FinalWin Prob.pScore
2433%88
94
1767%93
82
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
108.08782.2
HOU logo HOU
94.38792.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA94
100%
82
0%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)94
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0HOUMISS Francis 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUROCKETS Rebound94
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0HOUMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)94
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMISS House Free Throw 2 of 294
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)94
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0HOUPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)93
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)93
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 292
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAHeat Rebound92
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0HOUMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot92
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)92
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)91
99.7%
82
0.3%
Q4 - 0:49.0HOUPosey Reverse Layup (6 PTS)90
99.5%
82
0.5%
Q4 - 1:03MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Best 6 AST)90
99.5%
80
0.5%
Q4 - 1:22HOUMobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)87
97.5%
80
2.5%
Q4 - 1:29MIAFrancis STEAL (3 STL)87
98.9%
77
1.1%
Q4 - 1:44HOUGriffin 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Yao 3 AST)87
99.1%
77
0.9%
Q4 - 2:03MIAStepania 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)87
99.5%
74
0.5%
Q4 - 2:23MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)85
99.3%
74
0.7%
Q4 - 2:25HOUMISS Mobley Driving Layup85
99.2%
74
0.8%
Q4 - 2:43MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)85
98.6%
74
1.4%
Q4 - 2:43MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)84
98.5%
74
1.5%
Q4 - 2:58MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)83
97.4%
74
2.6%
Q4 - 3:00HOUMISS Yao 9' Turnaround Jump Shot83
97.0%
74
3.0%
Q4 - 3:08HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)83
95.5%
74
4.5%
Q4 - 3:10MIAMISS Butler 10' Jump Shot83
96.3%
74
3.7%
Q4 - 3:36HOUYao 6' Hook Shot (10 PTS)83
95.0%
74
5.0%
Q4 - 3:53MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)83
96.6%
72
3.4%
Q4 - 3:53MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)82
96.5%
72
3.5%
Q4 - 3:59HOUMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)81
95.4%
72
4.6%
Q4 - 3:59HOUMISS Mobley Free Throw 1 of 281
95.6%
71
4.4%
Q4 - 4:18MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 181
95.6%
71
4.4%
Q4 - 4:18MIAButler Reverse Layup (24 PTS)81
95.4%
71
4.6%
Q4 - 4:29MIAHeat Rebound79
93.7%
71
6.3%
Q4 - 4:33HOUMISS Griffin 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
92.9%
71
7.1%
Q4 - 4:50HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
91.0%
71
9.0%
Q4 - 4:52MIAMISS Butler 12' Fadeaway Jumper79
92.0%
71
8.0%
Q4 - 5:06HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)79
90.6%
71
9.4%
Q4 - 5:06HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)79
91.1%
70
8.9%
Q4 - 5:27MIAGrant Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Best 5 AST)79
93.1%
69
6.9%
Q4 - 5:38MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)77
90.8%
69
9.2%
Q4 - 5:38HOUMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 277
90.4%
69
9.6%
Q4 - 5:38HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)77
88.3%
69
11.7%
Q4 - 5:57HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
90.8%
68
9.2%
Q4 - 5:58MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot77
91.6%
68
8.4%
Q4 - 6:10MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
90.8%
68
9.2%
Q4 - 6:12HOUMISS Taylor 11' Jump Shot77
89.9%
68
10.1%
Q4 - 6:15HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)77
87.5%
68
12.5%
Q4 - 6:17HOUMISS Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
89.9%
68
10.1%
Q4 - 6:40MIAHouse 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Best 4 AST)77
87.6%
68
12.4%
Q4 - 6:55HOUMorris 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Norris 1 AST)75
84.6%
68
15.4%
Q4 - 7:14MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)75
87.9%
65
12.1%
Q4 - 7:38MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
90.9%
65
9.1%
Q4 - 7:40HOUMISS Francis Driving Layup75
90.1%
65
9.9%
Q4 - 8:00MIABest 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)75
88.1%
65
11.9%
Q4 - 8:14MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)73
82.5%
65
17.5%
Q4 - 8:16MIAMISS Butler 17' Fadeaway Jumper73
79.7%
65
20.3%
Q4 - 8:38HOUFrancis Layup (24 PTS)73
82.6%
65
17.4%
Q4 - 8:39HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)73
85.9%
63
14.1%
Q4 - 8:41HOUMISS Taylor 9' Hook Shot73
88.0%
63
12.0%
Q4 - 8:59MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)73
86.0%
63
14.0%
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 272
85.2%
63
14.8%
Q4 - 9:15MIAHeat Rebound72
83.8%
63
16.2%
Q4 - 9:17HOUMISS Taylor 20' Jump Shot72
82.8%
63
17.2%
Q4 - 9:37HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
80.2%
63
19.8%
Q4 - 9:39MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot72
81.4%
63
18.6%
Q4 - 9:51MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
84.0%
63
16.0%
Q4 - 9:53HOUMISS Taylor 7' Hook Shot72
82.9%
63
17.1%
Q4 - 10:18MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)72
78.1%
63
21.9%
Q4 - 10:43HOUTaylor 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)70
74.4%
63
25.6%
Q4 - 11:03HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
76.6%
61
23.4%
Q4 - 11:05MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot70
77.8%
61
22.2%
Q4 - 11:20MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
80.5%
61
19.5%
Q4 - 11:21HOUMISS Cato Layup70
79.4%
61
20.6%
Q4 - 11:23HOUCato REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)70
76.7%
61
23.3%
Q4 - 11:25HOUMISS Morris 21' Jump Shot70
79.4%
61
20.6%
Q4 - 11:39HOUCato REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)70
76.7%
61
23.3%
Q4 - 11:41MIAMISS Allen 13' Turnaround Jump Shot70
77.9%
61
22.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU70
80.6%
61
19.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound70
76.8%
61
23.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Mobley 50' 3PT Running Jump Shot70
79.5%
61
20.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
74.7%
61
25.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Stepania Layup70
75.9%
61
24.1%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
78.5%
61
21.5%
Q3 - 0:27.0HOUMISS Posey 20' Jump Shot70
77.4%
61
22.6%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAGriffin STEAL (1 STL)70
74.9%
61
25.1%
Q3 - 1:01HOUFrancis Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T7)70
76.5%
61
23.5%
Q3 - 1:09MIAButler Foul Turnover (P3.T7)70
72.7%
61
27.3%
Q3 - 1:17MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)70
76.6%
61
23.4%
Q3 - 1:19HOUMISS Posey 20' Jump Shot70
75.4%
61
24.6%
Q3 - 1:37MIAButler 14' Jump Shot (22 PTS)70
72.8%
61
27.2%
Q3 - 2:03HOUFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)68
66.7%
61
33.3%
Q3 - 2:10HOUPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
62.1%
61
37.9%
Q3 - 2:12MIAMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot68
63.6%
61
36.4%
Q3 - 2:33MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)68
66.9%
61
33.1%
Q3 - 2:34HOUMISS Griffin 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
65.5%
61
34.5%
Q3 - 2:38HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)68
62.3%
61
37.7%
Q3 - 2:40HOUMISS Mobley 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
65.5%
61
34.5%
Q3 - 2:58HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)68
62.3%
61
37.7%
Q3 - 3:00MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
63.8%
61
36.2%
Q3 - 3:10MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)68
65.7%
61
34.3%
Q3 - 3:12HOUMISS Francis 27' 3PT Jump Shot68
64.3%
61
35.7%
Q3 - 3:17HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)68
61.3%
61
38.7%
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS Butler 22' Fadeaway Jumper68
62.6%
61
37.4%
Q3 - 3:47HOUGriffin 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Yao 2 AST)68
65.7%
61
34.3%
Q3 - 4:04MIAButler Layup (20 PTS)68
67.4%
59
32.6%
Q3 - 4:20HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)66
64.2%
59
35.8%
Q3 - 4:20HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)66
64.9%
58
35.1%
Q3 - 4:33HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)66
67.5%
57
32.5%
Q3 - 4:33MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 266
68.1%
57
31.9%
Q3 - 4:33MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 266
70.4%
57
29.6%
Q3 - 4:59HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
71.8%
57
28.2%
Q3 - 4:59HOUYao Layup (8 PTS)66
71.8%
57
28.2%
Q3 - 5:00HOUMISS Griffin 7' Jump Shot66
77.2%
55
22.8%
Q3 - 5:02HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)66
73.3%
55
26.7%
Q3 - 5:03HOUMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
75.7%
55
24.3%
Q3 - 5:25MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)66
73.4%
55
26.6%
Q3 - 5:46HOUMobley 7' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)64
70.3%
55
29.7%
Q3 - 5:53HOUPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
73.4%
53
26.6%
Q3 - 5:55HOUMISS Yao Layup64
75.8%
53
24.2%
Q3 - 6:16MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)64
71.7%
53
28.3%
Q3 - 6:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
68.6%
53
31.4%
Q3 - 6:31MIAMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
66.0%
53
34.0%
Q3 - 6:53HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)62
68.7%
53
31.3%
Q3 - 6:53HOUMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 262
69.3%
52
30.7%
Q3 - 7:05HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
66.8%
52
33.2%
Q3 - 7:07MIAMISS Butler 13' Turnaround Jump Shot62
68.0%
52
32.0%
Q3 - 7:26HOUGriffin 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)62
70.6%
52
29.4%
Q3 - 7:43MIAButler 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)62
73.3%
50
26.7%
Q3 - 7:59MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
70.7%
50
29.3%
Q3 - 7:59HOUMISS Posey Free Throw 2 of 260
70.2%
50
29.8%
Q3 - 7:59HOUMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 260
67.9%
50
32.1%
Q3 - 8:02HOUMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
66.0%
50
34.0%
Q3 - 8:03MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot60
67.1%
50
32.9%
Q3 - 8:11HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
69.7%
50
30.3%
Q3 - 8:11HOUGriffin Layup (7 PTS)60
69.7%
50
30.3%
Q3 - 8:13HOUMISS Francis Driving Layup60
74.7%
48
25.3%
Q3 - 8:39MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS)60
72.4%
48
27.6%
Q3 - 8:45MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
69.8%
48
30.2%
Q3 - 8:47HOUMISS Francis 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
68.7%
48
31.3%
Q3 - 8:59HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
66.0%
48
34.0%
Q3 - 9:01MIAMISS Allen 6' Hook Shot58
65.5%
48
34.5%
Q3 - 9:12MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
67.9%
48
32.1%
Q3 - 9:14HOUMISS Posey Reverse Layup58
66.9%
48
33.1%
Q3 - 9:24HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
64.6%
48
35.4%
Q3 - 9:26MIAMISS James Reverse Layup58
65.6%
48
34.4%
Q3 - 9:35HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
68.0%
48
32.0%
Q3 - 9:35HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
68.6%
47
31.4%
Q3 - 10:03MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 3 AST)58
69.3%
46
30.7%
Q3 - 10:28HOUPosey Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)56
66.7%
46
33.3%
Q3 - 10:28HOUPosey Driving Layup (3 PTS) (Mobley 3 AST)56
69.7%
45
30.3%
Q3 - 10:32HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
72.3%
43
27.7%
Q3 - 10:34MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot56
73.3%
43
26.7%
Q3 - 10:40HOUPosey Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)56
75.4%
43
24.6%
Q3 - 10:51HOUPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
72.4%
43
27.6%
Q3 - 10:53MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot56
73.3%
43
26.7%
Q3 - 11:11HOUFrancis Layup (19 PTS)56
73.9%
43
26.1%
Q3 - 11:12HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)56
76.4%
41
23.6%
Q3 - 11:13HOUMISS Mobley 3PT Jump Shot56
78.1%
41
21.9%
Q3 - 11:25HOUPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)56
76.4%
41
23.6%
Q3 - 11:27MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot56
77.2%
41
22.8%
Q3 - 11:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
79.0%
41
21.0%
Q3 - 11:41HOUMISS Griffin 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
78.2%
41
21.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA56
76.5%
41
23.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUFrancis 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS)56
79.0%
41
21.0%
Q2 - 0:18.0HOUCato REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)56
80.0%
39
20.0%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Best Driving Layup56
80.4%
39
19.6%
Q2 - 0:37.0HOUGriffin 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)56
81.5%
39
18.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
83.9%
37
16.1%
Q2 - 0:40.0HOUCato REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)56
83.9%
37
16.1%
Q2 - 0:40.0HOUMISS Cato Layup56
84.8%
37
15.2%
Q2 - 0:43.0HOUMISS Francis Layup56
84.8%
37
15.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
83.9%
37
16.1%
Q2 - 0:47.0HOUMISS Hawkins 22' Jump Shot56
84.8%
37
15.2%
Q2 - 1:00MIAAllen 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
84.0%
37
16.0%
Q2 - 1:19HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)54
80.3%
37
19.7%
Q2 - 1:19HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)54
80.7%
36
19.3%
Q2 - 1:26MIAButler Foul Turnover (P2.T6)54
83.1%
35
16.9%
Q2 - 1:35MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
84.1%
35
15.9%
Q2 - 1:35HOUMISS Hawkins Free Throw 2 of 254
83.9%
35
16.1%
Q2 - 1:35HOUMISS Hawkins Free Throw 1 of 254
82.7%
35
17.3%
Q2 - 1:46MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)54
83.1%
35
16.9%
Q2 - 1:46MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)53
82.8%
35
17.2%
Q2 - 1:58HOUMobley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
80.3%
35
19.7%
Q2 - 1:58HOUMISS Mobley Free Throw 1 of 252
80.6%
34
19.4%
Q2 - 2:17MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)52
79.6%
34
20.4%
Q2 - 2:17MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)51
79.2%
34
20.8%
Q2 - 2:25HOUGriffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)50
77.3%
34
22.7%
Q2 - 2:25HOUMISS Griffin Free Throw 1 of 250
78.0%
33
22.0%
Q2 - 2:36HOUPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
77.6%
33
22.4%
Q2 - 2:38MIAMISS Best 21' Jump Shot50
78.2%
33
21.8%
Q2 - 2:58MIAHeat Rebound50
79.5%
33
20.5%
Q2 - 2:59HOUMISS Posey Alley Oop Dunk50
78.9%
33
21.1%
Q2 - 3:05HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
75.3%
33
24.7%
Q2 - 3:06MIAMISS Best 13' Jump Shot50
76.1%
33
23.9%
Q2 - 3:20MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
77.8%
33
22.2%
Q2 - 3:20HOUMISS Francis Free Throw 2 of 250
77.5%
33
22.5%
Q2 - 3:20HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)50
76.1%
33
23.9%
Q2 - 3:37MIAAllen 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
77.6%
32
22.4%
Q2 - 3:39MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)48
75.7%
32
24.3%
Q2 - 3:41MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup48
74.0%
32
26.0%
Q2 - 3:59HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)48
75.8%
32
24.2%
Q2 - 3:59HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)48
76.2%
31
23.8%
Q2 - 4:01MIAFrancis STEAL (2 STL)48
76.0%
30
24.0%
Q2 - 4:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
78.0%
30
22.0%
Q2 - 4:05HOUMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot48
77.5%
30
22.5%
Q2 - 4:26HOUGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
76.1%
30
23.9%
Q2 - 4:26MIAMISS Best Free Throw 2 of 248
76.4%
30
23.6%
Q2 - 4:26MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)48
77.9%
30
22.1%
Q2 - 4:27HOUTaylor Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)47
76.1%
30
23.9%
Q2 - 4:43MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)47
74.0%
30
26.0%
Q2 - 5:02HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
70.9%
30
29.1%
Q2 - 5:02HOUMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 245
71.3%
29
28.7%
Q2 - 5:09HOUHawkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
70.7%
29
29.3%
Q2 - 5:10MIAMISS Best 14' Jump Shot45
71.4%
29
28.6%
Q2 - 5:29MIAHeat Rebound45
73.2%
29
26.8%
Q2 - 5:30HOUMISS Cato Layup45
72.4%
29
27.6%
Q2 - 5:31HOUCato REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)45
70.7%
29
29.3%
Q2 - 5:34HOUMISS Taylor 7' Hook Shot45
72.4%
29
27.6%
Q2 - 5:53MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 3 AST)45
70.7%
29
29.3%
Q2 - 6:05MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
67.5%
29
32.5%
Q2 - 6:07HOUMISS Hawkins 22' Jump Shot43
66.6%
29
33.4%
Q2 - 6:21HOUPosey Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)43
64.6%
29
35.4%
Q2 - 6:33MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)43
67.1%
28
32.9%
Q2 - 6:33MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
66.8%
28
33.2%
Q2 - 6:44HOUTaylor Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
65.1%
28
34.9%
Q2 - 6:44HOUTaylor Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
65.7%
27
34.3%
Q2 - 7:07MIAJames 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)41
65.7%
26
34.3%
Q2 - 7:13MIAHeat Rebound39
63.4%
26
36.6%
Q2 - 7:14MIACato BLOCK (1 BLK)39
61.6%
26
38.4%
Q2 - 7:28HOUCato REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)39
63.5%
26
36.5%
Q2 - 7:28HOUCato Follow Up Dunk (5 PTS)39
63.5%
26
36.5%
Q2 - 7:29HOUMISS Francis 21' Jump Shot39
67.5%
24
32.5%
Q2 - 7:43MIAGrant 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)39
65.8%
24
34.2%
Q2 - 7:59HOUCato Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)37
63.6%
24
36.4%
Q2 - 7:59HOUMISS Cato Free Throw 1 of 237
64.4%
23
35.6%
Q2 - 8:08MIAJames Driving Layup (8 PTS)37
62.5%
23
37.5%
Q2 - 8:38HOUCato REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)35
60.4%
23
39.6%
Q2 - 8:38HOUCato Tip Shot (2 PTS)35
60.4%
23
39.6%
Q2 - 8:39HOUMISS Taylor 11' Turnaround Jump Shot35
64.4%
21
35.6%
Q2 - 8:55MIACato STEAL (1 STL)35
62.5%
21
37.5%
Q2 - 9:18MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
64.0%
21
36.0%
Q2 - 9:18HOUMISS Norris Free Throw 2 of 235
63.7%
21
36.3%
Q2 - 9:18HOUNorris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
62.2%
21
37.8%
Q2 - 9:47MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
63.8%
20
36.2%
Q2 - 10:09HOUTaylor 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)32
58.9%
20
41.1%
Q2 - 10:31MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)32
60.9%
18
39.1%
Q2 - 10:40MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
56.4%
18
43.6%
Q2 - 10:42HOUMISS Taylor Layup29
55.6%
18
44.4%
Q2 - 11:06MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)29
52.7%
18
47.3%
Q2 - 11:06MIAStepania Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)28
50.3%
18
49.7%
Q2 - 11:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
47.9%
18
52.1%
Q2 - 11:23HOUMISS Mobley 3PT Jump Shot26
47.2%
18
52.8%
Q2 - 11:37HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
45.5%
18
54.5%
Q2 - 11:38HOUMISS Taylor 5' Jump Shot26
47.2%
18
52.8%
Q2 - 11:39HOUTaylor REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
45.5%
18
54.5%
Q2 - 11:41HOUMISS Mobley 11' Fadeaway Jumper26
47.2%
18
52.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU26
45.5%
18
54.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound26
45.5%
18
54.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Francis 29' 3PT Jump Shot26
47.2%
18
52.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0HOUCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
45.2%
18
54.8%
Q1 - 0:04.0HOUMISS Francis 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
46.4%
18
53.6%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAAllen 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
45.2%
18
54.8%
Q1 - 0:38.0HOUFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)24
42.3%
18
57.7%
Q1 - 0:38.0HOUFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)24
42.7%
17
57.3%
Q1 - 0:38.0HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
45.2%
16
54.8%
Q1 - 0:39.0HOUMISS Francis 5' Jump Shot24
46.4%
16
53.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)24
45.2%
16
54.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)23
44.8%
16
55.2%
Q1 - 1:13HOUFrancis 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)22
42.2%
16
57.8%
Q1 - 1:43MIAButler 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS)22
45.1%
14
54.9%
Q1 - 2:04HOUFrancis 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mobley 2 AST)20
42.3%
14
57.7%
Q1 - 2:22MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
47.1%
11
52.9%
Q1 - 2:22MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
46.8%
11
53.2%
Q1 - 2:40MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
44.6%
11
55.4%
Q1 - 2:43HOUMISS Griffin 22' Jump Shot18
43.9%
11
56.1%
Q1 - 3:06MIAMobley STEAL (1 STL)18
41.4%
11
58.6%
Q1 - 3:23HOUFrancis Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
43.9%
11
56.1%
Q1 - 3:37MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 2 AST)18
45.9%
9
54.1%
Q1 - 3:51HOUFrancis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)16
43.9%
9
56.1%
Q1 - 4:00MIAButler Reverse Layup (6 PTS)16
41.5%
9
58.5%
Q1 - 4:17MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
39.0%
9
61.0%
Q1 - 4:17HOUMISS Mobley Free Throw 2 of 214
38.7%
9
61.3%
Q1 - 4:17HOUMobley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
37.2%
9
62.8%
Q1 - 4:34HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
38.6%
8
61.4%
Q1 - 4:36MIAMISS Allen 7' Hook Shot14
39.4%
8
60.6%
Q1 - 4:55HOUYao Layup (4 PTS) (Morris 1 AST)14
41.2%
8
58.8%
Q1 - 5:09HOUMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
41.7%
6
58.3%
Q1 - 5:11MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot14
42.4%
6
57.6%
Q1 - 5:27MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
44.1%
6
55.9%
Q1 - 5:29MIAGriffin BLOCK (1 BLK)14
42.5%
6
57.5%
Q1 - 5:33MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
44.1%
6
55.9%
Q1 - 5:35HOUMISS Yao 9' Hook Shot14
43.4%
6
56.6%
Q1 - 5:50MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
41.9%
6
58.1%
Q1 - 6:08HOUGriffin 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)14
43.0%
6
57.0%
Q1 - 6:33MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)14
45.0%
4
55.0%
Q1 - 6:46HOUPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
43.1%
4
56.9%
Q1 - 7:05MIABest 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 7:17MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
38.2%
4
61.8%
Q1 - 7:19HOUMISS Yao 11' Turnaround Jump Shot10
37.6%
4
62.4%
Q1 - 7:45MIAButler Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)10
36.3%
4
63.7%
Q1 - 7:56MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
34.7%
4
65.3%
Q1 - 7:58HOUMISS Francis 14' Fadeaway Jumper8
34.1%
4
65.9%
Q1 - 8:20MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
32.6%
4
67.4%
Q1 - 8:20MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
32.4%
4
67.6%
Q1 - 8:35HOUYao 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
31.2%
4
68.8%
Q1 - 8:57MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (House 1 AST)6
32.6%
2
67.4%
Q1 - 9:10MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 9:12HOUMISS Griffin 22' Jump Shot4
30.5%
2
69.5%
Q1 - 9:28MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)4
29.1%
2
70.9%
Q1 - 9:40MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
28.0%
2
72.0%
Q1 - 9:42MIAMISS Butler Layup2
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 9:45MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
28.0%
2
72.0%
Q1 - 9:47HOUMISS Francis Layup2
27.4%
2
72.6%
Q1 - 10:01MIAFrancis STEAL (1 STL)2
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 10:10HOUGriffin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
27.7%
2
72.3%
Q1 - 10:17HOUPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 10:19MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot2
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 10:26MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.8%
2
72.2%
Q1 - 10:28HOUMISS Griffin 16' Jump Shot2
27.2%
2
72.8%
Q1 - 10:39HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.1%
2
73.9%
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot2
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 10:49HOUMobley 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Yao 1 AST)2
27.8%
2
72.2%
Q1 - 11:10MIABest 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
29.1%
0
70.9%
Q1 - 11:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.5%
0
72.5%
Q1 - 11:19HOUMISS Posey 19' Jump Shot0
27.1%
0
72.9%
Q1 - 11:43HOUFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.2%
0
73.8%
Q1 - 11:46MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot0
26.6%
0
73.4%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Yao vs. Grant: Tip to Best0
27.5%
0
72.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.3%
HOU
0.81 40.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
8
15
53%
HOU
10
24
42%
Midrange
MIA
23
46
50%
HOU
12
34
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
5
60%
90%
HOU
4
6.0
21
19%
29%
Free Throws
MIA
23
30
77%
HOU
26
40
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler2460%12.0 / 20
T. Best1558%7.5 / 13
M. James1575%7.5 / 10
M. Allen1464%7.0 / 11
E. House1267%6.0 / 9
R. Butler531%2.5 / 8
V. Stepania563%2.5 / 4
B. Grant429%2.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Francis2750%13.5 / 27
E. Griffin1450%7.0 / 14
C. Mobley1038%5.0 / 13
Yao1056%5.0 / 9
J. Posey625%3.0 / 12
M. Taylor627%3.0 / 11
K. Cato542%2.5 / 6
T. Morris350%1.5 / 3
M. Norris150%0.5 / 1
J. Hawkins0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+6
-9
84
HOU
79
+22
-8
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.3%
HOU
0.81 40.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
101.1
MIA 108.0
HOU 94.3 +13.8
Pace
90.0
91.6
MIA 82.2
HOU 92.5 +10.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.1
MIA 17.5
HOU 15.6 +2.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
47.4%
MIA 53.8% +18.4%
HOU 35.4%
TO %
14.8%
15.8%
MIA 11.2%
HOU 7.6% +3.6%
ORB %
26.8%
30.4%
MIA 14.3%
HOU 37.3% +23.0%
FTrt
25.9
31.6
MIA 45.5
HOU 50.6 +5.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
53.0%
MIA 41.2% +2.7%
HOU 38.5%
STL %
7.9%
7.9%
MIA 5.7%
HOU 6.9% +1.2%
BLK %
6.4%
8.9%
MIA 5.2% +1.9%
HOU 3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
49.5%
MIA 55.3% +14.7%
HOU 40.6%
Rim FG%
53.7%
58.1%
MIA 53.3% +11.6%
HOU 41.7%
Mid FG%
37.6%
37.5%
MIA 50.0% +14.7%
HOU 35.3%
3P %
31.6%
34.6%
MIA 60.0% +41.0%
HOU 19.0%
FT %
76.5%
76.8%
MIA 76.7% +11.7%
HOU 65.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
34.0%
MIA 22.7%
HOU 30.4% +7.7%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
46.4%
MIA 69.7%
HOU 43.0% +26.7%
3P Att. %
16.9%
19.6%
MIA 7.6%
HOU 26.6% +19.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIAHOU
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points9482
Rebounds3749
Assists1410
Steals56
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (1)19 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (5)30 (0)
Field Goals34-6626-79
At-the-Rim FG8-1510-24
Midrange FG23-4612-34
2-Point FG31-6122-58
3-Point FG3-54-21
Free Throws23-3026-40
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
39.3
4
29%
9
2
1
2
2
4
1
8
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
38.5
24
60%
3
0
2
0
3
4
1
2
8-9
89%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
33.5
14
64%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
7-11
64%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 182 · 31
27.2
15
58%
3
6
1
0
2
6
0
3
9-10
90%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
24.3
12
67%
2
1
1
0
1
5
0
2
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 215 · 24
26.2
5
31%
6
1
0
0
1
3
0
6
1-4
25%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
20.8
15
75%
2
3
0
0
0
4
1
1
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
2-3
67%
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
19.7
5
63%
8
0
0
1
0
3
0
8
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
10.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
55%
37
14
5
3
9
0
5
32
23-30
77%
31-61
51%
3-5
60%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.