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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 16, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Knicks28%98117
5Lakers72%105110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allan Houston
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.8
43.5
35.9
53
74%
4
5
2
1
0
0
0
4
13-15
87%
14-24
5-11
58%
44%
4-5
80%
Latrell Sprewell
G · 6'5" 195 · 32.4
36.3
37.6
14
44%
4
4
1
1
1
4
0
4
2-2
100%
3-10
5-11
30%
42%
2-5
40%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.4
35.8
33.8
7
53%
8
6
0
1
1
2
1
7
3-6
50%
2-4
6-13
50%
48%
0-0
-
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.2
24.0
24.7
6
75%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
44%
2-3
67%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 29.0
19.1
25.4
10
71%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
49%
0-0
-
Charlie Ward
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.3
24.0
21.7
7
60%
2
7
2
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
1-2
50%
Clar. Weatherspoon
F · 6'7" 270 · 32.4
23.9
21.3
6
61%
4
0
1
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
42%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
23.5
17.6
8
58%
4
0
0
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.7
9.8
11.9
6
75%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
43%
0-0
-
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.0
3.1
0
1-1
46%
Lavor Postell
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 25.0
2.4
0
0-1
42%
Travis Knight
C · 7'0" 235 · 28.4
1.7
0
0-0
39%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 24.5
42.5
37.3
40
56%
4
5
2
2
0
3
1
3
9-10
90%
11-26
10-20
42%
49%
3-5
60%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 28.5
41.6
33.9
21
62%
5
8
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
9-14
3-6
64%
46%
1-3
33%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 32.5
35.9
23.9
6
38%
11
6
1
1
0
3
6
5
2-2
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 27.0
25.4
24.5
0
0%
8
2
0
0
1
1
3
5
0-0
-
0-4
3-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.6
22.1
24.5
8
34%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-6
2-3
33%
49%
1-5
20%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.5
28.4
20.2
14
71%
5
3
1
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
43%
2-3
67%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 23.9
15.7
5.1
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Shaw
G · 6'6" 200 · 36.9
12.0
8.3
16
90%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
43%
5-8
63%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 27.1
9.8
6.4
1
57%
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.3
6.4
14.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Tracy Murray
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.6
0.3
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 30.9
34.4
1
8-15
56%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.