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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 11, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Nuggets17%8893
3Lakers83%99121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.6
30.6
17.0
6
63%
10
2
0
1
0
4
4
6
4-4
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
42%
0-0
-
Junior Harrington
G · 6'4" 190 · 22.4
28.5
23.0
6
43%
6
2
2
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-7
2-6
43%
37%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.0
27.7
34.4
18
60%
1
2
1
1
0
4
1
0
2-2
100%
8-14
7-15
57%
45%
0-0
-
Vincent Yarbrough
F · 6'7" 210 · 21.9
24.7
18.9
18
62%
1
3
2
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
7-13
2-5
54%
41%
1-1
100%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 20.4
20.1
30.2
12
67%
3
1
0
2
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
6-9
4-8
67%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Whitney
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.4
30.1
24.1
14
62%
1
5
0
1
0
4
0
1
3-3
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
40%
1-4
25%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
16.1
1.7
2
13%
4
3
0
0
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-8
0-0
13%
43%
0-0
-
Nikoloz Tskitishvili
F · 7'0" 225 · 19.8
16.0
11.6
4
42%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 27.2
14.5
15.1
0
0%
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Rodney White
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.6
11.9
28.1
4
40%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
4-9
40%
45%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 27.2
11.3
10.7
4
58%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
2-3
1-3
67%
41%
0-0
-
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.5
8.6
21.0
5
36%
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 24.5
31.5
40.5
42
72%
2
5
4
2
0
1
0
2
17-21
81%
11-17
9-19
65%
48%
1-3
33%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 30.9
30.9
37.2
20
63%
8
5
1
1
3
3
4
4
4-4
100%
8-14
9-17
57%
56%
0-0
-
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 27.0
28.6
18.3
14
80%
3
3
0
0
3
1
1
2
4-4
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
47%
0-0
-
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.6
23.7
23.5
3
30%
5
5
3
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 28.5
22.5
35.3
10
85%
0
1
0
1
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
45%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.3
25.4
8.7
10
42%
9
1
1
0
0
3
4
5
0-0
-
5-10
1-2
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 32.5
24.3
28.1
2
100%
7
5
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.5
21.6
24.2
10
63%
7
0
1
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
42%
2-3
67%
Brian Shaw
G · 6'6" 200 · 36.9
16.6
9.1
4
67%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
42%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 23.9
6.1
7.8
4
50%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 27.0
6.1
1.4
2
25%
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-0
25%
42%
0-0
-
Tracy Murray
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.6
2.7
0.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.