FinalWin Prob.pScore
1847%88
78
2453%89
69
ORTG#PossPace
NOH
89.78790.1
MIA logo MIA
82.18481.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOHMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH78
100%
69
0%
Q4 - 0:10.0NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot78
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0NOHAlexander Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)78
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0NOHMISS Alexander Free Throw 1 of 277
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)77
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0NOHMISS Alexander 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAMarks Running Dunk (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)77
99.7%
69
0.3%
Q4 - 0:51.0NOHJames STEAL (2 STL)77
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 1:11NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:14)77
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 1:13MIAMISS Marks 19' Jump Shot77
99.7%
67
0.3%
Q4 - 1:32NOHTraylor Layup (5 PTS) (Brown 4 AST)77
99.2%
67
0.8%
Q4 - 1:41MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)75
98.5%
67
1.5%
Q4 - 2:01NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)75
98.7%
65
1.3%
Q4 - 2:01NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)74
98.7%
65
1.3%
Q4 - 2:23MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (House 3 AST)73
98.3%
65
1.7%
Q4 - 2:30NOHJones STEAL (2 STL)73
98.7%
63
1.3%
Q4 - 2:48MIAMarks 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (House 2 AST)73
99.3%
63
0.7%
Q4 - 3:01NOHJones STEAL (1 STL)73
99.2%
61
0.8%
Q4 - 3:07NOHHornets Rebound73
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q4 - 3:09NOHMISS Wesley 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
99.3%
61
0.7%
Q4 - 3:10NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q4 - 3:12NOHJones BLOCK (2 BLK)73
99.3%
61
0.7%
Q4 - 3:28MIAHouse Layup (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)73
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q4 - 3:52NOHWesley 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Traylor 2 AST)73
99.3%
59
0.7%
Q4 - 4:10MIAJones 11' Running Jump Shot (24 PTS)71
99.0%
59
1.0%
Q4 - 4:20MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
99.3%
57
0.7%
Q4 - 4:21NOHMISS Alexander Free Throw 2 of 271
99.4%
57
0.6%
Q4 - 4:21NOHMISS Alexander Free Throw 1 of 271
99.5%
57
0.5%
Q4 - 4:34NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
99.5%
57
0.5%
Q4 - 4:36MIAMISS Allen 11' Jump Shot71
99.5%
57
0.5%
Q4 - 4:59MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
99.3%
57
0.7%
Q4 - 5:01NOHMISS Wesley 23' Jump Shot71
98.9%
57
1.1%
Q4 - 5:28NOHHornets Rebound71
99.2%
57
0.8%
Q4 - 5:29MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot71
99.1%
57
0.9%
Q4 - 5:47NOHWesley 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Traylor 1 AST)71
98.8%
57
1.2%
Q4 - 6:11MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (James 2 AST)69
97.6%
57
2.4%
Q4 - 6:19MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)69
98.6%
54
1.4%
Q4 - 6:21NOHMISS Wesley 21' Jump Shot69
98.8%
54
1.2%
Q4 - 6:32MIAStepania Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)69
99.0%
54
1.0%
Q4 - 6:44NOHTraylor Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)69
98.7%
54
1.3%
Q4 - 6:44NOHMISS Traylor Free Throw 1 of 268
98.6%
54
1.4%
Q4 - 6:56MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)68
98.7%
54
1.3%
Q4 - 6:56MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)68
98.8%
53
1.2%
Q4 - 7:07MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)68
98.5%
52
1.5%
Q4 - 7:09MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot68
98.8%
52
1.2%
Q4 - 7:13MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
98.5%
52
1.5%
Q4 - 7:15MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot68
98.8%
52
1.2%
Q4 - 7:40MIAHEAT Rebound68
98.5%
52
1.5%
Q4 - 7:43NOHMISS Moiso Dunk68
98.7%
52
1.3%
Q4 - 8:00NOHTraylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
98.9%
52
1.1%
Q4 - 8:02MIAMISS James 27' 3PT Jump Shot68
98.3%
52
1.7%
Q4 - 8:16NOHAlexander Layup (9 PTS)68
98.0%
52
2.0%
Q4 - 8:18NOHAlexander REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)66
97.4%
52
2.6%
Q4 - 8:21NOHMISS Mashburn 21' Jump Shot66
96.9%
52
3.1%
Q4 - 8:40MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
97.5%
52
2.5%
Q4 - 8:40MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
97.6%
51
2.4%
Q4 - 8:44MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
98.0%
50
2.0%
Q4 - 8:46NOHMISS Alexander 14' Jump Shot66
98.2%
50
1.8%
Q4 - 9:11MIAButler Running Dunk (9 PTS) (House 1 AST)66
98.0%
50
2.0%
Q4 - 9:16NOHJames STEAL (1 STL)66
98.4%
48
1.6%
Q4 - 9:23NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)66
98.8%
48
1.2%
Q4 - 9:25MIAMISS Stepania 5' Hook Shot66
98.7%
48
1.3%
Q4 - 9:29MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
98.4%
48
1.6%
Q4 - 9:31MIAMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot66
98.7%
48
1.3%
Q4 - 9:48NOHMashburn 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)66
98.4%
48
1.6%
Q4 - 10:17NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)64
97.5%
48
2.5%
Q4 - 10:19MIAMISS Ellis 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
97.4%
48
2.6%
Q4 - 10:39NOHAlexander 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pack 2 AST)64
96.9%
48
3.1%
Q4 - 10:50NOHMoiso REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
96.2%
48
3.8%
Q4 - 10:52MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot62
95.9%
48
4.1%
Q4 - 11:15NOHTraylor 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Pack 1 AST)62
94.5%
48
5.5%
Q4 - 11:30NOHHornets Rebound60
93.3%
48
6.7%
Q4 - 11:32MIAMISS James Driving Layup60
92.9%
48
7.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOH60
91.8%
48
8.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOHHornets Rebound60
93.3%
48
6.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0NOHMISS Mashburn 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
91.2%
48
8.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)60
92.3%
48
7.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
91.9%
48
8.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0NOHAlexander Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)60
90.8%
48
9.2%
Q3 - 0:34.0NOHAlexander Driving Layup (4 PTS)59
88.9%
48
11.1%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAEllis Foul Turnover (P1.T11)57
86.8%
48
13.2%
Q3 - 0:49.0NOHBrown 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alexander 3 AST)57
84.2%
48
15.8%
Q3 - 1:06MIAGrant 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)55
80.0%
48
20.0%
Q3 - 1:27NOHAlexander 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mashburn 3 AST)55
82.9%
46
17.1%
Q3 - 1:32NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)53
80.1%
46
19.9%
Q3 - 1:34MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
79.1%
46
20.9%
Q3 - 1:52NOHLynch Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)53
76.7%
46
23.3%
Q3 - 1:52NOHLynch Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)52
75.7%
46
24.3%
Q3 - 2:10MIAButler 4' Jump Shot (7 PTS)51
71.8%
46
28.2%
Q3 - 2:29NOHLynch 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)51
75.1%
44
24.9%
Q3 - 2:31NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
71.8%
44
28.2%
Q3 - 2:34NOHAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)49
68.9%
44
31.1%
Q3 - 2:50MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)49
71.9%
44
28.1%
Q3 - 2:50MIAHEAT Rebound49
67.6%
44
32.4%
Q3 - 2:51MIAMISS Allen 22' Jump Shot49
70.6%
44
29.4%
Q3 - 3:17NOHMashburn 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)49
67.1%
44
32.9%
Q3 - 3:35MIAAllen Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)47
63.2%
44
36.8%
Q3 - 3:57NOHMagloire Tip Shot (15 PTS)47
58.7%
44
41.3%
Q3 - 3:58NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)45
54.6%
44
45.4%
Q3 - 4:00NOHMISS Mashburn 8' Jump Shot45
51.2%
44
48.8%
Q3 - 4:15NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
54.3%
44
45.7%
Q3 - 4:18NOHMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 245
50.0%
44
50.0%
Q3 - 4:18NOHMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)45
52.6%
44
47.4%
Q3 - 4:19NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
50.0%
44
50.0%
Q3 - 4:20NOHMISS Mashburn 15' Jump Shot44
46.5%
44
53.5%
Q3 - 4:32NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
50.0%
44
50.0%
Q3 - 4:34MIAMISS Jones 7' Running Jump Shot44
48.5%
44
51.5%
Q3 - 4:55NOHMashburn 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)44
45.1%
44
54.9%
Q3 - 5:16NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)42
41.5%
44
58.5%
Q3 - 5:18MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot42
40.2%
44
59.8%
Q3 - 5:38NOHWesley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)42
37.2%
44
62.8%
Q3 - 5:41MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)42
41.5%
44
58.5%
Q3 - 5:59NOHMashburn 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS)42
37.2%
44
62.8%
Q3 - 6:22MIAGrant 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 3 AST)40
34.1%
44
65.9%
Q3 - 6:27MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
37.5%
42
62.5%
Q3 - 6:31NOHMISS Magloire 8' Hook Shot40
38.8%
42
61.2%
Q3 - 6:50MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Best 2 AST)40
41.6%
42
58.4%
Q3 - 7:08MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)40
48.7%
39
51.3%
Q3 - 7:09NOHMISS Brown Tip Shot40
50.0%
39
50.0%
Q3 - 7:10NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)40
53.1%
39
46.9%
Q3 - 7:11NOHMISS Wesley Layup40
50.0%
39
50.0%
Q3 - 7:16NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
53.1%
39
46.9%
Q3 - 7:18MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot40
51.8%
39
48.2%
Q3 - 7:34NOHMagloire 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)40
48.7%
39
51.3%
Q3 - 7:58MIAJones Driving Layup (14 PTS)40
53.1%
39
46.9%
Q3 - 8:11MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
56.4%
37
43.6%
Q3 - 8:12NOHMISS Wesley 16' Jump Shot40
57.7%
37
42.3%
Q3 - 8:31NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
60.5%
37
39.5%
Q3 - 8:32MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
59.3%
37
40.7%
Q3 - 8:49NOHMagloire Dunk (12 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)40
56.4%
37
43.6%
Q3 - 8:52NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)38
53.1%
37
46.9%
Q3 - 8:54NOHMISS Mashburn 22' Jump Shot38
50.1%
37
49.9%
Q3 - 9:12MIABest Running Layup (2 PTS)38
52.5%
37
47.5%
Q3 - 9:16NOHBest STEAL (2 STL)38
56.0%
35
44.0%
Q3 - 9:24NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
59.7%
35
40.3%
Q3 - 9:26MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot38
58.6%
35
41.4%
Q3 - 9:54NOHBrown 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lynch 3 AST)38
56.1%
35
43.9%
Q3 - 10:10MIAAllen 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS)36
52.6%
35
47.4%
Q3 - 10:38NOHLynch Dunk (2 PTS) (Mashburn 2 AST)36
55.7%
33
44.3%
Q3 - 10:58NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
52.5%
33
47.5%
Q3 - 11:00MIAMISS Jones 15' Jump Shot34
51.3%
33
48.7%
Q3 - 11:19NOHMagloire 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)34
48.8%
33
51.2%
Q3 - 11:29NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
52.4%
33
47.6%
Q3 - 11:31NOHMISS Wesley 13' Jump Shot34
49.9%
33
50.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA34
52.4%
33
47.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOHBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)34
48.8%
33
51.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)34
51.7%
33
48.3%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAHEAT Rebound34
49.4%
33
50.6%
Q2 - 0:16.0NOHMISS Alexander 22' Jump Shot34
50.1%
33
49.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)34
51.7%
33
48.3%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot34
51.0%
33
49.0%
Q2 - 0:49.0NOHMagloire Reverse Dunk (10 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)34
49.3%
33
50.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAAllen Driving Layup (12 PTS)32
45.1%
33
54.9%
Q2 - 1:23NOHWesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Alexander 2 AST)32
49.6%
31
50.4%
Q2 - 1:28NOHAlexander REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
41.7%
31
58.3%
Q2 - 1:30NOHMISS Magloire Layup29
40.6%
31
59.4%
Q2 - 1:47MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)29
41.7%
31
58.3%
Q2 - 1:47MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 229
42.3%
30
57.7%
Q2 - 2:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
42.6%
30
57.4%
Q2 - 2:05NOHMISS Wesley 23' Jump Shot29
43.5%
30
56.5%
Q2 - 2:27MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)29
45.5%
30
54.5%
Q2 - 2:27MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)29
46.0%
29
54.0%
Q2 - 2:46MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
48.9%
28
51.1%
Q2 - 2:49NOHMISS Mashburn 20' Jump Shot29
49.8%
28
50.2%
Q2 - 3:10MIAJones Driving Layup (10 PTS)29
51.8%
28
48.2%
Q2 - 3:23NOHMashburn Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)29
54.4%
26
45.6%
Q2 - 3:31NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
57.7%
26
42.3%
Q2 - 3:33MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot29
56.7%
26
43.3%
Q2 - 3:52NOHMashburn 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)29
54.5%
26
45.5%
Q2 - 4:14MIAAllen 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)27
51.4%
26
48.6%
Q2 - 4:28MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
54.3%
24
45.7%
Q2 - 4:30NOHMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot27
55.2%
24
44.8%
Q2 - 4:33NOHHornets Rebound27
57.1%
24
42.9%
Q2 - 4:34NOHMISS Moiso 6' Jump Shot27
55.2%
24
44.8%
Q2 - 4:50NOHMoiso REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
57.1%
24
42.9%
Q2 - 4:52MIAMISS Best Layup27
56.3%
24
43.7%
Q2 - 5:06MIAHEAT Rebound27
54.0%
24
46.0%
Q2 - 5:07NOHMISS Mashburn 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
54.9%
24
45.1%
Q2 - 5:24NOHHornets Rebound27
57.1%
24
42.9%
Q2 - 5:25MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
56.1%
24
43.9%
Q2 - 5:49MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
54.0%
24
46.0%
Q2 - 5:50NOHMISS Campbell 11' Jump Shot27
55.0%
24
45.0%
Q2 - 5:56NOHPack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
57.0%
24
43.0%
Q2 - 5:58NOHMISS Campbell 10' Jump Shot27
55.0%
24
45.0%
Q2 - 6:16MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)27
57.0%
24
43.0%
Q2 - 6:16MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)27
57.6%
23
42.4%
Q2 - 6:18MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
59.1%
22
40.9%
Q2 - 6:22MIAMISS Allen 13' Jump Shot27
61.4%
22
38.6%
Q2 - 6:32NOHMoiso Dunk (2 PTS) (Wesley 3 AST)27
59.2%
22
40.8%
Q2 - 6:38NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
57.0%
22
43.0%
Q2 - 6:40MIAMISS Stepania Layup25
56.0%
22
44.0%
Q2 - 6:45MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
53.8%
22
46.2%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Jones Layup25
56.0%
22
44.0%
Q2 - 7:09MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
53.7%
22
46.3%
Q2 - 7:11NOHMISS Alexander Layup25
54.6%
22
45.4%
Q2 - 7:29MIAButler 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
56.5%
22
43.5%
Q2 - 7:52NOHWesley 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Alexander 1 AST)25
58.9%
20
41.1%
Q2 - 8:09NOHWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
56.3%
20
43.7%
Q2 - 8:11MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot23
55.4%
20
44.6%
Q2 - 8:28MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
53.4%
20
46.6%
Q2 - 8:30NOHMISS Campbell 14' Jump Shot23
54.3%
20
45.7%
Q2 - 8:52NOHCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
56.3%
20
43.7%
Q2 - 8:54MIAMISS Stepania 17' Jump Shot23
55.4%
20
44.6%
Q2 - 9:11NOHButler STEAL (1 STL)23
53.1%
20
46.9%
Q2 - 9:29MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)23
55.9%
20
44.1%
Q2 - 9:38MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
53.1%
20
46.9%
Q2 - 9:39NOHJones BLOCK (1 BLK)23
54.0%
20
46.0%
Q2 - 9:57MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)23
56.0%
20
44.0%
Q2 - 10:03NOHAllen STEAL (1 STL)23
52.9%
20
47.1%
Q2 - 10:22MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)23
55.7%
20
44.3%
Q2 - 10:35NOHPack Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
52.9%
20
47.1%
Q2 - 10:35NOHPack Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
52.4%
20
47.6%
Q2 - 10:43NOHCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
50.8%
20
49.2%
Q2 - 10:45MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot21
49.9%
20
50.1%
Q2 - 11:06MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)21
47.9%
20
52.1%
Q2 - 11:08NOHMISS Alexander 15' Jump Shot21
48.6%
20
51.4%
Q2 - 11:12NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)21
50.3%
20
49.7%
Q2 - 11:14MIAMISS Butler 5' Jump Shot21
49.6%
20
50.4%
Q2 - 11:20MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
47.9%
20
52.1%
Q2 - 11:21NOHMISS Alexander Layup21
48.6%
20
51.4%
Q2 - 11:33NOHAlexander REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
50.3%
20
49.7%
Q2 - 11:35MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
49.6%
20
50.4%
Q2 - 11:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
47.9%
20
52.1%
Q2 - 11:44NOHMISS Campbell 15' Jump Shot21
48.7%
20
51.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH21
50.4%
20
49.6%
Q1 - 0:15.0NOHCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
49.8%
20
50.2%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup21
49.2%
20
50.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0NOHCampbell 10' Hook Shot (2 PTS)21
48.0%
20
52.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0NOHHornets Rebound19
45.1%
20
54.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot19
44.5%
20
55.5%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAHEAT Rebound19
43.3%
20
56.7%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot19
44.5%
20
55.5%
Q1 - 1:05NOHGrant STEAL (1 STL)19
43.3%
20
56.7%
Q1 - 1:19NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
45.1%
20
54.9%
Q1 - 1:21MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot19
44.6%
20
55.4%
Q1 - 1:41MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)19
43.3%
20
56.7%
Q1 - 1:43NOHMISS Mashburn 15' Jump Shot19
43.9%
20
56.1%
Q1 - 2:10MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)19
45.5%
20
54.5%
Q1 - 2:32NOHWesley 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
50.3%
17
49.7%
Q1 - 2:46NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
47.8%
17
52.2%
Q1 - 2:49NOHMISS Mashburn 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
46.3%
17
53.7%
Q1 - 3:09MIAButler Driving Layup (4 PTS)17
47.9%
17
52.1%
Q1 - 3:12MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)17
49.8%
15
50.2%
Q1 - 3:15NOHMISS Wesley 27' 3PT Jump Shot17
50.6%
15
49.4%
Q1 - 3:18NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)17
52.4%
15
47.6%
Q1 - 3:21MIAMISS Butler Layup17
51.6%
15
48.4%
Q1 - 3:41NOHBrown Dunk (4 PTS) (Lynch 2 AST)17
49.9%
15
50.1%
Q1 - 3:44MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)15
47.9%
15
52.1%
Q1 - 4:01MIAHEAT Rebound15
45.2%
15
54.8%
Q1 - 4:03NOHMISS Mashburn 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
46.0%
15
54.0%
Q1 - 4:18MIAAllen 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)15
47.9%
15
52.1%
Q1 - 4:23MIAHEAT Rebound15
49.6%
13
50.4%
Q1 - 4:24MIAMISS Butler Dunk15
51.5%
13
48.5%
Q1 - 4:25MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
49.6%
13
50.4%
Q1 - 4:28NOHMISS Mashburn Free Throw 2 of 215
50.0%
13
50.0%
Q1 - 4:28NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
51.6%
13
48.4%
Q1 - 4:50MIAAllen 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
50.1%
13
49.9%
Q1 - 5:07NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
51.6%
11
48.4%
Q1 - 5:07NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
51.3%
11
48.7%
Q1 - 5:20MIAButler Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
49.7%
11
50.3%
Q1 - 5:25MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
51.6%
9
48.4%
Q1 - 5:26NOHMISS Wesley 19' Jump Shot12
52.3%
9
47.7%
Q1 - 5:34NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)12
53.9%
9
46.1%
Q1 - 5:40MIAMISS Jones 6' Running Jump Shot12
53.2%
9
46.8%
Q1 - 5:56MIAHEAT Rebound12
51.6%
9
48.4%
Q1 - 5:57NOHMISS Mashburn Layup12
52.3%
9
47.7%
Q1 - 6:02NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)12
53.4%
9
46.6%
Q1 - 6:04MIAMISS Grant Layup12
52.7%
9
47.3%
Q1 - 6:15MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
51.3%
9
48.7%
Q1 - 6:17NOHMISS Wesley 20' Jump Shot12
51.9%
9
48.1%
Q1 - 6:41MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
53.4%
9
46.6%
Q1 - 7:00NOHMagloire Reverse Dunk (8 PTS) (Wesley 2 AST)12
57.3%
6
42.7%
Q1 - 7:05MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)10
54.9%
6
45.1%
Q1 - 7:10MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
52.8%
6
47.2%
Q1 - 7:12NOHMISS Mashburn 12' Jump Shot10
53.4%
6
46.6%
Q1 - 7:28NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
54.9%
6
45.1%
Q1 - 7:30MIAMISS Allen 7' Hook Shot10
54.3%
6
45.7%
Q1 - 7:46MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
52.8%
6
47.2%
Q1 - 7:48NOHMISS Brown Layup10
53.5%
6
46.5%
Q1 - 7:57NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
54.9%
6
45.1%
Q1 - 8:00MIAMISS Butler 7' Jump Shot10
54.3%
6
45.7%
Q1 - 8:14NOHMashburn Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
53.0%
6
47.0%
Q1 - 8:14NOHMashburn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
52.8%
6
47.2%
Q1 - 8:18NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
51.3%
6
48.7%
Q1 - 8:20MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot8
50.7%
6
49.3%
Q1 - 8:43NOHMashburn Layup (2 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)8
49.2%
6
50.8%
Q1 - 8:48MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
47.5%
6
52.5%
Q1 - 8:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
45.4%
6
54.6%
Q1 - 9:01MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot6
46.7%
6
53.3%
Q1 - 9:18NOHMagloire Dunk (6 PTS) (Lynch 1 AST)6
45.1%
6
54.9%
Q1 - 9:22NOHLynch REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
43.7%
6
56.3%
Q1 - 9:24MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot4
43.0%
6
57.0%
Q1 - 9:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
41.4%
6
58.6%
Q1 - 9:40NOHMISS Magloire 11' Jump Shot4
42.1%
6
57.9%
Q1 - 9:47NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
43.7%
6
56.3%
Q1 - 9:48MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup4
43.0%
6
57.0%
Q1 - 9:52NOHBest STEAL (1 STL)4
41.4%
6
58.6%
Q1 - 10:11MIAAllen 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)4
43.6%
6
56.4%
Q1 - 10:23MIAHEAT Rebound4
45.2%
4
54.8%
Q1 - 10:25NOHMISS Lynch 20' Jump Shot4
45.8%
4
54.2%
Q1 - 10:35NOHMashburn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
47.3%
4
52.7%
Q1 - 10:37MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot4
46.6%
4
53.4%
Q1 - 10:43NOHMagloire Dunk (4 PTS)4
45.1%
4
54.9%
Q1 - 10:45NOHMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
43.6%
4
56.4%
Q1 - 10:47NOHGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)2
42.1%
4
57.9%
Q1 - 10:57MIAGrant Dunk (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)2
43.6%
4
56.4%
Q1 - 11:15NOHMagloire 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Mashburn 1 AST)2
45.4%
2
54.6%
Q1 - 11:33MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
43.4%
2
56.6%
Q1 - 11:33MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
43.7%
1
56.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Magloire: Tip to Best0
45.3%
0
54.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
0.87 43.3%
MIA
0.83 41.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOH
16
26
62%
MIA
11
22
50%
Midrange
NOH
14
41
34%
MIA
12
39
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOH
1
1.5
9
11%
17%
MIA
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
Free Throws
NOH
15
21
71%
MIA
11
12
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Mashburn1538%7.5 / 20
J. Magloire1563%7.5 / 12
D. Wesley1134%5.5 / 16
P. Brown1063%5.0 / 8
C. Alexander1036%5.0 / 14
G. Lynch660%3.0 / 5
R. Traylor583%2.5 / 3
R. Pack2100%1.0 / 1
J. Moiso233%1.0 / 3
E. Campbell220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2676%13.0 / 17
M. Allen1439%7.0 / 18
C. Butler1137%5.5 / 15
B. Grant643%3.0 / 7
E. House440%2.0 / 5
S. Marks467%2.0 / 3
T. Best250%1.0 / 2
R. Butler250%1.0 / 2
M. James0-0.0 / 5
V. Stepania0-0.0 / 3
L. Ellis0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH
73
+17
-14
90
MIA
73
+9
-11
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH
0.87 43.3%
MIA
0.83 41.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
101.4
94.5
NOH 89.7 +7.5
MIA 82.1
Pace
91.7
90.0
NOH 90.1 +8.9
MIA 81.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.2
NOH 16.0 +1.8
MIA 17.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.5%
43.9%
NOH 41.4% +2.7%
MIA 38.7%
TO %
15.2%
14.8%
NOH 14.1%
MIA 13.0% +1.1%
ORB %
31.8%
26.8%
NOH 35.9% +21.3%
MIA 14.6%
FTrt
28.5
25.9
NOH 27.6 +11.6
MIA 16.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.0%
55.8%
NOH 64.5% +16.4%
MIA 48.1%
STL %
8.6%
7.9%
NOH 8.0%
MIA 10.7% +2.7%
BLK %
7.1%
6.4%
NOH 8.2% +2.2%
MIA 6.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.7%
46.0%
NOH 43.3% +1.7%
MIA 41.6%
Rim FG%
53.8%
53.7%
NOH 61.5% +11.5%
MIA 50.0%
Mid FG%
39.0%
37.6%
NOH 34.1% +3.3%
MIA 30.8%
3P %
37.6%
31.6%
NOH 11.1%
MIA 28.6% +17.5%
FT %
76.8%
76.5%
NOH 71.4%
MIA 91.7% +20.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
28.9%
NOH 34.2% +4.9%
MIA 29.3%
Mid Att. %
51.7%
54.2%
NOH 53.9%
MIA 52.0% +1.9%
3P Att. %
16.1%
16.9%
NOH 11.8%
MIA 18.7% +6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsNOHMIA
Possessions8784
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points7869
Rebounds4931
Assists2013
Steals79
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (4)25 (6)
Field Goals31-7627-75
At-the-Rim FG16-2611-22
Midrange FG14-4112-39
2-Point FG30-6723-61
3-Point FG1-94-14
Free Throws15-2111-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 247 · 30
38.1
15
38%
14
3
2
2
4
2
0
14
3-4
75%
6-14
43%
0-4
0%
F · 6'11" 239 · 33
35.5
10
63%
8
4
0
0
1
1
4
4
4-4
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 203 · 32
35.0
11
34%
2
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-12
33%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 265 · 25
27.4
15
63%
7
0
0
0
2
2
3
4
1-2
50%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 235 · 32
26.6
6
60%
5
3
1
0
0
2
3
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 26
28.4
10
36%
3
3
0
0
2
1
2
1
2-5
40%
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 34
16.2
2
100%
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 260 · 25
12.5
2
33%
2
0
1
2
3
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 26
12.0
5
83%
4
2
1
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 35
8.4
2
20%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 213 · 35
G · 6'3" 184 · 28
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
78
43%
49
20
7
5
14
0
14
35
15-21
71%
30-67
45%
1-9
11%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.