Final Win Prob. pScore
565%90
83
2835%86
74
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo Spurs
89.29399.1
DEN logo Nuggets
79.69388.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS83
74
Q4 - 0:01.0SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
74
Q4 - 0:03.0DENMISS Tskitishvili 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
74
Q4 - 0:15.0SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)83
74
Q4 - 0:15.0SASSpurs Rebound82
74
Q4 - 0:15.0SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 282
74
Q4 - 0:15.0DENAndersen P.FOUL (P2.PN)82
74
Q4 - 0:20.0DENWhite Out Of Bounds Turnover (P4.T22)82
74
Q4 - 0:21.0DENNUGGETS Timeout: Short (Full 6 Short 2)82
74
Q4 - 0:21.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)82
74
Q4 - 0:22.0SASMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 282
74
Q4 - 0:22.0SASSUB: Ferry FOR Duncan82
74
Q4 - 0:22.0SASSpurs Rebound82
74
Q4 - 0:22.0SASMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 282
74
Q4 - 0:22.0DENAndersen P.FOUL (P1.PN)82
74
Q4 - 0:29.0SASSpurs Rebound82
74
Q4 - 0:30.0DENMISS White 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
74
Q4 - 0:36.0DENSUB: Tskitishvili FOR Bowen82
74
Q4 - 0:36.0DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 1)82
74
Q4 - 0:36.0SASDuncan 16' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)82
74
Q4 - 0:47.0DENBowen P.FOUL (P2.T4)80
74
Q4 - 1:08DENBowen 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)80
74
Q4 - 1:13DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)80
72
Q4 - 1:16SASMISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
72
Q4 - 1:35DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)80
72
Q4 - 1:35DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)80
71
Q4 - 1:35SASDuncan P.FOUL (P4.PN)80
70
Q4 - 1:48SASBowen STEAL (1 STL)80
70
Q4 - 2:01DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)80
70
Q4 - 2:01DENNUGGETS Rebound80
69
Q4 - 2:01DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 280
69
Q4 - 2:01SASDuncan S.FOUL (P3.PN)80
69
Q4 - 2:05DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)80
69
Q4 - 2:07SASAndersen BLOCK (4 BLK)80
69
Q4 - 2:27DENSUB: Andersen FOR Howard80
69
Q4 - 2:27SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)80
69
Q4 - 2:27DENHoward L.B.FOUL (P6.T3)80
69
Q4 - 2:27SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)80
69
Q4 - 2:28DENMISS Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
69
Q4 - 2:38DENHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)80
69
Q4 - 2:41DENMISS Howard 8' Fadeaway Jumper80
69
Q4 - 3:01SASDuncan 7' Jump Hook Shot (23 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)80
69
Q4 - 3:09DENHoward P.FOUL (P5.T2)78
69
Q4 - 3:33DENHoward 16' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Whitney 7 AST)78
69
Q4 - 3:52SASSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)78
67
Q4 - 4:13DENWhitney Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
67
Q4 - 4:13DENNUGGETS Rebound75
66
Q4 - 4:13DENMISS Whitney Free Throw 1 of 275
66
Q4 - 4:13SASParker S.FOUL (P2.T4)75
66
Q4 - 4:20DENSUB: Nene FOR Andersen75
66
Q4 - 4:20SASParker P.FOUL (P1.T3)75
66
Q4 - 4:24DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)75
66
Q4 - 4:26SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
66
Q4 - 4:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)75
66
Q4 - 4:49DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
66
Q4 - 4:49DENMISS Andersen Follow Up Dunk75
66
Q4 - 4:51DENMISS Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
66
Q4 - 5:05SASSUB: Smith FOR Ferry75
66
Q4 - 5:05SASFerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T21)75
66
Q4 - 5:28DENHoward Reverse Layup (21 PTS) (Whitney 6 AST)75
66
Q4 - 5:34DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
64
Q4 - 5:36SASMISS Ferry 3PT Jump Shot75
64
Q4 - 5:53DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)75
64
Q4 - 5:53SASSUB: Parker FOR Kerr75
63
Q4 - 5:53SASBowen S.FOUL (P1.T2)75
63
Q4 - 5:53DENHoward Layup (18 PTS) (Whitney 5 AST)75
63
Q4 - 5:56DENWhitney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
61
Q4 - 5:59SASMISS Kerr 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
61
Q4 - 6:25DENWhitney 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)75
61
Q4 - 6:32DENBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
59
Q4 - 6:35SASMISS Ferry 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
59
Q4 - 6:54DENWhite 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Whitney 4 AST)75
59
Q4 - 7:04DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
57
Q4 - 7:06SASMISS Bowen 13' Jump Shot75
57
Q4 - 7:17SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
57
Q4 - 7:19DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
57
Q4 - 7:19DENMISS Andersen Tip Shot75
57
Q4 - 7:22DENMISS Whitney 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
57
Q4 - 7:28DENSUB: Bowen FOR Tskitishvili75
57
Q4 - 7:28DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)75
57
Q4 - 7:35SASKerr 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)75
57
Q4 - 7:53DENTskitishvili Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T21)72
57
Q4 - 8:06SASWhitney STEAL (2 STL)72
57
Q4 - 8:18SASSUB: Bowen FOR Smith72
57
Q4 - 8:18DENWhitney Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T20)72
57
Q4 - 8:21DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)72
57
Q4 - 8:24SASMISS Kerr 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
57
Q4 - 8:30DENWhite Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T19)72
57
Q4 - 8:47SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P4.T19)72
57
Q4 - 8:57DENHoward P.FOUL (P4.T1)72
57
Q4 - 8:58DENSUB: Whitney FOR Harrington72
57
Q4 - 8:5872
57
Q4 - 9:21DENWhite Layup (6 PTS)72
57
Q4 - 9:26DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
55
Q4 - 9:28SASAndersen BLOCK (3 BLK)72
55
Q4 - 9:49DENAndersen 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (White 3 AST)72
55
Q4 - 10:05SASRose Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Kerr 2 AST)72
53
Q4 - 10:15DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)70
53
Q4 - 10:15DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)70
52
Q4 - 10:15SASSmith S.FOUL (P3.T1)70
51
Q4 - 10:34DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)70
51
Q4 - 10:36SASMISS Kerr 3PT Jump Shot70
51
Q4 - 10:53DENHarrington Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T18)70
51
Q4 - 11:14SASDuncan Slam Dunk (21 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)70
51
Q4 - 11:20SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)68
51
Q4 - 11:24DENMISS Harrington 21' Jump Shot68
51
Q4 - 11:35DENNUGGETS Rebound68
51
Q4 - 11:36DENMISS Tskitishvili 8' Jump Shot68
51
Q4 - 11:41SASHoward STEAL (2 STL)68
51
Q4 - 12:0068
51
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN68
51
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound68
51
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Harrington 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot68
51
Q3 - 0:03.0DENNUGGETS Rebound68
51
Q3 - 0:05.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 268
51
Q3 - 0:05.0DENSUB: Harrington FOR Whitney68
51
Q3 - 0:05.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)68
51
Q3 - 0:05.0DENWhitney S.FOUL (P4.PN)67
51
Q3 - 0:12.0SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
51
Q3 - 0:15.0DENMISS Blount Dunk67
51
Q3 - 0:30.0SASSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T17)67
51
Q3 - 0:30.0SASSmith OFF.Foul (P2)67
51
Q3 - 0:31.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)67
51
Q3 - 0:34.0SASMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot67
51
Q3 - 0:50.0SASSUB: Ferry FOR Bowen67
51
Q3 - 0:50.0DENBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)67
51
Q3 - 1:00SASBlount STEAL (1 STL)67
51
Q3 - 1:06SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
51
Q3 - 1:08DENMISS Bowen 17' Jump Shot67
51
Q3 - 1:13SASWhitney STEAL (1 STL)67
51
Q3 - 1:15SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
51
Q3 - 1:17DENMISS Andersen 21' Jump Shot67
51
Q3 - 1:27SASRose Layup (10 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)67
51
Q3 - 1:39SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
51
Q3 - 1:44DENMISS Blount 6' Jump Hook Shot65
51
Q3 - 1:54DENSUB: Andersen FOR Nene65
51
Q3 - 1:54DENSUB: Blount FOR Howard65
51
Q3 - 1:54SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)65
51
Q3 - 1:54SASRose P.FOUL (P2.T4)65
51
Q3 - 2:10SASDuncan Dunk (19 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)65
51
Q3 - 2:15SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
51
Q3 - 2:18DENMISS Howard 13' Turnaround Jump Shot63
51
Q3 - 2:44SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)63
51
Q3 - 3:07DENNene Layup (12 PTS) (Whitney 3 AST)60
51
Q3 - 3:12DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
49
Q3 - 3:15SASHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)60
49
Q3 - 3:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)60
49
Q3 - 3:35DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
49
Q3 - 3:35DENMISS Nene Tip Shot60
49
Q3 - 3:37DENMISS White 7' Running Jump Shot60
49
Q3 - 3:50DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
49
Q3 - 3:52SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 260
49
Q3 - 3:52SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)60
49
Q3 - 3:52DENWhite S.FOUL (P1.PN)59
49
Q3 - 4:04DENBowen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)59
49
Q3 - 4:04SASRose Violation:Lane59
48
Q3 - 4:04SASDuncan S.FOUL (P2.T3)59
48
Q3 - 4:04DENBowen Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 5 AST)59
48
Q3 - 4:08DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
46
Q3 - 4:11DENMISS Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
46
Q3 - 4:16SASWhite STEAL (1 STL)59
46
Q3 - 4:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
46
Q3 - 4:29DENMISS White 16' Jump Shot59
46
Q3 - 4:46SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)59
46
Q3 - 4:46SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)58
46
Q3 - 4:46SASSUB: Rose FOR Willis57
46
Q3 - 4:46DENWhitney S.FOUL (P3.T4)57
46
Q3 - 5:04DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)57
46
Q3 - 5:04DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)57
45
Q3 - 5:04SASWillis S.FOUL (P2.T2)57
44
Q3 - 5:14DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
44
Q3 - 5:16SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot57
44
Q3 - 5:37DENHoward 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)57
44
Q3 - 5:39DENSUB: White FOR Yarbrough57
42
Q3 - 5:39DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)57
42
Q3 - 5:51SASParker Reverse Layup (18 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)57
42
Q3 - 6:03SASSUB: Smith FOR Kerr55
42
Q3 - 6:03DENHoward Backcourt Turnover (P6.T16)55
42
Q3 - 6:26SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)55
42
Q3 - 6:26SASSpurs Rebound54
42
Q3 - 6:26SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 254
42
Q3 - 6:26DENSUB: Whitney FOR Harrington54
42
Q3 - 6:26DENNene S.FOUL (P3.T3)54
42
Q3 - 6:42DENSUB: Bowen FOR Harvey54
42
Q3 - 6:42SASWillis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)54
42
Q3 - 6:43DENMISS Harrington 5' Running Jump Shot54
42
Q3 - 6:58SASParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)54
42
Q3 - 7:19SASWillis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)51
42
Q3 - 7:24SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot51
42
Q3 - 7:40DENHarrington 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)51
42
Q3 - 7:59SASParker Free Throw 3 of 3 (13 PTS)51
40
Q3 - 7:59SASParker Free Throw 2 of 3 (12 PTS)50
40
Q3 - 7:59SASParker Free Throw 1 of 3 (11 PTS)49
40
Q3 - 7:59DENHarrington S.FOUL (P2.T2)48
40
Q3 - 8:20DENHoward 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Harvey 2 AST)48
40
Q3 - 8:44SASParker 14' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)48
38
Q3 - 9:01DENYarbrough Dunk (2 PTS) (Harvey 1 AST)46
38
Q3 - 9:07SASHarvey STEAL (1 STL)46
36
Q3 - 9:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
36
Q3 - 9:21DENMISS Yarbrough Layup46
36
Q3 - 9:37SASParker 8' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
36
Q3 - 9:44DENYarbrough L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)44
36
Q3 - 9:44SASSpurs Rebound44
36
Q3 - 9:45SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot44
36
Q3 - 10:06DENNene Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)44
36
Q3 - 10:12SASYarbrough STEAL (1 STL)44
34
Q3 - 10:19SASWillis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)44
34
Q3 - 10:22DENMISS Harvey 6' Turnaround Jump Shot44
34
Q3 - 10:48SASWillis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
34
Q3 - 10:48SASWillis Layup (4 PTS)44
34
Q3 - 10:49SASWillis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
34
Q3 - 10:49SASMISS Willis Tip Shot42
34
Q3 - 10:52SASMISS Duncan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot42
34
Q3 - 11:04SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
34
Q3 - 11:07DENMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot42
34
Q3 - 11:14SASParker Driving Layup (6 PTS)42
34
Q3 - 11:38DENNene Layup (8 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)40
34
Q3 - 11:45SASWillis P.FOUL (P1.T1)40
32
Q3 - 12:0040
32
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN40
32
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound40
32
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Harrington 38' 3PT Running Jump Shot40
32
Q2 - 0:03.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
32
Q2 - 0:03.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
32
Q2 - 0:03.0DENWhitney P.FOUL (P2.PN)38
32
Q2 - 0:13.0DENWhite 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)38
32
Q2 - 0:30.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
30
Q2 - 0:33.0SASAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)38
30
Q2 - 0:45.0SASSpurs Violation: Delay of game Violation38
30
Q2 - 0:45.0SASSUB: Smith FOR Ferry38
30
Q2 - 0:45.0SASSUB: Kerr FOR Ginobili38
30
Q2 - 0:45.0SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)38
30
Q2 - 0:51.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
30
Q2 - 0:51.0DENNene Tip Shot (6 PTS)38
30
Q2 - 0:52.0DENMISS Whitney 20' Jump Shot38
28
Q2 - 1:04SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)38
28
Q2 - 1:04DENSUB: Whitney FOR Harvey37
28
Q2 - 1:04SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)37
28
Q2 - 1:04DENNene S.FOUL (P2.T3)36
28
Q2 - 1:22DENHarvey Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)36
28
Q2 - 1:39SASFerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)36
28
Q2 - 1:58DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)33
28
Q2 - 2:03DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
28
Q2 - 2:05SASMISS Ginobili 18' Jump Shot33
28
Q2 - 2:19DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)33
28
Q2 - 2:19SASRose S.FOUL (P1.T3)33
27
Q2 - 2:19DENHarrington 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (White 2 AST)33
27
Q2 - 2:23DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
25
Q2 - 2:27SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot33
25
Q2 - 2:35DENSUB: Andersen FOR Howard33
25
Q2 - 2:35DENHoward P.FOUL (P3.T2)33
25
Q2 - 2:41DENWhite Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)33
25
Q2 - 2:52SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)33
25
Q2 - 3:08SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen33
25
Q2 - 3:08SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)33
25
Q2 - 3:10DENHarvey 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)33
25
Q2 - 3:23DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
23
Q2 - 3:27SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot33
23
Q2 - 3:43DENHoward Foul Turnover (P5.T12)33
23
Q2 - 3:43DENHoward OFF.Foul (P2)33
23
Q2 - 3:56SASBowen Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)33
23
Q2 - 4:17DENHoward 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)33
23
Q2 - 4:20DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
21
Q2 - 4:22DENMISS White 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
21
Q2 - 4:39SASNene STEAL (1 STL)33
21
Q2 - 5:00DENNene 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (White 1 AST)33
21
Q2 - 5:17DENNUGGETS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)33
19
Q2 - 5:21DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
19
Q2 - 5:25SASMISS Parker 8' Running Jump Shot33
19
Q2 - 5:43DENHoward Foul Turnover (P4.T11)33
19
Q2 - 5:43DENHoward OFF.Foul (P1)33
19
Q2 - 5:59SASSUB: Ferry FOR Smith33
19
Q2 - 5:59DENSUB: Harvey FOR Tskitishvili33
19
Q2 - 5:59DENSUB: Nene FOR Andersen33
19
Q2 - 5:59DENSUB: Harrington FOR Whitney33
19
Q2 - 5:59DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)33
19
Q2 - 6:06SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)33
19
Q2 - 6:17SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
19
Q2 - 6:21DENMISS White Driving Layup30
19
Q2 - 6:37SASRose Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)30
19
Q2 - 6:55DENWhite Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)28
19
Q2 - 7:15SASSUB: Rose FOR Willis28
19
Q2 - 7:15SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)28
19
Q2 - 7:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
19
Q2 - 7:19DENMISS White 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
19
Q2 - 7:25DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
19
Q2 - 7:29SASAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)28
19
Q2 - 7:42SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
19
Q2 - 7:44DENMISS Whitney 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
19
Q2 - 8:08SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)28
19
Q2 - 8:24SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
19
Q2 - 8:26DENMISS Whitney 22' Jump Shot26
19
Q2 - 8:39SASSUB: Parker FOR Kerr26
19
Q2 - 8:39DENSUB: Howard FOR Blount26
19
Q2 - 8:39SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili26
19
Q2 - 8:39DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)26
19
Q2 - 8:46SASWillis Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Kerr 1 AST)26
19
Q2 - 8:51SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
19
Q2 - 8:54SASMISS Duncan 6' Running Jump Shot24
19
Q2 - 9:00SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
19
Q2 - 9:02DENMISS Tskitishvili 19' Jump Shot24
19
Q2 - 9:20SASKerr 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
19
Q2 - 9:41DENWhite 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Whitney 2 AST)22
19
Q2 - 9:47DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
17
Q2 - 9:49SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot22
17
Q2 - 10:05DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
17
Q2 - 10:05SASSUB: Duncan FOR Rose22
16
Q2 - 10:05DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
16
Q2 - 10:05SASGinobili S.FOUL (P2.T2)22
15
Q2 - 10:19SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
15
Q2 - 10:19SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
15
Q2 - 10:19DENTskitishvili S.FOUL (P1.T1)20
15
Q2 - 10:38DENWhitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)20
15
Q2 - 10:41DENBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
12
Q2 - 10:45SASMISS Ginobili 4' Jump Shot20
12
Q2 - 11:02DENWhitney Foul Turnover (P1.T9)20
12
Q2 - 11:02DENWhitney OFF.Foul (P1)20
12
Q2 - 11:10DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
12
Q2 - 11:12SASMISS Willis 9' Jump Shot20
12
Q2 - 11:25SASSpurs Rebound20
12
Q2 - 11:27SASBlount BLOCK (1 BLK)20
12
Q2 - 11:34SASKerr REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
12
Q2 - 11:36DENMISS Tskitishvili 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
12
Q2 - 11:42SASSmith P.FOUL (P1.T1)20
12
Q2 - 12:0020
12
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS20
12
Q1 - 0:05.0DENBlount 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Whitney 1 AST)20
12
Q1 - 0:24.0DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
10
Q1 - 0:26.0SASMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot20
10
Q1 - 0:29.0DENSUB: Blount FOR Howard20
10
Q1 - 0:34.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
10
Q1 - 0:38.0DENMISS Andersen 6' Jump Shot20
10
Q1 - 0:47.0SASDuncan Dunk (10 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)20
10
Q1 - 1:00DENBowen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)18
10
Q1 - 1:05SASRose 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)18
10
Q1 - 1:10SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
10
Q1 - 1:14DENMISS White 16' Fadeaway Jumper16
10
Q1 - 1:26SASKerr P.FOUL (P1.T2)16
10
Q1 - 1:31DENBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
10
Q1 - 1:32SASMISS Kerr 18' Jump Shot16
10
Q1 - 1:48DENSUB: Andersen FOR Nene16
10
Q1 - 1:48SASSUB: Smith FOR Bowen16
10
Q1 - 1:48DENBowen Foul Turnover (P1.T7)16
10
Q1 - 1:48DENBowen OFF.Foul (P1)16
10
Q1 - 1:56SASRose 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)16
10
Q1 - 1:58SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
10
Q1 - 2:00SASMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot14
10
Q1 - 2:15DENWhitney 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)14
10
Q1 - 2:30SASKerr Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)14
8
Q1 - 2:40DENHoward Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T6)14
8
Q1 - 2:40DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)14
8
Q1 - 2:41DENMISS Bowen 21' Jump Shot14
8
Q1 - 3:00SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P1.T6)14
8
Q1 - 3:00SASDuncan OFF.Foul (P1)14
8
Q1 - 3:10SASSUB: Kerr FOR Parker14
8
Q1 - 3:10SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 1)14
8
Q1 - 3:11DENHoward 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)14
8
Q1 - 3:29SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
6
Q1 - 3:29SASGinobili Layup (2 PTS)14
6
Q1 - 3:32SASMISS Bowen 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
6
Q1 - 3:54DENHoward 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
6
Q1 - 4:13SASBowen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)12
4
Q1 - 4:21DENHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)12
4
Q1 - 4:33DENSUB: White FOR Harrington12
4
Q1 - 4:33SASSUB: Rose FOR Willis12
4
Q1 - 4:33SASGinobili P.FOUL (P1.T1)12
4
Q1 - 4:39DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
4
Q1 - 4:43SASMISS Willis 7' Jump Hook Shot12
4
Q1 - 5:03DENHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)12
4
Q1 - 5:17SASDuncan 14' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)12
4
Q1 - 5:30DENSUB: Bowen FOR Harvey10
4
Q1 - 5:30DENSUB: Whitney FOR Yarbrough10
4
Q1 - 5:30DENNUGGETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
4
Q1 - 5:30DENYarbrough P.FOUL (P1.T3)10
4
Q1 - 5:50DENHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)10
4
Q1 - 6:07SASHarrington STEAL (1 STL)10
4
Q1 - 6:12SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
4
Q1 - 6:15DENMISS Howard 21' Jump Shot10
4
Q1 - 6:22DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
4
Q1 - 6:24SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot10
4
Q1 - 6:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
4
Q1 - 6:33DENMISS Howard Driving Layup10
4
Q1 - 6:44DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
4
Q1 - 6:47SASMISS Parker Driving Layup10
4
Q1 - 6:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
4
Q1 - 6:58DENMISS Yarbrough 16' Jump Shot10
4
Q1 - 7:16SASDuncan Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)10
4
Q1 - 7:28SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Jackson8
4
Q1 - 7:28SASSpurs Timeout: Short (Reg.0 Short 1)8
4
Q1 - 7:30DENNene Layup (2 PTS)8
4
Q1 - 7:32DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
2
Q1 - 7:34DENMISS Harvey 18' Jump Shot8
2
Q1 - 7:47DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
2
Q1 - 7:49SASMISS Jackson Layup8
2
Q1 - 7:53SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
2
Q1 - 7:55DENMISS Harvey Layup8
2
Q1 - 8:19SASParker Layup (2 PTS) (Willis 1 AST)8
2
Q1 - 8:27DENYarbrough Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
2
Q1 - 8:35SASDuncan 13' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)6
2
Q1 - 8:59DENHoward 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Yarbrough 1 AST)4
2
Q1 - 9:18SASJackson Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T3)4
0
Q1 - 9:24DENHarrington P.FOUL (P1.T2)4
0
Q1 - 9:36DENNene L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)4
0
Q1 - 9:36SASSpurs Rebound4
0
Q1 - 9:36DENMISS Harvey 9' Jump Shot4
0
Q1 - 9:51SASJackson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)4
0
Q1 - 10:10SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
0
Q1 - 10:12DENMISS Yarbrough 16' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 10:29SASDuncan Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 10:40DENHarvey Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 10:50DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 10:52SASMISS Parker Layup0
0
Q1 - 10:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 10:59DENMISS Howard Layup0
0
Q1 - 11:04SASHoward STEAL (1 STL)0
0
Q1 - 11:21SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:23DENMISS Harrington 10' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:42SASJackson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:42SASJackson OFF.Foul (P1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nene vs. Willis: Tip to Parker0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.04 51.9%
DEN
0.86 43.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
15
24
63%
DEN
12
22
55%
Midrange
SAS
10
27
37%
DEN
17
40
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
DEN
1
1.5
13
8%
12%
Free Throws
SAS
15
21
71%
DEN
13
15
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2566%12.5 / 19
T. Parker2364%11.5 / 18
M. Rose1354%6.5 / 12
S. Kerr542%2.5 / 6
K. Willis440%2.0 / 5
B. Bowen330%1.5 / 5
S. Smith338%1.5 / 4
D. Ferry350%1.5 / 3
S. Jackson250%1.0 / 2
M. Ginobili225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Howard2364%11.5 / 18
Nene1488%7.0 / 8
R. White836%4.0 / 11
C. Whitney836%4.0 / 11
J. Harrington531%2.5 / 8
C. Andersen536%2.5 / 7
R. Bowen550%2.5 / 5
D. Harvey220%1.0 / 5
V. Yarbrough225%1.0 / 4
M. Blount233%1.0 / 3
N. Tskitishvili0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
71
+9
-22
80
DEN
71
+12
-22
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.04 51.9%
DEN
0.86 43.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.7
90.7
SAS 89.2 +9.7
DEN 79.6
Pace
92.6
92.6
SAS 99.1 +10.2
DEN 88.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.8
SAS 14.5 −1.7
DEN 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
42.8%
SAS 50.0% +9.3%
DEN 40.7%
TO %
16.5%
18.7%
SAS 22.2%
DEN 21.2% −1.0%
ORB %
28.8%
31.3%
SAS 18.9%
DEN 22.5% +3.6%
FTrt
34.8
28.3
SAS 30.9 +10.9
DEN 20.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.3%
64.6%
SAS 77.4%
DEN 80.0% +2.6%
STL %
8.3%
9.3%
SAS 8.6%
DEN 11.8% +3.2%
BLK %
9.3%
8.5%
SAS 4.8%
DEN 11.8% +7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.88 and 2.88.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.4%
44.6%
SAS 51.9% +8.9%
DEN 43.0%
Rim FG%
59.3%
53.8%
SAS 62.5% +8.0%
DEN 54.5%
Mid FG%
38.8%
35.8%
SAS 37.0%
DEN 42.5% +5.5%
3P %
35.4%
27.8%
SAS 35.3% +27.6%
DEN 7.7%
FT %
72.5%
69.9%
SAS 71.4%
DEN 86.7% +15.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
35.1%
SAS 35.3% +6.0%
DEN 29.3%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
52.3%
SAS 39.7% −13.6%
DEN 53.3%
3P Att. %
20.2%
12.6%
SAS 25.0% +7.7%
DEN 17.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.91 and 2.91.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes22.525.1
Points8374
Rebounds3839
Assists2424
Steals811
Blocks36
Turnovers (Team)22 (0)22 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)30 (1)
Field Goals31-6830-75
At-the-Rim FG15-2412-22
Midrange FG10-2717-40
2-Point FG25-5129-62
3-Point FG6-171-13
Free Throws15-2113-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 27
45.7
25
66%
8
5
2
2
4
4
0
8
5-6
83%
10-16
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 21
35.4
23
64%
4
8
1
0
3
2
0
4
7-9
78%
5-11
45%
2-3
67%
F · 6'7" 200 · 32
35.2
3
30%
3
3
0
0
3
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
C · 7'0" 245 · 40
19.4
4
40%
8
1
2
0
0
2
4
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 220 · 25
4.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 255 · 28
30.5
13
54%
10
1
0
1
2
2
2
8
3-4
75%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34
23.4
3
38%
0
3
0
0
1
3
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 180 · 37
19.4
5
42%
1
2
0
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'10" 235 · 36
13.3
3
50%
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
G · 6'6" 205 · 26
13.2
2
25%
2
1
3
0
2
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 250 · 38
C · 6'11" 290 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
52%
38
24
8
3
22
0
7
31
15-21
71%
25-51
49%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.