for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 15, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Heat9%8892
1Mavericks91%10598
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 22.9
39.0
35.7
14
41%
9
1
1
2
0
3
3
6
5-5
100%
3-14
5-12
21%
40%
1-1
100%
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 30.6
36.5
25.6
21
73%
3
8
0
1
0
3
1
2
3-3
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
42%
4-6
67%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.8
29.8
19.1
13
43%
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
5-14
3-6
36%
41%
1-1
100%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.6
27.6
32.7
6
32%
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-1
0%
3-9
5-12
33%
43%
0-0
-
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 30.9
25.5
34.8
4
29%
11
2
1
1
0
3
3
8
0-0
-
2-7
4-9
29%
46%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 27.6
28.6
20.7
6
33%
3
7
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
38%
0-3
0%
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.8
21.4
10.5
10
42%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
43%
2-7
29%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.8
21.2
17.9
8
58%
14
0
0
0
0
0
5
9
0-2
0%
4-6
2-5
67%
42%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.7
10.4
18.9
10
102%
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
41%
2-2
100%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.3
20.5
1
2-4
43%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.7
5.0
0
0-1
35%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27.5
2.5
0
0-1
39%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 24.7
43.7
39.2
25
50%
12
8
1
1
2
2
1
11
10-11
91%
6-15
7-14
40%
51%
1-5
20%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 29.9
42.3
40.3
17
49%
7
1
1
1
1
1
2
5
6-8
75%
4-10
5-11
40%
47%
1-4
25%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 29.0
39.7
31.5
19
69%
1
4
2
1
1
1
0
1
4-4
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
48%
3-4
75%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.6
21.6
12.3
9
65%
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
4-6
1-3
67%
53%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 26.7
19.9
24.3
6
50%
3
1
0
1
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
52%
0-1
0%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.2
29.8
26.9
17
66%
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
7-9
78%
5-8
3-6
63%
44%
0-1
0%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 30.9
15.1
20.6
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.4
13.3
12.2
0
0%
1
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Walt Williams
F-G · 6'8" 230 · 32.8
5.3
14.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Evan Eschmeyer
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.7
4.9
7.1
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 28.6
4.5
10.1
3
54%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Antoine Rigaudeau
G · 6'7" 210 · 31.2
3.0
0
0-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.