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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 14, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Mavericks74%107110
25Grizzlies26%99103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 29.9
43.9
39.0
29
60%
8
3
1
1
0
2
2
6
7-7
100%
5-10
6-12
50%
48%
4-11
36%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.7
42.4
37.9
31
73%
6
1
2
1
1
3
0
6
5-5
100%
10-13
7-14
77%
51%
2-6
33%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 29.0
34.3
30.1
16
58%
2
13
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.7
29.9
20.1
12
60%
14
0
0
0
0
2
7
7
0-0
-
6-10
3-5
60%
53%
0-0
-
Evan Eschmeyer
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.7
6.3
7.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 30.9
26.6
16.0
12
89%
10
2
1
1
5
0
2
8
4-4
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
51%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.2
23.3
29.9
3
30%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
45%
1-4
25%
Walt Williams
F-G · 6'8" 230 · 32.8
17.8
12.5
5
31%
5
0
0
0
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
44%
1-3
33%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.6
10.8
12.2
2
53%
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
54%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 28.6
4.6
13.4
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.4
18.4
1
1-3
48%
Antoine Rigaudeau
G · 6'7" 210 · 31.2
3.7
0
0-1
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.6
33.1
36.7
25
63%
7
3
0
1
0
1
4
3
9-13
69%
8-14
7-14
57%
50%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 24.4
31.7
31.5
11
79%
5
1
2
1
2
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
3-5
60%
Wesley Person
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.9
30.6
24.3
14
51%
2
1
3
1
0
0
1
1
4-6
67%
5-6
2-4
83%
47%
0-5
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 27.2
30.2
10.4
15
63%
2
6
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
45%
3-6
50%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 27.3
27.5
28.9
3
14%
6
3
2
1
1
2
1
5
1-2
50%
1-10
5-10
10%
46%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 23.2
20.5
15.0
5
36%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 23.7
17.8
34.1
9
85%
0
6
1
2
1
0
0
0
2-3
67%
2-2
3-7
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Michael Dickerson
G · 6'5" 190 · 27.6
17.4
6.0
7
72%
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
41%
1-2
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 21.4
16.3
24.7
7
44%
5
0
0
1
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
1-5
4-10
20%
45%
1-2
50%
Mike Batiste
· 6'8" 225 · 25.2
14.9
12.0
7
96%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
5-6
83%
1-1
2-4
100%
43%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.7
21.9
0
3-6
45%
Cezary Trybanski
C · 7'2" 240 · 23.4
1.5
0
0-0
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.