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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 12, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Rockets24%91106
3Jazz76%10076
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.4
39.4
38.7
8
37%
5
2
2
1
1
2
2
3
2-2
100%
3-9
5-10
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 26.0
37.9
38.0
36
73%
3
7
2
1
0
2
0
3
11-13
85%
8-14
5-12
57%
43%
3-5
60%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 26.1
35.7
22.1
13
65%
6
2
3
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
42%
1-3
33%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 22.4
34.0
33.9
15
61%
6
1
0
0
3
2
0
6
3-3
100%
6-11
5-11
55%
50%
0-0
-
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 20.7
22.5
25.6
10
71%
11
1
1
0
1
1
4
7
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
41%
2-2
100%
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 26.3
22.2
20.6
13
73%
4
1
1
0
0
2
3
1
1-2
50%
6-8
3-8
75%
42%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 29.5
14.0
15.8
3
39%
4
3
1
1
0
4
0
4
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-0
-
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 24.1
12.4
24.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 28.5
10.6
11.8
2
53%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Juaquin Hawkins
F · 6'7" 205 · 29.6
4.7
1.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
41%
0-0
-
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.4
3.3
2.8
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 22.6
3.3
1.7
2
29%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-2
0-0
50%
41%
0-1
0%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.7
31.0
31.4
10
31%
10
1
0
1
0
2
4
6
2-2
100%
4-14
5-11
29%
51%
0-1
0%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 39.6
28.6
37.7
13
44%
4
3
1
2
0
0
0
4
5-6
83%
4-12
8-17
33%
45%
0-0
-
John Stockton
G · 6'1" 175 · 40.9
22.1
28.8
10
92%
0
1
4
2
0
3
0
0
1-1
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
50%
1-1
100%
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 29.9
21.2
26.1
2
26%
4
0
1
0
3
1
1
3
0-2
0%
1-3
2-5
33%
50%
0-0
-
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 31.6
21.0
27.7
8
80%
2
3
2
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
4-8
80%
48%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.0
31.1
29.1
15
66%
5
1
4
1
1
3
3
2
9-10
90%
3-5
3-6
60%
52%
0-2
0%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 35.5
19.1
15.5
3
26%
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.8
19.0
14.8
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Mark Jackson
G · 6'3" 195 · 37.9
17.6
16.7
8
68%
2
3
1
0
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
44%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 21.9
13.0
5.8
3
31%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
42%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.5
8.3
1.4
2
25%
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-0
25%
43%
0-0
-
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 32.2
8.0
3.9
2
33%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
40%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.