Final Win Prob. pScore
149%101
92
451%102
90
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo Mavericks
108.28581.4
UTA logo Jazz
105.98589.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA92
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0UTAJAZZ Rebound92
99.3%
90
0.7%
Q4 - 0:00.0UTAMISS Harpring 14' Running Jump Shot92
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0DALVan Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)92
82.3%
90
17.7%
Q4 - 0:29.0DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)89
90
Q4 - 0:29.0UTAKirilenko Layup (10 PTS) (Stockton 5 AST)89
43.4%
90
56.6%
Q4 - 0:32.0UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
62.5%
88
37.5%
Q4 - 0:35.0UTAMISS Padgett 23' Jump Shot89
77.0%
88
23.0%
Q4 - 0:49.0UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
60.9%
88
39.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0UTAMISS Harpring 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
71.7%
88
28.3%
Q4 - 1:14UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
60.1%
88
39.9%
Q4 - 1:15DALMISS Nash 16' Jump Shot89
64.6%
88
35.4%
Q4 - 1:35DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
72.4%
88
27.6%
Q4 - 1:36UTAMISS Padgett 17' Jump Shot89
68.5%
88
31.5%
Q4 - 1:55UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)89
58.1%
88
41.9%
Q4 - 1:57DALMISS Van Exel 13' Running Jump Shot89
62.2%
88
37.8%
Q4 - 2:15UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)89
72.5%
88
27.5%
Q4 - 2:15UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)89
74.3%
87
25.7%
Q4 - 2:15DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)89
86
Q4 - 2:15DALVan Exel S.FOUL (P1.T4)89
86
Q4 - 2:15UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
78.2%
86
21.8%
Q4 - 2:15UTAMISS Malone 17' Jump Shot89
85.3%
86
14.7%
Q4 - 2:18DALMalone STEAL (1 STL)89
78.2%
86
21.8%
Q4 - 2:19DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)89
87.7%
86
12.3%
Q4 - 2:22UTAMISS Stockton Layup89
85.4%
86
14.6%
Q4 - 2:31UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)89
78.2%
86
21.8%
Q4 - 2:32UTAMISS Stockton 22' Jump Shot89
85.5%
86
14.5%
Q4 - 2:52DALFinley 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)89
77.0%
86
23.0%
Q4 - 3:17UTAPadgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stockton 4 AST)87
71.3%
86
28.7%
Q4 - 3:34UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
80.4%
83
19.6%
Q4 - 3:36DALMISS Finley 10' Running Jump Shot87
82.4%
83
17.6%
Q4 - 3:53UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)87
86.5%
83
13.5%
Q4 - 3:53UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)87
87.4%
82
12.6%
Q4 - 3:53UTASUB: Padgett FOR Massenburg87
81
Q4 - 3:53DALLaFrentz S.FOUL (P5.T3)87
81
Q4 - 4:11DALVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)87
90.3%
81
9.7%
Q4 - 4:20DALNash Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (20 PTS)84
81.7%
81
18.3%
Q4 - 4:20DALMavericks Rebound83
81
Q4 - 4:20DALMISS Nash Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 283
81.1%
81
18.9%
Q4 - 4:20UTAMassenburg FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P2.PN)83
81
Q4 - 4:32DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
75.2%
81
24.8%
Q4 - 4:34UTAMISS Kirilenko 20' Jump Shot83
72.7%
81
27.3%
Q4 - 4:40UTASUB: Kirilenko FOR Cheaney83
81
Q4 - 5:03DALNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)83
64.3%
81
35.7%
Q4 - 5:15UTAHarpring L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)80
81
Q4 - 5:15DALMavericks Rebound80
48.2%
81
51.8%
Q4 - 5:15UTAMISS Harpring 20' Jump Shot80
45.5%
81
54.5%
Q4 - 5:34DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)80
39.5%
81
60.5%
Q4 - 5:44UTAMalone Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)77
25.1%
81
74.9%
Q4 - 5:48DALSUB: Finley FOR Williams77
81
Q4 - 5:48UTAJAZZ Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)77
81
Q4 - 6:11UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
21.8%
81
78.2%
Q4 - 6:13DALStockton BLOCK (1 BLK)77
23.5%
81
76.5%
Q4 - 6:29UTAJAZZ Violation: Delay of game Violation77
81
Q4 - 6:31UTAMassenburg REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)77
27.6%
81
72.4%
Q4 - 6:31UTAMassenburg Slam Dunk (11 PTS)77
27.6%
81
72.4%
Q4 - 6:32UTAMISS Malone Driving Layup77
38.9%
79
61.1%
Q4 - 6:53UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
33.7%
79
66.3%
Q4 - 6:54DALMISS Nowitzki 22' Jump Shot77
35.9%
79
64.1%
Q4 - 7:03UTAHarpring 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Stockton 3 AST)77
42.2%
79
57.8%
Q4 - 7:28DALNowitzki Driving Layup (25 PTS)77
55.5%
76
44.5%
Q4 - 7:40UTAMassenburg P.FOUL (P1.T3)75
76
Q4 - 7:53DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
49.1%
76
50.9%
Q4 - 7:53UTAMISS Cheaney Free Throw 2 of 275
48.1%
76
51.9%
Q4 - 7:53UTASUB: Harpring FOR Kirilenko75
76
Q4 - 7:53UTACheaney Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)75
44.1%
76
55.9%
Q4 - 7:53DALWilliams S.FOUL (P3.T2)75
75
Q4 - 8:10DALLaFrentz 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)75
49.4%
75
50.6%
Q4 - 8:27UTAStockton 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)73
42.7%
75
57.3%
Q4 - 8:44UTAJAZZ Rebound73
73
Q4 - 8:44UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 273
49.3%
73
50.7%
Q4 - 8:44UTAJAZZ Rebound73
73
Q4 - 8:44UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 273
44.1%
73
55.9%
Q4 - 8:44UTASUB: Stockton FOR Jackson73
73
Q4 - 8:4473
73
Q4 - 8:44DALWilliams FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P2.T1)73
73
Q4 - 8:58DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (LaFrentz 2 AST)73
49.3%
73
50.7%
Q4 - 9:19UTAMalone 15' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)71
43.4%
73
56.6%
Q4 - 9:39DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)71
49.7%
71
50.3%
Q4 - 9:39UTAKirilenko S.FOUL (P1.T2)70
71
Q4 - 9:39DALNowitzki Layup (20 PTS)70
43.6%
71
56.4%
Q4 - 9:52UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)68
37.5%
71
62.5%
Q4 - 10:14UTASUB: Malone FOR Padgett68
71
Q4 - 10:14DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)68
33.2%
71
66.8%
Q4 - 10:14DALMavericks Rebound68
38.3%
71
61.7%
Q4 - 10:14DALMISS Nash 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
34.7%
71
65.3%
Q4 - 10:42UTAPadgett 16' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)68
38.3%
71
61.7%
Q4 - 10:56UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)68
43.9%
69
56.1%
Q4 - 10:58UTAMISS Cheaney 9' Jump Shot68
47.7%
69
52.3%
Q4 - 11:19DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (18 PTS)68
44.3%
69
55.7%
Q4 - 11:29DALSUB: LaFrentz FOR Bradley66
69
Q4 - 11:29UTAJackson P.FOUL (P1.T1)66
69
Q4 - 11:44UTAMassenburg Driving Dunk (9 PTS)66
38.8%
69
61.2%
Q4 - 12:0066
67
Q3 - 0:00.0UTA66
44.3%
67
55.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
44.3%
67
55.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0UTAMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot66
47.7%
67
52.3%
Q3 - 0:10.0UTAMassenburg REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)66
44.6%
67
55.4%
Q3 - 0:12.0DALMISS Nowitzki 4' Running Jump Shot66
46.0%
67
54.0%
Q3 - 0:29.0UTAMassenburg Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)66
49.1%
67
50.9%
Q3 - 0:29.0DALSUB: Nash FOR Griffin66
66
Q3 - 0:29.0UTAJAZZ Rebound66
66
Q3 - 0:29.0DALSUB: Williams FOR LaFrentz66
66
Q3 - 0:29.0UTAMISS Massenburg Free Throw 1 of 266
50.4%
66
49.6%
Q3 - 0:29.0DALLaFrentz S.FOUL (P4.T3)66
66
Q3 - 0:32.0UTAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
49.7%
66
50.3%
Q3 - 0:35.0DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)66
54.2%
66
45.8%
Q3 - 0:35.0DALKirilenko BLOCK (3 BLK)66
51.1%
66
48.9%
Q3 - 0:37.0DALJackson BLOCK (1 BLK)66
51.1%
66
48.9%
Q3 - 1:04UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
53.8%
66
46.2%
Q3 - 1:04UTAHarpring Layup (17 PTS)66
53.8%
66
46.2%
Q3 - 1:06UTAMISS Massenburg 12' Jump Shot66
62.0%
64
38.0%
Q3 - 1:09UTAMassenburg REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
59.1%
64
40.9%
Q3 - 1:11UTAMISS Kirilenko 13' Jump Shot66
62.0%
64
38.0%
Q3 - 1:34DALFinley 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS)66
59.1%
64
40.9%
Q3 - 1:58DALSUB: Griffin FOR Rigaudeau64
64
Q3 - 1:58DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)64
64
Q3 - 1:58UTAKirilenko Slam Dunk (8 PTS)64
53.8%
64
46.2%
Q3 - 2:02DALKirilenko STEAL (2 STL)64
58.3%
62
41.7%
Q3 - 2:17DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
62.8%
62
37.2%
Q3 - 2:19UTAMISS Padgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
61.5%
62
38.5%
Q3 - 2:27DALHarpring STEAL (2 STL)64
58.4%
62
41.6%
Q3 - 2:46UTAKirilenko Dunk (6 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)64
62.8%
62
37.2%
Q3 - 3:01DALLaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rigaudeau 3 AST)64
66.5%
60
33.5%
Q3 - 3:16DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
58.4%
60
41.6%
Q3 - 3:18DALMISS Nowitzki 23' Jump Shot61
55.1%
60
44.9%
Q3 - 3:25UTASUB: Padgett FOR Ostertag61
60
Q3 - 3:27DALMavericks Rebound61
58.3%
60
41.7%
Q3 - 3:29DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
55.1%
60
44.9%
Q3 - 3:52UTAKirilenko Layup (4 PTS) (Harpring 2 AST)61
58.3%
60
41.7%
Q3 - 4:02UTAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
61.6%
58
38.4%
Q3 - 4:04DALMISS Rigaudeau 21' Jump Shot61
63.1%
58
36.9%
Q3 - 4:23UTAHarpring 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Massenburg 2 AST)61
66.4%
58
33.6%
Q3 - 4:36UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
73.1%
55
26.9%
Q3 - 4:38DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
74.3%
55
25.7%
Q3 - 4:40DALRigaudeau REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
76.9%
55
23.1%
Q3 - 4:42DALMISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
74.3%
55
25.7%
Q3 - 4:48DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
76.9%
55
23.1%
Q3 - 4:50UTAMISS Ostertag 15' Jump Shot61
75.8%
55
24.2%
Q3 - 5:07DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)61
72.0%
55
28.0%
Q3 - 5:07UTASUB: Massenburg FOR Malone60
55
Q3 - 5:07DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)60
71.6%
55
28.4%
Q3 - 5:07UTAMalone S.FOUL (P4.T3)59
55
Q3 - 5:09DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
69.0%
55
31.0%
Q3 - 5:11DALMISS LaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
66.1%
55
33.9%
Q3 - 5:23DALSUB: Rigaudeau FOR Bell59
55
Q3 - 5:23UTASUB: Jackson FOR Stockton59
55
Q3 - 5:23UTASUB: Kirilenko FOR Cheaney59
55
Q3 - 5:23UTAJAZZ Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)59
55
Q3 - 5:23UTAMalone L.B.FOUL (P3.T2)59
55
Q3 - 5:23DALMavericks Rebound59
69.0%
55
31.0%
Q3 - 5:25UTAMISS Stockton 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
67.8%
55
32.2%
Q3 - 5:31UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
64.9%
55
35.1%
Q3 - 5:33DALMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot59
66.2%
55
33.8%
Q3 - 5:39DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
69.1%
55
30.9%
Q3 - 5:42UTAMISS Malone 6' Jump Shot59
67.8%
55
32.2%
Q3 - 5:58UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
64.9%
55
35.1%
Q3 - 5:59DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot59
66.2%
55
33.8%
Q3 - 6:15DALSUB: Van Exel FOR Nash59
55
Q3 - 6:15UTAOstertag P.FOUL (P3.T1)59
55
Q3 - 6:15DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
68.4%
55
31.6%
Q3 - 6:16UTAMISS Harpring 15' Jump Shot59
67.2%
55
32.8%
Q3 - 6:24DALSUB: LaFrentz FOR Bradley59
55
Q3 - 6:24DALNash P.FOUL (P1.T2)59
55
Q3 - 6:39UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
64.5%
55
35.5%
Q3 - 6:40DALMISS Bell 18' Jump Shot59
65.7%
55
34.3%
Q3 - 6:59UTAHarpring Layup (12 PTS) (Cheaney 3 AST)59
68.4%
55
31.6%
Q3 - 7:03DALStockton STEAL (2 STL)59
70.4%
53
29.6%
Q3 - 7:18UTAOstertag 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Malone 5 AST)59
73.7%
53
26.3%
Q3 - 7:38DALBradley 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)59
76.5%
51
23.5%
Q3 - 7:55UTACheaney 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)57
73.8%
51
26.2%
Q3 - 8:05UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
75.8%
49
24.2%
Q3 - 8:07DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot57
76.7%
49
23.3%
Q3 - 8:20UTAOstertag Foul Turnover (P2.T12)57
78.7%
49
21.3%
Q3 - 8:20UTAOstertag OFF.Foul (P2)57
49
Q3 - 8:33UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
75.8%
49
24.2%
Q3 - 8:34DALMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot57
76.7%
49
23.3%
Q3 - 8:53UTAMalone 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)57
78.7%
49
21.3%
Q3 - 9:14DALNash Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)57
80.5%
47
19.5%
Q3 - 9:35UTAOstertag 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)57
82.8%
47
17.2%
Q3 - 9:56DALNowitzki Layup (14 PTS) (Bell 4 AST)57
80.6%
47
19.4%
Q3 - 10:10UTAHarpring 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
77.4%
47
22.6%
Q3 - 10:16UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
79.8%
45
20.2%
Q3 - 10:17DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
80.5%
45
19.5%
Q3 - 10:27UTAHarpring Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)55
82.0%
45
18.0%
Q3 - 10:27UTAJAZZ Rebound55
44
Q3 - 10:27UTAMISS Harpring Free Throw 1 of 255
82.4%
44
17.6%
Q3 - 10:27DALBradley S.FOUL (P3.T1)55
44
Q3 - 10:47DALBell Dunk (4 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)55
82.0%
44
18.0%
Q3 - 10:51UTAHarpring Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)53
79.8%
44
20.2%
Q3 - 10:58UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
77.4%
44
22.6%
Q3 - 11:01DALOstertag BLOCK (1 BLK)53
77.5%
44
22.5%
Q3 - 11:23UTACheaney 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Malone 4 AST)53
79.3%
44
20.7%
Q3 - 11:46DALBradley 2' Hook Shot (2 PTS)53
81.4%
42
18.6%
Q3 - 11:48DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
79.3%
42
20.7%
Q3 - 11:49DALMISS Bradley Layup51
77.6%
42
22.4%
Q3 - 12:0051
42
Q2 - 0:00.0UTA51
79.3%
42
20.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
76.6%
42
23.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
77.1%
42
22.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0DALSUB: Rigaudeau FOR Griffin51
42
Q2 - 0:08.0DALSUB: Van Exel FOR Bradley51
42
Q2 - 0:08.0DALNash Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)51
78.3%
42
21.7%
Q2 - 0:08.0UTAMalone T.FOUL (P2.T2)50
42
Q2 - 0:08.0UTAMalone P.FOUL (P2.T2)50
42
Q2 - 0:27.0UTAStockton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Massenburg 1 AST)50
76.0%
42
24.0%
Q2 - 0:30.0UTAMassenburg REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
81.1%
39
18.9%
Q2 - 0:32.0DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
81.6%
39
18.4%
Q2 - 0:34.0DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
82.6%
39
17.4%
Q2 - 0:37.0DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
81.6%
39
18.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
82.6%
39
17.4%
Q2 - 0:45.0UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
81.1%
39
18.9%
Q2 - 0:45.0UTAMISS Harpring Layup50
82.2%
39
17.8%
Q2 - 0:47.0UTAMISS Harpring Layup50
82.2%
39
17.8%
Q2 - 1:10DALFinley 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS)50
80.6%
39
19.4%
Q2 - 1:24UTAMassenburg REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
77.9%
39
22.1%
Q2 - 1:24UTAMassenburg Dunk (6 PTS)48
77.9%
39
22.1%
Q2 - 1:28UTAMISS Harpring 8' Jump Shot48
81.6%
37
18.4%
Q2 - 1:53DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)48
80.6%
37
19.4%
Q2 - 2:09UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
75.2%
37
24.8%
Q2 - 2:09DALSUB: Griffin FOR Rigaudeau45
36
Q2 - 2:09UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
75.7%
36
24.3%
Q2 - 2:09UTASUB: Kirilenko FOR Cheaney45
35
Q2 - 2:09DALRigaudeau P.FOUL (P2.PN)45
35
Q2 - 2:20UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
77.5%
35
22.5%
Q2 - 2:21DALMISS Rigaudeau 18' Jump Shot45
78.2%
35
21.8%
Q2 - 2:34UTACheaney Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)45
35
Q2 - 2:34UTAJump Ball Cheaney vs. Bradley: Tip to Nash45
79.7%
35
20.3%
Q2 - 2:34UTASUB: Massenburg FOR Padgett45
35
Q2 - 2:34UTAJAZZ Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)45
35
Q2 - 2:35UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
77.5%
35
22.5%
Q2 - 2:37UTAMISS Cheaney Layup45
79.0%
35
20.9%
Q2 - 2:47DALNash 15' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)45
77.5%
35
22.5%
Q2 - 3:01UTAHarpring Layup (7 PTS) (Malone 3 AST)43
75.0%
35
25.0%
Q2 - 3:25DALNowitzki Dunk (12 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)43
76.9%
33
23.1%
Q2 - 3:27DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
75.0%
33
25.0%
Q2 - 3:28UTAMISS Padgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
74.2%
33
25.8%
Q2 - 3:49DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Rigaudeau 2 AST)41
72.2%
33
27.8%
Q2 - 4:06UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
66.7%
33
33.3%
Q2 - 4:06UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
67.3%
32
32.7%
Q2 - 4:06DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR LaFrentz38
31
Q2 - 4:06DALRigaudeau P.FOUL (P1.PN)38
31
Q2 - 4:09UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
69.2%
31
30.8%
Q2 - 4:11DALMISS Rigaudeau 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
70.1%
31
29.9%
Q2 - 4:23UTAHarpring Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)38
72.0%
31
28.0%
Q2 - 4:23UTAJAZZ Rebound38
30
Q2 - 4:23UTAMISS Harpring Free Throw 1 of 238
72.4%
30
27.6%
Q2 - 4:23DALLaFrentz S.FOUL (P3.T4)38
30
Q2 - 4:35UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
71.8%
30
28.2%
Q2 - 4:37DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
74.4%
30
25.6%
Q2 - 4:37DALMISS LaFrentz Tip Shot38
72.6%
30
27.4%
Q2 - 4:38DALMISS Rigaudeau 19' Jump Shot38
72.6%
30
27.4%
Q2 - 4:45DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
74.4%
30
25.6%
Q2 - 4:47UTAMISS Harpring 3PT Jump Shot38
73.6%
30
26.4%
Q2 - 5:11DALNash 16' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)38
71.6%
30
28.4%
Q2 - 5:23UTAPadgett Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Stockton 2 AST)36
69.0%
30
31.0%
Q2 - 5:40UTASUB: Harpring FOR Kirilenko36
28
Q2 - 5:40UTASUB: Malone FOR Massenburg36
28
Q2 - 5:40DALSUB: LaFrentz FOR Williams36
28
Q2 - 5:40DALBradley L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)36
28
Q2 - 5:40UTAJAZZ Rebound36
71.6%
28
28.4%
Q2 - 5:41DALMassenburg BLOCK (1 BLK)36
72.3%
28
27.7%
Q2 - 5:58UTAPadgett Layup (6 PTS) (Cheaney 2 AST)36
73.9%
28
26.1%
Q2 - 6:04DALStockton STEAL (1 STL)36
75.2%
26
24.8%
Q2 - 6:20UTAMassenburg 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cheaney 1 AST)36
77.7%
26
22.3%
Q2 - 6:32DALFinley 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Rigaudeau 1 AST)36
79.3%
24
20.7%
Q2 - 6:47DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
77.7%
24
22.3%
Q2 - 6:49UTAMISS Cheaney Layup34
77.0%
24
23.0%
Q2 - 7:07DALBradley Foul Turnover (P1.T4)34
75.1%
24
24.9%
Q2 - 7:07DALBradley OFF.Foul (P1)34
24
Q2 - 7:15DALMavericks Rebound34
24
Q2 - 7:15UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw Technical34
77.2%
24
22.8%
Q2 - 7:15DALSUB: Bradley FOR Nowitzki34
24
Q2 - 7:15DALSUB: Rigaudeau FOR Bell34
24
Q2 - 7:15DALSUB: Nash FOR Van Exel34
24
Q2 - 7:15DALVan Exel T.FOUL (P0.T2)34
24
Q2 - 7:15DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)34
24
Q2 - 7:24UTACheaney 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
77.2%
24
22.8%
Q2 - 7:33UTAMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
79.0%
22
21.0%
Q2 - 7:35DALMISS Van Exel 17' Fadeaway Jumper34
79.6%
22
20.4%
Q2 - 7:49UTAStockton Driving Layup (2 PTS)34
80.9%
22
19.1%
Q2 - 8:03UTAMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
81.8%
20
18.2%
Q2 - 8:06DALKirilenko BLOCK (2 BLK)34
82.3%
20
17.7%
Q2 - 8:21DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
83.4%
20
16.6%
Q2 - 8:23UTAMISS Massenburg 8' Jump Shot34
82.9%
20
17.1%
Q2 - 8:37UTAJAZZ Rebound34
81.9%
20
18.1%
Q2 - 8:37DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
82.4%
20
17.6%
Q2 - 8:5034
20
Q2 - 8:50UTAJAZZ Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)34
83.4%
20
16.6%
Q2 - 9:04DALFinley P.FOUL (P1.T2)34
20
Q2 - 9:18DALVan Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bell 3 AST)34
81.2%
20
18.8%
Q2 - 9:23UTASUB: Stockton FOR Jackson31
20
Q2 - 9:23UTACheaney P.FOUL (P1.T1)31
20
Q2 - 9:28DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
77.7%
20
22.3%
Q2 - 9:30DALMISS Finley 4' Running Jump Shot31
76.4%
20
23.6%
Q2 - 9:44UTAPadgett 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)31
77.7%
20
22.3%
Q2 - 10:02DALFinley 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS)31
78.9%
18
21.1%
Q2 - 10:15UTAMassenburg 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
77.2%
18
22.8%
Q2 - 10:29UTACheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
78.9%
16
21.1%
Q2 - 10:30DALMISS Nowitzki Layup29
79.5%
16
20.5%
Q2 - 10:44UTAPadgett Foul Turnover (P1.T7)29
80.7%
16
19.3%
Q2 - 10:44UTAPadgett OFF.Foul (P1)29
16
Q2 - 10:44UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
79.0%
16
21.0%
Q2 - 10:46UTAMISS Cheaney 20' Jump Shot29
80.2%
16
19.8%
Q2 - 10:54DALWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T1)29
16
Q2 - 10:59UTAMassenburg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
79.0%
16
21.0%
Q2 - 11:00DALMISS Van Exel 20' Jump Shot29
79.5%
16
20.5%
Q2 - 11:23UTAPadgett 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)29
80.0%
16
20.0%
Q2 - 11:41UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
81.6%
14
18.4%
Q2 - 11:43DALMISS Nowitzki 21' Jump Shot29
82.1%
14
17.9%
Q2 - 12:0029
14
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL29
83.1%
14
16.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound29
83.1%
14
16.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Van Exel 5' Jump Shot29
82.1%
14
17.9%
Q1 - 0:18.0UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)29
81.9%
14
18.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0DALGriffin 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)29
80.8%
14
19.2%
Q1 - 0:48.0DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
78.9%
14
21.1%
Q1 - 0:50.0UTAMISS Harpring 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
78.5%
14
21.5%
Q1 - 1:09DALVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)27
76.9%
14
23.1%
Q1 - 1:27UTAKirilenko Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)24
72.8%
14
27.2%
Q1 - 1:33DALKirilenko STEAL (1 STL)24
75.2%
12
24.8%
Q1 - 1:59UTAMalone 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)24
76.4%
12
23.6%
Q1 - 2:16DALHarpring STEAL (1 STL)24
77.8%
10
22.2%
Q1 - 2:39UTAHarpring Layup (4 PTS) (Malone 2 AST)24
79.1%
10
20.9%
Q1 - 2:47DALSUB: Bradley FOR LaFrentz24
8
Q1 - 2:47DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)24
8
Q1 - 2:47DALLaFrentz P.FOUL (P2.T3)24
8
Q1 - 2:53UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
80.9%
8
19.1%
Q1 - 2:55DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
81.2%
8
18.8%
Q1 - 3:16UTAHarpring Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)24
82.0%
8
18.0%
Q1 - 3:26DALSUB: Griffin FOR Bell24
8
Q1 - 3:26DALBell P.FOUL (P1.T2)24
8
Q1 - 3:45DALFinley Layup (7 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)24
80.6%
8
19.4%
Q1 - 3:51UTAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
79.1%
8
20.9%
Q1 - 3:56UTAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
77.6%
8
22.4%
Q1 - 3:58DALKirilenko BLOCK (1 BLK)22
78.1%
8
21.9%
Q1 - 4:04DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
76.3%
8
23.7%
Q1 - 4:05UTAMISS Malone 18' Jump Shot22
75.8%
8
24.2%
Q1 - 4:20UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
74.6%
8
25.4%
Q1 - 4:22DALMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
75.1%
8
24.9%
Q1 - 4:47UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
75.8%
8
24.2%
Q1 - 4:47UTAMalone 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
75.8%
8
24.2%
Q1 - 4:49UTAMISS Harpring 20' Jump Shot22
78.0%
6
22.1%
Q1 - 5:02DALNowitzki 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS)22
76.0%
6
24.0%
Q1 - 5:24UTAJackson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Malone 1 AST)20
74.5%
6
25.5%
Q1 - 5:41DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)20
75.3%
4
24.7%
Q1 - 5:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
74.0%
4
26.0%
Q1 - 5:53UTAMISS Kirilenko 18' Jump Shot18
73.5%
4
26.5%
Q1 - 6:06DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)18
72.0%
4
28.0%
Q1 - 6:06DALSUB: Van Exel FOR Nash17
4
Q1 - 6:06UTASUB: Jackson FOR Stockton17
4
Q1 - 6:06UTASUB: Kirilenko FOR Cheaney17
4
Q1 - 6:06UTAOstertag S.FOUL (P1.T2)17
4
Q1 - 6:06DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
70.6%
4
29.4%
Q1 - 6:15DALBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
69.0%
4
31.0%
Q1 - 6:17UTAMISS Malone 6' Running Hook Shot15
68.5%
4
31.5%
Q1 - 6:28UTAJAZZ Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)15
4
Q1 - 6:36DALBell 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)15
67.1%
4
32.9%
Q1 - 6:50UTAMalone Foul Turnover (P1.T3)13
65.4%
4
34.6%
Q1 - 6:50UTAMalone OFF.Foul (P1)13
4
Q1 - 7:04DALNash 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bell 2 AST)13
63.4%
4
36.6%
Q1 - 7:15UTAStockton P.FOUL (P1.T1)10
4
Q1 - 7:25UTAHarpring Layup (2 PTS) (Stockton 1 AST)10
60.2%
4
39.8%
Q1 - 7:35UTAJAZZ Rebound10
61.3%
2
38.7%
Q1 - 7:36DALMISS Nash 13' Jump Shot10
61.8%
2
38.2%
Q1 - 7:44DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
62.7%
2
37.3%
Q1 - 7:46UTAMISS Harpring 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
62.2%
2
37.8%
Q1 - 8:00DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
60.8%
2
39.2%
Q1 - 8:19UTAMalone 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Harpring 1 AST)10
61.6%
2
38.4%
Q1 - 8:29UTAOstertag REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
62.6%
0
37.4%
Q1 - 8:31DALMISS LaFrentz 18' Jump Shot10
62.9%
0
37.1%
Q1 - 8:39DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
63.4%
0
36.6%
Q1 - 8:41UTAMISS Ostertag 5' Jump Shot10
63.0%
0
37.0%
Q1 - 8:49UTAJump Ball Malone vs. Bell: Tip to Cheaney10
0
Q1 - 9:11DALLaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)10
60.6%
0
39.4%
Q1 - 9:21DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
58.0%
0
42.0%
Q1 - 9:23UTAMISS Cheaney 19' Jump Shot7
57.6%
0
42.4%
Q1 - 9:34UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
56.6%
0
43.4%
Q1 - 9:36DALMISS Finley 13' Jump Shot7
56.8%
0
43.2%
Q1 - 9:40DALMavericks Rebound7
57.3%
0
42.7%
Q1 - 9:40DALHarpring BLOCK (1 BLK)7
56.7%
0
43.3%
Q1 - 9:45UTAHarpring Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)7
57.1%
0
42.9%
Q1 - 10:07DALFinley Driving Layup (5 PTS)7
54.8%
0
45.2%
Q1 - 10:11DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
53.9%
0
46.1%
Q1 - 10:13UTAMISS Malone Layup5
53.6%
0
46.4%
Q1 - 10:30DALNash Driving Layup (2 PTS)5
52.5%
0
47.5%
Q1 - 10:46DALBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
51.4%
0
48.6%
Q1 - 10:50UTAMISS Stockton 16' Jump Shot3
51.1%
0
48.9%
Q1 - 11:01DALLaFrentz P.FOUL (P1.T1)3
0
Q1 - 11:16DALFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)3
49.9%
0
50.1%
Q1 - 11:24DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
49.1%
0
50.9%
Q1 - 11:26UTAMISS Ostertag 8' Jump Hook Shot0
49.0%
0
51.0%
Q1 - 11:39UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.8%
0
51.2%
Q1 - 11:41DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
48.9%
0
51.1%
Q1 - 11:49UTAStockton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
48.9%
0
51.1%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Ostertag vs. LaFrentz: Tip to Stockton0
48.8%
0
51.2%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDALUTA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.03 51.7%
UTA
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
9
19
47%
UTA
16
24
67%
Midrange
DAL
16
36
44%
UTA
17
41
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
12
18.0
29
41%
62%
UTA
4
6.0
11
36%
55%
Free Throws
DAL
6
7
86%
UTA
12
19
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2548%12.5 / 26
S. Nash2083%10.0 / 12
M. Finley1753%8.5 / 16
N. Van Exel1255%6.0 / 11
R. LaFrentz857%4.0 / 7
R. Bell433%2.0 / 6
S. Bradley450%2.0 / 4
A. Griffin2100%1.0 / 1
A. Rigaudeau0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Harpring2048%10.0 / 21
K. Malone1860%9.0 / 15
S. Padgett1365%6.5 / 10
T. Massenburg1169%5.5 / 8
A. Kirilenko1063%5.0 / 8
J. Stockton750%3.5 / 7
C. Cheaney739%3.5 / 9
G. Ostertag225%1.0 / 4
M. Jackson250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
75
+12
-10
87
UTA
72
+15
-13
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.03 51.7%
UTA
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
103.0
DAL 108.2 +2.4
UTA 105.9
Pace
94.9
91.5
DAL 81.4
UTA 89.0 +7.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
16.0
DAL 17.7
UTA 16.2 −1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.8%
48.6%
DAL 51.2%
UTA 51.3% +0.1%
TO %
11.6%
17.3%
DAL 11.2% −3.0%
UTA 14.2%
ORB %
25.5%
32.6%
DAL 20.0%
UTA 37.8% +17.8%
FTrt
25.7
38.0
DAL 8.3
UTA 25.0 +16.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
72.7%
DAL 56.8%
UTA 62.2% +5.4%
STL %
8.5%
9.4%
DAL 9.4% +1.2%
UTA 8.2%
BLK %
8.5%
9.2%
DAL 16.9% +2.4%
UTA 14.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.11 and 3.11.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
51.0%
DAL 51.7% +0.6%
UTA 51.1%
Rim FG%
58.2%
59.8%
DAL 47.4%
UTA 66.7% +19.3%
Mid FG%
40.7%
39.8%
DAL 44.4% +2.9%
UTA 41.5%
3P %
38.1%
34.9%
DAL 41.4% +5.0%
UTA 36.4%
FT %
82.9%
74.5%
DAL 85.7% +22.5%
UTA 63.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
29.6%
37.2%
DAL 22.6%
UTA 31.6% +9.0%
Mid Att. %
46.5%
52.5%
DAL 42.9% −11.1%
UTA 53.9%
3P Att. %
23.9%
10.4%
DAL 34.5% +20.1%
UTA 14.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.
Game TotalsDALUTA
Possessions8585
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points9290
Rebounds3146
Assists2123
Steals87
Blocks118
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)14 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (2)32 (4)
Field Goals37-8437-76
At-the-Rim FG9-1916-24
Midrange FG16-3617-41
2-Point FG25-5533-65
3-Point FG12-294-11
Free Throws6-712-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 7'0" 245 · 25
44.9
25
48%
5
3
3
4
2
0
0
5
4-4
100%
9-16
56%
1-7
14%
G · 6'7" 225 · 30
41.8
17
53%
5
1
0
2
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
7-11
64%
1-5
20%
G · 6'3" 178 · 29
31.4
20
83%
3
6
2
0
2
1
0
3
2-3
67%
3-7
43%
4-5
80%
C · 6'11" 240 · 27
28.2
8
57%
6
2
1
3
1
5
3
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-3
67%
F · 6'5" 210 · 26
19.9
4
33%
2
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 31
29.3
12
55%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-5
0%
4-6
67%
C · 7'6" 275 · 31
16.0
4
50%
3
0
1
1
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 230 · 33
13.0
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 31
8.7
0
0%
1
3
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 29
6.9
2
100%
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 265 · 33
G · 5'11" 185 · 38
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
52%
31
21
8
11
10
0
8
23
6-7
86%
25-55
45%
12-29
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.