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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 6, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs64%9083
28Nuggets36%8574
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.8
45.7
38.4
25
67%
8
5
2
1
2
4
0
8
5-6
83%
10-16
9-18
63%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 20.7
35.4
34.8
23
64%
4
8
1
1
0
3
0
4
7-9
78%
5-11
5-10
45%
47%
2-3
67%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 31.6
35.2
29.2
3
30%
3
3
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.4
19.4
5.2
4
40%
8
1
2
0
0
0
4
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
43%
0-0
-
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 24.8
4.5
30.7
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 28.2
30.5
24.6
13
55%
10
1
0
1
1
2
2
8
3-4
75%
5-10
3-7
50%
45%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 33.9
23.4
5.1
3
39%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Steve Kerr
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.4
19.4
14.6
5
42%
1
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Danny Ferry
F · 6'10" 235 · 36.3
13.3
11.1
3
50%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
1-3
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.5
13.2
20.7
2
25%
2
1
3
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
0-1
0%
David Robinson
C · 7'1" 250 · 37.5
24.7
1
3-7
47%
Mengke Bateer
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.2
1.6
0
0-0
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.0
37.2
33.6
23
67%
11
5
2
1
1
6
3
8
5-5
100%
9-15
7-15
60%
45%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 20.4
30.6
30.7
14
89%
8
2
1
2
0
0
3
5
2-2
100%
6-7
4-8
86%
48%
0-0
-
Junior Harrington
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.3
22.1
23.8
5
34%
3
2
1
1
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
2-5
2-6
40%
38%
0-2
0%
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.4
16.7
24.2
2
20%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-8
20%
46%
0-0
-
Vincent Yarbrough
F · 6'7" 210 · 21.9
12.8
22.9
2
25%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
41%
0-0
-
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.6
34.2
25.1
8
36%
3
3
1
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Chris Whitney
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.3
27.9
22.1
8
37%
1
7
2
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
41%
1-6
17%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.6
22.4
13.4
5
37%
8
0
0
0
4
0
2
6
3-4
75%
1-5
2-4
20%
42%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 27.2
19.1
12.5
5
56%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 19.8
11.2
11.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 27.2
5.7
14.2
2
33%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
41%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
1.6
0
0-0
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.