FinalWin Prob.pScore
269%88
92
191%105
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
103.48980.6
DAL logo DAL
106.592102.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA92
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)89
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)89
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIABest Layup (21 PTS)89
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0DALVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)87
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0DALVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)87
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.3%
92
99.7%
Q4 - 0:21.0DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)87
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 0:21.0DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)87
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIABest 4' Jump Shot (19 PTS)87
1.9%
90
98.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0DALVan Exel 5' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Nowitzki 8 AST)85
1.8%
90
98.2%
Q4 - 1:02MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)85
4.0%
88
96.0%
Q4 - 1:09DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (25 PTS)83
2.5%
88
97.5%
Q4 - 1:32MIABest 29' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)83
4.5%
86
95.5%
Q4 - 1:53MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
2.1%
86
97.9%
Q4 - 1:57DALMISS Finley 8' Turnaround Jump Shot80
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 2:15DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)80
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 2:19MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 2:44DALNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)80
2.3%
86
97.7%
Q4 - 2:44DALMISS Najera Free Throw 1 of 280
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q4 - 3:02DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)80
2.5%
85
97.5%
Q4 - 3:03MIAMISS Ellis Layup80
2.9%
85
97.1%
Q4 - 3:05MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q4 - 3:07MIAMISS Best 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
2.9%
85
97.1%
Q4 - 3:12MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q4 - 3:15DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot80
3.6%
85
96.4%
Q4 - 3:23DALNajera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q4 - 3:24DALMISS Nash 14' Turnaround Jump Shot80
3.5%
85
96.5%
Q4 - 3:38MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P3.T16)80
3.5%
85
96.5%
Q4 - 3:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
4.9%
85
95.1%
Q4 - 3:50MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot80
3.8%
85
96.2%
Q4 - 4:14MIAHeat Rebound80
4.9%
85
95.1%
Q4 - 4:14MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot80
3.7%
85
96.3%
Q4 - 4:36DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nowitzki 7 AST)80
4.8%
85
95.2%
Q4 - 4:50MIAJames 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS)80
9.6%
82
90.4%
Q4 - 5:09MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
7.2%
82
92.8%
Q4 - 5:11DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
6.5%
82
93.5%
Q4 - 5:33DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
5.2%
82
94.8%
Q4 - 5:34MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
7.2%
82
92.8%
Q4 - 5:34MIAMISS Allen Layup78
5.8%
82
94.2%
Q4 - 5:35MIAMISS Stepania Layup78
5.8%
82
94.2%
Q4 - 5:36MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)78
7.2%
82
92.8%
Q4 - 5:39MIANash BLOCK (1 BLK)78
5.7%
82
94.3%
Q4 - 6:02DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)78
7.4%
82
92.6%
Q4 - 6:02DALNowitzki 12' Jump Shot (22 PTS)78
9.8%
81
90.2%
Q4 - 6:21MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)78
12.4%
79
87.6%
Q4 - 6:21MIAStepania Tip Shot (8 PTS)78
12.4%
79
87.6%
Q4 - 6:23MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)76
9.8%
79
90.2%
Q4 - 6:23MIAMISS Butler Layup76
7.9%
79
92.1%
Q4 - 6:25MIAMISS House 14' Jump Shot76
7.9%
79
92.1%
Q4 - 6:53DALNajera Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 6 AST)76
9.8%
79
90.2%
Q4 - 7:09MIAEllis 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (House 2 AST)76
12.2%
77
87.8%
Q4 - 7:26MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)73
7.7%
77
92.3%
Q4 - 7:29DALMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
7.0%
77
93.0%
Q4 - 7:33DALFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
5.7%
77
94.3%
Q4 - 7:36MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
6.3%
77
93.7%
Q4 - 7:52DALFinley 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)73
7.7%
77
92.3%
Q4 - 8:02DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
12.7%
74
87.3%
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS Butler Layup73
13.6%
74
86.4%
Q4 - 8:23DALNajera Foul Turnover (P1.T5)73
15.9%
74
84.1%
Q4 - 8:28DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
12.7%
74
87.3%
Q4 - 8:30MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot73
13.6%
74
86.4%
Q4 - 8:44MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
15.9%
74
84.1%
Q4 - 8:46DALMISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot73
14.8%
74
85.2%
Q4 - 8:54DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
12.7%
74
87.3%
Q4 - 8:55MIAMISS James Layup73
13.6%
74
86.4%
Q4 - 9:00MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
15.9%
74
84.1%
Q4 - 9:02DALMISS Najera Layup73
14.3%
74
85.7%
Q4 - 9:11DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)73
12.3%
74
87.7%
Q4 - 9:13MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot73
13.2%
74
86.8%
Q4 - 9:26DALMISS Van Exel Free Throw 1 of 173
14.9%
74
85.1%
Q4 - 9:26DALVan Exel 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS)73
15.4%
74
84.6%
Q4 - 9:35DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
18.6%
72
81.4%
Q4 - 9:40MIAMISS Butler 13' Jump Shot73
19.8%
72
80.2%
Q4 - 9:59DALNajera Layup (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 5 AST)73
22.8%
72
77.2%
Q4 - 10:09MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P2.T15)73
26.0%
70
74.0%
Q4 - 10:24DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)73
31.0%
70
69.0%
Q4 - 10:24DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)73
31.6%
69
68.4%
Q4 - 10:35MIABest Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)73
35.6%
68
64.4%
Q4 - 10:35MIABest Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)72
35.1%
68
64.9%
Q4 - 10:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)71
31.0%
68
69.0%
Q4 - 10:55DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot71
29.4%
68
70.6%
Q4 - 11:13MIABest 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 7 AST)71
26.0%
68
74.0%
Q4 - 11:40DALNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
18.7%
68
81.3%
Q4 - 11:40DALNajera Layup (4 PTS)68
18.7%
68
81.3%
Q4 - 11:43DALMISS Finley 10' Jump Shot68
24.9%
66
75.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA68
22.0%
66
78.0%
Q3 - 0:09.0DALNash 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS)68
24.7%
66
75.3%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIABest 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 6 AST)68
28.9%
64
71.1%
Q3 - 0:57.0DALVan Exel 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)65
21.3%
64
78.7%
Q3 - 1:05MIANash STEAL (2 STL)65
23.4%
62
76.6%
Q3 - 1:21DALVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)65
27.3%
62
72.7%
Q3 - 1:21DALMISS Van Exel Free Throw 1 of 265
28.1%
61
71.9%
Q3 - 1:21DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (18 PTS)65
27.1%
61
72.9%
Q3 - 1:35MIAStepania Layup (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)65
31.2%
60
68.8%
Q3 - 1:55DALVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
27.3%
60
72.7%
Q3 - 1:55DALVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
28.1%
59
71.9%
Q3 - 2:01DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
29.2%
58
70.8%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot63
30.5%
58
69.5%
Q3 - 2:07MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
33.6%
58
66.4%
Q3 - 2:09MIANowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)63
30.5%
58
69.5%
Q3 - 2:28DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)63
33.7%
58
66.3%
Q3 - 2:28DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)63
34.2%
57
65.8%
Q3 - 2:28DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)63
37.6%
56
62.4%
Q3 - 2:28MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot63
39.0%
56
61.0%
Q3 - 2:40MIABest Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)63
42.5%
56
57.5%
Q3 - 2:51MIAHeat Rebound62
38.1%
56
61.9%
Q3 - 2:52DALMISS LaFrentz 16' Jump Shot62
36.6%
56
63.4%
Q3 - 2:57DALFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
33.4%
56
66.6%
Q3 - 2:59DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
36.6%
56
63.4%
Q3 - 3:08DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)62
32.4%
56
67.6%
Q3 - 3:09MIAMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
33.7%
56
66.3%
Q3 - 3:21MIAHeat Rebound62
36.7%
56
63.3%
Q3 - 3:24MIALaFrentz BLOCK (2 BLK)62
33.7%
56
66.3%
Q3 - 3:31DALFinley 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS)62
36.7%
56
63.3%
Q3 - 3:41DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
40.7%
54
59.3%
Q3 - 3:43MIANowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)62
42.2%
54
57.8%
Q3 - 4:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)62
42.8%
54
57.2%
Q3 - 4:04DALMISS Nowitzki 11' Jump Shot62
41.4%
54
58.6%
Q3 - 4:21MIAHouse 7' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)62
38.2%
54
61.8%
Q3 - 4:39MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
34.9%
54
65.1%
Q3 - 4:42DALMISS Nash 15' Jump Shot60
33.5%
54
66.5%
Q3 - 4:48DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
30.6%
54
69.4%
Q3 - 4:50MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot60
31.9%
54
68.1%
Q3 - 4:56MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
34.9%
54
65.1%
Q3 - 4:59DALMISS Bradley 13' Jump Shot60
33.6%
54
66.4%
Q3 - 5:19MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Best 7 AST)60
29.6%
54
70.4%
Q3 - 5:26MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
23.4%
54
76.6%
Q3 - 5:29DALMISS Finley 13' Jump Shot57
22.4%
54
77.6%
Q3 - 5:46MIAGrant Layup (4 PTS) (Best 6 AST)57
20.3%
54
79.7%
Q3 - 5:58DALNash Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)55
17.9%
54
82.1%
Q3 - 6:05DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
14.9%
54
85.1%
Q3 - 6:08MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot55
15.6%
54
84.4%
Q3 - 6:30DALNash 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS)55
17.3%
54
82.7%
Q3 - 7:03MIAHouse 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS)55
19.0%
52
81.0%
Q3 - 7:21DALLaFrentz Layup (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)53
17.0%
52
83.0%
Q3 - 7:31MIAButler Foul Turnover (P2.T13)53
19.0%
50
81.0%
Q3 - 7:38MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
21.9%
50
78.1%
Q3 - 7:40DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Jump Shot53
21.0%
50
79.0%
Q3 - 7:54DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
19.0%
50
81.0%
Q3 - 7:56MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot53
19.8%
50
80.2%
Q3 - 8:08MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
21.3%
50
78.7%
Q3 - 8:11DALMISS Finley 12' Jump Shot53
20.4%
50
79.6%
Q3 - 8:29DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
18.6%
50
81.4%
Q3 - 8:31MIAMISS Best 4' Jump Shot53
19.4%
50
80.6%
Q3 - 8:46DALLaFrentz Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)53
21.3%
50
78.7%
Q3 - 8:57MIAHouse 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 5 AST)53
23.6%
48
76.4%
Q3 - 9:05MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
19.9%
48
80.1%
Q3 - 9:07MIAMISS Best 14' Jump Shot51
18.3%
48
81.7%
Q3 - 9:21DALNash 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)51
20.0%
48
80.0%
Q3 - 9:35MIAGrant Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T12)51
22.4%
46
77.6%
Q3 - 9:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)51
25.2%
46
74.8%
Q3 - 9:36MIAMISS Allen 6' Hook Shot51
23.2%
46
76.8%
Q3 - 9:48DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)51
25.2%
46
74.8%
Q3 - 10:04MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)51
21.0%
46
79.0%
Q3 - 10:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)51
23.8%
46
76.2%
Q3 - 10:18DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot51
23.0%
46
77.0%
Q3 - 10:35MIAButler Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (House 1 AST)51
21.1%
46
78.9%
Q3 - 10:38MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
19.1%
46
80.9%
Q3 - 10:40DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
18.4%
46
81.6%
Q3 - 10:54MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T10)49
16.8%
46
83.2%
Q3 - 11:07DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)49
18.0%
46
82.0%
Q3 - 11:07DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 249
18.2%
45
81.8%
Q3 - 11:11MIANowitzki STEAL (1 STL)49
17.9%
45
82.1%
Q3 - 11:34DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)49
20.2%
45
79.8%
Q3 - 11:41MIANash STEAL (1 STL)49
24.9%
42
75.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
27.8%
42
72.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
27.8%
42
72.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot49
25.8%
42
74.2%
Q2 - 0:22.0DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
26.3%
42
73.7%
Q2 - 0:22.0DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
26.6%
41
73.4%
Q2 - 0:22.0DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
29.7%
40
70.3%
Q2 - 0:26.0DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
31.1%
40
68.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIABell STEAL (2 STL)49
29.7%
40
70.3%
Q2 - 0:49.0DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)49
31.8%
40
68.2%
Q2 - 1:04MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)49
37.9%
37
62.1%
Q2 - 1:12MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
39.5%
37
60.5%
Q2 - 1:15DALMISS Nash Running Layup49
39.0%
37
61.0%
Q2 - 1:29MIAButler 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 5 AST)49
37.9%
37
62.1%
Q2 - 1:36MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
33.6%
37
66.4%
Q2 - 1:40DALMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot47
33.1%
37
66.9%
Q2 - 1:59MIAEllis 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS)47
32.1%
37
67.9%
Q2 - 2:01MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
27.6%
37
72.4%
Q2 - 2:03MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot45
26.0%
37
74.0%
Q2 - 2:22DALNajera Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)45
27.6%
37
72.4%
Q2 - 2:42MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 4 AST)45
30.5%
35
69.5%
Q2 - 2:49MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
25.2%
35
74.8%
Q2 - 2:55DALMISS Van Exel 6' Turnaround Jump Shot42
24.6%
35
75.4%
Q2 - 3:03DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
21.6%
35
78.4%
Q2 - 3:06MIAMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot42
22.3%
35
77.7%
Q2 - 3:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
24.0%
35
76.0%
Q2 - 3:24DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot42
23.3%
35
76.7%
Q2 - 3:37MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)42
21.7%
35
78.3%
Q2 - 3:54DALGriffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)40
20.0%
35
80.0%
Q2 - 3:54DALMISS Griffin Free Throw 1 of 240
20.2%
34
79.8%
Q2 - 4:10MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Best 4 AST)40
18.9%
34
81.1%
Q2 - 4:32DALNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)38
17.2%
34
82.8%
Q2 - 4:32DALNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)38
17.3%
33
82.7%
Q2 - 4:36DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
18.9%
32
81.1%
Q2 - 4:38MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
19.4%
32
80.6%
Q2 - 4:57DALGriffin Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)38
20.8%
32
79.2%
Q2 - 4:57DALGriffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
21.0%
31
79.0%
Q2 - 5:04DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
21.9%
30
78.1%
Q2 - 5:06MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
24.1%
30
75.9%
Q2 - 5:06MIAMISS Butler Layup38
22.5%
30
77.5%
Q2 - 5:07MIAMISS James Layup38
22.5%
30
77.5%
Q2 - 5:11MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)38
24.1%
30
75.9%
Q2 - 5:13DALMISS Nash 5' Jump Shot38
23.4%
30
76.6%
Q2 - 5:40MIAEllis 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS)38
21.9%
30
78.1%
Q2 - 6:03DALVan Exel 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
19.7%
30
80.3%
Q2 - 6:38MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
21.1%
28
78.9%
Q2 - 6:38MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)35
20.7%
28
79.3%
Q2 - 6:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
19.7%
28
80.3%
Q2 - 6:55DALMISS Griffin 9' Jump Shot34
19.1%
28
80.9%
Q2 - 7:08MIAStepania 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 3 AST)34
17.3%
28
82.7%
Q2 - 7:20MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)32
15.9%
28
84.1%
Q2 - 7:23DALMISS LaFrentz 20' Jump Shot32
15.5%
28
84.5%
Q2 - 7:38MIAJames Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)32
14.5%
28
85.5%
Q2 - 7:46MIABest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
16.0%
28
84.0%
Q2 - 7:49MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot32
14.9%
28
85.1%
Q2 - 8:02MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)32
15.8%
28
84.2%
Q2 - 8:04DALMISS Van Exel 4' Running Finger Roll32
15.3%
28
84.7%
Q2 - 8:26MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Best 3 AST)32
14.3%
28
85.7%
Q2 - 8:42MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)29
12.1%
28
87.9%
Q2 - 8:45MIAMISS Ellis 15' Jump Shot29
11.2%
28
88.8%
Q2 - 8:59MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
12.1%
28
87.9%
Q2 - 9:01DALMISS Van Exel 4' Hook Shot29
11.4%
28
88.6%
Q2 - 9:18DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
10.7%
28
89.3%
Q2 - 9:21MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot29
11.0%
28
89.0%
Q2 - 9:29MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
11.8%
28
88.2%
Q2 - 9:32DALMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot29
11.4%
28
88.6%
Q2 - 9:52MIAEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)29
10.7%
28
89.3%
Q2 - 10:12MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
9.1%
28
90.9%
Q2 - 10:15DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot26
8.8%
28
91.2%
Q2 - 10:31DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
8.2%
28
91.8%
Q2 - 10:34MIAMISS Stepania 19' Jump Shot26
8.5%
28
91.5%
Q2 - 10:52DALVan Exel 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
9.1%
28
90.9%
Q2 - 11:10MIAFinley STEAL (1 STL)26
9.6%
26
90.4%
Q2 - 11:21MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)26
10.4%
26
89.6%
Q2 - 11:24DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
10.2%
26
89.8%
Q2 - 11:43MIAButler 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)26
9.6%
26
90.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL24
8.8%
26
91.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound24
8.0%
26
92.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Bell Layup24
8.6%
26
91.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
8.0%
26
92.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot24
8.4%
26
91.6%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)24
8.1%
26
91.9%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAHeat Rebound24
8.6%
26
91.4%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
8.2%
26
91.8%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
8.6%
26
91.4%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Butler Layup24
8.2%
26
91.8%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
8.6%
26
91.4%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Allen 5' Jump Shot24
8.2%
26
91.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
8.6%
26
91.4%
Q1 - 0:40.0DALMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
8.4%
26
91.6%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAStepania Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)24
8.0%
26
92.0%
Q1 - 1:05DALFinley 9' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)22
7.2%
26
92.8%
Q1 - 1:13DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
8.0%
24
92.0%
Q1 - 1:16DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot22
8.4%
24
91.6%
Q1 - 1:36MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)22
8.0%
24
92.0%
Q1 - 1:42MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
7.2%
24
92.8%
Q1 - 1:44MIAMISS Butler Layup20
6.9%
24
93.1%
Q1 - 1:56DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)20
7.2%
24
92.8%
Q1 - 1:56DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)20
7.3%
23
92.7%
Q1 - 2:08MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 220
8.0%
22
92.0%
Q1 - 2:08MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 220
8.4%
22
91.6%
Q1 - 2:08MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
7.9%
22
92.1%
Q1 - 2:09MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 120
8.0%
22
92.0%
Q1 - 2:09MIAAllen 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
7.9%
22
92.1%
Q1 - 2:34DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)18
7.2%
22
92.8%
Q1 - 2:45DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
8.0%
20
92.0%
Q1 - 2:48MIAEschmeyer BLOCK (1 BLK)18
8.1%
20
91.9%
Q1 - 3:09MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
8.6%
20
91.4%
Q1 - 3:10DALMISS Finley Free Throw 2 of 218
8.4%
20
91.6%
Q1 - 3:10DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)18
8.0%
20
92.0%
Q1 - 3:16DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
8.5%
19
91.5%
Q1 - 3:18MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot18
8.7%
19
91.3%
Q1 - 3:38DALEschmeyer Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)18
9.3%
19
90.7%
Q1 - 3:45MIABell STEAL (1 STL)18
10.0%
17
90.0%
Q1 - 3:52MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
10.9%
17
89.1%
Q1 - 3:54DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
10.6%
17
89.4%
Q1 - 4:14MIAHouse 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 2 AST)18
9.6%
17
90.4%
Q1 - 4:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
9.1%
17
90.9%
Q1 - 4:29DALMISS Finley Running Finger Roll16
8.8%
17
91.2%
Q1 - 4:35MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)16
8.2%
17
91.8%
Q1 - 4:35MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)15
8.1%
17
91.9%
Q1 - 4:40MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
7.7%
17
92.3%
Q1 - 4:43DALMISS Bell 21' Jump Shot14
7.5%
17
92.5%
Q1 - 4:55DALEschmeyer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
7.0%
17
93.0%
Q1 - 4:57MIAMISS House 10' Jump Shot14
7.2%
17
92.8%
Q1 - 5:14MIAHeat Rebound14
7.5%
17
92.5%
Q1 - 5:14MIAMISS Butler Layup14
7.0%
17
93.0%
Q1 - 5:19DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)14
7.5%
17
92.5%
Q1 - 5:31MIAAllen 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)14
6.8%
17
93.2%
Q1 - 5:51DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)12
6.4%
17
93.6%
Q1 - 5:51DALNowitzki Layup (6 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)12
6.9%
16
93.1%
Q1 - 5:58DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
7.4%
14
92.6%
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot12
7.6%
14
92.4%
Q1 - 6:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
8.0%
14
92.0%
Q1 - 6:05MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot12
7.5%
14
92.5%
Q1 - 6:19MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
8.0%
14
92.0%
Q1 - 6:21DALMISS LaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot12
7.8%
14
92.2%
Q1 - 6:38MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)12
7.4%
14
92.6%
Q1 - 6:38MIAButler Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Best 1 AST)11
6.8%
14
93.2%
Q1 - 6:44DALFinley 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
6.4%
14
93.6%
Q1 - 6:55MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)9
6.8%
12
93.2%
Q1 - 7:10MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
6.3%
12
93.7%
Q1 - 7:13DALMISS Nash 14' Jump Shot7
6.2%
12
93.8%
Q1 - 7:36MIABest 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)7
5.8%
12
94.2%
Q1 - 7:53DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)5
5.5%
12
94.5%
Q1 - 8:14DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
5.7%
10
94.3%
Q1 - 8:17MIALaFrentz BLOCK (1 BLK)5
5.8%
10
94.2%
Q1 - 8:31DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
6.2%
10
93.8%
Q1 - 8:40MIABest 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
5.7%
10
94.3%
Q1 - 8:52DALFinley 9' Jump Shot (3 PTS)2
5.0%
10
95.0%
Q1 - 9:12MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
5.2%
8
94.8%
Q1 - 9:12MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
5.2%
8
94.8%
Q1 - 9:28DALLaFrentz Layup (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)0
5.0%
8
95.0%
Q1 - 9:46DALFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
5.2%
6
94.8%
Q1 - 9:48MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot0
5.4%
6
94.6%
Q1 - 10:00DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
5.7%
6
94.3%
Q1 - 10:00DALMISS Finley Free Throw 1 of 20
5.8%
5
94.2%
Q1 - 10:10DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
5.6%
5
94.4%
Q1 - 10:12MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot0
5.8%
5
94.2%
Q1 - 10:31DALNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)0
6.1%
5
93.9%
Q1 - 10:38MIAHouse Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)0
6.9%
2
93.1%
Q1 - 11:01DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)0
7.4%
2
92.6%
Q1 - 11:17DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8.0%
0
92.0%
Q1 - 11:19MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot0
8.1%
0
91.9%
Q1 - 11:21MIAHeat Rebound0
8.5%
0
91.5%
Q1 - 11:21MIAFinley BLOCK (1 BLK)0
8.1%
0
91.9%
Q1 - 11:42MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
8.5%
0
91.5%
Q1 - 11:44DALMISS Najera Layup0
8.3%
0
91.7%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball LaFrentz vs. Grant: Tip to Nash0
8.0%
0
92.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.5%
DAL
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
27
37%
DAL
11
19
58%
Midrange
MIA
16
43
37%
DAL
15
39
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
20
50%
75%
DAL
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
10
13
77%
DAL
31
38
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Best2175%10.5 / 14
C. Butler1439%7.0 / 18
E. House1343%6.5 / 15
L. Ellis1042%5.0 / 12
R. Butler10100%5.0 / 5
V. Stepania857%4.0 / 7
M. Allen630%3.0 / 10
M. James633%3.0 / 9
B. Grant429%2.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2548%12.5 / 26
S. Nash1968%9.5 / 14
M. Finley1747%8.5 / 18
N. Van Exel1761%8.5 / 14
E. Najera964%4.5 / 7
R. LaFrentz650%3.0 / 6
A. Griffin350%1.5 / 3
E. Eschmeyer2100%1.0 / 1
S. Bradley0-0.0 / 1
R. Bell0-0.0 / 2
W. Williams0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
74
+24
-15
98
DAL
87
+7
-5
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.5%
DAL
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
108.0
MIA 103.4
DAL 106.5 +3.2
Pace
90.0
94.9
MIA 80.6
DAL 102.7 +22.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.3
MIA 17.9
DAL 14.0 +3.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
49.8%
MIA 45.6%
DAL 45.9% +0.3%
TO %
14.8%
11.6%
MIA 14.3%
DAL 5.3% +9.0%
ORB %
26.8%
25.5%
MIA 37.3% +23.0%
DAL 14.3%
FTrt
25.9
25.7
MIA 14.4
DAL 52.1 +37.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
58.1%
MIA 61.1% +3.0%
DAL 58.1%
STL %
7.9%
8.5%
MIA 2.2%
DAL 6.5% +4.3%
BLK %
6.4%
8.5%
MIA 3.4%
DAL 10.0% +6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.39 and 2.39.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
52.1%
MIA 45.5%
DAL 52.1% +6.6%
Rim FG%
53.7%
58.2%
MIA 37.0%
DAL 57.9% +20.9%
Mid FG%
37.6%
40.7%
MIA 37.2%
DAL 38.5% +1.3%
3P %
31.6%
38.1%
MIA 50.0% +16.7%
DAL 33.3%
FT %
76.5%
82.9%
MIA 76.9%
DAL 81.6% +4.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
29.6%
MIA 30.0% +4.0%
DAL 26.0%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
46.5%
MIA 47.8% +5.6%
DAL 53.4%
3P Att. %
16.9%
23.9%
MIA 22.2% +1.7%
DAL 20.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.
Game TotalsMIADAL
Possessions8992
Possession Minutes26.521.5
Points9298
Rebounds5538
Assists2218
Steals26
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)5 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)19 (5)6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (1)32 (0)
Field Goals36-9031-73
At-the-Rim FG10-2711-19
Midrange FG16-4315-39
2-Point FG26-7026-58
3-Point FG10-205-15
Free Throws10-1331-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
39.0
14
39%
9
1
1
0
3
5
3
6
5-5
100%
3-14
21%
1-1
100%
G · 5'11" 182 · 31
36.5
21
75%
3
8
0
0
3
3
1
2
3-3
100%
3-7
43%
4-6
67%
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
29.8
13
43%
3
2
0
0
3
4
1
2
0-0
-
5-14
36%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
27.6
6
30%
6
1
0
0
1
3
2
4
0-1
0%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
25.5
4
29%
11
2
1
0
3
6
3
8
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
28.6
6
33%
3
7
0
0
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
21.4
10
42%
4
0
0
0
0
4
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-7
29%
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
21.2
8
57%
14
0
0
0
0
4
5
9
0-2
0%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 24
10.4
10
100%
2
1
0
2
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
46%
55
22
2
2
15
0
19
36
10-13
77%
26-70
37%
10-20
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.