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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 14, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Heat34%8894
17Rockets66%9382
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 30.9
39.3
30.5
4
29%
9
2
1
1
2
2
1
8
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
47%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 22.9
38.5
33.5
24
63%
3
0
2
2
0
3
1
2
8-9
89%
8-15
4-11
53%
41%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.6
33.5
33.6
14
64%
4
1
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
7-11
5-12
64%
44%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 30.6
27.2
24.7
15
60%
3
6
1
1
0
2
0
3
9-10
90%
3-8
3-7
38%
43%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.8
24.3
12.1
12
68%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
42%
1-1
100%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.7
26.2
8.6
5
32%
6
1
0
0
0
1
0
6
1-4
25%
2-5
1-2
40%
41%
0-1
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 27.6
20.8
21.0
15
77%
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
38%
2-3
67%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.8
19.7
15.4
5
73%
8
0
0
0
1
0
0
8
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
42%
0-0
-
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.8
10.6
9.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.3
39.2
1
4-8
44%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.7
4.8
0
0-1
36%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27.5
3.9
0
0-1
41%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.5
42.4
38.0
10
40%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
3-6
50%
2-4
5-10
50%
47%
1-6
17%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 26.0
41.0
37.1
27
52%
6
1
3
1
0
3
5
1
14-18
78%
5-12
5-12
42%
45%
1-6
17%
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 20.7
34.6
23.9
14
50%
12
0
1
0
1
1
4
8
1-2
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
43%
1-4
25%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 22.4
31.6
33.2
10
56%
8
3
0
0
0
0
1
7
2-2
100%
4-8
6-10
50%
53%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 26.1
28.1
27.6
6
26%
6
1
0
1
0
3
1
5
2-4
50%
2-7
2-5
29%
44%
0-3
0%
Terence Morris
F · 6'9" 221 · 24.1
18.2
18.8
3
50%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Kelvin Cato
C · 6'11" 275 · 28.5
16.4
11.2
5
43%
8
0
1
0
1
0
6
2
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
55%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 26.3
13.4
20.8
6
28%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
2-10
4-8
20%
45%
0-0
-
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 29.6
9.9
14.8
1
57%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Juaquin Hawkins
F · 6'7" 205 · 29.6
4.5
3.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jason Collier
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.4
3.3
0
0-1
47%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 22.6
2.5
0
0-1
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.