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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 14, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Spurs44%96103
9Lakers56%9895
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.8
40.4
40.1
28
50%
20
3
0
1
1
6
10
10
10-11
91%
9-23
9-18
39%
49%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 31.7
38.4
32.2
8
40%
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
1-4
25%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 20.7
35.5
35.2
24
64%
1
6
0
1
0
5
1
0
4-6
67%
7-11
5-11
64%
47%
2-5
40%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 24.9
31.0
23.3
16
90%
6
4
3
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
4-4
100%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.4
28.8
10.3
9
41%
10
0
2
0
1
0
2
8
1-2
50%
4-10
1-3
40%
44%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 28.2
26.7
35.2
7
44%
6
1
1
1
1
0
0
6
1-2
50%
3-7
5-11
43%
46%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.5
21.8
18.1
8
42%
3
3
0
1
1
1
1
2
4-8
50%
2-6
1-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Steve Kerr
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.4
12.6
14.7
3
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Danny Ferry
F · 6'10" 235 · 36.3
4.8
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-1
0%
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 33.9
13.8
0
1-3
43%
David Robinson
C · 7'1" 250 · 37.5
9.8
0
1-3
47%
Mengke Bateer
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.2
1.3
0
0-0
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 24.5
44.9
32.7
44
50%
6
4
4
2
2
7
2
4
4-6
67%
17-38
7-16
45%
47%
2-3
67%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 28.5
41.8
29.0
11
79%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
44%
1-1
100%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 30.9
40.4
31.1
21
47%
5
2
1
1
6
0
3
2
3-8
38%
9-19
7-13
47%
54%
0-0
-
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 27.0
24.6
25.0
4
50%
7
1
1
0
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.6
24.3
25.2
0
0%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 32.5
27.6
21.5
5
42%
15
6
1
1
1
0
4
11
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.5
23.7
17.6
9
42%
7
2
0
1
2
0
2
5
3-4
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
41%
0-4
0%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.3
9.6
18.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 27.0
3.1
8.9
1
57%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Brian Shaw
G · 6'6" 200 · 36.9
13.1
0
1-2
41%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 23.9
7.6
0
1-3
46%
Tracy Murray
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.6
5.4
0
0-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.