Final Win Prob. pScore
269%88
92
191%105
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
103.48980.6
DAL logo Mavericks
106.592102.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA92
98
Q4 - 0:00.0DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)92
98
Q4 - 0:00.0DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)92
97
Q4 - 0:00.0MIABest P.FOUL (P3.PN)92
96
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Best 8 AST)92
96
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.6 Short 1)89
96
Q4 - 0:06.0DALVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)89
96
Q4 - 0:06.0DALVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)89
95
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAJames P.FOUL (P3.PN)89
94
Q4 - 0:08.0MIABest Layup (21 PTS)89
94
Q4 - 0:13.0DALVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)87
94
Q4 - 0:13.0DALSUB: Griffin FOR Nowitzki87
93
Q4 - 0:13.0DALVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)87
93
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAEllis P.FOUL (P4.PN)87
92
Q4 - 0:14.0DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
92
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
92
Q4 - 0:21.0MIASUB: House FOR Stepania87
92
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)87
92
Q4 - 0:21.0DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)87
92
Q4 - 0:21.0DALSUB: Bell FOR Najera87
91
Q4 - 0:21.0DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)87
91
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAButler P.FOUL (P5.PN)87
90
Q4 - 0:29.0MIABest 4' Jump Shot (19 PTS)87
90
Q4 - 0:44.0DALVan Exel 5' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Nowitzki 8 AST)85
90
Q4 - 1:02MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)85
88
Q4 - 1:09MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)83
88
Q4 - 1:09DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (25 PTS)83
88
Q4 - 1:32MIABest 29' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)83
86
Q4 - 1:53MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
86
Q4 - 1:57DALMISS Finley 8' Turnaround Jump Shot80
86
Q4 - 2:15DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)80
86
Q4 - 2:19MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
86
Q4 - 2:44DALNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)80
86
Q4 - 2:44DALMAVERICKS Rebound80
85
Q4 - 2:44DALMISS Najera Free Throw 1 of 280
85
Q4 - 2:44DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)80
85
Q4 - 2:44MIAButler P.FOUL (P4.PN)80
85
Q4 - 3:02DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)80
85
Q4 - 3:03MIAMISS Ellis Layup80
85
Q4 - 3:05MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
85
Q4 - 3:07MIAMISS Best 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
85
Q4 - 3:12MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
85
Q4 - 3:15DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot80
85
Q4 - 3:23MIAButler L.B.FOUL (P3.T4)80
85
Q4 - 3:23DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
85
Q4 - 3:24DALMISS Nash 14' Turnaround Jump Shot80
85
Q4 - 3:38MIASUB: Ellis FOR Grant80
85
Q4 - 3:38MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P3.T16)80
85
Q4 - 3:38MIAGrant OFF.Foul (P6)80
85
Q4 - 3:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
85
Q4 - 3:48DALJump Ball Najera vs. Grant: Tip to James80
85
Q4 - 3:48MIASUB: Best FOR House80
85
Q4 - 3:50MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot80
85
Q4 - 4:00MIASUB: Grant FOR Allen80
85
Q4 - 4:14MIAHeat Rebound80
85
Q4 - 4:14MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot80
85
Q4 - 4:36DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nowitzki 7 AST)80
85
Q4 - 4:50MIAJames 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS)80
82
Q4 - 5:09DALNowitzki L.B.FOUL (P5.T3)78
82
Q4 - 5:09MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
82
Q4 - 5:11DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
82
Q4 - 5:33DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
82
Q4 - 5:34MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
82
Q4 - 5:34MIAMISS Allen Layup78
82
Q4 - 5:35MIAMISS Stepania Layup78
82
Q4 - 5:36MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)78
82
Q4 - 5:39MIANash BLOCK (1 BLK)78
82
Q4 - 5:56MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)78
82
Q4 - 6:02DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)78
82
Q4 - 6:02MIASUB: Allen FOR Ellis78
81
Q4 - 6:02MIAEllis S.FOUL (P3.T3)78
81
Q4 - 6:02DALNowitzki 12' Jump Shot (22 PTS)78
81
Q4 - 6:21MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)78
79
Q4 - 6:21MIAStepania Tip Shot (8 PTS)78
79
Q4 - 6:23MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)76
79
Q4 - 6:23MIAMISS Butler Layup76
79
Q4 - 6:25MIAMISS House 14' Jump Shot76
79
Q4 - 6:53DALNajera Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 6 AST)76
79
Q4 - 7:09MIAEllis 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (House 2 AST)76
77
Q4 - 7:26MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)73
77
Q4 - 7:29DALMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
77
Q4 - 7:33DALFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
77
Q4 - 7:36MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
77
Q4 - 7:52DALFinley 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)73
77
Q4 - 8:02DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
74
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS Butler Layup73
74
Q4 - 8:23DALNajera Foul Turnover (P1.T5)73
74
Q4 - 8:23DALNajera OFF.Foul (P2)73
74
Q4 - 8:28DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
74
Q4 - 8:30MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot73
74
Q4 - 8:4073
74
Q4 - 8:40DALVan Exel P.FOUL (P2.T2)73
74
Q4 - 8:44MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
74
Q4 - 8:46DALMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot73
74
Q4 - 8:54DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
74
Q4 - 8:55MIAMISS James Layup73
74
Q4 - 9:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
74
Q4 - 9:02DALMISS Najera Layup73
74
Q4 - 9:11DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)73
74
Q4 - 9:13MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot73
74
Q4 - 9:22MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)73
74
Q4 - 9:26DALMISS Van Exel Free Throw 1 of 173
74
Q4 - 9:26MIAHouse S.FOUL (P4.T2)73
74
Q4 - 9:26DALVan Exel 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS)73
74
Q4 - 9:35DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
72
Q4 - 9:40MIAMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot73
72
Q4 - 9:59DALNajera Layup (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 5 AST)73
72
Q4 - 10:09MIASUB: House FOR Best73
70
Q4 - 10:09MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant73
70
Q4 - 10:09MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P2.T15)73
70
Q4 - 10:09MIAGrant OFF.Foul (P5)73
70
Q4 - 10:24DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)73
70
Q4 - 10:24DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)73
69
Q4 - 10:24MIAJames S.FOUL (P2.T1)73
68
Q4 - 10:35MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)73
68
Q4 - 10:35MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)72
68
Q4 - 10:35DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P4.T1)71
68
Q4 - 10:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)71
68
Q4 - 10:55DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot71
68
Q4 - 11:13MIABest 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 7 AST)71
68
Q4 - 11:40DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
68
Q4 - 11:40DALNajera Layup (4 PTS)68
68
Q4 - 11:43DALMISS Finley 10' Jump Shot68
66
Q4 - 12:0068
66
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA68
66
Q3 - 0:09.0DALNash 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS)68
66
Q3 - 0:31.0MIABest 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 6 AST)68
64
Q3 - 0:57.0DALVan Exel 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)65
64
Q3 - 1:05MIANash STEAL (2 STL)65
62
Q3 - 1:21DALVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)65
62
Q3 - 1:21DALSUB: Najera FOR LaFrentz65
61
Q3 - 1:21DALSUB: Nash FOR Bell65
61
Q3 - 1:21MIASUB: Ellis FOR Stepania65
61
Q3 - 1:21DALMAVERICKS Rebound65
61
Q3 - 1:21DALMISS Van Exel Free Throw 1 of 265
61
Q3 - 1:21DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)65
61
Q3 - 1:2165
60
Q3 - 1:21MIAStepania P.FOUL (P4.PN)65
60
Q3 - 1:35MIAStepania Layup (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)65
60
Q3 - 1:55DALVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
60
Q3 - 1:55DALVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
59
Q3 - 1:55MIAAllen S.FOUL (P3.PN)63
58
Q3 - 2:01DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
58
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot63
58
Q3 - 2:07MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
58
Q3 - 2:09MIANowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)63
58
Q3 - 2:28DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)63
58
Q3 - 2:28MIASUB: James FOR House63
57
Q3 - 2:28DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)63
57
Q3 - 2:28MIAStepania L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)63
56
Q3 - 2:28DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)63
56
Q3 - 2:28MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot63
56
Q3 - 2:40MIABest Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)63
56
Q3 - 2:40DALBell T.FOUL (P2.T3)62
56
Q3 - 2:40DALNowitzki P.FOUL (P3.T3)62
56
Q3 - 2:51MIAHeat Rebound62
56
Q3 - 2:52DALMISS LaFrentz 16' Jump Shot62
56
Q3 - 2:57DALFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
56
Q3 - 2:59DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
56
Q3 - 3:08MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant62
56
Q3 - 3:08MIAGrant L.B.FOUL (P4.T4)62
56
Q3 - 3:08DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)62
56
Q3 - 3:09MIAMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
56
Q3 - 3:21DALSUB: Van Exel FOR Nash62
56
Q3 - 3:21MIAHeat Rebound62
56
Q3 - 3:24MIALaFrentz BLOCK (2 BLK)62
56
Q3 - 3:31DALFinley 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS)62
56
Q3 - 3:41DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
54
Q3 - 3:43MIANowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)62
54
Q3 - 3:59DALBell P.FOUL (P2.T2)62
54
Q3 - 4:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)62
54
Q3 - 4:04DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Jump Shot62
54
Q3 - 4:20DALSUB: Bell FOR Bradley62
54
Q3 - 4:20DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)62
54
Q3 - 4:21MIAHouse 7' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)62
54
Q3 - 4:39MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
54
Q3 - 4:42DALMISS Nash 15' Jump Shot60
54
Q3 - 4:48DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
54
Q3 - 4:50MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot60
54
Q3 - 4:56MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
54
Q3 - 4:59DALMISS Bradley 13' Jump Shot60
54
Q3 - 5:19MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Best 7 AST)60
54
Q3 - 5:26MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
54
Q3 - 5:29DALMISS Finley 13' Jump Shot57
54
Q3 - 5:46MIAGrant Layup (4 PTS) (Best 6 AST)57
54
Q3 - 5:58DALNash Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)55
54
Q3 - 6:05DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
54
Q3 - 6:08MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot55
54
Q3 - 6:30DALNash 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS)55
54
Q3 - 6:37MIAGrant P.FOUL (P3.T3)55
52
Q3 - 6:47MIAHouse P.FOUL (P3.T2)55
52
Q3 - 7:03MIAHouse 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS)55
52
Q3 - 7:13MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)53
52
Q3 - 7:21DALLaFrentz Layup (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)53
52
Q3 - 7:31MIAButler Foul Turnover (P2.T13)53
50
Q3 - 7:31MIAButler OFF.Foul (P2)53
50
Q3 - 7:38MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
50
Q3 - 7:40DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Jump Shot53
50
Q3 - 7:54DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
50
Q3 - 7:56MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot53
50
Q3 - 8:08MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
50
Q3 - 8:11DALMISS Finley 12' Jump Shot53
50
Q3 - 8:29DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
50
Q3 - 8:31MIAMISS Best 4' Jump Shot53
50
Q3 - 8:46DALLaFrentz Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)53
50
Q3 - 8:57MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 5 AST)53
48
Q3 - 9:05MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
48
Q3 - 9:07MIAMISS Best 14' Jump Shot51
48
Q3 - 9:21DALNash 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)51
48
Q3 - 9:35MIAGrant Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T12)51
46
Q3 - 9:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)51
46
Q3 - 9:36MIAMISS Allen 6' Hook Shot51
46
Q3 - 9:48DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)51
46
Q3 - 10:04MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)51
46
Q3 - 10:17DALBradley P.FOUL (P1.T1)51
46
Q3 - 10:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
46
Q3 - 10:18DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot51
46
Q3 - 10:35MIAButler Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (House 1 AST)51
46
Q3 - 10:38MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
46
Q3 - 10:40DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
46
Q3 - 10:54MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T10)49
46
Q3 - 10:54MIAAllen OFF.Foul (P2)49
46
Q3 - 11:07DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)49
46
Q3 - 11:07DALMAVERICKS Rebound49
45
Q3 - 11:07DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 249
45
Q3 - 11:07MIAHouse S.FOUL (P2.T1)49
45
Q3 - 11:11MIANowitzki STEAL (1 STL)49
45
Q3 - 11:34DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)49
45
Q3 - 11:41MIANash STEAL (1 STL)49
42
Q3 - 12:0049
42
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
42
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
42
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot49
42
Q2 - 0:22.0DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
42
Q2 - 0:22.0DALSUB: Bradley FOR Najera49
41
Q2 - 0:22.0DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
41
Q2 - 0:22.0MIABest S.FOUL (P2.PN)49
40
Q2 - 0:22.0DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
40
Q2 - 0:26.0DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
40
Q2 - 0:33.0MIABell STEAL (2 STL)49
40
Q2 - 0:49.0DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)49
40
Q2 - 1:04DALSUB: Bell FOR Van Exel49
37
Q2 - 1:04MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)49
37
Q2 - 1:12MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
37
Q2 - 1:15DALMISS Nash Running Layup49
37
Q2 - 1:21DALSUB: Finley FOR Williams49
37
Q2 - 1:21DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)49
37
Q2 - 1:29MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 5 AST)49
37
Q2 - 1:36MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
37
Q2 - 1:40DALMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot47
37
Q2 - 1:59MIAEllis 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS)47
37
Q2 - 2:01MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
37
Q2 - 2:03MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot45
37
Q2 - 2:22DALNajera Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)45
37
Q2 - 2:42MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 4 AST)45
35
Q2 - 2:48DALSUB: Najera FOR Griffin42
35
Q2 - 2:48MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)42
35
Q2 - 2:49MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
35
Q2 - 2:55DALMISS Van Exel 6' Turnaround Jump Shot42
35
Q2 - 3:03DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
35
Q2 - 3:06MIAMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot42
35
Q2 - 3:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
35
Q2 - 3:24DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot42
35
Q2 - 3:37MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)42
35
Q2 - 3:54DALGriffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)40
35
Q2 - 3:54DALMAVERICKS Rebound40
34
Q2 - 3:54DALMISS Griffin Free Throw 1 of 240
34
Q2 - 3:54MIAGrant S.FOUL (P2.PN)40
34
Q2 - 4:10MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Best 4 AST)40
34
Q2 - 4:32DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)38
34
Q2 - 4:32DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)38
33
Q2 - 4:32MIASUB: Grant FOR Stepania38
32
Q2 - 4:32MIAEllis S.FOUL (P2.PN)38
32
Q2 - 4:36DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
32
Q2 - 4:38MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
32
Q2 - 4:57DALGriffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)38
32
Q2 - 4:57DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Bradley38
31
Q2 - 4:57DALGriffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
31
Q2 - 4:57MIAButler S.FOUL (P1.PN)38
30
Q2 - 5:04DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
30
Q2 - 5:06MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
30
Q2 - 5:06MIAMISS Butler Layup38
30
Q2 - 5:07MIAMISS James Layup38
30
Q2 - 5:11MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)38
30
Q2 - 5:13DALMISS Nash 5' Jump Shot38
30
Q2 - 5:40MIAEllis 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS)38
30
Q2 - 6:03DALVan Exel 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
30
Q2 - 6:17MIABest P.FOUL (P1.T4)36
28
Q2 - 6:22MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.T3)36
28
Q2 - 6:38MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
28
Q2 - 6:38DALSUB: Williams FOR LaFrentz35
28
Q2 - 6:38MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)35
28
Q2 - 6:38DALLaFrentz S.FOUL (P3.T4)34
28
Q2 - 6:53DALVan Exel P.FOUL (P1.T3)34
28
Q2 - 6:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
28
Q2 - 6:55DALMISS Griffin 9' Jump Shot34
28
Q2 - 7:02DALSUB: Griffin FOR Finley34
28
Q2 - 7:02DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)34
28
Q2 - 7:08MIAStepania 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)34
28
Q2 - 7:20MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)32
28
Q2 - 7:23DALMISS LaFrentz 20' Jump Shot32
28
Q2 - 7:38MIAJames Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)32
28
Q2 - 7:46MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
28
Q2 - 7:49MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot32
28
Q2 - 7:59DALNash P.FOUL (P1.T2)32
28
Q2 - 8:02MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)32
28
Q2 - 8:04DALMISS Van Exel 4' Running Finger Roll32
28
Q2 - 8:26MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Best 3 AST)32
28
Q2 - 8:42MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)29
28
Q2 - 8:45MIAMISS Ellis 15' Jump Shot29
28
Q2 - 8:59MIASUB: Best FOR Butler29
28
Q2 - 8:59DALSUB: Nash FOR Bell29
28
Q2 - 8:59DALSUB: LaFrentz FOR Nowitzki29
28
Q2 - 8:5929
28
Q2 - 8:59DALBell L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)29
28
Q2 - 8:59MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
28
Q2 - 9:01DALMISS Van Exel 4' Hook Shot29
28
Q2 - 9:18DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
28
Q2 - 9:21MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot29
28
Q2 - 9:29MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
28
Q2 - 9:32DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot29
28
Q2 - 9:52MIAEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)29
28
Q2 - 10:12MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
28
Q2 - 10:15DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot26
28
Q2 - 10:22MIAEllis P.FOUL (P1.T2)26
28
Q2 - 10:26MIASUB: Butler FOR Allen26
28
Q2 - 10:26MIASUB: Ellis FOR House26
28
Q2 - 10:26MIAStepania P.FOUL (P2.T1)26
28
Q2 - 10:31DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
28
Q2 - 10:34MIAMISS Stepania 19' Jump Shot26
28
Q2 - 10:52DALVan Exel 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
28
Q2 - 11:10MIAFinley STEAL (1 STL)26
26
Q2 - 11:21MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
26
Q2 - 11:24DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
26
Q2 - 11:43MIAButler 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)26
26
Q2 - 12:0024
26
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL24
26
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound24
26
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Bell Layup24
26
Q1 - 0:00.0DALBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
26
Q1 - 0:01.0DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot24
26
Q1 - 0:14.0DALSUB: Nash FOR Eschmeyer24
26
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)24
26
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAHeat Rebound24
26
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
26
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
26
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Butler Layup24
26
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
26
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Allen 5' Jump Shot24
26
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
26
Q1 - 0:40.0DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
26
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAStepania Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)24
26
Q1 - 1:05DALFinley 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)22
26
Q1 - 1:13DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
24
Q1 - 1:16DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot22
24
Q1 - 1:36MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)22
24
Q1 - 1:42MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
24
Q1 - 1:44MIAMISS Butler Layup20
24
Q1 - 1:56DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)20
24
Q1 - 1:56DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)20
23
Q1 - 1:56MIAStepania S.FOUL (P1.PN)20
22
Q1 - 2:06DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
22
Q1 - 2:08MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 220
22
Q1 - 2:08MIAHeat Rebound20
22
Q1 - 2:08MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 220
22
Q1 - 2:08DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P2.PN)20
22
Q1 - 2:08MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
22
Q1 - 2:09MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 120
22
Q1 - 2:09MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant20
22
Q1 - 2:09MIASUB: James FOR Best20
22
Q1 - 2:09DALEschmeyer S.FOUL (P2.PN)20
22
Q1 - 2:09MIAAllen 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
22
Q1 - 2:34DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)18
22
Q1 - 2:45DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
20
Q1 - 2:48MIAEschmeyer BLOCK (1 BLK)18
20
Q1 - 3:09MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
20
Q1 - 3:10DALMISS Finley Free Throw 2 of 218
20
Q1 - 3:10DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)18
20
Q1 - 3:10MIAHouse S.FOUL (P1.T4)18
19
Q1 - 3:16DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
19
Q1 - 3:18MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot18
19
Q1 - 3:29DALSUB: Van Exel FOR Nash18
19
Q1 - 3:29MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)18
19
Q1 - 3:38DALEschmeyer Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)18
19
Q1 - 3:45MIABell STEAL (1 STL)18
17
Q1 - 3:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
17
Q1 - 3:54DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
17
Q1 - 4:14MIAHouse 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 2 AST)18
17
Q1 - 4:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
17
Q1 - 4:29DALMISS Finley Running Finger Roll16
17
Q1 - 4:35MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)16
17
Q1 - 4:35MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)15
17
Q1 - 4:35DALEschmeyer S.FOUL (P1.PN)14
17
Q1 - 4:40MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
17
Q1 - 4:43DALMISS Bell 21' Jump Shot14
17
Q1 - 4:55DALEschmeyer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
17
Q1 - 4:57MIAMISS House 10' Jump Shot14
17
Q1 - 5:08DALSUB: Eschmeyer FOR LaFrentz14
17
Q1 - 5:08DALNowitzki P.FOUL (P1.T4)14
17
Q1 - 5:14DALLaFrentz L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)14
17
Q1 - 5:14MIAHeat Rebound14
17
Q1 - 5:14MIAMISS Butler Layup14
17
Q1 - 5:19DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)14
17
Q1 - 5:31MIAAllen 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)14
17
Q1 - 5:51DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)12
17
Q1 - 5:51DALSUB: Bell FOR Najera12
16
Q1 - 5:51DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
16
Q1 - 5:51MIAGrant S.FOUL (P1.T3)12
16
Q1 - 5:51DALNowitzki Layup (6 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)12
16
Q1 - 5:58DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
14
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot12
14
Q1 - 6:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
14
Q1 - 6:05MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot12
14
Q1 - 6:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
14
Q1 - 6:21DALMISS LaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot12
14
Q1 - 6:38MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)12
14
Q1 - 6:38DALNajera S.FOUL (P1.T2)11
14
Q1 - 6:38MIAButler Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Best 1 AST)11
14
Q1 - 6:44DALFinley 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
14
Q1 - 6:55MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)9
12
Q1 - 7:10MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
12
Q1 - 7:13DALMISS Nash 14' Jump Shot7
12
Q1 - 7:19MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.T2)7
12
Q1 - 7:36MIABest 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)7
12
Q1 - 7:53DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)5
12
Q1 - 8:14DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
10
Q1 - 8:17MIALaFrentz BLOCK (1 BLK)5
10
Q1 - 8:31DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
10
Q1 - 8:40MIABest 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
10
Q1 - 8:52DALFinley 9' Jump Shot (3 PTS)2
10
Q1 - 9:12MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
8
Q1 - 9:12MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
8
Q1 - 9:12DALLaFrentz S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
8
Q1 - 9:28DALLaFrentz Layup (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)0
8
Q1 - 9:46DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
6
Q1 - 9:48MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot0
6
Q1 - 10:00DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
6
Q1 - 10:00DALMAVERICKS Rebound0
5
Q1 - 10:00DALMISS Finley Free Throw 1 of 20
5
Q1 - 10:00MIAAllen S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
5
Q1 - 10:10DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
5
Q1 - 10:12MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot0
5
Q1 - 10:31DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)0
5
Q1 - 10:38MIAHouse Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 11:01DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 11:17DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:19MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:21MIAHeat Rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:21MIAFinley BLOCK (1 BLK)0
0
Q1 - 11:42MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:44DALMISS Najera Layup0
0
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball LaFrentz vs. Grant: Tip to Nash0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.5%
DAL
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
27
37%
DAL
11
19
58%
Midrange
MIA
16
43
37%
DAL
15
39
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
20
50%
75%
DAL
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
10
13
77%
DAL
31
38
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Best2175%10.5 / 14
C. Butler1439%7.0 / 18
E. House1343%6.5 / 15
L. Ellis1042%5.0 / 12
R. Butler10100%5.0 / 5
V. Stepania857%4.0 / 7
M. Allen630%3.0 / 10
M. James633%3.0 / 9
B. Grant429%2.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2548%12.5 / 26
S. Nash1968%9.5 / 14
M. Finley1747%8.5 / 18
N. Van Exel1761%8.5 / 14
E. Najera964%4.5 / 7
R. LaFrentz650%3.0 / 6
A. Griffin350%1.5 / 3
E. Eschmeyer2100%1.0 / 1
S. Bradley0-0.0 / 1
R. Bell0-0.0 / 2
W. Williams0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+24
-15
98
DAL
87
+7
-5
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.5%
DAL
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
108.0
MIA 103.4
DAL 106.5 +3.2
Pace
90.0
94.9
MIA 80.6
DAL 102.7 +22.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.3
MIA 17.9
DAL 14.0 −3.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
49.8%
MIA 45.6%
DAL 45.9% +0.3%
TO %
14.8%
11.6%
MIA 14.3%
DAL 5.3% −9.0%
ORB %
26.8%
25.5%
MIA 37.3% +23.0%
DAL 14.3%
FTrt
25.9
25.7
MIA 14.4
DAL 52.1 +37.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
58.1%
MIA 61.1% +3.0%
DAL 58.1%
STL %
7.9%
8.5%
MIA 2.2%
DAL 6.5% +4.3%
BLK %
6.4%
8.5%
MIA 3.4%
DAL 10.0% +6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
52.1%
MIA 45.5%
DAL 52.1% +6.6%
Rim FG%
53.7%
58.2%
MIA 37.0%
DAL 57.9% +20.9%
Mid FG%
37.6%
40.7%
MIA 37.2%
DAL 38.5% +1.3%
3P %
31.6%
38.1%
MIA 50.0% +16.7%
DAL 33.3%
FT %
76.5%
82.9%
MIA 76.9%
DAL 81.6% +4.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
29.6%
MIA 30.0% +4.0%
DAL 26.0%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
46.5%
MIA 47.8% −5.6%
DAL 53.4%
3P Att. %
16.9%
23.9%
MIA 22.2% +1.7%
DAL 20.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.
Game TotalsMIADAL
Possessions8992
Possession Minutes26.521.5
Points9298
Rebounds5538
Assists2218
Steals26
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)5 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)19 (5)6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)32 (0)
Field Goals36-9031-73
At-the-Rim FG10-2711-19
Midrange FG16-4315-39
2-Point FG26-7026-58
3-Point FG10-205-15
Free Throws10-1331-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
39.0
14
39%
9
1
1
0
3
5
3
6
5-5
100%
3-14
21%
1-1
100%
G · 5'11" 182 · 31
36.5
21
75%
3
8
0
0
3
3
1
2
3-3
100%
3-7
43%
4-6
67%
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
29.8
13
43%
3
2
0
0
3
4
1
2
0-0
-
5-14
36%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
27.6
6
30%
6
1
0
0
1
3
2
4
0-1
0%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
25.5
4
29%
11
2
1
0
3
6
3
8
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
28.6
6
33%
3
7
0
0
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
21.4
10
42%
4
0
0
0
0
4
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-7
29%
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
21.2
8
57%
14
0
0
0
0
4
5
9
0-2
0%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 24
10.4
10
100%
2
1
0
2
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
46%
55
22
2
2
15
0
19
36
10-13
77%
26-70
37%
10-20
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.