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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 12, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Nets63%10090
26Grizzlies37%9697
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 22.6
40.4
33.2
10
52%
8
2
1
1
1
5
3
5
6-6
100%
2-7
5-10
29%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.9
38.5
32.8
28
58%
8
6
1
2
1
4
1
7
8-9
89%
4-13
5-10
31%
46%
4-7
57%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.2
34.5
24.9
6
44%
9
0
1
1
2
1
3
6
4-4
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
42%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.1
34.5
32.5
15
47%
6
3
2
1
1
5
1
5
3-7
43%
6-13
6-13
46%
47%
0-0
-
Kerry Kittles
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.7
33.1
30.7
14
54%
4
4
1
2
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
51%
2-7
29%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
21.3
25.9
2
50%
5
2
1
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.2
15.1
20.8
3
22%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
0-5
3-7
0%
46%
0-0
-
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 31.4
13.1
22.0
8
50%
4
0
0
0
2
0
4
0
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.4
9.6
14.7
4
41%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
2-4
2-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Tamar Slay
G · 6'8" 220 · 22.9
3.1
0
0-1
46%
Chris Childs
G · 6'3" 195 · 35.2
2.9
0
0-1
36%
Brandon Armstrong
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.7
1.8
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 23.7
40.1
25.3
21
72%
8
6
4
1
0
4
3
5
6-6
100%
3-7
2-6
43%
44%
3-5
60%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.6
37.7
37.9
7
30%
8
5
0
1
2
1
1
7
3-8
38%
2-7
7-15
29%
50%
0-1
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.4
31.7
34.4
8
51%
8
2
5
1
2
3
1
7
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 27.3
28.1
33.2
11
45%
5
2
1
1
0
4
1
4
3-5
60%
4-10
5-12
40%
45%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.6
19.9
28.3
8
57%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.9
28.4
12.7
14
73%
3
0
1
0
0
3
0
3
5-6
83%
3-6
1-2
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.4
24.2
27.1
11
46%
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
3-10
5-11
30%
44%
1-1
100%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.2
18.9
4.0
8
47%
7
1
0
0
1
1
4
3
6-8
75%
1-5
1-1
20%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Batiste
· 6'8" 225 · 25.2
11.0
14.9
9
64%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 27.2
19.2
1
2-4
44%
Michael Dickerson
G · 6'5" 190 · 27.6
7.3
0
1-2
39%
Cezary Trybanski
C · 7'2" 240 · 23.4
2.6
0
0-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.