FinalWin Prob.pScore
2712%83
79
488%97
84
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
84.99381.1
NJN
90.393109.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANJN
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA79
0%
84
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0NJNKidd Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)79
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0NJNKidd Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)79
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAGrant Layup (13 PTS) (Best 2 AST)79
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0NJNKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)77
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 0:08.0NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)77
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q4 - 0:09.0NJNMISS Harris 14' Jump Shot77
6.5%
79
93.5%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)77
4.4%
79
95.6%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 276
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAHeat Rebound76
5.3%
79
94.7%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
2.7%
79
97.3%
Q4 - 0:38.0NJNJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)76
6.4%
79
93.6%
Q4 - 0:38.0NJNMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 276
7.6%
78
92.4%
Q4 - 0:38.0NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
5.7%
78
94.3%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Best 14' Jump Shot76
7.6%
78
92.4%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)76
14.1%
78
85.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Butler 6' Running Jump Shot76
9.2%
78
90.8%
Q4 - 1:18MIAHeat Rebound76
13.9%
78
86.1%
Q4 - 1:20NJNMISS Martin 7' Running Jump Shot76
11.7%
78
88.3%
Q4 - 1:37NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)76
8.3%
78
91.7%
Q4 - 1:39MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot76
9.8%
78
90.2%
Q4 - 1:50NJNCollins Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)76
14.0%
78
86.0%
Q4 - 1:50NJNCollins Layup (6 PTS) (Kidd 10 AST)76
20.9%
77
79.1%
Q4 - 1:56NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)76
29.3%
75
70.7%
Q4 - 1:58MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot76
32.7%
75
67.3%
Q4 - 2:11MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
40.8%
75
59.2%
Q4 - 2:12NJNMISS Kittles 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
36.0%
75
64.0%
Q4 - 2:30NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)76
25.8%
75
74.2%
Q4 - 2:32MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot76
29.9%
75
70.1%
Q4 - 2:48MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
40.8%
75
59.2%
Q4 - 2:50NJNMISS Martin 5' Hook Shot76
35.7%
75
64.3%
Q4 - 3:15MIABest Driving Layup (9 PTS)76
26.0%
75
74.0%
Q4 - 3:42NJNMartin Dunk (28 PTS) (Kidd 9 AST)74
20.2%
75
79.8%
Q4 - 3:55NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
26.6%
73
73.4%
Q4 - 3:56MIAMISS Butler 11' Running Jump Shot74
29.0%
73
71.0%
Q4 - 4:13MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
35.3%
73
64.7%
Q4 - 4:14NJNMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 274
34.1%
73
65.9%
Q4 - 4:14NJNMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)74
29.4%
73
70.6%
Q4 - 4:23NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)74
34.9%
72
65.1%
Q4 - 4:24MIAMISS Butler 9' Turnaround Jump Shot74
37.7%
72
62.3%
Q4 - 4:44MIAHeat Rebound74
44.7%
72
55.3%
Q4 - 4:45NJNMISS Martin Dunk74
41.7%
72
58.3%
Q4 - 4:46NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)74
35.0%
72
65.0%
Q4 - 4:47NJNMISS Harris 20' Jump Shot74
41.7%
72
58.3%
Q4 - 4:49NJNHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
35.1%
72
64.9%
Q4 - 4:50NJNMISS Martin Dunk74
41.7%
72
58.3%
Q4 - 5:03NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)74
31.2%
72
68.8%
Q4 - 5:05MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot74
33.5%
72
66.5%
Q4 - 5:20NJNMartin 6' Hook Shot (25 PTS) (Kidd 8 AST)74
39.3%
72
60.7%
Q4 - 5:37MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (James 3 AST)74
47.3%
70
52.7%
Q4 - 5:53NJNJefferson Driving Finger Roll (16 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)72
39.5%
70
60.5%
Q4 - 5:58NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)72
47.4%
68
52.6%
Q4 - 5:59MIAMISS James Driving Layup72
50.1%
68
49.9%
Q4 - 6:24NJNJefferson Layup (14 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)72
50.5%
68
49.5%
Q4 - 6:28NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
57.0%
66
43.0%
Q4 - 6:30MIAMISS Butler 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
59.6%
66
40.4%
Q4 - 6:50MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
65.4%
66
34.6%
Q4 - 6:52NJNMISS Jefferson Driving Layup72
63.0%
66
37.0%
Q4 - 7:10MIAStepania 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)72
52.0%
66
48.0%
Q4 - 7:28NJNKidd 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)70
46.2%
66
53.8%
Q4 - 7:33NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)70
52.2%
64
47.8%
Q4 - 7:34MIAMISS Butler 14' Turnaround Jump Shot70
54.6%
64
45.4%
Q4 - 7:52NJNWilliams Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)70
60.0%
64
40.0%
Q4 - 8:03NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
49.4%
64
50.6%
Q4 - 8:05MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot70
51.4%
64
48.6%
Q4 - 8:25NJNWilliams Tip Shot (4 PTS)70
56.0%
64
44.0%
Q4 - 8:26NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)70
62.0%
62
38.0%
Q4 - 8:28NJNMISS Kidd 14' Jump Shot70
66.2%
62
33.8%
Q4 - 8:46MIAButler Driving Layup (17 PTS)70
62.1%
62
37.9%
Q4 - 8:50MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
56.1%
62
43.9%
Q4 - 8:52NJNMISS Kidd 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
54.1%
62
45.9%
Q4 - 9:10MIAButler Traveling Turnover (P5.T17)68
46.1%
62
53.9%
Q4 - 9:34NJNKidd Driving Layup (5 PTS)68
52.5%
62
47.5%
Q4 - 9:58MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (James 1 AST)68
58.4%
60
41.6%
Q4 - 10:03MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
44.4%
60
55.6%
Q4 - 10:05NJNMISS Jefferson Driving Dunk65
42.5%
60
57.5%
Q4 - 10:40MIAMarks Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Best 1 AST)65
38.5%
60
61.5%
Q4 - 10:52NJNHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)63
33.7%
60
66.3%
Q4 - 11:02MIAJefferson STEAL (2 STL)63
28.4%
60
71.6%
Q4 - 11:06MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
33.2%
60
66.8%
Q4 - 11:07NJNMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot63
31.7%
60
68.3%
Q4 - 11:28MIAMarks Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)63
28.4%
60
71.6%
Q4 - 11:43MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
33.2%
60
66.8%
Q4 - 11:45NJNMISS Harris 16' Jump Shot63
31.7%
60
68.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA63
28.4%
60
71.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound63
33.2%
60
66.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
28.4%
60
71.6%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
31.4%
60
68.6%
Q3 - 0:11.0NJNMISS Scalabrine 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
30.1%
60
69.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIABest Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)63
27.2%
60
72.8%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIABest Driving Layup (6 PTS)62
23.3%
60
76.7%
Q3 - 0:43.0NJNHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kittles 3 AST)60
19.9%
60
80.1%
Q3 - 0:48.0NJNNETS Rebound60
27.3%
57
72.7%
Q3 - 0:48.0NJNMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 260
31.0%
57
69.0%
Q3 - 0:48.0NJNMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 260
28.5%
57
71.5%
Q3 - 1:03MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)60
25.8%
57
74.2%
Q3 - 1:14MIAButler Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (13 PTS)58
22.3%
57
77.7%
Q3 - 1:14MIAButler Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (12 PTS)57
21.7%
57
78.3%
Q3 - 1:18NJNHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)56
16.3%
57
83.7%
Q3 - 1:41NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
13.7%
57
86.3%
Q3 - 1:43MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot56
14.5%
57
85.5%
Q3 - 1:58MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
16.3%
57
83.7%
Q3 - 1:59MIAMISS Best Driving Layup56
14.5%
57
85.5%
Q3 - 2:15MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
15.9%
57
84.1%
Q3 - 2:17MIAMISS Marks 20' Jump Shot56
14.1%
57
85.9%
Q3 - 2:39NJNMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)56
15.9%
57
84.1%
Q3 - 2:39NJNMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 256
16.6%
56
83.4%
Q3 - 2:54MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)56
15.7%
56
84.3%
Q3 - 2:54MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 255
15.3%
56
84.7%
Q3 - 3:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)55
15.8%
56
84.2%
Q3 - 3:09NJNMISS Kittles Reverse Layup55
15.1%
56
84.9%
Q3 - 3:12NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)55
13.5%
56
86.5%
Q3 - 3:14NJNMISS Kittles 17' Jump Shot55
15.1%
56
84.9%
Q3 - 3:31MIAScalabrine STEAL (1 STL)55
13.4%
56
86.6%
Q3 - 3:37MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
15.8%
56
84.2%
Q3 - 3:38NJNMISS Martin Driving Layup55
15.1%
56
84.9%
Q3 - 3:53NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
13.4%
56
86.6%
Q3 - 3:55NJNMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot55
15.1%
56
84.9%
Q3 - 4:22MIAAllen 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (House 6 AST)55
13.0%
56
87.0%
Q3 - 4:37NJNJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)53
11.4%
56
88.6%
Q3 - 4:37NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
11.8%
55
88.2%
Q3 - 4:45MIAButler Slam Dunk (10 PTS)53
13.0%
54
87.0%
Q3 - 4:51NJNKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)51
11.4%
54
88.6%
Q3 - 5:06NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
9.7%
54
90.3%
Q3 - 5:08MIAMISS Butler 15' Fadeaway Jumper51
10.2%
54
89.8%
Q3 - 5:23NJNMartin Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)51
11.4%
54
88.6%
Q3 - 5:23NJNMartin Layup (21 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)51
13.2%
53
86.8%
Q3 - 5:31NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
15.0%
51
85.0%
Q3 - 5:33MIAMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot51
15.7%
51
84.3%
Q3 - 5:57MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
17.5%
51
82.5%
Q3 - 5:58NJNMISS Kittles Layup51
16.7%
51
83.3%
Q3 - 6:01NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q3 - 6:03MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot51
15.3%
51
84.7%
Q3 - 6:29MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)51
17.0%
51
83.0%
Q3 - 6:31NJNMISS Martin Layup51
16.2%
51
83.8%
Q3 - 6:55MIAAllen 6' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (House 5 AST)51
14.7%
51
85.3%
Q3 - 7:10MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
12.9%
51
87.1%
Q3 - 7:12NJNMISS Kittles 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
12.3%
51
87.7%
Q3 - 7:36MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)49
11.0%
51
89.0%
Q3 - 7:55NJNKittles Driving Layup (9 PTS)46
8.5%
51
91.5%
Q3 - 8:07NJNNETS Rebound46
9.5%
49
90.5%
Q3 - 8:08NJNMISS Kittles 22' Jump Shot46
10.6%
49
89.4%
Q3 - 8:26MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)46
9.5%
49
90.5%
Q3 - 8:45NJNKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)43
7.4%
49
92.6%
Q3 - 8:51NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
6.3%
49
93.7%
Q3 - 8:53MIAMISS Best 22' Jump Shot43
6.6%
49
93.4%
Q3 - 9:03MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
7.1%
49
92.9%
Q3 - 9:05MIAMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot43
6.5%
49
93.5%
Q3 - 9:22MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
7.1%
49
92.9%
Q3 - 9:23NJNMISS Kidd Free Throw 2 of 243
7.0%
49
93.0%
Q3 - 9:23NJNMISS Kidd Free Throw 1 of 243
6.4%
49
93.6%
Q3 - 9:28MIAMartin STEAL (5 STL)43
6.2%
49
93.8%
Q3 - 9:36MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
7.2%
49
92.8%
Q3 - 9:38NJNMISS Kittles 18' Jump Shot43
6.9%
49
93.1%
Q3 - 10:02MIAGrant Layup (9 PTS)43
6.1%
49
93.9%
Q3 - 10:17NJNKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)41
5.4%
49
94.6%
Q3 - 10:22MIAKidd STEAL (2 STL)41
4.6%
49
95.4%
Q3 - 10:35NJNCollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
5.4%
49
94.6%
Q3 - 10:35NJNCollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
5.6%
48
94.4%
Q3 - 10:52MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (House 4 AST)41
6.1%
47
93.9%
Q3 - 11:03MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
5.3%
47
94.7%
Q3 - 11:05NJNMISS Jefferson 14' Jump Shot39
5.1%
47
94.9%
Q3 - 11:14MIAKidd STEAL (1 STL)39
4.6%
47
95.4%
Q3 - 11:19NJNKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)39
5.3%
47
94.7%
Q3 - 11:40NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)39
4.6%
47
95.4%
Q3 - 11:42MIACollins BLOCK (1 BLK)39
4.8%
47
95.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0NJN39
5.3%
47
94.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAButler 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)39
4.6%
47
95.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0NJNJefferson 11' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kittles 2 AST)36
3.7%
47
96.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (House 3 AST)36
4.3%
45
95.7%
Q2 - 0:45.0NJNMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 133
3.2%
45
96.8%
Q2 - 0:45.0NJNMartin 8' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)33
3.2%
45
96.8%
Q2 - 1:09MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (House 2 AST)33
4.0%
43
96.0%
Q2 - 1:15MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
3.3%
43
96.7%
Q2 - 1:17NJNMISS Kittles Alley Oop Layup31
3.3%
43
96.7%
Q2 - 1:34MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)31
3.1%
43
96.9%
Q2 - 1:51NJNMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)29
2.6%
43
97.4%
Q2 - 1:54NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
2.4%
43
97.6%
Q2 - 1:55NJNMISS Collins Tip Shot29
2.5%
43
97.5%
Q2 - 1:56NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
2.4%
43
97.6%
Q2 - 1:58NJNMISS Martin 5' Running Jump Shot29
2.5%
43
97.5%
Q2 - 2:08NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
2.5%
43
97.5%
Q2 - 2:10MIAMISS Marks 20' Jump Shot29
2.6%
43
97.4%
Q2 - 2:24MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
2.8%
43
97.2%
Q2 - 2:25NJNMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 229
2.7%
43
97.3%
Q2 - 2:25NJNMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 229
2.5%
43
97.5%
Q2 - 2:40MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (House 1 AST)29
2.5%
43
97.5%
Q2 - 2:53NJNMartin 10' Hook Shot (17 PTS)26
1.9%
43
98.1%
Q2 - 3:13NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)26
2.3%
41
97.7%
Q2 - 3:14MIAMISS Carter 8' Running Jump Shot26
2.4%
41
97.6%
Q2 - 3:24NJNKittles Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)26
2.6%
41
97.4%
Q2 - 3:24NJNKittles Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)26
2.6%
40
97.4%
Q2 - 3:28NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
2.9%
39
97.1%
Q2 - 3:29MIAMISS House 3PT Jump Shot26
3.0%
39
97.0%
Q2 - 3:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
3.3%
39
96.7%
Q2 - 3:41NJNMISS Kittles 16' Jump Shot26
3.1%
39
96.9%
Q2 - 3:56NJNJump Ball Martin vs. Marks: Tip to Jefferson26
2.9%
39
97.1%
Q2 - 4:03NJNKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)26
3.3%
39
96.7%
Q2 - 4:10NJNKittles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
3.0%
39
97.0%
Q2 - 4:13MIAMISS Butler 8' Turnaround Jump Shot26
3.1%
39
96.9%
Q2 - 4:33NJNJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)26
3.3%
39
96.7%
Q2 - 4:33NJNJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)26
3.4%
38
96.6%
Q2 - 4:50MIAButler 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)26
3.7%
37
96.3%
Q2 - 5:13NJNMartin 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)23
3.0%
37
97.0%
Q2 - 5:26NJNHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
3.3%
35
96.7%
Q2 - 5:28MIAMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot23
3.4%
35
96.6%
Q2 - 5:44MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
3.7%
35
96.3%
Q2 - 5:45NJNMISS Martin 11' Running Jump Shot23
3.6%
35
96.4%
Q2 - 5:55MIAStepania Tip Shot (2 PTS)23
3.3%
35
96.7%
Q2 - 5:56MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
3.0%
35
97.0%
Q2 - 5:58MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot21
2.8%
35
97.2%
Q2 - 6:17MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
3.1%
35
96.9%
Q2 - 6:19NJNMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot21
3.0%
35
97.0%
Q2 - 6:28NJNJefferson Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
2.7%
35
97.3%
Q2 - 6:28NJNJefferson Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
2.8%
34
97.2%
Q2 - 6:30MIAJefferson STEAL (1 STL)21
3.4%
33
96.6%
Q2 - 6:54NJNWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
3.8%
33
96.2%
Q2 - 6:54NJNWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
3.9%
32
96.1%
Q2 - 7:15MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)21
4.4%
31
95.6%
Q2 - 7:23MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
3.6%
31
96.4%
Q2 - 7:25NJNMISS Williams 8' Jump Shot18
3.5%
31
96.5%
Q2 - 7:26NJNWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
3.2%
31
96.8%
Q2 - 7:28NJNMISS Jefferson 12' Jump Shot18
3.5%
31
96.5%
Q2 - 7:35MIAChilds STEAL (1 STL)18
3.2%
31
96.8%
Q2 - 7:37MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
3.6%
31
96.4%
Q2 - 7:39MIAMISS Carter 19' Jump Shot18
3.3%
31
96.7%
Q2 - 7:55MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
3.6%
31
96.4%
Q2 - 7:57NJNMISS Rogers 18' Jump Shot18
3.5%
31
96.5%
Q2 - 8:12NJNNETS Rebound18
3.3%
31
96.7%
Q2 - 8:14MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot18
3.4%
31
96.6%
Q2 - 8:40NJNJefferson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)18
3.6%
31
96.4%
Q2 - 8:59MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 118
4.0%
29
96.0%
Q2 - 8:59MIAButler Layup (8 PTS)18
4.0%
29
96.0%
Q2 - 9:06MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
3.7%
29
96.3%
Q2 - 9:08NJNMISS Jefferson Driving Layup16
3.6%
29
96.4%
Q2 - 9:17MIAButler Foul Turnover (P3.T7)16
3.3%
29
96.7%
Q2 - 9:37MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
3.7%
29
96.3%
Q2 - 9:38NJNMISS Rogers Driving Layup16
3.6%
29
96.4%
Q2 - 9:51MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)16
3.3%
29
96.7%
Q2 - 9:51MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 215
3.2%
29
96.8%
Q2 - 10:13NJNRogers 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)15
3.4%
29
96.6%
Q2 - 10:32NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
3.7%
27
96.3%
Q2 - 10:34MIAMISS Stepania 7' Hook Shot15
3.9%
27
96.1%
Q2 - 10:54NJNHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)15
4.2%
27
95.8%
Q2 - 11:05MIAAllen 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)15
3.7%
27
96.3%
Q2 - 11:22NJNRogers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)13
3.4%
27
96.6%
Q2 - 11:36NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
3.1%
27
96.9%
Q2 - 11:38MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot13
3.2%
27
96.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA13
3.4%
27
96.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
3.4%
27
96.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0NJNMISS Harris 19' Jump Shot13
3.4%
27
96.6%
Q1 - 0:15.0NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
3.2%
27
96.8%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot13
3.3%
27
96.7%
Q1 - 0:34.0NJNMartin Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)13
3.4%
27
96.6%
Q1 - 0:34.0NJNMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)13
3.5%
26
96.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
3.8%
25
96.2%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot13
3.9%
25
96.1%
Q1 - 0:58.0NJNRogers Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)13
4.1%
25
95.9%
Q1 - 1:14MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P2.T6)13
4.6%
23
95.4%
Q1 - 1:29NJNWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T3)13
5.0%
23
95.0%
Q1 - 1:44MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)13
4.6%
23
95.4%
Q1 - 1:44MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
4.6%
23
95.4%
Q1 - 1:56MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
4.1%
23
95.9%
Q1 - 1:58NJNMISS Harris Layup11
4.1%
23
95.9%
Q1 - 2:13MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)11
3.8%
23
96.2%
Q1 - 2:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
4.2%
23
95.8%
Q1 - 2:19NJNMISS Collins Layup11
4.1%
23
95.9%
Q1 - 2:32NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
3.8%
23
96.2%
Q1 - 2:33MIAMISS Best 21' Jump Shot11
3.9%
23
96.1%
Q1 - 2:47MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)11
4.2%
23
95.8%
Q1 - 2:49MIAMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
3.9%
23
96.1%
Q1 - 3:05NJNCollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
4.3%
23
95.7%
Q1 - 3:05NJNCollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
4.4%
22
95.6%
Q1 - 3:15NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
4.6%
21
95.4%
Q1 - 3:17MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot11
4.8%
21
95.2%
Q1 - 3:33NJNKittles 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)11
5.1%
21
94.9%
Q1 - 3:39NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
6.0%
18
94.0%
Q1 - 3:41MIAMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot11
6.2%
18
93.8%
Q1 - 3:59MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
6.6%
18
93.4%
Q1 - 4:00NJNMISS Martin 14' Jump Shot11
6.4%
18
93.6%
Q1 - 4:27MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
5.9%
18
94.1%
Q1 - 4:27MIAMISS Butler Free Throw 1 of 210
5.8%
18
94.2%
Q1 - 4:32MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
6.0%
18
94.0%
Q1 - 4:33NJNMISS Jefferson Layup10
5.8%
18
94.2%
Q1 - 4:42NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
5.4%
18
94.6%
Q1 - 4:44MIAMISS Best 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
5.6%
18
94.4%
Q1 - 4:59NJNKidd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)10
6.0%
18
94.0%
Q1 - 5:04NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
6.9%
15
93.1%
Q1 - 5:06MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot10
7.1%
15
92.9%
Q1 - 5:21NJNMartin Driving Finger Roll (11 PTS)10
7.5%
15
92.5%
Q1 - 5:41MIAGrant Layup (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)10
8.0%
13
92.0%
Q1 - 5:47NJNKittles Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
7.5%
13
92.5%
Q1 - 5:52MIAMartin STEAL (3 STL)8
6.9%
13
93.1%
Q1 - 6:06MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
7.5%
13
92.5%
Q1 - 6:07NJNMISS Kittles 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
7.3%
13
92.7%
Q1 - 6:23MIAKittles STEAL (1 STL)8
6.9%
13
93.1%
Q1 - 6:50NJNMartin 5' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)8
7.5%
13
92.5%
Q1 - 6:59NJNCollins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
8.0%
11
92.0%
Q1 - 7:01MIAMISS Butler 6' Turnaround Jump Shot8
8.1%
11
91.9%
Q1 - 7:16NJNJefferson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
8.6%
11
91.4%
Q1 - 7:39MIABest 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
9.1%
9
90.9%
Q1 - 8:04NJNMartin 11' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)6
8.4%
9
91.6%
Q1 - 8:21MIAMartin STEAL (2 STL)6
8.9%
7
91.1%
Q1 - 8:38MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
9.6%
7
90.4%
Q1 - 8:40NJNMISS Collins 17' Jump Shot6
9.4%
7
90.6%
Q1 - 9:01MIABest 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
8.8%
7
91.2%
Q1 - 9:07MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
8.4%
7
91.6%
Q1 - 9:09NJNMISS Kittles 19' Jump Shot4
8.1%
7
91.9%
Q1 - 9:19NJNNETS Rebound4
7.6%
7
92.4%
Q1 - 9:20MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot4
7.9%
7
92.1%
Q1 - 9:37NJNJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
8.4%
7
91.6%
Q1 - 9:50NJNMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
7.7%
7
92.3%
Q1 - 9:51MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 24
7.7%
7
92.3%
Q1 - 9:51MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
8.1%
7
91.9%
Q1 - 10:11NJNKittles Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)3
7.7%
7
92.3%
Q1 - 10:11NJNKittles Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
7.8%
6
92.2%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMartin STEAL (1 STL)3
8.2%
5
91.8%
Q1 - 10:25MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
8.9%
5
91.1%
Q1 - 10:27NJNMISS Martin 17' Jump Shot3
8.7%
5
91.3%
Q1 - 10:41NJNJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
8.2%
5
91.8%
Q1 - 10:42NJNMISS Jefferson Layup3
8.7%
5
91.3%
Q1 - 10:47NJNKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
8.2%
5
91.8%
Q1 - 10:48MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot3
8.4%
5
91.6%
Q1 - 11:05NJNMartin Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)3
8.8%
5
91.2%
Q1 - 11:05NJNMartin Driving Layup (4 PTS)3
9.4%
4
90.6%
Q1 - 11:28MIAButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
10.1%
2
89.9%
Q1 - 11:55NJNMartin Dunk (2 PTS) (Kittles 1 AST)0
8.8%
2
91.2%
Q1 - 12:00NJNJump Ball Collins vs. Grant: Tip to Martin0
9.4%
0
90.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 45.9%
NJN
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
13
85%
NJN
12
30
40%
Midrange
MIA
10
45
22%
NJN
11
33
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
NJN
4
6.0
9
44%
67%
Free Throws
MIA
10
16
63%
NJN
26
36
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler1743%8.5 / 20
R. Butler1563%7.5 / 12
B. Grant1365%6.5 / 10
E. House1142%5.5 / 13
T. Best945%4.5 / 10
M. Allen857%4.0 / 7
V. Stepania467%2.0 / 3
S. Marks233%1.0 / 3
M. James0-0.0 / 1
A. Carter0-0.0 / 3
L. Ellis0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Nets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Martin2847%14.0 / 30
R. Jefferson1750%8.5 / 17
J. Kidd1275%6.0 / 8
K. Kittles930%4.5 / 15
J. Collins750%3.5 / 7
A. Williams467%2.0 / 3
R. Rogers450%2.0 / 4
L. Harris325%1.5 / 6
B. Scalabrine0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+10
-17
86
NJN
79
+12
-14
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 45.9%
NJN
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.5
100.5
MIA 84.9
NJN 90.3 +5.4
Pace
90.0
94.6
MIA 81.1
NJN 109.1 +28.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.7
MIA 17.8
NJN 13.2 +4.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
43.9%
46.8%
MIA 46.0% +5.7%
NJN 40.3%
TO %
14.8%
15.2%
MIA 17.2%
NJN 13.7% +3.5%
ORB %
26.8%
28.8%
MIA 16.7%
NJN 21.7% +5.0%
FTrt
25.9
33.3
MIA 21.3
NJN 50.0 +28.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.8%
64.9%
MIA 60.0%
NJN 63.0% +3.0%
STL %
7.9%
9.3%
MIA 10.8%
NJN 12.9% +2.1%
BLK %
6.4%
7.1%
MIA 12.7% +11.0%
NJN 1.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.0%
49.4%
MIA 45.9% +0.2%
NJN 45.7%
Rim FG%
53.7%
57.2%
MIA 84.6% +44.6%
NJN 40.0%
Mid FG%
37.6%
37.8%
MIA 22.2%
NJN 33.3% +11.1%
3P %
31.6%
33.2%
MIA 52.9% +8.5%
NJN 44.4%
FT %
76.5%
75.7%
MIA 62.5%
NJN 72.2% +9.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
36.4%
MIA 17.3%
NJN 41.7% +24.3%
Mid Att. %
54.2%
47.8%
MIA 60.0%
NJN 45.8% +14.2%
3P Att. %
16.9%
15.8%
MIA 22.7% +10.2%
NJN 12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsMIANJN
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes27.520.5
Points7984
Rebounds4345
Assists1817
Steals1012
Blocks81
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)35 (2)
Field Goals30-7527-72
At-the-Rim FG11-1312-30
Midrange FG10-4511-33
2-Point FG21-5823-63
3-Point FG9-174-9
Free Throws10-1626-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 23
41.1
17
43%
6
2
2
1
5
4
1
5
6-9
67%
4-14
29%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 190 · 25
35.8
11
42%
3
6
4
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-7
14%
3-6
50%
C · 6'9" 254 · 31
32.1
13
65%
8
1
2
2
4
5
1
7
1-2
50%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 182 · 31
28.7
9
45%
6
2
0
0
2
2
0
6
1-1
100%
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 255 · 25
23.2
8
57%
7
0
1
2
2
4
2
5
2-4
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 27
20.5
4
67%
6
0
1
1
2
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 24
19.2
15
63%
2
1
0
2
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
0%
5-7
71%
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27
13.0
2
33%
2
0
0
0
2
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 188 · 28
10.3
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 28
9.4
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 33
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
46%
43
18
10
8
17
0
7
36
10-16
63%
21-58
36%
9-17
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.