISS Robinson 6' Hook Shot29
17.0%
35
83.0%
Q2 - 6:10MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 2 AST)29
18.6%
35
81.4%
Q2 - 6:23ATLAbdur-Rahim 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)29
21.7%
32
78.3%
Q2 - 6:42MIAJames Driving Layup (7 PTS)27
20.3%
32
79.7%
Q2 - 6:51MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)27
21.7%
30
78.3%
Q2 - 6:53MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
23.3%
30
76.7%
Q2 - 7:10ATLRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)27
22.1%
30
77.9%
Q2 - 7:10ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
24.1%
30
75.9%
Q2 - 7:13MIAMISS Ellis 14' Jump Shot27
23.5%
30
76.5%
Q2 - 7:32ATLRobinson 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)27
22.1%
30
77.9%
Q2 - 7:48ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
20.5%
30
79.5%
Q2 - 7:50MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
19.9%
30
80.1%
Q2 - 8:14ATLGlover 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)25
18.7%
30
81.3%
Q2 - 8:29MIAJames Layup (5 PTS)22
15.9%
30
84.1%
Q2 - 8:32ATLJames STEAL (1 STL)22
17.2%
28
82.8%
Q2 - 8:42MIAEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)22
18.9%
28
81.1%
Q2 - 8:57ATLAbdur-Rahim Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)22
17.2%
28
82.8%
Q2 - 9:17MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)22
18.9%
28
81.1%
Q2 - 9:34MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
20.3%
26
79.7%
Q2 - 9:35ATLMISS Mohammed 15' Jump Shot22
20.9%
26
79.1%
Q2 - 9:47MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)22
22.2%
26
77.8%
Q2 - 9:47MIAEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)22
22.7%
25
77.3%
Q2 - 10:01MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
23.9%
24
76.1%
Q2 - 10:02ATLMISS Dickau 15' Jump Shot22
24.5%
24
75.5%
Q2 - 10:20MIAEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)22
26.0%
24
74.0%
Q2 - 10:38ATLDickau Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)22
29.7%
21
70.3%
Q2 - 10:49MIAButler Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)22
32.1%
21
67.9%
Q2 - 10:56ATLEllis STEAL (2 STL)22
29.7%
21
70.3%
Q2 - 11:12MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
31.5%
21
68.5%
Q2 - 11:12MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 222
31.9%
20
68.1%
Q2 - 11:19MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
31.5%
20
68.5%
Q2 - 11:21ATLMISS Henderson 9' Hook Shot22
32.2%
20
67.8%
Q2 - 11:41MIAButler 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
33.7%
20
66.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
35.9%
18
64.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound22
35.9%
18
64.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Ellis 44' 3PT Jump Shot22
37.5%
18
62.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLEllis STEAL (1 STL)22
35.8%
18
64.2%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
37.4%
18
62.6%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
37.8%
17
62.2%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
40.2%
16
59.8%
Q1 - 0:16.0ATLMISS Robinson 8' Hook Shot22
40.8%
16
59.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)22
42.0%
16
58.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0ATLHenderson Layup (4 PTS)22
47.2%
13
52.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)20
44.3%
13
55.7%
Q1 - 0:48.0ATLMISS Dickau 9' Jump Shot20
43.1%
13
56.9%
Q1 - 0:52.0ATLDickau REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
44.3%
13
55.7%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
43.8%
13
56.2%
Q1 - 1:10ATLHenderson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dickau 1 AST)20
42.4%
13
57.6%
Q1 - 1:19ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
39.6%
13
60.4%
Q1 - 1:21ATLMISS Mohammed 12' Jump Shot18
38.4%
13
61.6%
Q1 - 1:41MIAButler Running Dunk (2 PTS)18
39.6%
13
60.4%
Q1 - 1:57ATLBenjamin Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)18
42.4%
11
57.6%
Q1 - 2:09ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
44.3%
11
55.7%
Q1 - 2:11MIAMISS Stepania Layup18
43.6%
11
56.4%
Q1 - 2:12MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
42.1%
11
57.9%
Q1 - 2:14MIAMISS Stepania 5' Hook Shot18
43.6%
11
56.4%
Q1 - 2:15MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
42.1%
11
57.9%
Q1 - 2:19MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot18
43.6%
11
56.4%
Q1 - 2:33ATLMohammed Layup (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)18
42.2%
11
57.8%
Q1 - 2:48MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
39.7%
11
60.3%
Q1 - 2:48MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
40.1%
10
59.9%
Q1 - 3:07MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
41.1%
9
58.9%
Q1 - 3:09ATLMISS Henderson 18' Jump Shot16
41.8%
9
58.2%
Q1 - 3:16ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
43.6%
9
56.4%
Q1 - 3:18MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot16
42.8%
9
57.2%
Q1 - 3:31ATLTerry Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)16
41.1%
9
58.9%
Q1 - 3:32ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
43.6%
9
56.4%
Q1 - 3:33ATLJames BLOCK (1 BLK)16
41.9%
9
58.1%
Q1 - 3:48MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)16
43.6%
9
56.4%
Q1 - 4:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)16
44.7%
7
55.3%
Q1 - 4:06ATLMISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot16
45.5%
7
54.5%
Q1 - 4:19MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)16
47.4%
7
52.6%
Q1 - 4:33ATLTerry 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
44.7%
7
55.3%
Q1 - 4:39ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
43.0%
7
57.0%
Q1 - 4:41MIAMISS Best Driving Layup14
42.2%
7
57.8%
Q1 - 4:50MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
40.4%
7
59.6%
Q1 - 4:52ATLMISS Glover 16' Jump Shot14
41.2%
7
58.8%
Q1 - 5:12MIABest Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)14
41.6%
7
58.4%
Q1 - 5:18MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
39.4%
7
60.6%
Q1 - 5:20ATLMISS Robinson Reverse Layup14
40.1%
7
59.9%
Q1 - 5:30ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
41.7%
7
58.3%
Q1 - 5:32MIAMISS Butler 8' Running Jump Shot14
41.0%
7
59.0%
Q1 - 5:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
39.5%
7
60.5%
Q1 - 5:39ATLMISS Robinson 15' Jump Shot14
40.2%
7
59.8%
Q1 - 5:46ATLTerry Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)14
41.8%
7
58.2%
Q1 - 6:03MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)13
38.8%
7
61.2%
Q1 - 6:28ATLTerry Driving Layup (3 PTS)13
40.7%
5
59.3%
Q1 - 6:31ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
38.8%
5
61.2%
Q1 - 6:33MIAMISS Best Finger Roll11
38.2%
5
61.8%
Q1 - 6:39ATLGrant STEAL (1 STL)11
36.9%
5
63.1%
Q1 - 6:53ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
38.8%
5
61.2%
Q1 - 6:54MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 211
38.6%
5
61.4%
Q1 - 6:54MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
37.3%
5
62.7%
Q1 - 6:54MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
38.8%
4
61.2%
Q1 - 6:55MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot11
40.2%
4
59.8%
Q1 - 7:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
37.6%
4
62.4%
Q1 - 7:05ATLMISS Ratliff 16' Jump Shot11
38.2%
4
61.8%
Q1 - 7:19ATLRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 7:21MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot11
39.1%
4
60.9%
Q1 - 7:33ATLRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)11
37.7%
4
62.3%
Q1 - 7:33ATLRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)10
37.5%
4
62.5%
Q1 - 7:55MIAGrant 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)9
36.2%
4
63.8%
Q1 - 8:03MIAHEAT Rebound9
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 8:04MIAMISS Allen 5' Jump Shot9
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 8:05MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 8:07MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot9
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 8:19ATLHawks Turnover: Backcourt (T#2)9
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 8:22ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 8:24MIAMISS Best Driving Layup9
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 8:37ATLAbdur-Rahim Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)9
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 8:48ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 8:50MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 8:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 8:59MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot9
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 9:18ATLRobinson 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS)9
37.1%
2
62.9%
Q1 - 9:29MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)7
35.9%
2
64.1%
Q1 - 9:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
33.7%
2
66.3%
Q1 - 9:52ATLMISS Terry Free Throw 2 of 27
34.0%
2
66.0%
Q1 - 9:52ATLTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
35.2%
2
64.8%
Q1 - 9:56MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
34.2%
2
65.8%
Q1 - 10:08ATLAbdur-Rahim Dunk (4 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)6
32.0%
2
68.0%
Q1 - 10:27MIAJones Dunk (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)4
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 10:34MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
32.0%
0
68.0%
Q1 - 10:36ATLMISS Glover Driving Layup4
32.5%
0
67.5%
Q1 - 10:54ATLRatliff REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
33.9%
0
66.1%
Q1 - 10:55MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot4
33.3%
0
66.7%
Q1 - 11:13ATLAbdur-Rahim Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
31.9%
0
68.1%
Q1 - 11:24ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.3%
0
69.7%
Q1 - 11:25MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
29.8%
0
70.2%
Q1 - 11:40ATLRobinson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Glover 1 AST)2
28.8%
0
71.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Ratliff: Tip to Robinson0
27.3%
0
72.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.94 47.0%
MIA
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
14
20
70%
MIA
9
21
43%
Midrange
ATL
17
45
38%
MIA
16
37
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
MIA
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
Free Throws
ATL
8
10
80%
MIA
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Abdur-Rahim1968%9.5 / 14
J. Terry1346%6.5 / 14
G. Robinson1232%6.0 / 19
D. Glover1255%6.0 / 11
T. Ratliff857%4.0 / 7
A. Henderson857%4.0 / 7
N. Mohammed450%2.0 / 4
D. Dickau338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2687%13.0 / 15
L. Ellis1568%7.5 / 11
M. James1365%6.5 / 10
B. Grant1146%5.5 / 12
C. Butler932%4.5 / 14
R. Butler956%4.5 / 8
M. Allen836%4.0 / 11
T. Best633%3.0 / 9
V. Stepania225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
73
+11
-19
84
MIA
81
+13
-9
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.94 47.0%
MIA
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
99.8
94.5
ATL 85.9 +24.1
MIA 110.0
Pace
93.3
90.0
ATL 89.3
MIA 93.1 +3.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.2
ATL 16.1
MIA 15.5 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.6%
43.9%
ATL 47.3%
MIA 48.7% +1.4%
TO %
16.9%
14.8%
ATL 20.1%
MIA 9.0% +11.1%
ORB %
27.9%
26.8%
ATL 24.4% +1.1%
MIA 23.3%
FTrt
31.3
25.9
ATL 13.3
MIA 35.4 +22.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.7%
55.8%
ATL 41.2%
MIA 61.8% +20.6%
STL %
7.9%
7.9%
ATL 3.3%
MIA 8.9% +5.6%
BLK %
8.3%
6.4%
ATL 8.6% +4.0%
MIA 4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.1%
46.0%
ATL 47.0%
MIA 52.1% +5.1%
Rim FG%
55.2%
53.7%
ATL 70.0% +27.1%
MIA 42.9%
Mid FG%
41.1%
37.6%
ATL 37.8%
MIA 43.2% +5.4%
3P %
35.2%
31.6%
ATL 30.0%
MIA 42.9% +12.9%
FT %
79.3%
76.5%
ATL 80.0% +1.4%
MIA 78.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.2%
28.9%
ATL 26.7% +0.1%
MIA 26.6%
Mid Att. %
51.1%
54.2%
ATL 60.0%
MIA 46.8% +13.2%
3P Att. %
17.7%
16.9%
ATL 13.3%
MIA 26.6% +13.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions9290
Possession Minutes24.723.2
Points7999
Rebounds4341
Assists1421
Steals38
Blocks53
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals34-7534-79
At-the-Rim FG14-209-21
Midrange FG17-4516-37
2-Point FG31-6525-58
3-Point FG3-109-21
Free Throws8-1022-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 240 · 30
40.0
12
32%
5
5
0
0
6
3
0
5
2-2
100%
5-15
33%
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 225 · 24
35.8
12
55%
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
3-8
38%
1-1
100%
F · 6'9" 245 · 26
35.7
19
68%
10
1
1
0
5
3
2
8
1-2
50%
9-12
75%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 235 · 30
33.8
8
57%
9
0
0
3
0
4
2
7
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
33.0
13
46%
6
2
1
0
3
4
1
5
2-3
67%
4-9
44%
1-4
25%
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 30
17.6
8
57%
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 204 · 27
12.0
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 180 · 24
11.1
3
38%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
C · 6'10" 250 · 25
10.2
4
50%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 25
5.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 30
5.2
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
47%
43
14
3
5
19
0
10
33
8-10
80%
31-65
48%
3-10
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.