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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 5, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Grizzlies19%9484
5Jazz81%104105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 27.3
41.4
29.0
16
48%
13
1
0
1
0
5
6
7
6-8
75%
5-13
4-10
38%
45%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.4
40.5
31.6
4
29%
3
0
2
1
2
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-2
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 23.7
39.9
16.6
16
48%
5
3
3
1
2
7
1
4
2-4
50%
4-12
2-3
33%
44%
2-3
67%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.6
38.5
22.6
17
58%
4
3
0
0
0
2
1
3
2-4
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
44%
3-6
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.6
37.9
38.9
14
44%
11
3
2
1
5
4
6
5
2-4
50%
6-14
7-15
43%
50%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.4
25.1
28.9
3
13%
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-8
5-11
13%
45%
0-3
0%
Mike Batiste
· 6'8" 225 · 25.2
14.5
15.4
9
53%
8
0
0
0
0
2
2
6
1-1
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
42%
0-0
-
Cezary Trybanski
C · 7'2" 240 · 23.4
2.1
2.4
5
73%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
1-1
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 27.2
28.0
1
2-5
44%
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.9
17.1
0
1-3
46%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 27.2
6.9
0
1-2
41%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.2
4.5
0
1-1
46%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 39.5
39.0
35.7
31
68%
6
8
4
2
2
2
3
3
3-4
75%
14-21
7-16
67%
47%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.8
31.4
20.4
7
50%
4
2
1
1
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
51%
1-2
50%
John Stockton
G · 6'1" 175 · 40.9
28.1
28.4
10
42%
8
11
3
2
0
2
3
5
2-2
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
51%
0-2
0%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 29.9
22.7
21.6
10
67%
9
2
0
0
4
0
2
7
0-1
0%
5-7
2-4
71%
52%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 31.6
19.2
31.1
7
70%
1
2
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
4-9
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.0
31.0
27.5
13
55%
1
1
1
1
3
0
0
1
2-4
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
54%
1-3
33%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 21.8
24.6
4.8
6
39%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
2-6
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 35.5
23.9
17.9
11
44%
12
1
0
0
1
1
3
9
5-6
83%
3-10
2-5
30%
48%
0-0
-
Mark Jackson
G · 6'3" 195 · 37.8
16.6
17.0
8
57%
1
5
2
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
4-7
2-3
57%
46%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.5
3.3
1.2
2
100%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.7
28.3
1
5-10
52%
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 32.2
2.9
0
0-1
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.