Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, February 17, 2003

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	26	Heat	24%	83	62
	6	Pistons	76%	92	93

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
Heat	71.3	87	90.1
Pistons	104.5	89	86.9

Scoring Opportunities

MIA

-10

DET

+13

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.72 36.0%

DET

1.07 53.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DET
Q4 - 0:00.0	DET		62	93
Q4 - 0:09.0	MIA	Butler Dunk (10 PTS) (House 3 AST)	62	93
Q4 - 0:10.0	MIA	Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	60	93
Q4 - 0:13.0	DET	MISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot	60	93
Q4 - 0:32.0	MIA	House Layup (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)	60	93
Q4 - 0:36.0	DET	Prince Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)	58	93
Q4 - 0:45.0	DET	Davis Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)	58	93
Q4 - 0:45.0	MIA	House T.FOUL (P4.T4)	58	92
Q4 - 0:45.0	DET		58	92
Q4 - 0:52.0	DET	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	58	92
Q4 - 0:54.0	MIA	MISS House 15' Jump Shot	58	92
Q4 - 1:06	MIA	Stepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	58	92
Q4 - 1:08	DET	MISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot	58	92
Q4 - 1:30	MIA	SUB: Allen FOR Marks	58	92
Q4 - 1:30	MIA	Marks L.B.FOUL (P6.T4)	58	92
Q4 - 1:31	DET	PISTONS Rebound	58	92
Q4 - 1:33	MIA	MISS James 28' 3PT Jump Shot	58	92
Q4 - 1:50	DET	Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)	58	92
Q4 - 2:03	DET	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	58	89
Q4 - 2:06	MIA	Okur BLOCK (2 BLK)	58	89
Q4 - 2:21	MIA	Stepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	58	89
Q4 - 2:23	DET	MISS Atkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot	58	89
Q4 - 2:25	DET	Manning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	58	89
Q4 - 2:26	DET	MISS Davis 18' Jump Shot	58	89
Q4 - 2:42	MIA	Marks Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	58	89
Q4 - 2:42	MIA	Heat Rebound	57	89
Q4 - 2:42	MIA	MISS Marks Free Throw 1 of 2	57	89
Q4 - 2:42			57	89
Q4 - 2:42	DET	Okur S.FOUL (P3.T4)	57	89
Q4 - 2:51	MIA	James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	57	89
Q4 - 2:53	DET	MISS Prince 11' Jump Shot	57	89
Q4 - 3:09	MIA	Stepania Layup (7 PTS)	57	89
Q4 - 3:10	MIA	Stepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	55	89
Q4 - 3:13	MIA	Manning BLOCK (1 BLK)	55	89
Q4 - 3:28	DET	Manning Foul Turnover (P2.T14)	55	89
Q4 - 3:28	DET	Manning OFF.Foul (P2)	55	89
Q4 - 3:37	MIA	Marks P.FOUL (P5.T3)	55	89
Q4 - 3:46	DET	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	55	89
Q4 - 3:48	MIA	MISS House 13' Jump Shot	55	89
Q4 - 3:59	MIA	SUB: James FOR Carter	55	89
Q4 - 3:59	DET	Manning P.FOUL (P1.T3)	55	89
Q4 - 4:01	MIA	Stepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	55	89
Q4 - 4:04	MIA	MISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot	55	89
Q4 - 4:18	MIA	Stepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	55	89
Q4 - 4:20	DET	MISS Atkins 27' 3PT Jump Shot	55	89
Q4 - 4:41	MIA	Marks Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	55	89
Q4 - 4:41	MIA	Marks Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	54	89
Q4 - 4:41	DET	Prince S.FOUL (P1.T2)	53	89
Q4 - 4:58	DET	Okur Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)	53	89
Q4 - 5:09	MIA	Stepania P.FOUL (P1.T2)	53	89
Q4 - 5:21	DET	Manning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	53	89
Q4 - 5:23	MIA	MISS Carter 19' Jump Shot	53	89
Q4 - 5:34	DET	Prince Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)	53	89
Q4 - 5:49	MIA	Marks Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)	53	89
Q4 - 6:02	DET	SUB: Davis FOR Barry	53	89
Q4 - 6:02	MIA	Heat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)	53	89
Q4 - 6:06	DET	Okur Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)	53	89
Q4 - 6:07	DET	Okur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	53	89
Q4 - 6:09	DET	MISS Atkins 3PT Jump Shot	53	89
Q4 - 6:24	MIA	Butler Foul Turnover (P2.T9)	53	89
Q4 - 6:24	MIA	Butler OFF.Foul (P3)	53	89
Q4 - 6:30	MIA	Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	53	89
Q4 - 6:32	DET	MISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot	53	89
Q4 - 6:40	DET	Barry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	53	89
Q4 - 6:42	MIA	MISS House 17' Jump Shot	53	89
Q4 - 6:46	DET	Manning Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)	53	89
Q4 - 6:48	DET	Okur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	53	89
Q4 - 6:50	DET	MISS Atkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot	53	89
Q4 - 7:00	MIA	Stepania Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)	53	89
Q4 - 7:02	DET	SUB: Manning FOR Williamson	53	89
Q4 - 7:17	DET	Barry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)	53	89
Q4 - 7:21	DET	Williamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	53	86
Q4 - 7:24	MIA	MISS Stepania 7' Hook Shot	53	86
Q4 - 7:40	DET	Williamson Foul Turnover (P1.T9)	53	86
Q4 - 7:40	DET	Williamson OFF.Foul (P3)	53	86
Q4 - 8:02	MIA	Carter 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	53	86
Q4 - 8:10	DET	Williamson P.FOUL (P2.T1)	51	86
Q4 - 8:17	MIA	SUB: House FOR James	51	86
Q4 - 8:35	DET	Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)	51	86
Q4 - 8:42	DET	Williamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	51	83
Q4 - 8:44	MIA	Prince BLOCK (1 BLK)	51	83
Q4 - 8:49	DET	Atkins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)	51	83
Q4 - 9:09	MIA	Stepania 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)	51	83
Q4 - 9:32	DET	Williamson Driving Layup (8 PTS)	49	83
Q4 - 9:42	MIA	Carter P.FOUL (P1.T1)	49	81
Q4 - 9:47	DET	Okur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	49	81
Q4 - 9:48	MIA	MISS Marks 20' Jump Shot	49	81
Q4 - 10:06	DET	Williamson Layup (6 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)	49	81
Q4 - 10:26	MIA	Butler Palming Turnover (P1.T7)	49	79
Q4 - 10:32	MIA	Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	49	79
Q4 - 10:34	DET	MISS Williamson 17' Jump Shot	49	79
Q4 - 10:47	DET	SUB: Prince FOR Wallace	49	79
Q4 - 10:47	DET	SUB: Barry FOR Hamilton	49	79
Q4 - 10:47	DET	PISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 2)	49	79
Q4 - 10:53	DET	Williamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	49	79
Q4 - 10:55	MIA	MISS Stepania 18' Jump Shot	49	79
Q4 - 11:08	MIA	Stepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	49	79
Q4 - 11:10	DET	MISS Hamilton 27' 3PT Jump Shot	49	79
Q4 - 11:16	DET	Okur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	49	79
Q4 - 11:19	MIA	MISS Carter 19' Jump Shot	49	79
Q4 - 11:33	DET	Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (34 PTS) (Okur 2 AST)	49	79
Q4 - 11:47	MIA	Marks 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)	49	76
Q4 - 12:00			47	76
Q3 - 0:00.0	MIA		47	76
Q3 - 0:00.0	MIA	Marks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	47	76
Q3 - 0:00.0	DET	MISS Hamilton Layup	47	76
Q3 - 0:01.0	DET	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	47	76
Q3 - 0:01.0	DET	MISS Wallace 13' Jump Shot	47	76
Q3 - 0:02.0	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:16)	47	76
Q3 - 0:05.0	DET	MISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot	47	76
Q3 - 0:26.0	MIA	Carter Reverse Layup (2 PTS)	47	76
Q3 - 0:46.0	MIA	James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	45	76
Q3 - 0:47.0	DET	MISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 1	45	76
Q3 - 0:47.0	MIA	Marks S.FOUL (P4.PN)	45	76
Q3 - 0:47.0	DET	Robinson 11' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)	45	76
Q3 - 0:56.0	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:16)	45	74
Q3 - 0:58.0	MIA	MISS Carter 18' Jump Shot	45	74
Q3 - 1:14	DET	Robinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	45	74
Q3 - 1:14	MIA	SUB: Stepania FOR Allen	45	73
Q3 - 1:14	DET	Robinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)	45	73
Q3 - 1:14	MIA	Marks S.FOUL (P3.PN)	45	72
Q3 - 1:19	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:15)	45	72
Q3 - 1:23	MIA	Robinson BLOCK (1 BLK)	45	72
Q3 - 1:34	MIA	James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	45	72
Q3 - 1:34	DET	MISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 2	45	72
Q3 - 1:34	DET	PISTONS Rebound	45	72
Q3 - 1:34	DET	MISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 2	45	72
Q3 - 1:34	DET	SUB: Williamson FOR Curry	45	72
Q3 - 1:34	DET	SUB: Atkins FOR Billups	45	72
Q3 - 1:34	MIA	Marks L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)	45	72
Q3 - 1:34	DET	PISTONS Rebound	45	72
Q3 - 1:35	MIA	MISS Carter 18' Jump Shot	45	72
Q3 - 1:50	DET	Curry 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)	45	72
Q3 - 1:57	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:14)	45	70
Q3 - 1:58	MIA	MISS Allen 14' Jump Shot	45	70
Q3 - 2:17	DET	Hamilton Driving Layup (31 PTS)	45	70
Q3 - 2:21	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)	45	68
Q3 - 2:23	MIA	MISS Butler 15' Jump Shot	45	68
Q3 - 2:33	MIA	Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	45	68
Q3 - 2:35	DET	MISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot	45	68
Q3 - 2:55	MIA	Allen Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)	45	68
Q3 - 3:06	MIA	Heat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)	45	68
Q3 - 3:11	DET	Curry Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)	45	68
Q3 - 3:11	MIA	Allen S.FOUL (P4.PN)	45	67
Q3 - 3:11	DET	Curry Layup (8 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)	45	67
Q3 - 3:16	DET	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	45	65
Q3 - 3:18	DET	MISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot	45	65
Q3 - 3:30	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)	45	65
Q3 - 3:32	MIA	MISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 2	45	65
Q3 - 3:32	MIA	Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	45	65
Q3 - 3:32	DET	Robinson S.FOUL (P1.T3)	44	65
Q3 - 3:50	DET	Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)	44	65
Q3 - 3:50	DET	Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)	44	64
Q3 - 3:50	MIA	SUB: Carter FOR Butler	44	63
Q3 - 3:50	MIA	Butler P.FOUL (P2.PN)	44	63
Q3 - 4:06	DET	PISTONS Rebound	44	63
Q3 - 4:08	MIA	MISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot	44	63
Q3 - 4:22	DET	Robinson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)	44	63
Q3 - 4:30	MIA	James Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T5)	44	63
Q3 - 4:41	MIA	Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	44	63
Q3 - 4:42	MIA	MISS Butler 17' Jump Shot	44	63
Q3 - 5:00	DET	Hamilton Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)	44	63
Q3 - 5:08	MIA	Marks P.FOUL (P1.T4)	44	63
Q3 - 5:13	DET	Wallace Violation:Defensive Goaltending	44	63
Q3 - 5:13	MIA	Butler 8' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)	44	63
Q3 - 5:32	DET	Hamilton 20' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)	42	63
Q3 - 5:41	MIA	SUB: Marks FOR Grant	42	61
Q3 - 5:41	DET	PISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 2)	42	61
Q3 - 5:50	MIA	Allen 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)	42	61
Q3 - 6:04	DET	Curry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	40	61
Q3 - 6:04	DET	Curry Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	40	60
Q3 - 6:04	MIA	Allen S.FOUL (P3.T3)	40	59
Q3 - 6:08	MIA	Wallace STEAL (1 STL)	40	59
Q3 - 6:19	DET	Hamilton 16' Jump Shot (25 PTS)	40	59
Q3 - 6:22	DET	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	40	57
Q3 - 6:23	DET	MISS Robinson 6' Jump Shot	40	57
Q3 - 6:34	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)	40	57
Q3 - 6:36	MIA	MISS Butler 20' Jump Shot	40	57
Q3 - 6:49	MIA	SUB: Butler FOR Best	40	57
Q3 - 6:49	MIA	SUB: James FOR House	40	57
Q3 - 6:49	DET	Curry P.FOUL (P4.T2)	40	57
Q3 - 7:00	DET	Hamilton 15' Jump Shot (23 PTS)	40	57
Q3 - 7:21	MIA	Grant 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	40	55
Q3 - 7:39	DET	Hamilton 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)	38	55
Q3 - 7:58	MIA	Butler Tip Shot (11 PTS)	38	53
Q3 - 8:00	MIA	Butler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	36	53
Q3 - 8:01	MIA	MISS Allen 21' Jump Shot	36	53
Q3 - 8:12	DET	Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)	36	53
Q3 - 8:12	DET	Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)	36	52
Q3 - 8:12	MIA	House S.FOUL (P3.T2)	36	51
Q3 - 8:21	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)	36	51
Q3 - 8:23	MIA	MISS Best 21' Jump Shot	36	51
Q3 - 8:40	DET	Hamilton 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)	36	51
Q3 - 9:05	MIA	House 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 1 AST)	36	49
Q3 - 9:20	DET	Wallace Dunk (4 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)	34	49
Q3 - 9:26	MIA	Best P.FOUL (P2.T1)	34	47
Q3 - 9:35	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)	34	47
Q3 - 9:37	MIA	MISS House 16' Jump Shot	34	47
Q3 - 9:55	DET	Billups 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	34	47
Q3 - 10:13	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	34	45
Q3 - 10:14	MIA	MISS Best 20' Jump Shot	34	45
Q3 - 10:31	MIA	Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	34	45
Q3 - 10:34	DET	MISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot	34	45
Q3 - 10:49	MIA	Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	34	45
Q3 - 10:49	MIA	Butler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	33	45
Q3 - 10:49	DET	PISTONS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 2)	32	45
Q3 - 10:49	DET	Curry S.FOUL (P3.T1)	32	45
Q3 - 10:51	MIA	House REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	32	45
Q3 - 10:53	DET	MISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot	32	45
Q3 - 11:05	DET	Billups REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	32	45
Q3 - 11:06	MIA	MISS House 19' Jump Shot	32	45
Q3 - 11:20	MIA	Grant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	32	45
Q3 - 11:22	MIA	MISS Best 15' Jump Shot	32	45
Q3 - 11:35	MIA	House REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	32	45
Q3 - 11:37	DET	MISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot	32	45
Q3 - 12:00			32	45
Q2 - 0:00.0	MIA		32	45
Q2 - 0:01.0	MIA	Heat Rebound	32	45
Q2 - 0:02.0	DET	MISS Robinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot	32	45
Q2 - 0:17.0	DET	Prince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	32	45
Q2 - 0:19.0	MIA	MISS Best 19' Jump Shot	32	45
Q2 - 0:33.0	MIA	Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	32	45
Q2 - 0:33.0	DET	MISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 2	32	45
Q2 - 0:33.0	DET	Prince Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	32	45
Q2 - 0:33.0	MIA	Butler S.FOUL (P1.PN)	32	44
Q2 - 0:34.0	MIA	SUB: Butler FOR Butler	32	44
Q2 - 0:34.0	DET	PISTONS Rebound	32	44
Q2 - 0:35.0	DET	MISS Billups 13' Jump Shot	32	44
Q2 - 0:44.0	MIA	Allen P.FOUL (P2.T4)	32	44
Q2 - 0:44.0	DET	Billups REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	32	44
Q2 - 0:46.0	MIA	Wallace BLOCK (2 BLK)	32	44
Q2 - 1:08	MIA	House REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	32	44
Q2 - 1:10	DET	MISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot	32	44
Q2 - 1:16	MIA	SUB: Best FOR James	32	44
Q2 - 1:16	DET	PISTONS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)	32	44
Q2 - 1:19	MIA	House Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	32	44
Q2 - 1:19	MIA	SUB: Stepania FOR Grant	31	44
Q2 - 1:19	DET	SUB: Barry FOR Hamilton	31	44
Q2 - 1:19	MIA	House Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	31	44
Q2 - 1:19	DET	SUB: Prince FOR Williamson	30	44
Q2 - 1:19	DET	Hamilton S.FOUL (P3.PN)	30	44
Q2 - 1:34	DET	Hamilton 13' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)	30	44
Q2 - 1:54	MIA	Allen 12' Hook Shot (4 PTS)	30	42
Q2 - 2:09	MIA	Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	28	42
Q2 - 2:11	DET	MISS Williamson 15' Jump Shot	28	42
Q2 - 2:30	MIA	Allen 13' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (House 2 AST)	28	42
Q2 - 2:48	MIA	SUB: Allen FOR Ellis	26	42
Q2 - 2:48	DET	PISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)	26	42
Q2 - 2:48	MIA	Heat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)	26	42
Q2 - 2:59	DET	Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)	26	42
Q2 - 3:05	DET	Williamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	26	39
Q2 - 3:07	MIA	MISS Butler 10' Hook Shot	26	39
Q2 - 3:27	DET	Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williamson 1 AST)	26	39
Q2 - 3:35	DET	Billups REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	26	36
Q2 - 3:37	DET	MISS Billups 12' Jump Shot	26	36
Q2 - 4:00	MIA	Butler Layup (7 PTS)	26	36
Q2 - 4:03	MIA	Butler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	24	36
Q2 - 4:04	MIA	MISS Grant Layup	24	36
Q2 - 4:19	DET	Billups Foul Turnover (P1.T5)	24	36
Q2 - 4:19	DET	Billups OFF.Foul (P1)	24	36
Q2 - 4:26	MIA	James P.FOUL (P2.T3)	24	36
Q2 - 4:26	MIA	House Violation:Kicked Ball	24	36
Q2 - 4:49	MIA	Grant Dunk (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)	24	36
Q2 - 5:07	DET	Hamilton 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	22	36
Q2 - 5:20	DET	SUB: Billups FOR Atkins	22	34
Q2 - 5:20	DET	SUB: Wallace FOR Okur	22	34
Q2 - 5:20	DET	PISTONS Rebound	22	34
Q2 - 5:21	DET	MISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot	22	34
Q2 - 5:28	DET	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22	34
Q2 - 5:29	MIA	MISS Ellis 17' Jump Shot	22	34
Q2 - 5:43	DET	Robinson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)	22	34
Q2 - 5:54	MIA	Butler P.FOUL (P2.T2)	22	34
Q2 - 6:06	MIA	Ellis Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	22	34
Q2 - 6:06	MIA	Heat Rebound	21	34
Q2 - 6:06	MIA	MISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 2	21	34
Q2 - 6:06	DET	Okur S.FOUL (P2.PN)	21	34
Q2 - 6:22	DET	Hamilton 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	21	34
Q2 - 6:43	MIA	Butler 7' Hook Shot (5 PTS)	21	32
Q2 - 6:54	MIA	SUB: House FOR Butler	19	32
Q2 - 6:54	MIA	Heat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)	19	32
Q2 - 6:54	MIA	SUB: Butler FOR Stepania	19	32
Q2 - 6:54	DET	Okur P.FOUL (P1.T4)	19	32
Q2 - 7:08	DET	Okur Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	19	32
Q2 - 7:31	MIA	Stepania 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)	19	32
Q2 - 7:45	MIA	Ellis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	17	32
Q2 - 7:47	DET	MISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot	17	32
Q2 - 7:58	DET	Okur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	17	32
Q2 - 8:01	MIA	MISS Ellis 11' Jump Shot	17	32
Q2 - 8:12	DET	Atkins P.FOUL (P1.T3)	17	32
Q2 - 8:21	DET	Hamilton 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	17	32
Q2 - 8:24	DET	Robinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	17	30
Q2 - 8:28	MIA	Okur BLOCK (1 BLK)	17	30
Q2 - 8:35	DET	SUB: Robinson FOR Wallace	17	30
Q2 - 8:35			17	30
Q2 - 8:48	MIA	Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	17	30
Q2 - 8:50	DET	MISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot	17	30
Q2 - 9:00	DET	Williamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	17	30
Q2 - 9:03	MIA	MISS Grant 17' Jump Shot	17	30
Q2 - 9:14	MIA	James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	17	30
Q2 - 9:15	DET	MISS Okur Layup	17	30
Q2 - 9:33	MIA	Grant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	17	30
Q2 - 9:45	DET	Williamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	17	30
Q2 - 9:45	DET	Williamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	17	29
Q2 - 9:45	DET	SUB: Hamilton FOR Barry	17	28
Q2 - 9:45	MIA	Ellis S.FOUL (P1.T1)	17	28
Q2 - 10:10	MIA	James 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)	17	28
Q2 - 10:24	MIA	SUB: Ellis FOR Butler	15	28
Q2 - 10:24	DET	Barry P.FOUL (P2.T2)	15	28
Q2 - 10:40	DET	Wallace Dunk (2 PTS)	15	28
Q2 - 10:41	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	15	26
Q2 - 10:44	DET	MISS Williamson 5' Hook Shot	15	26
Q2 - 10:58	MIA	Butler Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	15	26
Q2 - 10:58	MIA	SUB: Grant FOR Allen	14	26
Q2 - 10:58	MIA	Heat Rebound	14	26
Q2 - 10:58	MIA	MISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 2	14	26
Q2 - 10:58	DET	Williamson S.FOUL (P1.T1)	14	26
Q2 - 11:02	MIA	Stepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	14	26
Q2 - 11:04	DET	MISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot	14	26
Q2 - 11:28	MIA	James Foul Turnover (P1.T2)	14	26
Q2 - 11:28	MIA	James OFF.Foul (P1)	14	26
Q2 - 11:46	DET	Atkins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	14	26
Q2 - 12:00			14	26
Q1 - 0:00.0	DET		14	26
Q1 - 0:00.0	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	14	26
Q1 - 0:01.0	MIA	MISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot	14	26
Q1 - 0:15.0	MIA	Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	14	26
Q1 - 0:17.0	DET	MISS Wallace Tip Shot	14	26
Q1 - 0:19.0	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	14	26
Q1 - 0:20.0	DET	MISS Okur Layup	14	26
Q1 - 0:35.0	MIA	Butler 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)	14	26
Q1 - 0:47.0	MIA	Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	12	26
Q1 - 0:49.0	DET	MISS Williamson 6' Jump Shot	12	26
Q1 - 1:08	DET	Okur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12	26
Q1 - 1:09	MIA	MISS Stepania Layup	12	26
Q1 - 1:25	DET	Williamson 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Okur 1 AST)	12	26
Q1 - 1:40	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	12	24
Q1 - 1:42	MIA	MISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot	12	24
Q1 - 1:47	MIA	Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12	24
Q1 - 1:48	DET	MISS Williamson 10' Jump Shot	12	24
Q1 - 2:06	MIA	Stepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	12	24
Q1 - 2:06	MIA	Heat Rebound	11	24
Q1 - 2:06	MIA	MISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 2	11	24
Q1 - 2:06	MIA	SUB: James FOR Best	11	24
Q1 - 2:06	DET	SUB: Okur FOR Robinson	11	24
Q1 - 2:06	DET	SUB: Atkins FOR Billups	11	24
Q1 - 2:06	DET	Barry P.FOUL (P1.PN)	11	24
Q1 - 2:14	MIA	Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	11	24
Q1 - 2:16	DET	MISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot	11	24
Q1 - 2:33	MIA	Butler Foul Turnover (P1.T1)	11	24
Q1 - 2:33	MIA	Butler OFF.Foul (P1)	11	24
Q1 - 2:57	DET	Robinson 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)	11	24
Q1 - 3:08	DET	SUB: Williamson FOR Curry	11	22
Q1 - 3:08	DET	PISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)	11	22
Q1 - 3:13	MIA	Butler 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)	11	22
Q1 - 3:35	DET	Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)	9	22
Q1 - 3:53	MIA	Butler Driving Layup (2 PTS)	9	19
Q1 - 4:06	DET	Billups Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	7	19
Q1 - 4:06	DET	Billups Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	7	18
Q1 - 4:06	MIA	Best P.FOUL (P1.PN)	7	17
Q1 - 4:10	DET	Billups Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)	7	17
Q1 - 4:10			7	16
Q1 - 4:11	DET	Barry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	7	16
Q1 - 4:13	MIA	Wallace BLOCK (1 BLK)	7	16
Q1 - 4:19	MIA	Stepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	7	16
Q1 - 4:21	DET	MISS Wallace 14' Jump Shot	7	16
Q1 - 4:44	MIA	Best 17' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)	7	16
Q1 - 4:58	DET	Robinson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	5	16
Q1 - 5:21	DET	Barry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	5	16
Q1 - 5:23	MIA	MISS Stepania Tip Shot	5	16
Q1 - 5:24	MIA	Stepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	5	16
Q1 - 5:26	MIA	MISS Butler 14' Jump Shot	5	16
Q1 - 5:43	DET	Billups Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	5	16
Q1 - 5:43	MIA	SUB: Stepania FOR Grant	5	15
Q1 - 5:43	DET	Billups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	5	15
Q1 - 5:43	MIA	Grant S.FOUL (P2.PN)	5	14
Q1 - 5:51	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	5	14
Q1 - 5:54	MIA	MISS Butler 14' Jump Shot	5	14
Q1 - 6:02	DET	SUB: Barry FOR Hamilton	5	14
Q1 - 6:02	DET	Hamilton P.FOUL (P2.T4)	5	14
Q1 - 6:18	DET	Curry 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)	5	14
Q1 - 6:28	MIA	SUB: Butler FOR House	5	12
Q1 - 6:28	MIA	House P.FOUL (P2.T4)	5	12
Q1 - 6:34	DET	Billups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	5	12
Q1 - 6:36	MIA	MISS Best Layup	5	12
Q1 - 6:43	DET	Curry P.FOUL (P2.T3)	5	12
Q1 - 6:55	DET	Curry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	5	12
Q1 - 6:55	DET	Curry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	5	11
Q1 - 6:55	MIA	Grant S.FOUL (P1.T3)	5	10
Q1 - 7:10	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	5	10
Q1 - 7:12	MIA	MISS Grant 16' Jump Shot	5	10
Q1 - 7:26	MIA	Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	5	10
Q1 - 7:28	DET	MISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot	5	10
Q1 - 7:40	MIA	House P.FOUL (P1.T2)	5	10
Q1 - 7:52	MIA	Grant 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (House 1 AST)	5	10
Q1 - 8:03	MIA	Heat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)	3	10
Q1 - 8:11	DET	Hamilton Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)	3	10
Q1 - 8:31	MIA	Butler Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	3	8
Q1 - 8:31	DET	Curry S.FOUL (P1.T2)	2	8
Q1 - 8:31	MIA	Butler 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	2	8
Q1 - 8:48	DET	Robinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	0	8
Q1 - 8:48	DET	Robinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	0	7
Q1 - 8:48	MIA	Allen S.FOUL (P1.T1)	0	6
Q1 - 9:02	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	0	6
Q1 - 9:03	MIA	MISS Butler Layup	0	6
Q1 - 9:14	DET	Hamilton P.FOUL (P1.T1)	0	6
Q1 - 9:23	MIA	Heat Rebound	0	6
Q1 - 9:25	DET	MISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot	0	6
Q1 - 9:26	DET	Billups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0	6
Q1 - 9:29	DET	MISS Curry Reverse Layup	0	6
Q1 - 9:39	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	0	6
Q1 - 9:41	MIA	MISS Butler 17' Jump Shot	0	6
Q1 - 10:00	DET	Robinson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)	0	6
Q1 - 10:11	DET	Curry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0	4
Q1 - 10:13	MIA	MISS Grant 18' Jump Shot	0	4
Q1 - 10:36	DET	Robinson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)	0	4
Q1 - 10:48	DET	Robinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0	2
Q1 - 10:51	MIA	MISS Allen 10' Running Jump Shot	0	2
Q1 - 11:02	MIA	Grant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0	2
Q1 - 11:04	MIA	MISS Allen 16' Jump Shot	0	2
Q1 - 11:17	DET	Hamilton 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)	0	2
Q1 - 11:42	DET	Wallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0	0
Q1 - 11:44	MIA	MISS Butler 17' Jump Shot	0	0
Q1 - 12:00	DET	Jump Ball Wallace vs. Grant: Tip to Best	0	0
Q1 - 12:00			0	0
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DET
			Score / WinProb

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.72 36.0%

DET

1.07 53.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

50%

DET

57%

Midrange

MIA

31%

DET

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

DET

10.5

33%

50%

Free Throws

MIA

71%

DET

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Butler	13	54%	6.5 / 12
R. Butler	10	38%	5.0 / 13
V. Stepania	7	39%	3.5 / 9
M. Allen	6	30%	3.0 / 10
E. House	6	38%	3.0 / 8
B. Grant	6	43%	3.0 / 7
S. Marks	5	63%	2.5 / 4
A. Carter	4	33%	2.0 / 6
T. Best	2	17%	1.0 / 6
M. James	2	17%	1.0 / 6
L. Ellis	1	17%	0.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton	34	71%	17.0 / 24
C. Robinson	15	63%	7.5 / 12
M. Curry	11	79%	5.5 / 7
C. Williamson	8	44%	4.0 / 9
C. Billups	7	39%	3.5 / 9
J. Barry	6	100%	3.0 / 3
B. Wallace	4	29%	2.0 / 7
H. Davis	4	67%	2.0 / 3
C. Atkins	3	30%	1.5 / 5
T. Prince	1	13%	0.5 / 4
M. Okur	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA

-10

DET

+13

-15

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

0.72 36.0%

DET

1.07 53.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	94.5 100.9	MIA 71.3 DET 104.5 +33.2
Pace	90.0 89.6	MIA 90.1 +3.2 DET 86.9
Avg. Poss. Time	16.2 16.5	MIA 16.0 −0.6 DET 16.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	43.9% 47.3%	MIA 33.3% DET 49.3% +16.0%
TO %	14.8% 14.0%	MIA 10.8% −4.4% DET 15.2%
ORB %	26.8% 26.0%	MIA 16.7% DET 28.2% +11.5%
FTrt	25.9 32.2	MIA 22.7 DET 36.1 +13.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	55.8% 60.0%	MIA 44.0% DET 59.4% +15.4%
STL %	7.9% 7.5%	MIA 8.0% +6.9% DET 1.1%
BLK %	6.4% 8.6%	MIA 7.8% DET 10.0% +2.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	46.0% 49.6%	MIA 36.0% DET 53.4% +17.4%
Rim FG%	53.7% 55.0%	MIA 50.0% DET 57.1% +7.1%
Mid FG%	37.6% 38.8%	MIA 30.8% DET 45.9% +15.1%
3P %	31.6% 35.8%	MIA 0.0% DET 33.3% +33.3%
FT %	76.5% 77.1%	MIA 70.6% DET 84.6% +14.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28.9% 30.4%	MIA 24.0% +4.6% DET 19.4%
Mid Att. %	54.2% 45.9%	MIA 69.3% DET 51.4% −17.9%
3P Att. %	16.9% 23.7%	MIA 6.7% DET 29.2% +22.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Game Totals	MIA	DET
Possessions	87	89
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.6
Points	62	93
Rebounds	36	51
Assists	11	19
Steals	7	1
Blocks	4	7
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (0)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (2)	40 (3)
Field Goals	25-75	32-72
At-the-Rim FG	9-18	8-14
Midrange FG	16-52	17-37
2-Point FG	25-70	25-51
3-Point FG	0-5	7-21
Free Throws	12-17	22-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

26 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Malik Allen F · 6'10" 255 · 25	28.1	6	30%	8	0	1	1	1	4	1	7	0-0	-	3-10	30%	0-0	-
Caron Butler F · 6'7" 228 · 23	28.1	13	54%	4	1	2	0	1	2	2	2	3-3	100%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Eddie House G · 6'1" 190 · 25	25.9	6	38%	3	3	1	0	0	4	0	3	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Brian Grant C · 6'9" 254 · 31	22.3	6	43%	3	0	0	0	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Travis Best G · 5'11" 182 · 31	16.4	2	17%	0	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 24	31.0	10	38%	3	4	0	2	2	3	0	3	2-4	50%	4-9	44%	0-2	0%
Mike James G · 6'2" 188 · 28	27.4	2	17%	4	2	3	0	3	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Vladimir Stepania C · 7'1" 255 · 27	25.4	7	39%	9	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27	16.2	5	63%	1	0	0	0	1	6	0	1	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Anthony Carter G · 6'1" 190 · 28	11.8	4	33%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
LaPhonso Ellis F · 6'8" 240 · 33	7.6	1	17%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Eddie Jones G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	62	36%	36	11	7	4	10	0	8	28	12-17	71%	25-70	36%	0-5	0%

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26 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Malik Allen F · 6'10" 255 · 25	28.1	6	30%	8	0	1	1	1	4	1	7	0-0	-	3-10	30%	0-0	-
Caron Butler F · 6'7" 228 · 23	28.1	13	54%	4	1	2	0	1	2	2	2	3-3	100%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Eddie House G · 6'1" 190 · 25	25.9	6	38%	3	3	1	0	0	4	0	3	2-2	100%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Brian Grant C · 6'9" 254 · 31	22.3	6	43%	3	0	0	0	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Travis Best G · 5'11" 182 · 31	16.4	2	17%	0	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 24	31.0	10	38%	3	4	0	2	2	3	0	3	2-4	50%	4-9	44%	0-2	0%
Mike James G · 6'2" 188 · 28	27.4	2	17%	4	2	3	0	3	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Vladimir Stepania C · 7'1" 255 · 27	25.4	7	39%	9	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27	16.2	5	63%	1	0	0	0	1	6	0	1	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Anthony Carter G · 6'1" 190 · 28	11.8	4	33%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
LaPhonso Ellis F · 6'8" 240 · 33	7.6	1	17%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Eddie Jones G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	62	36%	36	11	7	4	10	0	8	28	12-17	71%	25-70	36%	0-5	0%

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6 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ben Wallace F · 6'9" 240 · 28	34.0	4	29%	19	1	1	2	0	0	3	16	0-2	0%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Clifford Robinson C · 6'10" 245 · 36	30.5	15	63%	2	0	0	1	3	1	0	2	4-5	80%	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Richard Hamilton G · 6'7" 193 · 25	27.6	34	71%	4	3	0	0	1	3	3	1	4-4	100%	12-19	63%	2-3	67%
Chauncey Billups G · 6'3" 210 · 26	25.7	7	39%	5	6	0	0	1	1	2	3	5-5	100%	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Michael Curry F · 6'5" 210 · 34	19.3	11	79%	1	2	0	0	0	4	0	1	5-5	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Chucky Atkins G · 5'11" 185 · 29	22.3	3	30%	0	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Mehmet Okur C · 6'11" 260 · 24	20.8	0	0%	6	2	0	2	3	3	2	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Corliss Williamson F · 6'7" 245 · 29	20.4	8	44%	5	1	0	0	1	3	0	5	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Jon Barry G · 6'5" 210 · 34	14.3	6	100%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Tayshaun Prince F · 6'9" 212 · 23	12.1	1	13%	1	2	0	1	2	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Danny Manning F-C · 6'10" 234 · 37	7.0	0	0%	2	0	0	1	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Hubert Davis G · 6'5" 183 · 33	6.0	4	67%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	53%	51	19	1	7	15	0	11	40	22-26	85%	25-51	49%	7-21	33%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE