FinalWin Prob.pScore
565%90
83
2835%86
74
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
89.29399.1
DEN logo DEN
79.69388.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS83
100%
74
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0DENMISS Tskitishvili 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)83
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 282
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0DENWhite Out Of Bounds Turnover (P4.T22)82
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)82
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0SASMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 282
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0SASMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 282
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0SASSpurs Rebound82
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0DENMISS White 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.0SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)82
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 1:08DENBowen 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)80
98.6%
74
1.4%
Q4 - 1:13DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)80
99.0%
72
1.0%
Q4 - 1:16SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
99.2%
72
0.8%
Q4 - 1:35DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)80
99.2%
72
0.8%
Q4 - 1:35DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)80
99.3%
71
0.7%
Q4 - 1:48SASBowen STEAL (1 STL)80
99.4%
70
0.6%
Q4 - 2:01DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)80
99.6%
70
0.4%
Q4 - 2:01DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 280
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 2:05DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)80
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 2:07SASAndersen BLOCK (4 BLK)80
99.6%
69
0.4%
Q4 - 2:27SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)80
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 2:28DENMISS Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 2:38DENHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)80
99.5%
69
0.5%
Q4 - 2:41DENMISS Howard 8' Fadeaway Jumper80
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 3:01SASDuncan 7' Jump Hook Shot (23 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)80
99.3%
69
0.7%
Q4 - 3:33DENHoward 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Whitney 7 AST)78
98.2%
69
1.8%
Q4 - 3:52SASSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)78
98.8%
67
1.2%
Q4 - 4:13DENWhitney Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
97.6%
67
2.4%
Q4 - 4:13DENMISS Whitney Free Throw 1 of 275
97.7%
66
2.3%
Q4 - 4:24DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)75
97.6%
66
2.4%
Q4 - 4:26SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
97.9%
66
2.1%
Q4 - 4:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)75
98.4%
66
1.6%
Q4 - 4:49DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
97.6%
66
2.4%
Q4 - 4:49DENMISS Andersen Follow Up Dunk75
98.2%
66
1.8%
Q4 - 4:51DENMISS Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
98.2%
66
1.8%
Q4 - 5:05SASFerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T21)75
96.7%
66
3.3%
Q4 - 5:28DENHoward Reverse Layup (21 PTS) (Whitney 6 AST)75
97.7%
66
2.3%
Q4 - 5:34DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
98.3%
64
1.7%
Q4 - 5:36SASMISS Ferry 3PT Jump Shot75
98.5%
64
1.5%
Q4 - 5:53DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)75
98.8%
64
1.2%
Q4 - 5:53DENHoward Layup (18 PTS) (Whitney 5 AST)75
99.1%
63
0.9%
Q4 - 5:56DENWhitney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
99.4%
61
0.6%
Q4 - 5:59SASMISS Kerr 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
99.4%
61
0.6%
Q4 - 6:25DENWhitney 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)75
99.3%
61
0.7%
Q4 - 6:32DENBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
99.5%
59
0.5%
Q4 - 6:35SASMISS Ferry 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
99.5%
59
0.5%
Q4 - 6:54DENWhite 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Whitney 4 AST)75
99.6%
59
0.4%
Q4 - 7:04DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
99.6%
57
0.4%
Q4 - 7:06SASMISS Bowen 13' Jump Shot75
99.6%
57
0.4%
Q4 - 7:17SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
99.7%
57
0.3%
Q4 - 7:19DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
99.6%
57
0.4%
Q4 - 7:19DENMISS Andersen Tip Shot75
99.6%
57
0.4%
Q4 - 7:22DENMISS Whitney 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
99.6%
57
0.4%
Q4 - 7:35SASKerr 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)75
99.6%
57
0.4%
Q4 - 7:53DENTskitishvili Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T21)72
99.3%
57
0.7%
Q4 - 8:06SASWhitney STEAL (2 STL)72
98.7%
57
1.3%
Q4 - 8:18DENWhitney Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T20)72
99.0%
57
1.0%
Q4 - 8:21DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
98.7%
57
1.3%
Q4 - 8:24SASMISS Kerr 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
98.8%
57
1.2%
Q4 - 8:30DENWhite Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T19)72
99.0%
57
1.0%
Q4 - 8:47SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P4.T19)72
98.7%
57
1.3%
Q4 - 9:21DENWhite Layup (6 PTS)72
98.8%
57
1.2%
Q4 - 9:26DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
99.0%
55
1.0%
Q4 - 9:28SASAndersen BLOCK (3 BLK)72
99.1%
55
0.9%
Q4 - 9:49DENAndersen 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (White 3 AST)72
99.2%
55
0.8%
Q4 - 10:05SASRose Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Kerr 2 AST)72
99.2%
53
0.8%
Q4 - 10:15DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)70
99.0%
53
1.0%
Q4 - 10:15DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)70
99.1%
52
0.9%
Q4 - 10:34DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)70
99.2%
51
0.8%
Q4 - 10:36SASMISS Kerr 3PT Jump Shot70
99.3%
51
0.7%
Q4 - 10:53DENHarrington Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T18)70
99.4%
51
0.6%
Q4 - 11:14SASDuncan Slam Dunk (21 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)70
99.0%
51
1.0%
Q4 - 11:20SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)68
98.8%
51
1.2%
Q4 - 11:24DENMISS Harrington 21' Jump Shot68
98.7%
51
1.3%
Q4 - 11:35DENNUGGETS Rebound68
98.5%
51
1.5%
Q4 - 11:36DENMISS Tskitishvili 8' Jump Shot68
98.7%
51
1.3%
Q4 - 11:41SASHoward STEAL (2 STL)68
98.5%
51
1.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN68
98.8%
51
1.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound68
98.5%
51
1.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot68
98.7%
51
1.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENNUGGETS Rebound68
98.3%
51
1.7%
Q3 - 0:05.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 268
98.3%
51
1.7%
Q3 - 0:05.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)68
98.5%
51
1.5%
Q3 - 0:12.0SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
98.3%
51
1.7%
Q3 - 0:15.0DENMISS Blount Dunk67
98.1%
51
1.9%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T17)67
97.9%
51
2.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)67
98.3%
51
1.7%
Q3 - 0:34.0SASMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot67
98.0%
51
2.0%
Q3 - 0:50.0DENBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)67
98.3%
51
1.7%
Q3 - 1:00SASBlount STEAL (1 STL)67
97.9%
51
2.1%
Q3 - 1:06SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
98.0%
51
2.0%
Q3 - 1:08DENMISS Bowen 17' Jump Shot67
97.9%
51
2.1%
Q3 - 1:13SASWhitney STEAL (1 STL)67
97.6%
51
2.4%
Q3 - 1:15SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
98.0%
51
2.0%
Q3 - 1:17DENMISS Andersen 21' Jump Shot67
97.9%
51
2.1%
Q3 - 1:27SASRose Layup (10 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)67
97.6%
51
2.4%
Q3 - 1:39SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
97.1%
51
2.9%
Q3 - 1:44DENMISS Blount 6' Jump Hook Shot65
96.9%
51
3.1%
Q3 - 2:10SASDuncan Dunk (19 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)65
95.9%
51
4.1%
Q3 - 2:15SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
95.2%
51
4.8%
Q3 - 2:18DENMISS Howard 13' Turnaround Jump Shot63
94.9%
51
5.1%
Q3 - 2:44SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)63
94.2%
51
5.8%
Q3 - 3:07DENNene Layup (12 PTS) (Whitney 3 AST)60
91.5%
51
8.5%
Q3 - 3:12DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
92.7%
49
7.3%
Q3 - 3:15SASHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)60
93.1%
49
6.9%
Q3 - 3:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)60
93.9%
49
6.1%
Q3 - 3:35DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
92.7%
49
7.3%
Q3 - 3:35DENMISS Nene Tip Shot60
93.6%
49
6.4%
Q3 - 3:37DENMISS White 7' Running Jump Shot60
93.6%
49
6.4%
Q3 - 3:50DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
92.7%
49
7.3%
Q3 - 3:52SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 260
92.9%
49
7.1%
Q3 - 3:52SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)60
93.6%
49
6.4%
Q3 - 4:04DENBowen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)59
92.4%
49
7.6%
Q3 - 4:04DENBowen Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 5 AST)59
93.5%
48
6.5%
Q3 - 4:08DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
94.4%
46
5.6%
Q3 - 4:11DENMISS Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
95.1%
46
4.9%
Q3 - 4:16SASWhite STEAL (1 STL)59
94.4%
46
5.6%
Q3 - 4:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
95.4%
46
4.6%
Q3 - 4:29DENMISS White 16' Jump Shot59
95.1%
46
4.9%
Q3 - 4:46SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)59
94.4%
46
5.6%
Q3 - 4:46SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)58
94.2%
46
5.8%
Q3 - 5:04DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)57
93.1%
46
6.9%
Q3 - 5:04DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)57
93.3%
45
6.7%
Q3 - 5:14DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
94.0%
44
6.0%
Q3 - 5:16SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot57
94.3%
44
5.7%
Q3 - 5:37DENHoward 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)57
95.0%
44
5.0%
Q3 - 5:51SASParker Reverse Layup (18 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)57
95.7%
42
4.3%
Q3 - 6:03DENHoward Backcourt Turnover (P6.T16)55
94.6%
42
5.4%
Q3 - 6:26SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)55
93.6%
42
6.4%
Q3 - 6:26SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 254
93.4%
42
6.6%
Q3 - 6:42SASWillis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)54
93.7%
42
6.3%
Q3 - 6:43DENMISS Harrington 5' Running Jump Shot54
93.4%
42
6.6%
Q3 - 6:58SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)54
92.6%
42
7.4%
Q3 - 7:19SASWillis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)51
89.6%
42
10.4%
Q3 - 7:24SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot51
88.4%
42
11.6%
Q3 - 7:40DENHarrington 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)51
89.7%
42
10.3%
Q3 - 7:59SASParker Free Throw 3 of 3 (13 PTS)51
90.9%
40
9.1%
Q3 - 7:59SASParker Free Throw 2 of 3 (12 PTS)50
90.6%
40
9.4%
Q3 - 7:59SASParker Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)49
90.2%
40
9.8%
Q3 - 8:20DENHoward 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harvey 2 AST)48
88.0%
40
12.0%
Q3 - 8:44SASParker 14' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)48
89.3%
38
10.7%
Q3 - 9:01DENYarbrough Dunk (2 PTS) (Harvey 1 AST)46
87.6%
38
12.4%
Q3 - 9:07SASHarvey STEAL (1 STL)46
89.0%
36
11.0%
Q3 - 9:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
90.4%
36
9.6%
Q3 - 9:21DENMISS Yarbrough Layup46
90.0%
36
10.0%
Q3 - 9:37SASParker 8' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
89.1%
36
10.9%
Q3 - 9:44SASSpurs Rebound44
87.6%
36
12.4%
Q3 - 9:45SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot44
86.4%
36
13.6%
Q3 - 10:06DENNene Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)44
87.5%
36
12.5%
Q3 - 10:12SASYarbrough STEAL (1 STL)44
88.8%
34
11.2%
Q3 - 10:19SASWillis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)44
90.3%
34
9.7%
Q3 - 10:22DENMISS Harvey 6' Turnaround Jump Shot44
89.9%
34
10.1%
Q3 - 10:48SASWillis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
88.8%
34
11.2%
Q3 - 10:48SASWillis Layup (4 PTS)44
88.8%
34
11.2%
Q3 - 10:49SASWillis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
87.5%
34
12.5%
Q3 - 10:49SASMISS Willis Tip Shot42
86.3%
34
13.7%
Q3 - 10:52SASMISS Duncan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot42
86.3%
34
13.7%
Q3 - 11:04SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
87.4%
34
12.6%
Q3 - 11:07DENMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot42
86.9%
34
13.1%
Q3 - 11:14SASParker Driving Layup (6 PTS)42
85.8%
34
14.2%
Q3 - 11:38DENNene Layup (8 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)40
84.1%
34
15.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN40
85.7%
32
14.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound40
85.7%
32
14.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Harrington 38' 3PT Running Jump Shot40
86.9%
32
13.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
85.6%
32
14.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
85.2%
32
14.8%
Q2 - 0:13.0DENWhite 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)38
83.4%
32
16.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
85.7%
30
14.3%
Q2 - 0:33.0SASAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)38
86.0%
30
14.0%
Q2 - 0:51.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
86.8%
30
13.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0DENNene Tip Shot (6 PTS)38
86.8%
30
13.2%
Q2 - 0:52.0DENMISS Whitney 20' Jump Shot38
89.3%
28
10.7%
Q2 - 1:04SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)38
88.4%
28
11.6%
Q2 - 1:04SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)37
88.1%
28
11.9%
Q2 - 1:22DENHarvey Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)36
86.3%
28
13.7%
Q2 - 1:39SASFerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)36
85.5%
28
14.5%
Q2 - 1:58DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)33
81.0%
28
19.0%
Q2 - 2:03DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
79.2%
28
20.8%
Q2 - 2:05SASMISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot33
79.8%
28
20.2%
Q2 - 2:19DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)33
81.1%
28
18.9%
Q2 - 2:19DENHarrington 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (White 2 AST)33
82.9%
27
17.1%
Q2 - 2:23DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
84.8%
25
15.2%
Q2 - 2:27SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot33
85.2%
25
14.8%
Q2 - 2:41DENWhite Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)33
86.2%
25
13.8%
Q2 - 2:52SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)33
84.8%
25
15.2%
Q2 - 3:10DENHarvey 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)33
85.9%
25
14.1%
Q2 - 3:23DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
87.2%
23
12.8%
Q2 - 3:27SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot33
87.6%
23
12.4%
Q2 - 3:43DENHoward Foul Turnover (P5.T12)33
88.6%
23
11.4%
Q2 - 3:56SASBowen Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)33
87.2%
23
12.8%
Q2 - 4:17DENHoward 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)33
88.2%
23
11.8%
Q2 - 4:20DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
89.4%
21
10.6%
Q2 - 4:22DENMISS White 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
90.1%
21
9.9%
Q2 - 4:39SASNene STEAL (1 STL)33
89.4%
21
10.6%
Q2 - 5:00DENNene 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (White 1 AST)33
90.4%
21
9.6%
Q2 - 5:21DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
91.2%
19
8.8%
Q2 - 5:25SASMISS Parker 8' Running Jump Shot33
91.5%
19
8.5%
Q2 - 5:43DENHoward Foul Turnover (P4.T11)33
92.1%
19
7.9%
Q2 - 6:06SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)33
90.9%
19
9.1%
Q2 - 6:17SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
89.1%
19
10.9%
Q2 - 6:21DENMISS White Driving Layup30
88.7%
19
11.3%
Q2 - 6:37SASRose Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)30
87.7%
19
12.3%
Q2 - 6:55DENWhite Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)28
86.8%
19
13.2%
Q2 - 7:15SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)28
84.9%
19
15.1%
Q2 - 7:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
86.3%
19
13.7%
Q2 - 7:19DENMISS White 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
85.9%
19
14.1%
Q2 - 7:25DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
84.9%
19
15.1%
Q2 - 7:29SASAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)28
85.3%
19
14.7%
Q2 - 7:42SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
86.3%
19
13.7%
Q2 - 7:44DENMISS Whitney 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
85.9%
19
14.1%
Q2 - 8:08SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)28
84.5%
19
15.5%
Q2 - 8:24SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
83.4%
19
16.6%
Q2 - 8:26DENMISS Whitney 22' Jump Shot26
82.9%
19
17.1%
Q2 - 8:46SASWillis Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Kerr 1 AST)26
81.7%
19
18.3%
Q2 - 8:51SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
80.3%
19
19.7%
Q2 - 8:54SASMISS Duncan 6' Running Jump Shot24
79.0%
19
21.0%
Q2 - 9:00SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
80.3%
19
19.7%
Q2 - 9:02DENMISS Tskitishvili 19' Jump Shot24
79.5%
19
20.5%
Q2 - 9:20SASKerr 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
78.2%
19
21.8%
Q2 - 9:41DENWhite 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Whitney 2 AST)22
76.7%
19
23.3%
Q2 - 9:47DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
78.2%
17
21.8%
Q2 - 9:49SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot22
78.8%
17
21.2%
Q2 - 10:05DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
79.8%
17
20.2%
Q2 - 10:05DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
80.2%
16
19.8%
Q2 - 10:19SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
81.2%
15
18.8%
Q2 - 10:19SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
80.9%
15
19.1%
Q2 - 10:38DENWhitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)20
79.8%
15
20.2%
Q2 - 10:41DENBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
82.7%
12
17.3%
Q2 - 10:45SASMISS Ginobili 4' Jump Shot20
83.1%
12
16.9%
Q2 - 11:02DENWhitney Foul Turnover (P1.T9)20
83.9%
12
16.1%
Q2 - 11:10DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
82.6%
12
17.4%
Q2 - 11:12SASMISS Willis 9' Jump Shot20
83.0%
12
17.0%
Q2 - 11:25SASSpurs Rebound20
83.9%
12
16.1%
Q2 - 11:27SASBlount BLOCK (1 BLK)20
83.0%
12
17.0%
Q2 - 11:34SASKerr REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
83.9%
12
16.1%
Q2 - 11:36DENMISS Tskitishvili 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
83.5%
12
16.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS20
82.6%
12
17.4%
Q1 - 0:05.0DENBlount 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Whitney 1 AST)20
83.4%
12
16.6%
Q1 - 0:24.0DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
85.0%
10
15.0%
Q1 - 0:26.0SASMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot20
85.3%
10
14.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
85.9%
10
14.1%
Q1 - 0:38.0DENMISS Andersen 6' Jump Shot20
85.7%
10
14.3%
Q1 - 0:47.0SASDuncan Dunk (10 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)20
85.0%
10
15.0%
Q1 - 1:00DENBowen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)18
83.5%
10
16.5%
Q1 - 1:05SASRose 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)18
82.4%
10
17.6%
Q1 - 1:10SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
80.7%
10
19.3%
Q1 - 1:14DENMISS White 16' Fadeaway Jumper16
80.3%
10
19.7%
Q1 - 1:31DENBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
79.5%
10
20.5%
Q1 - 1:32SASMISS Kerr 18' Jump Shot16
79.9%
10
20.1%
Q1 - 1:48DENBowen Foul Turnover (P1.T7)16
80.7%
10
19.3%
Q1 - 1:56SASRose 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)16
79.5%
10
20.5%
Q1 - 1:58SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
77.5%
10
22.5%
Q1 - 2:00SASMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot14
76.7%
10
23.3%
Q1 - 2:15DENWhitney 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)14
77.9%
10
22.1%
Q1 - 2:30SASKerr Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)14
79.5%
8
20.5%
Q1 - 2:40DENHoward Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T6)14
80.9%
8
19.1%
Q1 - 2:40DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
79.5%
8
20.5%
Q1 - 2:41DENMISS Bowen 21' Jump Shot14
80.5%
8
19.5%
Q1 - 3:00SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P1.T6)14
79.5%
8
20.5%
Q1 - 3:11DENHoward 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)14
80.7%
8
19.3%
Q1 - 3:29SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
81.9%
6
18.1%
Q1 - 3:29SASGinobili Layup (2 PTS)14
81.9%
6
18.1%
Q1 - 3:32SASMISS Bowen 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
79.6%
6
20.4%
Q1 - 3:54DENHoward 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
80.8%
6
19.2%
Q1 - 4:13SASBowen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)12
81.9%
4
18.1%
Q1 - 4:21DENHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)12
83.4%
4
16.6%
Q1 - 4:39DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
81.9%
4
18.1%
Q1 - 4:43SASMISS Willis 7' Jump Hook Shot12
82.3%
4
17.7%
Q1 - 5:03DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)12
83.0%
4
17.0%
Q1 - 5:17SASDuncan 14' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)12
81.6%
4
18.4%
Q1 - 5:50DENHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)10
80.5%
4
19.5%
Q1 - 6:07SASHarrington STEAL (1 STL)10
78.7%
4
21.3%
Q1 - 6:12SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
80.1%
4
19.9%
Q1 - 6:15DENMISS Howard 21' Jump Shot10
79.6%
4
20.4%
Q1 - 6:22DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
78.7%
4
21.3%
Q1 - 6:24SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot10
79.1%
4
20.9%
Q1 - 6:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
80.1%
4
19.9%
Q1 - 6:33DENMISS Howard Driving Layup10
79.7%
4
20.3%
Q1 - 6:44DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
78.7%
4
21.3%
Q1 - 6:47SASMISS Parker Driving Layup10
79.1%
4
20.9%
Q1 - 6:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
80.1%
4
19.9%
Q1 - 6:58DENMISS Yarbrough 16' Jump Shot10
79.7%
4
20.3%
Q1 - 7:16SASDuncan Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)10
78.4%
4
21.6%
Q1 - 7:30DENNene Layup (2 PTS)8
77.2%
4
22.8%
Q1 - 7:32DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
78.4%
2
21.6%
Q1 - 7:34DENMISS Harvey 18' Jump Shot8
79.4%
2
20.6%
Q1 - 7:47DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
78.4%
2
21.6%
Q1 - 7:49SASMISS Jackson Layup8
78.8%
2
21.2%
Q1 - 7:53SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
79.8%
2
20.2%
Q1 - 7:55DENMISS Harvey Layup8
79.4%
2
20.6%
Q1 - 8:19SASParker Layup (2 PTS) (Willis 1 AST)8
78.8%
2
21.2%
Q1 - 8:27DENYarbrough Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
77.7%
2
22.3%
Q1 - 8:35SASDuncan 13' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)6
76.2%
2
23.8%
Q1 - 8:59DENHoward 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Yarbrough 1 AST)4
74.9%
2
25.1%
Q1 - 9:18SASJackson Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T3)4
75.9%
0
24.1%
Q1 - 9:36SASSpurs Rebound4
77.7%
0
22.3%
Q1 - 9:36DENMISS Harvey 9' Jump Shot4
77.2%
0
22.8%
Q1 - 9:51SASJackson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)4
76.0%
0
24.0%
Q1 - 10:10SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
74.8%
0
25.2%
Q1 - 10:12DENMISS Yarbrough 16' Jump Shot2
74.3%
0
25.7%
Q1 - 10:29SASDuncan Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
73.1%
0
26.9%
Q1 - 10:40DENHarvey Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
71.9%
0
28.1%
Q1 - 10:50DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
70.1%
0
29.9%
Q1 - 10:52SASMISS Parker Layup0
70.6%
0
29.4%
Q1 - 10:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
71.9%
0
28.1%
Q1 - 10:59DENMISS Howard Layup0
71.3%
0
28.7%
Q1 - 11:04SASHoward STEAL (1 STL)0
70.3%
0
29.7%
Q1 - 11:21SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
71.7%
0
28.3%
Q1 - 11:23DENMISS Harrington 10' Jump Shot0
71.3%
0
28.7%
Q1 - 11:42SASJackson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
70.3%
0
29.7%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Willis: Tip to Parker0
71.7%
0
28.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.04 51.9%
DEN
0.86 43.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
15
24
63%
DEN
12
22
55%
Midrange
SAS
10
27
37%
DEN
17
40
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
DEN
1
1.5
13
8%
12%
Free Throws
SAS
15
21
71%
DEN
13
15
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2566%12.5 / 19
T. Parker2364%11.5 / 18
M. Rose1354%6.5 / 12
S. Kerr542%2.5 / 6
K. Willis440%2.0 / 5
B. Bowen330%1.5 / 5
S. Smith338%1.5 / 4
D. Ferry350%1.5 / 3
S. Jackson250%1.0 / 2
M. Ginobili225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Howard2364%11.5 / 18
Nene1488%7.0 / 8
R. White836%4.0 / 11
C. Whitney836%4.0 / 11
J. Harrington531%2.5 / 8
C. Andersen536%2.5 / 7
R. Bowen550%2.5 / 5
D. Harvey220%1.0 / 5
V. Yarbrough225%1.0 / 4
M. Blount233%1.0 / 3
N. Tskitishvili0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
71
+9
-22
80
DEN
71
+12
-22
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.04 51.9%
DEN
0.86 43.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.7
90.7
SAS 89.2 +9.7
DEN 79.6
Pace
92.6
92.6
SAS 99.1 +10.2
DEN 88.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.8
SAS 14.5 +1.7
DEN 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
42.8%
SAS 50.0% +9.3%
DEN 40.7%
TO %
16.5%
18.7%
SAS 22.2%
DEN 21.2% +1.0%
ORB %
28.8%
31.3%
SAS 18.9%
DEN 22.5% +3.6%
FTrt
34.8
28.3
SAS 30.9 +10.9
DEN 20.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.3%
64.6%
SAS 77.4%
DEN 80.0% +2.6%
STL %
8.3%
9.3%
SAS 8.6%
DEN 11.8% +3.2%
BLK %
9.3%
8.5%
SAS 4.8%
DEN 11.8% +7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.88 and 2.88.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.4%
44.6%
SAS 51.9% +8.9%
DEN 43.0%
Rim FG%
59.3%
53.8%
SAS 62.5% +8.0%
DEN 54.5%
Mid FG%
38.8%
35.8%
SAS 37.0%
DEN 42.5% +5.5%
3P %
35.4%
27.8%
SAS 35.3% +27.6%
DEN 7.7%
FT %
72.5%
69.9%
SAS 71.4%
DEN 86.7% +15.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
35.1%
SAS 35.3% +6.0%
DEN 29.3%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
52.3%
SAS 39.7% +13.6%
DEN 53.3%
3P Att. %
20.2%
12.6%
SAS 25.0% +7.7%
DEN 17.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.91 and 2.91.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes22.525.1
Points8374
Rebounds3839
Assists2424
Steals811
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)22 (0)22 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)30 (1)
Field Goals31-6830-75
At-the-Rim FG15-2412-22
Midrange FG10-2717-40
2-Point FG25-5129-62
3-Point FG6-171-13
Free Throws15-2113-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 27
45.7
25
66%
8
5
2
2
4
4
0
8
5-6
83%
10-16
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 21
35.4
23
64%
4
8
1
0
3
2
0
4
7-9
78%
5-11
45%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 200 · 32
35.2
3
30%
3
3
0
0
3
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
C · 7'0" 245 · 40
19.4
4
40%
8
1
2
0
0
2
4
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 220 · 25
4.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 255 · 28
30.5
13
54%
10
1
0
1
2
2
2
8
3-4
75%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34
23.4
3
38%
0
3
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 180 · 37
19.4
5
42%
1
2
0
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'10" 235 · 36
13.3
3
50%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
G · 6'6" 205 · 26
13.2
2
25%
2
1
3
0
2
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 250 · 38
C · 6'11" 290 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
52%
38
24
8
3
22
0
7
31
15-21
71%
25-51
49%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.