FinalWin Prob.pScore
2624%83
62
676%92
93
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
71.38790.1
DET logo DET
104.58986.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET62
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAButler Dunk (10 PTS) (House 3 AST)62
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0DETMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAHouse Layup (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)60
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:36.0DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)58
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0DETDavis Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)58
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:52.0DETDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAMISS House 15' Jump Shot58
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 1:06MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)58
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 1:08DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 1:31DETPISTONS Rebound58
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 1:33MIAMISS James 28' 3PT Jump Shot58
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 1:50DETDavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)58
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 2:03DETDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 2:06MIAOkur BLOCK (2 BLK)58
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 2:21MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)58
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 2:23DETMISS Atkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 2:25DETManning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 2:26DETMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot58
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 2:42MIAMarks Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)58
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 2:42MIAMISS Marks Free Throw 1 of 257
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 2:51MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53DETMISS Prince 11' Jump Shot57
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09MIAStepania Layup (7 PTS)57
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 3:10MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)55
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 3:13MIAManning BLOCK (1 BLK)55
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 3:28DETManning Foul Turnover (P2.T14)55
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 3:46DETDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48MIAMISS House 13' Jump Shot55
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:04MIAMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot55
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:20DETMISS Atkins 27' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41MIAMarks Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)55
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41MIAMarks Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58DETOkur Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)53
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:21DETManning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:23MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot53
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:34DETPrince Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)53
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:49MIAMarks Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)53
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:06DETOkur Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)53
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:07DETOkur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:09DETMISS Atkins 3PT Jump Shot53
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:24MIAButler Foul Turnover (P2.T9)53
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:30MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:32DETMISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:40DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:42MIAMISS House 17' Jump Shot53
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:46DETManning Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)53
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:48DETOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50DETMISS Atkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:00MIAStepania Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)53
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:17DETBarry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)53
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 7:21DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:24MIAMISS Stepania 7' Hook Shot53
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:40DETWilliamson Foul Turnover (P1.T9)53
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 8:02MIACarter 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)53
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 8:35DETAtkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)51
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 8:42DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 8:44MIAPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)51
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 8:49DETAtkins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)51
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 9:09MIAStepania 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)51
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 9:32DETWilliamson Driving Layup (8 PTS)49
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 9:47DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 9:48MIAMISS Marks 20' Jump Shot49
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 10:06DETWilliamson Layup (6 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)49
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 10:26MIAButler Palming Turnover (P1.T7)49
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 10:32MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 10:34DETMISS Williamson 17' Jump Shot49
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 10:53DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 10:55MIAMISS Stepania 18' Jump Shot49
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 11:08MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 11:10DETMISS Hamilton 27' 3PT Jump Shot49
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 11:16DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 11:19MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot49
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 11:33DETHamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (34 PTS) (Okur 2 AST)49
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 11:47MIAMarks 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)49
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA47
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Hamilton Layup47
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)47
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Wallace 13' Jump Shot47
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:16)47
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot47
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 0:26.0MIACarter Reverse Layup (2 PTS)47
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 0:47.0DETMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 145
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 0:47.0DETRobinson 11' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)45
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 0:56.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:16)45
0.1%
74
99.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot45
0.1%
74
99.9%
Q3 - 1:14DETRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)45
0.1%
74
99.9%
Q3 - 1:14DETRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)45
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q3 - 1:19DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:15)45
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q3 - 1:23MIARobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)45
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q3 - 1:34MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q3 - 1:34DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 245
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q3 - 1:34DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 245
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q3 - 1:34DETPISTONS Rebound45
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q3 - 1:35MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot45
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q3 - 1:50DETCurry 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)45
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q3 - 1:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:14)45
0.2%
70
99.8%
Q3 - 1:58MIAMISS Allen 14' Jump Shot45
0.2%
70
99.8%
Q3 - 2:17DETHamilton Driving Layup (31 PTS)45
0.3%
70
99.7%
Q3 - 2:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)45
0.4%
68
99.6%
Q3 - 2:23MIAMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot45
0.4%
68
99.6%
Q3 - 2:33MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)45
0.5%
68
99.5%
Q3 - 2:35DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
0.5%
68
99.5%
Q3 - 2:55MIAAllen Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)45
0.4%
68
99.6%
Q3 - 3:11DETCurry Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)45
0.6%
68
99.4%
Q3 - 3:11DETCurry Layup (8 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)45
0.7%
67
99.3%
Q3 - 3:16DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
0.8%
65
99.2%
Q3 - 3:18DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot45
0.9%
65
99.1%
Q3 - 3:30DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)45
0.8%
65
99.2%
Q3 - 3:32MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 245
0.8%
65
99.2%
Q3 - 3:32MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)45
0.9%
65
99.1%
Q3 - 3:50DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)44
0.8%
65
99.2%
Q3 - 3:50DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)44
0.8%
64
99.2%
Q3 - 4:06DETPISTONS Rebound44
1.1%
63
98.9%
Q3 - 4:08MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
1.1%
63
98.9%
Q3 - 4:22DETRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)44
1.3%
63
98.7%
Q3 - 4:30MIAJames Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T5)44
1.1%
63
98.9%
Q3 - 4:41MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
1.3%
63
98.7%
Q3 - 4:42MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot44
1.1%
63
98.9%
Q3 - 5:00DETHamilton Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T6)44
1.3%
63
98.7%
Q3 - 5:13MIAButler 8' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)44
1.2%
63
98.8%
Q3 - 5:32DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)42
1.0%
63
99.0%
Q3 - 5:50MIAAllen 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)42
1.2%
61
98.8%
Q3 - 6:04DETCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
1.2%
61
98.8%
Q3 - 6:04DETCurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
1.2%
60
98.8%
Q3 - 6:08MIAWallace STEAL (1 STL)40
1.3%
59
98.7%
Q3 - 6:19DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (25 PTS)40
1.6%
59
98.4%
Q3 - 6:22DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
1.8%
57
98.2%
Q3 - 6:23DETMISS Robinson 6' Jump Shot40
2.1%
57
97.9%
Q3 - 6:34DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)40
1.8%
57
98.2%
Q3 - 6:36MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot40
1.9%
57
98.1%
Q3 - 7:00DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (23 PTS)40
2.2%
57
97.8%
Q3 - 7:21MIAGrant 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
2.6%
55
97.4%
Q3 - 7:39DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)38
2.3%
55
97.7%
Q3 - 7:58MIAButler Tip Shot (11 PTS)38
2.6%
53
97.4%
Q3 - 8:00MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
2.3%
53
97.7%
Q3 - 8:01MIAMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot36
2.2%
53
97.8%
Q3 - 8:12DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)36
2.4%
53
97.6%
Q3 - 8:12DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)36
2.5%
52
97.5%
Q3 - 8:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)36
2.8%
51
97.2%
Q3 - 8:23MIAMISS Best 21' Jump Shot36
2.9%
51
97.1%
Q3 - 8:40DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)36
3.3%
51
96.7%
Q3 - 9:05MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 1 AST)36
3.8%
49
96.2%
Q3 - 9:20DETWallace Dunk (4 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)34
3.4%
49
96.6%
Q3 - 9:35DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)34
3.8%
47
96.2%
Q3 - 9:37MIAMISS House 16' Jump Shot34
4.0%
47
96.0%
Q3 - 9:55DETBillups 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
4.4%
47
95.6%
Q3 - 10:13DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)34
5.2%
45
94.8%
Q3 - 10:14MIAMISS Best 20' Jump Shot34
5.4%
45
94.6%
Q3 - 10:31MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)34
6.0%
45
94.0%
Q3 - 10:34DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot34
5.7%
45
94.3%
Q3 - 10:49MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)34
5.2%
45
94.8%
Q3 - 10:49MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)33
5.0%
45
95.0%
Q3 - 10:51MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
4.6%
45
95.4%
Q3 - 10:53DETMISS Robinson 17' Jump Shot32
4.4%
45
95.6%
Q3 - 11:05DETBillups REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
4.1%
45
95.9%
Q3 - 11:06MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot32
4.2%
45
95.8%
Q3 - 11:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
4.6%
45
95.4%
Q3 - 11:22MIAMISS Best 15' Jump Shot32
4.2%
45
95.8%
Q3 - 11:35MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
4.6%
45
95.4%
Q3 - 11:37DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
4.5%
45
95.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA32
4.0%
45
96.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAHeat Rebound32
4.8%
45
95.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0DETMISS Robinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
4.7%
45
95.3%
Q2 - 0:17.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
4.4%
45
95.6%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Best 19' Jump Shot32
4.5%
45
95.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
4.8%
45
95.2%
Q2 - 0:33.0DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 232
4.8%
45
95.2%
Q2 - 0:33.0DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
4.4%
45
95.6%
Q2 - 0:34.0DETPISTONS Rebound32
5.0%
44
95.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0DETMISS Billups 13' Jump Shot32
5.3%
44
94.7%
Q2 - 0:44.0DETBillups REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
5.0%
44
95.0%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)32
5.1%
44
94.9%
Q2 - 1:08MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
5.7%
44
94.3%
Q2 - 1:10DETMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot32
5.6%
44
94.4%
Q2 - 1:19MIAHouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)32
5.3%
44
94.7%
Q2 - 1:19MIAHouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
5.2%
44
94.8%
Q2 - 1:34DETHamilton 13' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)30
4.4%
44
95.6%
Q2 - 1:54MIAAllen 12' Hook Shot (4 PTS)30
5.3%
42
94.7%
Q2 - 2:09MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
4.8%
42
95.2%
Q2 - 2:11DETMISS Williamson 15' Jump Shot28
4.6%
42
95.4%
Q2 - 2:30MIAAllen 13' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (House 2 AST)28
4.2%
42
95.8%
Q2 - 2:59DETRobinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)26
3.7%
42
96.3%
Q2 - 3:05DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
5.0%
39
95.0%
Q2 - 3:07MIAMISS Butler 10' Hook Shot26
5.2%
39
94.8%
Q2 - 3:27DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williamson 1 AST)26
5.6%
39
94.4%
Q2 - 3:35DETBillups REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
7.0%
36
93.0%
Q2 - 3:37DETMISS Billups 12' Jump Shot26
7.6%
36
92.4%
Q2 - 4:00MIAButler Layup (7 PTS)26
6.9%
36
93.1%
Q2 - 4:03MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
6.4%
36
93.6%
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Grant Layup24
6.0%
36
94.0%
Q2 - 4:19DETBillups Foul Turnover (P1.T5)24
6.4%
36
93.6%
Q2 - 4:49MIAGrant Dunk (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)24
5.7%
36
94.3%
Q2 - 5:07DETHamilton 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS)22
5.3%
36
94.7%
Q2 - 5:20DETPISTONS Rebound22
5.8%
34
94.2%
Q2 - 5:21DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot22
6.3%
34
93.7%
Q2 - 5:28DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
5.8%
34
94.2%
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS Ellis 17' Jump Shot22
6.0%
34
94.0%
Q2 - 5:43DETRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)22
6.5%
34
93.5%
Q2 - 6:06MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
5.9%
34
94.1%
Q2 - 6:06MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 221
5.8%
34
94.2%
Q2 - 6:22DETHamilton 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
6.1%
34
93.9%
Q2 - 6:43MIAButler 7' Hook Shot (5 PTS)21
6.6%
32
93.4%
Q2 - 7:08DETOkur Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)19
6.3%
32
93.7%
Q2 - 7:31MIAStepania 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)19
5.7%
32
94.3%
Q2 - 7:45MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
5.2%
32
94.8%
Q2 - 7:47DETMISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot17
5.0%
32
95.0%
Q2 - 7:58DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
4.6%
32
95.4%
Q2 - 8:01MIAMISS Ellis 11' Jump Shot17
4.9%
32
95.1%
Q2 - 8:21DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)17
5.3%
32
94.7%
Q2 - 8:24DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
5.8%
30
94.2%
Q2 - 8:28MIAOkur BLOCK (1 BLK)17
6.0%
30
94.0%
Q2 - 8:48MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
6.4%
30
93.6%
Q2 - 8:50DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot17
6.2%
30
93.8%
Q2 - 9:00DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
5.8%
30
94.2%
Q2 - 9:03MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot17
6.1%
30
93.9%
Q2 - 9:14MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
6.5%
30
93.5%
Q2 - 9:15DETMISS Okur Layup17
6.3%
30
93.7%
Q2 - 9:33MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
5.9%
30
94.1%
Q2 - 9:45DETWilliamson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
6.5%
30
93.5%
Q2 - 9:45DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
6.6%
29
93.4%
Q2 - 10:10MIAJames 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
7.2%
28
92.8%
Q2 - 10:40DETWallace Dunk (2 PTS)15
6.7%
28
93.3%
Q2 - 10:41DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)15
7.2%
26
92.8%
Q2 - 10:44DETMISS Williamson 5' Hook Shot15
7.8%
26
92.2%
Q2 - 10:58MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)15
7.2%
26
92.8%
Q2 - 10:58MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 214
7.1%
26
92.9%
Q2 - 11:02MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
7.3%
26
92.7%
Q2 - 11:04DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot14
7.1%
26
92.9%
Q2 - 11:28MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T2)14
6.7%
26
93.3%
Q2 - 11:46DETAtkins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
7.3%
26
92.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET14
6.7%
26
93.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)14
6.7%
26
93.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
7.0%
26
93.0%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
7.3%
26
92.7%
Q1 - 0:17.0DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot14
7.2%
26
92.8%
Q1 - 0:19.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)14
6.8%
26
93.2%
Q1 - 0:20.0DETMISS Okur Layup14
7.2%
26
92.8%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIAButler 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
6.8%
26
93.2%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
6.1%
26
93.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0DETMISS Williamson 6' Jump Shot12
6.0%
26
94.0%
Q1 - 1:08DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
5.8%
26
94.2%
Q1 - 1:09MIAMISS Stepania Layup12
5.9%
26
94.1%
Q1 - 1:25DETWilliamson 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Okur 1 AST)12
6.2%
26
93.8%
Q1 - 1:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)12
6.9%
24
93.1%
Q1 - 1:42MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
7.0%
24
93.0%
Q1 - 1:47MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
7.4%
24
92.6%
Q1 - 1:48DETMISS Williamson 10' Jump Shot12
7.2%
24
92.8%
Q1 - 2:06MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
6.9%
24
93.1%
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 211
6.6%
24
93.4%
Q1 - 2:14MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
6.8%
24
93.2%
Q1 - 2:16DETMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
6.7%
24
93.3%
Q1 - 2:33MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T1)11
6.3%
24
93.7%
Q1 - 2:57DETRobinson 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)11
6.8%
24
93.2%
Q1 - 3:13MIAButler 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
7.6%
22
92.4%
Q1 - 3:35DETBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)9
7.1%
22
92.9%
Q1 - 3:53MIAButler Driving Layup (2 PTS)9
8.3%
19
91.7%
Q1 - 4:06DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)7
7.7%
19
92.3%
Q1 - 4:06DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)7
7.8%
18
92.2%
Q1 - 4:10DETBillups Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)7
8.2%
17
91.8%
Q1 - 4:11DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
8.9%
16
91.1%
Q1 - 4:13MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)7
9.2%
16
90.8%
Q1 - 4:19MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
9.8%
16
90.2%
Q1 - 4:21DETMISS Wallace 14' Jump Shot7
9.5%
16
90.5%
Q1 - 4:44MIABest 17' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
8.9%
16
91.1%
Q1 - 4:58DETRobinson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)5
8.4%
16
91.6%
Q1 - 5:21DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
7.8%
16
92.2%
Q1 - 5:23MIAMISS Stepania Tip Shot5
8.0%
16
92.0%
Q1 - 5:24MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
8.5%
16
91.5%
Q1 - 5:26MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot5
8.0%
16
92.0%
Q1 - 5:43DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
8.5%
16
91.5%
Q1 - 5:43DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
8.5%
15
91.5%
Q1 - 5:51DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)5
9.1%
14
90.9%
Q1 - 5:54MIAMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot5
9.3%
14
90.7%
Q1 - 6:18DETCurry 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)5
10.0%
14
90.0%
Q1 - 6:34DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
10.7%
12
89.3%
Q1 - 6:36MIAMISS Best Layup5
10.9%
12
89.1%
Q1 - 6:55DETCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
11.5%
12
88.5%
Q1 - 6:55DETCurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
11.7%
11
88.3%
Q1 - 7:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)5
12.4%
10
87.6%
Q1 - 7:12MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot5
12.7%
10
87.3%
Q1 - 7:26MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
13.3%
10
86.7%
Q1 - 7:28DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot5
13.1%
10
86.9%
Q1 - 7:52MIAGrant 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (House 1 AST)5
12.4%
10
87.6%
Q1 - 8:11DETHamilton Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)3
11.6%
10
88.4%
Q1 - 8:31MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
12.3%
8
87.7%
Q1 - 8:31MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
11.5%
8
88.5%
Q1 - 8:48DETRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)0
10.8%
8
89.2%
Q1 - 8:48DETRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)0
11.0%
7
89.0%
Q1 - 9:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
11.3%
6
88.7%
Q1 - 9:03MIAMISS Butler Layup0
11.6%
6
88.4%
Q1 - 9:23MIAHeat Rebound0
12.3%
6
87.7%
Q1 - 9:25DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
12.0%
6
88.0%
Q1 - 9:26DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
11.3%
6
88.7%
Q1 - 9:29DETMISS Curry Reverse Layup0
12.0%
6
88.0%
Q1 - 9:39DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
11.3%
6
88.7%
Q1 - 9:41MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot0
11.6%
6
88.4%
Q1 - 10:00DETRobinson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)0
12.3%
6
87.7%
Q1 - 10:11DETCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.0%
4
87.0%
Q1 - 10:13MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot0
13.3%
4
86.7%
Q1 - 10:36DETRobinson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)0
14.0%
4
86.0%
Q1 - 10:48DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.7%
2
85.3%
Q1 - 10:51MIAMISS Allen 10' Running Jump Shot0
15.1%
2
84.9%
Q1 - 11:02MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
15.7%
2
84.3%
Q1 - 11:04MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot0
15.1%
2
84.9%
Q1 - 11:17DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)0
15.7%
2
84.3%
Q1 - 11:42DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.8%
0
83.2%
Q1 - 11:44MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot0
17.1%
0
82.9%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Grant: Tip to Best0
17.8%
0
82.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.72 36.0%
DET
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
9
18
50%
DET
8
14
57%
Midrange
MIA
16
52
31%
DET
17
37
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
0%
DET
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIA
12
17
71%
DET
22
26
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler1354%6.5 / 12
R. Butler1038%5.0 / 13
V. Stepania739%3.5 / 9
M. Allen630%3.0 / 10
E. House638%3.0 / 8
B. Grant643%3.0 / 7
S. Marks563%2.5 / 4
A. Carter433%2.0 / 6
T. Best217%1.0 / 6
M. James217%1.0 / 6
L. Ellis117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton3471%17.0 / 24
C. Robinson1563%7.5 / 12
M. Curry1179%5.5 / 7
C. Williamson844%4.0 / 9
C. Billups739%3.5 / 9
J. Barry6100%3.0 / 3
B. Wallace429%2.0 / 7
H. Davis467%2.0 / 3
C. Atkins330%1.5 / 5
T. Prince113%0.5 / 4
M. Okur0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+8
-10
85
DET
74
+13
-15
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.72 36.0%
DET
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
100.9
MIA 71.3 +33.2
DET 104.5
Pace
90.0
89.6
MIA 90.1 +3.2
DET 86.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.5
MIA 16.0 +0.6
DET 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
47.3%
MIA 33.3%
DET 49.3% +16.0%
TO %
14.8%
14.0%
MIA 10.8% +4.4%
DET 15.2%
ORB %
26.8%
26.0%
MIA 16.7%
DET 28.2% +11.5%
FTrt
25.9
32.2
MIA 22.7
DET 36.1 +13.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
60.0%
MIA 44.0%
DET 59.4% +15.4%
STL %
7.9%
7.5%
MIA 8.0% +6.9%
DET 1.1%
BLK %
6.4%
8.6%
MIA 7.8%
DET 10.0% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
49.6%
MIA 36.0%
DET 53.4% +17.4%
Rim FG%
53.7%
55.0%
MIA 50.0%
DET 57.1% +7.1%
Mid FG%
37.6%
38.8%
MIA 30.8%
DET 45.9% +15.1%
3P %
31.6%
35.8%
MIA 0.0%
DET 33.3% +33.3%
FT %
76.5%
77.1%
MIA 70.6%
DET 84.6% +14.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
30.4%
MIA 24.0% +4.6%
DET 19.4%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
45.9%
MIA 69.3%
DET 51.4% +17.9%
3P Att. %
16.9%
23.7%
MIA 6.7%
DET 29.2% +22.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions8789
Possession Minutes23.224.6
Points6293
Rebounds3651
Assists1119
Steals71
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (0)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)40 (3)
Field Goals25-7532-72
At-the-Rim FG9-188-14
Midrange FG16-5217-37
2-Point FG25-7025-51
3-Point FG0-57-21
Free Throws12-1722-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
28.1
6
30%
8
0
1
1
1
4
1
7
0-0
-
3-10
30%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
28.1
13
54%
4
1
2
0
1
2
2
2
3-3
100%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
25.9
6
38%
3
3
1
0
0
4
0
3
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
22.3
6
43%
3
0
0
0
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 182 · 31
16.4
2
17%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 24
31.0
10
38%
3
4
0
2
2
3
0
3
2-4
50%
4-9
44%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
27.4
2
17%
4
2
3
0
3
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-3
0%
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
25.4
7
39%
9
0
0
0
1
1
3
6
1-2
50%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
16.2
5
63%
1
0
0
0
1
6
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
11.8
4
33%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
7.6
1
17%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
62
36%
36
11
7
4
10
0
8
28
12-17
71%
25-70
36%
0-5
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.