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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 11, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Celtics44%9582
14SuperSonics56%9776
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.5
42.4
37.3
17
41%
12
5
0
1
0
4
0
12
2-2
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
43%
1-8
13%
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.0
30.8
14.9
14
72%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
49%
2-5
40%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.6
30.0
23.9
9
61%
3
0
2
1
2
0
2
1
3-3
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
J.R. Bremer
G · 6'2" 185 · 22.4
27.4
31.1
4
23%
2
4
3
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
0-3
2-5
0%
41%
1-5
20%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 25.3
16.2
36.7
14
60%
0
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
6-6
100%
4-9
7-14
44%
46%
0-0
-
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 29.0
32.4
20.2
5
31%
6
1
2
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
1-6
17%
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 27.9
23.9
13.7
8
80%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
2-3
67%
Grant Long
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.9
21.0
12.2
2
100%
7
1
0
0
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.2
15.9
10.6
9
48%
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
1-1
100%
4-9
1-2
44%
48%
0-0
-
Kedrick Brown
G-F · 6'7" 222 · 21.9
8.0
0
1-1
45%
Bruno Sundov
C · 7'2" 260 · 23.0
3.1
0
0-1
44%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 34.6
45.1
37.4
23
47%
7
11
2
1
0
4
2
5
5-8
63%
9-18
7-15
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 25.3
43.4
38.9
17
39%
8
4
0
1
1
1
2
6
5-7
71%
6-17
6-14
35%
46%
0-2
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
38.0
36.9
15
34%
7
0
1
1
1
4
3
4
1-2
50%
7-17
5-11
41%
49%
0-4
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 22.7
30.8
17.7
5
69%
16
0
0
1
1
2
7
9
3-6
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 27.2
6.6
18.0
2
33%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 31.1
31.9
21.3
0
0%
5
4
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-3
0%
Kenny Anderson
G · 6'1" 168 · 32.3
12.0
20.7
4
69%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
3-7
50%
44%
0-0
-
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 27.3
11.1
13.6
4
41%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
0-0
-
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 27.9
9.4
7.8
4
67%
1
0
2
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 26.8
6.5
14.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Ansu Sesay
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.5
5.2
12.4
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
0-0
-
Joseph Forte
G · 6'4" 194 · 21.9
2.4
0
0-1
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.