FinalWin Prob.pScore
2818%84
76
882%95
101
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
79.29693.4
SAS logo SAS
104.19799.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS76
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0DENAndersen 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Blount 2 AST)76
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0DENBlount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)74
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENMISS White 1' Dunk74
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0SASClaxton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)74
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0DENMISS Blount 2' Layup74
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0DENBlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:32.0DENMISS White 17' Jump Shot74
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:42.0DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:45.0SASMISS Smith 7' Fadeaway Jumper74
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:56.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)74
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:58.0DENMISS Andersen 11' Jump Shot74
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 1:05DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 1:07SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot74
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 1:27SASSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)74
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 1:29DENMISS Andersen 16' Jump Shot74
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 1:38SASFerry 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)74
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56DENBlount 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)74
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06SASFerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kerr 4 AST)72
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29SASKerr REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31DENMISS White 18' Jump Shot72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38DENBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:40SASMISS Rose 15' Jump Shot72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45SASMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54SASSPURS Rebound72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54SASMISS Rose 2' Layup72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58DENRose STEAL (2 STL)72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10SASMISS Claxton Free Throw 1 of 172
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10SASClaxton 1' Layup (7 PTS)72
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14DENClaxton STEAL (3 STL)72
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:25DENBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27SASMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot72
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29SASSPURS Rebound72
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29SASMISS Kerr 12' Jump Shot72
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51DENAndersen 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)72
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09SASKerr 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:23SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)70
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:25DENBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:25DENMISS Blount 2' Layup70
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27DENMISS Harrington 9' Jump Shot70
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33SASClaxton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)70
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55DENBowen 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)70
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:04SASMISS Claxton 2' Layup68
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:08DENClaxton STEAL (2 STL)68
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13DENMISS Andersen 16' Jump Shot68
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:21DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:23SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot68
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:41DENBlount 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tskitishvili 1 AST)68
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:49DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)66
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52SASMISS Ferry 3PT Jump Shot66
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01DENRose STEAL (1 STL)66
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:08SASSmith 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)66
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:21DENBowen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)66
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:21DENBowen 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)65
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:33SASSmith 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)63
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41DENMISS Tskitishvili 1' Layup63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:48DENBlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50SASMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:05DENTskitishvili Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)63
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:05DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:05DENTskitishvili Layup (2 PTS)62
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:05DENClaxton BLOCK (1 BLK)60
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:10DENBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:12SASMISS Claxton 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:26SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:28DENMISS Tskitishvili 17' Jump Shot60
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:57SASKerr 6' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)60
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 8:21DENHarrington Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)60
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:21DENHarrington 5' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)59
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:34SASWillis 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)57
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 8:58SASSPURS Rebound57
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:00DENMISS Andersen 2' Layup57
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:03DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:04DENMISS Tskitishvili 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:17SASSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:17SASSmith 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)57
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 9:22SASMISS Willis 9' Hook Shot57
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 9:40DENHarrington 1' Layup (4 PTS)57
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 10:02SASClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)55
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 10:02SASMISS Claxton Free Throw 1 of 255
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 10:13SASSPURS Rebound55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 10:15DENMISS Harrington 20' Jump Shot55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 10:23DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 10:25SASMISS Willis 15' Jump Shot55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 10:45DENNene 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)55
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 10:58SASClaxton 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)53
0.1%
79
99.9%
Q4 - 11:07SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 11:10DENWillis BLOCK (2 BLK)53
0.2%
77
99.8%
Q4 - 11:23DENBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
0.2%
77
99.8%
Q4 - 11:25SASMISS Rose 11' Jump Shot53
0.2%
77
99.8%
Q4 - 11:40DENHarrington 3' Layup (2 PTS)53
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS Whitney 15' Fadeaway Jumper51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q3 - 0:07.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q3 - 0:09.0SASMISS Claxton 1' Reverse Layup51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q3 - 0:29.0DENNene 2' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Harvey 3 AST)51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)49
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q3 - 0:41.0DENClaxton STEAL (1 STL)49
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q3 - 0:54.0DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)49
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 249
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)49
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q3 - 1:06SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 1:09SASMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot49
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 1:32DENHoward 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)49
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 1:52SASClaxton 1' Layup (2 PTS)47
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 1:59SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
0.1%
74
99.9%
Q3 - 2:02DENMISS Howard 1' Layup47
0.2%
74
99.8%
Q3 - 2:28SASParker 2' Finger Roll (8 PTS)47
0.2%
74
99.8%
Q3 - 2:40DENNene 3' Layup (8 PTS)47
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q3 - 2:43DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q3 - 2:46DENMISS Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q3 - 3:29SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)45
0.2%
72
99.8%
Q3 - 3:48SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
0.3%
69
99.7%
Q3 - 3:51DENDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)45
0.3%
69
99.7%
Q3 - 4:05SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)45
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q3 - 4:19SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q3 - 4:21DENMISS Howard 14' Fadeaway Jumper45
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q3 - 4:36SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)45
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q3 - 4:54DENHarvey 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)45
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q3 - 5:08SASBowen Layup (15 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)43
0.4%
69
99.6%
Q3 - 5:19DENNene Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T17)43
0.4%
67
99.6%
Q3 - 5:30DENHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)43
0.5%
67
99.5%
Q3 - 5:32SASMISS Rose 14' Jump Shot43
0.5%
67
99.5%
Q3 - 5:53SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)43
0.4%
67
99.6%
Q3 - 5:55DENMISS Camby 17' Jump Shot43
0.4%
67
99.6%
Q3 - 6:19SASJackson 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)43
0.6%
67
99.4%
Q3 - 6:22SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
0.7%
65
99.3%
Q3 - 6:25DENWillis BLOCK (1 BLK)43
0.7%
65
99.3%
Q3 - 6:46SASDuncan 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)43
0.8%
65
99.2%
Q3 - 7:01DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)43
1.0%
63
99.0%
Q3 - 7:01DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)42
1.0%
63
99.0%
Q3 - 7:23SASJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)41
0.9%
63
99.1%
Q3 - 7:23SASJackson 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)41
1.0%
62
99.0%
Q3 - 7:39SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
1.1%
60
98.9%
Q3 - 7:41DENMISS Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
1.2%
60
98.8%
Q3 - 7:49SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)41
1.3%
60
98.7%
Q3 - 8:02DENYarbrough 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS)41
1.2%
60
98.8%
Q3 - 8:18DENHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)39
1.1%
60
98.9%
Q3 - 8:21SASMISS Jackson 13' Jump Shot39
1.0%
60
99.0%
Q3 - 8:39DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)39
0.9%
60
99.1%
Q3 - 8:39DENHoward 7' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Harvey 2 AST)38
0.8%
60
99.2%
Q3 - 8:55DENWhitney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
0.7%
60
99.3%
Q3 - 8:57SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot36
0.6%
60
99.4%
Q3 - 9:10DENHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T16)36
0.6%
60
99.4%
Q3 - 9:23SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)36
0.7%
60
99.3%
Q3 - 9:23SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)36
0.7%
59
99.3%
Q3 - 9:37DENYarbrough Traveling Turnover (P5.T15)36
0.8%
58
99.2%
Q3 - 9:48DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)36
1.0%
58
99.0%
Q3 - 9:52SASMISS Jackson 1' Reverse Layup36
0.9%
58
99.1%
Q3 - 9:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)36
0.8%
58
99.2%
Q3 - 10:02DENMISS Whitney 13' Jump Shot36
0.9%
58
99.1%
Q3 - 10:19SASWillis 6' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)36
1.0%
58
99.0%
Q3 - 10:30SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
1.2%
56
98.8%
Q3 - 10:32DENMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot36
1.2%
56
98.8%
Q3 - 10:58SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)36
1.3%
56
98.7%
Q3 - 11:17DENYarbrough 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS)36
1.8%
53
98.2%
Q3 - 11:40SASDuncan 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)34
1.6%
53
98.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN34
1.8%
51
98.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound34
2.1%
51
97.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Harrington 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
1.9%
51
98.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)34
2.2%
51
97.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)34
2.3%
50
97.7%
Q2 - 0:13.0DENNene 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Whitney 2 AST)34
2.6%
49
97.4%
Q2 - 0:23.0DENMISS Howard Free Throw Technical32
2.2%
49
97.8%
Q2 - 0:33.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)32
2.2%
49
97.8%
Q2 - 0:33.0SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)32
2.3%
48
97.7%
Q2 - 0:43.0DENYarbrough 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)32
2.6%
47
97.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
2.2%
47
97.8%
Q2 - 0:51.0SASMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
2.2%
47
97.8%
Q2 - 0:57.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
2.0%
47
98.0%
Q2 - 0:59.0DENMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot30
2.1%
47
97.9%
Q2 - 1:11SASJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)30
2.3%
47
97.7%
Q2 - 1:11SASJackson 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)30
2.7%
46
97.3%
Q2 - 1:24DENHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)30
3.2%
44
96.8%
Q2 - 1:32SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
3.4%
44
96.6%
Q2 - 1:32SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
3.5%
43
96.5%
Q2 - 1:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)30
4.1%
42
95.9%
Q2 - 1:46SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot30
4.3%
42
95.7%
Q2 - 2:03DENDuncan STEAL (2 STL)30
4.2%
42
95.8%
Q2 - 2:23SASJackson Foul Turnover (P2.T9)30
4.6%
42
95.4%
Q2 - 2:36SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
4.2%
42
95.8%
Q2 - 2:38DENMISS Whitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
4.3%
42
95.7%
Q2 - 2:59SASParker Foul Turnover (P2.T8)30
4.6%
42
95.4%
Q2 - 3:04SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
4.3%
42
95.7%
Q2 - 3:06DENMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot30
4.5%
42
95.5%
Q2 - 3:24SASDuncan Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)30
4.9%
42
95.1%
Q2 - 3:31SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
4.3%
42
95.7%
Q2 - 3:33DENMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot30
4.4%
42
95.6%
Q2 - 3:43DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
4.9%
42
95.1%
Q2 - 3:45SASMISS Rose 12' Jump Shot30
4.7%
42
95.3%
Q2 - 4:08DENWhitney Foul Turnover (P2.T12)30
4.4%
42
95.6%
Q2 - 4:27SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)30
4.9%
42
95.1%
Q2 - 4:31SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 4:34SASMISS Ferry 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
6.6%
39
93.4%
Q2 - 4:51DENHarvey 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Yarbrough 3 AST)30
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 5:07DENHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)28
5.6%
39
94.4%
Q2 - 5:09SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 228
5.5%
39
94.5%
Q2 - 5:09SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 228
5.1%
39
94.9%
Q2 - 5:22SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
4.9%
39
95.1%
Q2 - 5:24DENMISS Harvey 2' Layup28
5.1%
39
94.9%
Q2 - 5:32DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
5.5%
39
94.5%
Q2 - 5:35SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot28
5.4%
39
94.6%
Q2 - 5:51DENHoward 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)28
4.9%
39
95.1%
Q2 - 6:02SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kerr 3 AST)26
4.6%
39
95.4%
Q2 - 6:15DENHoward 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)26
5.6%
36
94.4%
Q2 - 6:23DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
5.1%
36
94.9%
Q2 - 6:25SASMISS Bowen 3' Driving Layup24
4.9%
36
95.1%
Q2 - 6:39DENHoward 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Whitney 1 AST)24
4.5%
36
95.5%
Q2 - 7:02SASBowen 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)22
4.4%
36
95.6%
Q2 - 7:07DENBowen STEAL (1 STL)22
4.8%
34
95.2%
Q2 - 7:18SASKerr 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)22
5.3%
34
94.7%
Q2 - 7:45SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
6.4%
31
93.6%
Q2 - 7:46DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
7.1%
31
92.9%
Q2 - 7:46DENMISS Tskitishvili 3' Tip Shot22
6.6%
31
93.4%
Q2 - 7:49DENMISS Andersen 3' Layup22
6.6%
31
93.4%
Q2 - 8:14SASWillis 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)22
7.2%
31
92.8%
Q2 - 8:26SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
7.9%
29
92.1%
Q2 - 8:28DENMISS Andersen 1' Layup22
8.1%
29
91.9%
Q2 - 8:51SASRose 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kerr 2 AST)22
8.7%
29
91.3%
Q2 - 9:09DENHarrington Foul Turnover (P1.T10)22
9.5%
27
90.5%
Q2 - 9:18DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)22
10.5%
27
89.5%
Q2 - 9:21SASMISS Ginobili 4' Finger Roll22
10.2%
27
89.8%
Q2 - 9:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)22
9.5%
27
90.5%
Q2 - 9:33DENDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)22
9.8%
27
90.2%
Q2 - 9:49SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)22
10.5%
27
89.5%
Q2 - 10:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)22
9.6%
27
90.4%
Q2 - 10:08DENMISS Tskitishvili 7' Jump Shot22
9.9%
27
90.1%
Q2 - 10:27DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)22
10.6%
27
89.4%
Q2 - 10:29SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 222
10.5%
27
89.5%
Q2 - 10:29SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)22
10.0%
27
90.0%
Q2 - 10:45DENWhite Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)22
10.5%
26
89.5%
Q2 - 10:45DENWhite REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
11.6%
26
88.4%
Q2 - 10:47DENMISS White 2' Layup22
10.8%
26
89.2%
Q2 - 11:09SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kerr 1 AST)22
11.3%
26
88.7%
Q2 - 11:20SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
13.4%
23
86.6%
Q2 - 11:22DENMISS Harrington 18' Jump Shot22
13.8%
23
86.2%
Q2 - 11:39SASBowen 14' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)22
14.6%
23
85.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS22
15.9%
21
84.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
15.9%
21
84.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Rose 3' Layup22
16.8%
21
83.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)22
15.9%
21
84.1%
Q1 - 0:06.0DENMISS Harrington 9' Jump Shot22
16.1%
21
83.9%
Q1 - 0:27.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
16.8%
21
83.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0SASMISS Kerr 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
16.5%
21
83.5%
Q1 - 0:48.0DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)22
15.8%
21
84.2%
Q1 - 0:48.0DENHoward 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS)21
14.6%
21
85.4%
Q1 - 1:01DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
13.2%
21
86.8%
Q1 - 1:03SASMISS Kerr 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
13.0%
21
87.0%
Q1 - 1:18DENYarbrough 1' Reverse Layup (6 PTS)19
12.4%
21
87.6%
Q1 - 1:25DENHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)17
11.2%
21
88.8%
Q1 - 1:27DENMISS Yarbrough 18' Jump Shot17
10.7%
21
89.3%
Q1 - 1:45SASRose Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)17
11.2%
21
88.8%
Q1 - 1:45SASRose 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)17
12.2%
20
87.8%
Q1 - 1:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
13.5%
18
86.5%
Q1 - 2:00DENMISS Tskitishvili 15' Jump Shot17
13.7%
18
86.3%
Q1 - 2:06DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
14.4%
18
85.6%
Q1 - 2:08SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup17
14.1%
18
85.9%
Q1 - 2:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
13.3%
18
86.7%
Q1 - 2:15DENMISS Yarbrough 16' Jump Shot17
13.6%
18
86.4%
Q1 - 2:25SASGinobili Foul Turnover (P1.T5)17
14.4%
18
85.6%
Q1 - 2:29DENJackson STEAL (4 STL)17
13.3%
18
86.7%
Q1 - 2:46SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
14.4%
18
85.6%
Q1 - 2:46SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
14.6%
17
85.4%
Q1 - 2:50DENGinobili STEAL (1 STL)17
15.7%
16
84.3%
Q1 - 3:01DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
16.6%
16
83.4%
Q1 - 3:03SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
16.2%
16
83.8%
Q1 - 3:14DENHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)17
15.3%
16
84.7%
Q1 - 3:14DENMISS Camby Free Throw 1 of 117
15.5%
16
84.5%
Q1 - 3:14DENCamby 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Harvey 1 AST)17
15.3%
16
84.7%
Q1 - 3:27DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
14.3%
16
85.7%
Q1 - 3:28SASMISS Rose Free Throw 2 of 215
14.1%
16
85.9%
Q1 - 3:28SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 215
13.4%
16
86.6%
Q1 - 3:37DENJackson STEAL (2 STL)15
13.1%
16
86.9%
Q1 - 3:44DENHoward Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)15
14.3%
16
85.7%
Q1 - 4:08SASJackson 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)14
13.0%
16
87.0%
Q1 - 4:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
13.8%
14
86.2%
Q1 - 4:12SASMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot14
14.7%
14
85.3%
Q1 - 4:33DENYarbrough 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)14
13.8%
14
86.2%
Q1 - 4:39SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)12
13.0%
14
87.0%
Q1 - 4:42DENJackson STEAL (1 STL)12
11.8%
14
88.2%
Q1 - 4:51DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
13.0%
14
87.0%
Q1 - 4:53SASMISS Rose 10' Jump Shot12
12.6%
14
87.4%
Q1 - 5:13DENCamby Layup (2 PTS)12
11.7%
14
88.3%
Q1 - 5:15DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
10.9%
14
89.1%
Q1 - 5:18DENMISS Yarbrough 5' Jump Shot10
10.3%
14
89.7%
Q1 - 5:37DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
10.9%
14
89.1%
Q1 - 5:39DENMISS Camby 1' Layup10
10.3%
14
89.7%
Q1 - 5:44SASJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)10
10.9%
14
89.1%
Q1 - 5:54DENYarbrough Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)10
10.0%
14
90.0%
Q1 - 6:07SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)10
10.9%
14
89.1%
Q1 - 6:07SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)10
11.0%
13
89.0%
Q1 - 6:27DENWhitney Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
11.6%
12
88.4%
Q1 - 6:33SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
12.5%
12
87.5%
Q1 - 6:49DENNene 1' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Yarbrough 2 AST)10
11.6%
12
88.4%
Q1 - 7:02SASParker 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)8
10.8%
12
89.2%
Q1 - 7:18SASSPURS Rebound8
11.5%
10
88.5%
Q1 - 7:18DENMISS Whitney 18' Jump Shot8
11.8%
10
88.2%
Q1 - 7:35SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)8
12.4%
10
87.6%
Q1 - 7:57SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
14.1%
7
85.9%
Q1 - 7:59DENMISS Nene 2' Layup8
14.4%
7
85.6%
Q1 - 8:15SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
14.8%
7
85.2%
Q1 - 8:15SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 28
15.0%
6
85.0%
Q1 - 8:32DENYarbrough 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
14.7%
6
85.3%
Q1 - 8:34DENYarbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
13.9%
6
86.1%
Q1 - 8:36DENMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot6
13.2%
6
86.8%
Q1 - 8:49DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
13.9%
6
86.1%
Q1 - 8:51SASMISS Duncan 13' Turnaround Jump Shot6
13.6%
6
86.4%
Q1 - 9:05DENHoward 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Yarbrough 1 AST)6
12.7%
6
87.3%
Q1 - 9:20SASJackson 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
12.1%
6
87.9%
Q1 - 9:35SASWillis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
12.8%
4
87.2%
Q1 - 9:37SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot4
13.5%
4
86.5%
Q1 - 9:56DENHoward 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)4
12.8%
4
87.2%
Q1 - 10:05DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
12.0%
4
88.0%
Q1 - 10:07DENMISS Harvey 4' Jump Shot2
11.4%
4
88.6%
Q1 - 10:27SASWillis 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
12.0%
4
88.0%
Q1 - 10:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
12.7%
2
87.3%
Q1 - 10:41DENMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot2
13.0%
2
87.0%
Q1 - 10:59SASJackson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
13.7%
2
86.3%
Q1 - 11:20DENNene 1' Layup (2 PTS)2
14.5%
0
85.5%
Q1 - 11:32SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
13.5%
0
86.5%
Q1 - 11:35DENDuncan STEAL (1 STL)0
12.8%
0
87.2%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Willis vs. Nene: Tip to Nene0
13.5%
0
86.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.83 41.3%
SAS
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
18
37
49%
SAS
16
24
67%
Midrange
DEN
16
42
38%
SAS
10
27
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
5
0%
SAS
10
15.0
22
45%
68%
Free Throws
DEN
8
10
80%
SAS
19
28
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Howard2153%10.5 / 20
V. Yarbrough1267%6.0 / 9
Nene1286%6.0 / 7
J. Harrington735%3.5 / 10
R. Bowen563%2.5 / 4
D. Harvey440%2.0 / 5
C. Andersen425%2.0 / 8
M. Camby440%2.0 / 5
M. Blount450%2.0 / 4
N. Tskitishvili317%1.5 / 9
C. Whitney0-0.0 / 6
R. White0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Bowen1890%9.0 / 10
S. Jackson1458%7.0 / 12
T. Duncan1169%5.5 / 8
T. Parker880%4.0 / 5
K. Willis867%4.0 / 6
M. Ginobili850%4.0 / 8
S. Kerr867%4.0 / 6
M. Rose723%3.5 / 15
S. Smith750%3.5 / 7
S. Claxton744%3.5 / 8
D. Ferry563%2.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
74
+16
-22
90
SAS
82
+10
-15
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.83 41.3%
SAS
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
90.7
102.7
DEN 79.2 +25.0
SAS 104.1
Pace
92.6
92.6
DEN 93.4
SAS 99.8 +6.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.6
DEN 15.4
SAS 14.4 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
42.8%
49.7%
DEN 40.5%
SAS 56.2% +15.7%
TO %
18.7%
16.5%
DEN 19.9%
SAS 15.0% +4.9%
ORB %
31.3%
28.8%
DEN 31.9% +11.9%
SAS 20.0%
FTrt
28.3
34.8
DEN 11.9
SAS 38.4 +26.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.6%
56.3%
DEN 55.9%
SAS 72.2% +16.3%
STL %
9.3%
8.3%
DEN 9.4%
SAS 13.4% +4.0%
BLK %
8.5%
9.3%
DEN 3.9%
SAS 6.3% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.88 and 2.88.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
44.6%
51.4%
DEN 41.3%
SAS 54.9% +13.6%
Rim FG%
53.8%
59.3%
DEN 48.6%
SAS 66.7% +18.1%
Mid FG%
35.8%
38.8%
DEN 38.1% +1.1%
SAS 37.0%
3P %
27.8%
35.4%
DEN 0.0%
SAS 45.5% +45.5%
FT %
69.9%
72.5%
DEN 80.0% +12.1%
SAS 67.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
39.3%
DEN 44.0% +11.2%
SAS 32.9%
Mid Att. %
52.3%
40.6%
DEN 50.0%
SAS 37.0% +13.0%
3P Att. %
12.6%
20.2%
DEN 6.0%
SAS 30.1% +24.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.91 and 2.91.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points76101
Rebounds4740
Assists1926
Steals913
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)22 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (1)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)32 (3)
Field Goals34-8436-73
At-the-Rim FG18-3716-24
Midrange FG16-4210-27
2-Point FG34-7926-51
3-Point FG0-510-22
Free Throws8-1019-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 30
32.8
21
53%
7
2
1
0
3
4
3
4
5-6
83%
8-17
47%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 22
28.3
4
40%
8
3
2
0
3
2
0
8
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 31
28.1
0
0%
1
2
1
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-3
0%
G · 6'7" 210 · 22
23.0
12
67%
1
3
2
0
5
4
1
0
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 250 · 20
21.6
12
86%
4
1
0
0
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
6-7
86%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 22
27.8
7
35%
2
2
1
0
3
4
1
1
1-1
100%
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25
17.1
4
25%
3
1
1
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-8
25%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29
15.6
4
40%
6
1
0
0
0
2
2
4
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 7'0" 225 · 20
14.0
3
17%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-1
100%
1-7
14%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 218 · 27
12.0
5
63%
4
1
1
1
1
0
1
3
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 230 · 23
10.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 27
8.9
4
50%
6
2
0
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
76
41%
47
19
9
2
22
0
15
32
8-10
80%
34-79
43%
0-5
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.